Wil Myers

Pos1B

B/TR/R

Born1990-12-10

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	30	MLBSD	500	.256/.337/.434	17	8	117	1.5
2022	31	AAA/ASD	58	.264/.328/.528	4	0	61	—	.200/.241/.400
2022	31	MLBSD	286	.261/.318/.398	7	2	103	0.4
2023	32	AAACIN	29	.185/.241/.296	1	0	5	—	.143/.172/.250
2023	32	MLBCIN	141	.189/.259/.283	3	2	50	-0.9
2024	33	No MLB games played
2025	34	No MLB games played
2026	35	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023

Speed63

Barrel%43

Avg EV37

xwOBA32

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	18	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	96	84	31	7	2	5	9	18	1	2	0	369	436	679	1.115	310	413	19	9	469	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	247	205	71	18	2	4	37	39	4	2	3	346	455	512	967	166	411	16	15	429	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A	Burlington Bees	—	294	242	70	19	1	10	48	55	2	10	3	289	411	500	911	211	335	19	16	401	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	416	354	90	23	1	8	52	87	4	9	2	254	356	393	749	138	312	21	12	335	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	106	86	31	5	5	4	20	18	0	1	1	360	481	674	1.156	314	422	17	19	492	219	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	439	388	118	15	5	24	45	98	3	2	2	304	381	554	935	250	349	22	10	405	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	152	134	46	11	1	13	16	42	1	4	1	343	417	731	1.149	388	412	28	11	485	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	373	335	98	23	0	13	33	91	1	5	2	293	358	478	835	185	362	24	9	366	127	+12	+0	-2	-7	+8	1.1
2013	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	289	252	72	13	2	14	29	71	2	7	1	286	364	520	884	234	335	25	10	379	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	361	325	72	14	0	6	34	90	0	6	1	222	295	320	615	98	286	25	9	280	72	-12	+1	-2	-4	+8	-1.0
2014	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	31	24	6	1	0	2	7	7	0	3	0	250	419	542	961	292	267	23	23	421	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	253	225	57	13	1	8	27	55	1	5	2	253	336	427	763	173	302	22	11	341	119	+6	+0	-4	+1	+5	0.8
2015	24	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	15	15	5	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	333	333	533	867	200	333	13	0	380	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	676	599	155	29	4	28	68	160	4	28	6	259	338	461	799	202	305	24	10	351	125	+20	+3	-2	-12	+15	2.5
2017	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	649	567	138	29	3	30	70	180	5	20	6	243	332	464	796	220	297	28	11	348	121	+16	+2	-10	-12	+14	1.0
2018	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	343	312	79	25	1	11	30	94	0	13	1	253	319	446	764	192	327	27	9	337	117	+7	+2	-3	+1	+7	1.5
2018	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	20	20	6	3	0	1	0	7	0	1	0	300	300	600	900	300	417	35	0	387	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	15	14	2	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	0	143	200	571	771	429		20	7	324	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	490	435	104	22	1	18	51	168	2	16	7	239	322	418	740	179	344	34	10	329	111	+6	+0	-3	-5	+11	0.9
2020	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	218	198	57	14	2	15	18	56	2	2	1	288	353	606	959	318	331	26	8	413	168	+18	+0	-1	-2	+5	1.9
2021	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	500	442	113	24	2	17	54	141	0	8	5	256	337	434	771	179	333	28	11	341	117	+10	-0	-1	-5	+11	1.5
2022	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	286	261	68	15	0	7	21	86	1	2	1	261	318	398	716	138	357	30	7	318	103	+1	+0	+1	-4	+6	0.4
2022	31	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	38	35	8	1	0	2	3	9	0	0	0	229	289	429	718	200	250	24	8	317	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	20	18	6	1	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	333	400	722	1.122	389	308	15	10	478	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	141	127	24	3	0	3	12	48	0	2	1	189	259	283	542	94	273	34	9	246	50	-8	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.9
2023	32	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	29	27	5	0	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	185	241	296	538	111	211	24	7	245	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4290	3826	965	211	14	156	418	1169	16	107	33	252	328	437	765	185	320	27	10	338	115	+76	+8	-30	-51	+93	9.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	18	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	96	88	24	5	1	4	5	26	1	2	0	273	319	489	808	216	336	27	5	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	247	222	65	15	2	4	20	57	4	2	3	293	362	432	794	140	371	23	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	294	256	61	14	1	9	34	74	2	10	3	238	332	406	738	168	290	25	12	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	416	370	83	20	1	7	36	108	4	9	2	224	300	341	641	116	285	26	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	439	401	101	13	4	19	32	122	3	2	2	252	312	446	758	195	308	28	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	152	138	39	10	1	10	12	52	1	4	1	283	344	587	931	304	363	34	8	383	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	373	341	98	24	0	13	27	91	1	5	2	287	341	472	814	185	362	24	7	355	127	+12	+0	-2	-7	+8	1.1
2013	22	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	289	263	63	10	2	10	18	86	2	7	1	240	293	407	700	167	299	30	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	361	328	71	14	0	6	31	90	0	6	1	216	284	314	598	98	286	25	9	274	72	-12	+1	-2	-4	+8	-1.0
2014	23	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	31	27	6	1	0	2	4	8	0	3	0	222	323	481	804	259	246	26	13	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	253	225	58	14	1	8	27	55	1	5	2	258	340	436	775	178	302	22	11	345	119	+6	+0	-4	+1	+5	0.8
2015	24	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	15	15	4	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	0	267	267	467	733	200	302	20	0	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	676	600	157	31	4	27	67	160	4	28	6	262	340	462	801	200	305	24	10	353	125	+20	+3	-2	-12	+15	2.5
2017	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	649	570	140	31	3	29	67	180	5	20	6	246	330	463	793	218	297	28	10	347	121	+16	+2	-10	-12	+14	1.0
2018	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	343	313	81	27	1	11	29	94	0	13	1	259	322	457	779	198	327	27	8	341	117	+7	+2	-3	+1	+7	1.5
2018	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	20	20	4	2	0	1	0	9	0	1	0	200	200	450	650	250	320	45	0	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	15	14	2	0	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	143	200	571	771	429		27	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	490	435	106	24	1	18	51	168	2	16	7	244	326	428	753	184	344	34	10	332	111	+6	+0	-3	-5	+11	0.9
2020	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	218	198	58	15	2	15	18	56	2	2	1	293	358	616	974	323	331	26	8	416	168	+18	+0	-1	-2	+5	1.9
2021	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	500	444	116	26	2	17	52	141	0	8	5	261	339	444	782	182	333	28	10	342	117	+10	-0	-1	-5	+11	1.5
2022	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	286	262	69	16	0	7	20	86	1	2	1	263	318	405	723	141	357	30	7	320	103	+1	+0	+1	-4	+6	0.4
2022	31	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	38	36	6	1	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	167	211	278	488	111	198	29	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	20	19	5	1	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	263	300	632	932	368	242	20	5	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	141	127	24	3	0	3	12	48	0	2	1	189	259	283	542	94	273	34	9	241	50	-8	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.9
2023	32	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	29	28	4	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	143	172	250	422	107	181	28	3	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	96	88	24	5	1	4	5	26	1	2	0	273	319	489	808	216	333	27	5	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	96	84	31	7	2	5	9	18	1	2	0	369	436	679	1.115	310	413	19	9	469	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	541	479	125	28	3	12	53	131	6	12	6	261	342	407	749	146	333	24	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	541	447	141	37	3	14	85	94	6	12	6	315	431	506	937	190	371	17	16	414	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	522	467	104	25	1	9	45	136	4	10	3	223	297	338	635	116	291	26	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	522	440	121	28	6	12	72	105	4	10	3	275	382	448	830	173	333	20	14	367	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	591	539	140	23	5	29	44	174	4	6	3	260	320	482	803	223	326	29	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	591	522	164	26	6	37	61	140	4	6	3	314	390	600	990	285	364	24	10	426	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	662	604	161	34	2	23	45	177	3	12	3	267	321	444	764	177	333	27	7	333	111	+9	+1	-2	-7	+14	1.6
2013	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	662	587	170	36	2	27	62	162	3	12	3	290	360	496	856	206	350	24	9	372	111	+9	+1	-2	-7	+14	1.6
2014	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	392	355	77	15	0	8	35	98	0	9	1	217	287	327	614	110	275	25	9	281	77	-11	+1	-2	-4	+8	-0.8
2014	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	392	349	78	15	0	8	41	97	0	9	1	223	305	335	640	112	285	25	10	292	77	-11	+1	-2	-4	+8	-0.8
2015	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	268	240	63	14	1	9	27	58	1	7	2	263	340	442	781	179	312	22	10	343	118	+6	+1	-4	+1	+6	0.9
2015	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	268	240	62	13	1	9	27	57	1	7	2	258	336	433	769	175	305	21	10	343	118	+6	+1	-4	+1	+6	0.9
2016	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	676	600	157	31	4	27	67	160	4	28	6	262	340	462	801	200	311	24	10	353	125	+20	+3	-2	-12	+15	2.5
2016	25	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	676	599	155	29	4	28	68	160	4	28	6	259	338	461	799	202	305	24	10	351	125	+20	+3	-2	-12	+15	2.5
2017	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	649	570	140	31	3	29	67	180	5	20	6	246	330	463	793	218	302	28	10	347	121	+16	+2	-10	-12	+14	1.0
2017	26	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	649	567	138	29	3	30	70	180	5	20	6	243	332	464	796	220	297	28	11	348	121	+16	+2	-10	-12	+14	1.0
2018	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	378	347	87	29	1	13	30	107	0	14	1	251	310	452	763	202	325	28	8	333	112	+5	+2	-3	+1	+8	1.5
2018	27	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	378	346	87	28	1	14	31	104	0	14	1	251	313	460	773	208	319	28	8	339	112	+5	+2	-3	+1	+8	1.5
2019	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	490	435	106	24	1	18	51	168	2	16	7	244	326	428	753	184	352	34	10	332	111	+6	+0	-3	-5	+11	0.9
2019	28	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	490	435	104	22	1	18	51	168	2	16	7	239	322	418	740	179	344	34	10	329	111	+6	+0	-3	-5	+11	0.9
2020	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	218	198	58	15	2	15	18	56	2	2	1	293	358	616	974	323	339	26	8	416	168	+18	+0	-1	-2	+5	1.9
2020	29	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	218	198	57	14	2	15	18	56	2	2	1	288	353	606	959	318	331	26	8	413	168	+18	+0	-1	-2	+5	1.9
2021	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	500	444	116	26	2	17	52	141	0	8	5	261	339	444	782	182	341	28	10	342	117	+10	-0	-1	-5	+11	1.5
2021	30	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	500	442	113	24	2	17	54	141	0	8	5	256	337	434	771	179	333	28	11	341	117	+10	-0	-1	-5	+11	1.5
2022	31	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	344	317	79	17	0	9	23	102	1	2	1	249	302	388	690	139	335	30	7	309	96	-2	+0	+1	-4	+7	0.3
2022	31	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	344	314	82	17	0	11	26	98	1	2	1	261	320	420	740	159	341	28	8	327	96	-2	+0	+1	-4	+7	0.3
2023	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	170	155	27	3	0	3	13	56	0	2	1	174	238	252	490	77	247	33	8	230	42	-12	+0	-1	-2	+4	-1.1
2023	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	170	154	29	3	0	4	14	55	0	2	1	188	256	286	542	97	260	32	8	246	42	-12	+0	-1	-2	+4	-1.1
2009	18	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	96	90	24	5	1	4	5	26	1	2	0	267	319	478	797	211	336	27	5	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	541	477	125	28	3	12	53	131	6	12	6	262	342	409	751	147	327	24	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	522	468	104	25	1	9	45	136	4	10	3	222	297	338	634	115	285	26	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	591	538	140	23	5	29	44	174	4	6	3	260	320	483	804	223	322	29	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	662	609	161	34	2	23	45	177	3	12	3	264	321	440	761	176	334	27	7	333	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	392	354	77	15	0	8	35	98	0	9	1	218	287	328	615	110	283	25	9	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	268	238	63	14	1	9	27	58	1	7	2	265	340	445	785	181	302	22	10	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	676	600	157	31	4	27	67	160	4	28	6	262	340	462	801	200	305	24	10	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	649	572	140	31	3	29	67	180	5	20	6	245	330	462	792	217	297	28	10	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	378	345	87	29	1	13	30	107	0	14	1	252	310	455	765	203	314	28	8	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	490	434	106	24	1	18	51	168	2	16	7	244	326	429	754	184	344	34	10	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	218	196	58	15	2	15	18	56	2	2	1	296	358	622	980	327	331	26	8	416	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	500	444	116	26	2	17	52	141	0	8	5	261	339	444	782	182	333	28	10	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	344	317	79	17	0	9	23	102	1	2	1	249	302	388	690	139	333	30	7	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	170	155	27	3	0	3	13	56	0	2	1	174	238	252	490	77	257	33	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4290	3826	965	211	14	156	418	1169	16	107	33	252	328	437	765	185	320	27	10	338	109	+76	+8	-30	-51	+93	9.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	146	32	2	24	63	177	2	16	5	252	327	438	765	186	319	27	10	338	109	+12	+1	-5	-8	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6497	5838	1464	320	26	225	575	1770	33	150	46	251	321	430	752	179	319	27	9	330	109	+76	+8	-30	-51	+93	9.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	147	32	3	23	58	177	3	15	5	252	322	435	757	183	319	27	9	330	109	+12	+1	-5	-8	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAALouisville Bats · 29 PAwOBA .238 → .176 (−62)K% 24.1% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.14%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	28.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.90%	÷0.993	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.51%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.998	×0.930	—	×0.942	17.56%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.938	×0.830	—	×0.942	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.042	×0.970	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷1.054	×0.700	—	×0.942	3.13%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 88, 3B 108, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .238 → .176; ISO .111 → .067; BABIP .211 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 38 PAwOBA .308 → .210 (−99)K% 23.7% → 29.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.68%	÷0.959	×1.200	—	—	29.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.89%	÷0.990	×0.690	—	×0.952	5.24%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.23%	÷1.047	×0.930	—	×0.952	16.27%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷1.133	×0.830	—	×0.952	2.68%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.002	×0.970	—	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.138	×0.700	—	×0.952	4.51%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 109, 2B 127, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .308 → .210; ISO .200 → .115; BABIP .250 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALake Elsinore Storm · 20 PAwOBA .464 → .350 (−113)K% 15.0% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.00%	÷0.968	×1.360	—	—	21.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷0.992	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.54%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.020	×0.920	—	×0.940	16.97%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.115	×0.830	—	×0.940	4.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	13.33%	÷0.938	×0.800	—	×0.940	10.69%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 100, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .464 → .350; ISO .389 → .295; BABIP .308 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 20 PAwOBA .375 → .239 (−136)K% 35.0% → 45.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.00%	÷0.983	×1.290	—	—	45.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.986	×0.710	—	×0.992	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷1.032	×0.900	—	×0.992	13.32%
Doubles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.098	×0.810	—	×0.992	16.89%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.045	×0.780	—	×0.992	5.70%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .375 → .239; ISO .300 → .184; BABIP .417 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 15 PAwOBA .313 → .287 (−27)K% 20.0% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.966	×1.340	—	—	27.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷1.087	×0.710	—	×0.948	4.13%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.020	×0.910	—	×0.948	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.038	×0.820	—	×0.948	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.760	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	18.18%	÷0.839	×0.920	—	×0.948	18.91%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .313 → .287; ISO .429 → .414; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 15 PAwOBA .368 → .315 (−53)K% 13.3% → 17.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷0.980	×1.290	—	—	17.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.972	×0.710	—	×1.033	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.77%	÷1.017	×0.900	—	×1.033	28.12%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.970	×0.810	—	×1.033	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷0.919	×0.780	—	×1.033	6.75%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .368 → .315; ISO .200 → .167; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADurham Bulls · 31 PAwOBA .391 → .365 (−26)K% 22.6% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.58%	÷1.070	×1.200	—	—	25.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.13%	÷0.950	×0.690	—	×1.048	12.28%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷1.005	×0.930	—	×1.048	17.12%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.023	×0.830	—	×1.048	5.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	11.76%	÷1.046	×0.840	—	×1.048	9.91%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .391 → .365; ISO .292 → .280; BABIP .267 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAADurham Bulls · 289 PAwOBA .376 → .304 (−72)K% 24.6% → 29.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.57%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	29.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.69%	÷1.093	×0.690	—	×1.050	6.42%
HBP% /PA	0.69%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.68%
Singles /BIP	23.76%	÷1.032	×0.930	×1.001	×1.050	22.49%
Doubles /BIP	7.18%	÷1.113	×0.830	×1.001	×1.050	5.63%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷0.961	×0.970	×1.001	×1.050	1.17%
Home runs /BIP	7.73%	÷1.299	×0.840	—	×1.050	5.25%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 106, 2B 123, 3B 92, K 98, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .376 → .304; ISO .234 → .172; BABIP .335 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).