Bligh Madris
1B Memphis Redbirds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | AAADET | 429 | .222/.322/.444 | 19 | 21 | 62 | — | .171/.246/.351 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLBDET | 75 | .269/.324/.358 | 1 | 0 | 95 | -0.6 | |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA/A/INTL2 orgs | 531 | .274/.370/.473 | 19 | 13 | 119 | — | .207/.270/.351 |
| 2026 | 30 | AAASTL | 378 | .249/.364/.460 | 16 | 5 | 72 | — | .192/.278/.332 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 31 | MLBSTL | 24 | .225/.301/.371 | 1 | 0 | 91 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 32 | MLBSTL | 68 | .220/.294/.358 | 2 | 1 | 85 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 411 | 369 | 88 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 88 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 238 | 297 | 371 | 668 | 133 | 283 | 21 | 7 | 292 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 514 | 457 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 99 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 260 | 324 | 379 | 703 | 118 | 314 | 19 | 8 | 311 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL | Brisbane Bandits | — | 98 | 85 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 351 | 424 | 774 | 165 | 279 | 15 | 12 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 385 | 334 | 91 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 272 | 357 | 434 | 791 | 162 | 314 | 18 | 10 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 33 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 364 | 192 | 556 | 250 | 18 | 21 | 285 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 68 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 358 | 273 | 631 | 55 | 286 | 21 | 16 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 123 | 113 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 244 | 265 | 509 | 88 | 235 | 25 | 8 | 235 | 44 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +3 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 334 | 296 | 88 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 74 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 297 | 370 | 510 | 880 | 213 | 360 | 22 | 10 | 382 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 56 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 286 | 255 | 541 | 39 | 282 | 21 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 30 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 267 | 192 | 459 | 38 | 211 | 23 | 13 | 226 | 37 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -9 | +1 | -1.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 456 | 378 | 89 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 67 | 115 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 235 | 353 | 413 | 765 | 177 | 291 | 25 | 15 | 339 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 75 | 67 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 324 | 358 | 683 | 90 | 362 | 27 | 8 | 304 | 95 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -9 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 429 | 365 | 81 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 53 | 111 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 222 | 322 | 444 | 765 | 222 | 261 | 26 | 12 | 335 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 205 | 177 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 320 | 384 | 704 | 153 | 295 | 25 | 12 | 313 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 38 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 368 | 545 | 914 | 273 | 240 | 13 | 13 | 399 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL | Mexico Rojo | — | 288 | 242 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 53 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 306 | 405 | 529 | 934 | 223 | 346 | 18 | 12 | 405 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 378 | 313 | 78 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 55 | 82 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 249 | 364 | 460 | 824 | 211 | 283 | 22 | 15 | 362 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 228 | 206 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 204 | 273 | 286 | 560 | 83 | 272 | 25 | 9 | 257 | 60 | -11 | +0 | -0 | -23 | +5 | -3.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 411 | 376 | 74 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 127 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 197 | 247 | 301 | 547 | 104 | 260 | 31 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 514 | 474 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 126 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 230 | 279 | 333 | 612 | 103 | 284 | 25 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 385 | 349 | 83 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 87 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 238 | 296 | 358 | 654 | 120 | 288 | 23 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 33 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 303 | 179 | 482 | 225 | 21 | 15 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 123 | 113 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 244 | 265 | 509 | 88 | 235 | 25 | 8 | 234 | 44 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +3 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 334 | 307 | 77 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 89 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 251 | 303 | 404 | 707 | 153 | 322 | 27 | 7 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 30 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 267 | 192 | 459 | 38 | 211 | 23 | 13 | 224 | 37 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -9 | +1 | -1.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 456 | 402 | 84 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 138 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 209 | 290 | 353 | 643 | 144 | 267 | 30 | 10 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 75 | 68 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 324 | 353 | 677 | 88 | 362 | 27 | 8 | 308 | 95 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -9 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 429 | 387 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 130 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 171 | 246 | 351 | 598 | 181 | 200 | 30 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 205 | 187 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 58 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 203 | 266 | 326 | 592 | 123 | 266 | 28 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 38 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 289 | 486 | 775 | 257 | 194 | 18 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 378 | 334 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 98 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 192 | 278 | 332 | 610 | 141 | 231 | 26 | 10 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 411 | 376 | 74 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 127 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 197 | 247 | 301 | 547 | 104 | 269 | 31 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 411 | 369 | 88 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 88 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 238 | 297 | 371 | 668 | 133 | 283 | 21 | 7 | 292 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 514 | 474 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 126 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 230 | 279 | 333 | 612 | 103 | 294 | 25 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 514 | 457 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 99 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 260 | 324 | 379 | 703 | 118 | 314 | 19 | 8 | 311 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL MLE | Brisbane Bandits | — | 98 | 85 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 351 | 424 | 774 | 165 | 279 | 15 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL RAW | Brisbane Bandits | — | 98 | 85 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 351 | 424 | 774 | 165 | 279 | 15 | 12 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 486 | 438 | 102 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 110 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 233 | 297 | 345 | 642 | 112 | 290 | 23 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 486 | 415 | 108 | 28 | 1 | 9 | 58 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 260 | 358 | 398 | 755 | 137 | 307 | 19 | 12 | 337 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 513 | 472 | 110 | 27 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 135 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 233 | 289 | 371 | 660 | 138 | 303 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 513 | 460 | 119 | 31 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 117 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 259 | 330 | 422 | 752 | 163 | 320 | 23 | 9 | 333 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 486 | 428 | 88 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 145 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 206 | 289 | 343 | 632 | 138 | 274 | 30 | 10 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 486 | 404 | 93 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 71 | 122 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 230 | 347 | 399 | 746 | 168 | 286 | 25 | 15 | 332 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 504 | 455 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 150 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 185 | 258 | 352 | 610 | 167 | 227 | 30 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 504 | 432 | 99 | 23 | 2 | 20 | 59 | 131 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 229 | 322 | 431 | 753 | 201 | 277 | 26 | 12 | 331 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 531 | 477 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 142 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 210 | 282 | 354 | 636 | 145 | 261 | 27 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 531 | 452 | 124 | 27 | 3 | 19 | 65 | 110 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 274 | 370 | 473 | 843 | 199 | 319 | 21 | 12 | 369 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 378 | 334 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 98 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 192 | 278 | 332 | 610 | 141 | 231 | 26 | 10 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 378 | 313 | 78 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 55 | 82 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 249 | 364 | 460 | 824 | 211 | 283 | 22 | 15 | 362 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 411 | 383 | 74 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 127 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 193 | 247 | 295 | 542 | 102 | 260 | 31 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 514 | 477 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 126 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 229 | 279 | 331 | 610 | 103 | 284 | 25 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 486 | 443 | 102 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 110 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 230 | 297 | 341 | 638 | 111 | 283 | 23 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 513 | 471 | 110 | 27 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 135 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 234 | 289 | 372 | 660 | 138 | 298 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 486 | 433 | 88 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 145 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 203 | 289 | 339 | 628 | 136 | 264 | 30 | 10 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 504 | 454 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 150 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 185 | 258 | 352 | 610 | 167 | 224 | 30 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 531 | 478 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 142 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 209 | 282 | 354 | 635 | 144 | 255 | 27 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 378 | 335 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 98 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 191 | 278 | 331 | 609 | 140 | 231 | 26 | 10 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 504 | 454 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 150 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 185 | 258 | 352 | 610 | 167 | 224 | 30 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 531 | 478 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 142 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 209 | 282 | 354 | 635 | 144 | 255 | 27 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 378 | 335 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 98 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 191 | 278 | 331 | 609 | 140 | 231 | 26 | 10 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB MLE | STL | 10% | 380 | 340 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 98 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 225 | 301 | 375 | 676 | 150 | 281 | 26 | 9 | 302 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB CTX | STL | 10% | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 301 | 371 | 672 | 146 | 283 | 25 | 8 | 300 | 91 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | STL | 27% | 250 | 224 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 66 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 294 | 362 | 657 | 143 | 276 | 26 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | STL | 27% | 68 | 62 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 294 | 358 | 652 | 139 | 278 | 26 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 296 | 268 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 76 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 278 | 306 | 584 | 97 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 265 | 68 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -24 | +6 | -3.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 123 | 31 | 0 | 9 | 57 | 167 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 209 | 278 | 307 | 585 | 98 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 265 | 68 | -27 | +0 | -2 | -54 | +14 | -6.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4409 | 3976 | 850 | 172 | 23 | 105 | 348 | 1175 | 28 | 78 | 39 | 214 | 282 | 348 | 630 | 134 | 272 | 27 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -18 | +0 | -2 | -32 | +16 | -3.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 173 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 212 | 279 | 341 | 620 | 130 | 270 | 27 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -16 | +0 | -1 | -29 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 378 PAwOBA .356 → .274 (−82)K% 21.7% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 9.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.953 | ×0.972 | 16.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×0.972 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.953 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 4.71% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .356 → .274; ISO .211 → .154; BABIP .283 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 205 PAwOBA .308 → .264 (−44)K% 25.4% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.37% | ÷1.073 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.71% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 18.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.905 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×0.982 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 81, K 115, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .308 → .264; ISO .153 → .133; BABIP .295 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 38 PAwOBA .388 → .312 (−76)K% 13.2% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.16% | ÷0.998 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷0.945 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 9.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 17.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.71% | ÷0.864 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 9.33% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .388 → .312; ISO .273 → .235; BABIP .240 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 429 PAwOBA .329 → .260 (−68)K% 25.9% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.87% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.35% | ÷1.016 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.75% | ÷1.117 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 12.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.070 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.48% | ÷0.792 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 6.56% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 58, 1B 123, 2B 110, 3B 114, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .329 → .260; ISO .222 → .192; BABIP .261 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 456 PAwOBA .333 → .281 (−52)K% 25.2% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.25% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.05% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×1.003 | 20.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.80% | ÷0.882 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.003 | 3.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.28% | ÷1.056 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.003 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.47% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 76, 3B 111, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .333 → .281; ISO .177 → .152; BABIP .291 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAADurham Bulls · 334 PAwOBA .375 → .306 (−69)K% 22.2% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.16% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.88% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 22.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.91% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 7.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.80% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.42% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .375 → .306; ISO .213 → .159; BABIP .360 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 385 PAwOBA .343 → .289 (−54)K% 18.2% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.13% | ÷1.100 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 20.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.47% | ÷0.986 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 8.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.914 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.25% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .343 → .289; ISO .162 → .127; BABIP .314 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAltoona Curve · 33 PAwOBA .280 → .225 (−55)K% 18.2% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.21% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 14.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 22.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .280 → .225; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .