Christian Quintero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 38 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 549 | .276/.362/.432 | 13 | 8 | 65 | — | .222/.276/.336 |
| 2015 | 39 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 405 | .311/.381/.393 | 2 | 1 | 73 | — | .260/.307/.320 |
| 2016 | 40 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 192 | .247/.304/.318 | 2 | 2 | 36 | — | .211/.250/.269 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 29 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 466 | 423 | 152 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 359 | 408 | 541 | 950 | 182 | 370 | 7 | 6 | 411 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 490 | 455 | 151 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 332 | 369 | 455 | 824 | 123 | 340 | 6 | 5 | 361 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 499 | 451 | 147 | 27 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 45 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 326 | 378 | 470 | 848 | 144 | 340 | 9 | 7 | 370 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 437 | 390 | 140 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 46 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 359 | 415 | 526 | 940 | 167 | 378 | 11 | 8 | 406 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 468 | 422 | 141 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 43 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 334 | 394 | 526 | 920 | 192 | 339 | 9 | 8 | 403 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 418 | 375 | 119 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 317 | 377 | 496 | 873 | 179 | 316 | 7 | 7 | 380 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 167 | 149 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 255 | 315 | 349 | 664 | 94 | 283 | 12 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 38 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 406 | 500 | 594 | 1.094 | 188 | 387 | 0 | 13 | 482 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 46 | 43 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 349 | 378 | 349 | 727 | 385 | 9 | 4 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 288 | 262 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 325 | 382 | 707 | 111 | 294 | 12 | 7 | 313 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 249 | 223 | 67 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 358 | 453 | 811 | 152 | 328 | 12 | 8 | 352 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 502 | 435 | 126 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 49 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 290 | 373 | 453 | 826 | 163 | 300 | 10 | 11 | 362 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 47 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 239 | 200 | 439 | 75 | 147 | 13 | 13 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 405 | 354 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 311 | 381 | 393 | 773 | 82 | 351 | 11 | 10 | 342 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 40 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 192 | 170 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 247 | 304 | 318 | 622 | 71 | 268 | 11 | 7 | 273 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 29 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 466 | 432 | 133 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 308 | 347 | 444 | 792 | 137 | 319 | 9 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 490 | 465 | 133 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 286 | 311 | 383 | 694 | 97 | 291 | 7 | 3 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 499 | 467 | 128 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 54 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 274 | 307 | 377 | 684 | 103 | 286 | 11 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 437 | 403 | 121 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 300 | 340 | 419 | 759 | 119 | 315 | 13 | 5 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 468 | 435 | 117 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 51 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 269 | 315 | 400 | 715 | 131 | 278 | 11 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 418 | 388 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 242 | 285 | 361 | 645 | 119 | 239 | 8 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 38 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 324 | 395 | 471 | 865 | 147 | 316 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 288 | 270 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 265 | 304 | 569 | 74 | 256 | 16 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 249 | 231 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 272 | 333 | 605 | 100 | 260 | 16 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 502 | 459 | 102 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 61 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 222 | 276 | 336 | 611 | 113 | 232 | 12 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 405 | 369 | 96 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 260 | 307 | 320 | 627 | 60 | 294 | 14 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 40 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 192 | 175 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 211 | 250 | 269 | 519 | 57 | 222 | 14 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 29 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 466 | 432 | 133 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 308 | 347 | 444 | 792 | 137 | 326 | 9 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 29 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 466 | 423 | 152 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 359 | 408 | 541 | 950 | 182 | 370 | 7 | 6 | 411 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 490 | 465 | 133 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 286 | 311 | 383 | 694 | 97 | 297 | 7 | 3 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 490 | 455 | 151 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 332 | 369 | 455 | 824 | 123 | 340 | 6 | 5 | 361 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 499 | 467 | 128 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 54 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 274 | 307 | 377 | 684 | 103 | 294 | 11 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 499 | 451 | 147 | 27 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 45 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 326 | 378 | 470 | 848 | 144 | 340 | 9 | 7 | 370 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 437 | 403 | 121 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 300 | 340 | 419 | 759 | 119 | 326 | 13 | 5 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 437 | 390 | 140 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 46 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 359 | 415 | 526 | 940 | 167 | 378 | 11 | 8 | 406 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 468 | 435 | 117 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 51 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 269 | 315 | 400 | 715 | 131 | 281 | 11 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 468 | 422 | 141 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 43 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 334 | 394 | 526 | 920 | 192 | 339 | 9 | 8 | 403 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 542 | 131 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 47 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 242 | 283 | 360 | 643 | 118 | 245 | 8 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 585 | 524 | 157 | 33 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 49 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 300 | 360 | 454 | 814 | 155 | 307 | 8 | 7 | 355 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 84 | 76 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 329 | 386 | 474 | 859 | 145 | 311 | 0 | 7 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 84 | 75 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 373 | 434 | 453 | 887 | 80 | 386 | 5 | 8 | 396 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 288 | 270 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 265 | 304 | 569 | 74 | 262 | 16 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 288 | 262 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 325 | 382 | 707 | 111 | 294 | 12 | 7 | 313 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 249 | 231 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 272 | 333 | 605 | 100 | 267 | 16 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 249 | 223 | 67 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 358 | 453 | 811 | 152 | 328 | 12 | 8 | 352 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 502 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 66 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 223 | 276 | 337 | 613 | 114 | 237 | 12 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 475 | 131 | 31 | 2 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 276 | 362 | 432 | 793 | 156 | 287 | 10 | 11 | 349 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 405 | 369 | 96 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 260 | 307 | 320 | 627 | 60 | 304 | 14 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 405 | 354 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 311 | 381 | 393 | 773 | 82 | 351 | 11 | 10 | 342 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 40 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 192 | 175 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 211 | 250 | 269 | 519 | 57 | 235 | 14 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 40 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 192 | 170 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 247 | 304 | 318 | 622 | 71 | 268 | 11 | 7 | 273 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 29 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 466 | 437 | 133 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 304 | 347 | 439 | 787 | 135 | 319 | 9 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 490 | 470 | 133 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 283 | 311 | 379 | 690 | 96 | 291 | 7 | 3 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 499 | 474 | 128 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 54 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 270 | 307 | 371 | 678 | 101 | 286 | 11 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 437 | 410 | 121 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 295 | 340 | 412 | 752 | 117 | 315 | 13 | 5 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 468 | 436 | 117 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 51 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 268 | 315 | 399 | 714 | 131 | 278 | 11 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 549 | 131 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 47 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 239 | 283 | 355 | 638 | 117 | 239 | 8 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 84 | 77 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 325 | 386 | 468 | 853 | 143 | 316 | 0 | 7 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 288 | 273 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 265 | 300 | 565 | 73 | 256 | 16 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 249 | 235 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 272 | 328 | 599 | 98 | 260 | 16 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 507 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 66 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 221 | 276 | 333 | 610 | 112 | 232 | 12 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 405 | 377 | 96 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 255 | 307 | 313 | 620 | 58 | 294 | 14 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 40 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 192 | 181 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 204 | 250 | 260 | 510 | 55 | 222 | 14 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4712 | 4367 | 1149 | 200 | 21 | 74 | 223 | 518 | 29 | 127 | 60 | 263 | 303 | 369 | 673 | 106 | 282 | 11 | 5 | 292 | 83 | -93 | +1 | +0 | -50 | +102 | -4.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 159 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 71 | 4 | 18 | 8 | 264 | 305 | 370 | 675 | 106 | 283 | 11 | 5 | 292 | 83 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 192 PAwOBA .266 → .221 (−45)K% 10.9% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.94% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.77% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.82% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×0.940 | 19.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.03% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×0.940 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.34% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.01% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .266 → .221; ISO .071 → .054; BABIP .268 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 405 PAwOBA .333 → .276 (−58)K% 11.4% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.36% | ÷0.969 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.14% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.92% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×0.940 | 23.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.011 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×0.940 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.940 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.42% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .333 → .276; ISO .082 → .065; BABIP .351 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 502 PAwOBA .352 → .270 (−81)K% 9.8% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.76% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.76% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.50% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×0.940 | 17.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.25% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×0.940 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×0.940 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.37% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.27% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 111, 2B 112, 3B 91, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .352 → .270; ISO .163 → .121; BABIP .300 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 249 PAwOBA .344 → .261 (−83)K% 12.4% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.45% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.63% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×0.979 | ×0.940 | 18.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.90% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×0.940 | 7.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.60% | ÷1.221 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 104, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .344 → .261; ISO .152 → .100; BABIP .328 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 288 PAwOBA .306 → .245 (−60)K% 12.5% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.931 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.29% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.89% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×0.940 | 21.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.87% | ÷1.118 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×0.940 | 3.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.67% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 92, K 86, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .306 → .245; ISO .111 → .074; BABIP .294 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 38 PAwOBA .469 → .374 (−95)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷1.169 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 2.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 23.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.025 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.02% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 93, BB 134 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .469 → .374; ISO .188 → .142; BABIP .387 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 418 PAwOBA .372 → .278 (−94)K% 6.9% → 8.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.94% | ÷1.027 | ×1.200 | — | — | 8.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.94% | ÷1.074 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.83% | ÷1.046 | ×0.930 | ×0.951 | ×0.940 | 18.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×0.940 | 4.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×0.940 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.47% | ÷1.098 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.08% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 109, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 105, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .372 → .278; ISO .179 → .120; BABIP .316 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 468 PAwOBA .394 → .312 (−83)K% 9.2% → 11.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.19% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 4.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×0.942 | 21.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×0.942 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.942 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 2.96% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .394 → .312; ISO .192 → .138; BABIP .339 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .