Randy Arozarena — OGILVIE

Randy ArozarenaLF Seattle Mariners

Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB HR +3% Svc 5.750 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 2.7 · 2026

wRC+†vL 124126vR 113

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .343 / .420

PA629

HR23

SB28

K%26

BB%10

xwOBA.351

Barrel%8.1%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

50→50

SPD

55→55

EYE

57↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2019

Service 5.750 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-3	$16M	+2.7	$22M	+$6M
Totals		$16M		$22M	+$6M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	INTL	2 teams	254	212	23	11	0	0	15	38	14	16	10	.108	.216	.160	.376	.052	.131	15	6	.134	-39	-40	-1	+0	-3	+7	-3.7
2017	22	A+	3 teams	782	700	161	46	4	16	44	191	29	25	14	.230	.303	.376	.678	.146	.291	24	6	.293	82	-16	-1	+0	-8	+22	-0.3
2018	23	AAA	3 teams	476	425	101	21	0	11	28	128	17	29	8	.238	.311	.365	.675	.127	.312	27	6	.295	84	-9	+3	+0	-5	+13	0.2
2019	24	AAA	3 teams	422	375	104	21	3	13	27	97	18	19	13	.277	.355	.453	.808	.176	.341	23	6	.349	125	+12	-1	+0	+2	+12	2.5
2020	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	76	64	20	2	0	8	6	22	5	4	0	.312	.413	.719	1.132	.406	.343	29	8	.454	205	+9	+1	-1	-1	+2	1.0
2021	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	604	529	143	32	2	21	56	170	14	20	10	.270	.356	.457	.813	.187	.356	28	9	.346	123	+16	+0	-1	-6	+17	2.6
2022	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	645	586	158	43	3	20	46	156	11	32	12	.270	.334	.456	.790	.186	.335	24	7	.341	119	+14	+2	-5	-7	+18	2.2
2023	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	654	551	138	19	3	22	80	156	18	22	10	.250	.364	.416	.779	.165	.307	24	12	.344	122	+16	+0	-7	-7	+19	2.1
2024	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	648	549	122	33	0	21	73	169	22	20	10	.222	.337	.397	.734	.175	.278	26	11	.323	105	+4	+0	-8	-7	+18	0.7
2025	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	709	613	146	31	1	26	64	191	27	31	6	.238	.337	.419	.756	.181	.299	27	9	.334	114	+11	+4	-9	-8	+20	1.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	MLB	Seattle Mariners	109	93	27	6	0	2	12	20	3	6	0	.290	.389	.419	.808	.129	.347	18	11	.360	133	+4	+1	-1	-1	+3	0.6
ROS	31	MLB	SEA	520	444	112	23	1	17	54	125	17	22	4	.252	.355	.423	.779	.171	.309	24	10	.349	125	+15	+3	-6	-6	+15	2.1
TOT	31	MLB	SEA	629	537	139	29	1	19	66	145	20	28	4	.259	.361	.423	.784	.164	.318	23	10	.351	126	+19	+4	-8	-7	+18	2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB	SEA	610	522	130	27	1	20	64	126	19	23	3	.249	.352	.420	.772	.170	.288	21	10	.344	121	+15	+3	-11	-7	+17	1.9
2028	33	MLB	SEA	580	497	122	25	1	18	60	123	18	20	2	.245	.348	.408	.756	.163	.286	21	10	.338	117	+11	+3	-11	-6	+16	1.4
2029	34	MLB	SEA	531	455	109	22	1	16	55	117	16	16	2	.240	.342	.398	.740	.158	.284	22	10	.331	112	+7	+2	-11	-6	+15	0.8
2030	35	MLB	SEA	474	408	95	19	1	13	48	110	15	14	1	.233	.335	.380	.715	.147	.282	23	10	.323	105	+3	+2	-11	-5	+13	0.3
2031	36	MLB	SEA	413	355	81	16	1	11	42	100	13	11	1	.228	.332	.372	.704	.144	.279	24	10	.314	98	-1	+2	-11	-4	+12	-0.3
2032	37	MLB	SEA	347	299	66	13	1	8	34	87	11	9	0	.221	.323	.351	.674	.130	.275	25	10	.303	90	-4	+2	-11	-4	+10	-0.7
2033	38	MLB	SEA	276	239	50	10	0	6	27	72	8	6	0	.209	.310	.326	.637	.117	.269	26	10	.292	82	-6	+1	-11	-3	+8	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9021	7823	1881	414	23	267	823	2178	292	339	106	.240	.335	.402	.737	.161	.297	24	9	.323	106	+57	+25	-114	-91	+256	13.6
/ 162G	—			650	564	136	30	2	19	59	157	21	24	8	.241	.335	.402	.738	.161	.298	24	9	.323	106	+4	+2	-8	-7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	22	20	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	.100	.182	.150	.332	.050	.118	14	9	.163	-17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2016	21	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	232	190	55	7	2	0	15	34	14	16	10	.289	.384	.347	.731	.058	.350	15	6	.322	104	+1	-1	—	—	+7	0.7
2017	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	195	163	41	10	1	3	27	34	3	8	3	.252	.368	.380	.748	.129	.299	17	14	.339	118	+4	+0	—	—	+6	1.0
2017	22	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	295	265	73	22	3	8	13	53	12	10	4	.275	.338	.472	.810	.196	.312	18	4	.352	128	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.8
2017	22	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	292	260	76	25	1	14	16	61	14	7	7	.292	.366	.558	.923	.265	.335	21	5	.400	164	+21	-1	—	—	+8	2.9
2018	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	311	267	62	16	0	5	28	59	11	17	5	.232	.330	.348	.678	.116	.278	19	9	.308	94	-2	+1	—	—	+9	0.8
2018	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	102	91	36	5	0	7	6	25	4	9	3	.396	.455	.681	1.137	.286	.492	25	6	.489	232	+15	+1	—	—	+3	1.9
2018	23	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	63	56	12	4	0	0	5	16	2	3	0	.214	.302	.286	.587	.071	.300	25	8	.275	69	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2019	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	23	20	6	1	0	1	2	4	1	2	1	.300	.391	.500	.891	.200	.333	17	9	.396	161	+2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.4
2019	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	283	246	88	18	2	12	24	48	11	9	7	.358	.438	.593	1.031	.236	.404	17	8	.448	201	+32	-1	—	—	+8	4.0
2019	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	116	97	30	7	2	3	13	23	6	8	5	.309	.422	.515	.938	.206	.380	20	11	.416	176	+10	-0	—	—	+3	1.3
2020	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	76	64	18	2	0	7	6	22	5	4	0	.281	.387	.641	1.027	.359	.306	29	8	.436	192	+8	+1	-1	-1	+2	0.9
2021	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	604	529	145	32	3	20	56	170	14	20	10	.274	.359	.459	.818	.185	.363	28	9	.362	135	+24	+0	-1	-6	+17	3.4
2022	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	645	586	154	41	3	20	46	156	11	32	12	.263	.328	.445	.774	.183	.325	24	7	.342	120	+15	+2	-5	-7	+18	2.3
2023	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	654	551	140	19	3	23	80	156	18	22	10	.254	.367	.425	.791	.171	.310	24	12	.355	130	+22	+0	-7	-7	+19	2.7
2024	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	648	549	120	33	0	20	73	169	22	20	10	.219	.334	.388	.722	.169	.275	26	11	.327	108	+6	+0	-8	-7	+18	0.9
2025	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	709	613	146	32	1	27	64	191	27	31	6	.238	.337	.426	.762	.188	.297	27	9	.340	119	+15	+4	-9	-8	+20	2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3359	2912	729	160	10	118	327	868	98	131	49	.250	.346	.434	.780	.183	.314	26	10	.347	124	+91	+7	-31	-34	+95	13.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Randy Arozarena (OGILVIE)	31	45	50	55	55	.250/.352/.421	.171	.290	21	26	20%	10%	125	+3.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hiram Bocachica 2007 · MLB	31	49	53→55	53→55	49	.250/.324/.426	.176	.296	21	21	23%	8%	114	+2.7	.239/.323/.407	.168	.271	19	20	19%	9%	108	+2.3	.217/.308/.392	.175	.241	20	21	20%	9%	96	+0.6
●Michael Tucker 2002 · MLB	31	50→52	53→55	53→55	55	.252/.336/.434	.182	.291	19	19	20%	10%	119	+3.1	.250/.329/.415	.165	.296	16	17	20%	10%	111	+2.5	.250/.334/.409	.159	.295	15	14	20%	11%	108	+2.0
✕Carlos Gómez 2017 · MLB	31	49→57	50→60	51→65	45	.247/.312/.408	.161	.306	17	23	25%	7%	104	+2.0	.228/.305/.393	.165	.291	19	18	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.219/.303/.388	.169	.278	20	19	27%	6%	91	+0.7
✕Jeff DaVanon 2004 · MLB	30	50	52→45	51→55	56	.256/.334/.426	.169	.284	20	20	18%	10%	117	+2.9	.261/.352/.398	.137	.300	13	24	16%	12%	117	+2.9	.261/.362/.386	.125	.306	10	27	16%	13%	114	+1.3
✕Austin Slater 2023 · MLB	30	52→61	51→50	58→55	53	.255/.346/.421	.167	.328	19	24	26%	11%	121	+3.2	.248/.333/.379	.131	.338	14	13	28%	10%	105	+2.1	.238/.322/.345	.107	.332	12	7	29%	10%	89	+0.4
●Mike Cameron 2004 · MLB	31	49→53	54→60	56→55	55	.250/.342/.442	.192	.306	21	23	25%	11%	124	+3.4	.250/.335/.461	.211	.302	24	21	24%	10%	127	+3.6	.248/.337/.456	.208	.304	23	20	25%	11%	123	+3.4
✕Steven Souza Jr. 2020 · MLB	31	46→56	56→60	53→55	54	.239/.335/.439	.200	.302	24	15	28%	12%	121	+3.2	.223/.307/.397	.174	.315	19	12	33%	10%	99	+1.7	.195/.289/.372	.177	.278	21	9	35%	10%	83	+0.2
●Eric Byrnes 2007 · MLB	31	51→57	54→60	55→60	49	.259/.316/.445	.186	.278	20	17	16%	7%	115	+2.7	.259/.319/.436	.177	.278	19	27	14%	7%	114	+2.7	.253/.315/.422	.168	.270	17	30	13%	7%	104	+1.4
●Raul Mondesi 2002 · MLB	31	49→52	59→60	54→55	54	.259/.336/.473	.215	.279	27	26	19%	10%	130	+3.8	.251/.326/.452	.201	.271	24	19	17%	10%	121	+3.2	.248/.323/.445	.197	.267	23	16	17%	9%	112	+2.0
✕Aaron Boone 2005 · MLB	32	49→57	54→60	55	51	.252/.317/.439	.186	.269	22	22	16%	8%	114	+2.7	.249/.313/.389	.140	.278	16	11	17%	7%	98	+1.6	.249/.319/.376	.128	.281	14	8	16%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Robbie Grossman 2022 · MLB	32	48→57	51→45	52→50	60	.243/.349/.412	.168	.287	18	16	21%	13%	120	+3.1	.224/.329/.359	.135	.287	13	10	24%	13%	98	+1.6	.212/.320/.319	.107	.281	9	5	25%	13%	80	+0.2
✕Chris Young 2014 · MLB	30	43→49	52→60	50→55	54	.223/.307/.401	.178	.261	19	16	23%	10%	100	+1.7	.232/.305/.407	.175	.270	20	11	22%	9%	101	+1.8	.242/.320/.420	.178	.282	20	7	21%	9%	107	+1.1
✕Justin Ruggiano 2014 · MLB	32	50→59	53→55	49→55	48	.255/.318/.435	.180	.309	21	20	24%	8%	113	+2.6	.241/.310/.404	.163	.316	19	13	28%	8%	102	+1.8	.230/.302/.385	.155	.318	18	10	31%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Noah Hall 2007 · AA	30	52→55	53→55	53→50	51	.262/.341/.445	.183	.297	19	16	19%	8%	125	+3.5	.249/.320/.387	.138	.283	13	10	16%	8%	102	+1.8	.244/.315/.362	.118	.274	10	7	14%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Pat O'Sullivan 2007 · AAA	30	54→50	54→55	50	46	.275/.323/.459	.184	.312	22	15	20%	6%	121	+3.2	.273/.322/.428	.155	.325	18	11	21%	6%	112	+2.6	.287/.338/.428	.141	.351	17	6	22%	6%	117	+1.0
✕Jonathan Villar 2022 · MLB	31	51→58	50	54→65	49	.255/.323/.410	.155	.320	18	25	25%	9%	108	+2.3	.231/.288/.367	.136	.299	15	20	26%	7%	82	+0.5	.212/.258/.326	.114	.279	11	25	27%	6%	54	-0.9
●AJ Pollock 2019 · MLB	31	49→59	57→65	56→55	50	.256/.321/.465	.209	.280	24	20	18%	8%	122	+3.3	.264/.323/.476	.212	.296	27	12	21%	7%	126	+3.5	.276/.334/.491	.215	.308	28	10	20%	7%	130	+2.0
●Joe Dillon 2007 · MLB	31	51→53	55	52→45	50	.267/.341/.453	.187	.296	24	12	19%	8%	128	+3.6	.251/.324/.415	.164	.277	18	8	16%	9%	110	+2.4	.243/.323/.393	.150	.268	15	7	15%	9%	104	+1.0
✕Ryan Roberts 2012 · MLB	31	47→52	48→50	50→55	55	.237/.316/.381	.145	.274	15	18	20%	10%	98	+1.6	.232/.297/.359	.127	.276	14	12	20%	8%	84	+0.6	.227/.280/.345	.118	.268	12	2	20%	7%	70	-0.2
●Scott Hairston 2011 · MLB	31	46→51	54→60	50	49	.242/.305/.422	.180	.271	22	11	20%	8%	105	+2.1	.242/.298/.449	.207	.270	26	10	21%	7%	109	+2.4	.238/.285/.479	.241	.256	33	9	22%	5%	109	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)