Daulton Varsho — OGILVIE

Daulton VarshoCF Houston Astros

Age 30 L/R 5'8" / 207 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 5.744 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION506 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8194vR 98

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO201

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

817.8%

xAVG

100.212

POWER50

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

2587.2

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE50

Chase%

9019.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

4727.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▲23% over 104 PA (30d) · proj 25%

BB%8%·8% over 152 PA (45d) · proj 8%

ISO.154▼▼.114 over 185 AB (60d) · proj .201xISO .127 vs .185 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB4.3%▼▼2.8% over 143 BBE (60d) · proj 6.3%barrel% 6.9% vs 9.6% prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.254·.245 over 139 BIP (60d) · proj .256xBABIP .258 vs .227 prior

SLASH.214/.279/.369▼▼proj .222/.285/.423

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 876 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

185

691

—

wRC+

119

100

◀◀L

wOBA

344

316

◀L

ISO

157

244

▶▶R

BABIP

313

242

◀◀L

17.8%

28.2%

◀◀L

BB%

8.7%

7.7%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2020

Service 5.744 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.9M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$0.8M
Totals		$0.9M		$0.1M	-$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	342	304	87	11	3	11	30	71	7	19	3	286	364	451	814	164	341	21	9	363	132	+13	+3	—	—	+7	2.3
2018	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	72	60	17	1	1	0	12	13	0	8	4	283	403	333	736	50	362	18	17	345	120	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2019	23	AA	Jackson Generals	—	452	396	119	25	4	18	42	63	10	21	5	301	382	520	902	220	317	14	9	393	152	+28	+2	—	—	+10	4.1
2020	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	101	19	5	2	3	12	33	2	3	1	188	287	366	653	178	246	29	10	295	86	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.1
2021	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	315	284	70	17	2	11	30	67	0	6	0	246	318	437	755	190	286	21	10	334	112	+4	+1	+4	+7	+7	2.4
2021	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	87	80	25	6	1	9	7	16	0	2	0	312	368	750	1.118	438	291	18	8	472	206	+11	+0	—	—	+2	1.3
2022	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	531	125	23	3	27	46	145	7	16	6	235	304	443	747	207	269	24	8	326	107	+5	+1	+14	-6	+13	2.7
2023	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	527	116	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	220	286	389	675	169	256	23	8	299	88	-8	+0	+7	-6	+13	0.6
2024	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	459	98	21	7	18	48	137	4	10	2	214	294	407	701	194	262	27	9	310	96	-2	+1	+12	+2	+11	2.5
2025	29	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	271	248	59	13	2	20	17	77	1	2	0	238	289	548	838	310	250	28	6	354	126	+8	+0	+6	+1	+6	2.2
2025	29	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	33	30	4	0	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	133	188	233	421	100	136	24	3	189	14	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2387	2150	487	102	19	99	198	594	18	53	16	227	297	430	727	203	264	25	8	319	102	+5	+4	+43	-2	+52	10.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	342	313	74	8	2	10	21	92	7	19	3	236	299	371	670	134	297	27	6	288	81	-8	+3	—	—	+7	0.2
2019	23	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	452	410	104	19	4	15	28	75	10	21	5	254	317	429	746	176	271	17	6	321	103	+2	+2	—	—	+10	1.4
2020	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	101	19	5	2	3	12	33	2	3	1	188	287	366	653	178	246	29	10	287	80	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2021	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	315	284	70	16	2	12	30	67	0	6	0	246	318	444	762	197	286	21	10	321	103	+1	+1	+4	+7	+7	2.1
2021	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	87	82	19	4	1	6	5	19	0	2	0	232	276	524	800	293	231	22	6	344	119	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	532	125	21	3	29	46	145	7	16	6	235	304	449	754	214	269	24	8	323	105	+3	+1	+14	-6	+13	2.5
2023	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	528	116	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	220	286	388	674	169	256	23	8	295	86	-10	+0	+7	-6	+13	0.4
2024	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	459	98	21	7	18	48	137	4	10	2	214	294	407	701	194	262	27	9	304	92	-5	+1	+12	+2	+11	2.2
2025	29	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	271	248	59	13	2	20	17	77	1	2	0	238	289	548	838	310	250	28	6	346	121	+7	+0	+6	+1	+6	2.0
2025	29	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	33	30	4	0	0	1	1	10	1	0	0	133	188	233	421	100	125	30	3	162	-4	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2018	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	414	381	90	10	3	12	25	112	7	27	7	236	295	373	668	136	302	27	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	414	364	104	12	4	11	42	84	7	27	7	286	370	431	802	146	344	20	10	360	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	452	410	104	19	4	15	28	75	10	21	5	254	317	429	746	176	275	17	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	Jackson Generals	—	452	396	119	25	4	18	42	63	10	21	5	301	382	520	902	220	317	14	9	393	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	101	19	5	2	3	12	33	2	3	1	188	287	366	653	178	246	29	10	287	80	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2020	24	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	101	19	5	2	3	12	33	2	3	1	188	287	366	653	178	246	29	10	295	80	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2021	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	402	366	89	20	3	18	35	86	0	8	0	243	309	462	771	219	271	21	9	326	107	+3	+2	+4	+7	+9	2.5
2021	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	402	364	95	23	3	20	37	83	0	8	0	261	329	505	835	245	287	21	9	364	107	+3	+2	+4	+7	+9	2.5
2022	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	532	125	21	3	29	46	145	7	16	6	235	304	449	754	214	264	24	8	323	105	+3	+1	+14	-6	+13	2.5
2022	26	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	531	125	23	3	27	46	145	7	16	6	235	304	443	747	207	269	24	8	326	105	+3	+1	+14	-6	+13	2.5
2023	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	528	116	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	220	286	388	674	169	255	23	8	295	86	-10	+0	+7	-6	+13	0.4
2023	27	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	527	116	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	220	286	389	675	169	256	23	8	299	86	-10	+0	+7	-6	+13	0.4
2024	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	459	98	21	7	18	48	137	4	10	2	214	294	407	701	194	262	27	9	304	92	-5	+1	+12	+2	+11	2.2
2024	28	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	459	98	21	7	18	48	137	4	10	2	214	294	407	701	194	262	27	9	310	92	-5	+1	+12	+2	+11	2.2
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	304	278	63	13	2	21	18	87	2	2	0	227	279	514	793	288	239	29	6	326	107	+3	+0	+6	+1	+7	1.7
2025	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	304	278	63	13	2	21	18	85	2	2	0	227	279	514	793	288	236	28	6	336	107	+3	+0	+6	+1	+7	1.7
2018	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	414	379	90	10	3	12	25	112	7	27	7	237	295	375	670	137	297	27	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	452	411	104	19	4	15	28	75	10	21	5	253	317	428	745	175	271	17	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	100	19	5	2	3	12	33	2	3	1	190	287	370	657	180	246	29	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	402	364	89	20	3	18	35	86	0	8	0	245	309	464	774	220	274	21	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	534	125	21	3	29	46	145	7	16	6	234	304	448	752	213	269	24	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	527	116	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	220	286	389	675	169	256	23	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	456	98	21	7	18	48	137	4	10	2	215	294	410	704	195	262	27	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	304	281	63	13	2	21	18	87	2	2	0	224	279	509	787	285	236	29	6	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	527	116	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	220	286	389	675	169	256	23	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	456	98	21	7	18	48	137	4	10	2	215	294	410	704	195	262	27	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	304	281	63	13	2	21	18	87	2	2	0	224	279	509	787	285	236	29	6	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	HOU	—	506	464	104	22	3	11	39	103	2	12	0	224	287	356	643	131	265	20	8	285	79	-13	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.3
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	HOU	—	506	464	105	23	3	11	39	103	2	12	0	226	289	360	649	134	268	20	8	291	79	-13	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.3
YTD	30	MLB RAW	HOU	—	506	464	105	23	3	11	39	103	2	12	0	226	289	360	649	134	268	20	8	291	83	-10	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.5
ROS	30	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	22	11	307	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		271	22	11	303	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	HOU	—	515	472	106	23	3	11	40	105	2	12	0	225	288	356	644	131	266	20	8	292	79	-13	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.3
TOT	30	MLB MLE	HOU	—	515	472	105	22	3	11	40	105	2	12	0	222	286	352	638	129	263	20	8	285	79	-13	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	399	363	82	18	3	13	31	90	2	8	1	226	290	399	690	174	259	23	8	299	89	-5	+1	+2	+1	+9	0.8
2028	32	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	380	346	76	16	3	12	29	88	2	6	1	220	284	387	671	168	255	23	8	293	85	-7	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.5
2027	31	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	399	363	81	18	3	12	31	90	2	8	1	223	288	388	676	165	261	23	8	296	89	-5	+1	+2	+1	+9	0.8
2028	32	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	380	346	76	17	3	11	29	88	2	6	1	220	284	382	665	162	257	23	8	290	85	-7	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3175	2867	645	137	25	122	259	774	22	67	18	225	294	418	712	193	263	24	8	312	94	-7	+6	+47	+1	+69	11.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	132	28	5	25	53	158	5	14	4	225	295	417	712	193	262	24	8	312	94	-1	+1	+10	+0	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4161	3772	863	166	33	161	318	990	40	117	30	229	296	418	714	190	265	24	8	308	94	-7	+6	+47	+1	+69	11.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	135	26	5	25	50	155	6	18	5	229	296	418	714	188	266	24	8	308	94	-1	+1	+10	+0	+14	2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2Jackie Bradley Jr.last yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,192 PA	6.3	4,192	109	69	225	303	381	+6	+78	17.2	18.6
/162	664	17	11	+1.0	+12.3	2.7	pk7: 20
#3Pedro Felizlast yr '10 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,537 PA	6.8	4,537	140	13	250	288	410	-8	+87	16.8	17.9
/162	664	20	2	-1.1	+12.8	2.5	pk7: 19
#4Clint Barmeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,100 PA	6.2	4,100	89	43	245	294	379	+34	+76	16.8	16.2
/162	664	14	7	+5.4	+12.4	2.7	pk7: 16
#5Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.3	4,209	157	89	226	290	414	+15	+65	11.8	11.2
/162	664	25	14	+2.4	+10.3	1.9	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daulton Varsho (OGILVIE)	30	35	50	60	50	229/292/397	168	269	17	12	22%	8%	94	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	47→41	50	54→50	44	240/301/394	154	301	19	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	229/299/343	114	320	11	10	29%	8%	83	+0.1	221/298/307	86	323	6	5	31%	9%	73	-0.2
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	202/280/375	174	267	22	14	33%	9%	84	+0.2	216/288/391	175	306	21	17	34%	9%	91	+0.6	206/276/393	187	291	21	20	35%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	42→38	54→55	52→50	40	221/278/398	178	293	22	16	32%	6%	88	+0.5	215/282/373	158	296	17	14	31%	8%	84	+0.1	194/268/357	163	263	17	13	32%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Jack Mayfield 2022 · MLB	31	43→46	54→55	51→50	43	229/279/406	177	261	22	9	22%	6%	91	+0.6	219/266/358	139	269	15	11	24%	5%	74	-0.5	196/235/314	117	246	11	12	25%	4%	49	-1.2
✕Kevin Kiermaier 2020 · MLB	30	45→55	50→55	56→55	45	231/287/396	165	275	17	20	23%	6%	91	+0.6	236/303/383	147	302	13	18	25%	8%	93	+0.8	250/313/390	140	320	11	17	24%	7%	96	+0.6
✕Rafael Ortega 2021 · MLB	30	45→54	47→50	52→55	49	227/290/369	142	268	14	16	21%	8%	85	+0.2	242/320/385	143	292	16	18	22%	10%	101	+1.4	232/321/360	127	280	14	21	21%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	47→48	51→50	55→60	42	238/302/403	165	297	18	20	26%	6%	99	+1.2	215/283/343	128	307	13	24	32%	7%	78	-0.3	196/268/306	110	296	10	29	35%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Ryan Flaherty 2016 · MLB	30	42→47	48→50	50→45	47	213/285/355	142	260	16	3	24%	8%	81	-0.1	228/306/342	114	292	12	6	24%	9%	86	+0.3	228/311/308	80	298	7	7	24%	10%	73	-0.2
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	40→49	51→50	55→50	51	212/293/370	158	260	19	11	26%	10%	87	+0.4	227/310/381	154	307	18	6	29%	10%	96	+1.0	211/296/350	139	302	15	0	33%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	49→50	53→55	49	214/293/360	147	273	17	15	28%	9%	85	+0.2	197/274/337	140	265	16	15	30%	9%	73	-0.6	169/251/300	130	226	15	14	31%	10%	56	-1.1
✕Jason Smith 2007 · MLB	30	44→35	48→55	53→50	40	225/270/371	147	295	15	14	29%	6%	78	-0.3	205/242/351	146	290	17	8	35%	4%	63	-1.3	178/208/309	131	254	16	7	37%	3%	39	-1.7
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	51→55	59→55	43	244/292/415	171	288	17	25	22%	5%	97	+1.1	239/280/394	155	290	14	20	22%	4%	88	+0.4	243/279/400	158	299	15	27	24%	4%	86	+0.1
✕George Lombard 2005 · MLB	29	47→44	47→50	55	45	237/295/377	140	297	15	17	25%	7%	89	+0.5	224/296/372	148	312	16	23	31%	8%	88	+0.5	216/290/358	142	303	15	27	32%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Tyler Heineman 2021 · MLB	30	49→46	46→45	52→50	49	240/303/371	131	271	13	9	17%	7%	91	+0.7	224/290/306	82	273	6	8	19%	7%	71	-0.8	221/317/317	95	275	9	14	21%	10%	83	+0.0
✕Danny Espinosa 2017 · MLB	30	42→51	52→55	49→50	46	221/305/386	164	280	21	9	28%	8%	96	+1.0	198/267/330	132	269	17	10	32%	7%	70	-0.9	182/242/294	112	251	14	12	33%	6%	50	-1.4
✕Erik Kratz 2010 · AAA	30	42→46	50→60	51→45	42	219/268/378	159	266	17	8	25%	6%	80	-0.1	224/286/373	149	270	16	5	23%	6%	86	+0.3	219/286/374	155	255	18	2	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	54→60	54→50	41	232/279/411	180	275	22	18	25%	5%	92	+0.7	233/279/386	153	297	17	13	27%	5%	86	+0.3	229/276/363	134	296	14	11	27%	5%	76	-0.4
✕Jose Rojas 2022 · MLB	29	42→48	51→60	47→50	45	218/273/384	165	262	19	8	25%	7%	83	+0.1	212/271/392	180	255	23	8	26%	7%	84	+0.2	202/268/404	202	235	26	10	27%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jake Cave 2023 · MLB	30	45→55	49→55	55→50	42	224/287/383	158	304	16	10	31%	7%	88	+0.4	236/294/396	160	308	16	9	27%	7%	93	+0.8	234/292/388	155	303	15	10	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Nick Dini 2023 · AAA	30	42	50	49→50	45	220/281/367	147	256	19	7	23%	6%	82	+0.0	205/295/338	133	268	15	11	28%	10%	82	-0.0	155/276/265	109	206	14	12	30%	12%	58	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps