Jarrett Parker
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AAASF | 222 | .273/.365/.582 | 16 | 1 | 87 | — | .208/.279/.421 | |
| 2016 | 27 | MLBSF | 151 | .236/.358/.394 | 5 | 0 | 120 | 0.1 | ||
| 2017 | 28 | AAASF | 133 | .232/.353/.357 | 3 | 1 | 61 | — | .188/.286/.274 | |
| 2017 | 28 | MLBSF | 177 | .247/.294/.416 | 4 | 2 | 97 | -0.0 | ||
| 2019 | 30 | AAALAA | 424 | .266/.397/.535 | 24 | 2 | 80 | — | .186/.285/.365 | |
| 2019 | 30 | MLBLAA | 15 | .000/.200/.000 | 0 | 0 | -19 | -0.8 | ||
| 2020 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 571 | 486 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 74 | 144 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 253 | 361 | 397 | 758 | 144 | 333 | 25 | 13 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 491 | 409 | 101 | 21 | 7 | 15 | 70 | 175 | 8 | 28 | 6 | 247 | 368 | 443 | 810 | 196 | 389 | 36 | 14 | 360 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 524 | 443 | 109 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 161 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 246 | 358 | 431 | 789 | 185 | 345 | 31 | 12 | 352 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 71 | 60 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 382 | 333 | 716 | 33 | 409 | 27 | 11 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 89 | 79 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 278 | 360 | 456 | 815 | 177 | 358 | 26 | 10 | 363 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 419 | 363 | 100 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 45 | 103 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 275 | 371 | 463 | 834 | 187 | 353 | 25 | 11 | 370 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 54 | 49 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 347 | 407 | 755 | 1.163 | 408 | 500 | 39 | 9 | 494 | 235 | +9 | -0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 504 | 434 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 23 | 62 | 164 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 283 | 378 | 514 | 892 | 230 | 398 | 33 | 12 | 389 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 151 | 127 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 358 | 394 | 751 | 157 | 321 | 29 | 13 | 343 | 120 | +4 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 222 | 194 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 66 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 365 | 582 | 947 | 309 | 330 | 30 | 12 | 409 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 177 | 166 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 294 | 416 | 709 | 169 | 343 | 31 | 6 | 313 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 133 | 112 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 353 | 357 | 711 | 125 | 295 | 23 | 16 | 328 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 53 | 20 | 140 | -19 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +0 | -0.8 | ||||
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 424 | 346 | 92 | 19 | 1 | 24 | 72 | 125 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 397 | 535 | 931 | 269 | 340 | 29 | 17 | 405 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 397 | 354 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 127 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 249 | 330 | 441 | 771 | 192 | 344 | 32 | 9 | 343 | 118 | +9 | -1 | -4 | -18 | +9 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 571 | 503 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 197 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 207 | 298 | 320 | 618 | 113 | 311 | 35 | 10 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 491 | 434 | 82 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 234 | 8 | 28 | 6 | 189 | 277 | 334 | 611 | 145 | 359 | 48 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 524 | 463 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 203 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 212 | 298 | 356 | 654 | 145 | 330 | 39 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 89 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 292 | 346 | 638 | 123 | 323 | 34 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 419 | 380 | 91 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 124 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 239 | 309 | 389 | 698 | 150 | 327 | 30 | 7 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 54 | 49 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 347 | 407 | 755 | 1.163 | 408 | 500 | 39 | 9 | 515 | 235 | +9 | -0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 504 | 452 | 104 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 202 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 230 | 304 | 400 | 704 | 170 | 360 | 40 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 151 | 128 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 351 | 391 | 742 | 156 | 321 | 29 | 12 | 346 | 120 | +4 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 222 | 202 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 82 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 279 | 421 | 700 | 213 | 283 | 37 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 177 | 168 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 282 | 411 | 693 | 167 | 343 | 31 | 5 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 133 | 117 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 286 | 274 | 559 | 85 | 263 | 30 | 12 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 53 | 20 | 140 | -19 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +0 | -0.8 | ||||
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 424 | 370 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 48 | 160 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 186 | 285 | 365 | 650 | 178 | 260 | 38 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 571 | 503 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 197 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 207 | 298 | 320 | 618 | 113 | 314 | 35 | 10 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 571 | 486 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 74 | 144 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 253 | 361 | 397 | 758 | 144 | 333 | 25 | 13 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 491 | 434 | 82 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 234 | 8 | 28 | 6 | 189 | 277 | 334 | 611 | 145 | 368 | 48 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 491 | 409 | 101 | 21 | 7 | 15 | 70 | 175 | 8 | 28 | 6 | 247 | 368 | 443 | 810 | 196 | 389 | 36 | 14 | 360 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 525 | 111 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 230 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 211 | 296 | 354 | 650 | 143 | 337 | 39 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 595 | 503 | 127 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 70 | 180 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 252 | 361 | 419 | 780 | 167 | 354 | 30 | 12 | 348 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 461 | 109 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 35 | 154 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 236 | 306 | 382 | 687 | 145 | 328 | 30 | 7 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 508 | 442 | 122 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 54 | 126 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 276 | 369 | 462 | 830 | 186 | 354 | 25 | 11 | 369 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 558 | 501 | 122 | 22 | 3 | 24 | 49 | 223 | 4 | 21 | 8 | 244 | 316 | 443 | 759 | 200 | 380 | 40 | 9 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 558 | 483 | 140 | 27 | 3 | 29 | 67 | 185 | 4 | 21 | 8 | 290 | 381 | 538 | 919 | 248 | 407 | 33 | 12 | 399 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 330 | 72 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 126 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 308 | 409 | 717 | 191 | 298 | 34 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 373 | 321 | 83 | 11 | 3 | 21 | 45 | 110 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 259 | 362 | 508 | 870 | 249 | 326 | 29 | 12 | 382 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 310 | 285 | 64 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 94 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 287 | 368 | 656 | 144 | 310 | 30 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 310 | 278 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 85 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 241 | 319 | 392 | 711 | 151 | 323 | 27 | 10 | 320 | 82 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 382 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 168 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 282 | 353 | 636 | 173 | 260 | 38 | 12 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 439 | 358 | 92 | 19 | 1 | 24 | 75 | 133 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 390 | 517 | 907 | 260 | 333 | 30 | 17 | 396 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 571 | 501 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 197 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 208 | 298 | 321 | 619 | 114 | 311 | 35 | 10 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 491 | 435 | 82 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 234 | 8 | 28 | 6 | 189 | 277 | 333 | 611 | 145 | 359 | 48 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 527 | 111 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 230 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 211 | 296 | 353 | 649 | 142 | 330 | 39 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 457 | 109 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 35 | 154 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 239 | 306 | 385 | 691 | 147 | 326 | 30 | 7 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 558 | 500 | 122 | 22 | 3 | 24 | 49 | 223 | 4 | 21 | 8 | 244 | 316 | 444 | 760 | 200 | 374 | 40 | 9 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 327 | 72 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 126 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 308 | 413 | 721 | 193 | 298 | 34 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 310 | 282 | 64 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 94 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 287 | 372 | 659 | 145 | 308 | 30 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 382 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 168 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 282 | 353 | 636 | 173 | 251 | 38 | 12 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 397 | 354 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 127 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 249 | 330 | 441 | 771 | 192 | 344 | 32 | 9 | 343 | 85 | +9 | -1 | -4 | -18 | +9 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 145 | 28 | 5 | 25 | 61 | 208 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 250 | 332 | 445 | 777 | 195 | 346 | 32 | 9 | 343 | 85 | +14 | -1 | -6 | -29 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3845 | 3421 | 733 | 135 | 26 | 115 | 345 | 1426 | 57 | 101 | 41 | 214 | 297 | 370 | 667 | 156 | 326 | 37 | 9 | 294 | 85 | +9 | -1 | -4 | -18 | +9 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 123 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 241 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 213 | 295 | 365 | 660 | 152 | 325 | 37 | 9 | 294 | 85 | +14 | -1 | -6 | -29 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAASalt Lake Bees · 424 PAwOBA .395 → .286 (−109)K% 29.5% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.48% | ÷1.009 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.04% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 11.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.72% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 17.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.60% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.86% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 7.78% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .395 → .286; ISO .269 → .186; BABIP .340 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASacramento River Cats · 133 PAwOBA .320 → .259 (−61)K% 23.3% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.31% | ÷0.989 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.952 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 11.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.027 | ×0.900 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 20.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.810 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.889 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.22% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .320 → .259; ISO .125 → .103; BABIP .295 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASacramento River Cats · 222 PAwOBA .398 → .297 (−101)K% 29.7% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.73% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.71% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 7.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.09% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 19.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.082 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 9.03% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .398 → .297; ISO .309 → .216; BABIP .330 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASacramento River Cats · 504 PAwOBA .380 → .309 (−71)K% 32.5% → 40.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.54% | ÷1.047 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.71% | ÷0.960 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 8.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.003 | ×0.900 | ×1.038 | ×1.018 | 25.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.024 | ×0.810 | ×1.038 | ×1.018 | 7.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | ×1.038 | ×1.018 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.52% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 6.89% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 109, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .380 → .309; ISO .230 → .178; BABIP .398 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 419 PAwOBA .360 → .306 (−54)K% 24.6% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.58% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 22.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.983 | ×0.860 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.31% | ÷1.061 | ×0.950 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 112, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .360 → .306; ISO .187 → .161; BABIP .353 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 89 PAwOBA .354 → .281 (−73)K% 25.8% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.84% | ÷0.994 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.11% | ÷1.005 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.900 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 23.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.93% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.045 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 4.13% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .354 → .281; ISO .177 → .130; BABIP .358 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 524 PAwOBA .342 → .285 (−58)K% 30.7% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.73% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.64% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.11% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 23.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.030 | ×0.860 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 5.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.77% | ÷1.011 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.38% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.39% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .342 → .285; ISO .185 → .152; BABIP .345 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+San Jose Giants · 491 PAwOBA .350 → .271 (−79)K% 35.6% → 47.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.64% | ÷1.001 | ×1.340 | — | — | 47.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.65% | ÷1.047 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷0.994 | ×0.910 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 23.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷0.926 | ×0.820 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 8.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.99% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 2.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.41% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 5.98% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 99, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .350 → .271; ISO .196 → .157; BABIP .389 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .