Jurickson ProfarLF Atlanta Braves
Age 33 S/R 5'11" / 184 lbs MLB Svc 11.500 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 486 proj PA
wRC+†vL 137137vR 135
AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .350 / .429
PA486
HR17
SB8
K%16
BB%12
ISO179
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +14.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+14BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -2.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: -5.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +13.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +1.80+1.8WAR
0.01.12.20.71.1-$5M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 48 / POW 48
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT48
Whiff%
847.4%
xwOBA
740.337
POWER48
Barrel%
346.2
Avg EV
4989.1
Bat Spd
4670.9
EYE46
Chase%
7526.9%
SPEED56
Sprint
2626.3
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 1039 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
282
757
wRC+
137
135
wOBA
365
362
ISO
180
184
BABIP
294
285
K%
12.4%
16.5%
◀◀L
BB%
9.9%
12.2%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2012
Service   11.500 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2027
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$6M+0.7$3M-$3M
2027Ext$14M+1.1$8M-$4M
Totals $20M $11M -$7M
Options · projected decision
2028MUTUAL OPT$14.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2029PLAYER OPT$6.5M / $1.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2030PLAYER OPT$7.5M / $1.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2031MUTUAL OPT$10.0M / $1.0M buyoutDECLINE
2032PLAYER OPT$14.0M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201118 AHickory Crawdads 516456 1123797 398911 239 246320412732 167288 178 309 95
201118 AHickory Crawdads 516430 12337812 656311 239 286393493886 207309 1213 385 153
201219 AA3 teams 621565 14226712 401185 164 251307386692 135293 196 304 91
201219 AA3 teams 621535 14429716 70905 164 269359439798 170292 1411 350 126
201320 MLB3 teams 605538 12120212 511186 148 225299336636 112266 208 282 74 -18 -0 +0 +2 +17 0.1
201320 MLB3 teams 605518 13223311 71976 148 255351375726 120294 1612 326 108 +5 -0 +0 +2 +17 2.5
201522 INTL2 teams 126118 26302 2462 13 220246297543 76324 372 227 32
201522 INTL2 teams 126108 29713 12192 13 269352435788 167289 1510 341 119
201623 MLB2 teams 496446 11212311 41946 64 251323365688 114296 198 303 90 -6 -0 +5 +2 +14 1.5
201623 MLB2 teams 496441 11315310 46876 64 256335372707 116299 189 319 102 +1 -0 +5 +2 +14 2.2
201724 AAA2 teams 453400 892205 37549 61 223303315618 92246 128 272 67
201724 AAA2 teams 453385 1042707 52479 61 270370395765 125292 1011 343 121
201825 MLBTexas Rangers 594524 13134620 548812 100 250334452786 202264 159 341 119 +13 +2 -11 +6 +17 2.8
201825 MLBTexas Rangers 594524 13335620 548812 100 254337458795 204269 159 350 126 +17 +2 -11 +6 +17 3.3
201926 MLBOakland Athletics 518459 10325221 48758 91 224309425734 200224 149 317 101 +0 +1 -3 +2 +15 1.6
201926 MLBOakland Athletics 518459 10024220 48758 91 218303410712 192218 149 316 100 +0 +1 -3 +2 +15 1.5
202027 MLBSan Diego Padres 202180 52608 15284 71 289357456812 167301 147 349 125 +6 +1 -1 -2 +6 0.9
202027 MLBSan Diego Padres 202180 50607 15284 71 278347428775 150293 147 342 120 +5 +1 -1 -2 +6 0.8
202128 MLBSan Diego Padres 412354 821824 49656 105 232335328663 96272 1612 301 89 -5 +0 -8 -4 +12 -0.6
202128 MLBSan Diego Padres 412353 801724 49656 105 227330320650 93266 1612 300 88 -6 +0 -8 -4 +12 -0.7
202229 MLBSan Diego Padres 658575 14438216 731034 51 250339407746 157279 1611 330 111 +8 +1 -4 -7 +19 1.6
202229 MLBSan Diego Padres 658575 14036215 731034 51 243333391724 148272 1611 324 106 +5 +1 -4 -7 +19 1.3
202330 MLB3 teams 665580 14635214 661148 62 252336391728 140286 1710 321 104 +3 +0 -13 -7 +19 0.2
202330 MLB3 teams 665572 13832213 731118 62 241335372707 131274 1711 317 100 +0 +0 -13 -7 +19 -0.1
202431 MLBSan Diego Padres 668564 16431026 7610118 103 291392484876 193312 1511 375 145 +34 +1 -8 -7 +19 3.9
202431 MLBSan Diego Padres 668564 15829024 7610118 103 280383459842 179302 1511 372 143 +32 +1 -8 -7 +19 3.8
202532 MLB2 teams 430370 9418117 52675 92 254354446800 192266 1612 354 129 +14 +1 -8 -5 +12 1.5
202532 MLB2 teams 430366 9419117 56655 92 257363454817 197268 1513 362 135 +17 +1 -8 -5 +12 1.8
▸ 2026 Season
202633 MLBATL 486419 10521117 56788 83 251350427777 177272 1612 350 126 +14 +0 -3 -5 +14 1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734 MLBATL 100% 497429 10420117 57838 62 242342413755 170264 1711 339 117 +10 +0 -8 -5 +14 1.1
202835 MLBATL 100% 420362 8516113 48737 41 235336392728 157255 1711 326 108 +4 +0 -8 -4 +12 0.3
202936 MLBATL 100% 324280 6311110 36595 21 225324379703 154246 1811 313 98 -1 +0 -8 -3 +9 -0.3
203037 MLBATL 100% 260225 47807 29494 10 209310338648 129237 1911 300 87 -4 +0 -9 -3 +7 -0.8
202734 MLBATL 100% 497429 10420117 57838 62 242342413755 170264 1711 327 108 +5 +0 -8 -5 +14 0.6
202835 MLBATL 100% 420362 8516113 48737 41 235336392728 157255 1711 314 99 -1 +0 -8 -4 +12 -0.1
202936 MLBATL 100% 324280 6311110 36595 21 225324379703 154246 1811 302 89 -4 +0 -8 -3 +9 -0.7
203037 MLBATL 100% 260225 47807 29494 10 209310338648 129237 1911 288 79 -6 +0 -9 -3 +7 -1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 61635361 129426621172 648101596 7923 241334395729 154267 1611 323 106 +40 +7 -83 -39 +175 10.1
/ 162G 650565 13628218 6810710 82 241332393725 152266 1610 323 106 +4 +1 -9 -4 +18 1.1
Career 89517844 192240140239 8691502136 15351 245331398729 153273 1710 321 104 +36 +10 -86 -51 +254 16.6
/ 162G 650570 13929317 6310910 114 244330395724 151272 1710 321 104 +3 +1 -6 -4 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201118 AHickory Crawdads 516430 12337812 656311 239 286393493886 207309 1213 385 153 +31 +1 +15 4.7
201219 MLBTexas Rangers 1717 3201 040 00 176176471647 294167 240 273 67 -1 +0 +0 +2 +0 0.2
201219 AAFrisco RoughRiders 562480 13526714 66795 164 281374452826 171306 1412 362 135 +22 +2 +16 4.0
201219 INTLTigres del Licey 4238 6101 470 00 158238263501 105167 1710 233 36 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
201320 MLBTexas Rangers 324286 671106 26635 24 234309336645 101280 198 289 79 -8 -1 +0 +2 +9 0.3
201320 AAARound Rock Express 166144 40724 21240 61 278370438807 160310 1413 359 133 +6 +1 +5 1.2
201320 INTLTigres del Licey 11588 25511 24101 63 284442398840 114308 921 382 150 +7 +0 +3 1.0
201522 AHickory Crawdads 3533 9101 191 00 273314394708 121348 263 318 102 +0 +0 +1 0.1
201522 INTLSurprise Saguaros 9175 20612 11101 13 267368453821 187269 1112 350 126 +3 -1 +3 0.4
201623 MLBTexas Rangers 307272 65635 30613 21 239321338660 99291 2010 300 88 -4 +0 +5 +2 +9 1.2
201623 AAARound Rock Express 189169 48905 16263 43 284356426782 142312 148 350 126 +6 -0 +5 1.1
201724 MLBTexas Rangers 7058 10200 9141 11 172294207501 34227 2013 240 42 -5 -0 +1 -5 +2 -0.7
201724 AAARound Rock Express 383327 942507 43338 50 287384428812 141302 911 362 135 +15 +1 +11 2.8
201825 MLBTexas Rangers 594524 13335620 548812 100 254337458795 204269 159 350 126 +17 +2 -11 +6 +17 3.3
201926 MLBOakland Athletics 518459 10024220 48758 91 218303410712 192218 149 316 100 +0 +1 -3 +2 +15 1.5
202027 MLBSan Diego Padres 202180 50607 15284 71 278347428775 150293 147 342 120 +5 +1 -1 -2 +6 0.8
202128 MLBSan Diego Padres 412353 801724 49656 105 227330320650 93266 1612 300 88 -6 +0 -8 -4 +12 -0.7
202229 MLBSan Diego Padres 658575 14036215 731034 51 243333391724 148272 1611 324 106 +5 +1 -4 -7 +19 1.3
202330 MLBSan Diego Padres 521459 1112729 50906 10 242324368692 126279 1710 311 96 -2 +0 -13 -7 +15 -0.8
202330 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 2014 5002 520 00 3575267861.312 429273 1025 518 255 +3 +0 +1 0.4
202330 INTLCuracao 12499 22502 18192 52 222353333686 111247 1515 308 94 -1 +0 +4 0.3
202431 MLBSan Diego Padres 668564 15829024 7610118 103 280383459842 179302 1511 372 143 +32 +1 -8 -7 +19 3.8
202532 MLBAtlanta Braves 371318 7816114 48595 92 245353434787 189261 1613 353 128 +12 +1 -8 -5 +11 1.1
202532 AAAGwinnett Stripers 5948 16303 860 00 3334295831.012 250310 1014 419 179 +5 +0 +2 0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 46624065 99521118125 47875172 6619 245335398732 153271 1610 327 109 +46 +6 -50 -23 +132 11.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons
166,63218886243332399-75-7417.216.2
/162664199-7.5-7.51.7pk7: 15
#1Eric Hinskelast yr '13
career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA
124,31013761249332430-34-3313.012.9
/162664219-5.2-5.12.0pk7: 13
#2Matt Joycelast yr '21
career totals — 13 seasons, 4,318 PA
134,31814634242343425-46-4411.711.9
/162664225-7.1-6.71.8pk7: 12
#3Wil Myerslast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA
114,290156107252326437-47-4510.710.7
/1626642417-7.3-6.91.7pk7: 11
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA
114,96317933242316418-54-338.39.6
/162664244-7.3-4.41.1pk7: 11
#5Jonny Gomeslast yr '15
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,978 PA
113,97816250243335438-43-678.39.2
/162664278-7.1-11.11.4pk7: 10
#6Robbie Grossmanlast yr '24
career totals — 12 seasons, 4,561 PA
124,5619367242345374-49-625.06.1
/1626641410-7.1-9.00.7pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jurickson Profar (OGILVIE) 33 45→48 48 56 46 251/350/429 178272 178 16% 12% 126 +2.9
Dexter Fowler
2019 · MLB
33 46→56 51→55 50→55 58 234/335/403 169278 1710 22% 12% 111 +2.5 236/331/398 162292 199 25% 12% 109 +2.4 236/341/40316729321825%12%112+1.5
Charlie Blackmon
2019 · MLB
33 52→57 54→60 50→55 51 265/334/448 183297 2112 19% 8% 123 +3.3 257/322/422 165289 186 17% 8% 111 +2.5 251/321/40315228116316%8%101+1.5
Eduardo Escobar
2022 · MLB
33 47→57 58→60 52→50 49 252/311/461 209277 263 20% 8% 117 +2.9 241/295/415 174289 203 23% 7% 98 +1.6 233/286/39616328319124%7%86+0.5
Michael Cuddyer
2012 · MLB
33 55→58 52→60 51→50 53 276/339/452 176302 199 16% 8% 126 +3.5 265/326/434 169300 1811 18% 8% 115 +2.8 278/334/43315532217819%7%115+1.8
José Cruz Jr.
2007 · MLB
33 48→51 53→65 47→50 62 242/347/425 183282 198 21% 14% 122 +3.3 228/317/363 135277 1311 21% 12% 94 +1.3 229/305/356128282111422%10%84+0.4
Zack Cozart
2019 · MLB
33 50→56 54→60 52→50 55 255/333/443 188277 204 16% 10% 121 +3.2 219/290/349 130248 136 17% 8% 79 +0.3 121/178/141211440015%5%-24-1.2
Abraham Almonte
2022 · MLB
33 48→55 51→55 45→55 59 239/337/413 174289 1811 23% 13% 115 +2.8 234/325/419 185295 259 28% 11% 112 +2.6 217/313/40418726728829%12%100+0.9
Robbie Grossman
2023 · MLB
33 47→57 49→50 50 58 231/337/383 152290 1613 25% 13% 108 +2.3 229/331/361 132294 137 24% 13% 100 +1.7 224/334/35112628612423%14%97+0.8
Aaron Hicks
2022 · MLB
32 44→54 51→55 47→55 61 226/335/392 166267 197 23% 14% 109 +2.4 226/328/342 116288 1311 24% 13% 94 +1.3 225/335/329103287121323%14%89+0.6
Asdrúbal Cabrera
2020 · MLB
34 51→61 53→55 48→50 53 260/331/439 179295 214 19% 9% 119 +3.1 241/317/406 165285 184 21% 10% 105 +2.1 227/307/38315627016121%10%92+0.6
Scott Spiezio
2007 · MLB
34 47→57 53→55 51→45 53 243/323/422 179275 205 20% 10% 111 +2.5 257/336/405 148298 155 18% 10% 112 +2.6 266/354/3811153089016%11%108+1.0
Midre Cummings
2005 · MLB
33 51 52→50 51→50 50 257/333/427 171298 1911 21% 8% 118 +3.0 244/309/405 161305 206 26% 7% 102 +1.8 236/298/38715029720027%7%95+0.7
Jason Kipnis
2020 · MLB
33 45→55 51→55 48→55 52 233/301/395 162258 198 19% 8% 95 +1.4 237/314/402 165291 197 24% 9% 103 +1.9 229/321/39716730419329%10%101+0.6
Gary Matthews Jr.
2008 · MLB
33 55→63 51→55 51→50 54 274/340/446 172303 1814 16% 9% 124 +3.4 251/324/382 131307 1211 21% 9% 101 +1.8 243/320/3561123118923%10%88+0.5
Chris Young
2017 · MLB
33 48→49 54→60 46→55 50 246/317/430 184285 219 22% 8% 111 +2.5 230/309/402 172273 209 23% 9% 101 +1.8 207/295/37116424020723%10%85+0.2
Jody Gerut
2010 · MLB
32 50→56 52→55 49→50 51 256/310/428 172270 2012 15% 7% 108 +2.3 247/304/404 157271 178 16% 7% 98 +1.6 254/308/41215827615014%7%98+0.5
Garrett Jones
2014 · MLB
33 48→53 57→60 49→50 48 251/307/455 204285 245 22% 7% 114 +2.7 245/303/417 172291 193 22% 8% 102 +1.8 244/304/40916529118022%8%95+0.8
John Mabry
2004 · MLB
33 47 54→60 46→30 52 244/320/425 181272 215 20% 9% 111 +2.5 251/319/424 173298 213 22% 9% 111 +2.5 242/310/40416229020023%9%96+0.6
Ricky Ledee
2006 · MLB
32 51→47 52→60 50 53 256/332/430 174300 195 21% 10% 117 +2.9 232/292/376 144280 165 23% 7% 86 +0.8 215/269/33712226515225%6%65-0.4
Fernando Tatis
2009 · MLB
34 48→54 53→55 47→45 50 248/315/422 174286 207 21% 8% 108 +2.3 252/315/413 161289 177 19% 7% 105 +2.1 276/335/42815230813614%6%111+1.6