Mark PaytonOF Charlotte Knights
Age 34 L/L 5'7" / 180 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 455 proj PA
wRC+†87
AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .301 / .364
PA455
HR8
SB7
K%22
BB%7
ISO123
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -4.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +12.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.0-0.32627
Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2020-2022
CONTACT53
Whiff%
4211.9%
xwOBA
100.239
POWER40
Barrel%
102.2
Avg EV
1084.6
EYE46
Chase%
3534.5%
SPEED46
Sprint
5027.5
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2020
Service   6.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$0.4M
Totals $0.4M $0.0M -$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201422 A+2 teams 208184 521324 20482 44 283359440799 158358 2310 350 126
201422 A+2 teams 208175 561524 29322 44 320422497919 177369 1514 405 168
201523 AA2 teams 513464 1061535 321307 117 228288306594 78302 256 261 58
201523 AA2 teams 513446 1191756 50927 117 267350368718 101320 1810 321 104
201624 AA2 teams 479438 11116510 28913 105 253303381684 128297 196 297 85
201624 AA2 teams 479419 11717610 47683 105 279356420776 141311 1410 341 119
201725 AAA2 teams 355336 731433 14822 46 217253304556 86276 234 248 48
201725 AAA2 teams 355324 831556 26672 46 256315389704 133303 197 313 97
201826 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 237210 46525 21591 26 219293333626 114277 259 274 68
201826 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 237197 51626 34491 26 259371401772 142312 2114 343 121
201927 AAALas Vegas Aviators 447407 10225219 331001 74 251308462770 211284 227 325 107
201927 AAALas Vegas Aviators 447395 13230330 45761 74 3344046531.057 319348 1710 448 201
202028 MLBCincinnati Reds 2018 3100 250 10 167250222472 56231 2510 218 25 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
202028 MLBCincinnati Reds 2018 3100 250 10 167250222472 56231 2510 224 30 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
202129 AAA2 teams 349323 802036 21712 63 248298384682 136297 206 297 86
202129 AAA2 teams 349312 891938 32572 63 285355442798 157324 169 353 128
202230 AAA2 teams 564512 11825612 381006 156 230291373664 143261 187 288 78
202230 AAA2 teams 564492 14131525 58806 156 287369522891 236295 1410 385 153
202432 AAACharlotte Knights 479436 1132628 34990 57 259313383696 124314 217 303 90
202432 AAACharlotte Knights 479417 12930210 53810 57 309387463850 153360 1711 372 143
▸ 2026 Season
202634 MLBCWS 455416 1012228 341022 74 243303363666 120301 227 299 87 -7 -0 -0 -5 +13 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735 MLBCWS 6% 391357 841727 29902 42 235296353649 118293 237 291 81 -9 +0 -6 -4 +11 -0.7
202735 MLBCWS 6% 2220 4100 250 00 200273250523 50294 239 289 79 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 9181 14200 10210 10 173264198461 25233 2311 235 38 -6 +0 -2 -10 +3 -1.6
/ 162G 650579 1001400 711500 70 173263197460 24233 2311 235 38 -46 +1 -11 -73 +18 -11.2
Career 44974101 9891993287 30697728 7654 241298369667 128293 227 292 82 -93 -6 -7 -48 +127 -2.8
/ 162G 650593 14429513 441414 118 243300374674 132295 227 292 82 -14 -1 -1 -7 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201422 A+Tampa Yankees 11191 261112 16172 32 286404495898 209324 1514 391 157 +7 -0 +3 1.0
201422 ACharleston RiverDogs 9784 30412 13150 12 357443500943 143418 1513 421 180 +9 -1 +3 1.1
201523 AATrenton Thunder 297264 66915 24603 53 250320348668 98300 208 299 87 -4 -0 +8 0.4
201523 A+Tampa Yankees 216182 53841 26324 64 291392396787 104347 1512 352 128 +7 -0 +6 1.3
201624 AATrenton Thunder 381338 921557 31503 82 272339408747 136300 138 327 108 +4 +1 +11 1.6
201624 A+Tampa Yankees 9881 25213 16180 23 309423469892 160361 1816 396 161 +7 -1 +3 0.9
201725 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 296268 731426 24512 45 272337407743 134315 178 331 112 +4 -1 +8 1.1
201725 AATrenton Thunder 5956 10130 2160 01 179207304510 125244 273 220 26 -5 -0 +2 -0.4
201826 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 237197 51626 34491 26 259371401772 142312 2114 343 121 +6 -2 +7 1.1
201927 AAALas Vegas Aviators 447395 13230330 45761 74 3344046531.057 319348 1710 448 201 +51 -0 +13 6.5
202028 MLBCincinnati Reds 2018 3100 250 10 167250222472 56231 2510 224 30 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
202129 MLBCincinnati Reds 2422 4000 270 00 182250182432 267 298 209 18 -2 +0 -1 -4 +1 -0.6
202129 AAASyracuse Mets 325290 851938 30502 63 293363462825 169328 159 363 136 +13 +0 +9 2.3
202230 MLBChicago White Sox 2521 3000 440 00 143280143423 176 1616 220 27 -2 +0 -0 -6 +1 -0.8
202230 AAACharlotte Knights 539471 13831525 54766 156 293373539912 246301 1410 393 159 +36 +1 +15 5.3
202432 AAACharlotte Knights 479417 12930210 53810 57 309387463850 153360 1711 372 143 +23 -2 +14 3.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 6961 10100 8160 10 164261180441 16222 2312 218 25 -6 +0 -1 -10 +2 -1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Mark Payton (OGILVIE) 34 53 40 46 46 242/301/364 122301 87 22% 7% 87 +0.6
Joe Thurston
2014 · AAA
34 49→58 45 46→50 50 238/309/361 123281 1212 20% 8% 90 +1.0 236/295/334 98274 810 16% 7% 76 +0.1 240/297/310702735714%6%68-0.3
Ramiro Pena
2019 · MLB
34 50→55 44→45 46→50 44 246/293/368 122290 1211 20% 5% 84 +0.6 256/290/395 139281 169 15% 4% 90 +1.0 272/299/40613529316714%3%96+1.0
Mike Freeman
2021 · MLB
33 49→59 45 43→55 46 237/306/361 124311 138 27% 8% 89 +0.9 221/294/339 118299 128 28% 9% 78 +0.2 196/275/293972719629%9%54-0.7
Jose Espinoza
2009 · AAA
35 55→57 43→45 42→45 50 268/331/374 106312 1110 18% 8% 102 +1.8 259/316/362 103310 98 18% 7% 92 +1.2 263/321/3631013157618%7%92+0.6
Alejandro De Aza
2018 · MLB
34 46→56 44→50 48→55 49 227/294/350 123275 119 22% 8% 81 +0.4 243/310/373 130294 1311 21% 7% 93 +1.3 262/335/392130319121320%7%107+0.6
Gerardo Parra
2021 · MLB
34 48→58 46→50 49→55 48 240/303/369 129276 1414 19% 7% 89 +1.0 233/307/365 132297 139 25% 9% 90 +1.0 216/298/3171012889626%9%71-0.1
Trinidad Robles
2007 · AAA
34 51 44→40 49→45 43 250/303/365 115310 1112 23% 6% 88 +0.9 227/281/323 96278 97 21% 6% 68 -0.5 225/282/308832737320%6%63-0.4
Ryan Goins
2021 · MLB
33 50→59 44→45 44→45 44 239/298/363 124329 107 29% 8% 85 +0.7 205/248/285 80297 75 32% 5% 43 -2.2 189/226/242532764232%5%19-2.1
Cliff Pennington
2018 · MLB
34 47→55 42→45 49→55 47 230/293/329 99299 108 26% 8% 74 -0.1 205/278/307 102270 910 26% 9% 63 -0.8 170/251/251802266926%9%37-1.0
Issmael Salas
2016 · AAA
34 51→50 44→50 45→50 45 251/294/364 113282 127 16% 5% 83 +0.6 241/285/364 123268 136 15% 5% 80 +0.4 240/282/36112126313314%4%77+0.1
Jesse Castillo
2017 · AAA
34 54→61 43→45 48→50 51 260/321/370 110312 1015 20% 8% 96 +1.5 263/317/404 141305 1612 19% 7% 104 +2.0 281/335/436154313201017%7%121+2.6
Ildelfonso Lara
2009 · AAA
34 50→54 44→45 50→45 47 246/304/367 121302 116 22% 7% 89 +0.9 239/297/362 123306 138 25% 7% 85 +0.7 245/305/35511031613525%7%84+0.3
Jose Munoz
2013 · AAA
34 44→49 40→45 47→50 50 213/291/304 91278 88 25% 9% 68 -0.5 212/279/324 112277 119 26% 8% 68 -0.5 160/238/26510520110425%9%32-0.6
James Adduci
2019 · MLB
34 52→60 45→50 52→60 41 253/292/385 132325 1212 26% 5% 88 +0.9 240/277/366 126315 1312 27% 5% 77 +0.1 233/265/345112309131228%4%63-0.5
Charlie Culberson
2023 · MLB
34 48→49 45 47→50 44 238/287/366 127298 1213 24% 6% 81 +0.4 226/275/342 116315 1212 30% 6% 70 -0.3 182/208/2254329551439%3%11-0.8
Yosmany Guerra
2016 · AA
33 48→58 43→45 47→45 50 232/299/349 117286 108 22% 8% 82 +0.5 264/322/363 99308 47 15% 8% 95 +1.4 279/340/3901113246515%8%106+1.6
Ramón Vázquez
2011 · MLB
34 49→59 39→45 46→50 51 234/306/325 91291 64 21% 9% 79 +0.3 233/295/318 85288 67 20% 8% 72 -0.2 244/308/291473012418%8%66-0.3
Ricardo Nanita
2014 · AAA
33 50→60 44→45 45→50 45 248/286/359 111276 138 16% 5% 79 +0.3 256/296/379 123297 138 18% 4% 89 +0.9 304/336/42712434812416%3%118+1.2
Rob Brantly
2023 · MLB
34 49→57 41→50 49→30 42 235/295/336 100282 95 20% 4% 78 +0.2 230/297/335 105278 95 20% 6% 79 +0.3 220/301/312922658019%6%72-0.1
Darren Bragg
2004 · MLB
34 52 40→45 48→50 50 246/315/345 99313 611 22% 8% 88 +0.9 232/301/372 140291 159 24% 9% 89 +1.0 186/259/35316722421528%9%61-0.2