Mikie Mahtook

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1989-11-30

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	28	AAADET	316	.251/.322/.452	11	6	72	—	.205/.258/.372
2018	28	MLBDET	250	.202/.279/.359	9	4	80	-0.7
2019	29	AAADET	415	.260/.361/.492	21	14	93	—	.218/.290/.422
2019	29	MLBDET	25	.000/.080/.000	0	0	-76	-0.3
2021	31	AAACWS	410	.251/.321/.518	26	8	54	—	.187/.240/.346
2022	32	No MLB games played
2023	33	No MLB games played
2024	34	No MLB games played
2025	35	No MLB games played
2026	36	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.9

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2019

Speed79

xwOBA48

Avg EV38

Barrel%32

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	78	68	23	3	1	3	7	16	2	5	1	338	416	544	960	206	400	21	9	417	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	169	153	38	10	1	4	11	31	3	4	3	248	311	405	717	157	283	18	7	316	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	382	338	98	15	7	5	29	69	10	18	6	290	363	420	784	130	346	18	8	348	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	568	511	129	30	8	7	43	102	10	25	8	252	323	384	706	131	300	18	8	316	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	550	489	143	33	6	12	46	137	10	18	5	292	365	458	823	166	380	25	8	363	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	115	105	31	5	1	9	6	31	3	4	3	295	351	619	970	324	338	27	5	414	168	+9	-0	+1	-6	+2	0.7
2015	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	418	385	96	27	3	4	22	98	9	10	1	249	305	366	672	117	323	23	5	301	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	196	185	36	9	0	3	7	68	2	0	1	195	232	292	524	97	287	35	4	234	45	-13	-0	-1	+1	+4	-0.9
2016	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	120	105	32	5	3	1	12	24	2	5	1	305	387	438	825	133	383	20	10	367	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	379	348	96	15	6	12	23	79	6	6	0	276	332	457	788	181	324	21	6	347	125	+11	+1	-3	+1	+8	2.0
2018	28	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	250	223	45	4	2	9	21	66	3	4	1	202	279	359	638	157	238	26	8	284	80	-6	+0	-1	-6	+5	-0.7
2018	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	316	283	71	12	6	11	25	82	5	6	4	251	322	452	774	201	312	26	8	339	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	25	23	0	0	0	0	2	11	0	0	0		80		80			44	8	56	-76	-5	+0	+1	+2	+1	-0.3
2019	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	415	354	92	17	1	21	51	106	5	14	7	260	361	492	853	232	307	26	12	372	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	410	367	92	18	1	26	31	102	7	8	2	251	321	518	839	267	272	25	8	361	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	965	884	208	33	9	33	59	255	14	14	5	235	294	405	699	170	291	26	6	308	95	-6	+1	-3	-8	+21	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	22	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	169	156	34	9	1	3	8	38	3	4	3	218	269	346	616	128	258	22	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	382	346	77	13	4	4	21	96	10	18	6	223	286	318	604	95	286	25	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	568	524	114	26	7	5	30	126	10	25	8	218	273	323	596	105	271	22	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	550	504	135	28	7	10	31	153	10	18	5	268	323	411	734	143	357	28	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	115	105	31	5	1	9	6	31	3	4	3	295	351	619	970	324	338	27	5	417	168	+9	-0	+1	-6	+2	0.7
2015	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	418	394	81	20	3	3	13	115	9	10	1	206	248	294	542	89	279	28	3	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	196	185	36	9	0	3	7	68	2	0	1	195	232	292	524	97	287	35	4	234	45	-13	-0	-1	+1	+4	-0.9
2016	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	120	109	29	4	3	1	8	29	2	5	1	266	328	385	713	119	345	24	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	379	348	98	15	6	13	23	79	6	6	0	282	337	471	808	190	324	21	6	353	125	+11	+1	-3	+1	+8	2.0
2018	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	250	224	45	4	2	9	20	66	3	4	1	201	275	357	632	156	238	26	8	287	80	-6	+0	-1	-6	+5	-0.7
2018	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	316	293	60	9	5	10	16	97	5	6	4	205	258	372	630	167	266	31	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	25	23	0	0	0	0	2	11	0	0	0		80		80			44	8	56	-76	-5	+0	+1	+2	+1	-0.3
2019	29	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	415	372	81	14	1	20	33	120	5	14	7	218	290	422	712	204	253	29	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	410	379	71	13	1	15	19	121	7	8	2	187	240	346	585	158	218	30	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	INTL MLE	Surprise Saguaros	—	78	68	23	3	1	3	7	16	2	5	1	338	416	544	960	206	400	21	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	INTL RAW	Surprise Saguaros	—	78	68	23	3	1	3	7	16	2	5	1	338	416	544	960	206	400	21	9	417	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	551	502	111	22	5	7	29	134	13	22	9	221	281	327	608	106	283	24	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	551	491	136	25	8	9	40	100	13	22	9	277	347	415	763	138	326	18	7	338	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	568	524	114	26	7	5	30	126	10	25	8	218	273	323	596	105	275	22	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	568	511	129	30	8	7	43	102	10	25	8	252	323	384	706	131	300	18	8	316	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	550	504	135	28	7	10	31	153	10	18	5	268	323	411	734	143	361	28	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	550	489	143	33	6	12	46	137	10	18	5	292	365	458	823	166	380	25	8	363	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	499	112	26	4	12	19	146	12	14	4	224	270	365	635	140	292	27	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	490	127	32	4	13	28	129	12	14	4	259	315	420	736	161	326	24	5	326	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	316	294	65	13	3	4	15	97	4	5	2	221	268	327	595	105	313	31	5	262	63	-14	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.7
2016	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	316	290	68	14	3	4	19	92	4	5	2	234	291	345	636	110	327	29	6	284	63	-14	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.7
2017	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	379	348	98	15	6	13	23	79	6	6	0	282	337	471	808	190	329	21	6	353	125	+11	+1	-3	+1	+8	2.0
2017	27	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	379	348	96	15	6	12	23	79	6	6	0	276	332	457	788	181	324	21	6	347	125	+11	+1	-3	+1	+8	2.0
2018	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	517	106	13	7	19	36	163	8	10	5	205	267	368	635	162	256	29	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	566	506	116	16	8	20	46	148	8	10	5	229	303	411	714	182	280	26	8	315	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	440	395	81	14	1	20	35	131	5	14	7	205	278	397	676	192	246	30	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	440	377	92	17	1	21	53	117	5	14	7	244	345	462	806	218	292	27	12	354	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	410	379	71	13	1	15	19	121	7	8	2	187	240	346	585	158	227	30	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	410	367	92	18	1	26	31	102	7	8	2	251	321	518	839	267	272	25	8	361	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	551	504	111	22	5	7	29	134	13	22	9	220	281	325	607	105	277	24	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	568	523	114	26	7	5	30	126	10	25	8	218	273	323	596	105	271	22	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	550	504	135	28	7	10	31	153	10	18	5	268	323	411	734	143	357	28	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	497	112	26	4	12	19	146	12	14	4	225	270	366	636	141	292	27	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	316	294	65	13	3	4	15	97	4	5	2	221	268	327	595	105	309	31	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	379	347	98	15	6	13	23	79	6	6	0	282	337	473	809	190	324	21	6	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	517	106	13	7	19	36	163	8	10	5	205	267	368	635	162	254	29	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	440	397	81	14	1	20	35	131	5	14	7	204	278	395	674	191	239	30	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	410	381	71	13	1	15	19	121	7	8	2	186	240	344	583	157	218	30	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	965	884	208	33	9	33	59	255	14	14	5	235	294	405	699	170	291	26	6	308	75	-6	+1	-3	-8	+21	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	140	22	6	22	40	172	9	9	3	235	293	403	696	168	291	26	6	308	75	-4	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4391	4030	916	173	42	108	244	1166	77	127	43	227	284	371	656	144	289	27	6	279	75	-6	+1	-3	-8	+21	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	136	26	6	16	36	173	11	19	6	228	284	372	656	144	291	27	6	279	75	-4	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAACharlotte Knights · 410 PAwOBA .354 → .248 (−106)K% 24.9% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.88%	÷1.011	×1.200	—	—	29.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.32%	÷1.053	×0.690	—	×0.952	4.56%
HBP% /PA	1.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.53%
Singles /BIP	17.74%	÷0.986	×0.930	×0.997	×0.952	15.87%
Doubles /BIP	6.79%	÷1.128	×0.830	×0.997	×0.952	4.74%
Triples /BIP	0.38%	÷1.020	×0.920	×0.997	×0.952	0.32%
Home runs /BIP	9.81%	÷1.190	×0.700	—	×0.952	5.49%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .354 → .248; ISO .267 → .157; BABIP .272 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 415 PAwOBA .365 → .306 (−59)K% 25.5% → 29.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.54%	÷1.056	×1.200	—	—	29.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.05%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×0.972	8.05%
HBP% /PA	1.20%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.10%
Singles /BIP	21.37%	÷1.013	×0.930	×0.950	×0.972	18.12%
Doubles /BIP	6.85%	÷0.995	×0.830	×0.950	×0.972	5.28%
Triples /BIP	0.40%	÷1.096	×0.970	×0.950	×0.972	0.33%
Home runs /BIP	8.47%	÷0.888	×0.840	—	×0.972	7.78%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .365 → .306; ISO .232 → .212; BABIP .307 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 316 PAwOBA .330 → .275 (−55)K% 25.9% → 30.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.95%	÷1.011	×1.200	—	—	30.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.28%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.03%
HBP% /PA	1.58%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.46%
Singles /BIP	20.90%	÷1.005	×0.930	×0.966	×0.982	18.33%
Doubles /BIP	5.97%	÷1.038	×0.830	×0.966	×0.982	4.53%
Triples /BIP	2.99%	÷1.038	×0.970	×0.966	×0.982	2.64%
Home runs /BIP	5.47%	÷0.893	×0.840	—	×0.982	5.05%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 108, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .330 → .275; ISO .201 → .175; BABIP .312 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAADurham Bulls · 120 PAwOBA .361 → .307 (−54)K% 20.0% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.994	×1.200	—	—	24.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.082	×0.690	—	×1.003	6.40%
HBP% /PA	1.67%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.57%
Singles /BIP	28.40%	÷1.010	×0.930	×0.990	×1.003	25.96%
Doubles /BIP	6.17%	÷1.093	×0.830	×0.990	×1.003	4.65%
Triples /BIP	3.70%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.990	×1.003	3.96%
Home runs /BIP	1.23%	÷1.167	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.89%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .361 → .307; ISO .133 → .118; BABIP .383 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAADurham Bulls · 418 PAwOBA .295 → .241 (−53)K% 23.4% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.44%	÷1.025	×1.200	—	—	27.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.148	×0.690	—	×1.018	3.22%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	2.06%
Singles /BIP	21.60%	÷1.025	×0.930	×0.973	×1.018	19.42%
Doubles /BIP	9.41%	÷1.062	×0.830	×0.973	×1.018	7.28%
Triples /BIP	1.05%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.973	×1.018	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	1.39%	÷1.039	×0.840	—	×1.018	1.15%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 105, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .295 → .241; ISO .117 → .095; BABIP .323 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADurham Bulls · 550 PAwOBA .354 → .321 (−33)K% 24.9% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.91%	÷1.070	×1.200	—	—	27.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.64%	÷0.950	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.73%
HBP% /PA	1.82%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.77%
Singles /BIP	26.14%	÷1.005	×0.930	×1.011	×1.033	25.28%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷1.023	×0.830	×1.011	×1.033	7.95%
Triples /BIP	1.70%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.011	×1.033	1.92%
Home runs /BIP	3.41%	÷1.046	×0.840	—	×1.033	2.83%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .354 → .321; ISO .166 → .147; BABIP .380 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 568 PAwOBA .310 → .260 (−49)K% 18.0% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.96%	÷0.987	×1.220	—	—	22.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.57%	÷1.003	×0.680	—	×1.012	5.20%
HBP% /PA	1.76%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	1.50%
Singles /BIP	20.54%	÷1.009	×0.920	×0.996	×1.012	18.88%
Doubles /BIP	7.33%	÷1.036	×0.910	×0.996	×1.012	6.49%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷1.013	×0.880	×0.996	×1.012	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	1.71%	÷1.151	×0.800	—	×1.012	1.20%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .310 → .260; ISO .131 → .107; BABIP .300 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 382 PAwOBA .341 → .270 (−71)K% 18.1% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.06%	÷1.020	×1.420	—	—	25.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.07%	÷0.966	×0.750	—	×0.998	5.48%
HBP% /PA	2.62%	—	×0.930	—	×0.998	2.43%
Singles /BIP	26.39%	÷1.067	×0.920	×0.961	×0.998	21.82%
Doubles /BIP	5.58%	÷1.002	×0.960	×0.961	×0.998	5.12%
Triples /BIP	2.60%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.961	×0.998	1.76%
Home runs /BIP	1.86%	÷1.106	×0.880	—	×0.998	1.48%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 104, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .341 → .270; ISO .130 → .099; BABIP .346 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).