Jonathan Villar

Pos2B
B/TS/R
Born1991-05-02
Age (2027)36
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTLLAST SEASON 2024
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202231AAASEA155.283/.329/.49761082—.242/.271/.389
202231MLBLAA220.208/.263/.3023758-1.5
202332INTLLeones del Ca…76.203/.276/.2460653—
202433INTLAguilas Cibae…177.252/.329/.3293687—
202534No MLB games played
202635No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR -1.5
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022
Avg EV36
Speed36
xwOBA29
Barrel%25

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200817 ROKDSL Phillies — 255214 58631 30564 278 271371341712 70356 2212 321 34 — — — — — —
200918 ROKGCL Phillies — 11194 26710 13241 112 277370372743 96361 2212 331 50 — — — — — —
201019 A+Lancaster JetHawks — 143129 29623 12501 72 225296372668 147338 358 298 30 — — — — — —
201019 ALakewood BlueClaws — 420371 1011842 261038 3813 272333358692 86369 256 303 71 — — — — — —
201120 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 367324 7516210 291004 146 231303386688 154301 278 301 61 — — — — — —
201120 A+Lancaster JetHawks — 207174 45744 25562 206 259358414772 155350 2712 337 70 — — — — — —
201120 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 4236 4000 5151 50 111238111349 190 3612 187 13 — — — — — —
201221 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 377326 857211 35874 398 261340396735 135319 239 322 79 — — — — — —
201221 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 3830 10010 480 62 333412400812 67455 2111 330 110 — — — — — —
201322 MLBHouston Astros — 241210 51921 24710 188 243321319640 76362 2910 286 75 -7 +0 -6 +8 +5 0.0
201322 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks — 386339 941688 32932 317 277343442786 165358 248 337 79 — — — — — —
201322 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 8972 19520 12240 84 264369389758 125388 2713 325 106 — — — — — —
201423 MLBHouston Astros — 289263 551327 19802 174 209268354621 144271 287 274 68 -11 +2 -3 +7 +6 0.1
201423 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks — 225190 49233 31611 246 258365347712 89362 2714 325 68 — — — — — —
201423 INTLDominican Republic — 166144 33503 17402 96 229319326645 97294 2410 293 84 — — — — — —
201524 MLBHouston Astros — 128116 33712 10290 72 284341414755 129360 238 332 108 +1 +1 -4 +6 +3 0.7
201524 AAAFresno Grizzlies — 313280 761355 27773 359 271342407749 136359 259 333 76 — — — — — —
201524 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 130106 28710 21281 122 264391349740 85354 2216 339 116 — — — — — —
201625 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 679589 16838319 791742 6218 285372457828 171372 2612 365 132 +26 +5 -13 +8 +15 4.1
201625 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 2825 6002 270 11 240296480776 240235 257 328 108 — — — — — —
201726 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 436403 9718111 301320 238 241293372666 132330 307 296 87 -7 +1 +2 +2 +9 0.7
201726 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 1513 8110 130 01 6156438461.489 231727 207 602 262 — — — — — —
201827 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 515466 12114114 411385 355 260326384710 124339 278 319 98 -1 +5 +1 +2 +11 1.8
201928 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 714642 17633524 611764 409 274340453794 179341 259 349 117 +15 +4 -6 +3 +15 3.2
202029 MLBToronto Blue Jays — 207185 43502 19540 165 232304292596 59313 269 273 68 -8 +1 -8 +1 +4 -1.0
202029 INTLDominican Republic — 2522 3100 360 00 136240182422 45188 2412 207 27 — — — — — —
202130 MLBNew York Mets — 505454 11318218 461323 147 249322416738 167312 269 329 111 +7 +0 -0 +2 +11 1.9
202231 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 220202 42623 15590 70 208263302565 94275 277 253 58 -11 +1 -11 +1 +5 -1.5
202231 AAATacoma Rainiers — 155145 41926 10340 103 283329497826 214333 226 361 82 — — — — — —
202332 INTLLeones del Caracas — 7669 14300 6201 60 203276246523 43286 268 246 53 — — — — — —
202433 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 177155 39303 18330 67 252329329659 77300 1910 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 39343530 89916119101 344104516 23966 255324397720 142332 279 320 103 +12 +21 -48 +39 +85 11.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200817 ROK MLEDSL Phillies — 255223 40420 21684 278 179262215477 36239 278 218 34 — — — — — —
200918 ROK MLEGCL Phillies — 11199 21510 8351 112 212278283561 71292 327 242 50 — — — — — —
201019 A+ MLELancaster JetHawks — 143131 20412 10711 72 153218244463 92307 507 213 30 — — — — — —
201019 A MLELakewood BlueClaws — 420380 981732 171388 3813 258304334638 76373 334 273 71 — — — — — —
201120 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 367334 701628 191194 146 210261341602 132284 325 258 61 — — — — — —
201120 A+ MLELancaster JetHawks — 207182 39534 17782 206 214289341629 126322 388 271 70 — — — — — —
201221 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 377337 83628 241084 398 246304347651 101317 296 285 79 — — — — — —
201322 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 241211 51921 23710 188 242316318634 76362 2910 280 75 -7 +0 -6 +8 +5 0.0
201322 AAA MLEOklahoma City RedHawks — 386347 851376 241282 317 245298375672 130347 336 285 79 — — — — — —
201423 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 289264 541227 18802 174 205261345605 140271 286 269 68 -11 +2 -3 +7 +6 0.1
201423 AAA MLEOklahoma City RedHawks — 225197 44222 24791 246 223311284595 61346 3511 269 68 — — — — — —
201524 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 128116 33712 10290 72 284341414755 129360 238 329 108 +1 +1 -4 +6 +3 0.7
201524 AAA MLEFresno Grizzlies — 313287 691044 20973 359 240297345642 105348 316 281 76 — — — — — —
201625 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 679593 17141318 751742 6218 288370459829 170372 2611 363 132 +26 +5 -13 +8 +15 4.1
201726 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 436404 9719110 291320 238 240291366657 126330 307 297 87 -7 +1 +2 +2 +9 0.7
201726 A MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 1513 8110 140 01 6156438461.489 231647 277 556 262 — — — — — —
201827 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 515466 11914113 411385 355 255322373696 118339 278 312 98 -1 +5 +1 +2 +11 1.8
201928 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 714643 17434522 611764 409 271338442779 171341 259 342 117 +15 +4 -6 +3 +15 3.2
202029 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 207186 43502 18540 165 231299290589 59313 269 269 68 -8 +1 -8 +1 +4 -1.0
202130 MLB MLENew York Mets — 505456 11619218 441323 147 254324423747 169312 269 333 111 +7 +0 -0 +2 +11 1.9
202231 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 220202 42623 15590 70 208263302565 94275 277 254 58 -11 +1 -11 +1 +5 -1.5
202231 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 155149 36923 6400 103 242271389660 148311 264 289 82 — — — — — —
200817 ROK MLEDSL Phillies — 255223 40420 21684 278 179262215477 36253 278 218 34 — — — — — —
200817 ROK RAWDSL Phillies — 255214 58631 30564 278 271371341712 70356 2212 321 34 — — — — — —
200918 ROK MLEGCL Phillies — 11199 21510 8351 112 212278283561 71318 327 242 50 — — — — — —
200918 ROK RAWGCL Phillies — 11194 26710 13241 112 277370372743 96361 2212 331 50 — — — — — —
201019 A MLE2 teams — 563511 1202154 272099 4515 235285319604 84385 375 258 61 — — — — — —
201019 A RAW2 teams — 563500 1302465 381539 4515 260324362686 102362 277 302 61 — — — — — —
201120 AA MLE3 teams — 616553 11723513 402117 3912 212273342615 130311 346 263 64 — — — — — —
201120 AA RAW3 teams — 616534 12423614 591717 3912 232317376693 144311 2810 305 64 — — — — — —
201221 AA MLE2 teams — 415368 91729 271194 4510 247306351656 103336 297 285 79 — — — — — —
201221 AA RAW2 teams — 415356 957311 39954 4510 267346396742 129331 239 323 79 — — — — — —
201322 AAA MLE3 teams — 716635 15525108 542272 5719 244305353658 109365 328 283 78 — — — — — —
201322 AAA RAW3 teams — 716621 16430129 681882 5719 264339395733 130363 269 318 78 — — — — — —
201423 MLB MLE3 teams — 680609 12919512 552115 5016 212283319601 107301 318 269 68 -26 +4 -3 +7 +15 -0.3
201423 MLB RAW3 teams — 680597 13720513 671815 5016 229312345657 116305 2710 295 68 -26 +4 -3 +7 +15 -0.3
201524 AAA MLE3 teams — 571521 1322277 391644 5413 253310363673 109355 297 295 86 — — — — — —
201524 AAA RAW3 teams — 571502 1372777 581344 5413 273353396749 124358 2310 334 86 — — — — — —
201625 MLB MLE2 teams — 707617 17742319 781812 6319 287369457826 170374 2611 363 132 +27 +5 -13 +8 +15 4.3
201625 MLB RAW2 teams — 707614 17438321 811812 6319 283369458826 174367 2611 363 132 +27 +5 -13 +8 +15 4.3
201726 MLB MLE2 teams — 451417 10520210 301360 239 252302381683 129348 307 305 93 -4 +1 +2 +2 +10 1.0
201726 MLB RAW2 teams — 451416 10519211 311350 239 252304387691 135346 307 306 93 -4 +1 +2 +2 +10 1.0
201827 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 515466 11914113 411385 355 255322373696 118334 278 312 98 -1 +5 +1 +2 +11 1.8
201827 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 515466 12114114 411385 355 260326384710 124339 278 319 98 -1 +5 +1 +2 +11 1.8
201928 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 714643 17434522 611764 409 271338442779 171339 259 342 117 +15 +4 -6 +3 +15 3.2
201928 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 714642 17633524 611764 409 274340453794 179341 259 349 117 +15 +4 -6 +3 +15 3.2
202029 MLB MLE2 teams — 232209 48602 20610 165 230297287584 57311 269 269 68 -9 +1 -8 +1 +5 -1.0
202029 MLB RAW2 teams — 232207 46602 22600 165 222297280577 58299 269 266 68 -9 +1 -8 +1 +5 -1.0
202130 MLB MLENew York Mets — 505456 11619218 441323 147 254324423747 169320 269 333 111 +7 +0 -0 +2 +11 1.9
202130 MLB RAWNew York Mets — 505454 11318218 461323 147 249322416738 167312 269 329 111 +7 +0 -0 +2 +11 1.9
202231 MLB MLE2 teams — 375351 781546 21990 173 222266339605 117290 266 269 68 -14 +2 -11 +1 +8 -1.4
202231 MLB RAW2 teams — 375347 831549 25930 173 239290383674 144300 257 298 68 -14 +2 -11 +1 +8 -1.4
202332 INTL MLELeones del Caracas — 7669 14300 6201 60 203276246523 43286 268 — — — — — — — —
202332 INTL RAWLeones del Caracas — 7669 14300 6201 60 203276246523 43286 268 246 53 — — — — — —
202433 INTL MLEAguilas Cibaenas — 177155 39303 18330 67 252329329659 77300 1910 — — — — — — — —
202433 INTL RAWAguilas Cibaenas — 177155 39303 18330 67 252329329659 77300 1910 297 87 — — — — — —
200817 ROK MLEDSL Phillies — 255228 40420 21684 278 175262211473 35239 278 218 34 — — — — — —
200918 ROK MLEGCL Phillies — 111101 21510 8351 112 208278277555 69292 327 242 50 — — — — — —
201019 A MLE2 teams — 563522 1202154 272099 4515 230285312597 82356 375 258 61 — — — — — —
201120 AA MLE3 teams — 616564 11723513 402117 3912 207273335608 128298 346 263 64 — — — — — —
201221 AA MLE2 teams — 415381 91729 271194 4510 239306339644 100317 297 285 79 — — — — — —
201322 AAA MLE3 teams — 716654 15525108 542272 5719 237305343648 106353 328 283 78 — — — — — —
201423 MLB MLE3 teams — 680615 12919512 552115 5016 210283315598 106304 318 269 68 — — — — — —
201524 AAA MLE3 teams — 571523 1322277 391644 5413 252310361672 109352 297 295 86 — — — — — —
201625 MLB MLE2 teams — 707621 17742319 781812 6319 285369454823 169372 2611 363 132 — — — — — —
201726 MLB MLE2 teams — 451418 10520210 301360 239 251302380682 129340 307 305 93 — — — — — —
201827 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 515464 11914113 411385 355 256322375697 119339 278 312 98 — — — — — —
201928 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 714643 17434522 611764 409 271338442779 171341 259 342 117 — — — — — —
202029 MLB MLE2 teams — 232210 48602 20610 165 229297286583 57313 269 269 68 — — — — — —
202130 MLB MLENew York Mets — 505453 11619218 441323 147 256324426750 170312 269 333 111 — — — — — —
202231 MLB MLE2 teams — 375351 781546 21990 173 222266339605 117290 266 269 68 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 39343530 89916119101 344104516 23966 255324397720 142332 279 320 79 +12 +21 -48 +39 +85 11.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 14927317 571733 3911 256325400725 144333 279 320 79 +2 +4 -8 +6 +14 1.8
Career— MLE — 76796902 167528254146 590222051 548159 243307363670 120334 298 285 79 +12 +21 -48 +39 +85 11.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 14224512 501884 4613 243307363670 120335 298 285 79 +2 +4 -8 +6 +14 1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AAATacoma Rainiers · 155 PAwOBA .351 → .289 (−62)K% 21.9% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.94%÷1.020×1.200——25.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.45%÷1.048×0.690—×0.9624.09%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9620.00%
Singles /BIP21.62%÷1.013×0.930×1.050×0.96220.05%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷0.839×0.830×1.050×0.9628.10%
Triples /BIP1.80%÷0.902×0.970×1.050×0.9621.96%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷1.144×0.700—×0.9623.18%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 68, 3B 80, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .351 → .289; ISO .214 → .162; BABIP .333 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 15 PAwOBA .627 → .556 (−72)K% 20.0% → 27.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.008×1.360——26.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.082×0.690—×0.9604.08%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9600.00%
Singles /BIP60.00%÷0.974×0.920—×0.96054.42%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.940×0.830—×0.9608.48%
Triples /BIP10.00%÷1.081×0.910—×0.9608.08%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.164×0.800—×0.9600.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 95, 2B 88, 3B 116, K 102, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .627 → .556; ISO .231 → .196; BABIP .727 → .647. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 313 PAwOBA .324 → .281 (−43)K% 24.6% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.60%÷1.020×1.290——31.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.63%÷0.987×0.710—×1.0486.50%
HBP% /PA0.96%—×0.980—×1.0480.98%
Singles /BIP26.11%÷0.972×0.900×1.050×1.04826.60%
Doubles /BIP6.40%÷1.051×0.810×1.050×1.0485.43%
Triples /BIP2.46%÷1.021×0.810×1.050×1.0482.15%
Home runs /BIP2.46%÷1.060×0.780—×1.0481.90%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 94, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .324 → .281; ISO .136 → .106; BABIP .359 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 225 PAwOBA .319 → .269 (−50)K% 27.1% → 35.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.11%÷0.994×1.290——35.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.78%÷0.977×0.710—×1.05010.52%
HBP% /PA0.44%—×0.980—×1.0500.46%
Singles /BIP31.78%÷1.018×0.900×1.050×1.05030.99%
Doubles /BIP1.55%÷0.935×0.810×1.050×1.0501.48%
Triples /BIP2.33%÷1.150×0.810×1.050×1.0501.81%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷1.042×0.780—×1.0501.83%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .319 → .269; ISO .089 → .067; BABIP .362 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 386 PAwOBA .330 → .285 (−45)K% 24.1% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.09%÷0.938×1.290——33.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.29%÷1.003×0.710—×1.0506.16%
HBP% /PA0.52%—×0.980—×1.0500.53%
Singles /BIP25.20%÷0.984×0.900×1.050×1.05025.42%
Doubles /BIP6.50%÷1.008×0.810×1.050×1.0505.76%
Triples /BIP3.25%÷1.000×0.810×1.050×1.0502.90%
Home runs /BIP3.25%÷1.002×0.780—×1.0502.66%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 88, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .330 → .285; ISO .165 → .134; BABIP .358 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 377 PAwOBA .316 → .285 (−31)K% 23.1% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.08%÷0.982×1.220——28.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.02%÷1.035×0.700—×1.0506.41%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.870—×1.0500.97%
Singles /BIP27.20%÷0.998×0.920×1.050×1.05027.63%
Doubles /BIP2.93%÷1.044×0.840×1.050×1.0502.60%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷0.940×0.940×1.050×1.0500.92%
Home runs /BIP4.60%÷1.110×0.800—×1.0503.48%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 88, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .316 → .285; ISO .135 → .110; BABIP .319 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 367 PAwOBA .294 → .258 (−36)K% 27.2% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.25%÷1.028×1.220——32.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.90%÷1.099×0.700—×1.0505.28%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.870—×1.0501.00%
Singles /BIP20.98%÷1.088×0.920×1.050×1.05019.55%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.934×0.840×1.050×1.0507.08%
Triples /BIP0.89%÷0.922×0.940×1.050×1.0501.00%
Home runs /BIP4.46%÷1.059×0.800—×1.0503.54%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 118, 2B 87, 3B 84, K 106, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .294 → .258; ISO .154 → .137; BABIP .301 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 207 PAwOBA .334 → .271 (−63)K% 27.1% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.05%÷0.960×1.340——37.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.08%÷1.063×0.710—×1.0428.41%
HBP% /PA0.97%—×0.790—×1.0420.80%
Singles /BIP25.42%÷1.006×0.910×1.035×1.04224.80%
Doubles /BIP5.93%÷1.132×0.820×1.035×1.0424.63%
Triples /BIP3.39%÷1.100×0.760×1.035×1.0422.52%
Home runs /BIP3.39%÷0.957×0.920—×1.0423.40%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 101, 2B 126, 3B 120, K 92, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .334 → .271; ISO .155 → .125; BABIP .350 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .