Jason Kipnis

Pos2B

B/TL/R

Born1987-04-03

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	32	MLBCleveland Ind…	511	.245/.308/.410	17	7	96	0.4
2020	33	MLBCHC	135	.237/.346/.404	3	1	110	0.2
2021	34	AAAATL	228	.290/.394/.518	10	1	83	—	.217/.296/.365
2022	35	No MLB games played
2023	36	No MLB games played
2024	37	No MLB games played
2025	38	No MLB games played
2026	39	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2018-2020

xwOBA54

Speed50

Barrel%36

Avg EV26

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	23	AA	Akron Aeros	—	355	315	98	20	5	10	31	61	7	7	1	311	385	502	887	190	361	17	9	390	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+	Kinston Indians	—	237	203	61	12	3	6	24	46	6	2	3	300	391	478	868	177	359	19	10	380	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	83	78	23	11	3	3	5	9	0	2	0	295	337	628	966	333	303	11	6	411	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	150	136	37	9	1	7	11	34	2	5	0	272	336	507	843	235	312	23	7	367	135	+6	+1	-5	+2	+3	0.8
2011	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	400	343	96	16	9	12	44	72	3	12	1	280	367	484	851	204	318	18	11	366	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	672	591	152	22	4	14	67	109	5	31	7	257	338	379	717	122	291	16	10	321	102	+2	+3	+4	+2	+15	2.7
2013	26	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	658	564	160	36	4	17	76	143	3	30	7	284	372	452	824	168	345	22	12	359	128	+22	+3	+2	+2	+14	4.4
2014	27	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	555	500	120	25	1	6	50	100	2	22	3	240	312	330	642	90	288	18	9	292	82	-12	+3	-5	+2	+12	0.1
2015	28	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	641	565	171	43	7	9	57	107	9	12	8	303	376	451	827	149	356	17	9	363	129	+22	-1	+3	+2	+14	4.1
2016	29	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	688	610	168	41	4	23	60	146	6	15	3	275	346	469	815	193	324	21	9	354	126	+21	+2	+1	+2	+15	4.2
2017	30	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	373	336	78	25	0	12	28	71	2	6	2	232	295	414	709	182	256	19	8	309	94	-3	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2017	30	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	23	22	4	2	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	182	217	364	581	182	222	17	4	252	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	15	14	2	0	0	1	0	6	1	0	0	143	200	357	557	214	143	40	0	248	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	601	530	122	28	1	18	60	112	7	7	1	230	317	389	705	158	258	19	10	316	99	-1	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2019	32	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	511	458	112	23	1	17	40	88	2	7	2	245	308	410	718	166	265	17	8	313	96	-2	+1	-7	+2	+11	0.4
2019	32	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	24	22	3	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	136	208	227	436	91	188	25	8	203	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	135	114	27	8	1	3	18	41	1	1	0	237	346	404	749	167	333	30	13	333	110	+2	+0	-3	+0	+3	0.2
2021	34	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	228	193	56	10	2	10	27	50	6	1	0	290	394	518	912	228	341	22	12	399	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4984	4404	1147	260	24	126	467	951	39	136	33	260	337	416	753	156	303	19	9	332	111	+65	+14	-14	+19	+108	19.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	23	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	355	325	93	17	4	9	21	76	7	7	1	286	343	446	789	160	348	21	6	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	237	212	54	11	2	5	15	63	6	2	3	255	322	396	718	142	327	27	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	150	136	37	9	1	7	11	34	2	5	0	272	336	507	843	235	312	23	7	367	135	+6	+1	-5	+2	+3	0.8
2011	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	400	357	89	14	10	8	30	90	3	12	1	249	313	412	725	162	295	22	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	672	593	153	22	5	14	65	109	5	31	7	258	336	383	719	125	291	16	10	320	102	+2	+3	+4	+2	+15	2.7
2013	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	658	567	160	35	5	17	73	143	3	30	7	282	367	451	819	169	345	22	11	357	128	+22	+3	+2	+2	+14	4.4
2014	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	555	502	120	25	1	6	48	100	2	22	3	239	308	329	637	90	288	18	9	289	82	-12	+3	-5	+2	+12	0.1
2015	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	641	571	171	42	8	9	51	107	9	12	8	299	366	448	814	149	356	17	8	358	129	+22	-1	+3	+2	+14	4.1
2016	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	688	610	168	40	5	23	60	146	6	15	3	275	346	470	817	195	324	21	9	355	126	+21	+2	+1	+2	+15	4.2
2017	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	373	336	78	25	0	12	28	71	2	6	2	232	295	414	709	182	256	19	8	307	94	-3	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2017	30	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	23	22	4	2	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	182	217	364	581	182	199	22	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	15	14	2	0	0	1	0	7	1	0	0	143	200	357	557	214	129	47	0	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	601	531	122	28	1	18	59	112	7	7	1	230	315	388	703	158	258	19	10	314	99	-1	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2019	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	511	460	112	23	1	17	38	88	2	7	2	243	304	409	713	165	265	17	7	310	96	-2	+1	-7	+2	+11	0.4
2019	32	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	24	23	3	2	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	130	167	217	384	87	156	29	4	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	135	114	27	8	1	3	18	41	1	1	0	237	346	404	749	167	333	30	13	331	110	+2	+0	-3	+0	+3	0.2
2021	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	228	203	44	7	1	7	17	62	6	1	0	217	296	365	661	148	270	27	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	675	615	168	32	8	15	41	159	13	11	4	273	332	424	756	151	345	24	6	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	675	596	182	43	11	19	60	116	13	11	4	305	381	510	891	205	352	17	9	389	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	493	126	23	11	15	41	124	5	17	1	256	319	438	757	183	308	23	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	550	479	133	25	10	19	55	106	5	17	1	278	358	491	849	213	317	19	10	366	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	672	593	153	22	5	14	65	109	5	31	7	258	336	383	719	125	292	16	10	320	102	+2	+3	+4	+2	+15	2.7
2012	25	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	672	591	152	22	4	14	67	109	5	31	7	257	338	379	717	122	291	16	10	321	102	+2	+3	+4	+2	+15	2.7
2013	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	658	567	160	35	5	17	73	143	3	30	7	282	367	451	819	169	343	22	11	357	128	+22	+3	+2	+2	+14	4.4
2013	26	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	658	564	160	36	4	17	76	143	3	30	7	284	372	452	824	168	345	22	12	359	128	+22	+3	+2	+2	+14	4.4
2014	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	555	502	120	25	1	6	48	100	2	22	3	239	308	329	637	90	286	18	9	289	82	-12	+3	-5	+2	+12	0.1
2014	27	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	555	500	120	25	1	6	50	100	2	22	3	240	312	330	642	90	288	18	9	292	82	-12	+3	-5	+2	+12	0.1
2015	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	641	571	171	42	8	9	51	107	9	12	8	299	366	448	814	149	351	17	8	358	129	+22	-1	+3	+2	+14	4.1
2015	28	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	641	565	171	43	7	9	57	107	9	12	8	303	376	451	827	149	356	17	9	363	129	+22	-1	+3	+2	+14	4.1
2016	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	688	610	168	40	5	23	60	146	6	15	3	275	346	470	817	195	324	21	9	355	126	+21	+2	+1	+2	+15	4.2
2016	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	688	610	168	41	4	23	60	146	6	15	3	275	346	469	815	193	324	21	9	354	126	+21	+2	+1	+2	+15	4.2
2017	30	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	411	372	83	26	1	13	29	83	3	6	2	223	285	403	688	180	249	20	7	297	87	-6	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2017	30	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	411	372	84	27	1	13	29	81	3	6	2	226	287	409	696	183	251	20	7	303	87	-6	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	601	531	122	28	1	18	59	112	7	7	1	230	315	388	703	158	257	19	10	314	99	-1	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2018	31	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	601	530	122	28	1	18	60	112	7	7	1	230	317	389	705	158	258	19	10	316	99	-1	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2019	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	535	483	114	24	1	17	39	95	2	7	2	236	296	395	691	159	257	18	7	303	91	-6	+1	-7	+2	+12	0.2
2019	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	535	480	115	25	1	17	42	94	2	7	2	240	303	402	706	163	261	18	8	308	91	-6	+1	-7	+2	+12	0.2
2020	33	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	135	114	27	8	1	3	18	41	1	1	0	237	346	404	749	167	333	30	13	331	110	+2	+0	-3	+0	+3	0.2
2020	33	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	135	114	27	8	1	3	18	41	1	1	0	237	346	404	749	167	333	30	13	333	110	+2	+0	-3	+0	+3	0.2
2021	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	228	203	44	7	1	7	17	62	6	1	0	217	296	365	661	148	272	27	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	34	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	—	228	193	56	10	2	10	27	50	6	1	0	290	394	518	912	228	341	22	12	399	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	675	616	168	32	8	15	41	159	13	11	4	273	332	424	756	151	340	24	6	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	499	126	23	11	15	41	124	5	17	1	253	319	433	752	180	300	23	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	672	597	153	22	5	14	65	109	5	31	7	256	336	380	717	124	291	16	10	320	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	658	577	160	35	5	17	73	143	3	30	7	277	367	444	811	166	345	22	11	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	555	500	120	25	1	6	48	100	2	22	3	240	308	330	638	90	288	18	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	641	576	171	42	8	9	51	107	9	12	8	297	366	444	811	148	356	17	8	358	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	688	617	168	40	5	23	60	146	6	15	3	272	346	465	811	193	324	21	9	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	411	376	83	26	1	13	29	83	3	6	2	221	285	399	684	178	248	20	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	601	530	122	28	1	18	59	112	7	7	1	230	315	389	704	158	258	19	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	535	489	114	24	1	17	39	95	2	7	2	233	296	391	686	157	260	18	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	135	115	27	8	1	3	18	41	1	1	0	235	346	400	746	165	333	30	13	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	228	203	44	7	1	7	17	62	6	1	0	217	296	365	661	148	270	27	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4984	4404	1147	260	24	126	467	951	39	136	33	260	337	416	753	156	303	19	9	332	106	+65	+14	-14	+19	+108	19.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	149	34	3	16	61	124	5	18	4	260	335	413	748	153	302	19	9	332	106	+9	+2	-2	+3	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6349	5654	1456	312	48	157	541	1281	62	160	38	258	329	413	742	155	304	20	9	326	106	+65	+14	-14	+19	+108	19.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	149	32	5	16	55	131	6	16	4	257	328	413	741	155	304	20	8	326	106	+9	+2	-2	+3	+14	2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 228 PAwOBA .392 → .291 (−101)K% 21.9% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.93%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	26.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.84%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.58%
HBP% /PA	2.63%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	2.33%
Singles /BIP	23.78%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.972	×0.940	19.98%
Doubles /BIP	6.99%	÷1.039	×0.830	×0.972	×0.940	5.11%
Triples /BIP	1.40%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.972	×0.940	1.02%
Home runs /BIP	6.99%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.60%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .392 → .291; ISO .228 → .156; BABIP .341 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAColumbus Clippers · 24 PAwOBA .198 → .147 (−51)K% 25.0% → 30.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	30.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.089	×0.690	—	×0.952	5.03%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.970	×0.930	—	×0.952	5.71%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.995	×0.830	—	×0.952	9.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.985	×0.840	—	×0.952	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 99, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .198 → .147; ISO .091 → .070; BABIP .188 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 23 PAwOBA .245 → .207 (−37)K% 17.4% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.39%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	21.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.35%	÷1.089	×0.690	—	×0.972	2.68%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	5.56%	÷0.945	×0.930	—	×0.972	5.31%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.018	×0.830	—	×0.972	8.81%
Triples /BIP	5.56%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.972	5.82%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.231	×0.840	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .245 → .207; ISO .182 → .163; BABIP .222 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAkron RubberDucks · 15 PAwOBA .240 → .169 (−71)K% 40.0% → 49.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	40.00%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	49.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.948	0.00%
HBP% /PA	6.67%	—	×0.850	—	×0.948	5.37%
Singles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.978	×0.970	—	×0.948	11.76%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.072	×0.860	—	×0.948	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.50%	÷1.008	×0.780	—	×0.948	9.17%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .240 → .169; ISO .214 → .134; BABIP .143 → .129. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAColumbus Clippers · 400 PAwOBA .360 → .309 (−51)K% 18.0% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.00%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	22.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.75%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×1.048	7.54%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.74%
Singles /BIP	21.77%	÷1.020	×0.930	×0.986	×1.048	20.51%
Doubles /BIP	5.90%	÷1.015	×0.830	×0.986	×1.048	4.99%
Triples /BIP	3.32%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.986	×1.048	3.70%
Home runs /BIP	4.43%	÷1.378	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.83%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .360 → .309; ISO .204 → .169; BABIP .318 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAkron Aeros · 355 PAwOBA .378 → .339 (−40)K% 17.2% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.18%	÷0.979	×1.220	—	—	21.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.45%	÷1.027	×0.700	—	×1.027	5.92%
HBP% /PA	1.97%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	1.72%
Singles /BIP	24.80%	÷0.989	×0.970	×1.002	×1.027	25.03%
Doubles /BIP	7.87%	÷1.004	×0.860	×1.002	×1.027	6.94%
Triples /BIP	1.97%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.002	×1.027	1.67%
Home runs /BIP	3.94%	÷0.928	×0.780	—	×1.027	3.40%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .378 → .339; ISO .190 → .164; BABIP .361 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Kinston Indians · 237 PAwOBA .372 → .310 (−63)K% 19.4% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.41%	÷1.035	×1.420	—	—	26.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.70%	÷0.976	×0.630	—	×0.998	6.25%
HBP% /PA	2.53%	—	×0.860	—	×0.998	2.17%
Singles /BIP	25.48%	÷1.020	×0.940	×1.007	×0.998	23.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.64%	÷0.914	×0.830	×1.007	×0.998	6.98%
Triples /BIP	1.91%	÷0.957	×0.800	×1.007	×0.998	1.61%
Home runs /BIP	3.82%	÷1.144	×0.900	—	×0.998	3.00%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 104, 2B 83, 3B 91, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .372 → .310; ISO .177 → .146; BABIP .359 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .