Jake Marisnick — OGILVIE

Jake MarisnickCF Gwinnett Stripers

Age 35 R/R 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA Svc 13.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 168 proj PA

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .292 / .380

PA168

HR5

SB8

K%30

BB%8

ISO161

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 21 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT21

Whiff%

1016.0%

xwOBA

140.266

POWER46

Barrel%

356.2

Avg EV

3988.3

Bat Spd

4270.4

EYE38

Chase%

1538.5%

SPEED68

Sprint

8428.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2013

Service 13.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$1.0M
Totals		$1M		$0.1M	-$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	19	A	2 teams	—	285	257	49	14	2	3	14	76	10	23	3	191	260	296	556	105	256	27	5	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A	2 teams	—	285	249	63	20	2	4	22	55	10	23	3	253	338	398	736	145	307	19	8	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	523	478	124	18	5	13	27	133	14	37	8	259	318	400	718	140	330	25	5	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	523	462	148	27	6	14	43	91	14	37	8	320	395	496	891	175	371	17	8	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	3 teams	—	633	568	121	27	10	8	31	148	22	29	11	213	280	338	618	125	270	23	5	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	3 teams	—	633	559	144	32	12	9	40	118	22	29	11	258	332	406	738	148	308	19	6	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA	3 teams	—	431	394	92	13	3	11	18	112	12	14	7	234	288	365	653	132	295	26	4	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA	3 teams	—	431	389	101	16	4	13	23	96	12	14	7	260	321	422	742	162	310	22	5	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	2 teams	—	614	570	140	23	4	9	19	148	12	35	9	246	285	347	632	102	313	24	3	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	2 teams	—	614	564	150	24	4	13	25	131	12	35	9	266	311	392	703	126	322	21	4	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	372	339	77	14	4	8	18	105	5	24	9	227	276	363	639	136	300	28	5	280	73	-11	+1	+8	+1	+11	1.0
2015	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	372	339	80	15	4	9	18	105	5	24	9	236	285	383	668	147	310	28	5	290	80	-8	+1	+8	+1	+11	1.3
2016	25	MLB	2 teams	—	339	314	62	18	1	5	17	96	3	11	6	197	246	309	554	111	266	28	5	243	44	-21	-0	+12	+1	+10	0.1
2016	25	MLB	2 teams	—	339	314	65	20	1	5	17	93	3	11	6	207	254	325	579	118	276	27	5	257	55	-17	-0	+12	+1	+10	0.5
2017	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	259	230	55	10	0	15	20	90	6	9	4	239	316	478	795	239	317	35	8	337	116	+5	+0	+5	+1	+7	1.8
2017	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	259	230	56	10	0	16	20	90	6	9	4	243	320	496	816	252	320	35	8	354	129	+8	+0	+5	+1	+7	2.2
2018	27	MLB	2 teams	—	317	289	65	14	2	13	19	107	6	9	3	225	287	422	709	197	304	34	6	303	90	-3	+1	+8	+1	+9	1.5
2018	27	MLB	2 teams	—	317	286	70	16	3	14	21	101	6	9	3	245	309	469	777	224	324	32	7	338	117	+6	+1	+8	+1	+9	2.5
2019	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	318	292	66	15	3	9	17	95	6	10	3	226	283	390	673	164	303	30	5	297	85	-5	+1	+5	+1	+9	1.1
2019	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	318	292	68	16	3	10	17	95	6	10	3	233	289	411	700	178	310	30	5	307	93	-2	+1	+5	+1	+9	1.4
2020	29	MLB	New York Mets	—	34	33	11	3	0	2	1	10	0	0	0	333	353	606	959	273	429	29	3	413	174	+3	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.4
2020	29	MLB	New York Mets	—	34	33	11	3	0	2	1	10	0	0	0	333	353	606	959	273	429	29	3	416	176	+3	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.4
2021	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	198	176	38	7	3	5	11	65	7	4	1	216	289	375	664	159	306	33	6	297	85	-3	+0	+3	+1	+6	0.6
2021	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	198	176	38	7	3	5	11	65	7	4	1	216	289	375	664	159	306	33	6	292	82	-4	+0	+3	+1	+6	0.5
2022	31	AAA	2 teams	—	187	175	36	8	1	3	7	61	4	9	2	206	253	314	567	109	297	33	4	247	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AAA	2 teams	—	187	173	41	9	1	3	9	55	4	9	2	237	290	353	643	116	330	29	5	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	AAA	2 teams	—	228	201	43	10	3	4	17	63	7	11	4	214	298	353	651	139	287	28	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	AAA	2 teams	—	228	196	50	12	4	4	22	54	7	11	4	255	351	418	769	163	329	24	10	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	AAA	2 teams	—	248	220	46	11	1	11	21	91	3	8	3	209	287	418	705	209	292	37	8	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	AAA	2 teams	—	248	213	61	18	1	12	27	66	3	8	3	286	373	549	922	263	358	27	11	395	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	45	42	4	1	0	1	2	16	1	1	0	95	156	190	346	95	120	36	4	130	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	45	41	4	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	98	178	195	373	98	111	29	7	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	35	MLB	ATL	—	168	150	34	7	1	5	13	50	3	8	2	227	301	387	688	160	291	30	8	302	89	-2	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	36	MLB	ATL	100%	106	95	21	4	1	3	8	32	2	3	1	221	295	379	674	158	283	30	8	289	80	-2	+0	-6	+0	+3	-0.5
2028	37	MLB	ATL	100%	80	73	14	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	192	263	315	578	123	273	31	8	276	70	-3	+0	-7	+0	+2	-0.7
2027	36	MLB	ATL	100%	106	95	21	4	1	3	8	32	2	3	1	221	295	379	674	158	283	30	8	279	71	-3	+0	-6	+0	+3	-0.6
2028	37	MLB	ATL	100%	80	73	14	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	192	263	315	578	123	273	31	8	265	61	-3	+0	-7	+0	+2	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2433	2221	504	103	16	70	133	728	40	85	33	227	283	382	665	155	302	30	5	291	81	-52	+4	+42	+4	+69	6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	135	28	4	19	36	194	11	23	9	228	284	384	669	157	302	30	6	291	81	-14	+1	+11	+1	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	5385	4896	1098	220	44	130	286	1523	124	246	76	224	284	367	651	143	295	28	5	282	74	-156	+19	+43	+10	+153	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	133	27	5	16	35	184	15	30	9	225	286	369	655	144	295	28	5	282	74	-19	+2	+5	+1	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	143	127	28	8	2	1	9	37	5	9	2	220	298	339	636	118	303	26	6	286	77	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2010	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	122	35	12	0	3	13	18	5	14	1	287	379	459	838	172	311	13	9	370	141	+7	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
2011	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	523	462	148	27	6	14	43	91	14	37	8	320	395	496	891	175	371	17	8	392	158	+34	+4	—	—	+15	5.5
2012	21	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	247	223	52	11	3	2	11	43	7	14	4	233	290	336	627	103	275	17	4	277	71	-8	+1	—	—	+7	-0.0
2012	21	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	306	266	70	18	7	6	26	55	10	10	5	263	351	451	802	188	309	18	8	352	127	+9	+0	—	—	+9	1.9
2012	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	80	70	22	3	2	1	3	20	5	5	2	314	385	457	842	143	420	25	4	368	139	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2013	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	118	109	20	2	1	1	6	27	1	3	1	183	233	248	480	64	232	23	5	217	25	-10	+0	+3	+2	+3	-0.2
2013	22	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	298	265	78	13	3	12	17	68	11	11	6	294	362	502	864	208	351	23	6	375	145	+15	-0	—	—	+8	2.4
2013	22	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	15	15	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	267	467	67	214	7	0	206	16	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2014	23	MLB	Houston Astros	—	237	221	55	8	0	3	8	67	3	11	3	249	284	326	610	77	338	28	3	271	65	-9	+1	+5	-7	+7	-0.3
2014	23	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	377	343	95	16	4	10	17	64	9	24	6	277	328	434	762	157	314	17	5	332	112	+5	+2	—	—	+11	1.9
2015	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	372	339	80	15	4	9	18	105	5	24	9	236	285	383	668	147	310	28	5	290	80	-8	+1	+8	+1	+11	1.3
2016	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	311	287	60	18	1	5	16	83	3	10	5	209	258	331	589	122	275	27	5	261	58	-15	+0	+12	+1	+9	0.7
2016	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	28	27	5	2	0	0	1	10	0	1	1	185	214	259	474	74	294	36	4	214	22	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2017	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	259	230	56	10	0	16	20	90	6	9	4	243	320	496	816	252	320	35	8	354	129	+8	+0	+5	+1	+7	2.2
2018	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	235	213	45	8	1	10	15	84	4	6	2	211	275	399	674	188	292	36	6	296	85	-4	+0	+8	+1	+7	1.2
2018	27	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	82	73	25	8	2	4	6	17	2	3	1	342	407	671	1.079	329	396	21	7	457	207	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.3
2019	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	318	292	68	16	3	10	17	95	6	10	3	233	289	411	700	178	310	30	5	307	93	-2	+1	+5	+1	+9	1.4
2020	29	MLB	New York Mets	—	34	33	11	3	0	2	1	10	0	0	0	333	353	606	959	273	429	29	3	416	176	+3	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.4
2021	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	198	176	38	7	3	5	11	65	7	4	1	216	289	375	664	159	306	33	6	292	82	-4	+0	+3	+1	+6	0.5
2022	31	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	82	77	18	6	0	2	4	24	0	2	1	234	272	390	661	156	314	29	5	289	79	-2	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.4
2022	31	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	105	96	23	3	1	1	5	31	4	7	1	240	305	323	628	83	344	30	5	288	79	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	32	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	83	76	18	3	2	2	3	21	2	2	3	237	284	408	692	171	296	25	4	298	86	-1	-1	+3	+1	+2	0.4
2023	32	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	145	120	32	9	2	2	19	33	5	9	1	267	389	425	814	158	349	23	13	366	138	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2024	33	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	231	198	56	15	1	12	26	62	2	6	3	283	370	551	921	268	349	27	11	393	159	+15	+0	—	—	+7	2.2
2024	33	ROK	ACL Angels	—	17	15	5	3	0	0	1	4	1	2	0	333	412	533	945	200	455	24	6	417	178	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	34	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	45	41	4	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	98	178	195	373	98	111	29	7	178	-6	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2247	2053	469	96	15	65	119	671	37	81	32	228	283	385	668	156	304	30	5	293	82	-45	+3	+54	+3	+64	8.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Henry Blancolast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 2,779 PA	14	2,779	65	5	221	284	359	+27	+49	8.6	9.6
	/162	664	16	1	221	284	359	+6.6	+11.7	2.1	pk7: 11
#2Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	13	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
	/162	664	7	9	233	273	324	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	2,416	69	86	224	277	377	+6	+59	3.0	3.6
	/162	664	19	24	224	277	377	+1.6	+16.2	0.8	pk7: 4
#5Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Marisnick (OGILVIE)	35	21	46	68	38	221/292/380	160	291	5	8	30%	8%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dewayne Wise 2013 · MLB	35	49→40	51→60	59→55	40	247/285/411	164	297	18	27	24%	4%	92	+1.2	230/276/369	139	290	14	18	25%	5%	78	+0.2	193/227/281	88	261	5	9	27%	4%	30	-0.6
✕Mark Little 2006 · MLB	34	44	52→55	52→55	40	226/297/394	168	295	20	19	30%	6%	95	+1.4	232/315/356	124	320	11	15	29%	7%	92	+1.2	233/334/324	91	343	4	13	29%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Mike Coolbaugh 2006 · AAA	34	43→41	53→55	53→50	42	228/277/396	168	275	22	10	26%	6%	86	+0.8	218/284/360	142	274	17	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	182/274/295	113	227	14	4	26%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Manny Alexander 2006 · MLB	35	49→50	45	54→55	45	240/290/365	125	284	11	23	20%	6%	82	+0.5	220/262/311	91	262	7	14	18%	5%	56	-1.3	210/249/283	73	249	5	10	17%	4%	39	-1.7
✕Willy Taveras 2016 · AAA	34	47→57	43→45	59→65	43	229/283/342	113	280	11	28	22%	5%	73	-0.1	249/300/365	116	303	10	21	21%	4%	87	+0.8	256/309/371	115	312	10	22	20%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Cody Ransom 2010 · MLB	34	41→42	52→55	49→50	46	214/281/385	171	267	19	11	28%	8%	85	+0.7	222/285/402	180	293	22	8	31%	7%	91	+1.1	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Kristopher Negrón 2019 · MLB	33	44→51	45	54→55	38	217/273/340	123	308	13	16	33%	6%	69	-0.4	231/291/357	126	336	14	14	33%	7%	82	+0.5	239/303/358	120	349	14	14	33%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Andrew Romine 2021 · MLB	35	47→56	44→45	54→55	43	231/279/343	112	277	12	19	21%	5%	72	-0.2	235/283/328	93	302	8	9	24%	6%	69	-0.4	243/290/307	64	318	3	3	23%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Ryan LaMarre 2023 · MLB	34	50→54	46→45	51→60	44	242/319/378	136	328	14	21	29%	7%	99	+1.7	221/290/351	130	315	14	19	32%	7%	80	+0.4	147/227/246	99	224	13	33	39%	7%	24	-0.6
✕Rajai Davis 2017 · MLB	36	52→62	48→50	63→70	46	259/310/409	151	305	14	39	20%	6%	102	+1.9	233/287/350	117	290	11	39	23%	6%	77	+0.1	223/274/321	98	282	9	43	23%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Terry Shumpert 2002 · MLB	35	54	49→50	59→55	51	265/328/427	162	296	14	21	16%	7%	115	+2.7	238/309/387	149	268	14	13	17%	8%	96	+1.5	226/299/358	132	250	13	9	15%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Pedro Swann 2007 · AAA	36	51→47	49→50	55→45	42	252/304/408	156	309	15	12	23%	5%	100	+1.7	234/280/362	128	299	12	10	25%	5%	77	+0.1	221/261/331	110	283	11	6	25%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Charlie Culberson 2022 · MLB	33	48→49	47→45	53→50	44	240/293/382	142	299	14	13	24%	6%	89	+0.9	229/274/343	114	308	11	12	28%	6%	70	-0.3	214/242/286	73	304	7	12	31%	4%	40	-0.5
✕Tim Torres 2017 · AAA	33	50→51	45	55	45	243/301/368	125	322	12	20	27%	7%	88	+0.9	246/312/383	137	328	14	18	27%	9%	96	+1.5	255/343/395	140	342	16	20	28%	12%	116	+0.8
✕Chris Dickerson 2017 · MLB	35	51→55	46→50	55→60	44	247/308/382	135	337	13	19	29%	8%	95	+1.4	229/309/369	140	327	14	12	32%	9%	92	+1.2	214/311/350	136	311	14	11	32%	11%	84	+0.4
✕Jarrod Dyson 2020 · MLB	35	47→57	41→45	61→70	55	226/306/320	94	262	9	35	17%	10%	78	+0.2	218/286/311	93	267	8	30	20%	8%	66	-0.6	199/253/276	77	261	0	40	22%	7%	41	-0.6
✕Drew Maggi 2022 · AAA	33	42→52	47→45	49→60	41	209/286/343	134	300	15	14	34%	7%	76	+0.1	186/253/283	97	263	9	20	31%	6%	46	-2.0	161/228/240	79	222	7	22	29%	6%	23	-1.2
✕Hiram Bocachica 2010 · MLB	34	46	50→55	50→55	53	236/317/394	158	266	17	17	19%	9%	102	+1.9	230/302/405	175	266	21	16	22%	8%	99	+1.7	211/292/396	184	237	22	20	22%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Pete Orr 2013 · MLB	34	48→45	40→45	56→55	41	230/269/327	97	280	7	22	20%	4%	63	-0.9	234/265/326	92	297	6	15	23%	3%	61	-1.0	233/265/317	84	298	5	14	23%	3%	55	-0.9
✕Matt Carson 2015 · MLB	34	45→50	46→60	51→50	39	224/273/347	124	297	14	14	29%	5%	71	-0.3	214/274/336	122	276	13	13	26%	6%	69	-0.4	180/253/278	97	221	11	11	23%	6%	44	-0.7