Mark Canha — OGILVIE

Mark CanhaLF Kansas City Royals

Age 37 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 11.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 254 proj PA

wRC+†vL 10296vR 79

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .330 / .347

PA254

HR4

K%20

BB%10

ISO111

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 52 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT52

Whiff%

807.9%

xwOBA

460.304

POWER37

Barrel%

163.8

Avg EV

3588.0

Bat Spd

2568.7

EYE61

Chase%

7327.2%

SPEED41

Sprint

5827.8

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 587 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

198

389

—

wRC+

102

◀◀L

wOBA

319

288

◀L

ISO

105

087

◀◀L

BABIP

321

273

◀L

19.7%

20.8%

◀L

BB%

9.1%

9.8%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 11.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.2M	-$0.2M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.2M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	21	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	21	18	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	167	250	167	417		167	5	5	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	21	17	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	1	176	300	176	476		176	5	10	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	455	412	85	18	0	16	31	124	5	7	3	206	270	367	637	160	247	27	7	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	455	384	106	22	0	25	59	85	5	7	3	276	379	529	908	253	288	19	13	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	478	418	98	22	2	6	42	117	9	1	3	234	318	340	657	105	304	24	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	478	406	119	24	3	6	54	75	9	1	3	293	388	411	799	118	339	16	11	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	504	440	108	27	2	11	39	125	15	6	1	245	328	391	719	145	314	25	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	504	425	116	32	2	13	54	102	15	6	1	273	374	449	824	176	327	20	11	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA	2 teams	—	604	539	137	29	3	14	45	160	11	4	1	254	324	397	721	143	329	26	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA	2 teams	—	604	525	147	29	3	21	59	133	11	4	1	280	365	467	831	187	332	22	10	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	485	441	115	23	3	17	33	96	8	7	2	261	324	442	766	181	296	20	7	332	112	+7	+1	-9	-9	+14	0.4
2015	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	485	441	112	22	3	16	33	96	8	7	2	254	317	426	744	172	289	20	7	329	110	+5	+1	-9	-9	+14	0.3
2016	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	44	41	5	0	0	3	0	20	1	0	1	122	143	341	484	220	105	45	0	205	15	-4	-0	-0	-1	+1	-0.5
2016	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	44	41	5	0	0	3	0	20	1	0	1	122	143	341	484	220	105	45	0	200	11	-4	-0	-0	-1	+1	-0.5
2017	28	AAA	2 teams	—	504	457	105	32	4	18	29	136	13	6	0	230	295	435	730	206	283	27	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA	2 teams	—	504	445	113	38	4	17	41	118	13	6	0	254	335	472	807	218	306	23	8	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	411	365	94	23	0	18	34	88	10	1	2	258	337	468	806	211	291	21	8	344	121	+10	-1	-2	+1	+12	2.1
2018	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	411	365	91	22	0	17	34	88	10	1	2	249	330	449	779	200	282	21	8	345	122	+10	-1	-2	+1	+12	2.1
2019	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	497	410	115	17	3	27	67	107	18	3	2	280	404	534	938	254	317	22	13	405	168	+38	-0	-3	+2	+14	5.1
2019	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	497	410	112	16	3	26	67	107	18	3	2	273	398	517	915	244	308	22	13	403	166	+37	-0	-3	+2	+14	5.1
2020	31	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	243	191	47	12	2	5	37	54	10	4	0	246	395	408	803	162	307	22	15	359	133	+9	+1	-1	-3	+7	1.4
2020	31	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	243	191	47	12	2	5	37	54	10	4	0	246	395	408	803	162	307	22	15	360	134	+9	+1	-1	-3	+7	1.4
2021	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	625	519	123	23	4	18	77	128	27	12	2	237	364	401	765	164	280	20	12	343	121	+15	+2	-2	-7	+18	2.5
2021	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	625	519	120	22	4	17	77	128	27	12	2	231	360	387	747	156	274	20	12	341	119	+14	+2	-2	-7	+18	2.4
2022	33	MLB	New York Mets	—	542	462	123	24	0	13	48	97	28	3	1	266	370	403	772	136	309	18	9	346	123	+14	+0	-6	-6	+15	1.8
2022	33	MLB	New York Mets	—	542	462	123	24	0	13	48	97	28	3	1	266	370	403	772	136	309	18	9	350	126	+16	+0	-6	-6	+15	2.0
2023	34	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	507	435	116	26	1	11	49	79	17	11	1	267	363	407	770	140	299	16	10	342	120	+11	+2	-2	-5	+14	2.0
2023	34	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	507	435	114	25	1	11	49	79	17	11	1	262	359	400	759	138	293	16	10	341	119	+11	+2	-2	-5	+14	2.0
2024	35	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	462	393	99	21	0	8	51	96	13	7	0	252	357	366	723	115	310	21	11	322	104	+2	+1	-3	-8	+13	0.6
2024	35	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	462	393	95	20	0	7	51	96	13	7	0	242	348	346	694	104	298	21	11	318	102	+1	+1	-3	-8	+13	0.4
2025	36	MLB	2 teams	—	158	141	29	4	0	2	12	35	3	0	1	206	282	277	559	71	255	22	8	253	52	-9	-0	-1	-2	+4	-0.8
2025	36	MLB	2 teams	—	158	140	30	4	0	2	13	33	3	0	1	214	295	286	581	71	262	21	8	268	63	-7	-0	-1	-2	+4	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	37	MLB	KC	—	254	221	53	10	1	4	25	51	6	4	1	240	333	348	682	109	289	20	10	311	97	-1	+0	-0	-3	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	38	MLB	KC	100%	166	145	33	6	0	3	16	34	4	2	0	228	321	331	652	103	279	20	10	297	86	-3	+0	-8	-2	+5	-0.7
2027	38	MLB	KC	100%	166	145	32	6	0	2	16	34	4	2	0	221	315	303	619	83	275	20	10	276	69	-6	+0	-8	-2	+5	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4294	3688	911	185	14	123	426	879	145	52	12	247	348	405	753	158	290	20	10	338	117	+81	+6	-45	-44	+122	12.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	138	28	2	19	64	133	22	8	2	247	347	407	754	159	290	20	10	338	117	+12	+1	-7	-7	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	6960	6048	1488	317	25	194	636	1548	199	79	22	246	337	403	740	157	296	22	9	325	107	+56	+7	-45	-69	+197	15.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	139	30	2	18	59	145	19	7	2	246	337	402	739	156	297	22	9	325	107	+5	+1	-4	-6	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	21	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	21	17	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	1	176	300	176	476		176	5	10	231	35	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2011	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	455	384	106	22	0	25	59	85	5	7	3	276	379	529	908	253	288	19	13	392	158	+30	+0	—	—	+13	4.4
2012	23	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	478	406	119	24	3	6	54	75	9	1	3	293	388	411	799	118	339	16	11	356	131	+17	-1	—	—	+14	3.0
2013	24	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	504	425	116	32	2	13	54	102	15	6	1	273	374	449	824	176	327	20	11	362	135	+20	+1	—	—	+14	3.6
2014	25	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	537	465	141	28	3	20	57	112	8	3	1	303	389	505	894	202	356	21	11	390	157	+34	+0	—	—	+15	5.1
2014	25	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	67	60	6	1	0	1	2	21	3	1	0	100	169	167	336	67	125	31	3	158	-21	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2015	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	485	441	112	22	3	16	33	96	8	7	2	254	317	426	744	172	289	20	7	329	110	+5	+1	-9	-9	+14	0.3
2016	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	44	41	5	0	0	3	0	20	1	0	1	122	143	341	484	220	105	45	0	200	11	-4	-0	-0	-1	+1	-0.5
2017	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	187	173	36	13	1	5	7	56	6	2	0	208	263	382	645	173	274	30	4	286	77	-5	+0	-6	-5	+5	-1.1
2017	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	317	272	77	25	3	12	34	62	7	4	0	283	377	529	906	246	323	20	11	392	158	+21	+1	—	—	+9	3.1
2018	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	411	365	91	22	0	17	34	88	10	1	2	249	330	449	779	200	282	21	8	345	122	+10	-1	-2	+1	+12	2.1
2019	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	497	410	112	16	3	26	67	107	18	3	2	273	398	517	915	244	308	22	13	403	166	+37	-0	-3	+2	+14	5.1
2020	31	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	243	191	47	12	2	5	37	54	10	4	0	246	395	408	803	162	307	22	15	360	134	+9	+1	-1	-3	+7	1.4
2021	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	625	519	120	22	4	17	77	128	27	12	2	231	360	387	747	156	274	20	12	341	119	+14	+2	-2	-7	+18	2.4
2022	33	MLB	New York Mets	—	542	462	123	24	0	13	48	97	28	3	1	266	370	403	772	136	309	18	9	350	126	+16	+0	-6	-6	+15	2.0
2023	34	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	507	435	114	25	1	11	49	79	17	11	1	262	359	400	759	138	293	16	10	341	119	+11	+2	-2	-5	+14	2.0
2024	35	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	462	393	95	20	0	7	51	96	13	7	0	242	348	346	694	104	298	21	11	318	102	+1	+1	-3	-8	+13	0.4
2025	36	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	125	113	24	3	0	1	7	24	3	0	1	212	276	265	542	53	256	19	6	249	49	-7	-0	-1	-2	+4	-0.7
2025	36	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	33	27	6	1	0	1	6	9	0	0	0	222	364	370	734	148	294	27	18	339	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4128	3543	879	179	14	121	410	845	141	50	12	248	349	409	758	161	290	20	10	340	119	+87	+5	-37	-42	+117	13.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Kearnslast yr '12 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,148 PA	11	4,148	121	33	254	351	415	-42	-4	15.7	15.9
	/162	664	19	5	254	351	415	-6.8	-0.6	2.5	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,504	125	56	249	347	405	-51	-55	15.5	15.4
	/162	664	18	8	249	347	405	-7.5	-8.1	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Seth Smithlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,076 PA	10	4,076	126	22	260	343	445	-44	-36	13.9	13.3
	/162	664	21	4	260	343	445	-7.1	-5.9	2.3	pk7: 13
#3Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	12	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
	/162	664	21	9	249	332	430	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#4Matt Stairslast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,099 PA	12	4,099	163	16	255	350	454	-47	-62	13.4	12.7
	/162	664	26	3	255	350	454	-7.7	-10.0	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Matt Joycelast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,318 PA	13	4,318	146	34	242	343	425	-46	-44	11.7	11.9
	/162	664	22	5	242	343	425	-7.1	-6.7	1.8	pk7: 12
#6Jonny Gomeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,978 PA	11	3,978	162	50	243	335	438	-43	-67	8.3	9.2
	/162	664	27	8	243	335	438	-7.1	-11.1	1.4	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mark Canha (OGILVIE)	37	52	37	41	61	237/330/347	110	289	4	4	20%	10%	97	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Treanor 2012 · MLB	36	44	41→40	39→40	56	214/314/309	95	255	10	6	19%	11%	80	+0.4	221/314/343	122	273	12	8	22%	11%	89	+0.9	175/283/283	108	219	10	5	24%	11%	50	-0.3
✕A.J. Ellis 2017 · MLB	36	46→56	44→45	45→40	60	224/323/340	116	255	12	5	17%	12%	91	+1.1	241/330/371	130	283	14	5	19%	10%	102	+1.8	243/342/363	120	289	13	0	19%	11%	101	+0.5
✕Raul Sanchez 2010 · AAA	37	51→55	40→45	45→50	47	243/299/331	87	285	7	11	17%	6%	77	+0.1	257/309/361	104	307	9	7	18%	6%	89	+1.0	270/319/377	107	322	9	4	18%	5%	96	+0.7
✕Orlando Palmeiro 2006 · MLB	37	54	43→40	47→50	55	258/328/380	122	276	10	8	11%	8%	102	+1.9	244/314/345	101	270	7	6	12%	8%	88	+0.9	239/312/288	49	269	0	0	10%	9%	67	-0.1
✕Jamie Burke 2009 · MLB	37	51→48	42→45	40→30	48	248/296/354	106	270	10	4	13%	5%	82	+0.5	218/271/311	93	267	8	6	21%	6%	60	-1.0	193/244/256	63	248	4	2	23%	5%	32	-0.7
✕Jose Espinoza 2011 · AAA	37	54→57	41→45	44→45	49	259/316/358	99	305	8	9	18%	7%	91	+1.1	255/309/355	100	311	9	7	20%	7%	87	+0.8	263/318/360	97	322	9	4	20%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Doug Bernier 2017 · AAA	37	50→54	42→40	43→45	44	241/294/342	101	302	10	7	23%	6%	78	+0.2	223/274/319	96	291	10	7	26%	6%	63	-0.8	192/242/239	47	254	5	0	25%	5%	27	-1.4
✕Carlos Ruiz 2016 · MLB	37	49→59	41→50	44→45	55	232/312/331	99	259	7	5	14%	9%	84	+0.6	241/330/357	116	285	11	7	18%	10%	98	+1.6	250/349/359	109	302	10	6	19%	11%	104	+0.6
✕Ryan Hanigan 2017 · MLB	36	44→54	41→40	47→40	51	215/296/311	96	260	9	4	21%	9%	72	-0.2	219/288/307	88	284	8	5	24%	8%	67	-0.5	219/293/272	52	303	5	0	27%	8%	57	-0.4
✕Chris Gomez 2007 · MLB	36	59→54	40→45	41→40	55	280/341/369	89	300	7	6	10%	8%	105	+2.1	269/316/358	89	303	6	5	13%	6%	91	+1.1	279/318/346	67	318	3	1	13%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Issmael Salas 2019 · AAA	37	48→50	45→50	45→50	47	237/286/361	124	258	13	6	15%	5%	80	+0.4	241/281/372	131	267	15	6	16%	5%	80	+0.4	248/282/374	125	270	15	1	14%	4%	81	+0.3
✕Lou Merloni 2007 · MLB	36	50→46	43→45	40	46	243/300/353	110	281	10	4	17%	6%	84	+0.6	223/279/314	91	260	7	5	16%	6%	64	-0.8	214/270/281	67	249	3	1	15%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Jerry Hairston Jr. 2013 · MLB	37	55	44→50	42→55	55	266/333/388	122	286	11	7	12%	8%	106	+2.2	238/302/349	111	258	11	6	12%	8%	83	+0.6	210/266/275	65	226	6	0	10%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Jeff Reboulet 2001 · MLB	37	50	38→40	48→40	57	235/313/313	78	275	5	10	16%	10%	79	+0.3	242/327/348	106	293	7	5	18%	11%	94	+1.3	246/335/351	105	295	7	2	17%	11%	92	+0.6
✕Brad Ausmus 2006 · MLB	37	52→56	38→45	42→45	57	246/322/325	79	272	6	6	12%	10%	85	+0.7	233/313/313	80	273	5	6	15%	9%	79	+0.3	232/310/313	81	281	6	6	18%	9%	72	-0.1
✕So Taguchi 2008 · MLB	39	57→58	40→45	48→50	52	272/330/369	97	301	7	14	12%	7%	100	+1.7	241/311/333	92	271	7	11	13%	8%	83	+0.6	219/295/288	69	250	5	9	14%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Mario Ivan Santana 2013 · AAA	37	50→60	41→40	46→45	49	241/289/340	100	264	9	6	13%	6%	75	-0.0	218/268/295	77	247	7	4	15%	6%	54	-1.4	206/258/260	53	234	6	1	14%	5%	37	-1.1
✕Greg Dobbs 2014 · MLB	36	54→58	42→55	44→50	48	262/314/366	104	301	9	5	16%	6%	92	+1.2	229/283/337	108	281	11	7	22%	6%	72	-0.2	191/217/253	62	249	7	0	26%	3%	17	-1.0
✕Royce Clayton 2007 · MLB	37	55→57	39→45	49→50	48	259/311/351	92	312	4	14	18%	7%	87	+0.8	238/294/341	103	304	7	11	22%	7%	78	+0.2	223/275/307	84	307	2	5	26%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Arnoldo Castro 2006 · AAA	37	50	40	37→40	46	242/284/328	86	277	8	4	16%	5%	69	-0.4	237/278/309	72	263	6	7	12%	5%	62	-0.9	242/280/263	21	257	0	2	5%	5%	46	-0.7