Jason Vosler3B Tacoma Rainiers
Age 32 L/R 6'0" / 220 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA
wRC+†99
AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .296 / .414
PA350
HR13
K%27
BB%7
ISO181
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -0.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -6.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
1.01.00.32628
Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 49
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024
CONTACT39
Whiff%
3113.2%
xwOBA
260.281
POWER49
Barrel%
427.2
Avg EV
1386.3
Bat Spd
4771.0
EYE47
Chase%
3834.0%
SPEED47
Sprint
3326.7
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2021
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-3$2M+0.0$0.1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201521 A2 teams 433395 7813210 28847 34 197263316579 119225 196 248 48
201521 A2 teams 433382 9118210 41617 34 238323374698 136260 149 314 99
201622 A+2 teams 483443 913012 251146 12 205257291549 86265 245 245 45
201622 A+2 teams 483426 1083223 42786 12 254329359688 106297 169 308 94
201723 AA2 teams 627554 11317228 4419022 11 204289394682 190248 307 296 85
201723 AA2 teams 627533 12622223 6514422 11 236344415758 178276 2310 339 117
201824 AA2 teams 534488 9322121 331988 10 191253369622 178263 376 268 64
201824 AA2 teams 534471 11829223 501498 10 251333467800 217312 289 350 126
201925 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 426392 8112416 291412 01 207265380645 173273 337 279 72
201925 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 426375 10919420 451022 01 291369523891 232348 2411 387 155
202127 AAA2 teams 391343 8218117 34727 20 239320446766 207249 189 328 109
202127 AAA2 teams 391334 9018118 43667 20 269365491856 222280 1711 372 143
202228 AAA2 teams 509467 9816218 351624 51 210271368639 158278 327 275 69
202228 AAA2 teams 509458 11319222 441294 51 247318441759 194295 259 335 114
202329 AAA2 teams 428388 7416118 351371 31 191259376636 186236 328 276 70
202329 AAA2 teams 428375 8518123 481191 31 227316464780 237262 2811 340 119
202430 AAA2 teams 554510 11119518 331547 41 218275380655 163272 286 285 76
202430 AAA2 teams 554494 14626531 481227 41 296365557922 261333 229 398 163
▸ 2026 Season
202632 MLBSEA 350319 7514213 25943 31 235297414711 179290 277 315 99 -0 +0 -0 -6 +10 0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733 MLBSEA 36% 514468 10720318 361405 41 229291400690 171285 277 308 94 -4 +0 -4 -9 +15 -0.2
202834 MLBSEA 31% 306279 6311211 21853 21 226287398685 172278 287 298 86 -5 +0 -5 -5 +9 -0.7
202733 MLBSEA 36% 184167 38716 13502 10 228291389680 162282 277 297 85 -3 +0 -2 -3 +5 -0.3
202834 MLBSEA 31% 9688 19313 7271 00 216281375656 159276 287 288 78 -2 +0 -2 -2 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 568516 11123519 421616 41 215282390671 174271 287 295 84 -10 +0 -10 -19 +16 -2.4
/ 162G 650590 12726622 481847 51 215282392673 176271 287 295 84 -12 +1 -11 -22 +18 -2.7
Career 55555046 106620826190 378157175 2914 211276376652 164263 287 284 75 -154 +0 -16 -80 +157 -9.5
/ 162G 650590 12424322 441849 32 210275373648 163262 287 284 75 -18 -0 -2 -9 +18 -1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201521 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans 157127 31706 26274 00 244389441829 197266 1717 375 145 +8 +0 +4 1.3
201521 ASouth Bend Cubs 276255 601124 15343 34 235286341627 106257 125 280 72 -9 -1 +8 -0.2
201622 AATennessee Smokies 10592 23701 9261 00 250324359682 109324 259 302 89 -1 +0 +3 0.2
201622 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans 378334 852522 33525 12 254331359690 105290 149 309 95 -2 -1 +11 0.8
201723 AATennessee Smokies 531452 10918221 5312020 11 241347429776 188278 2310 345 122 +13 -0 +15 2.9
201723 INTLMesa Solar Sox 9681 17402 12242 00 210326333660 123268 2512 303 90 -1 +0 +3 0.2
201824 AAAIowa Cubs 252236 6211111 13792 00 263307458764 195347 315 335 115 +4 +0 +7 1.2
201824 AATennessee Smokies 282235 5618112 37706 10 238356477833 238280 2513 364 136 +12 +0 +8 2.0
201925 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 426375 10919420 451022 01 291369523891 232348 2411 387 155 +26 -0 +12 3.9
202127 MLBSan Francisco Giants 8273 13403 7211 20 178259356615 178200 269 274 67 -3 +0 -3 +1 +2 -0.2
202127 AAASacramento River Cats 309261 7714115 36456 00 295393529921 234300 1512 398 162 +22 +0 +9 3.1
202228 MLBSan Francisco Giants 11198 26614 10292 11 265345469815 204333 269 357 132 +4 -0 -3 +2 +3 0.6
202228 AAASacramento River Cats 398360 8713118 341002 40 242311433744 192285 259 328 110 +4 +1 +11 1.7
202329 MLBCincinnati Reds 6562 10213 3250 00 161200371571 210206 385 248 48 -4 +0 -0 -8 +2 -1.0
202329 AAALouisville Bats 363313 7516020 45941 31 240337482819 243271 2612 357 131 +13 +0 +10 2.4
202430 MLBSeattle Mariners 3028 5110 290 00 179233286519 107263 307 234 37 -2 +0 -1 -10 +1 -1.2
202430 AAATacoma Rainiers 524466 14125431 461137 41 303373573946 270337 229 408 170 +42 +0 +15 5.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 288261 5413310 22843 31 207276395671 188260 298 296 85 -5 +0 -7 -14 +8 -1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA
81,7586225238296413-18+33.03.2
/162664239-6.7+1.01.1pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA
61,5065415234298417-6-181.71.7
/162664247-2.8-8.10.8pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA
71,740625242294417-17-200.60.6
/162664242-6.5-7.60.2pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
4573215221284406-4-60.50.5
/162664256-4.9-7.50.6pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jason Vosler (OGILVIE) 32 39 49 47 47 234/296/414 179290 133 27% 7% 99 +1.0
Rick Ankiel
2011 · MLB
32 46→48 53→65 45→50 46 237/302/413 176296 206 27% 8% 101 +1.8 232/289/389 157308 179 29% 7% 89 +0.9 225/280/38315829917930%7%79+0.1
Tim Beckham
2022 · MLB
32 45→55 54→55 45→50 40 235/281/415 180297 236 29% 6% 92 +1.2 261/311/409 148342 199 28% 6% 103 +1.9 321/370/45113143419628%6%132+1.1
Anthony Recker
2015 · MLB
31 40→48 53→55 42→45 42 214/275/381 167283 215 32% 7% 82 +0.5 207/282/351 144281 175 31% 8% 76 +0.1 198/269/33413626615230%7%63-0.4
John Mayberry Jr.
2015 · MLB
31 44→48 51→55 44→50 49 226/296/394 168267 195 23% 8% 93 +1.3 214/280/366 152263 167 25% 8% 79 +0.3 160/214/28112120011426%6%28-0.9
Laynce Nix
2013 · MLB
32 49→48 53→60 43→45 47 249/310/428 180305 214 25% 8% 108 +2.3 225/286/362 137302 158 29% 8% 80 +0.4 177/225/253762539432%6%17-0.9
John Hicks
2021 · MLB
31 46→50 54→60 43→50 39 240/282/413 174309 225 30% 6% 92 +1.2 234/275/426 192308 2513 32% 5% 93 +1.3 218/259/399181289231633%5%76+0.0
Jarrod Saltalamacchia
2017 · MLB
32 40→50 54→60 44→40 51 209/304/387 178286 232 34% 12% 95 +1.4 178/259/303 125286 154 40% 10% 55 -1.4 125/204/203792169144%9%3-1.7
John Buck
2012 · MLB
32 48→53 54→60 41→30 48 251/316/425 174296 222 23% 8% 110 +2.4 227/305/376 149277 193 24% 9% 92 +1.2 217/296/35113426717125%9%76+0.1
Donnie Murphy
2014 · MLB
31 42→40 55→65 47→45 41 223/287/406 183274 237 28% 6% 93 +1.3 203/268/336 133258 166 27% 6% 66 -0.6 166/235/2619621012027%7%32-1.0
George Kottaras
2015 · MLB
32 41→51 55 48→30 53 212/315/393 181296 245 35% 13% 102 +1.8 214/294/359 145312 195 35% 10% 83 +0.6 189/277/31012027217035%11%61-0.2
Cody Ransom
2009 · MLB
33 39→42 54→55 48→50 44 213/277/392 179263 2311 29% 7% 85 +0.7 220/281/396 176280 2110 29% 7% 88 +0.9 216/283/39918329024733%8%87+0.6
Taylor Motter
2022 · MLB
32 44→50 52→55 47→55 51 228/308/399 171279 204 26% 10% 99 +1.7 221/290/397 176278 228 28% 9% 92 +1.2 202/272/37517425023829%9%77+0.1
Daniel Palka
2023 · AAA
31 44 55 44→50 44 233/292/412 179293 244 29% 8% 96 +1.5 222/276/377 155292 206 30% 7% 81 +0.4 199/256/34214325719430%7%59-0.8
Didi Gregorius
2022 · MLB
32 45→54 53→60 48→50 49 233/292/403 170243 216 15% 6% 94 +1.3 214/277/343 129239 126 16% 6% 72 -0.2 190/251/287982176315%5%44-0.7
Robinson Chirinos
2016 · MLB
32 44→46 52→60 44→50 49 227/301/398 171263 203 22% 8% 97 +1.5 236/330/449 213284 264 26% 10% 122 +3.3 230/343/43520529626229%11%122+2.1
Dallas McPherson
2012 · MLB
32 44 54→65 42→50 37 232/273/403 171311 234 33% 5% 86 +0.8 227/274/384 157332 207 36% 6% 82 +0.5 212/265/37316132021439%6%72-0.1
Matt Clark
2019 · AAA
32 45→49 54→60 44→30 42 236/287/415 179296 235 29% 6% 95 +1.4 240/299/439 199287 256 25% 7% 107 +2.2 234/300/46122826430024%8%115+1.5
Curt Casali
2021 · MLB
32 47 54→50 46→30 52 245/329/423 179298 236 25% 10% 115 +2.7 223/320/366 143300 164 29% 11% 97 +1.5 213/320/302892849025%12%78+0.1
Yoshi Tsutsugo
2023 · MLB
31 44→43 51→50 39→30 52 225/307/380 155281 192 27% 11% 95 +1.4 230/320/383 153314 187 30% 11% 101 +1.8 216/328/37415830719532%14%99+0.8
Lorenzo Quintana
2021 · AAA
32 44 53→55 45 37 231/274/405 174281 229 27% 4% 87 +0.8 244/292/407 163302 195 25% 5% 95 +1.4 244/292/41116829720225%5%93+0.6