Michael Bourn

PosCF

B/TL/R

Born1982-12-27

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	32	MLBATL	482	.238/.312/.282	0	17	68	-0.3
2016	33	AA/A+2 orgs	64	.263/.333/.351	0	2	40	—	.220/.269/.306
2016	33	MLBBAL	413	.264/.315/.371	5	15	87	0.5
2017	34	AAALAA	157	.248/.335/.350	2	7	47	—	.203/.265/.266
2018	35	No MLB games played
2019	36	No MLB games played
2020	37	No MLB games played
2021	38	No MLB games played
2022	39	No MLB games played
2023	40	No MLB games played
2024	41	No MLB games played
2025	42	No MLB games played
2026	43	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2016

Speed66

xwOBA20

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	AA	Reading Phillies	—	614	544	146	18	8	6	63	123	3	38	12	268	348	364	712	96	337	20	10	322	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Red Barons	—	174	152	43	5	7	1	20	33	1	15	1	283	370	428	798	145	353	19	11	354	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA	Reading Phillies	—	361	318	87	5	6	4	36	67	2	30	4	274	351	365	716	91	335	19	10	322	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	133	119	33	3	3	1	13	21	0	18	1	277	348	378	727	101	330	16	10	326	100	-0	+3	+4	-1	+3	0.9
2008	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	514	467	107	10	4	5	37	111	2	41	10	229	289	300	588	71	290	22	7	266	66	-21	+4	+4	+2	+11	0.1
2009	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	678	606	173	27	12	3	63	140	2	61	12	285	355	384	739	99	366	21	9	331	109	+8	+7	+12	+2	+15	4.5
2010	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	605	535	142	25	6	2	59	109	3	52	12	265	342	346	688	80	329	18	10	311	90	-7	+6	+22	+2	+13	3.6
2011	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	722	656	193	34	10	2	53	140	4	61	14	294	351	386	736	91	369	19	7	328	105	+4	+7	-4	+3	+16	2.5
2012	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	703	624	171	26	10	9	70	155	3	42	13	274	350	391	741	117	349	22	10	332	110	+8	+3	+18	+3	+15	4.8
2013	30	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	575	525	138	21	6	6	40	132	2	23	12	263	317	360	677	97	338	23	7	302	92	-6	-0	+1	+2	+12	1.0
2014	31	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	487	444	114	17	10	3	35	114	3	10	6	257	315	360	676	104	337	23	7	302	93	-4	-0	-6	+2	+11	0.2
2014	31	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	20	20	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	150	150	200	350	50	176	15	0	155	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	25	23	2	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	87	160	87	247		154	40	8	128	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	482	425	101	15	2	0	46	107	0	17	7	238	312	282	594	45	315	22	10	271	68	-18	+1	+3	+2	+10	-0.3
2016	33	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	413	375	99	13	6	5	28	92	0	15	5	264	315	371	686	107	336	22	7	301	87	-6	+1	-0	+2	+9	0.5
2016	33	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	23	22	6	1	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	273	273	318	591	45	333	22	0	253	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	41	35	9	2	1	0	5	8	1	1	0	257	366	371	737	114	333	20	12	337	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	157	137	34	2	3	2	18	24	0	7	5	248	335	350	686	102	288	15	11	309	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5312	4776	1271	191	69	36	444	1121	19	340	92	266	331	358	689	91	339	21	8	308	95	-33	+31	+55	+17	+115	19.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	AA MLE	Reading Phillies	—	614	565	149	17	8	5	42	150	3	38	12	264	318	349	667	85	346	24	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Red Barons	—	174	158	41	4	7	1	14	40	1	15	1	259	324	392	716	133	340	23	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	Reading Phillies	—	361	330	88	5	6	3	24	82	2	30	4	267	320	345	666	79	337	23	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	133	121	33	3	3	1	11	21	0	18	1	273	333	372	705	99	330	16	8	316	100	-0	+3	+4	-1	+3	0.9
2008	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	514	467	107	10	4	5	37	111	2	41	10	229	289	300	588	71	290	22	7	266	66	-21	+4	+4	+2	+11	0.1
2009	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	678	607	173	27	12	3	62	140	2	61	12	285	353	384	737	99	366	21	9	330	109	+8	+7	+12	+2	+15	4.5
2010	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	605	540	140	24	6	2	54	109	3	52	12	259	330	337	667	78	329	18	9	301	90	-7	+6	+22	+2	+13	3.6
2011	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	722	659	191	32	10	2	50	140	4	61	14	290	344	378	721	88	369	19	7	323	105	+4	+7	-4	+3	+16	2.5
2012	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	703	625	171	25	10	10	69	155	3	42	13	274	349	394	742	120	349	22	10	331	110	+8	+3	+18	+3	+15	4.8
2013	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	575	525	139	21	7	6	40	132	2	23	12	265	319	366	685	101	338	23	7	304	92	-6	-0	+1	+2	+12	1.0
2014	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	487	445	116	17	12	3	34	114	3	10	6	261	317	373	690	112	337	23	7	305	93	-4	-0	-6	+2	+11	0.2
2014	31	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	20	20	3	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	150	150	200	350	50	145	20	0	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	25	24	1	0	0	0	1	13	0	1	0	42	80	42	122		132	52	4	87	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	482	425	100	14	2	0	46	107	0	17	7	235	310	278	588	42	315	22	10	269	68	-18	+1	+3	+2	+10	-0.3
2016	33	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	413	375	98	13	6	5	28	92	0	15	5	261	313	368	681	107	336	22	7	297	87	-6	+1	-0	+2	+9	0.5
2016	33	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	23	22	5	1	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	227	227	273	500	45	267	26	0	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	41	37	8	2	1	0	3	12	1	1	0	216	293	324	617	108	272	29	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	157	143	29	2	2	1	12	31	0	7	5	203	265	266	530	63	242	20	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	Reading Phillies	—	614	565	149	17	8	5	42	150	3	38	12	264	318	349	667	85	351	24	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA RAW	Reading Phillies	—	614	544	146	18	8	6	63	123	3	38	12	268	348	364	712	96	337	20	10	322	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	535	487	129	9	13	4	39	121	3	45	5	265	323	361	685	97	343	23	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	535	470	130	10	13	5	56	100	3	45	5	277	357	385	742	109	341	19	10	332	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	133	121	33	3	3	1	11	21	0	18	1	273	333	372	705	99	323	16	8	316	100	-0	+3	+4	-1	+3	0.9
2007	24	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	—	133	119	33	3	3	1	13	21	0	18	1	277	348	378	727	101	330	16	10	326	100	-0	+3	+4	-1	+3	0.9
2008	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	514	467	107	10	4	5	37	111	2	41	10	229	289	300	588	71	290	22	7	266	66	-21	+4	+4	+2	+11	0.1
2008	25	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	514	467	107	10	4	5	37	111	2	41	10	229	289	300	588	71	290	22	7	266	66	-21	+4	+4	+2	+11	0.1
2009	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	678	607	173	27	12	3	62	140	2	61	12	285	353	384	737	99	365	21	9	330	109	+8	+7	+12	+2	+15	4.5
2009	26	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	678	606	173	27	12	3	63	140	2	61	12	285	355	384	739	99	366	21	9	331	109	+8	+7	+12	+2	+15	4.5
2010	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	605	540	140	24	6	2	54	109	3	52	12	259	330	337	667	78	320	18	9	301	90	-7	+6	+22	+2	+13	3.6
2010	27	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	605	535	142	25	6	2	59	109	3	52	12	265	342	346	688	80	329	18	10	311	90	-7	+6	+22	+2	+13	3.6
2011	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	722	659	191	32	10	2	50	140	4	61	14	290	344	378	721	88	363	19	7	323	105	+4	+7	-4	+3	+16	2.5
2011	28	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	722	656	193	34	10	2	53	140	4	61	14	294	351	386	736	91	369	19	7	328	105	+4	+7	-4	+3	+16	2.5
2012	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	703	625	171	25	10	10	69	155	3	42	13	274	349	394	742	120	347	22	10	331	110	+8	+3	+18	+3	+15	4.8
2012	29	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	703	624	171	26	10	9	70	155	3	42	13	274	350	391	741	117	349	22	10	332	110	+8	+3	+18	+3	+15	4.8
2013	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	575	525	139	21	7	6	40	132	2	23	12	265	319	366	685	101	341	23	7	304	92	-6	-0	+1	+2	+12	1.0
2013	30	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	575	525	138	21	6	6	40	132	2	23	12	263	317	360	677	97	338	23	7	302	92	-6	-0	+1	+2	+12	1.0
2014	31	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	532	489	119	17	12	3	35	130	3	11	6	243	298	346	644	102	324	24	7	288	81	-12	-0	-6	+2	+12	-0.5
2014	31	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	532	487	119	18	10	3	37	127	3	11	6	244	302	341	643	97	323	24	7	288	81	-12	-0	-6	+2	+12	-0.5
2015	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	482	425	100	14	2	0	46	107	0	17	7	235	310	278	588	42	312	22	10	269	68	-18	+1	+3	+2	+10	-0.3
2015	32	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	482	425	101	15	2	0	46	107	0	17	7	238	312	282	594	45	315	22	10	271	68	-18	+1	+3	+2	+10	-0.3
2016	33	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	477	434	111	16	7	5	31	110	1	17	5	256	307	359	666	104	329	23	6	288	81	-11	+1	-0	+2	+10	0.3
2016	33	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	477	432	114	16	7	5	33	105	1	17	5	264	318	368	686	104	335	22	7	302	81	-11	+1	-0	+2	+10	0.3
2017	34	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	157	143	29	2	2	1	12	31	0	7	5	203	265	266	530	63	252	20	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	157	137	34	2	3	2	18	24	0	7	5	248	335	350	686	102	288	15	11	309	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	Reading Phillies	—	614	564	149	17	8	5	42	150	3	38	12	264	318	349	667	85	346	24	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	535	488	129	9	13	4	39	121	3	45	5	264	323	361	684	96	338	23	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	133	121	33	3	3	1	11	21	0	18	1	273	333	372	705	99	330	16	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	514	470	107	10	4	5	37	111	2	41	10	228	289	298	586	70	290	22	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	678	609	173	27	12	3	62	140	2	61	12	284	353	383	736	99	366	21	9	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	605	543	140	24	6	2	54	109	3	52	12	258	330	335	665	77	329	18	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	722	662	191	32	10	2	50	140	4	61	14	289	344	376	720	88	369	19	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	703	625	171	25	10	10	69	155	3	42	13	274	349	394	742	120	349	22	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	575	528	139	21	7	6	40	132	2	23	12	263	319	364	683	100	338	23	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	532	489	119	17	12	3	35	130	3	11	6	243	298	346	644	102	321	24	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	482	433	100	14	2	0	46	107	0	17	7	231	310	273	582	42	315	22	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	477	442	111	16	7	5	31	110	1	17	5	251	307	353	660	102	327	23	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	157	144	29	2	2	1	12	31	0	7	5	201	265	264	528	62	242	20	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5312	4776	1271	191	69	36	444	1121	19	340	92	266	331	358	689	91	339	21	8	308	90	-33	+31	+55	+17	+115	19.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	154	23	8	4	54	137	2	42	11	264	328	351	679	87	336	21	8	308	90	-4	+4	+7	+2	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6727	6087	1591	217	96	47	528	1457	26	433	114	261	323	352	675	90	335	22	8	301	90	-33	+31	+55	+17	+115	19.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	154	21	9	5	51	141	3	42	11	262	324	354	678	92	335	22	8	301	90	-4	+4	+7	+2	+14	2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAASalt Lake Bees · 157 PAwOBA .302 → .238 (−64)K% 15.3% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.29%	÷1.010	×1.290	—	—	19.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.46%	÷0.993	×0.710	—	×0.940	7.71%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.89%	÷0.986	×0.900	×1.007	×0.940	20.64%
Doubles /BIP	1.77%	÷1.009	×0.810	×1.007	×0.940	1.35%
Triples /BIP	2.65%	÷1.093	×0.810	×1.007	×0.940	1.86%
Home runs /BIP	1.77%	÷0.989	×0.780	—	×0.940	1.31%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .302 → .238; ISO .102 → .075; BABIP .288 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 41 PAwOBA .330 → .241 (−88)K% 19.5% → 29.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.51%	÷0.955	×1.420	—	—	29.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.20%	÷1.038	×0.750	—	×0.940	8.29%
HBP% /PA	2.44%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	2.13%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.042	×0.920	—	×0.940	18.44%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷1.064	×0.960	—	×0.940	6.28%
Triples /BIP	3.70%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.940	2.45%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.912	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .330 → .241; ISO .114 → .079; BABIP .333 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAMobile BayBears · 23 PAwOBA .257 → .202 (−55)K% 21.7% → 27.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.74%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	27.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.975	×0.680	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	29.41%	÷1.065	×0.920	—	×0.940	23.88%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.146	×0.910	—	×0.940	4.39%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.160	×0.800	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 113, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .257 → .202; ISO .045 → .033; BABIP .333 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAkron RubberDucks · 25 PAwOBA .126 → .087 (−38)K% 40.0% → 50.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	40.00%	÷0.965	×1.220	—	—	50.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.00%	÷1.008	×0.700	—	×0.940	5.22%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷1.064	×0.970	—	×0.940	13.18%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.992	×0.860	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.950	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.881	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 113, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .126 → .087; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .154 → .132. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 20 PAwOBA .150 → .118 (−32)K% 15.0% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.00%	÷1.016	×1.200	—	—	17.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.015	×0.690	—	×0.952	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.76%	÷1.034	×0.930	—	×0.952	10.08%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.047	×0.830	—	×0.952	4.44%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.007	×0.970	—	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.028	×0.840	—	×0.952	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .150 → .118; ISO .050 → .037; BABIP .176 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAReading Phillies · 361 PAwOBA .313 → .292 (−21)K% 18.6% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.56%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	22.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.42%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.67%
HBP% /PA	0.55%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.48%
Singles /BIP	28.69%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.037	×1.012	29.20%
Doubles /BIP	1.99%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.037	×1.012	1.80%
Triples /BIP	2.39%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.037	×1.012	2.38%
Home runs /BIP	1.59%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.012	1.26%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .313 → .292; ISO .091 → .082; BABIP .335 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre Red Barons · 174 PAwOBA .348 → .316 (−32)K% 19.0% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.97%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	22.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.49%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.048	8.31%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.57%
Singles /BIP	25.21%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.996	×1.048	24.48%
Doubles /BIP	4.20%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.996	×1.048	3.64%
Triples /BIP	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.996	×1.048	5.96%
Home runs /BIP	0.84%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.048	0.74%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .348 → .316; ISO .145 → .139; BABIP .353 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAReading Phillies · 614 PAwOBA .311 → .293 (−18)K% 20.0% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.03%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	24.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.45%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	6.79%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.43%
Singles /BIP	27.08%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×1.027	28.32%
Doubles /BIP	4.28%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.050	×1.027	3.97%
Triples /BIP	1.90%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.050	×1.027	1.95%
Home runs /BIP	1.43%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.027	1.14%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .311 → .293; ISO .096 → .087; BABIP .337 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).