Bligh Madris — OGILVIE

Bligh Madris1B Memphis Redbirds

Age 30 L/R 6'1" / 208 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION354 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP257

ISO150

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3612.6%

xAVG

100.213

POWER50

Barrel%

396.8

Avg EV

3487.9

Bat Spd

5271.6

EYE55

Chase%

6329.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

4227.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	411	369	88	12	5	9	28	88	3	3	4	238	297	371	668	133	283	21	7	292	84	-8	-1	—	—	+9	0.0
2019	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	514	457	119	26	2	8	43	99	2	3	4	260	324	379	703	118	314	19	8	311	97	-2	-1	—	—	+11	0.8
2020	24	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	98	85	22	5	0	3	12	15	0	1	0	259	351	424	774	165	279	15	12	344	119	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2021	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	385	334	91	25	1	9	40	70	4	2	4	272	357	434	791	162	314	18	10	348	122	+10	-1	—	—	+8	1.7
2021	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	33	26	5	0	0	0	7	6	0	0	0	192	364	192	556		250	18	21	285	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2021	25	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	68	55	12	3	0	0	11	14	1	3	0	218	358	273	631	55	286	21	16	300	89	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	123	113	20	7	0	1	10	31	0	2	1	177	244	265	509	88	235	25	8	235	45	-8	+0	-1	-5	+3	-1.2
2022	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	334	296	88	22	4	11	33	74	1	4	2	297	370	510	880	213	360	22	10	382	144	+18	+0	—	—	+7	2.5
2022	26	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	56	51	11	2	0	0	5	12	0	3	1	216	286	255	541	39	282	21	9	254	58	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	30	26	4	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	154	267	192	459	38	211	23	13	226	39	-2	+0	-1	-9	+1	-1.1
2023	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	456	378	89	10	6	15	67	115	2	12	6	235	353	413	765	177	291	25	15	339	115	+8	+0	—	—	+10	1.9
2024	28	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	75	67	18	3	0	1	6	20	0	0	0	269	324	358	683	90	362	27	8	304	92	-1	+0	+2	-9	+2	-0.7
2024	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	429	365	81	20	2	19	53	111	3	21	5	222	322	444	765	222	261	26	12	335	113	+7	+2	—	—	+9	1.9
2025	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	205	177	41	10	1	5	24	52	0	3	2	232	320	384	704	153	295	25	12	313	98	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	29	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	38	33	9	0	0	3	5	5	0	0	1	273	368	545	914	273	240	13	13	399	156	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	29	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	288	242	74	17	2	11	36	53	5	10	4	306	405	529	934	223	346	18	12	405	160	+21	+0	—	—	+6	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	228	206	42	11	0	2	20	58	0	2	1	204	273	286	560	83	272	25	9	257	60	-11	+0	-0	-23	+5	-3.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	411	376	73	10	4	7	22	127	3	3	4	194	244	298	542	104	256	31	5	237	47	-26	-1	—	—	+9	-1.9
2019	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	514	475	104	21	2	8	29	126	2	3	4	219	267	322	589	103	270	25	6	256	59	-25	-1	—	—	+11	-1.5
2021	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	385	349	81	21	1	6	25	87	4	2	4	232	291	350	641	117	279	23	6	281	76	-11	-1	—	—	+8	-0.4
2021	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	33	28	5	0	0	0	5	7	0	0	0	179	303	179	482		225	21	15	225	38	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	123	113	20	7	0	1	10	31	0	2	1	177	244	265	509	88	235	25	8	235	45	-8	+0	-1	-5	+3	-1.2
2022	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	334	308	76	17	3	7	21	89	1	4	2	247	297	390	687	143	315	27	6	300	89	-4	+0	—	—	+7	0.3
2023	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	30	26	4	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	154	267	192	459	38	211	23	13	222	37	-2	+0	-1	-9	+1	-1.1
2023	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	456	401	78	9	4	13	45	148	2	12	6	195	279	334	613	140	256	32	10	272	70	-16	+0	—	—	+10	-0.6
2024	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	75	68	18	3	0	1	6	20	0	0	0	265	324	353	677	88	362	27	8	305	93	-1	+0	+2	-9	+2	-0.7
2024	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	429	387	66	15	2	17	36	130	3	21	5	171	246	351	598	181	201	30	8	262	63	-19	+2	—	—	+9	-0.7
2025	29	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	205	186	38	9	1	4	17	58	0	3	2	204	271	328	599	124	271	28	8	268	68	-8	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	29	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	38	34	8	0	0	3	4	7	0	0	1	235	316	500	816	265	211	18	11	344	119	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2018	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	411	376	73	10	4	7	22	127	3	3	4	194	244	298	542	104	265	31	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	411	369	88	12	5	9	28	88	3	3	4	238	297	371	668	133	283	21	7	292	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	514	475	104	21	2	8	29	126	2	3	4	219	267	322	589	103	278	25	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	514	457	119	26	2	8	43	99	2	3	4	260	324	379	703	118	314	19	8	311	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL MLE	Brisbane Bandits	—	98	85	22	5	0	3	12	15	0	1	0	259	351	424	774	165	279	15	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL RAW	Brisbane Bandits	—	98	85	22	5	0	3	12	15	0	1	0	259	351	424	774	165	279	15	12	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	486	439	100	25	1	7	34	110	5	5	4	228	291	337	628	109	283	23	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	486	415	108	28	1	9	58	90	5	5	4	260	358	398	755	137	307	19	12	337	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	513	473	109	27	4	10	35	135	1	9	4	230	285	368	653	137	299	26	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	513	460	119	31	4	12	48	117	1	9	4	259	330	422	752	163	320	23	9	333	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	427	82	10	4	13	49	155	2	12	6	192	278	326	604	133	260	32	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	486	404	93	11	6	15	71	122	2	12	6	230	347	399	746	168	286	25	15	332	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	504	455	85	18	2	18	42	150	3	21	5	187	260	354	614	167	230	30	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	504	432	99	23	2	20	59	131	3	21	5	229	322	431	753	201	277	26	12	331	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	531	475	102	20	2	16	45	143	5	13	7	215	290	366	656	152	267	27	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	531	452	124	27	3	19	65	110	5	13	7	274	370	473	843	199	319	21	12	369	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	411	383	73	10	4	7	22	127	3	3	4	191	244	292	537	102	256	31	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	514	478	104	21	2	8	29	126	2	3	4	218	267	320	587	103	270	25	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	486	444	100	25	1	7	34	110	5	5	4	225	291	333	624	108	275	23	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	513	472	109	27	4	10	35	135	1	9	4	231	285	369	654	138	293	26	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	432	82	10	4	13	49	155	2	12	6	190	278	322	600	132	253	32	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	504	454	85	18	2	18	42	150	3	21	5	187	260	355	615	167	225	30	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	531	476	102	20	2	16	45	143	5	13	7	214	290	366	655	151	262	27	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	432	82	10	4	13	49	155	2	12	6	190	278	322	600	132	253	32	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	504	454	85	18	2	18	42	150	3	21	5	187	260	355	615	167	225	30	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	531	476	102	20	2	16	45	143	5	13	7	214	290	366	655	151	262	27	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	STL	—	354	311	63	14	0	11	36	96	3	5	3	203	291	354	645	151	250	27	10	284	78	-9	-0	+0	-6	+8	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA RAW	STL	—	354	293	74	17	0	15	52	80	3	5	3	253	369	464	833	212	292	23	15	366	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	30	AAA MLE	STL	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		258	22	11	290	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	30	MLB CTX	STL	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						257	0	0	281	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	STL	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	281	78	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	30	AAA MLE	STL	—	363	319	64	14	0	11	37	98	3	5	3	201	290	348	638	147	248	27	10	284	78	-9	-0	+0	-6	+8	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	STL	27%	278	248	50	10	1	8	26	76	2	4	2	202	283	347	629	145	256	27	9	286	80	-7	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.7
2027	31	MLB CTX	STL	27%	76	68	14	3	0	2	7	21	1	1	0	206	289	338	628	132	255	28	9	276	80	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	305	275	56	14	0	4	27	79	1	3	1	204	276	298	574	95	269	26	9	262	64	-13	+0	-0	-25	+7	-3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	120	30	0	9	58	168	2	6	2	205	278	302	580	97	270	26	9	262	64	-27	+0	-1	-52	+14	-6.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3830	3461	728	146	20	90	295	1039	23	71	36	210	277	342	619	132	269	27	8	262	64	-18	+0	-1	-28	+11	-3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	123	25	3	15	50	176	4	12	6	210	276	339	615	129	268	27	8	262	64	-23	+0	-1	-36	+14	-4.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	303	5	4	210	277	319	-5	-1	-0.8	-0.7
/162	664	11	8	-9.9	-1.9	-1.7	pk7: -1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bligh Madris (OGILVIE)	30	40	50	45	55	205/287/354	149	258	9	5	27%	10%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB	30	41→43	50→55	50	48	212/284/365	153	266	18	7	28%	9%	83	+0.1	219/277/369	150	283	19	5	29%	7%	81	-0.1	209/266/354	145	267	20	2	29%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Abraham M. Nunez 2007 · MLB	30	45→46	48→50	44→45	49	225/292/367	142	280	15	9	25%	9%	86	+0.3	229/286/361	132	294	14	7	26%	7%	82	+0.0	227/280/348	120	293	13	3	26%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Nick Gorneault 2009 · AAA	30	43→48	49→55	45→50	44	220/280/367	147	282	18	12	28%	7%	82	-0.0	205/258/336	131	273	14	10	29%	6%	66	-1.1	189/239/311	122	252	12	9	29%	6%	50	-1.6
✕Jose Rojas 2022 · MLB	29	42→48	51→60	47→50	45	218/273/384	165	262	19	8	25%	7%	83	+0.1	212/271/392	180	255	23	8	26%	7%	84	+0.2	202/268/404	202	235	26	10	27%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Simon Pond 2006 · MLB	29	44→43	50→55	47→45	41	223/278/374	151	293	18	8	30%	6%	82	+0.0	221/276/356	135	296	13	6	29%	7%	78	-0.3	213/269/344	131	284	12	3	28%	7%	72	-0.7
✕Justin Leone 2007 · MLB	30	41	47→50	43→55	47	211/283/340	130	273	15	6	28%	8%	77	-0.3	204/284/350	146	267	16	16	29%	10%	80	-0.2	187/272/333	146	244	16	19	29%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	41→44	52→55	49→40	45	219/284/381	161	270	21	6	27%	7%	86	+0.3	213/274/381	168	272	21	6	29%	7%	83	+0.1	204/265/375	171	257	22	4	30%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Brad Nelson 2013 · AAA	30	43→49	51→50	44→50	48	226/291/387	161	273	20	4	25%	8%	91	+0.6	216/272/347	131	263	16	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	200/254/313	112	239	14	1	22%	6%	59	-1.0
✕Clete Thomas 2014 · MLB	30	42→52	46→45	48→55	42	211/266/339	128	287	13	13	31%	7%	70	-0.9	221/286/333	112	298	10	14	27%	8%	76	-0.4	213/279/283	70	293	2	21	26%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Jerad Head 2013 · MLB	30	44	48→50	50	40	223/278/368	144	274	16	9	25%	5%	82	-0.0	226/279/357	131	276	14	7	23%	5%	79	-0.2	221/269/345	124	265	13	2	22%	4%	68	-0.8
✕Jayson Nix 2013 · MLB	30	42→49	48→55	47→55	44	215/278/360	145	271	15	11	26%	7%	80	-0.2	209/269/303	94	276	8	14	26%	7%	63	-1.4	191/246/258	67	255	6	12	26%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2023 · AAA	29	38→48	48→50	43→45	42	197/261/345	148	252	15	7	28%	6%	70	-0.8	205/271/344	139	274	14	9	29%	7%	73	-0.6	227/288/354	128	289	13	8	25%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Brandon Allen 2016 · AAA	30	43→47	48→55	47→50	47	220/282/363	142	273	16	6	25%	8%	81	-0.1	204/268/317	113	260	12	6	25%	8%	65	-1.2	153/226/221	68	192	7	0	24%	8%	28	-1.8
✕Clint Coulter 2023 · AAA	30	43	50	43→40	41	222/284/377	155	275	18	5	26%	6%	86	+0.3	222/291/357	135	271	14	9	23%	6%	84	+0.2	199/277/318	119	239	11	9	21%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Matt Clark 2017 · MLB	30	43→45	52→55	47→30	43	227/283/391	164	273	21	3	26%	6%	88	+0.5	231/287/400	169	291	21	4	27%	7%	92	+0.7	228/287/412	184	278	24	0	27%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Norel González 2023 · AAA	29	45	49→50	40	42	231/285/377	146	290	17	6	26%	6%	86	+0.3	222/286/351	129	291	14	6	27%	7%	80	-0.1	202/276/313	111	265	12	2	27%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Joe Borchard 2009 · MLB	30	46→44	51→50	46→45	48	237/306/394	157	295	19	9	26%	9%	97	+1.1	214/265/364	150	285	16	5	30%	6%	76	-0.4	202/251/353	150	269	16	1	31%	5%	66	-0.8
✕Andy Wilkins 2019 · MLB	30	34→44	52→50	51→45	43	190/257/352	162	246	21	6	32%	8%	70	-0.8	193/263/333	140	303	17	7	39%	8%	68	-1.0	132/217/241	109	224	16	0	46%	9%	30	-1.3
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	43→42	49→50	39→30	52	219/303/364	146	275	18	2	27%	11%	90	+0.6	225/315/369	144	314	16	7	31%	11%	96	+1.0	207/319/352	145	304	17	5	34%	13%	91	+0.3
✕Brooks Conrad 2010 · MLB	30	38→44	49→55	52→50	42	202/261/348	146	262	16	10	30%	7%	70	-0.8	227/295/402	175	299	21	11	30%	8%	96	+1.0	223/297/433	210	290	27	7	32%	9%	101	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps