Jackie Bradley Jr.CF Syracuse Mets
Age 36 L/R 5'10" / 196 lbs AAA Svc 13.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 143 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .267 / .332
PA143
HR3
K%25
BB%6
ISO124
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.2-0.32628
Tools · ContractPOW 44
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023
CONTACT
Whiff%
1714.8%
xwOBA
100.259
POWER44
Barrel%
275.3
Avg EV
4488.6
EYE50
Chase%
4732.3%
SPEED51
Sprint
4227.1
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2013
Service   13.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$0.4M
Totals $0.4M $-0.0M -$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201121 AGreenville Drive 1515 4101 040 00 267267533800 267300 270 294 83
201121 AGreenville Drive 1515 5101 030 00 333333600933 267364 200 405 168
201222 A+2 teams 575496 1263138 5412514 249 254344377721 123316 229 318 101
201222 A+2 teams 575463 1464249 878914 249 315438482920 166364 1515 404 168
201323 AAA2 teams 481432 10024311 3411812 97 231305377683 146293 257 300 88
201323 AAA2 teams 481415 10631313 5110612 97 255354439792 183313 2211 352 128
201424 MLB2 teams 492451 851822 331435 81 188252251502 62269 297 227 32 -38 +1 +13 +2 +14 -0.8
201424 MLB2 teams 492450 902022 341395 81 200264267530 67283 287 244 45 -30 +1 +13 +2 +14 -0.1
201525 AAA2 teams 573513 13936617 471278 74 271342464805 193328 228 346 123
201525 AAA2 teams 573503 14135519 571138 74 280363483846 203326 2010 371 142
201626 MLBBoston Red Sox 636558 14427826 6314310 92 258344475819 217299 2210 349 125 +18 +1 +13 +2 +18 5.3
201626 MLBBoston Red Sox 636558 14930726 6314310 92 267352486837 219312 2210 366 139 +28 +1 +13 +2 +18 6.3
201727 MLBBoston Red Sox 541482 11517417 481249 83 239319396715 158286 239 309 95 -3 +0 +10 +2 +15 2.5
201727 MLBBoston Red Sox 541482 11819317 481249 83 245325402727 158294 239 326 107 +5 +0 +10 +2 +15 3.3
201828 MLBBoston Red Sox 535474 10629513 4613711 171 224307388695 165284 269 303 90 -6 +3 +11 +2 +15 2.5
201828 MLBBoston Red Sox 535474 11133413 4613711 171 234316403719 169299 269 320 103 +2 +3 +11 +2 +15 3.4
201929 MLBBoston Red Sox 567494 10725421 5615512 86 217311411722 194269 2710 312 97 -2 -1 +7 +2 +16 2.3
201929 MLBBoston Red Sox 567494 11128321 5615512 86 225319421740 196281 2710 328 109 +6 -1 +7 +2 +16 3.1
202030 MLBBoston Red Sox 217191 521007 23482 52 272356435791 162328 2211 344 121 +5 +0 +5 +1 +6 1.8
202030 MLBBoston Red Sox 217191 541107 23482 52 283366450816 168343 2211 363 136 +9 +0 +5 +1 +6 2.1
202131 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 428387 641536 2813210 71 165240266506 101230 317 231 35 -31 +1 +2 +2 +12 -1.5
202131 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 428387 631436 2813210 71 163238261499 98226 317 230 34 -32 +1 +2 +2 +12 -1.6
202232 MLBToronto Blue Jays 370344 702314 24770 23 203255311566 108251 216 251 50 -21 -1 +6 -4 +10 -1.0
202232 MLBToronto Blue Jays 370344 702314 24770 23 203255311566 108251 216 255 53 -20 -1 +6 -4 +10 -0.8
202333 MLBKansas City Royals 113105 14501 5292 00 133188210397 76173 264 187 1 -13 +0 +4 +0 +3 -0.5
202333 MLBKansas City Royals 113105 14501 5292 00 133188210397 76173 264 183 -2 -13 +0 +4 +0 +3 -0.6
202434 AAASyracuse Mets 9487 15411 6300 51 172226276502 103246 326 230 34
202434 AAASyracuse Mets 9486 18512 7230 51 209269360629 151258 247 278 71
▸ 2026 Season
202636 MLBNYM 143132 28613 9361 31 212268341609 129266 256 270 65 -6 +0 +1 +1 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202737 MLBNYM 100% 8074 14301 5211 10 189250270520 81256 266 257 55 -4 +0 -7 +0 +2 -0.8
202838 MLBNYM 100% 8074 14301 5211 10 189250270520 81248 266 244 45 -5 +0 -7 +0 +2 -1.0
202737 MLBNYM 100% 8074 14301 5211 10 189250270520 81256 266 251 50 -5 +0 -7 +0 +2 -0.8
202838 MLBNYM 100% 8074 14301 5211 10 189250270520 81248 266 238 40 -5 +0 -7 +0 +2 -1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 43523883 86721027111 371110868 7118 223302377679 154281 259 304 91 -45 +7 +57 +5 +123 15.1
/ 162G 650580 13031417 5516510 113 224302379681 155282 258 304 91 -7 +1 +9 +1 +18 2.2
Career 59405309 119727741140 486147098 11441 225302372674 147283 258 296 85 -103 +6 +58 +8 +168 14.0
/ 162G 650581 13030415 5316111 124 224301367667 143281 258 296 85 -11 +1 +6 +1 +18 1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201121 AGreenville Drive 1515 5101 030 00 333333600933 267364 200 405 168 +1 +0 +0 0.2
201222 AAPortland Sea Dogs 271229 621626 35494 83 271377437814 166316 1813 362 135 +11 +0 +8 1.9
201222 A+Salem Red Sox 304234 842623 524010 166 3594935261.019 167407 1317 442 197 +33 +1 +9 4.3
201323 MLBBoston Red Sox 10795 18503 10312 20 189280337617 147246 299 282 74 -3 +0 -2 +2 +3 0.0
201323 AAAPawtucket Red Sox 374320 8826310 417510 77 275375469843 194331 2011 373 143 +18 -1 +11 2.8
201424 MLBBoston Red Sox 423384 761921 311215 80 198267266532 68284 297 246 46 -26 +2 +13 +2 +12 0.3
201424 AAAPawtucket Red Sox 6966 14101 3180 01 212246273519 61277 264 236 39 -5 -0 +2 -0.3
201525 MLBBoston Red Sox 255221 5517410 27693 30 249339498836 249310 2711 360 134 +10 +1 +3 -6 +7 1.5
201525 AAAPawtucket Red Sox 318282 861819 30445 44 305382472853 167336 149 379 148 +17 -1 +9 2.6
201626 MLBBoston Red Sox 636558 14930726 6314310 92 267352486837 219312 2210 366 139 +28 +1 +13 +2 +18 6.3
201727 MLBBoston Red Sox 541482 11819317 481249 83 245325402727 158294 239 326 107 +5 +0 +10 +2 +15 3.3
201828 MLBBoston Red Sox 535474 11133413 4613711 171 234316403719 169299 269 320 103 +2 +3 +11 +2 +15 3.4
201929 MLBBoston Red Sox 567494 11128321 5615512 86 225319421740 196281 2710 328 109 +6 -1 +7 +2 +16 3.1
202030 MLBBoston Red Sox 217191 541107 23482 52 283366450816 168343 2211 363 136 +9 +0 +5 +1 +6 2.1
202131 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 428387 631436 2813210 71 163238261499 98226 317 230 34 -32 +1 +2 +2 +12 -1.6
202232 MLBToronto Blue Jays 370344 702314 24770 23 203255311566 108251 216 255 53 -20 -1 +6 -4 +10 -0.8
202333 MLBKansas City Royals 113105 14501 5292 00 133188210397 76173 264 183 -2 -13 +0 +4 +0 +3 -0.6
202434 AAASyracuse Mets 9486 18512 7230 51 209269360629 151258 247 278 71 -3 +1 +3 0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 41923735 83920427109 361106666 6918 225304381685 157283 259 306 93 -35 +7 +71 +4 +119 16.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA
135,61715245233301384+26+7319.820.5
/162664185+3.1+8.62.3pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons
134,36611271225300380+13+929.712.1
/1626641711+2.0+13.91.5pk7: 14
#2Henry Blancolast yr '13
career totals — 14 seasons, 2,779 PA
142,779655221284359+27+498.69.6
/162664161+6.6+11.72.1pk7: 11
#3Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA
112,8717942226302380+10+168.18.5
/1626641810+2.3+3.71.9pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#5Jake Marisnicklast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA
102,2136381227280381+5+548.38.2
/1626641924+1.4+16.22.5pk7: 8
#6Peter Bourjoslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,241 PA
82,2414266241298382-0+387.47.5
/1626641220-0.1+11.32.2pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jackie Bradley Jr. (OGILVIE) 36 44 51 50 209/267/332 123266 33 25% 6% 65 -0.2
Tim Laker
2006 · MLB
36 41 46→45 44→45 44 211/264/337 127258 154 25% 6% 65 -0.7 205/256/310 105275 96 28% 6% 54 -1.4 175/219/233582520029%4%14-1.4
Pete Orr
2015 · MLB
36 50→45 40→45 50→55 37 240/267/337 97310 713 25% 3% 64 -0.8 228/266/314 86285 716 22% 4% 58 -1.2 219/259/2755626732018%4%44-1.3
Sandy Martinez
2006 · AAA
35 46 42→45 44→40 41 227/269/333 106285 107 24% 5% 65 -0.7 217/262/345 128272 157 26% 6% 66 -0.6 191/239/31812722918226%6%47-1.0
Mike Rivera
2012 · MLB
35 41 43→55 44→45 45 203/276/315 112274 116 29% 8% 65 -0.7 216/275/322 106293 117 29% 6% 66 -0.6 205/260/263572836028%4%40-0.6
Drew Butera
2021 · MLB
37 41 43→40 49→40 46 202/269/310 108267 106 27% 8% 60 -1.0 196/268/318 122274 139 32% 7% 62 -0.9 149/232/25610720912734%7%29-1.5
Tuffy Gosewisch
2019 · MLB
35 40→45 41→45 43→40 45 198/262/301 103253 83 25% 7% 55 -1.4 203/269/312 109278 107 29% 6% 61 -1.0 152/228/2237121910034%5%19-0.9
Bobby Wilson
2019 · MLB
36 38→48 45→50 46→40 43 197/251/316 119247 143 26% 6% 53 -1.5 209/266/348 139260 176 26% 7% 68 -0.5 177/230/31713920022026%6%41-0.6
Manny Alexander
2007 · MLB
36 47→50 41→45 51→55 46 229/275/328 99265 918 18% 6% 66 -0.6 215/255/307 92261 711 20% 5% 52 -1.6 199/229/268702473520%4%27-1.7
Chad Mottola
2007 · MLB
35 42→44 50→55 47→45 40 220/258/372 151266 187 25% 4% 71 -0.3 228/269/382 154272 189 23% 5% 79 +0.3 226/268/38716125819721%5%76+0.1
Martín Maldonado
2023 · MLB
36 34→44 50 46→40 46 189/270/336 147240 202 30% 9% 69 -0.4 188/250/330 142252 193 33% 7% 58 -1.2 171/229/30313223219035%6%41-0.9
Hector Estrada
2006 · AAA
37 44 42→40 43→40 45 218/266/321 103255 105 19% 6% 61 -1.0 218/269/327 109250 127 18% 6% 64 -0.8 200/249/2868721311312%4%42-0.6
Paul Bako
2008 · MLB
36 46 38→45 42→40 47 217/284/287 71298 64 28% 8% 59 -1.1 229/301/337 108303 114 26% 9% 80 +0.4 226/301/32710229811026%9%68-0.2
Daniel Hinojosa
2019 · AAA
35 46 39→40 49→55 42 221/276/304 83305 711 29% 6% 60 -1.0 209/256/348 139330 1710 40% 6% 64 -0.8 135/173/27614220824549%4%8-0.8
Pedro Mere
2006 · AAA
36 46→49 43→40 45→40 45 228/272/338 110263 117 18% 5% 67 -0.5 237/284/334 97267 95 14% 5% 72 -0.2 239/289/324852698314%5%69-0.2
Jesus Alberto Vega
2019 · AAA
37 43 46→50 48→40 38 216/265/339 123287 147 30% 5% 66 -0.6 212/257/356 144305 189 35% 5% 66 -0.6 172/213/30713524221338%4%31-0.9
Erik Kratz
2017 · MLB
37 37→44 46→60 46→45 41 193/243/318 125238 144 26% 6% 50 -1.7 219/273/348 129262 156 23% 5% 72 -0.2 223/278/35513325617420%5%73-0.1
Roberto Mejia
2007 · AAA
35 47 44→50 46→45 44 231/272/353 122257 1210 16% 4% 72 -0.2 227/270/346 119286 1211 24% 5% 69 -0.4 218/256/304852958928%4%46-0.4
Josh Wilson
2017 · MLB
36 45→50 40→45 49→50 36 218/262/304 86303 711 30% 4% 54 -1.4 221/275/328 107291 108 27% 4% 67 -0.5 209/264/293852778226%3%51-0.7
Curtis Pride
2005 · MLB
36 48 45 51→55 42 238/292/367 129301 1212 25% 6% 84 +0.6 242/317/377 135328 1218 28% 10% 97 +1.5 235/315/360125328112129%10%90+0.5
Hector Paez
2015 · AAA
37 45 46→45 48→40 40 226/265/351 125245 155 16% 3% 69 -0.4 222/255/314 92252 95 16% 3% 53 -1.5 218/245/287702477215%2%41-0.8