Jake McCarthy — OGILVIE

Jake McCarthyCF Colorado Rockies

Age 29 L/L 6'0" / 213 lbs MLB H +10%K -4% Svc 3.721 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.8 · 2026

wRC+†vL 7692vR 96

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .320 / .369

PA485

HR7

SB31

K%17

BB%6

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

40→40

SPD

60→60

EYE

43↗45

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.7peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.721 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A+	2 teams	288	270	55	11	3	2	16	95	2	22	2	.204	.253	.289	.542	.085	.306	33	6	.240	42	-19	+4	+0	-3	+8	-1.0
2021	24	AAA	3 teams	438	397	78	13	9	12	35	151	4	32	6	.196	.268	.365	.634	.169	.281	34	8	.274	68	-16	+4	-0	+2	+12	0.2
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	519	468	138	24	6	13	36	104	10	34	7	.295	.358	.455	.813	.160	.355	20	7	.350	126	+15	+4	-2	-6	+15	2.7
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	533	479	127	17	6	9	37	101	9	41	8	.265	.330	.382	.712	.117	.316	19	7	.311	96	-2	+5	-3	-6	+15	0.9
2024	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	495	442	122	12	6	8	31	78	14	25	6	.276	.343	.385	.728	.109	.318	16	6	.316	100	-0	+3	+3	+2	+14	2.1
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	459	419	96	18	7	5	28	82	8	18	3	.229	.290	.341	.631	.112	.273	18	6	.275	68	-16	+2	+1	-5	+13	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	55	47	11	4	1	0	4	10	1	5	1	.234	.308	.362	.669	.128	.297	18	7	.282	74	-2	+1	+1	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	29	MLB	COL	430	390	100	15	6	6	28	75	9	26	4	.256	.321	.372	.693	.115	.298	17	7	.308	94	-3	+4	-1	-5	+12	0.7
TOT	29	MLB	COL	485	437	111	19	7	6	32	85	10	31	5	.254	.319	.371	.690	.117	.302	18	7	.305	92	-5	+4	-0	-5	+14	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB	COL	473	430	107	16	6	6	31	74	9	27	4	.249	.313	.356	.669	.107	.289	16	7	.305	91	-5	+4	-3	-5	+13	0.4
2028	31	MLB	COL	458	416	103	15	6	6	30	73	9	24	3	.248	.312	.356	.668	.108	.287	16	7	.301	88	-6	+4	-4	-5	+13	0.2
2029	32	MLB	COL	439	398	99	15	6	5	29	73	9	21	3	.249	.314	.354	.668	.106	.286	17	7	.296	85	-7	+3	-5	-5	+12	-0.2
2030	33	MLB	COL	409	372	89	13	5	4	26	70	8	18	2	.239	.303	.333	.636	.094	.285	17	6	.291	81	-9	+3	-5	-4	+12	-0.4
2031	34	MLB	COL	364	331	78	11	5	3	23	66	7	15	1	.236	.299	.326	.625	.091	.284	18	6	.285	76	-10	+3	-6	-4	+10	-0.7
2032	35	MLB	COL	310	281	65	9	4	2	20	59	6	12	1	.231	.296	.313	.610	.082	.282	19	6	.278	71	-10	+2	-6	-3	+9	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5615	5093	1257	189	75	81	370	1101	104	315	50	.247	.311	.361	.672	.114	.299	20	7	.298	86	-88	+43	-33	-47	+159	3.5
/ 162G	—			650	590	146	22	9	9	43	127	12	36	6	.247	.312	.361	.673	.114	.300	20	7	.298	86	-10	+5	-4	-5	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A+	Visalia Rawhide	214	195	54	13	3	2	17	52	2	18	2	.277	.341	.405	.746	.128	.369	24	8	.335	114	+3	+3	—	—	+6	1.3
2019	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	74	68	18	4	1	1	6	20	0	4	0	.265	.324	.397	.721	.132	.362	27	8	.323	105	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	70	59	13	3	0	2	8	23	2	3	2	.220	.333	.373	.706	.153	.324	33	11	.319	102	+0	-0	-0	+2	+2	0.3
2021	24	AAA	Reno Aces	212	191	50	6	7	9	20	49	0	12	3	.262	.332	.508	.840	.246	.306	23	9	.363	136	+9	+1	—	—	+6	1.6
2021	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	156	137	33	8	4	6	17	46	2	17	1	.241	.333	.489	.822	.248	.318	29	11	.360	133	+6	+3	—	—	+4	1.4
2022	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	354	321	91	16	3	8	23	76	6	23	3	.283	.343	.427	.770	.143	.349	21	6	.340	118	+7	+3	-2	-6	+10	1.3
2022	25	AAA	Reno Aces	165	141	52	11	3	5	19	22	4	11	4	.369	.457	.596	1.053	.227	.412	13	12	.457	208	+20	+1	—	—	+5	2.6
2023	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	312	276	67	7	5	2	26	62	5	26	4	.243	.319	.326	.645	.083	.305	20	8	.292	81	-7	+4	-3	-6	+9	-0.3
2023	26	AAA	Reno Aces	221	197	71	13	3	9	17	29	4	15	4	.360	.422	.594	1.016	.234	.383	13	8	.438	193	+23	+1	—	—	+6	3.2
2024	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	495	442	126	13	7	8	31	78	14	25	6	.285	.351	.400	.752	.115	.329	16	6	.334	114	+8	+3	+3	+2	+14	2.9
2025	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	222	206	42	7	5	4	10	40	2	6	0	.204	.248	.345	.592	.141	.233	18	5	.258	56	-11	+1	+1	-5	+6	-0.7
2025	28	AAA	Reno Aces	237	207	65	15	4	1	24	33	6	12	3	.314	.401	.440	.840	.126	.370	14	10	.378	148	+13	+1	—	—	+7	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1453	1304	339	46	20	24	98	279	29	83	15	.260	.326	.381	.707	.121	.313	19	7	.314	99	-2	+11	-2	-13	+41	3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake McCarthy (OGILVIE)	29	55	40	60	45	.252/.316/.364	.112	.290	7	29	15%	7%	94	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Duffy 2009 · MLB	29	52→62	41→45	60	48	.249/.310/.359	.110	.297	8	30	18%	7%	89	+1.0	.225/.282/.338	.113	.300	9	16	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.224/.271/.332	.108	.319	7	16	31%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Jason Bourgeois 2011 · MLB	29	55→58	39→45	58→65	46	.261/.300/.346	.085	.292	6	33	14%	5%	81	+0.4	.257/.298/.336	.079	.288	5	36	12%	5%	77	+0.1	.258/.297/.327	.069	.287	3	37	11%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Greg Allen 2022 · MLB	29	52→56	44→45	61→65	45	.247/.330/.371	.123	.311	10	31	22%	6%	102	+1.9	.231/.322/.353	.122	.303	10	37	26%	7%	95	+1.4	.214/.305/.335	.121	.286	9	40	26%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Craig Gentry 2014 · MLB	30	56→55	40	62→60	51	.263/.338/.363	.099	.313	5	35	17%	8%	102	+1.9	.241/.305/.316	.075	.297	5	31	19%	7%	76	+0.0	.224/.290/.298	.074	.287	4	29	22%	7%	62	-0.3
✕Mallex Smith 2021 · MLB	28	51→61	41→45	65	48	.242/.310/.353	.111	.305	6	40	22%	8%	87	+0.8	.218/.292/.322	.104	.301	10	32	28%	9%	72	-0.2	.200/.285/.294	.094	.295	11	40	33%	10%	59	-0.2
✕Jon Berti 2019 · MLB	29	50→59	43→45	63→60	45	.242/.303/.360	.118	.303	9	35	22%	6%	86	+0.8	.252/.332/.377	.125	.321	12	29	23%	9%	103	+1.9	.242/.340/.358	.116	.311	12	29	24%	11%	100	+0.7
✕Grégor Blanco 2013 · MLB	29	50→59	41→45	60	55	.239/.321/.340	.102	.302	7	31	22%	11%	89	+1.0	.253/.330/.357	.104	.312	7	22	19%	10%	97	+1.5	.264/.341/.367	.103	.318	6	19	17%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Leonys Martin 2016 · MLB	28	50→55	42→50	56→60	46	.245/.296/.352	.107	.295	10	30	20%	6%	81	+0.4	.241/.294/.372	.131	.304	14	24	25%	7%	86	+0.8	.241/.297/.381	.140	.306	16	24	26%	7%	85	+0.6
●Julio Borbon 2015 · MLB	29	53→61	39→40	56→60	46	.254/.296/.336	.082	.297	7	26	17%	6%	76	+0.1	.259/.293/.328	.069	.307	5	28	17%	5%	72	-0.2	.278/.311/.346	.068	.324	5	28	15%	4%	82	+0.4
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2012 · MLB	29	52→57	39→40	59→60	55	.246/.317/.336	.091	.288	5	27	16%	9%	85	+0.7	.233/.294/.309	.076	.287	4	22	19%	8%	69	-0.4	.222/.290/.276	.054	.264	2	15	16%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Tim Locastro 2021 · MLB	29	50→52	44→45	60	46	.242/.336/.366	.124	.289	10	27	19%	6%	104	+2.0	.215/.296/.338	.123	.262	12	24	22%	5%	80	+0.4	.211/.301/.325	.114	.266	11	36	23%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Alex Sanchez 2006 · MLB	29	61	38→40	55→65	44	.289/.318/.374	.085	.332	5	34	15%	4%	95	+1.4	.258/.287/.357	.099	.292	10	16	15%	4%	78	+0.2	.286/.310/.375	.088	.310	8	20	10%	3%	90	+0.5
✕Emilio Bonifácio 2014 · MLB	29	53→61	38→40	61→65	50	.251/.313/.337	.086	.317	5	38	21%	8%	84	+0.6	.248/.296/.328	.080	.313	5	32	21%	6%	74	-0.1	.246/.288/.332	.086	.306	5	33	20%	5%	68	-0.2
●Tony Womack 2001 · MLB	31	54→63	42→40	64→60	48	.261/.302/.377	.116	.285	8	34	12%	5%	90	+1.0	.260/.304/.353	.093	.290	6	29	12%	5%	84	+0.6	.269/.315/.347	.078	.300	4	25	12%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Eugenio Velez 2011 · MLB	29	52→60	43→50	57→65	45	.254/.295/.377	.123	.299	9	30	18%	5%	87	+0.8	.246/.293/.361	.115	.305	9	27	21%	6%	82	+0.5	.261/.314/.383	.122	.324	10	34	22%	6%	93	+1.0
✕Roger Cedeno 2003 · MLB	28	56→60	41→45	62→65	52	.270/.329/.371	.101	.310	9	38	16%	8%	100	+1.7	.257/.313/.363	.106	.301	9	19	17%	7%	91	+1.1	.263/.320/.373	.110	.310	8	15	17%	8%	91	+0.7
✕Matt Young 2011 · AAA	28	55→58	39→40	59→60	53	.261/.328/.358	.097	.297	4	29	14%	8%	96	+1.5	.243/.315/.321	.078	.295	3	24	17%	9%	82	+0.5	.233/.313/.296	.063	.290	3	23	19%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Mike McCoy 2011 · MLB	30	54→58	40	58→60	54	.254/.322/.346	.093	.301	6	29	17%	9%	91	+1.1	.234/.315/.314	.080	.283	6	30	18%	10%	80	+0.4	.225/.312/.292	.066	.274	5	33	18%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Michael Bourn 2013 · MLB	30	58→62	39→45	63→65	52	.271/.338/.367	.096	.338	5	41	20%	9%	102	+1.9	.258/.318/.356	.098	.336	6	24	23%	8%	91	+1.1	.246/.307/.330	.083	.325	3	19	23%	8%	77	+0.1
●Corey Wimberly 2013 · AAA	29	54→64	37→40	58→65	48	.252/.308/.326	.074	.286	4	34	13%	6%	79	+0.3	.248/.296/.328	.080	.287	4	22	14%	4%	75	-0.0	.292/.352/.379	.087	.332	3	33	12%	5%	108	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)