Nolan Jones
RF Tacoma Rainiers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/ACOL | 105 | .276/.400/.552 | 5 | 0 | 98 | — | .226/.314/.442 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBCOL | 297 | .227/.324/.320 | 3 | 5 | 77 | -1.2 | |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBCLE | 403 | .211/.298/.304 | 5 | 8 | 72 | -1.2 | |
| 2026 | 28 | AAASEA | 521 | .253/.361/.443 | 19 | 15 | 80 | — | .218/.293/.359 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 29 | MLBSEA | 24 | .224/.303/.356 | 1 | 1 | 89 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 30 | MLBSEA | 101 | .220/.299/.347 | 2 | 2 | 85 | -0.1 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 134 | 109 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 391 | 339 | 730 | 83 | 459 | 37 | 17 | 339 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 130 | 104 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 438 | 471 | 910 | 173 | 418 | 26 | 20 | 409 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 389 | 323 | 90 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 63 | 97 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 279 | 396 | 464 | 861 | 186 | 347 | 25 | 16 | 382 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 211 | 178 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 370 | 466 | 836 | 213 | 346 | 30 | 15 | 372 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 324 | 252 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 65 | 85 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 286 | 439 | 425 | 864 | 139 | 399 | 26 | 20 | 392 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 68 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 433 | 727 | 233 | 320 | 46 | 12 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 407 | 341 | 81 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 59 | 122 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 358 | 431 | 789 | 194 | 327 | 30 | 14 | 353 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 94 | 86 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 309 | 372 | 681 | 128 | 358 | 33 | 9 | 307 | 88 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 248 | 214 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 64 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 276 | 370 | 463 | 833 | 187 | 352 | 26 | 12 | 368 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 424 | 367 | 109 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 53 | 126 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 297 | 390 | 542 | 932 | 245 | 401 | 30 | 12 | 407 | 145 | +22 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +9 | 2.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 187 | 149 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 43 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 356 | 484 | 711 | 1.195 | 356 | 432 | 23 | 18 | 505 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 297 | 256 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 91 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 227 | 324 | 320 | 645 | 94 | 333 | 31 | 12 | 295 | 77 | -8 | -1 | -5 | -4 | +6 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 84 | 71 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 381 | 521 | 902 | 254 | 390 | 32 | 12 | 396 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 476 | 688 | 1.164 | 375 | 300 | 19 | 24 | 494 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 403 | 355 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 113 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 211 | 298 | 304 | 602 | 93 | 292 | 28 | 10 | 276 | 72 | -13 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 521 | 438 | 111 | 22 | 2 | 19 | 71 | 131 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 253 | 361 | 443 | 804 | 189 | 311 | 25 | 14 | 354 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1218 | 1064 | 263 | 54 | 7 | 30 | 136 | 361 | 9 | 33 | 11 | 247 | 337 | 396 | 733 | 148 | 343 | 30 | 11 | 329 | 109 | +12 | +2 | -9 | -19 | +26 | 1.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 134 | 117 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 71 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 162 | 263 | 205 | 468 | 43 | 385 | 53 | 11 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 130 | 114 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 338 | 386 | 724 | 140 | 382 | 35 | 12 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 389 | 341 | 81 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 133 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 326 | 364 | 690 | 126 | 346 | 34 | 12 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 211 | 187 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 77 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 219 | 308 | 401 | 709 | 182 | 329 | 36 | 10 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 324 | 271 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 46 | 115 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 232 | 352 | 351 | 703 | 118 | 359 | 35 | 14 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 407 | 358 | 76 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 146 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 212 | 304 | 358 | 661 | 145 | 322 | 36 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 94 | 87 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 298 | 368 | 666 | 126 | 358 | 33 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 248 | 221 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 74 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 267 | 341 | 416 | 758 | 149 | 359 | 30 | 10 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 424 | 370 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 50 | 126 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 278 | 369 | 497 | 866 | 219 | 401 | 30 | 12 | 382 | 145 | +22 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +9 | 2.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 187 | 158 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 297 | 403 | 551 | 954 | 253 | 397 | 29 | 13 | 404 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 297 | 258 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 91 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 221 | 314 | 314 | 628 | 93 | 333 | 31 | 11 | 282 | 77 | -8 | -1 | -5 | -4 | +6 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 84 | 75 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 298 | 400 | 698 | 187 | 345 | 39 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 21 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 381 | 611 | 992 | 333 | 249 | 24 | 14 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 403 | 356 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 113 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 211 | 296 | 303 | 599 | 93 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -13 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 521 | 463 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 46 | 157 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 218 | 293 | 359 | 652 | 140 | 281 | 30 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 134 | 117 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 71 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 162 | 263 | 205 | 468 | 43 | 404 | 53 | 11 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 134 | 109 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 391 | 339 | 730 | 83 | 459 | 37 | 17 | 339 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 455 | 109 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 180 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 329 | 369 | 699 | 130 | 360 | 35 | 12 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 519 | 427 | 121 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 89 | 131 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 283 | 407 | 466 | 873 | 183 | 364 | 25 | 17 | 389 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 603 | 518 | 117 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 76 | 216 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 332 | 369 | 700 | 143 | 349 | 36 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 603 | 490 | 129 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 104 | 179 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 263 | 398 | 441 | 839 | 178 | 373 | 30 | 17 | 377 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 407 | 358 | 76 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 146 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 212 | 304 | 358 | 661 | 145 | 327 | 36 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 407 | 341 | 81 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 59 | 122 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 358 | 431 | 789 | 194 | 327 | 30 | 14 | 353 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 308 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 105 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 256 | 326 | 396 | 723 | 140 | 359 | 31 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 342 | 300 | 80 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 95 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 267 | 353 | 437 | 790 | 170 | 354 | 28 | 11 | 351 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 611 | 528 | 150 | 33 | 5 | 26 | 74 | 180 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 284 | 379 | 513 | 893 | 229 | 383 | 29 | 12 | 389 | 149 | +36 | +3 | +0 | -7 | +13 | 4.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 611 | 516 | 162 | 35 | 6 | 32 | 86 | 169 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 314 | 419 | 591 | 1.010 | 277 | 410 | 28 | 14 | 437 | 149 | +36 | +3 | +0 | -7 | +13 | 4.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 351 | 76 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 129 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 217 | 309 | 330 | 640 | 114 | 320 | 32 | 11 | 290 | 83 | -8 | -1 | -5 | -4 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 402 | 343 | 82 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 122 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 239 | 344 | 379 | 723 | 140 | 343 | 30 | 13 | 326 | 83 | -8 | -1 | -5 | -4 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 403 | 356 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 113 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 211 | 296 | 303 | 599 | 93 | 290 | 28 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -13 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Guardians | — | 403 | 355 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 113 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 211 | 298 | 304 | 602 | 93 | 292 | 28 | 10 | 276 | 72 | -13 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 521 | 463 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 46 | 157 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 218 | 293 | 359 | 652 | 140 | 290 | 30 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 521 | 438 | 111 | 22 | 2 | 19 | 71 | 131 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 253 | 361 | 443 | 804 | 189 | 311 | 25 | 14 | 354 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 134 | 117 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 71 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 162 | 263 | 205 | 468 | 43 | 385 | 53 | 11 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 453 | 109 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 180 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 329 | 371 | 700 | 130 | 355 | 35 | 12 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 603 | 516 | 117 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 76 | 216 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 227 | 332 | 370 | 702 | 143 | 347 | 36 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 407 | 357 | 76 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 146 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 213 | 304 | 359 | 662 | 146 | 322 | 36 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 307 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 105 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 326 | 397 | 724 | 140 | 359 | 31 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 611 | 525 | 150 | 33 | 5 | 26 | 74 | 180 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 286 | 379 | 516 | 896 | 230 | 400 | 29 | 12 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 352 | 76 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 129 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 216 | 309 | 330 | 639 | 114 | 331 | 32 | 11 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 403 | 357 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 113 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 210 | 296 | 303 | 598 | 92 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 521 | 467 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 46 | 157 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 216 | 293 | 355 | 648 | 139 | 281 | 30 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 352 | 76 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 129 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 216 | 309 | 330 | 639 | 114 | 331 | 32 | 11 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 403 | 357 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 113 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 210 | 296 | 303 | 598 | 92 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 521 | 467 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 46 | 157 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 216 | 293 | 355 | 648 | 139 | 281 | 30 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 10% | 472 | 421 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 135 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 226 | 305 | 362 | 667 | 135 | 302 | 29 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +10 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 10% | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 303 | 356 | 660 | 132 | 299 | 29 | 8 | 297 | 89 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 27% | 371 | 331 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 107 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 301 | 352 | 653 | 130 | 299 | 29 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 27% | 101 | 90 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 299 | 347 | 646 | 127 | 296 | 29 | 9 | 292 | 85 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1319 | 1154 | 282 | 58 | 7 | 32 | 145 | 390 | 10 | 35 | 11 | 244 | 334 | 390 | 724 | 146 | 338 | 30 | 11 | 326 | 95 | +11 | +3 | -9 | -20 | +29 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 569 | 139 | 29 | 3 | 16 | 71 | 192 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 244 | 333 | 390 | 723 | 146 | 337 | 30 | 11 | 326 | 95 | +5 | +1 | -5 | -10 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4551 | 3997 | 925 | 184 | 20 | 114 | 482 | 1472 | 37 | 92 | 25 | 231 | 320 | 373 | 693 | 142 | 332 | 32 | 11 | 308 | 95 | +3 | +3 | -12 | -25 | +40 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 132 | 26 | 3 | 16 | 69 | 210 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 231 | 319 | 371 | 691 | 140 | 332 | 32 | 11 | 308 | 95 | +1 | +1 | -4 | -9 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAATacoma Rainiers · 521 PAwOBA .348 → .286 (−62)K% 25.1% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×0.992 | 20.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.992 | 6.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×0.992 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.30% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .348 → .286; ISO .189 → .145; BABIP .311 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 84 PAwOBA .382 → .299 (−83)K% 32.1% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.14% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 17.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.91% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 13.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 1.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.43% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .382 → .299; ISO .254 → .182; BABIP .390 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFresno Grizzlies · 21 PAwOBA .481 → .369 (−112)K% 19.0% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.011 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.064 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.960 | 14.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.960 | 21.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.081 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.002 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.960 | 12.77% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 103, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 102, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .481 → .369; ISO .375 → .299; BABIP .300 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 187 PAwOBA .494 → .404 (−91)K% 23.0% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.99% | ÷0.947 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 12.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.53% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 24.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.26% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 11.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.32% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 7.71% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .494 → .404; ISO .356 → .264; BABIP .432 → .397. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAColumbus Clippers · 248 PAwOBA .360 → .324 (−36)K% 25.8% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.930 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.33% | ÷0.941 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×1.048 | 27.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.33% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.048 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.044 | ×1.048 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.40% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 88, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 107, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .360 → .324; ISO .187 → .147; BABIP .352 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 407 PAwOBA .345 → .293 (−52)K% 30.0% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.98% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.25% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.18% | ÷0.949 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.42% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 10.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.22% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .345 → .293; ISO .194 → .153; BABIP .327 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 324 PAwOBA .386 → .316 (−71)K% 26.2% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.23% | ÷1.046 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.06% | ÷0.921 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 14.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.14% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 29.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.19% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.999 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.19% | ÷0.850 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 4.56% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 100, K 109, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .386 → .316; ISO .139 → .127; BABIP .399 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAkron RubberDucks · 211 PAwOBA .361 → .312 (−48)K% 29.9% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.86% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.22% | ÷1.019 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 10.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 20.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.925 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 8.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.96% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 6.60% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 102, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .361 → .312; ISO .213 → .196; BABIP .346 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).