Raul Sanchez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 39 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 229 | .270/.329/.407 | 4 | 1 | 63 | — | .232/.270/.341 |
| 2013 | 40 | AAAAcereros del … | 168 | .221/.352/.316 | 1 | 1 | 58 | — | .193/.291/.276 |
| 2015 | 42 | AAATigres de Qui… | 159 | .316/.411/.390 | 2 | 1 | 89 | — | .273/.342/.315 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 32 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 416 | 375 | 114 | 24 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 59 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 304 | 356 | 485 | 841 | 181 | 328 | 14 | 6 | 362 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 33 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 266 | 235 | 81 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 345 | 408 | 489 | 898 | 145 | 368 | 11 | 8 | 394 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 34 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 422 | 373 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 46 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 290 | 364 | 386 | 750 | 97 | 318 | 11 | 8 | 338 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 35 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 172 | 158 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 342 | 388 | 468 | 857 | 127 | 392 | 15 | 6 | 378 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 36 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 400 | 341 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 59 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 249 | 344 | 334 | 678 | 85 | 288 | 15 | 10 | 306 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 37 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 303 | 262 | 81 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 309 | 382 | 420 | 802 | 111 | 353 | 14 | 8 | 350 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 38 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 324 | 283 | 92 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 40 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 325 | 397 | 428 | 825 | 102 | 362 | 12 | 8 | 366 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 39 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 229 | 204 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 329 | 407 | 736 | 137 | 307 | 17 | 7 | 319 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 40 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 168 | 136 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 352 | 316 | 668 | 96 | 276 | 18 | 12 | 309 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 42 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 159 | 136 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 316 | 411 | 390 | 801 | 74 | 353 | 12 | 13 | 366 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 416 | 384 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 71 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 260 | 299 | 388 | 687 | 128 | 285 | 17 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 33 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 266 | 244 | 72 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 295 | 344 | 406 | 749 | 111 | 317 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 34 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 422 | 389 | 94 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 55 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 242 | 294 | 308 | 603 | 67 | 272 | 13 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 35 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 172 | 162 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 284 | 318 | 377 | 694 | 93 | 330 | 18 | 3 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 36 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 400 | 357 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 218 | 285 | 286 | 570 | 67 | 252 | 18 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 37 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 303 | 271 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 273 | 328 | 369 | 697 | 96 | 305 | 17 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 38 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 324 | 294 | 82 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 279 | 331 | 361 | 692 | 82 | 312 | 15 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 39 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 229 | 211 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 270 | 341 | 612 | 109 | 264 | 20 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 40 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 168 | 145 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 291 | 276 | 567 | 83 | 248 | 23 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 42 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 159 | 143 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 273 | 342 | 315 | 656 | 42 | 311 | 13 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 416 | 384 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 71 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 260 | 299 | 388 | 687 | 128 | 296 | 17 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 32 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 416 | 375 | 114 | 24 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 59 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 304 | 356 | 485 | 841 | 181 | 328 | 14 | 6 | 362 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 33 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 266 | 244 | 72 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 295 | 344 | 406 | 749 | 111 | 325 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 33 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 266 | 235 | 81 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 345 | 408 | 489 | 898 | 145 | 368 | 11 | 8 | 394 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 34 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 422 | 389 | 94 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 55 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 242 | 294 | 308 | 603 | 67 | 273 | 13 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 34 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 422 | 373 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 46 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 290 | 364 | 386 | 750 | 97 | 318 | 11 | 8 | 338 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 35 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 172 | 162 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 284 | 318 | 377 | 694 | 93 | 338 | 18 | 3 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 35 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 172 | 158 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 342 | 388 | 468 | 857 | 127 | 392 | 15 | 6 | 378 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 36 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 400 | 357 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 218 | 285 | 286 | 570 | 67 | 262 | 18 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 36 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 400 | 341 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 59 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 249 | 344 | 334 | 678 | 85 | 288 | 15 | 10 | 306 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 37 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 303 | 271 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 273 | 328 | 369 | 697 | 96 | 324 | 17 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 37 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 303 | 262 | 81 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 309 | 382 | 420 | 802 | 111 | 353 | 14 | 8 | 350 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 38 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 324 | 294 | 82 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 279 | 331 | 361 | 692 | 82 | 321 | 15 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 38 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 324 | 283 | 92 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 40 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 325 | 397 | 428 | 825 | 102 | 362 | 12 | 8 | 366 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 39 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 229 | 211 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 270 | 341 | 612 | 109 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 39 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 229 | 204 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 329 | 407 | 736 | 137 | 307 | 17 | 7 | 319 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 40 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 168 | 145 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 291 | 276 | 567 | 83 | 252 | 23 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 40 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 168 | 136 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 352 | 316 | 668 | 96 | 276 | 18 | 12 | 309 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 42 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 159 | 143 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 273 | 342 | 315 | 656 | 42 | 311 | 13 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 42 | AAA RAW | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 159 | 136 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 316 | 411 | 390 | 801 | 74 | 353 | 12 | 13 | 366 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 416 | 392 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 71 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 255 | 299 | 380 | 679 | 125 | 285 | 17 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 33 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 266 | 246 | 72 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 293 | 344 | 402 | 746 | 110 | 317 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 34 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 422 | 390 | 94 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 55 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 241 | 294 | 308 | 602 | 67 | 272 | 13 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 35 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 172 | 162 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 284 | 318 | 377 | 694 | 93 | 330 | 18 | 3 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 36 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 400 | 364 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 214 | 285 | 280 | 565 | 66 | 252 | 18 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 37 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 303 | 278 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 266 | 328 | 360 | 687 | 94 | 305 | 17 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 38 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 324 | 298 | 82 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 275 | 331 | 356 | 687 | 81 | 312 | 15 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 39 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 229 | 216 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 270 | 333 | 604 | 106 | 264 | 20 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 40 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 168 | 146 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 291 | 274 | 565 | 82 | 248 | 23 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 42 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 159 | 143 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 273 | 342 | 315 | 656 | 42 | 311 | 13 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2859 | 2600 | 662 | 113 | 10 | 33 | 145 | 471 | 55 | 48 | 32 | 255 | 308 | 344 | 652 | 89 | 296 | 16 | 5 | 284 | 78 | -73 | -3 | +0 | -31 | +62 | -4.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 151 | 26 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 107 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 255 | 310 | 347 | 657 | 91 | 297 | 16 | 5 | 284 | 78 | -17 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 159 PAwOBA .359 → .300 (−59)K% 11.9% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.95% | ÷1.070 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.58% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.62% | ÷0.961 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×0.940 | 28.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.42% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.940 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.118 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.01% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 92, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 114, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 43 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (15.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .359 → .300; ISO .074 → .052; BABIP .353 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAAcereros del Norte · 168 PAwOBA .302 → .254 (−47)K% 18.5% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.45% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.31% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 4.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.10% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 16.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷0.942 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 8.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.901 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.70% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 41 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (13.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .302 → .254; ISO .096 → .085; BABIP .276 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 229 PAwOBA .314 → .261 (−53)K% 16.6% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.59% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.99% | ÷1.046 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.29% | ÷1.029 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 19.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.23% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.952 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷0.933 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.70% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .314 → .261; ISO .137 → .112; BABIP .307 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 324 PAwOBA .357 → .302 (−55)K% 12.3% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.35% | ÷0.974 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.16% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.04% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 26.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.828 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.64% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 108, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .357 → .302; ISO .102 → .085; BABIP .362 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAALeones de Yucatan · 303 PAwOBA .347 → .295 (−52)K% 13.9% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.86% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.36% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 23.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.68% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .347 → .295; ISO .111 → .090; BABIP .353 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 400 PAwOBA .300 → .251 (−49)K% 14.8% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×0.940 | 20.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×0.940 | 4.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.940 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.93% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .300 → .251; ISO .085 → .067; BABIP .288 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 172 PAwOBA .368 → .299 (−69)K% 15.1% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.12% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.994 | ×0.940 | 26.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×0.940 | 6.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.50% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .368 → .299; ISO .127 → .092; BABIP .392 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 422 PAwOBA .327 → .273 (−54)K% 10.9% → 13.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×0.940 | 22.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.940 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.940 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.01% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .327 → .273; ISO .097 → .074; BABIP .318 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).