Daniel Palka
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 467 | .246/.353/.441 | 18 | 5 | 73 | — | .208/.282/.364 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAANYM | 445 | .263/.345/.506 | 26 | 0 | 75 | — | .216/.273/.376 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 484 | .232/.302/.419 | 21 | 3 | 54 | — | .184/.238/.306 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 241 | 205 | 62 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 302 | 394 | 502 | 897 | 200 | 348 | 19 | 12 | 388 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 521 | 455 | 113 | 23 | 5 | 22 | 56 | 129 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 248 | 336 | 466 | 802 | 218 | 294 | 25 | 11 | 350 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 576 | 511 | 143 | 36 | 3 | 29 | 56 | 164 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 356 | 532 | 888 | 252 | 353 | 28 | 10 | 384 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 100 | 90 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 278 | 337 | 444 | 781 | 167 | 314 | 19 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 223 | 203 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 86 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 297 | 483 | 780 | 251 | 324 | 39 | 8 | 339 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 345 | 300 | 81 | 12 | 4 | 21 | 38 | 100 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 270 | 354 | 547 | 901 | 277 | 324 | 29 | 11 | 384 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 89 | 80 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 188 | 261 | 338 | 599 | 150 | 250 | 34 | 9 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 362 | 332 | 91 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 80 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 274 | 331 | 431 | 761 | 157 | 329 | 22 | 7 | 337 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 20 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 350 | 444 | 794 | 167 | 250 | 5 | 10 | 355 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 60 | 54 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 350 | 426 | 776 | 148 | 318 | 15 | 10 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 449 | 417 | 100 | 15 | 3 | 27 | 30 | 153 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 294 | 484 | 778 | 245 | 308 | 34 | 7 | 340 | 111 | +6 | +0 | -14 | -6 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 73 | 63 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 286 | 384 | 476 | 860 | 190 | 385 | 29 | 14 | 383 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 93 | 84 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 107 | 194 | 179 | 372 | 71 | 149 | 38 | 9 | 181 | 8 | -10 | -0 | -3 | -6 | +2 | -1.8 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 471 | 395 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 27 | 72 | 109 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 377 | 527 | 903 | 263 | 293 | 23 | 15 | 392 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 420 | 356 | 91 | 19 | 2 | 18 | 61 | 90 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 256 | 366 | 472 | 838 | 216 | 292 | 21 | 15 | 370 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 47 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 234 | 186 | 420 | 23 | 206 | 19 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 445 | 395 | 104 | 18 | 0 | 26 | 48 | 105 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 263 | 345 | 506 | 851 | 243 | 294 | 24 | 11 | 372 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 412 | 371 | 88 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 96 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 311 | 420 | 731 | 183 | 275 | 23 | 9 | 325 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 72 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 250 | 412 | 662 | 206 | 213 | 24 | 4 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 542 | 501 | 109 | 15 | 3 | 29 | 38 | 188 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 218 | 277 | 433 | 710 | 216 | 282 | 35 | 7 | 312 | 98 | -2 | -0 | -17 | -12 | +12 | -1.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 241 | 217 | 46 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 212 | 275 | 346 | 621 | 134 | 261 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 521 | 475 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 176 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 194 | 256 | 354 | 610 | 160 | 254 | 34 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 576 | 531 | 113 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 36 | 219 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 213 | 268 | 412 | 680 | 200 | 294 | 38 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 223 | 209 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 102 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 187 | 234 | 383 | 617 | 196 | 287 | 46 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 345 | 313 | 63 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 127 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 201 | 263 | 371 | 633 | 169 | 276 | 37 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 362 | 343 | 81 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 96 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 272 | 370 | 642 | 134 | 291 | 27 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 368 | 618 | 158 | 190 | 5 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 449 | 420 | 100 | 15 | 3 | 27 | 27 | 153 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 287 | 481 | 768 | 243 | 308 | 34 | 6 | 332 | 111 | +6 | +0 | -14 | -6 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 73 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 288 | 343 | 631 | 119 | 329 | 36 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 93 | 84 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 107 | 194 | 179 | 372 | 71 | 149 | 38 | 9 | 180 | 8 | -10 | -0 | -3 | -6 | +2 | -1.8 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 471 | 424 | 85 | 20 | 0 | 19 | 43 | 136 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 274 | 382 | 656 | 182 | 236 | 29 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 420 | 379 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 110 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 208 | 282 | 364 | 646 | 156 | 252 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 445 | 412 | 89 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 131 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 216 | 273 | 376 | 649 | 160 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 412 | 385 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 120 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 184 | 238 | 306 | 544 | 122 | 238 | 29 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 241 | 217 | 46 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 212 | 275 | 346 | 621 | 134 | 270 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 241 | 205 | 62 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 302 | 394 | 502 | 897 | 200 | 348 | 19 | 12 | 388 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 521 | 475 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 176 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 194 | 256 | 354 | 610 | 160 | 260 | 34 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 521 | 455 | 113 | 23 | 5 | 22 | 56 | 129 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 248 | 336 | 466 | 802 | 218 | 294 | 25 | 11 | 350 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 676 | 623 | 132 | 31 | 3 | 29 | 42 | 258 | 4 | 28 | 8 | 212 | 266 | 411 | 677 | 199 | 300 | 38 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 676 | 601 | 168 | 42 | 3 | 32 | 64 | 183 | 4 | 28 | 8 | 280 | 353 | 519 | 872 | 240 | 346 | 27 | 9 | 378 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 657 | 604 | 119 | 20 | 4 | 27 | 43 | 265 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 197 | 253 | 377 | 630 | 180 | 287 | 40 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 657 | 583 | 143 | 27 | 4 | 37 | 64 | 216 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 245 | 322 | 496 | 818 | 250 | 314 | 33 | 10 | 353 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 442 | 420 | 96 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 113 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 229 | 264 | 355 | 618 | 126 | 283 | 26 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 442 | 404 | 111 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 35 | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 275 | 334 | 431 | 765 | 156 | 323 | 20 | 8 | 339 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 487 | 114 | 17 | 3 | 28 | 33 | 179 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 234 | 285 | 454 | 739 | 220 | 307 | 34 | 6 | 325 | 106 | +4 | -1 | -14 | -6 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 522 | 480 | 118 | 18 | 3 | 30 | 40 | 174 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 246 | 307 | 483 | 790 | 238 | 319 | 33 | 8 | 346 | 106 | +4 | -1 | -14 | -6 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 564 | 508 | 94 | 20 | 0 | 21 | 51 | 171 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 261 | 348 | 609 | 163 | 228 | 30 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 564 | 479 | 113 | 23 | 0 | 29 | 80 | 144 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 346 | 466 | 812 | 230 | 271 | 26 | 14 | 358 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 421 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 123 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 207 | 282 | 356 | 638 | 150 | 255 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 467 | 399 | 98 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 64 | 99 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 246 | 353 | 441 | 794 | 195 | 282 | 21 | 14 | 353 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 445 | 412 | 89 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 131 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 216 | 273 | 376 | 649 | 160 | 272 | 29 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Mets | — | 445 | 395 | 104 | 18 | 0 | 26 | 48 | 105 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 263 | 345 | 506 | 851 | 243 | 294 | 24 | 11 | 372 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 451 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 141 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 188 | 244 | 313 | 556 | 124 | 242 | 29 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 484 | 439 | 102 | 17 | 1 | 21 | 41 | 113 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 302 | 419 | 721 | 187 | 266 | 23 | 8 | 320 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 241 | 220 | 46 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 209 | 275 | 341 | 616 | 132 | 261 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 521 | 476 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 176 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 193 | 256 | 353 | 609 | 160 | 254 | 34 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 676 | 625 | 132 | 31 | 3 | 29 | 42 | 258 | 4 | 28 | 8 | 211 | 266 | 410 | 676 | 198 | 294 | 38 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 657 | 607 | 119 | 20 | 4 | 27 | 43 | 265 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 196 | 253 | 376 | 628 | 180 | 280 | 40 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 442 | 419 | 96 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 113 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 229 | 264 | 356 | 619 | 126 | 286 | 26 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 482 | 114 | 17 | 3 | 28 | 33 | 179 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 237 | 285 | 459 | 744 | 222 | 311 | 34 | 6 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 564 | 507 | 94 | 20 | 0 | 21 | 51 | 171 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 261 | 349 | 610 | 164 | 222 | 30 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 420 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 123 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 207 | 282 | 357 | 639 | 150 | 252 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 445 | 410 | 89 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 131 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 217 | 273 | 378 | 651 | 161 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 448 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 141 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 190 | 244 | 315 | 559 | 125 | 238 | 29 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 542 | 501 | 109 | 15 | 3 | 29 | 38 | 188 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 218 | 277 | 433 | 710 | 216 | 282 | 35 | 7 | 312 | 74 | -2 | -0 | -17 | -12 | +12 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 131 | 18 | 4 | 35 | 46 | 225 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 218 | 278 | 436 | 714 | 218 | 282 | 35 | 7 | 312 | 74 | -2 | -0 | -20 | -14 | +14 | -2.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5019 | 4618 | 954 | 177 | 20 | 183 | 344 | 1622 | 22 | 64 | 30 | 207 | 265 | 372 | 637 | 166 | 271 | 32 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -2 | -0 | -17 | -12 | +12 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 124 | 23 | 3 | 24 | 45 | 210 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 207 | 267 | 376 | 643 | 169 | 271 | 32 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -2 | -0 | -20 | -14 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAASyracuse Mets · 412 PAwOBA .316 → .240 (−75)K% 23.3% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.30% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.98% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×0.952 | 17.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×0.952 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×0.952 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.18% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 4.11% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .316 → .240; ISO .183 → .126; BABIP .275 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASyracuse Mets · 445 PAwOBA .362 → .279 (−83)K% 23.6% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.60% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.56% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×0.962 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×0.962 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 5.85% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 91, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .362 → .279; ISO .243 → .164; BABIP .294 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAARochester Red Wings · 420 PAwOBA .360 → .283 (−77)K% 21.4% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.81% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 9.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.55% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.005 | ×0.972 | 17.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×0.972 | 5.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.972 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.77% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 4.76% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .360 → .283; ISO .216 → .161; BABIP .292 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAACharlotte Knights · 471 PAwOBA .383 → .286 (−96)K% 23.1% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.14% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.44% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 9.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.88% | ÷1.061 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 15.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷0.921 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 6.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.44% | ÷1.212 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 6.49% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 112, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .383 → .286; ISO .263 → .194; BABIP .293 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAACharlotte Knights · 73 PAwOBA .368 → .281 (−87)K% 28.8% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.77% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.33% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 25.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.319 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.56% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .368 → .281; ISO .190 → .126; BABIP .385 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARochester Red Wings · 362 PAwOBA .326 → .275 (−52)K% 22.1% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.10% | ÷0.997 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.63% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 23.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.16% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.085 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 117, 3B 117, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .326 → .275; ISO .157 → .133; BABIP .329 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Twins · 20 PAwOBA .345 → .254 (−91)K% 5.0% → 7.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 7.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 18.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 4.31% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .345 → .254; ISO .167 → .125; BABIP .250 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 345 PAwOBA .380 → .276 (−104)K% 29.0% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.99% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.01% | ÷1.039 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 1.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.50% | ÷1.301 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 6.45% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 101, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 92, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .380 → .276; ISO .277 → .180; BABIP .324 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .