Dexter Fowler

PosCF

B/TS/R

Born1986-03-22

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2020	34	MLBSTL	101	.233/.317/.389	4	1	106	0.1
2021	35	MLBLAA	21	.250/.286/.250	0	1	54	-0.1
2022	36	AAATOR	15	.417/.500/.417	0	0	149	—	.385/.429/.385
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

xwOBA69

Barrel%39

Speed36

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	19	ROK	Casper Rockies	—	252	220	60	10	4	4	27	73	2	18	6	273	357	409	767	136	392	29	11	341	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A	Asheville Tourists	—	458	405	120	31	6	8	43	79	7	43	23	296	374	462	835	165	351	17	9	369	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	299	245	67	7	5	2	44	64	7	20	11	273	399	367	766	94	361	21	15	351	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	27	26	4	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	1	154	185	154	339		190	19	0	161	-5	-3	-0	+0	+2	+1	-0.1
2008	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	505	421	141	31	9	9	65	89	8	20	8	335	433	515	949	181	405	18	13	411	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	518	433	115	29	10	4	67	116	1	27	10	266	365	406	772	141	351	22	13	337	113	+8	+1	-14	+2	+11	0.8
2010	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	505	439	114	20	14	6	57	104	2	13	8	260	347	410	757	150	328	21	11	335	99	-1	-1	-3	+2	+11	0.9
2010	24	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	124	106	36	10	4	2	17	27	1	1	0	340	435	566	1.002	226	442	22	14	437	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	563	481	128	35	15	5	68	130	6	12	9	266	364	432	796	166	354	23	12	351	108	+5	-1	-3	+2	+12	1.6
2011	25	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	114	97	23	6	1	2	15	24	1	2	1	237	345	381	727	144	296	21	13	328	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	530	454	136	18	11	13	68	128	0	12	5	300	391	474	864	174	390	24	13	378	128	+17	+0	-5	+2	+11	2.7
2013	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	492	415	109	18	3	12	65	105	6	19	9	263	370	407	778	145	323	21	13	349	113	+7	+0	-3	+2	+11	1.8
2014	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	505	434	120	21	4	8	66	108	3	11	4	276	376	399	774	122	351	21	13	351	120	+12	+1	-14	+2	+11	1.1
2015	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	690	596	149	29	8	17	84	154	5	20	7	250	347	411	759	161	308	22	12	339	113	+11	+1	-1	+2	+15	2.9
2016	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	551	456	126	25	7	13	79	124	11	13	4	276	396	447	843	171	350	23	14	376	138	+25	+1	-1	+2	+12	4.0
2017	31	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	491	420	111	22	9	18	63	101	4	7	3	264	366	488	854	224	305	21	13	373	137	+21	+0	-7	+2	+11	2.7
2018	32	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	334	289	52	10	0	8	38	75	3	5	2	180	282	298	579	118	210	22	11	266	69	-12	+0	-8	-4	+7	-1.6
2019	33	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	574	487	116	24	1	19	74	142	8	8	5	238	348	409	757	170	294	25	13	339	118	+12	-0	-9	-6	+12	0.9
2020	34	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	101	90	21	2	0	4	10	28	1	1	1	233	317	389	706	156	293	28	10	319	106	+1	-0	-1	-1	+2	0.1
2021	35	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	21	20	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	250	286	250	536		357	29	5	249	54	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
2022	36	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	15	12	5	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	417	500	417	917		455	13	13	395	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5902	5040	1306	253	82	127	740	1326	51	149	68	259	360	417	777	158	326	22	13	345	120	+140	+3	-69	+9	+128	21.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	19	ROK MLE	Casper Rockies	—	252	231	45	7	3	3	16	105	2	18	6	195	253	290	543	95	327	42	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	458	419	111	26	6	7	29	106	7	43	23	265	323	406	729	141	333	23	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	299	257	62	6	4	2	32	86	7	20	11	241	341	319	660	78	346	29	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	27	26	4	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	1	154	185	154	339		190	19	0	161	-5	-3	-0	+0	+2	+1	-0.1
2008	22	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	505	442	143	29	10	8	44	109	8	20	8	324	395	489	883	165	396	22	9	376	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	518	434	115	29	10	4	66	116	1	27	10	265	363	406	769	141	351	22	13	335	113	+8	+1	-14	+2	+11	0.8
2010	24	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	505	439	106	19	10	5	57	104	2	13	8	241	331	364	696	123	328	21	11	314	99	-1	-1	-3	+2	+11	0.9
2010	24	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	124	112	31	8	3	2	11	36	1	1	0	277	347	455	802	179	394	29	9	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	563	484	119	34	10	4	65	130	6	12	9	246	342	382	725	136	354	23	12	328	108	+5	-1	-3	+2	+12	1.6
2011	25	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	114	101	19	5	1	1	11	34	1	2	1	188	274	287	561	99	268	30	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	530	455	128	17	8	12	67	128	0	12	5	281	374	433	807	152	390	24	13	357	128	+17	+0	-5	+2	+11	2.7
2013	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	492	416	104	17	2	11	64	105	6	19	9	250	358	380	738	130	323	21	13	335	113	+7	+0	-3	+2	+11	1.8
2014	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	505	436	119	20	4	8	64	108	3	11	4	273	370	392	762	119	351	21	13	345	120	+12	+1	-14	+2	+11	1.1
2015	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	690	597	148	28	7	18	83	154	5	20	7	248	345	409	753	161	308	22	12	335	113	+11	+1	-1	+2	+15	2.9
2016	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	551	456	125	24	6	14	79	124	11	13	4	274	394	445	839	171	350	23	14	373	138	+25	+1	-1	+2	+12	4.0
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	491	426	111	21	9	19	57	101	4	7	3	261	353	486	839	225	305	21	12	370	137	+21	+0	-7	+2	+11	2.7
2018	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	334	289	53	10	0	9	38	75	3	5	2	183	285	311	596	128	210	22	11	271	69	-12	+0	-8	-4	+7	-1.6
2019	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	574	488	116	23	1	20	73	142	8	8	5	238	346	412	758	174	294	25	13	343	118	+12	-0	-9	-6	+12	0.9
2020	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	101	90	21	2	0	4	10	28	1	1	1	233	317	389	706	156	293	28	10	325	106	+1	-0	-1	-1	+2	0.1
2021	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	21	20	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	250	286	250	536		357	29	5	249	54	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
2022	36	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	15	13	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	385	429	385	813		419	13	7	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK MLE	Casper Rockies	—	252	231	45	7	3	3	16	105	2	18	6	195	253	290	543	95	341	42	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK RAW	Casper Rockies	—	252	220	60	10	4	4	27	73	2	18	6	273	357	409	767	136	392	29	11	341	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	458	419	111	26	6	7	29	106	7	43	23	265	323	406	729	141	339	23	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	458	405	120	31	6	8	43	79	7	43	23	296	374	462	835	165	351	17	9	369	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	299	257	62	6	4	2	32	86	7	20	11	241	341	319	660	78	353	29	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	299	245	67	7	5	2	44	64	7	20	11	273	399	367	766	94	361	21	15	351	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	532	468	147	29	10	8	44	114	9	20	9	314	384	470	854	156	398	21	8	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	532	447	145	31	9	9	65	94	9	20	9	324	420	494	915	170	392	18	12	398	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	518	434	115	29	10	4	66	116	1	27	10	265	363	406	769	141	350	22	13	335	113	+8	+1	-14	+2	+11	0.8
2009	23	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	—	518	433	115	29	10	4	67	116	1	27	10	266	365	406	772	141	351	22	13	337	113	+8	+1	-14	+2	+11	0.8
2010	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	629	551	137	27	13	7	68	140	3	14	8	249	334	383	717	134	322	22	11	321	103	+2	-0	-3	+2	+14	1.5
2010	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	629	545	150	30	18	8	74	131	3	14	8	275	365	440	805	165	350	21	12	355	103	+2	-0	-3	+2	+14	1.5
2011	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	677	585	139	39	11	6	76	164	7	14	10	238	332	373	705	135	320	24	11	316	100	-0	-1	-3	+2	+15	1.3
2011	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	677	578	151	41	16	7	83	154	7	14	10	261	361	424	785	163	344	23	12	347	100	-0	-1	-3	+2	+15	1.3
2012	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	530	455	128	17	8	12	67	128	0	12	5	281	374	433	807	152	366	24	13	357	128	+17	+0	-5	+2	+11	2.7
2012	26	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	—	530	454	136	18	11	13	68	128	0	12	5	300	391	474	864	174	390	24	13	378	128	+17	+0	-5	+2	+11	2.7
2013	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	492	416	104	17	2	11	64	105	6	19	9	250	358	380	738	130	308	21	13	335	113	+7	+0	-3	+2	+11	1.8
2013	27	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	—	492	415	109	18	3	12	65	105	6	19	9	263	370	407	778	145	323	21	13	349	113	+7	+0	-3	+2	+11	1.8
2014	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	505	436	119	20	4	8	64	108	3	11	4	273	370	392	762	119	346	21	13	345	120	+12	+1	-14	+2	+11	1.1
2014	28	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	505	434	120	21	4	8	66	108	3	11	4	276	376	399	774	122	351	21	13	351	120	+12	+1	-14	+2	+11	1.1
2015	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	690	597	148	28	7	18	83	154	5	20	7	248	345	409	753	161	304	22	12	335	113	+11	+1	-1	+2	+15	2.9
2015	29	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	690	596	149	29	8	17	84	154	5	20	7	250	347	411	759	161	308	22	12	339	113	+11	+1	-1	+2	+15	2.9
2016	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	551	456	125	24	6	14	79	124	11	13	4	274	394	445	839	171	345	23	14	373	138	+25	+1	-1	+2	+12	4.0
2016	30	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	551	456	126	25	7	13	79	124	11	13	4	276	396	447	843	171	350	23	14	376	138	+25	+1	-1	+2	+12	4.0
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	491	426	111	21	9	19	57	101	4	7	3	261	353	486	839	225	297	21	12	370	137	+21	+0	-7	+2	+11	2.7
2017	31	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	491	420	111	22	9	18	63	101	4	7	3	264	366	488	854	224	305	21	13	373	137	+21	+0	-7	+2	+11	2.7
2018	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	334	289	53	10	0	9	38	75	3	5	2	183	285	311	596	128	211	22	11	271	69	-12	+0	-8	-4	+7	-1.6
2018	32	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	334	289	52	10	0	8	38	75	3	5	2	180	282	298	579	118	210	22	11	266	69	-12	+0	-8	-4	+7	-1.6
2019	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	574	488	116	23	1	20	73	142	8	8	5	238	346	412	758	174	291	25	13	343	118	+12	-0	-9	-6	+12	0.9
2019	33	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	574	487	116	24	1	19	74	142	8	8	5	238	348	409	757	170	294	25	13	339	118	+12	-0	-9	-6	+12	0.9
2020	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	101	90	21	2	0	4	10	28	1	1	1	233	317	389	706	156	293	28	10	325	106	+1	-0	-1	-1	+2	0.1
2020	34	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	101	90	21	2	0	4	10	28	1	1	1	233	317	389	706	156	293	28	10	319	106	+1	-0	-1	-1	+2	0.1
2021	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	21	20	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	250	286	250	536		357	29	5	249	54	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
2021	35	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	21	20	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	250	286	250	536		357	29	5	249	54	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
2022	36	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	15	13	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	385	429	385	813		417	13	7	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	36	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	15	12	5	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	417	500	417	917		455	13	13	395	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK MLE	Casper Rockies	—	252	232	45	7	3	3	16	105	2	18	6	194	253	289	542	95	327	42	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	458	419	111	26	6	7	29	106	7	43	23	265	323	406	729	141	333	23	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	299	258	62	6	4	2	32	86	7	20	11	240	341	318	659	78	346	29	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	532	474	147	29	10	8	44	114	9	20	9	310	384	464	848	154	386	21	8	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	518	446	115	29	10	4	66	116	1	27	10	258	363	395	758	137	351	22	13	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	629	553	137	27	13	7	68	140	3	14	8	248	334	382	716	134	341	22	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	677	589	139	39	11	6	76	164	7	14	10	236	332	370	702	134	340	24	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	530	458	128	17	8	12	67	128	0	12	5	279	374	430	804	151	390	24	13	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	492	419	104	17	2	11	64	105	6	19	9	248	358	377	735	129	323	21	13	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	505	433	119	20	4	8	64	108	3	11	4	275	370	395	765	120	351	21	13	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	690	597	148	28	7	18	83	154	5	20	7	248	345	409	753	161	308	22	12	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	551	456	125	24	6	14	79	124	11	13	4	274	394	445	839	171	350	23	14	373	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	491	427	111	21	9	19	57	101	4	7	3	260	353	485	838	225	305	21	12	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	334	290	53	10	0	9	38	75	3	5	2	183	285	310	595	128	210	22	11	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	574	488	116	23	1	20	73	142	8	8	5	238	346	412	758	174	294	25	13	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	101	89	21	2	0	4	10	28	1	1	1	236	317	393	710	157	293	28	10	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	21	20	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	250	286	250	536		357	29	5	249	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	36	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	15	14	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	357	429	357	786		419	13	7	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5902	5040	1306	253	82	127	740	1326	51	149	68	259	360	417	777	158	326	22	13	345	111	+140	+3	-69	+9	+128	21.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	555	144	28	9	14	81	146	6	16	7	259	360	418	778	159	327	22	12	345	111	+15	+0	-8	+1	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7669	6631	1691	325	94	152	868	1804	77	253	117	255	348	401	749	146	327	24	11	333	111	+140	+3	-69	+9	+128	21.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	144	28	8	13	74	153	7	21	10	256	350	404	754	148	328	24	11	333	111	+15	+0	-8	+1	+14	2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AAABuffalo Bisons · 15 PAwOBA .413 → .388 (−25)K% 13.3% → 15.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷1.018	×1.200	—	—	15.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×0.940	8.38%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	50.00%	÷0.960	×0.930	—	×0.940	45.53%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.984	×0.830	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.149	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.951	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .413 → .388; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .455 → .419. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 114 PAwOBA .320 → .258 (−61)K% 21.1% → 29.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷0.925	×1.290	—	—	29.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.16%	÷0.972	×0.710	—	×1.033	9.93%
HBP% /PA	0.88%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.89%
Singles /BIP	19.18%	÷1.016	×0.900	×1.029	×1.033	18.06%
Doubles /BIP	8.22%	÷0.992	×0.810	×1.029	×1.033	7.13%
Triples /BIP	1.37%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.029	×1.033	1.03%
Home runs /BIP	2.74%	÷1.029	×0.780	—	×1.033	2.15%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 85, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .320 → .258; ISO .144 → .110; BABIP .296 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 124 PAwOBA .424 → .346 (−78)K% 21.8% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.77%	÷0.977	×1.290	—	—	28.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.90%	÷1.041	×0.710	—	×1.048	9.22%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.83%
Singles /BIP	25.32%	÷1.047	×0.900	×1.050	×1.048	23.95%
Doubles /BIP	12.66%	÷1.057	×0.810	×1.050	×1.048	10.67%
Triples /BIP	5.06%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.050	×1.048	3.92%
Home runs /BIP	2.53%	÷0.990	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.09%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 95, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .424 → .346; ISO .226 → .177; BABIP .442 → .394. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AATulsa Drillers · 505 PAwOBA .401 → .376 (−25)K% 17.6% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.62%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	21.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.08%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.042	8.81%
HBP% /PA	1.58%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	1.44%
Singles /BIP	27.71%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.043	×1.042	27.71%
Doubles /BIP	9.34%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.043	×1.042	8.53%
Triples /BIP	2.71%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.043	×1.042	2.77%
Home runs /BIP	2.71%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.042	2.26%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .401 → .376; ISO .181 → .171; BABIP .405 → .396. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 A+Modesto Nuts · 299 PAwOBA .344 → .295 (−49)K% 21.4% → 28.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.40%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	28.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.72%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.027	10.73%
HBP% /PA	2.34%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	1.90%
Singles /BIP	29.28%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×1.027	28.73%
Doubles /BIP	3.87%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.027	3.42%
Triples /BIP	2.76%	÷1.000	×0.760	×1.050	×1.027	2.26%
Home runs /BIP	1.10%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.027	1.04%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .344 → .295; ISO .094 → .079; BABIP .361 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAsheville Tourists · 458 PAwOBA .361 → .312 (−49)K% 17.2% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.25%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	23.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.39%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.030	6.38%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	1.21%
Singles /BIP	23.01%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.036	×1.030	22.58%
Doubles /BIP	9.51%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.036	×1.030	8.32%
Triples /BIP	1.84%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.036	×1.030	1.85%
Home runs /BIP	2.45%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.030	2.07%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .361 → .312; ISO .165 → .143; BABIP .351 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 ROKCasper Rockies · 252 PAwOBA .331 → .232 (−99)K% 29.0% → 41.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.97%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	41.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.32%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×1.008	6.34%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.58%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.008	24.78%
Doubles /BIP	6.80%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	5.18%
Triples /BIP	2.72%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	2.07%
Home runs /BIP	2.72%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×1.008	2.06%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .331 → .232; ISO .136 → .091; BABIP .392 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).