Nolan Jones — OGILVIE

Nolan JonesRF Columbus Clippers

Age 28 L/R 6'4" / 195 lbs AAA K +5%HR +5% Svc 3.041 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.6 · 2027

wRC+†vL 3998vR 83

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .318 / .375

PA461

HR12

SB8

K%29

BB%11

xwOBA.301

Barrel%8.5%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

45→45

SPD

50→50

EYE

57↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2027

Barrel%

528.5

xwOBA

440.301

Avg EV

7590.8

Whiff%

460.114

Chase%

630.292

Speed

5227.6

Bat Spd

6372.7

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.041 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.4M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$0.4M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	AZL Indians	134	118	18	3	1	0	14	71	1	3	1	.153	.248	.195	.443	.042	.375	53	10	.216	24	-12	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.9
2018	20	A	2 teams	519	455	109	17	0	14	61	172	0	2	1	.240	.329	.369	.699	.130	.349	33	12	.310	95	-3	+0	+0	-6	+15	0.6
2019	21	A+	3 teams	603	522	113	19	3	16	72	222	6	8	3	.216	.318	.356	.675	.140	.338	37	12	.303	90	-7	+0	+0	-6	+17	0.4
2021	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	407	360	74	22	1	10	40	146	5	10	2	.206	.294	.356	.649	.150	.311	36	10	.289	79	-9	+1	+0	-4	+12	-0.1
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	342	308	78	14	1	10	31	106	1	4	1	.253	.324	.403	.726	.149	.352	31	9	.313	98	-1	+0	+0	-4	+10	0.6
2023	25	MLB	2 teams	611	525	148	31	5	27	77	185	7	25	4	.282	.381	.514	.895	.232	.384	30	13	.386	153	+37	+3	+0	-7	+17	5.2
2024	26	MLB	3 teams	402	348	74	18	1	7	46	132	4	5	4	.213	.312	.330	.642	.118	.316	33	11	.283	75	-11	-1	-5	-4	+11	-1.0
2025	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	403	355	75	14	2	5	39	113	5	8	3	.211	.298	.304	.602	.093	.292	28	10	.271	66	-16	+0	-4	-4	+11	-1.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Columbus Clippers	84	74	17	1	0	3	8	30	1	0	1	.230	.313	.365	.678	.135	.333	36	10	.317	101	+0	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	28	MLB	CLE	377	330	77	13	2	11	40	114	4	8	3	.233	.324	.385	.708	.152	.313	30	11	.313	98	-1	+0	-4	-4	+11	0.2
TOT	28	MLB	CLE	461	404	94	14	2	14	48	144	5	8	4	.233	.322	.381	.703	.149	.321	31	10	.314	98	-1	+0	-4	-5	+13	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	CLE	449	390	92	16	2	13	52	109	4	9	3	.236	.332	.387	.719	.151	.290	24	12	.324	106	+3	+1	-6	-5	+13	0.6
2028	30	MLB 33%	CLE	438	380	89	15	2	13	51	108	4	8	2	.234	.331	.387	.718	.153	.289	25	12	.321	103	+2	+1	-6	-5	+12	0.4
2029	31	MLB 43%	CLE	423	367	84	14	2	12	49	106	4	6	2	.229	.326	.376	.702	.147	.287	25	12	.317	101	+0	+0	-7	-5	+12	0.1
2030	32	MLB 52%	CLE	404	350	79	13	2	11	47	103	4	4	1	.226	.324	.369	.693	.143	.286	25	12	.312	97	-1	+0	-8	-4	+11	-0.1
2031	33	MLB 64%	CLE	374	325	72	12	1	10	43	98	3	2	0	.222	.318	.357	.675	.135	.284	26	11	.307	93	-3	+0	-8	-4	+11	-0.4
2032	34	MLB 73%	CLE	329	285	62	10	1	8	38	89	3	1	0	.218	.316	.344	.660	.126	.282	27	12	.300	88	-5	+0	-8	-4	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6215	5418	1244	231	26	167	700	1874	55	103	30	.230	.324	.374	.698	.145	.316	30	11	.311	96	-27	+9	-55	-67	+176	3.6
/ 162G	—			650	567	130	24	3	17	73	196	6	11	3	.229	.324	.372	.696	.143	.317	30	11	.311	96	-3	+1	-6	-7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	AZL Indians	134	109	28	5	2	0	23	49	1	3	1	.257	.391	.339	.730	.083	.459	37	17	.339	118	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2018	20	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	130	104	31	9	0	3	26	34	0	0	0	.298	.438	.471	.910	.173	.418	26	20	.409	171	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2018	20	A	Lake County Captains	389	323	90	12	0	16	63	97	0	2	1	.279	.396	.464	.861	.186	.347	25	16	.382	151	+22	+0	—	—	+11	3.4
2019	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	211	178	45	10	2	8	31	63	2	2	0	.253	.370	.466	.836	.213	.346	30	15	.372	143	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.7
2019	21	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	324	252	72	12	1	7	65	85	4	5	3	.286	.439	.425	.864	.139	.399	26	20	.392	158	+21	-0	—	—	+9	3.1
2019	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	68	60	12	2	0	4	8	31	0	1	0	.200	.294	.433	.727	.233	.320	46	12	.322	105	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	407	341	81	25	1	13	59	122	5	10	2	.238	.358	.431	.789	.194	.327	30	14	.353	128	+13	+1	—	—	+12	2.6
2022	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	94	86	21	5	0	2	8	31	0	0	0	.244	.309	.372	.681	.128	.358	33	9	.307	93	-1	+0	+0	-4	+3	-0.1
2022	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	248	214	59	11	1	9	31	64	1	4	1	.276	.370	.463	.833	.187	.352	26	12	.368	140	+11	+0	—	—	+7	1.9
2023	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	424	367	109	22	4	20	53	126	3	20	4	.297	.390	.542	.932	.245	.401	30	12	.407	170	+33	+2	+0	-7	+12	4.2
2023	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	187	149	53	13	2	12	33	43	4	5	0	.356	.484	.711	1.195	.356	.432	23	18	.505	244	+31	+1	—	—	+5	3.8
2024	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	297	256	58	13	1	3	36	91	1	5	4	.227	.324	.320	.645	.094	.333	31	12	.295	84	-5	-1	-5	-4	+8	-0.8
2024	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	84	71	19	7	1	3	10	27	3	0	0	.268	.381	.521	.902	.254	.390	32	12	.396	161	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	26	A	Fresno Grizzlies	21	16	5	0	0	2	5	4	0	0	0	.312	.476	.688	1.164	.375	.300	19	24	.494	236	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	403	355	75	14	2	5	39	113	5	8	3	.211	.298	.304	.602	.093	.292	28	10	.276	70	-14	+0	-4	-4	+11	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1218	1064	263	54	7	30	136	361	9	33	11	.247	.337	.396	.733	.148	.343	30	11	.329	110	+13	+2	-9	-19	+35	2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan Jones (OGILVIE)	28	40	45	50	55	.227/.318/.375	.147	.308	12	12	29%	11%	98	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derek Fisher 2022 · MLB	28	44→51	51→55	49→55	48	.224/.302/.384	.160	.303	19	12	31%	10%	93	+1.3	.205/.268/.335	.130	.306	14	8	35%	7%	66	-0.6	.124/.199/.239	.115	.190	14	0	42%	8%	10	-0.8
✕Cooper Hummel 2023 · MLB	28	46→49	49→50	49→55	52	.228/.319/.385	.156	.300	15	10	28%	11%	100	+1.7	.221/.323/.366	.145	.303	12	18	28%	12%	98	+1.6	.217/.330/.365	.148	.295	13	19	28%	12%	98	+1.1
✕Ryan Langerhans 2009 · MLB	29	49→41	45→50	51→50	55	.235/.329/.368	.133	.316	11	11	27%	12%	100	+1.7	.230/.319/.380	.150	.309	16	13	28%	11%	99	+1.7	.216/.312/.374	.158	.290	19	13	30%	12%	91	+0.7
✕Jake Fraley 2023 · MLB	28	47→46	53→55	51→55	56	.241/.340/.412	.171	.300	22	16	26%	12%	117	+2.9	.252/.329/.404	.152	.299	17	23	21%	10%	109	+2.4	.253/.327/.391	.138	.299	15	27	19%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Aaron Altherr 2019 · MLB	28	44→51	49→55	48→50	49	.222/.307/.374	.152	.295	16	10	29%	10%	93	+1.3	.212/.290/.364	.152	.279	17	10	29%	9%	83	+0.6	.159/.236/.315	.156	.194	18	10	28%	7%	46	-0.5
✕Josh VanMeter 2023 · MLB	28	42→49	49→55	49→50	53	.212/.299/.365	.153	.268	16	9	26%	11%	87	+0.8	.202/.305/.333	.131	.269	14	9	28%	12%	82	+0.5	.166/.294/.274	.108	.225	12	8	29%	14%	62	-0.3
✕Franchy Cordero 2023 · MLB	28	47→53	50→55	50	44	.230/.299/.391	.161	.328	17	12	33%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.299/.395	.163	.311	20	10	30%	8%	95	+1.4	.220/.289/.372	.152	.283	20	7	29%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Skye Bolt 2022 · MLB	28	45→39	49→50	51→50	44	.226/.291/.375	.149	.307	16	13	31%	8%	86	+0.8	.233/.297/.366	.133	.311	15	12	28%	7%	86	+0.8	.223/.292/.331	.108	.306	12	9	29%	8%	73	-0.0
✕Josh Rojas 2022 · MLB	28	51→55	47→50	50→55	52	.249/.323/.394	.145	.309	14	16	23%	10%	104	+2.0	.250/.323/.369	.119	.314	11	18	22%	10%	97	+1.5	.242/.317/.350	.108	.301	10	20	22%	9%	86	+0.6
✕Bradley Zimmer 2021 · MLB	28	48→51	47→50	53→60	44	.229/.312/.364	.135	.329	15	17	32%	8%	93	+1.3	.214/.309/.332	.118	.332	13	22	36%	8%	85	+0.7	.191/.286/.295	.104	.317	12	27	39%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Valentino Pascucci 2007 · MLB	28	47→45	50→55	51→45	51	.238/.322/.393	.155	.302	18	11	26%	10%	104	+2.0	.227/.311/.415	.188	.291	24	7	30%	10%	105	+2.1	.213/.299/.386	.173	.274	23	5	30%	10%	90	+0.9
●Michael Saunders 2015 · MLB	28	50→52	52→55	51→55	52	.252/.327/.427	.175	.309	18	15	24%	10%	115	+2.7	.239/.316/.405	.166	.305	18	6	26%	10%	105	+2.1	.215/.287/.378	.162	.268	19	2	26%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Jordan Danks 2015 · MLB	28	49→50	47→50	47→50	46	.237/.305/.370	.133	.325	15	11	30%	9%	91	+1.1	.225/.277/.333	.108	.320	12	8	31%	6%	69	-0.4	.215/.259/.297	.082	.311	8	6	32%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Jason Conti 2002 · MLB	27	49→41	47→45	56→50	46	.237/.304/.380	.143	.315	13	13	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.240/.299/.372	.132	.311	11	10	25%	7%	88	+0.9	.220/.270/.333	.113	.288	10	6	27%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Cavan Biggio 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	47→55	51→50	56	.222/.325/.365	.143	.291	14	8	27%	12%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.351	.130	.299	14	8	28%	11%	95	+1.4	.207/.316/.319	.112	.286	13	8	29%	11%	81	+0.2
●Brian Goodwin 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	51→60	50	44	.235/.293/.400	.165	.301	19	13	28%	7%	93	+1.3	.238/.309/.418	.180	.311	21	11	29%	9%	105	+2.1	.230/.307/.402	.172	.298	19	9	28%	10%	95	+0.8
●Will Venable 2011 · MLB	28	48→56	51→55	55→60	46	.240/.307/.402	.161	.308	18	18	27%	8%	99	+1.7	.248/.312/.416	.168	.308	17	28	24%	8%	105	+2.1	.254/.314/.430	.176	.305	18	31	22%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Alex Call 2023 · MLB	28	47→48	51→50	49→50	53	.239/.324/.402	.163	.270	19	14	20%	10%	108	+2.3	.227/.322/.365	.138	.265	15	15	19%	11%	97	+1.5	.223/.324/.347	.125	.262	12	14	19%	12%	92	+0.8
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2016 · MLB	28	43→50	53→55	49→50	43	.221/.285/.400	.179	.292	19	10	31%	8%	90	+1.0	.210/.298/.362	.152	.310	16	11	34%	11%	86	+0.8	.189/.289/.313	.124	.295	12	10	36%	12%	68	-0.3
✕Tyler Neslony 2023 · AAA	29	52→48	51→55	50→55	44	.259/.313/.435	.176	.331	17	16	26%	7%	111	+2.5	.225/.282/.358	.133	.303	14	19	29%	7%	78	+0.2	.198/.258/.304	.106	.270	12	22	30%	7%	51	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)