Daulton Varsho

CF Houston Astros
Age 31 L/R 5'8" / 207 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 6.744 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202428MLBTOR513.214/.294/.4071810952.4
202529AAATOR33.133/.188/.23310-6—.133/.188/.233
202529MLBTOR271.238/.289/.5482021232.1
202630MLBHOU526.221/.282/.3551212760.1
2027PROJ31MLBHOU355.222/.282/.391128860.8
2028PROJ32MLBHOU330.216/.276/.377104810.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 4.5  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service6.744First FA2028
2027Ext / FA-deal$7M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd68
Barrel%52
Speed47
xwOBA30
Avg EV24
Form.216/.266/.373 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .219/.278/.389
CompsJose Rojas (age 31) · Jack Mayfield (age 31) · Justin Leone (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7386vR 90
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .282 / .391
PA355
HR12
SB8
K%22
BB%7
BABIP254
ISO170
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +1.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +3.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+4FLDPOS: +1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +7.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.90.12728
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT35
xAVG
100.211
POWER50
Barrel%
528.5
Avg EV
2487.1
Bat Spd
6873.3
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
4727.4
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%21%▲21% over 72 PA (60d) · proj 22%
BB%6%▼4% over 72 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.158▼.130 over 69 AB (60d) · proj .169
HR/BB4.5%·3.7% over 54 BBE (60d) · proj 4.9%
BABIP.244▼.154 over 52 BIP (60d) · proj .250
SLASH.216/.266/.373▼proj .219/.278/.389
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 876 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
185
691
—
wRC+
119
100
◀◀L
wOBA
344
316
◀L
ISO
157
244
▶▶R
BABIP
313
242
◀◀L
K%
17.8%
28.2%
◀◀L
BB%
8.7%
7.7%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2020
Service   6.744 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$7M+0.9$4M-$4M
Totals $7M $4M -$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201822 A+Visalia Rawhide — 342304 8711311 30717 193 286364451814 164341 219 363 83 — — — — — —
201822 INTLSalt River Rafters — 7260 17110 12130 84 283403333736 50362 1817 345 120 — — — — — —
201923 AAJackson Generals — 452396 11925418 426310 215 301382520902 220317 149 393 109 — — — — — —
202024 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 115101 19523 12332 31 188287366653 178246 2910 295 80 -3 +0 -0 +0 +2 0.0
202125 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 315284 7017211 30670 60 246318437755 190286 2110 334 103 +1 +1 +4 +7 +7 2.1
202125 AAAReno Aces — 8780 25619 7160 20 3123687501.118 438291 188 472 126 — — — — — —
202226 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 592531 12523327 461457 166 235304443747 207269 248 326 105 +4 +1 +14 -6 +13 2.6
202327 MLBToronto Blue Jays — 581527 11623320 451354 167 220286389675 169256 238 299 88 -8 +0 +7 -6 +13 0.6
202428 MLBToronto Blue Jays — 513459 9821718 481374 102 214294407701 194262 279 310 95 -3 +1 +12 +2 +11 2.4
202529 MLBToronto Blue Jays — 271248 5913220 17771 20 238289548838 310250 286 354 123 +8 +0 +6 +1 +6 2.1
202529 AAABuffalo Bisons — 3330 4001 181 00 133188233421 100136 243 189 -6 — — — — — —
202630 MLBHouston Astros — 526484 10723312 391072 120 221282355637 134260 207 286 76 -15 +2 +0 +2 +11 0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 29132634 59412522111 23770120 6516 226294416710 191263 248 313 98 -8 +7 +43 -0 +63 10.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201822 A+ MLEVisalia Rawhide — 342313 748210 21927 193 236299371670 134301 276 291 83 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLEJackson Generals — 452410 10721416 287510 215 261324449772 188276 176 330 109 — — — — — —
202024 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 115101 18423 12332 31 178278347625 168246 2910 286 80 -3 +0 -0 +0 +2 0.0
202125 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 315287 6915212 27670 60 240306432738 192286 219 321 103 +1 +1 +4 +7 +7 2.1
202125 AAA MLEReno Aces — 8782 21517 5190 20 256299598896 341240 226 355 126 — — — — — —
202226 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 592532 12320229 461457 166 231301440741 209269 248 324 105 +4 +1 +14 -6 +13 2.6
202327 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 581528 11623320 451354 167 220286388674 169256 238 298 88 -8 +0 +7 -6 +13 0.6
202428 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 513460 9821718 471374 102 213292407698 193262 279 308 95 -3 +1 +12 +2 +11 2.4
202529 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 271249 5913220 16771 20 237286546832 309250 286 351 123 +8 +0 +6 +1 +6 2.1
202529 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 3330 4001 1101 00 133188233421 100123 303 159 -6 — — — — — —
202630 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 526486 10622312 371072 120 218276350626 132260 207 281 76 -15 +2 +0 +2 +11 0.1
201822 A+ MLE2 teams — 414381 9110312 251127 277 239298375673 136306 276 291 83 — — — — — —
201822 A+ RAW2 teams — 414364 10412411 42847 277 286370431802 146344 2010 360 83 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLEJackson Generals — 452410 10721416 287510 215 261324449772 188282 176 330 109 — — — — — —
201923 AA RAWJackson Generals — 452396 11925418 426310 215 301382520902 220317 149 393 109 — — — — — —
202024 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 115101 18423 12332 31 178278347625 168231 2910 286 80 -3 +0 -0 +0 +2 0.0
202024 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 115101 19523 12332 31 188287366653 178246 2910 295 80 -3 +0 -0 +0 +2 0.0
202125 MLB MLE2 teams — 402369 8820218 32860 80 238299450749 211264 218 328 108 +4 +2 +4 +7 +9 2.6
202125 MLB RAW2 teams — 402364 9523320 37830 80 261329505835 245287 219 364 108 +4 +2 +4 +7 +9 2.6
202226 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 592532 12320229 461457 166 231301440741 209259 248 324 105 +4 +1 +14 -6 +13 2.6
202226 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 592531 12523327 461457 166 235304443747 207269 248 326 105 +4 +1 +14 -6 +13 2.6
202327 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 581528 11623320 451354 167 220286388674 169255 238 298 88 -8 +0 +7 -6 +13 0.6
202327 MLB RAWToronto Blue Jays — 581527 11623320 451354 167 220286389675 169256 238 299 88 -8 +0 +7 -6 +13 0.6
202428 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 513460 9821718 471374 102 213292407698 193261 279 308 95 -3 +1 +12 +2 +11 2.4
202428 MLB RAWToronto Blue Jays — 513459 9821718 481374 102 214294407701 194262 279 310 95 -3 +1 +12 +2 +11 2.4
202529 MLB MLE2 teams — 304279 6313221 17872 20 226275513788 287237 296 330 109 +3 +0 +6 +1 +7 1.7
202529 MLB RAW2 teams — 304278 6313221 18852 20 227279514793 288236 286 336 109 +3 +0 +6 +1 +7 1.7
202630 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 526486 10622312 371072 120 218276350626 132255 207 281 76 -15 +2 +0 +2 +11 0.1
202630 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 526484 10723312 391072 120 221282355637 134260 207 286 76 -15 +2 +0 +2 +11 0.1
201822 A+ MLE2 teams — 414379 9110312 251127 277 240298377675 137301 276 291 83 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLEJackson Generals — 452411 10721416 287510 215 260324448771 187276 176 330 109 — — — — — —
202024 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 115100 18423 12332 31 180278350628 170246 2910 286 80 — — — — — —
202125 MLB MLE2 teams — 402367 8820218 32860 80 240299452752 213276 218 328 108 — — — — — —
202226 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 592534 12320229 461457 166 230301438739 208269 248 324 105 — — — — — —
202327 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 581527 11623320 451354 167 220286389675 169256 238 298 88 — — — — — —
202428 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 513457 9821718 471374 102 214292409701 195262 279 308 95 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLE2 teams — 304282 6313221 17872 20 223275507782 284236 296 330 109 — — — — — —
202630 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 526482 10622312 371072 120 220276353629 133260 207 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202428 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 513457 9821718 471374 102 214292409701 195262 279 308 95 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLE2 teams — 304282 6313221 17872 20 223275507782 284236 296 330 109 — — — — — —
202630 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 526482 10622312 371072 120 220276353629 133260 207 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202731 MLB MLEHOU 100% 446409 9018315 32992 102 220280389669 169250 227 295 86 -7 +1 +5 +2 +10 0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202731 MLB CTXHOU 100% 355324 7215212 26782 82 222282391673 169254 227 297 86 -6 +1 +4 +1 +8 0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202832 MLB MLEHOU 100% 330303 6512211 23741 41 214274376649 162245 227 287 81 -8 +0 -0 +1 +7 0.1
202832 MLB CTXHOU 100% 330303 6513210 23741 41 216276377653 161249 227 289 81 -8 +0 -0 +1 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 32432937 65913824121 26077521 6917 224292411703 187261 248 310 94 -15 +7 +43 +1 +70 10.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 13228524 521554 143 224291411702 187262 248 310 94 -3 +1 +9 +0 +14 2.2
Career— MLE — 45844173 94618032172 338106941 12731 227291409700 182262 237 307 94 -21 +8 +47 +2 +78 11.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 13526524 481526 184 228293410703 182264 237 307 94 -4 +1 +8 +0 +14 2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAABuffalo Bisons · 33 PAwOBA .189 → .159 (−30)K% 24.2% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷0.988×1.200——29.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.03%÷0.984×0.690—×0.9822.09%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.940—×0.9822.80%
Singles /BIP13.64%÷1.007×0.930—×0.98212.36%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.098×0.830—×0.9820.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.986×0.970—×0.9820.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.847×0.700—×0.9823.69%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 101, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .189 → .159; ISO .100 → .080; BABIP .136 → .123. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAReno Aces · 87 PAwOBA .458 → .355 (−103)K% 18.4% → 22.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.39%÷0.991×1.200——22.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.05%÷0.963×0.690—×1.0335.95%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP14.06%÷1.047×0.930×0.993×1.03312.81%
Doubles /BIP9.38%÷1.096×0.830×0.993×1.0337.29%
Triples /BIP1.56%÷1.113×0.920×0.993×1.0331.33%
Home runs /BIP14.06%÷0.958×0.700—×1.03310.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 123, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .458 → .355; ISO .438 → .326; BABIP .291 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAJackson Generals · 452 PAwOBA .386 → .330 (−56)K% 13.9% → 16.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.94%÷1.028×1.220——16.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.07%÷1.001×0.680—×1.0276.33%
HBP% /PA2.21%—×0.840—×1.0271.91%
Singles /BIP21.62%÷0.996×0.920×0.950×1.02719.48%
Doubles /BIP7.51%÷1.099×0.910×0.950×1.0276.07%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷0.900×0.880×0.950×1.0271.15%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷0.966×0.800—×1.0274.60%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .386 → .330; ISO .220 → .190; BABIP .317 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Visalia Rawhide · 342 PAwOBA .353 → .291 (−62)K% 20.8% → 27.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.76%÷1.029×1.340——27.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.48%÷1.008×0.710—×1.0126.04%
HBP% /PA2.05%—×0.790—×1.0121.64%
Singles /BIP26.61%÷0.978×0.910×0.967×1.01224.24%
Doubles /BIP4.72%÷1.051×0.820×0.967×1.0123.60%
Triples /BIP1.29%÷0.900×0.760×0.967×1.0121.06%
Home runs /BIP4.72%÷1.018×0.920—×1.0124.32%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 106, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .353 → .291; ISO .164 → .137; BABIP .341 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .