Olmo Rosario
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 39 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 99 | .227/.292/.284 | 1 | 2 | 62 | — |
| 2021 | 40 | INTLPanama | 21 | .316/.381/.474 | 1 | 0 | 144 | — |
| 2022 | 41 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 115 | .293/.386/.394 | 2 | 1 | 126 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 27 | AA | Connecticut Defenders | — | 450 | 420 | 126 | 31 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 67 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 300 | 338 | 479 | 816 | 179 | 330 | 15 | 4 | 355 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 478 | 432 | 136 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 60 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 315 | 370 | 454 | 824 | 139 | 342 | 13 | 7 | 362 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 289 | 261 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 314 | 370 | 487 | 856 | 172 | 341 | 12 | 6 | 373 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 483 | 443 | 152 | 29 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 50 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 343 | 390 | 506 | 896 | 163 | 362 | 10 | 7 | 391 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | INTL | Mexico | — | 291 | 261 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 35 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 268 | 330 | 322 | 652 | 54 | 303 | 12 | 8 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 481 | 428 | 134 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 37 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 313 | 376 | 411 | 787 | 98 | 328 | 8 | 8 | 348 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 280 | 236 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 40 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 292 | 391 | 390 | 780 | 97 | 335 | 14 | 11 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 184 | 165 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 321 | 381 | 479 | 860 | 158 | 333 | 9 | 8 | 376 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 294 | 266 | 82 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 40 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 308 | 366 | 410 | 775 | 102 | 347 | 14 | 7 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 37 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 245 | 222 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 297 | 347 | 405 | 753 | 108 | 314 | 11 | 6 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 38 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 502 | 443 | 142 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 321 | 391 | 460 | 851 | 140 | 328 | 8 | 9 | 375 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 38 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 215 | 188 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 324 | 407 | 468 | 875 | 144 | 347 | 9 | 11 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 39 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 99 | 88 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 284 | 576 | 57 | 237 | 10 | 7 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 40 | INTL | Panama | — | 21 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 474 | 855 | 158 | 333 | 14 | 10 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 41 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 115 | 99 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 386 | 394 | 780 | 101 | 321 | 12 | 10 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 27 | AA MLE | Connecticut Defenders | — | 450 | 429 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 82 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 259 | 284 | 399 | 682 | 140 | 291 | 18 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 478 | 447 | 112 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 76 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 251 | 287 | 349 | 636 | 98 | 278 | 16 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 483 | 454 | 132 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 57 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 291 | 325 | 401 | 726 | 110 | 309 | 12 | 4 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 481 | 443 | 127 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 42 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 287 | 329 | 357 | 686 | 70 | 299 | 9 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 184 | 170 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 271 | 315 | 376 | 691 | 106 | 284 | 11 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 38 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 502 | 461 | 125 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 47 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 271 | 320 | 367 | 686 | 95 | 277 | 9 | 5 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AA MLE | Connecticut Defenders | — | 450 | 429 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 82 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 259 | 284 | 399 | 682 | 140 | 298 | 18 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AA RAW | Connecticut Defenders | — | 450 | 420 | 126 | 31 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 67 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 300 | 338 | 479 | 816 | 179 | 330 | 15 | 4 | 355 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 767 | 714 | 180 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 123 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 252 | 292 | 349 | 641 | 97 | 286 | 16 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 767 | 693 | 218 | 48 | 3 | 17 | 50 | 95 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 315 | 370 | 466 | 836 | 152 | 341 | 12 | 7 | 366 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 774 | 724 | 211 | 36 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 91 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 291 | 327 | 403 | 730 | 112 | 315 | 12 | 4 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 774 | 704 | 222 | 39 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 85 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 315 | 367 | 438 | 805 | 122 | 340 | 11 | 7 | 355 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 761 | 697 | 201 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 66 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 288 | 334 | 360 | 694 | 72 | 310 | 9 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 761 | 664 | 203 | 31 | 2 | 10 | 70 | 77 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 306 | 381 | 404 | 785 | 98 | 330 | 10 | 9 | 349 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 440 | 118 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 52 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 268 | 316 | 370 | 687 | 102 | 290 | 11 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 478 | 431 | 135 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 57 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 313 | 372 | 436 | 808 | 123 | 342 | 12 | 7 | 357 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 37 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 245 | 222 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 297 | 347 | 405 | 753 | 108 | 314 | 11 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 37 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 245 | 222 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 297 | 347 | 405 | 753 | 108 | 314 | 11 | 6 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 717 | 662 | 178 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 67 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 269 | 316 | 361 | 677 | 92 | 283 | 9 | 5 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 38 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 717 | 631 | 203 | 30 | 7 | 15 | 69 | 61 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 322 | 395 | 463 | 858 | 141 | 334 | 9 | 10 | 379 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 39 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 99 | 88 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 284 | 576 | 57 | 237 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 39 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 99 | 88 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 284 | 576 | 57 | 237 | 10 | 7 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 40 | INTL MLE | Panama | — | 21 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 474 | 855 | 158 | 333 | 14 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 40 | INTL RAW | Panama | — | 21 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 474 | 855 | 158 | 333 | 14 | 10 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 41 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 115 | 99 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 386 | 394 | 780 | 101 | 321 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 41 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 115 | 99 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 386 | 394 | 780 | 101 | 321 | 12 | 10 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AA MLE | Connecticut Defenders | — | 450 | 432 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 82 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 257 | 284 | 396 | 680 | 139 | 291 | 18 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 767 | 721 | 180 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 123 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 250 | 292 | 345 | 637 | 96 | 278 | 16 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 774 | 730 | 211 | 36 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 91 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 289 | 327 | 400 | 727 | 111 | 309 | 12 | 4 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 761 | 707 | 201 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 66 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 284 | 334 | 355 | 689 | 71 | 299 | 9 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 444 | 118 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 52 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 266 | 316 | 367 | 683 | 101 | 284 | 11 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 717 | 665 | 178 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 67 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 268 | 316 | 359 | 676 | 92 | 277 | 9 | 5 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4427 | 4094 | 1120 | 176 | 17 | 66 | 210 | 536 | 50 | 93 | 55 | 274 | 317 | 373 | 690 | 100 | 298 | 12 | 5 | 265 | 65 | -182 | -3 | +0 | +47 | +96 | -4.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 164 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 79 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 273 | 316 | 373 | 689 | 100 | 297 | 12 | 5 | 265 | 65 | -27 | -0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 502 PAwOBA .368 → .299 (−70)K% 8.4% → 9.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.37% | ÷1.071 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.37% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.93% | ÷0.954 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 23.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 3.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.196 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.65% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 114, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .368 → .299; ISO .140 → .096; BABIP .328 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 184 PAwOBA .368 → .296 (−72)K% 9.2% → 10.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.24% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.15% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×0.940 | 21.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.940 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.38% | ÷1.263 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.76% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 92, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .368 → .296; ISO .158 → .106; BABIP .333 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAToros de Tijuana · 481 PAwOBA .342 → .300 (−42)K% 7.7% → 8.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.062 | ×1.200 | — | — | 8.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.90% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.11% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×0.940 | 25.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.12% | ÷0.926 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×0.940 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷0.941 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.940 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.278 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.79% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 93, 2B 85, 3B 88, K 112, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .342 → .300; ISO .098 → .075; BABIP .328 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAAcereros del Norte · 483 PAwOBA .384 → .314 (−69)K% 10.4% → 11.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.35% | ÷1.063 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.63% | ÷0.979 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.48% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 24.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 5.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.940 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.07% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 113, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .384 → .314; ISO .163 → .114; BABIP .362 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAAcereros del Norte · 478 PAwOBA .353 → .279 (−74)K% 12.6% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.55% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.07% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.88% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×0.940 | 22.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.18% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×0.940 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.940 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.96% | ÷0.952 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.04% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .353 → .279; ISO .139 → .102; BABIP .342 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAConnecticut Defenders · 450 PAwOBA .345 → .293 (−52)K% 14.9% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 2.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 20.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 2.57% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .345 → .293; ISO .179 → .142; BABIP .330 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .