Bligh Madris — OGILVIE

Bligh MadrisOF Memphis Redbirds

Age 30 L/R 6'1" / 208 lbs AAA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION284 act + 189 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .315 / .436

PA189

HR8

K%26

BB%10

BABIP281

ISO203

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3612.6%

xwOBA

250.279

POWER50

Barrel%

396.8

Avg EV

3487.9

Bat Spd

5271.6

EYE55

Chase%

6329.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

4227.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	411	376	72	9	5	6	22	129	3	3	4	191	242	290	532	98	266	31	5	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	411	369	88	12	5	9	28	88	3	3	4	238	297	371	668	133	283	21	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	514	474	102	19	1	12	30	139	2	3	4	215	265	335	600	120	275	27	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	514	457	119	26	2	8	43	99	2	3	4	260	324	379	703	118	314	19	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	98	85	22	5	0	3	12	15	0	1	0	259	351	424	774	165	279	15	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	98	85	22	5	0	3	12	15	0	1	0	259	351	424	774	165	279	15	12	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	3 teams	—	486	442	98	25	1	7	31	115	5	5	4	222	280	330	611	109	278	24	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	3 teams	—	486	415	108	28	1	9	58	90	5	5	4	260	358	398	755	137	307	19	12	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	3 teams	—	513	474	109	26	3	11	34	135	1	9	4	230	283	367	650	137	296	26	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	3 teams	—	513	460	119	31	4	12	48	117	1	9	4	259	330	422	752	163	320	23	9	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	486	428	86	11	4	15	48	155	2	12	6	201	285	350	635	150	269	32	10	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	486	404	93	11	6	15	71	122	2	12	6	230	347	399	746	168	286	25	15	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	504	455	93	18	2	29	42	148	3	21	5	204	276	444	720	240	227	29	8	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	504	432	99	23	2	20	59	131	3	21	5	229	322	431	753	201	277	26	12	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	3 teams	—	531	474	111	21	3	21	46	135	5	13	7	234	309	424	733	190	278	25	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	3 teams	—	531	452	124	27	3	19	65	110	5	13	7	274	370	473	843	199	319	21	12	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	STL	—	284	249	57	12	0	12	29	74	3	4	2	229	317	422	738	193	271	26	10	321	104	+1	+0	+0	-5	+8	0.4
YTD	30	AAA	STL	—	284	235	65	15	0	14	42	62	3	4	2	277	391	519	911	243	315	22	15	396	161	+20	+0	+0	-5	+8	2.3
ROS	30	AAA	STL	10%	189	167	39	8	1	8	18	50	2	3	1	233	315	436	751	203	269	26	10	316	100	+0	+0	+1	-3	+5	0.4
ROS	30	MLB	STL	10%	19	17	4	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	235	316	471	786	235	269	26	11	310	95	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
FULL	30	AAA	STL	—	303	266	61	13	0	13	31	79	3	4	2	229	317	425	741	195	271	26	10	320	103	+1	+0	+0	-5	+9	0.5
TOT	30	AAA	STL	—	473	416	96	20	1	20	47	124	5	7	3	231	316	428	744	197	275	26	10	319	102	+1	+0	+1	-8	+13	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	STL	33%	278	248	55	11	1	11	26	74	2	4	1	222	301	407	708	185	266	27	9	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-5	+8	0.1
2028	32	MLB	STL	46%	259	231	51	10	1	10	24	70	2	3	1	221	300	403	702	182	263	27	9	307	93	-2	+0	-2	-5	+7	-0.1
2029	33	MLB	STL	54%	229	204	43	8	1	8	21	63	2	2	1	211	291	377	668	167	258	28	9	299	87	-3	+0	-3	-4	+6	-0.4
2027	31	MLB	STL	33%	91	81	19	4	0	4	9	24	1	1	0	235	319	432	751	198	266	26	10	306	93	-1	+0	-0	-2	+3	0.0
2028	32	MLB	STL	46%	119	106	23	4	0	5	11	32	1	2	1	217	297	396	693	179	263	27	9	301	88	-2	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.1
2029	33	MLB	STL	54%	123	109	23	4	0	5	12	34	1	1	0	211	295	385	680	174	258	28	10	294	83	-2	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	580	519	111	24	0	17	54	153	3	6	2	214	291	358	650	145	267	26	9	283	75	-16	+0	-3	-29	+16	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	124	27	0	19	61	171	3	7	2	213	291	357	648	144	266	26	9	283	75	-18	+1	-3	-33	+18	-3.6
Career	—			—	4498	4058	881	171	23	141	354	1228	29	79	38	217	285	375	659	158	271	27	8	280	73	-139	+1	-4	-77	+127	-9.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	127	25	3	20	51	177	4	11	5	217	283	372	656	155	271	27	8	280	73	-20	+0	-1	-11	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	411	369	88	12	5	9	28	88	3	3	4	238	297	371	668	133	283	21	7	292	82	-8	-1	—	—	+12	0.2
2019	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	514	457	119	26	2	8	43	99	2	3	4	260	324	379	703	118	314	19	8	311	96	-2	-1	—	—	+15	1.2
2020	24	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	98	85	22	5	0	3	12	15	0	1	0	259	351	424	774	165	279	15	12	344	121	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2021	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	385	334	91	25	1	9	40	70	4	2	4	272	357	434	791	162	314	18	10	348	124	+11	-1	—	—	+11	2.1
2021	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	33	26	5	0	0	0	7	6	0	0	0	192	364	192	556		250	18	21	285	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	25	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	68	55	12	3	0	0	11	14	1	3	0	218	358	273	631	55	286	21	16	300	88	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	123	113	20	7	0	1	10	31	0	2	1	177	244	265	509	88	235	25	8	235	38	-9	+0	-1	-5	+3	-1.2
2022	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	334	296	88	22	4	11	33	74	1	4	2	297	370	510	880	213	360	22	10	382	150	+19	+0	—	—	+9	2.9
2022	26	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	56	51	11	2	0	0	5	12	0	3	1	216	286	255	541	39	282	21	9	254	52	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	30	26	4	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	154	267	192	459	38	211	23	13	226	31	-2	+0	-1	-9	+1	-1.1
2023	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	456	378	89	10	6	15	67	115	2	12	6	235	353	413	765	177	291	25	15	339	117	+9	+0	—	—	+13	2.2
2024	28	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	75	67	18	3	0	1	6	20	0	0	0	269	324	358	683	90	362	27	8	304	91	-1	+0	+2	-9	+2	-0.6
2024	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	429	365	81	20	2	19	53	111	3	21	5	222	322	444	765	222	261	26	12	335	115	+7	+2	—	—	+12	2.2
2025	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	205	177	41	10	1	5	24	52	0	3	2	232	320	384	704	153	295	25	12	313	98	-0	-0	—	—	+6	0.5
2025	29	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	38	33	9	0	0	3	5	5	0	0	1	273	368	545	914	273	240	13	13	399	163	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	29	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	288	242	74	17	2	11	36	53	5	10	4	306	405	529	934	223	346	18	12	405	168	+22	+0	—	—	+8	3.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	228	206	42	11	0	2	20	58	0	2	1	204	273	286	560	83	272	25	9	257	54	-12	+0	-0	-23	+6	-2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	560	16	7	215	286	360	-6	-1	-0.3	-0.3
	/162	664	19	8	215	286	360	-7.2	-1.6	-0.4	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bligh Madris (OGILVIE)	30	40	50	45	55	231/316/428	197	275	20	7	26%	10%	102	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2022 · MLB	30	43	55→50	42→30	53	228/314/412	184	273	23	3	25%	11%	105	+2.1	227/315/379	152	301	18	4	29%	11%	97	+1.5	216/313/352	135	294	17	2	30%	12%	88	+0.5
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB	30	40→44	53→55	50	47	215/284/382	167	268	21	7	28%	9%	85	+0.7	225/282/392	167	291	22	5	30%	7%	87	+0.8	217/273/380	163	279	23	2	31%	7%	76	+0.0
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Eric Munson 2008 · MLB	30	44→43	51→60	43→40	50	229/295/391	161	254	20	3	19%	8%	92	+1.2	214/290/354	140	256	16	3	22%	9%	81	+0.4	197/283/334	137	237	16	0	24%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Jason Grabowski 2005 · MLB	29	45	52→50	47→40	50	236/308/403	167	287	21	5	26%	10%	101	+1.8	231/301/379	148	268	17	6	20%	9%	91	+1.1	218/289/352	134	247	16	2	19%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Mark Payton 2021 · MLB	29	46→53	52→55	45→50	47	238/297/410	172	282	20	10	23%	8%	98	+1.6	235/289/375	140	278	13	12	20%	7%	85	+0.7	240/295/371	131	286	11	10	19%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→48	52→55	43→45	47	220/295/386	166	285	21	6	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/278/363	155	281	19	6	32%	8%	78	+0.2	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕DJ Stewart 2023 · MLB	29	44→47	54→60	49→50	54	228/332/403	175	289	23	6	28%	12%	111	+2.5	211/314/395	184	266	25	6	29%	11%	102	+1.9	184/295/360	177	228	25	5	31%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Rafael Ortega 2022 · MLB	31	49→54	53→55	49→55	49	254/317/429	176	298	21	17	23%	8%	111	+2.5	232/319/365	133	283	14	20	22%	11%	95	+1.4	217/315/340	123	267	13	24	22%	12%	85	+0.4
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2017 · MLB	29	45→50	54→60	44→50	49	225/311/411	187	309	20	11	32%	11%	105	+2.1	204/289/333	129	318	12	10	36%	10%	75	-0.0	181/266/282	102	297	8	8	38%	10%	50	-0.9
✕Jose Rojas 2022 · MLB	29	41→49	53→65	47→50	45	220/273/394	174	260	20	8	25%	7%	83	+0.6	216/274/411	195	258	25	8	27%	7%	89	+0.9	207/272/429	221	238	30	10	28%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Colby Rasmus 2017 · MLB	30	41→51	55→60	47→50	48	219/294/400	181	280	24	6	30%	10%	95	+1.4	226/289/409	183	300	24	6	32%	8%	95	+1.4	216/264/430	214	285	29	2	35%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Valentino Pascucci 2009 · AAA	30	44→45	55	47→45	49	229/315/411	182	294	24	7	30%	10%	106	+2.2	217/297/383	166	291	21	4	31%	10%	92	+1.2	207/295/373	166	295	22	0	35%	10%	85	+0.5
✕Matt Clark 2017 · MLB	30	41→49	55→60	47→30	43	225/279/399	175	267	24	3	26%	6%	88	+0.9	234/288/421	187	289	24	4	27%	7%	97	+1.5	232/290/435	203	278	27	0	27%	7%	102	+1.2
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Brad Nelson 2013 · AAA	30	44→48	53→50	44→50	48	230/295/400	170	275	21	4	25%	8%	95	+1.4	215/270/347	132	260	16	4	23%	7%	69	-0.4	196/249/303	106	235	13	1	22%	6%	49	-1.1
✕Justin Maxwell 2014 · MLB	30	45→44	55→60	52→60	45	231/303/423	192	311	23	15	32%	8%	104	+2.0	214/278/348	134	312	15	9	34%	7%	73	-0.1	199/263/308	108	295	13	6	35%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	42→40	55→65	47→45	41	223/287/406	183	274	23	7	28%	6%	93	+1.3	203/268/336	133	258	16	6	27%	6%	66	-0.6	166/235/261	96	210	12	0	27%	7%	32	-1.0
✕Rick Ankiel 2010 · MLB	31	45→48	57→65	44→50	46	242/300/439	197	279	25	6	24%	7%	107	+2.2	235/296/392	157	303	17	9	27%	8%	92	+1.2	230/292/379	149	304	15	9	28%	8%	82	+0.2