Armando Alvarez
3B St. Paul Saints| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | AAA/ROK2 orgs | 329 | .312/.389/.569 | 18 | 9 | 105 | — | .258/.315/.435 | |
| 2024 | 30 | AAAOAK | 317 | .315/.408/.560 | 15 | 5 | 105 | — | .252/.323/.416 | |
| 2024 | 30 | MLBOakland Athle… | 39 | .243/.282/.270 | 0 | 1 | 58 | -0.2 | ||
| 2025 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 244 | .232/.305/.382 | 7 | 1 | 60 | — | .183/.242/.268 | |
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 33 | MLBMIN | 18 | .229/.294/.358 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0.0 | ||
| 2028PROJ6% MLB | 34 | MLBMIN | 8 | .221/.285/.340 | 0 | 0 | 76 | -0.0 | ||
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 218 | 208 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 274 | 294 | 404 | 698 | 130 | 283 | 11 | 3 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 154 | 149 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 248 | 275 | 524 | 47 | 260 | 12 | 2 | 235 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 129 | 119 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 312 | 328 | 640 | 67 | 307 | 15 | 6 | 290 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 390 | 359 | 94 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 314 | 440 | 755 | 178 | 275 | 12 | 6 | 331 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | — | 32 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 312 | 407 | 720 | 222 | 158 | 19 | 16 | 324 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 260 | 238 | 66 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 277 | 331 | 429 | 759 | 151 | 306 | 15 | 7 | 334 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 230 | 210 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 262 | 323 | 405 | 728 | 143 | 292 | 15 | 7 | 324 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 403 | 360 | 85 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 307 | 389 | 695 | 153 | 263 | 17 | 9 | 308 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 323 | 299 | 83 | 20 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 71 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 278 | 323 | 525 | 848 | 247 | 304 | 22 | 6 | 365 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 298 | 260 | 80 | 15 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 308 | 386 | 581 | 966 | 273 | 310 | 16 | 11 | 413 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 31 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 357 | 419 | 464 | 884 | 107 | 417 | 13 | 6 | 397 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 39 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 282 | 270 | 552 | 27 | 310 | 21 | 5 | 254 | 58 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 317 | 273 | 86 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 315 | 408 | 560 | 969 | 245 | 359 | 19 | 13 | 422 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 153 | 137 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 307 | 365 | 672 | 139 | 303 | 29 | 9 | 305 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 91 | 83 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 300 | 410 | 710 | 169 | 266 | 19 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 39 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 282 | 270 | 552 | 27 | 310 | 21 | 5 | 254 | 58 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 218 | 210 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 248 | 343 | 591 | 110 | 242 | 14 | 2 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 154 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 209 | 240 | 449 | 47 | 231 | 18 | 1 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 129 | 122 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 250 | 262 | 512 | 49 | 272 | 21 | 4 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 390 | 367 | 85 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 273 | 368 | 641 | 136 | 254 | 15 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 32 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 107 | 139 | 25 | 12 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 260 | 244 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 238 | 276 | 361 | 637 | 123 | 264 | 18 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 230 | 215 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 223 | 271 | 335 | 606 | 112 | 261 | 20 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 403 | 372 | 77 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 207 | 259 | 317 | 576 | 110 | 241 | 21 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 323 | 306 | 66 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 85 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 216 | 248 | 386 | 633 | 170 | 248 | 26 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 298 | 270 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 52 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 259 | 317 | 448 | 766 | 189 | 266 | 17 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 31 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 290 | 310 | 601 | 69 | 300 | 19 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 39 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 282 | 270 | 552 | 27 | 310 | 21 | 5 | 254 | 58 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 317 | 286 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 72 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 252 | 323 | 416 | 739 | 164 | 301 | 23 | 9 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 153 | 142 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 242 | 268 | 509 | 85 | 268 | 35 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 218 | 210 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 248 | 343 | 591 | 110 | 246 | 14 | 2 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 218 | 208 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 274 | 294 | 404 | 698 | 130 | 283 | 11 | 3 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 272 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 231 | 254 | 485 | 48 | 256 | 19 | 2 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 283 | 268 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 243 | 278 | 299 | 576 | 56 | 280 | 13 | 4 | 260 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 422 | 395 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 67 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 274 | 370 | 643 | 142 | 250 | 16 | 5 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 422 | 386 | 99 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 256 | 314 | 438 | 752 | 181 | 268 | 13 | 7 | 331 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 490 | 459 | 106 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 91 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 231 | 274 | 349 | 622 | 118 | 267 | 19 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 490 | 448 | 121 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 74 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 270 | 327 | 417 | 745 | 147 | 300 | 15 | 7 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 403 | 372 | 77 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 207 | 259 | 317 | 576 | 110 | 248 | 21 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 403 | 360 | 85 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 307 | 389 | 695 | 153 | 263 | 17 | 9 | 308 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 323 | 306 | 66 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 85 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 216 | 248 | 386 | 633 | 170 | 254 | 26 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 323 | 299 | 83 | 20 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 71 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 278 | 323 | 525 | 848 | 247 | 304 | 22 | 6 | 365 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 299 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 57 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 254 | 312 | 428 | 740 | 174 | 272 | 17 | 7 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 329 | 288 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 18 | 34 | 51 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 312 | 389 | 569 | 958 | 257 | 321 | 16 | 10 | 411 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 323 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 80 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 251 | 318 | 399 | 718 | 149 | 303 | 22 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 356 | 310 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 69 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 306 | 394 | 526 | 920 | 219 | 352 | 19 | 12 | 404 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 226 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 235 | 257 | 491 | 80 | 266 | 35 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 244 | 220 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 305 | 382 | 686 | 150 | 288 | 25 | 8 | 308 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 218 | 212 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 248 | 340 | 587 | 108 | 242 | 14 | 2 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 272 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 231 | 254 | 485 | 48 | 250 | 19 | 2 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 422 | 394 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 67 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 274 | 371 | 644 | 142 | 245 | 16 | 5 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 490 | 460 | 106 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 91 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 230 | 274 | 348 | 621 | 117 | 263 | 19 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 403 | 374 | 77 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 259 | 316 | 574 | 110 | 241 | 21 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 323 | 307 | 66 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 85 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 215 | 248 | 384 | 632 | 169 | 248 | 26 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 301 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 57 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 252 | 312 | 425 | 737 | 173 | 269 | 17 | 7 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 321 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 80 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 252 | 318 | 402 | 720 | 150 | 302 | 22 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 225 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 235 | 258 | 492 | 80 | 268 | 35 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 321 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 80 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 252 | 318 | 402 | 720 | 150 | 302 | 22 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 225 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 235 | 258 | 492 | 80 | 268 | 35 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIN | 10% | 282 | 256 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 72 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 229 | 294 | 357 | 651 | 128 | 291 | 26 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIN | 10% | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 294 | 358 | 651 | 128 | 291 | 28 | 6 | 292 | 83 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 34 | MLB MLE | MIN | 6% | 148 | 135 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 284 | 339 | 624 | 118 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -4 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB CTX | MIN | 6% | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 285 | 340 | 624 | 119 | 283 | 25 | 12 | 281 | 76 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 47 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 277 | 250 | 527 | 23 | 294 | 21 | 6 | 259 | 69 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 609 | 138 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 138 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 227 | 275 | 250 | 525 | 23 | 293 | 21 | 6 | 259 | 69 | -30 | +3 | -34 | +18 | +14 | -3.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3391 | 3155 | 708 | 155 | 8 | 74 | 187 | 718 | 18 | 34 | 16 | 224 | 272 | 349 | 621 | 125 | 265 | 21 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -10 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +8 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 136 | 30 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 138 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 225 | 272 | 350 | 622 | 126 | 266 | 21 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -17 | +1 | -14 | +4 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 153 PAwOBA .297 → .223 (−74)K% 28.8% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.76% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.15% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.51% | ÷0.944 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×0.962 | 19.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.962 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.30% | ÷1.253 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .297 → .223; ISO .139 → .086; BABIP .303 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 317 PAwOBA .411 → .324 (−87)K% 19.2% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.24% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.62% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.58% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×0.972 | 21.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.972 | 6.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×0.972 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 4.81% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 104, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .411 → .324; ISO .245 → .174; BABIP .359 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASacramento River Cats · 298 PAwOBA .408 → .329 (−80)K% 15.8% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.77% | ÷1.087 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.74% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.60% | ÷0.992 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×0.982 | 19.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×0.982 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.956 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.982 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.45% | ÷1.057 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 5.50% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 117, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .408 → .329; ISO .273 → .198; BABIP .310 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Orange · 31 PAwOBA .387 → .264 (−123)K% 12.9% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.90% | ÷1.036 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷1.022 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 3.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 22.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.107 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 7.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.377 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 175, 1B 101, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .387 → .264; ISO .107 → .064; BABIP .417 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 323 PAwOBA .359 → .271 (−87)K% 22.0% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.98% | ÷1.001 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.19% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.74% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.968 | ×0.992 | 16.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.77% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×0.992 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.968 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 5.45% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .359 → .271; ISO .247 → .176; BABIP .304 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 403 PAwOBA .303 → .253 (−51)K% 17.4% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.37% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.18% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 16.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.62% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 7.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.149 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.11% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 95, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .303 → .253; ISO .153 → .114; BABIP .263 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 260 PAwOBA .329 → .273 (−56)K% 15.0% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.92% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.11% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 18.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.05% | ÷1.009 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.02% | ÷1.087 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.41% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 88, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .329 → .273; ISO .151 → .122; BABIP .306 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATrenton Thunder · 230 PAwOBA .317 → .264 (−53)K% 15.2% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.22% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.39% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.57% | ÷0.984 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 19.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.040 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.937 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 87, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .317 → .264; ISO .143 → .113; BABIP .292 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .