Connor Joe — OGILVIE

Connor Joe1B Tacoma Rainiers

Age 33 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION216 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8686vR 85

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .308 / .367

PA144

HR3

K%25

BB%9

BABIP289

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

728.7%

xwOBA

290.283

POWER40

Barrel%

265.2

Avg EV

1686.5

Bat Spd

5671.9

EYE60

Chase%

9022.2%

SPEED50

Sprint

4027.0

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 496 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

210

286

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

297

295

—

ISO

123

129

▶R

BABIP

266

280

▶R

20.5%

23.8%

◀L

BB%

11.0%

9.4%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-1M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	A	West Virginia Power	—	357	308	67	11	1	1	32	45	8	0	4	218	307	269	577	52	248	13	9	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A	West Virginia Power	—	357	290	71	12	1	1	50	34	8	0	4	245	371	303	674	59	270	10	14	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	2 teams	—	505	458	104	24	2	4	38	137	4	5	4	227	292	314	606	87	311	27	8	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	2 teams	—	505	439	118	27	2	7	56	95	4	5	4	269	356	387	743	118	325	19	11	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	343	308	59	12	3	5	26	80	4	2	5	192	263	299	562	107	239	23	8	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	343	294	65	12	4	5	40	58	4	2	5	221	322	340	663	119	256	17	12	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AA	2 teams	—	436	385	93	21	3	12	40	122	8	3	2	242	326	405	731	164	320	28	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AA	2 teams	—	436	364	109	26	3	17	60	88	8	3	2	299	409	527	936	228	352	20	14	409	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA	2 teams	—	462	395	84	20	1	10	53	107	10	1	2	213	321	344	665	132	262	23	11	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA	2 teams	—	462	375	109	26	1	15	73	86	10	1	2	291	419	485	905	195	338	19	16	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	—	321	276	66	13	0	12	36	70	4	1	0	239	335	417	752	178	271	22	11	328	109	+3	+0	-1	-3	+9	0.8
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	—	321	271	81	16	0	17	41	63	4	1	0	299	399	546	945	247	327	20	13	408	170	+25	+0	-1	-3	+9	3.1
2022	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	467	404	82	16	3	5	55	97	7	6	2	203	309	295	604	92	254	21	12	283	75	-13	+0	-4	-5	+13	-0.9
2022	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	467	404	96	20	4	7	55	97	7	6	2	238	339	359	698	121	296	21	12	319	102	+1	+0	-4	-5	+13	0.6
2023	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	472	413	103	31	4	11	50	110	8	3	5	249	342	424	766	174	314	23	11	339	118	+9	-1	-1	-5	+13	1.6
2023	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	472	413	102	31	4	11	50	110	8	3	5	247	340	421	761	174	311	23	11	340	119	+10	-1	-1	-5	+13	1.6
2024	31	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	416	364	84	22	1	9	44	91	6	2	2	231	324	371	695	140	282	22	11	309	95	-2	-0	-3	-7	+12	-0.1
2024	31	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	416	364	83	22	1	9	44	91	6	2	2	228	321	368	689	140	278	22	11	312	97	-1	-0	-3	-7	+12	-0.0
2025	32	AAA	2 teams	—	285	252	48	13	2	0	27	66	4	7	5	190	279	258	537	67	255	23	9	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA	2 teams	—	285	243	52	14	2	0	36	56	4	7	5	214	325	288	613	74	275	20	13	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	AAA	SEA	—	216	195	38	12	0	4	17	64	1	4	2	195	263	318	581	123	262	30	8	258	56	-11	+0	-1	-4	+6	-0.9
YTD	33	AAA	SEA	—	216	191	45	15	0	5	21	53	1	4	2	236	315	393	707	157	294	25	10	313	98	-1	+0	-1	-4	+6	0.1
ROS	33	AAA	SEA	100%	144	128	29	7	1	3	13	36	2	2	1	227	308	367	675	141	292	25	9	299	87	-2	+0	+1	-3	+4	0.0
ROS	33	MLB	SEA	100%	144	128	28	7	1	2	13	36	2	2	1	219	301	336	637	117	289	25	9	288	79	-3	+0	+1	-3	+4	-0.1
FULL	33	AAA	SEA	—	360	323	66	19	1	6	30	100	3	6	3	204	278	325	603	121	271	28	8	270	65	-14	+0	+0	-6	+10	-1.1
TOT	33	AAA	SEA	—	360	323	67	19	1	7	30	100	3	6	3	207	281	337	618	130	273	28	8	274	68	-13	+0	+0	-6	+10	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	SEA	100%	312	277	61	15	2	5	29	80	3	3	1	220	301	343	644	123	286	26	9	289	80	-7	+0	-3	-6	+9	-0.7
2027	34	MLB	SEA	100%	312	277	61	15	2	5	29	80	3	3	1	220	301	343	644	123	283	26	9	279	72	-10	+0	-3	-6	+9	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2118	1850	435	108	12	42	225	480	30	18	13	235	328	375	702	139	293	23	11	315	99	-1	-2	-14	-37	+60	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	134	33	4	13	69	147	9	6	4	236	328	377	705	141	294	23	11	315	99	-0	-0	-4	-11	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	4520	3968	880	205	23	77	443	1041	68	35	33	222	311	343	654	121	279	23	10	291	81	-96	-6	-14	-66	+128	-5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	126	29	3	11	64	150	10	5	5	221	311	340	650	119	277	23	10	291	81	-14	-1	-2	-10	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	A	West Virginia Power	—	357	290	71	12	1	1	50	34	8	0	4	245	371	303	674	59	270	10	14	312	97	-1	-2	—	—	+10	0.7
2016	23	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	443	390	108	26	2	5	45	84	2	2	4	277	354	392	746	115	337	19	10	334	113	+7	-1	—	—	+13	1.8
2016	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	62	49	10	1	0	2	11	11	2	3	0	204	371	347	718	143	222	18	18	338	116	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2017	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	343	294	65	12	4	5	40	58	4	2	5	221	322	340	663	119	256	17	12	300	88	-5	-2	—	—	+10	0.3
2018	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	188	160	47	10	2	6	22	31	3	2	0	294	389	494	883	200	328	16	12	385	153	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2018	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	248	204	62	16	1	11	38	57	5	1	2	304	423	554	977	250	375	23	15	427	185	+24	-1	—	—	+7	3.1
2019	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	16	15	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	67	125	67	192		100	31	6	100	-65	-3	+0	+0	-5	+0	-0.8
2019	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	446	360	108	26	1	15	72	81	10	1	2	300	430	503	933	203	347	18	16	411	173	+37	-1	—	—	+13	5.0
2021	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	211	179	51	9	0	8	26	41	3	0	0	285	385	469	854	184	323	19	12	376	146	+11	+0	-1	-3	+6	1.3
2021	28	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	110	92	30	7	0	9	15	22	1	1	0	326	426	696	1.122	370	333	20	14	469	217	+15	+0	—	—	+3	1.8
2022	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	467	404	96	20	4	7	55	97	7	6	2	238	339	359	698	121	296	21	12	319	102	+1	+0	-4	-5	+13	0.6
2023	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	472	413	102	31	4	11	50	110	8	3	5	247	340	421	761	174	311	23	11	340	119	+10	-1	-1	-5	+13	1.6
2024	31	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	416	364	83	22	1	9	44	91	6	2	2	228	321	368	689	140	278	22	11	312	97	-1	-0	-3	-7	+12	-0.0
2025	32	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	80	70	13	4	0	0	7	20	1	2	2	186	269	243	512	57	250	25	9	236	39	-6	-0	-3	-3	+2	-1.0
2025	32	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	205	173	39	10	2	0	29	36	3	5	3	225	346	306	653	81	285	18	14	307	93	-2	-0	—	—	+6	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1662	1445	346	86	9	35	183	364	25	13	11	239	335	384	719	145	295	22	11	325	107	+12	-2	-11	-29	+47	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Robert Ficklast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,585 PA	8	2,585	63	4	258	327	400	-24	-19	4.0	4.6
	/162	664	16	1	258	327	400	-6.3	-4.8	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Daric Bartonlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,085 PA	8	2,085	30	13	247	356	365	-37	-10	3.0	3.4
	/162	664	10	4	247	356	365	-11.9	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 4
#3Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	9	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
	/162	664	14	3	262	328	388	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,197	44	20	237	327	379	-39	-16	1.7	2.1
	/162	664	13	6	237	327	379	-11.9	-4.9	0.5	pk7: 3
#4Ji Man Choilast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,823 PA	7	1,823	65	6	234	338	423	-33	-31	1.8	1.8
	/162	664	24	2	234	338	423	-11.9	-11.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	8	1,653	64	6	237	329	420	-28	-31	1.0	1.7
#6Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	/162	664	26	2	237	329	420	-11.3	-12.4	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Joe (OGILVIE)	33	40	40	50	60	207/281/337	130	273	7	6	28%	8%	68	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Lagares 2021 · MLB	32	47→57	45	50	47	232/296/355	123	294	12	11	25%	8%	82	+0.5	231/272/361	130	288	11	6	23%	5%	74	-0.1	235/266/373	138	292	11	2	23%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Collin Cowgill 2019 · AAA	33	39→49	46→50	45→55	42	201/260/325	124	265	14	8	29%	7%	60	-1.0	207/276/354	147	287	18	12	33%	7%	75	-0.0	170/255/317	147	236	19	15	36%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Lew Ford 2010 · MLB	33	44→54	46→50	50	49	221/288/352	130	267	13	10	22%	8%	79	+0.3	246/306/410	164	267	17	13	15%	7%	102	+1.8	273/320/457	184	298	21	8	16%	6%	116	+1.0
✕Fernando Rios 2013 · AAA	34	47	41→40	49→50	46	230/279/324	95	270	9	10	19%	6%	67	-0.5	228/275/324	96	269	9	10	18%	5%	65	-0.7	234/274/269	35	267	3	4	13%	4%	48	-0.4
✕Webster Rivas 2022 · MLB	31	44	44→45	47→40	47	219/283/331	112	278	12	4	25%	8%	71	-0.3	223/302/320	97	302	8	6	26%	10%	76	+0.1	215/312/283	68	302	2	2	26%	12%	69	-0.2
✕Don Kelly 2013 · MLB	33	45→55	45	51→55	50	227/286/344	118	253	14	10	17%	7%	76	+0.0	229/310/335	106	259	10	11	15%	10%	83	+0.6	206/286/278	73	239	6	8	16%	10%	56	-0.5
✕Paulo Orlando 2019 · MLB	33	48→58	43→45	48→55	39	234/272/348	114	292	10	8	24%	4%	70	-0.3	204/254/330	126	268	12	9	28%	4%	59	-1.1	173/227/297	124	233	11	8	30%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Ildelfonso Lara 2009 · AAA	34	50→54	44→45	50→45	47	246/304/367	121	302	11	6	22%	7%	89	+0.9	239/297/362	123	306	13	8	25%	7%	85	+0.7	245/305/355	110	316	13	5	25%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Shawn Wooten 2005 · MLB	33	48→45	45→50	38→30	50	237/297/356	119	265	13	5	16%	7%	83	+0.6	224/273/338	114	262	13	3	20%	5%	69	-0.4	218/264/315	98	256	11	0	20%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Matt Szczur 2021 · MLB	32	46→56	48→45	44→55	47	230/290/373	143	280	15	8	24%	8%	85	+0.7	214/260/369	155	283	19	9	31%	6%	72	-0.2	146/180/303	157	174	24	0	34%	4%	17	-0.7
✕Jesus Cota 2015 · AAA	33	41→51	46→50	49→50	44	210/264/335	125	256	15	7	24%	6%	64	-0.8	211/259/326	115	287	13	8	30%	6%	59	-1.1	170/213/245	75	234	11	0	32%	5%	17	-1.0
✕Jayson Nix 2015 · MLB	32	45→49	41→55	48→55	45	216/277/311	95	275	8	13	24%	7%	63	-0.8	197/243/294	97	260	10	9	27%	5%	44	-2.1	134/159/184	50	183	7	3	31%	3%	-25	-2.2
✕Issmael Salas 2015 · AAA	33	49→50	42→50	49→50	44	238/282/344	106	275	10	5	18%	5%	73	-0.1	246/288/365	119	277	13	7	16%	5%	82	+0.5	248/293/374	126	273	14	5	15%	5%	86	+0.5
✕Taylor Davis 2022 · MLB	32	46→54	40→45	47→40	49	221/279/309	88	257	9	5	18%	7%	63	-0.8	225/280/311	86	275	7	7	20%	7%	64	-0.8	224/283/254	30	279	0	0	18%	7%	50	-0.4
✕Ryan Roberts 2014 · MLB	33	45→52	47→50	44→55	51	226/292/354	128	263	15	11	20%	9%	81	+0.4	236/286/368	132	276	14	5	19%	7%	82	+0.5	241/288/376	135	276	14	1	18%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Mark Little 2005 · MLB	33	48	43→55	49→55	47	230/317/345	115	295	10	10	24%	8%	90	+1.0	232/314/378	146	311	15	16	29%	7%	98	+1.6	224/312/363	139	309	14	18	30%	6%	90	+0.6
✕James Adduci 2017 · MLB	32	46→56	45→50	51→60	46	226/287/350	124	288	12	14	26%	8%	77	+0.1	245/288/372	127	327	11	13	27%	6%	83	+0.6	247/285/371	124	326	12	12	27%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Jeff Bailey 2011 · MLB	32	46→49	47→55	49→45	47	228/304/364	137	281	14	5	24%	8%	89	+1.0	215/287/338	123	279	12	8	26%	7%	75	-0.0	198/277/319	121	257	11	7	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Chad Huffman 2018 · MLB	33	44→52	50→55	48→45	48	224/305/381	157	268	17	8	23%	8%	95	+1.4	231/302/392	161	291	19	6	26%	7%	95	+1.4	229/303/402	173	286	23	0	27%	7%	95	+0.8
✕Charlie Culberson 2023 · MLB	34	48→49	45	47→50	44	238/287/366	127	298	12	13	24%	6%	81	+0.4	226/275/342	116	315	12	12	30%	6%	70	-0.3	182/208/225	43	295	5	14	39%	3%	11	-0.8