Tommy Pham

LF Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 39 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 9.171 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
AAA40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202436AAA/INTL2 orgs46.195/.250/.2440216—.235/.278/.294
202436MLBKC478.248/.306/.3689794-0.4
202537MLBPIT449.245/.333/.370105990.0
202638AAA/A2 orgs277.230/.356/.3877161—.192/.280/.305
202638MLBCWS35.100/.229/.2001028-0.6
2027PROJ45% MLB39MLBPHI85.247/.326/.388211000.1
2028PROJ40MLBPHI116.240/.319/.3733194-0.8
Last 3 seasons WAR -1.0  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service9.171First FA2028
2027Ext / FA-deal$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Avg EV79
xwOBA59
Barrel%40
Bat Spd30
Speed27
CompsGerald Williams (age 38) · Ray Martinez (age 38) · So Taguchi (age 39)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 101100vR 96
AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .326 / .388
PA85
HR2
K%24
BB%9
BABIP305
ISO117
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +0.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+0BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.2-0.82728
Tools · Splits · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
510.253
POWER
Barrel%
406.9
Avg EV
7991.1
Bat Spd
3069.3
SPEED
Sprint
2726.4
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 927 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
241
686
—
wRC+
86
95
▶R
wOBA
296
308
▶R
ISO
132
119
◀L
BABIP
245
319
▶▶R
K%
19.1%
22.5%
◀L
BB%
10.8%
8.2%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2015
Service   9.171 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$1M+0.1$0.4M-$1M
Totals $1M $0.4M -$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200618 ROKJohnson City Cardinals — 216182 42831 26425 123 231343324667 93291 1912 306 45 — — — — — —
200719 ASwing of the Quad Cities — 3732 2000 392 30 6218962252 87 248 145 -37 — — — — — —
200820 A+Palm Beach Cardinals — 9282 12301 7301 11 146222220442 73216 338 204 -3 — — — — — —
200820 AQuad Cities River Bandits — 346312 6811417 271263 174 218287442729 224298 368 317 39 — — — — — —
200921 A+Palm Beach Cardinals — 380336 781558 361024 186 232314378692 146308 279 309 51 — — — — — —
201022 AASpringfield Cardinals — 140121 411313 18281 42 339429537966 198422 2013 425 126 — — — — — —
201022 A+Palm Beach Cardinals — 285237 621443 42593 134 262379392772 131333 2115 348 78 — — — — — —
201123 AASpringfield Cardinals — 166143 421135 18401 33 294377517894 224370 2411 382 104 — — — — — —
201224 AASpringfield Cardinals — 4339 6201 4190 00 154233282515 128263 449 236 -4 — — — — — —
201325 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 113106 28611 7250 21 264310368678 104338 226 304 55 — — — — — —
201325 AASpringfield Cardinals — 188163 49666 20424 63 301390521912 221371 2211 398 96 — — — — — —
201426 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 390346 11216610 38814 202 324397491888 168397 2110 392 105 — — — — — —
201426 INTLLeones del Caracas — 6349 7002 12151 22 143323265588 122152 2419 282 77 — — — — — —
201527 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 173153 41755 19410 20 268349477826 209333 2411 361 131 +6 +0 +1 +1 +4 1.3
201527 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 196171 561016 22360 90 327404503907 175379 1811 396 93 — — — — — —
201628 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 183159 36709 20713 22 226324440764 214342 3911 339 118 +4 -0 -2 +1 +4 0.7
201628 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 128110 26513 18290 82 236344382726 145295 2314 330 64 — — — — — —
201628 AASpringfield Cardinals — 1714 5001 330 01 3574715711.042 214400 1818 458 139 — — — — — —
201628 INTLLeones del Escogido — 5847 6100 8191 11 128268149417 21207 3314 209 28 — — — — — —
201729 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 530444 13622223 7111710 257 306413520934 214368 2213 409 168 +43 +2 +3 -7 +11 5.4
201729 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 10692 26804 13210 63 283371500871 217328 2012 381 82 — — — — — —
201830 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 570494 13618621 671406 157 275369464832 188342 2512 368 133 +23 +0 -2 +2 +12 3.6
201830 INTLLeones del Escogido — 4743 12200 4160 41 279340326666 47444 349 307 94 — — — — — —
201931 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 654567 15533221 811235 254 273369450819 176316 1912 366 131 +24 +3 -8 -7 +14 2.7
202032 MLBSan Diego Padres — 125109 23203 15271 60 211312312624 101253 2212 290 83 -2 +1 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
202133 MLBSan Diego Padres — 561475 10924215 781284 146 229343383726 154280 2314 328 108 +5 +0 -8 -6 +12 0.4
202234 MLBBoston Red Sox — 622554 13123117 561677 83 236314374688 137304 279 309 92 -6 +0 -5 -7 +13 -0.4
202335 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 481426 10927316 471062 223 256333446779 190300 2210 341 112 +7 +3 -0 -5 +10 1.5
202436 MLBKansas City Royals — 478440 1092039 351062 73 248306368674 120307 227 303 94 -4 +0 -6 -6 +10 -0.4
202436 AAACharlotte Knights — 1817 5100 130 20 294333353686 59357 176 311 49 — — — — — —
202436 INTLLeones del Escogido — 2824 3100 250 00 125192167359 42143 187 160 -5 — — — — — —
202537 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 449392 9617110 50942 53 245333370703 125294 2111 317 99 -1 -0 -4 -5 +10 0.0
202638 MLBChicago White Sox — 3530 3001 5110 00 100229200429 100111 3114 211 28 -3 +0 -0 -3 +1 -0.6
202638 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 260218 511027 40601 11 234355394750 161289 2315 339 62 — — — — — —
202638 ASt. Lucie Mets — 1712 2100 331 00 167375250625 83200 1818 295 49 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 48614243 108420025150 544113142 13138 255346420766 165312 2311 342 117 +101 +11 -32 -42 +105 14.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200618 ROK MLEJohnson City Cardinals — 216191 35621 17605 123 183268251519 68253 288 235 45 — — — — — —
200719 A MLESwing of the Quad Cities — 3733 2000 2122 30 6116261223 84 325 114 -37 — — — — — —
200820 A+ MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 9284 11301 5431 11 131189202391 71219 475 164 -3 — — — — — —
200820 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 346321 528312 181713 174 162213318531 156275 495 226 39 — — — — — —
200921 A+ MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 380345 641346 271454 186 186253299551 113289 387 243 51 — — — — — —
201022 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 140126 371112 13341 42 294364444809 151389 249 355 126 — — — — — —
201022 A+ MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 285249 541433 30863 134 217309333642 116308 3011 283 78 — — — — — —
201123 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 166148 38934 13491 33 257321439760 182335 308 322 104 — — — — — —
201224 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 4340 4101 3230 00 100163200363 100227 537 162 -4 — — — — — —
201325 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 113108 25511 5320 21 231265324590 93316 284 249 55 — — — — — —
201325 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 188169 41454 14504 63 243316396712 154315 277 310 96 — — — — — —
201426 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 390358 1001567 261054 202 279335413748 134367 277 324 105 — — — — — —
201527 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 173154 41755 18410 20 266343474817 208333 2410 361 131 +6 +0 +1 +1 +4 1.3
201527 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 196178 46814 15480 90 258316382698 124322 248 306 93 — — — — — —
201628 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 183160 377010 19713 22 231324463787 231342 3910 342 118 +4 -0 -2 +1 +4 0.7
201628 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 128115 22412 13380 82 191273296569 104272 3010 263 64 — — — — — —
201628 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 1716 5001 140 01 312353500853 188357 246 373 139 — — — — — —
201729 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 530444 13721225 7111710 257 309415534949 225368 2213 416 168 +43 +2 +3 -7 +11 5.4
201729 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 10696 21603 9270 63 219286375661 156271 258 289 82 — — — — — —
201830 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 570496 13518622 651406 157 272363466829 194342 2511 365 133 +23 +0 -2 +2 +12 3.6
201931 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 654571 15534222 771235 254 271363454817 182316 1912 362 131 +24 +3 -8 -7 +14 2.7
202032 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 125109 23203 15271 60 211312312624 101253 2212 292 83 -2 +1 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
202133 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 561478 11226215 751284 146 234343391734 157280 2313 328 108 +5 +0 -8 -6 +12 0.4
202234 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 622554 12720117 561677 83 229308361669 132304 279 303 92 -6 +0 -5 -7 +13 -0.4
202335 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 481427 10624217 461062 223 248324433757 185300 2210 333 112 +7 +3 -0 -5 +10 1.5
202436 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 478440 11120310 351062 73 252310380690 127307 227 307 94 -4 +0 -6 -6 +10 -0.4
202436 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 1817 4100 140 20 235278294572 59298 226 240 49 — — — — — —
202537 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 449395 9616111 47942 53 243327372699 129294 2110 314 99 -1 -0 -4 -5 +10 0.0
202638 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 3530 3001 5110 00 100229200429 100111 3114 210 28 -3 +0 -0 -3 +1 -0.6
202638 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 260232 45825 26721 11 194278310588 116252 2810 260 62 — — — — — —
202638 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 1713 2100 241 00 154312231543 77167 2412 240 49 — — — — — —
200618 ROK MLEJohnson City Cardinals — 216191 35621 17605 123 183268251519 68258 288 235 45 — — — — — —
200618 ROK RAWJohnson City Cardinals — 216182 42831 26425 123 231343324667 93291 1912 306 45 — — — — — —
200719 A MLESwing of the Quad Cities — 3733 2000 2122 30 6116261223 95 325 114 -37 — — — — — —
200719 A RAWSwing of the Quad Cities — 3732 2000 392 30 6218962252 87 248 145 -37 — — — — — —
200820 A MLE2 teams — 438404 6010312 242144 185 149204277481 129267 495 213 30 — — — — — —
200820 A RAW2 teams — 438394 8014418 341564 185 203273396669 193279 368 293 30 — — — — — —
200921 A+ MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 380345 641346 271454 186 186253299551 113297 387 243 51 — — — — — —
200921 A+ RAWPalm Beach Cardinals — 380336 781558 361024 186 232314378692 146308 279 309 51 — — — — — —
201022 A+ MLE2 teams — 425375 912545 431204 176 243327371698 128341 2810 307 94 — — — — — —
201022 A+ RAW2 teams — 425358 1032756 60874 176 288396441837 154363 2014 374 94 — — — — — —
201123 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 166148 38934 13491 33 257321439760 182351 308 322 104 — — — — — —
201123 AA RAWSpringfield Cardinals — 166143 421135 18401 33 294377517894 224370 2411 382 104 — — — — — —
201224 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 4340 4101 3230 00 100163200363 100188 537 162 -4 — — — — — —
201224 AA RAWSpringfield Cardinals — 4339 6201 4190 00 154233282515 128263 449 236 -4 — — — — — —
201325 AA MLE2 teams — 301277 66965 19824 84 238297368665 130319 276 287 80 — — — — — —
201325 AA RAW2 teams — 301269 771277 27674 84 286360461821 175357 229 363 80 — — — — — —
201426 AAA MLE2 teams — 453415 1151769 301225 224 277333412745 135369 277 324 105 — — — — — —
201426 AAA RAW2 teams — 453395 11916612 50965 224 301387463850 162369 2111 377 105 — — — — — —
201527 AAA MLE2 teams — 369332 871569 33890 110 262329425753 163328 249 332 111 — — — — — —
201527 AAA RAW2 teams — 369324 9717611 41770 110 299378491869 191358 2111 379 111 — — — — — —
201628 MLB MLE4 teams — 386340 7513115 391324 116 221308397705 176309 3410 313 98 -1 -0 -2 +1 +8 0.6
201628 MLB RAW4 teams — 386330 7313113 491224 116 221329385714 164306 3213 322 98 -1 -0 -2 +1 +8 0.6
201729 MLB MLE2 teams — 636540 15827228 8014410 3110 293394506899 213350 2313 395 153 +40 +2 +3 -7 +14 5.4
201729 MLB RAW2 teams — 636536 16230227 8413810 3110 302406517923 215361 2213 404 153 +40 +2 +3 -7 +14 5.4
201830 MLB MLE2 teams — 617538 14620623 701526 198 271362459821 188336 2511 365 133 +25 +1 -2 +2 +13 3.9
201830 MLB RAW2 teams — 617537 14820621 711566 198 276366453819 177350 2512 364 133 +25 +1 -2 +2 +13 3.9
201931 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 654571 15534222 771235 254 271363454817 182311 1912 362 131 +24 +3 -8 -7 +14 2.7
201931 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 654567 15533221 811235 254 273369450819 176316 1912 366 131 +24 +3 -8 -7 +14 2.7
202032 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 125109 23203 15271 60 211312312624 101253 2212 292 83 -2 +1 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
202032 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 125109 23203 15271 60 211312312624 101253 2212 290 83 -2 +1 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
202133 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 561478 11226215 751284 146 234343391734 157286 2313 328 108 +5 +0 -8 -6 +12 0.4
202133 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 561475 10924215 781284 146 229343383726 154280 2314 328 108 +5 +0 -8 -6 +12 0.4
202234 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 622554 12720117 561677 83 229308361669 132293 279 303 92 -6 +0 -5 -7 +13 -0.4
202234 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 622554 13123117 561677 83 236314374688 137304 279 309 92 -6 +0 -5 -7 +13 -0.4
202335 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 481427 10624217 461062 223 248324433757 185287 2210 333 112 +7 +3 -0 -5 +10 1.5
202335 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 481426 10927316 471062 223 256333446779 190300 2210 341 112 +7 +3 -0 -5 +10 1.5
202436 MLB MLE3 teams — 524481 12022310 381162 93 249307370677 121307 227 304 92 -5 +1 -6 -6 +11 -0.4
202436 MLB RAW3 teams — 524481 1172239 381142 93 243301358659 114299 227 296 92 -5 +1 -6 -6 +11 -0.4
202537 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 449395 9616111 47942 53 243327372699 129288 2110 314 99 -1 -0 -4 -5 +10 0.0
202537 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 449392 9617110 50942 53 245333370703 125294 2111 317 99 -1 -0 -4 -5 +10 0.0
202638 AAA MLE3 teams — 312275 50926 33872 11 182274295569 113239 2811 253 58 — — — — — —
202638 AAA RAW3 teams — 312260 561128 48742 11 215342365707 150267 2415 323 58 — — — — — —
200618 ROK MLEJohnson City Cardinals — 216192 35621 17605 123 182268250518 68253 288 235 45 — — — — — —
200719 A MLESwing of the Quad Cities — 3733 2000 2122 30 6116261223 84 325 114 -37 — — — — — —
200820 A MLE2 teams — 438407 6010312 242144 185 147204275479 128263 495 213 30 — — — — — —
200921 A+ MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 380346 641346 271454 186 185253298550 113289 387 243 51 — — — — — —
201022 A+ MLE2 teams — 425375 912545 431204 176 243327371698 128335 2810 307 94 — — — — — —
201123 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 166151 38934 13491 33 252321430751 179335 308 322 104 — — — — — —
201224 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 4340 4101 3230 00 100163200363 100227 537 162 -4 — — — — — —
201325 AA MLE2 teams — 301275 66965 19824 84 240297371668 131315 276 287 80 — — — — — —
201426 AAA MLE2 teams — 453415 1151769 301225 224 277333412745 135367 277 324 105 — — — — — —
201527 AAA MLE2 teams — 369333 871569 33890 110 261329423752 162327 249 332 111 — — — — — —
201628 MLB MLE4 teams — 386340 7513115 391324 116 221308397705 176315 3410 313 98 — — — — — —
201729 MLB MLE2 teams — 636541 15827228 8014410 3110 292394505898 213352 2313 395 153 — — — — — —
201830 MLB MLE2 teams — 617536 14620623 701526 198 272362461822 188342 2511 365 133 — — — — — —
201931 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 654567 15534222 771235 254 273363457820 183316 1912 362 131 — — — — — —
202032 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 125108 23203 15271 60 213312315627 102253 2212 292 83 — — — — — —
202133 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 561477 11226215 751284 146 235343392735 157280 2313 328 108 — — — — — —
202234 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 622554 12720117 561677 83 229308361669 132304 279 303 92 — — — — — —
202335 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 481430 10624217 461062 223 247324430754 184300 2210 333 112 — — — — — —
202436 MLB MLE3 teams — 524479 12022310 381162 93 251307372679 121306 227 304 92 — — — — — —
202537 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 449397 9616111 47942 53 242327370697 128294 2110 314 99 — — — — — —
202638 AAA MLE3 teams — 312274 50926 33872 11 182274296570 113232 2811 253 58 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202436 MLB MLE3 teams — 524479 12022310 381162 93 251307372679 121306 227 304 92 — — — — — —
202537 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 449397 9616111 47942 53 242327370697 128294 2110 314 99 — — — — — —
202638 AAA MLE3 teams — 312274 50926 33872 11 182274296570 113232 2811 253 58 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202739 MLB MLEPHI 45% 296263 651227 29692 41 245324382706 136304 2310 316 100 +0 +0 +1 -3 +6 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202739 MLB CTXPHI 45% 8577 18302 8200 10 247326388714 141305 249 319 100 +0 +0 +0 -1 +2 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202840 MLB MLEPHI 100% 116103 25413 11271 10 238318366684 128295 239 308 94 -1 +0 -9 -1 +3 -0.8
202840 MLB CTXPHI 100% 116103 25413 11271 10 240319373692 133296 239 311 94 -1 +0 -9 -1 +3 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 49774346 110920426153 555115843 13238 255345420765 165312 2311 341 98 +100 +11 -41 -43 +108 13.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650568 14527320 721516 175 255345419764 164312 2311 341 98 +13 +1 -5 -6 +14 1.8
Career— MLE — 84997538 179633058226 816226376 26679 238319387706 149308 2710 314 98 +100 +11 -41 -45 +112 14.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 13625417 621736 206 236316381698 146304 2710 314 98 +13 +1 -5 -6 +14 1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 260 PAwOBA .332 → .260 (−73)K% 23.1% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.08%÷1.000×1.200——27.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.38%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9409.98%
HBP% /PA0.38%—×0.940—×0.9400.34%
Singles /BIP20.25%÷1.000×0.930×1.036×0.94018.34%
Doubles /BIP6.33%÷1.000×0.830×1.036×0.9405.11%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷1.000×0.970×1.036×0.9401.20%
Home runs /BIP4.43%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9402.92%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .332 → .260; ISO .161 → .120; BABIP .289 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 17 PAwOBA .307 → .240 (−67)K% 17.6% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷1.000×1.360——24.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷1.000×0.690—×0.94011.45%
HBP% /PA5.88%—×0.780—×0.9404.31%
Singles /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.920—×0.9409.61%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9408.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (16.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .307 → .240; ISO .083 → .074; BABIP .200 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAACharlotte Knights · 18 PAwOBA .303 → .240 (−63)K% 16.7% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.991×1.200——20.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.56%÷1.025×0.690—×0.9403.52%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.033×0.930—×0.94024.18%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.994×0.830—×0.9405.60%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.049×0.970—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.016×0.700—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 110, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .303 → .240; ISO .059 → .045; BABIP .357 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 106 PAwOBA .370 → .289 (−81)K% 19.8% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.81%÷1.010×1.290——25.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.26%÷0.997×0.710—×0.9828.58%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×0.9820.00%
Singles /BIP19.72%÷1.001×0.900×0.990×0.98217.23%
Doubles /BIP11.27%÷1.021×0.810×0.990×0.9828.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.135×0.810×0.990×0.9820.00%
Home runs /BIP5.63%÷0.980×0.780—×0.9824.40%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 127, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .370 → .289; ISO .217 → .167; BABIP .328 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 128 PAwOBA .322 → .263 (−58)K% 22.7% → 29.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.66%÷0.988×1.290——29.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.06%÷0.983×0.710—×0.99210.08%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×0.9920.00%
Singles /BIP20.99%÷0.989×0.900×1.043×0.99219.76%
Doubles /BIP6.17%÷0.941×0.810×1.043×0.9925.50%
Triples /BIP1.23%÷0.951×0.810×1.043×0.9921.09%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷0.931×0.780—×0.9923.08%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 90, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .322 → .263; ISO .145 → .119; BABIP .295 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AASpringfield Cardinals · 17 PAwOBA .431 → .373 (−59)K% 17.6% → 21.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷1.019×1.220——21.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷0.999×0.700—×0.9687.98%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×0.9680.00%
Singles /BIP36.36%÷0.966×0.920—×0.96833.53%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.986×0.840—×0.9680.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940—×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP9.09%÷1.155×0.800—×0.9686.09%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 93, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .431 → .373; ISO .214 → .157; BABIP .400 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 196 PAwOBA .391 → .306 (−85)K% 18.4% → 24.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.37%÷0.967×1.290——24.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.22%÷1.013×0.710—×1.0037.89%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP28.89%÷1.030×0.900×0.988×1.00325.02%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷0.946×0.810×0.988×1.0036.29%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷0.900×0.810×0.988×1.0030.66%
Home runs /BIP4.44%÷1.224×0.780—×1.0032.84%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .391 → .306; ISO .175 → .125; BABIP .379 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 390 PAwOBA .383 → .324 (−59)K% 20.8% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.77%÷0.997×1.290——26.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.49%÷1.031×0.710—×1.0186.65%
HBP% /PA1.03%—×0.980—×1.0181.02%
Singles /BIP30.19%÷1.034×0.900×1.050×1.01828.08%
Doubles /BIP6.04%÷0.917×0.810×1.050×1.0185.70%
Triples /BIP2.26%÷0.900×0.810×1.050×1.0182.18%
Home runs /BIP3.77%÷1.036×0.780—×1.0182.89%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .383 → .324; ISO .168 → .138; BABIP .397 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .