Daulton Varsho — OGILVIE

Daulton VarshoCF Toronto Blue Jays

Age 30 L/R 5'8" / 207 lbs MLB Svc 5.744 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION308 act + 205 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 119106vR 101

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .300 / .432

PA205

HR8

SB5

K%23

BB%8

BABIP269

ISO200

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

679.2%

xwOBA

330.289

POWER50

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

2387.0

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE50

Chase%

9022.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

4627.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 876 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

185

691

—

wRC+

122

100

◀◀L

wOBA

344

316

◀L

ISO

157

244

▶▶R

BABIP

313

242

◀◀L

17.8%

28.2%

◀◀L

BB%

8.7%

7.7%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2020

Service 5.744 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$4M	+0.8	$3M	-$1M
Totals		$4M		$3M	-$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	414	382	90	9	3	11	24	109	7	27	7	236	293	361	654	126	300	26	6	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	414	364	104	12	4	11	42	84	7	27	7	286	370	431	802	146	344	20	10	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Jackson Generals	—	452	410	106	18	4	18	28	77	10	21	5	259	321	454	775	195	276	17	6	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Jackson Generals	—	452	396	119	25	4	18	42	63	10	21	5	301	382	520	902	220	317	14	9	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	101	19	5	2	3	12	33	2	3	1	188	287	366	653	178	246	29	10	287	78	-3	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.1
2020	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	101	19	5	2	3	12	33	2	3	1	188	287	366	653	178	246	29	10	295	84	-2	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.2
2021	25	MLB	2 teams	—	402	366	89	20	3	19	35	87	0	8	0	243	309	470	779	227	269	22	9	329	110	+4	+2	+4	+7	+11	2.9
2021	25	MLB	2 teams	—	402	364	95	23	3	20	37	83	0	8	0	261	329	505	835	245	287	21	9	364	136	+17	+2	+4	+7	+11	4.1
2022	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	532	122	22	3	26	46	145	7	16	6	229	299	429	728	199	262	24	8	316	100	-0	+1	+14	-6	+17	2.6
2022	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	531	125	23	3	27	46	145	7	16	6	235	304	443	747	207	269	24	8	326	108	+5	+1	+14	-6	+17	3.1
2023	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	528	115	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	218	284	386	671	169	253	23	8	294	83	-11	+0	+7	-6	+16	0.7
2023	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	527	116	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	220	286	389	675	169	256	23	8	299	87	-9	+0	+7	-6	+16	1.0
2024	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	459	96	21	6	18	48	137	4	10	2	209	290	399	688	190	256	27	9	303	90	-6	+1	+12	+2	+15	2.5
2024	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	459	98	21	7	18	48	137	4	10	2	214	294	407	701	194	262	27	9	310	96	-3	+1	+12	+2	+15	2.8
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	304	278	62	13	2	21	18	87	2	2	0	223	275	511	786	288	233	29	6	328	109	+3	+0	+6	+1	+9	1.9
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	304	278	63	13	2	21	18	85	2	2	0	227	279	514	793	288	236	28	6	336	115	+5	+0	+6	+1	+9	2.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	TOR	—	308	279	67	16	2	7	26	61	2	9	0	240	309	387	697	147	283	20	8	304	91	-3	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.9
YTD	30	MLB	TOR	—	308	279	67	16	2	7	26	61	2	9	0	240	309	387	697	147	283	20	8	312	97	-1	+2	+0	+1	+9	1.1
ROS	30	MLB	TOR	100%	205	185	43	9	2	8	17	48	1	5	0	232	300	432	732	200	266	23	8	317	101	+0	+1	+3	+1	+6	1.1
ROS	30	MLB	TOR	100%	205	186	43	9	2	8	16	47	1	5	0	231	296	430	726	199	268	23	8	313	98	-0	+1	+3	+1	+6	1.0
FULL	30	MLB	TOR	—	513	465	110	25	4	15	42	108	3	14	0	237	304	404	708	168	276	21	8	308	94	-4	+3	+3	+2	+15	1.9
TOT	30	MLB	TOR	—	513	464	110	25	4	15	43	109	3	14	0	237	306	405	711	168	278	21	8	309	95	-3	+3	+3	+2	+15	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	TOR	100%	399	361	82	18	3	15	32	94	3	8	1	227	295	418	714	191	261	24	8	312	97	-2	+1	+3	+1	+11	1.6
2028	32	MLB	TOR	100%	380	345	77	16	3	14	30	91	2	6	1	223	289	409	698	186	258	24	8	306	92	-3	+1	+2	+1	+11	1.2
2029	33	MLB	TOR	100%	350	317	68	14	3	12	28	85	2	5	0	215	282	391	674	177	253	24	8	298	86	-5	+1	+1	+1	+10	0.8
2030	34	MLB	TOR	100%	306	277	58	12	2	10	24	77	2	3	0	209	277	375	653	166	246	25	8	288	79	-7	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.2
2027	31	MLB	TOR	100%	399	361	82	18	3	15	32	94	3	8	1	227	295	418	714	191	263	24	8	308	94	-3	+1	+3	+1	+11	1.4
2028	32	MLB	TOR	100%	380	345	77	16	3	14	30	91	2	6	1	223	289	409	698	186	259	24	8	302	89	-5	+1	+2	+1	+11	1.0
2029	33	MLB	TOR	100%	350	317	69	14	3	12	28	85	2	5	0	218	285	394	680	177	254	24	8	295	84	-6	+1	+1	+1	+10	0.7
2030	34	MLB	TOR	100%	306	277	58	12	2	10	24	77	2	3	0	209	277	375	653	166	247	25	8	285	76	-8	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4027	3636	816	171	32	158	328	988	28	80	18	224	293	419	713	195	262	25	8	311	96	-17	+9	+51	+4	+114	16.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	132	28	5	26	53	159	5	13	3	225	295	422	718	198	261	24	8	311	96	-3	+1	+8	+1	+18	2.6
Career	—			—	5013	4541	1027	200	39	195	387	1205	46	130	30	226	294	416	710	190	262	24	8	309	94	-32	+14	+51	+7	+142	18.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	133	26	5	25	50	156	6	17	4	226	293	414	707	188	262	24	8	309	94	-4	+2	+7	+1	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	342	304	87	11	3	11	30	71	7	19	3	286	364	451	814	164	341	21	9	363	136	+14	+3	—	—	+10	2.7
2018	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	72	60	17	1	1	0	12	13	0	8	4	283	403	333	736	50	362	18	17	345	122	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2019	23	AA	Jackson Generals	—	452	396	119	25	4	18	42	63	10	21	5	301	382	520	902	220	317	14	9	393	159	+30	+2	—	—	+13	4.6
2020	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	101	19	5	2	3	12	33	2	3	1	188	287	366	653	178	246	29	10	295	84	-2	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.2
2021	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	315	284	70	17	2	11	30	67	0	6	0	246	318	437	755	190	286	21	10	334	113	+5	+1	+4	+7	+9	2.6
2021	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	87	80	25	6	1	9	7	16	0	2	0	312	368	750	1.118	438	291	18	8	472	219	+12	+0	—	—	+2	1.5
2022	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	531	125	23	3	27	46	145	7	16	6	235	304	443	747	207	269	24	8	326	108	+5	+1	+14	-6	+17	3.1
2023	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	581	527	116	23	3	20	45	135	4	16	7	220	286	389	675	169	256	23	8	299	87	-9	+0	+7	-6	+16	1.0
2024	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	513	459	98	21	7	18	48	137	4	10	2	214	294	407	701	194	262	27	9	310	96	-3	+1	+12	+2	+15	2.8
2025	29	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	271	248	59	13	2	20	17	77	1	2	0	238	289	548	838	310	250	28	6	354	129	+9	+0	+6	+1	+8	2.4
2025	29	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	33	30	4	0	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	133	188	233	421	100	136	24	3	189	3	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2387	2150	487	102	19	99	198	594	18	53	16	227	297	430	727	203	264	25	8	319	102	+6	+4	+43	-2	+68	12.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gonzalezlast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,527 PA	13	5,527	140	27	244	289	394	+37	+84	21.1	21.3
	/162	664	17	3	244	289	394	+4.4	+10.1	2.5	pk7: 21
#2Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#3Jackie Bradley Jr.last yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,192 PA	11	4,192	109	69	225	303	381	+6	+78	17.2	18.6
	/162	664	17	11	225	303	381	+1.0	+12.3	2.7	pk7: 20
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,633	180	93	225	291	420	+7	+79	13.6	12.3
	/162	664	26	13	225	291	420	+1.0	+11.3	1.9	pk7: 11
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	10	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.2
	/162	664	19	24	227	280	381	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daulton Varsho (OGILVIE)	30	35	50	60	50	237/306/405	168	278	15	14	21%	8%	95	+2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	46→39	51→50	54→50	43	236/295/396	160	293	20	14	26%	6%	93	+1.3	232/300/353	121	326	12	10	30%	8%	84	+0.6	229/307/327	97	339	8	5	32%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	40→48	51→50	55→50	51	212/293/370	157	261	19	11	26%	10%	85	+0.7	229/309/385	156	308	18	6	29%	10%	96	+1.5	215/297/359	143	306	15	0	32%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Trevor Story 2023 · MLB	30	43→49	53→60	55	48	226/300/405	179	279	21	20	27%	9%	98	+1.6	233/294/394	161	303	19	24	28%	7%	92	+1.2	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Rafael Ortega 2021 · MLB	30	45→54	50→55	52→55	48	229/290/390	161	268	18	16	22%	8%	89	+1.0	242/319/388	146	292	16	18	22%	10%	101	+1.8	232/322/362	130	281	14	21	21%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB	30	40→44	53→55	50	47	215/284/382	167	268	21	7	28%	9%	85	+0.7	225/282/392	167	291	22	5	30%	7%	87	+0.8	217/273/380	163	279	23	2	31%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	53→60	59→55	42	247/294/428	181	289	19	25	22%	5%	101	+1.8	242/282/405	163	292	15	20	22%	4%	89	+1.0	248/283/416	169	302	17	27	24%	4%	90	+0.5
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Jake Cave 2023 · MLB	30	44→54	52→55	54→50	41	227/288/398	171	302	19	10	31%	7%	91	+1.1	231/289/395	164	299	17	9	28%	7%	90	+1.0	230/287/390	160	293	17	7	27%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	41→37	57→60	52→50	39	222/276/420	198	292	26	16	33%	6%	92	+1.2	211/277/371	160	292	18	14	33%	8%	79	+0.3	187/262/347	160	256	17	13	33%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Justin Maxwell 2014 · MLB	30	45→44	55→60	52→60	45	231/303/423	192	311	23	15	32%	8%	104	+2.0	214/278/348	134	312	15	9	34%	7%	73	-0.1	199/263/308	108	295	13	6	35%	6%	54	-0.6
●Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	55→60	54→50	40	235/281/421	186	278	23	18	25%	5%	95	+1.4	242/288/413	171	301	20	13	26%	5%	95	+1.4	240/287/394	155	303	17	11	26%	5%	86	+0.6
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2021 · MLB	29	43	57→50	48→30	56	229/328/425	196	276	25	5	26%	12%	115	+2.7	227/314/392	165	288	20	3	27%	11%	101	+1.8	220/312/374	154	284	19	1	28%	11%	93	+0.8
✕Chris Young 2014 · MLB	30	42→49	53→60	50→55	53	222/304/406	184	259	20	15	23%	10%	100	+1.7	235/307/414	179	274	20	11	22%	9%	103	+1.9	238/311/419	180	275	21	9	21%	8%	103	+1.1
✕Jack Mayfield 2022 · MLB	31	43→45	56→60	51→50	43	233/281/421	188	262	24	9	22%	6%	95	+1.4	220/266/363	143	269	16	11	24%	5%	72	-0.2	198/236/317	119	249	11	12	25%	3%	44	-1.1
✕George Lombard 2006 · MLB	30	45→44	50	56→55	42	225/291/386	161	312	17	19	32%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/373	147	313	16	25	31%	8%	87	+0.8	222/298/356	134	300	16	37	30%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Erik Kratz 2010 · AAA	30	42→44	53→60	51→45	41	224/271/398	174	268	20	8	25%	5%	84	+0.6	224/285/385	161	267	18	5	23%	6%	87	+0.8	218/284/385	167	250	20	2	22%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Danny Espinosa 2017 · MLB	30	42→51	52→55	49→50	46	221/305/384	163	280	21	9	28%	8%	95	+1.4	199/269/338	139	269	18	10	32%	7%	68	-0.5	183/245/310	127	247	17	12	33%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Brian Goodwin 2021 · MLB	30	48→53	55→60	51→50	47	244/315/438	194	319	22	12	30%	9%	113	+2.6	228/306/381	153	292	17	9	26%	10%	94	+1.3	209/294/339	131	263	16	4	26%	11%	76	+0.1
✕Donnie Murphy 2013 · MLB	30	43→40	58→65	48→45	44	232/297/443	211	273	26	5	26%	7%	107	+2.2	209/274/366	157	263	19	6	28%	6%	77	+0.1	192/258/327	135	242	17	4	28%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Gregory Polanco 2021 · MLB	29	42→52	55→60	51→55	47	221/293/409	188	279	22	12	29%	9%	96	+1.5	225/294/394	169	284	21	18	27%	8%	93	+1.3	220/293/389	169	270	22	23	27%	9%	85	+0.6