Adan Amezcua
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 39 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 370 | .288/.408/.470 | 11 | 1 | 105 | — | .245/.326/.402 |
| 2014 | 40 | AAALeones de Yuc… | 203 | .238/.310/.320 | 1 | 1 | 47 | — | .207/.270/.277 |
| 2015 | 41 | AAADelfines de C… | 78 | .203/.338/.312 | 1 | 0 | 44 | — | .164/.273/.254 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 31 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 346 | 295 | 92 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 312 | 408 | 447 | 856 | 136 | 362 | 15 | 11 | 383 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 32 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 276 | 236 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 322 | 410 | 513 | 922 | 191 | 352 | 13 | 10 | 402 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 33 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 329 | 283 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 297 | 380 | 399 | 779 | 102 | 342 | 15 | 10 | 346 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 34 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 267 | 233 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 292 | 370 | 425 | 795 | 133 | 312 | 10 | 10 | 351 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 35 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 171 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 327 | 398 | 415 | 813 | 88 | 369 | 12 | 9 | 358 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 36 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 223 | 201 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 293 | 328 | 621 | 109 | 247 | 16 | 9 | 282 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 36 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 116 | 104 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 269 | 345 | 423 | 768 | 154 | 304 | 18 | 8 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 37 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 273 | 232 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 349 | 434 | 530 | 965 | 181 | 392 | 14 | 11 | 418 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 37 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 57 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 316 | 320 | 636 | 100 | 263 | 19 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 38 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 177 | 154 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 318 | 338 | 656 | 104 | 264 | 16 | 8 | 295 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 38 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 83 | 62 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 360 | 403 | 763 | 177 | 229 | 16 | 14 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 39 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 284 | 235 | 69 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 294 | 405 | 511 | 916 | 217 | 324 | 16 | 12 | 399 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 39 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 86 | 67 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 417 | 328 | 745 | 60 | 327 | 16 | 17 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 40 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 203 | 181 | 43 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 238 | 310 | 320 | 630 | 83 | 284 | 16 | 5 | 287 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 41 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 78 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 338 | 312 | 650 | 109 | 267 | 23 | 10 | 304 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 31 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 346 | 310 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 258 | 329 | 355 | 684 | 97 | 307 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 276 | 246 | 69 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 280 | 347 | 427 | 774 | 146 | 309 | 16 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 329 | 294 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 255 | 318 | 333 | 651 | 78 | 293 | 18 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 34 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 267 | 244 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 250 | 302 | 344 | 646 | 94 | 271 | 12 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 35 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 178 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 281 | 330 | 354 | 684 | 73 | 311 | 15 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 36 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 223 | 209 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 177 | 225 | 258 | 484 | 81 | 205 | 19 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 37 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 273 | 243 | 72 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 46 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 296 | 360 | 432 | 792 | 136 | 332 | 17 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 38 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 177 | 160 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 249 | 256 | 505 | 69 | 216 | 19 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 39 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 284 | 249 | 61 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 326 | 402 | 728 | 157 | 276 | 19 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 40 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 203 | 184 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 207 | 270 | 277 | 547 | 71 | 249 | 20 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 41 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 78 | 67 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 273 | 254 | 526 | 90 | 212 | 27 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 31 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 346 | 310 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 258 | 329 | 355 | 684 | 97 | 312 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 31 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 346 | 295 | 92 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 312 | 408 | 447 | 856 | 136 | 362 | 15 | 11 | 383 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 276 | 246 | 69 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 280 | 347 | 427 | 774 | 146 | 318 | 16 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 32 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 276 | 236 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 322 | 410 | 513 | 922 | 191 | 352 | 13 | 10 | 402 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 329 | 294 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 255 | 318 | 333 | 651 | 78 | 305 | 18 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 33 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 329 | 283 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 297 | 380 | 399 | 779 | 102 | 342 | 15 | 10 | 346 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 34 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 267 | 244 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 250 | 302 | 344 | 646 | 94 | 276 | 12 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 34 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 267 | 233 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 292 | 370 | 425 | 795 | 133 | 312 | 10 | 10 | 351 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 35 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 178 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 281 | 330 | 354 | 684 | 73 | 325 | 15 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 35 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 171 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 327 | 398 | 415 | 813 | 88 | 369 | 12 | 9 | 358 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 339 | 315 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 231 | 251 | 482 | 76 | 206 | 19 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 36 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 339 | 305 | 72 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 311 | 361 | 671 | 125 | 266 | 17 | 9 | 304 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 295 | 86 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 292 | 355 | 424 | 779 | 132 | 340 | 17 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 37 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 330 | 282 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 326 | 414 | 493 | 906 | 167 | 370 | 15 | 11 | 397 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 260 | 230 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 196 | 254 | 270 | 524 | 74 | 230 | 19 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 38 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 260 | 216 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 331 | 356 | 687 | 125 | 254 | 16 | 10 | 301 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 39 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 325 | 81 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 249 | 328 | 415 | 743 | 166 | 287 | 19 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 39 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 302 | 87 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 288 | 408 | 470 | 878 | 182 | 325 | 16 | 13 | 387 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 40 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 203 | 184 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 207 | 270 | 277 | 547 | 71 | 259 | 20 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 40 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 203 | 181 | 43 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 238 | 310 | 320 | 630 | 83 | 284 | 16 | 5 | 287 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 41 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 78 | 67 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 273 | 254 | 526 | 90 | 222 | 27 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 41 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 78 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 338 | 312 | 650 | 109 | 267 | 23 | 10 | 304 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 31 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 346 | 310 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 258 | 329 | 355 | 684 | 97 | 307 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 276 | 249 | 69 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 277 | 347 | 422 | 769 | 145 | 309 | 16 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 329 | 299 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 251 | 318 | 328 | 646 | 77 | 293 | 18 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 34 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 267 | 247 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 247 | 302 | 340 | 642 | 93 | 271 | 12 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 35 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 182 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 275 | 330 | 346 | 676 | 71 | 311 | 15 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 339 | 313 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 231 | 252 | 483 | 77 | 205 | 19 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 330 | 298 | 86 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 289 | 355 | 419 | 774 | 131 | 332 | 17 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 260 | 240 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 188 | 254 | 258 | 512 | 71 | 216 | 19 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 39 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 329 | 81 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 328 | 410 | 738 | 164 | 276 | 19 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 40 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 203 | 185 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 205 | 270 | 276 | 546 | 70 | 249 | 20 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 41 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 78 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 273 | 250 | 523 | 88 | 212 | 27 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2995 | 2688 | 651 | 149 | 3 | 41 | 182 | 527 | 68 | 22 | 24 | 242 | 307 | 346 | 652 | 103 | 285 | 18 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -77 | -5 | +0 | +53 | +65 | 3.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 141 | 32 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 114 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 242 | 306 | 346 | 653 | 105 | 284 | 18 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -17 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 78 PAwOBA .297 → .233 (−64)K% 23.1% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.102 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 5.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.095 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 13.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.934 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 7.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.65% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 119, 2B 87, 3B 81, K 110, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 41 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (13.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .297 → .233; ISO .109 → .091; BABIP .267 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALeones de Yucatan · 203 PAwOBA .281 → .237 (−44)K% 16.3% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.26% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.42% | ÷0.921 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 3.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.27% | ÷0.969 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 18.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 6.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.47% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 94, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .281 → .237; ISO .083 → .065; BABIP .284 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 284 PAwOBA .390 → .317 (−73)K% 15.8% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.85% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.62% | ÷1.073 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 3.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×0.940 | 17.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.05% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.940 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.953 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.63% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .390 → .317; ISO .217 → .170; BABIP .324 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 177 PAwOBA .290 → .233 (−57)K% 16.4% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.38% | ÷1.040 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.80% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×0.940 | 17.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.60% | ÷1.073 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×0.940 | 4.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.40% | ÷0.889 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.78% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 100, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .290 → .233; ISO .104 → .080; BABIP .264 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 273 PAwOBA .408 → .332 (−76)K% 13.6% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.55% | ÷0.972 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.99% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.69% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 24.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.74% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 7.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.59% | ÷1.053 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.24% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 104, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .408 → .332; ISO .181 → .135; BABIP .392 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 223 PAwOBA .276 → .213 (−63)K% 16.1% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.14% | ÷1.006 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.009 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 15.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.68% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 127, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .276 → .213; ISO .109 → .081; BABIP .247 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 197 PAwOBA .352 → .295 (−57)K% 12.2% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×0.940 | 25.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.940 | 6.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.45% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .352 → .295; ISO .088 → .069; BABIP .369 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 267 PAwOBA .341 → .286 (−54)K% 10.1% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.028 | ×0.940 | 20.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×0.940 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.940 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.60% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .341 → .286; ISO .133 → .103; BABIP .312 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .