Nick Ahmed — OGILVIE

Nick AhmedSS San Diego Padres

Age 36 R/R 6'1" / 201 lbs MLB HR +13%BB +8% Svc 12.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.1 · 2026

wRC+†vL 9358vR 23

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .269 / .305

PA165

HR2

K%23

BB%6

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

35→35

SPD

55→55

EYE

39↘35

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 12.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.1	$0.4M	-$0.6M
Totals		$1M		$0.4M	-$0.6M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	21	ROK	Danville Braves	284	260	52	10	1	3	18	65	3	18	6	.200	.260	.281	.541	.081	.253	23	6	.245	46	-17	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.5
2012	22	A+	2 teams	654	602	134	33	1	6	35	173	4	45	13	.223	.270	.311	.581	.088	.300	26	5	.254	53	-35	+4	+0	+7	+19	-0.6
2013	23	AA	2 teams	614	569	117	20	5	4	26	107	5	27	9	.206	.247	.279	.526	.074	.243	17	4	.229	33	-46	+2	+0	+7	+17	-2.1
2014	24	AAA	2 teams	527	490	124	23	2	4	27	83	3	14	7	.253	.296	.333	.629	.080	.297	16	5	.277	70	-18	+0	-1	+6	+15	0.2
2015	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	459	421	92	16	4	10	29	81	1	4	5	.219	.271	.347	.617	.128	.246	18	6	.264	60	-21	-1	+11	+5	+13	0.7
2016	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	308	284	62	9	1	4	15	58	4	5	2	.218	.267	.299	.567	.081	.258	19	5	.244	45	-19	+0	+14	+3	+9	0.8
2017	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	178	167	42	7	1	6	10	39	1	3	4	.251	.298	.413	.711	.162	.295	22	6	.296	85	-3	-1	+8	+2	+5	1.1
2018	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	564	516	120	34	4	17	40	109	2	5	4	.233	.290	.413	.703	.180	.261	19	7	.300	88	-8	-1	+29	+6	+16	4.3
2019	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	625	556	141	32	4	20	52	113	4	8	2	.254	.322	.433	.755	.180	.278	18	8	.322	104	+3	+1	+17	+7	+18	4.6
2020	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	217	199	54	10	0	5	18	46	0	4	0	.271	.332	.397	.729	.126	.331	21	8	.325	107	+2	+1	+6	+2	+6	1.8
2021	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	473	434	95	29	3	5	34	104	2	7	2	.219	.279	.334	.613	.115	.276	22	7	.264	60	-21	+1	+17	+5	+13	1.5
2022	32	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	54	52	12	2	0	3	2	15	0	0	1	.231	.259	.442	.702	.212	.265	28	4	.309	95	-0	-0	+2	+1	+2	0.3
2023	33	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	210	198	41	9	1	2	12	52	0	5	1	.207	.252	.293	.545	.086	.271	25	6	.245	46	-13	+1	+6	+2	+6	0.2
2024	34	MLB	San Diego Padres	228	210	50	6	1	2	11	51	1	2	1	.238	.279	.305	.584	.067	.300	22	5	.253	52	-12	+0	+8	+2	+6	0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	36	MLB	SD	165	153	34	6	1	2	10	38	1	3	1	.222	.274	.314	.588	.092	.274	23	6	.261	58	-8	+0	+2	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5560	5111	1170	246	29	93	339	1134	31	150	58	.229	.281	.343	.624	.114	.274	20	6	.271	65	-217	+7	+118	+60	+158	12.7
/ 162G	—			650	598	137	29	3	11	40	133	4	18	7	.229	.282	.343	.625	.114	.275	20	6	.271	65	-25	+1	+14	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	21	ROK	Danville Braves	284	248	65	13	2	4	30	46	3	18	6	.262	.349	.379	.728	.117	.305	16	11	.328	109	+3	+1	—	—	+8	1.2
2012	22	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	571	506	136	36	4	6	49	102	4	40	10	.269	.338	.391	.729	.123	.325	18	9	.322	104	+3	+4	—	—	+16	2.4
2012	22	INTL	Phoenix Desert Dogs	83	73	21	3	3	1	9	11	0	5	3	.288	.366	.452	.818	.164	.323	13	11	.358	132	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2013	23	AA	Mobile BayBears	538	487	115	21	5	4	33	72	5	26	7	.236	.291	.324	.616	.088	.266	13	6	.273	67	-20	+2	—	—	+15	-0.2
2013	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	76	64	14	1	0	1	11	13	0	1	2	.219	.333	.281	.615	.062	.255	17	14	.288	79	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2014	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	75	70	14	2	0	1	3	10	0	0	1	.200	.233	.271	.504	.071	.220	13	4	.223	29	-6	-0	-1	+6	+2	0.0
2014	24	AAA	Reno Aces	452	407	127	26	4	4	37	55	3	14	6	.312	.374	.425	.799	.113	.352	12	8	.355	130	+15	+0	—	—	+13	2.9
2015	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	459	421	95	17	6	9	29	81	1	4	5	.226	.277	.359	.636	.133	.257	18	6	.279	72	-15	-1	+11	+5	+13	1.3
2016	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	308	284	62	9	1	4	15	58	4	5	2	.218	.267	.299	.567	.081	.258	19	5	.254	53	-16	+0	+14	+3	+9	1.0
2017	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	178	167	42	8	1	6	10	39	1	3	4	.251	.298	.419	.717	.168	.295	22	6	.318	101	+0	-1	+8	+2	+5	1.4
2018	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	564	516	121	33	5	16	40	109	2	5	4	.234	.292	.411	.703	.176	.265	19	7	.308	94	-4	-1	+29	+6	+16	4.7
2019	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	625	556	141	33	6	19	52	113	4	8	2	.254	.322	.437	.759	.183	.280	18	8	.329	110	+7	+1	+17	+7	+18	5.0
2020	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	217	199	53	10	1	5	18	46	0	4	0	.266	.327	.402	.729	.136	.324	21	8	.327	108	+2	+1	+6	+2	+6	1.8
2021	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	473	434	96	30	3	5	34	104	2	7	2	.221	.281	.339	.620	.118	.279	22	7	.278	71	-16	+1	+17	+5	+13	2.1
2022	32	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	54	52	12	2	0	3	2	15	0	0	1	.231	.259	.442	.702	.212	.265	28	4	.306	93	-0	-0	+2	+1	+2	0.3
2023	33	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	210	198	42	10	1	2	12	52	0	5	1	.212	.257	.303	.560	.091	.278	25	6	.253	52	-11	+1	+6	+2	+6	0.3
2024	34	MLB	San Diego Padres	228	210	48	6	1	2	11	51	1	2	1	.229	.270	.295	.566	.067	.287	22	5	.251	50	-13	+0	+8	+2	+6	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3391	3107	726	160	25	72	226	678	15	43	23	.234	.289	.371	.660	.137	.274	20	7	.292	81	-72	-1	+116	+41	+96	18.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Ahmed (OGILVIE)	36	45	35	55	35	.216/.269/.305	.089	.274	2	3	23%	6%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Wilson 2017 · MLB	36	45→50	39→45	48→50	36	.215/.259/.297	.083	.300	7	10	30%	4%	51	-1.7	.219/.274/.329	.110	.287	11	8	27%	5%	67	-0.5	.203/.261/.299	.096	.264	10	2	26%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Ken Huckaby 2007 · MLB	36	42	37→30	50→40	37	.203/.232/.271	.068	.269	5	7	26%	4%	32	-3.0	.219/.248/.282	.063	.296	5	7	27%	3%	41	-2.3	.235/.262/.260	.025	.322	2	0	27%	3%	37	-1.1
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2019 · AAA	35	48	39→40	50→55	42	.226/.283/.307	.081	.312	7	12	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.210/.258/.350	.140	.324	17	10	39%	6%	66	-0.6	.140/.178/.291	.151	.208	25	5	47%	4%	14	-0.8
✕Ed Rogers 2013 · AAA	34	46→50	41→40	49→50	43	.221/.271/.319	.097	.268	7	11	20%	5%	62	-0.9	.241/.292/.351	.110	.290	13	12	21%	5%	80	+0.4	.263/.312/.337	.074	.311	12	12	19%	4%	83	+0.2
✕Pete Orr 2015 · MLB	36	50→46	40→45	51→55	38	.238/.267/.334	.096	.304	6	14	24%	3%	63	-0.8	.232/.269/.317	.085	.290	6	15	21%	4%	59	-1.1	.229/.268/.284	.056	.277	3	20	18%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Manny Alexander 2007 · MLB	36	47→50	42→45	51→55	46	.230/.276/.331	.102	.266	9	18	18%	6%	67	-0.5	.216/.255/.307	.091	.261	7	11	20%	5%	52	-1.6	.199/.229/.270	.071	.247	3	5	20%	4%	28	-1.7
✕Pedro Mere 2006 · AAA	36	46→49	43→40	46→40	45	.228/.272/.340	.112	.264	11	7	18%	5%	68	-0.5	.236/.283/.334	.098	.265	9	5	14%	5%	72	-0.2	.239/.289/.324	.085	.269	8	3	14%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Sergio Palafox 2015 · AAA	35	48	38→40	49→45	43	.230/.268/.308	.078	.270	6	11	17%	4%	57	-1.2	.229/.272/.323	.094	.271	8	11	18%	5%	63	-0.8	.228/.269/.299	.071	.264	5	5	15%	4%	53	-0.2
✕Edgar Vega 2008 · AAA	36	46	38→30	46→30	43	.222/.260/.298	.076	.271	5	4	20%	5%	51	-1.7	.221/.252/.320	.099	.261	9	7	19%	4%	54	-1.4	.225/.249/.344	.118	.241	11	4	12%	3%	53	-0.3
✕J.C. Boscan 2015 · AAA	35	38	37→40	46→30	41	.187/.238/.257	.070	.250	5	5	27%	6%	32	-3.0	.202/.247/.283	.081	.259	7	7	24%	5%	42	-2.3	.182/.210/.212	.030	.223	3	0	20%	4%	3	-1.0
✕Sean Kazmar Jr. 2021 · AAA	36	45→52	43→45	45	44	.223/.267/.333	.111	.249	11	5	16%	4%	65	-0.7	.208/.249/.337	.129	.238	16	8	20%	5%	58	-1.2	.176/.212/.287	.111	.192	16	6	20%	4%	27	-1.5
✕Brendan Ryan 2017 · MLB	35	43→53	36→40	46→55	40	.203/.252/.273	.070	.281	3	9	28%	5%	42	-2.3	.210/.267/.295	.085	.273	6	9	24%	7%	55	-1.4	.201/.266/.276	.076	.254	5	6	22%	8%	46	-1.4
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2019 · MLB	35	40→44	42→45	44→40	44	.200/.262/.306	.106	.254	9	3	25%	6%	56	-1.3	.200/.266/.306	.106	.274	10	6	29%	6%	58	-1.2	.153/.231/.224	.071	.219	10	0	34%	6%	20	-0.8
✕John McDonald 2009 · MLB	34	48	38→40	50	46	.225/.267/.310	.085	.254	5	12	14%	5%	58	-1.2	.234/.269/.350	.116	.256	11	8	14%	4%	69	-0.4	.234/.264/.350	.116	.253	11	4	13%	3%	65	-0.2
✕Hector Garcia 2009 · AAA	36	52	35→30	48→45	46	.243/.275/.301	.058	.270	3	8	12%	4%	58	-1.2	.249/.280/.311	.062	.272	4	7	10%	4%	63	-0.9	.272/.297/.306	.034	.291	2	2	7%	3%	64	-0.2
✕Drew Butera 2020 · MLB	36	43	44→40	49→40	47	.213/.280/.328	.116	.273	11	5	26%	8%	69	-0.4	.193/.264/.305	.112	.268	11	7	31%	7%	57	-1.2	.136/.221/.228	.091	.201	10	7	36%	7%	18	-1.8
✕Raul Chavez 2008 · MLB	35	44	39→40	47→30	42	.210/.245/.291	.081	.239	7	4	16%	3%	43	-2.2	.226/.262/.321	.095	.253	9	4	15%	4%	59	-1.1	.227/.261/.316	.089	.252	8	1	13%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Robinson Cancel 2011 · MLB	35	48	40→45	49→50	47	.229/.270/.324	.096	.254	7	13	14%	5%	63	-0.9	.249/.300/.355	.106	.299	10	15	19%	6%	83	+0.6	.263/.316/.366	.103	.317	10	16	20%	7%	89	+0.6
✕Oscar Fentanes 2006 · AAA	36	51	40→30	47→45	48	.241/.307/.331	.090	.266	7	8	12%	5%	82	+0.5	.237/.291/.308	.071	.275	6	6	15%	5%	68	-0.5	.242/.296/.305	.063	.290	2	5	16%	4%	67	-0.2
✕Francisco Cordoba 2019 · AAA	35	44→53	41→45	46→40	43	.215/.264/.306	.092	.259	9	5	21%	5%	56	-1.3	.226/.281/.395	.169	.250	24	5	21%	6%	88	+0.9	.214/.273/.396	.182	.222	28	0	20%	6%	83	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)