Austin SlaterLF Tampa Bay Rays
Age 33 R/R 6'1" / 205 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 7.855 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION194 act + 129 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 7269vR 64
AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .327 / .359
PA129
HR2
K%29
BB%10
BABIP341
ISO114
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +2.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -3.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +9.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.30.0-0.22628
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
649.6%
xwOBA
460.304
POWER50
Barrel%
427.1
Avg EV
4989.0
Bat Spd
5772.1
EYE60
Chase%
9022.6%
SPEED55
Sprint
6027.9
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 398 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
261
137
wRC+
67
67
wOBA
273
273
ISO
099
081
◀◀L
BABIP
257
352
▶▶R
K%
28.4%
33.6%
◀◀L
BB%
11.1%
8.0%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2017
Service   7.855 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.4M
Totals $0.4M $0.0M -$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201522 A+3 teams 563531 1392423 201435 85 262295331626 70348 254 272 66
201522 A+3 teams 563517 1493033 341115 85 288338375713 87357 206 318 102
201623 AAA2 teams 450414 11519114 331131 87 278333430763 152349 257 328 109
201623 AAA2 teams 450390 11920118 57891 87 305395500895 195354 2013 395 160
201724 AAA2 teams 333304 861418 20805 43 283337414752 132358 246 327 108
201724 AAA2 teams 333301 921518 23685 43 306365442807 136370 207 357 131
201825 MLB2 teams 448401 1203225 3411310 152 299369426795 127402 258 347 124 +12 +2 -3 -5 +13 1.9
201825 MLB2 teams 448394 1173036 4110810 152 297378434812 137392 249 362 136 +18 +2 -3 -5 +13 2.5
201926 AAA2 teams 488421 10323314 5515311 72 245347413760 169349 3111 334 114
201926 AAA2 teams 488408 11426317 6812811 72 279396483879 203367 2614 391 157
202027 MLBSan Francisco Giants 10485 24215 16222 81 282408506914 224328 2115 410 172 +8 +1 -0 -1 +3 1.1
202027 MLBSan Francisco Giants 10485 24215 16222 81 282408506914 224328 2115 401 165 +8 +1 -0 -1 +3 1.1
202128 MLBSan Francisco Giants 306274 6913113 28844 152 252330449779 197316 279 337 116 +6 +2 +1 +1 +9 1.9
202128 MLBSan Francisco Giants 306274 6612112 28844 152 241320423744 182303 279 332 112 +4 +2 +1 +1 +9 1.7
202229 MLBSan Francisco Giants 325277 771628 40896 121 278381437818 159379 2712 357 132 +12 +2 -1 +1 +9 2.4
202229 MLBSan Francisco Giants 325277 731527 40896 121 264368408776 144361 2712 350 126 +10 +2 -1 +1 +9 2.2
202330 MLB2 teams 231207 581006 22662 32 280355415770 135385 2910 345 122 +6 -0 -0 +1 +7 1.3
202330 MLB2 teams 231206 571006 23652 32 277355413768 136378 2810 346 123 +6 -0 -0 +1 +7 1.3
202431 MLB2 teams 230194 40403 27645 42 206319273592 67282 2812 269 64 -9 +0 -1 -2 +7 -0.6
202431 MLB2 teams 230194 41403 27645 42 211323278601 67290 2812 281 73 -7 +0 -1 -2 +7 -0.4
202532 MLB2 teams 195178 40715 16600 10 225289360648 135310 318 279 72 -6 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.3
202532 MLB2 teams 195175 40715 19580 10 229304366670 137312 3010 301 89 -3 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD33 MLBTB 194170 38901 21580 60 224309294603 71325 3011 269 64 -8 +1 +0 -2 +5 -0.3
YTD33 MLBTB 194168 391001 23560 60 232325310634 77333 2912 290 80 -4 +1 +0 -2 +5 0.1
ROS33 MLBTB 100% 129114 28512 13371 30 245327359686 114335 2910 311 96 -1 +1 +1 -1 +4 0.3
ROS33 MLBTB 100% 129114 28512 13371 30 246328360688 114340 2910 308 94 -1 +1 +1 -1 +4 0.3
FULL33 MLBTB 323284 661413 34951 90 232317320637 88332 2911 284 76 -9 +2 +1 -3 +9 -0.0
TOT33 MLBTB 323284 661413 34951 90 232316320636 88331 2911 286 77 -9 +2 +1 -3 +9 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734 MLBTB 100% 192170 40713 19561 30 235316341657 106328 2910 301 88 -3 +1 -4 -2 +5 -0.3
202835 MLBTB 100% 142126 28412 14421 20 222305317622 95319 3010 289 80 -3 +0 -5 -2 +4 -0.5
202734 MLBTB 100% 192170 40613 19561 30 235316335651 100332 2910 298 86 -3 +1 -4 -2 +5 -0.3
202835 MLBTB 100% 142126 29412 14421 20 230312325637 95323 3010 287 78 -4 +0 -5 -2 +4 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 23212040 502811352 23765631 578 246334375709 129335 2810 320 103 +8 +8 -14 -21 +66 4.8
/ 162G 650571 14223415 661849 162 249336382718 133339 2810 320 103 +2 +2 -4 -6 +18 1.4
Career 41363696 9671801791 357112254 9327 262335393729 132350 279 320 103 +15 +8 -14 -32 +117 9.6
/ 162G 650581 15228314 561768 154 262335392727 131349 279 320 103 +2 +1 -2 -5 +18 1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201522 AARichmond Flying Squirrels 218199 591110 14483 11 296352362714 65388 226 322 105 +1 -0 +6 0.7
201522 A+San Jose Giants 265250 731513 10442 43 292324396720 104340 174 319 102 +1 -0 +8 0.8
201522 INTLScottsdale Scorpions 8068 17410 10190 31 250346338684 88333 2412 307 93 -1 +0 +2 0.2
201623 AAASacramento River Cats 278245 7312013 33530 26 298381506887 208335 1912 392 158 +18 -2 +8 2.5
201623 AARichmond Flying Squirrels 172145 46815 24361 61 317418490907 172387 2114 400 164 +12 +1 +5 1.8
201724 MLBSan Francisco Giants 127117 33313 8292 00 282339402740 120353 236 333 113 +2 +0 -1 -4 +4 0.1
201724 AAASacramento River Cats 206184 591205 15393 43 321381467849 147380 197 371 142 +10 -0 +6 1.6
201825 MLBSan Francisco Giants 225199 50611 20695 70 251335307641 55377 319 298 86 -4 +1 -3 -5 +6 -0.4
201825 AAASacramento River Cats 223195 672425 21395 82 344421564985 221405 179 428 185 +22 +1 +6 2.9
201926 MLBSan Francisco Giants 192168 40935 22592 10 238333417750 179337 3111 336 115 +3 +0 +0 -5 +5 0.4
201926 AAASacramento River Cats 296240 7417012 46699 62 308437529966 221388 2316 426 184 +28 +0 +8 3.8
202027 MLBSan Francisco Giants 10485 24215 16222 81 282408506914 224328 2115 401 165 +8 +1 -0 -1 +3 1.1
202128 MLBSan Francisco Giants 306274 6612112 28844 152 241320423744 182303 279 332 112 +4 +2 +1 +1 +9 1.7
202229 MLBSan Francisco Giants 325277 731527 40896 121 264368408776 144361 2712 350 126 +10 +2 -1 +1 +9 2.2
202330 MLBSan Francisco Giants 207185 50905 20582 22 270348400748 130369 2810 338 117 +4 -0 -0 +1 +6 1.0
202330 AAASacramento River Cats 2421 7101 370 10 333417524940 190462 2912 416 176 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202431 MLBBaltimore Orioles 212177 37402 26605 32 209327266592 56294 2812 279 72 -7 -0 -1 -2 +6 -0.5
202431 AAASacramento River Cats 1817 4001 140 10 235278412690 176250 226 305 92 -0 +0 +1 0.1
202532 MLBNew York Yankees 160148 32615 11510 10 216270372642 155293 327 284 76 -4 +0 +0 -2 +5 -0.2
202532 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 3527 8100 870 00 296457333790 37400 2023 377 147 +2 +0 +1 0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 18581630 405661045 19152128 498 248337384722 136336 2810 326 108 +16 +7 -6 -16 +53 5.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Wes Helmslast yr '11
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,009 PA
113,009743256318404+0-355.46.2
/162664161+0.1-7.61.2pk7: 7
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA
102,74339106241331351-11-25.36.2
/162664926-2.7-0.51.3pk7: 7
#3Steve Pearcelast yr '19
career totals — 12 seasons, 2,517 PA
122,5179113253331440-36-354.86.0
/162664243-9.6-9.11.3pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons
132,5135661247331376-27-135.15.4
/1626641516-7.1-3.41.3pk7: 6
#4Miguel Cairolast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,217 PA
123,2173298259312359-9+14.65.2
/162664720-1.9+0.21.0pk7: 6
#5Greg Nortonlast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,860 PA
91,860628250341420-13-264.45.1
/162664223-4.7-9.31.6pk7: 6
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA
81,9715422244311399-21-171.41.8
/162664187-7.1-5.80.5pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Austin Slater (OGILVIE) 33 50 50 55 60 232/316/320 88331 39 29% 11% 77 -0.0
Mark Little
2005 · MLB
33 48 43→55 49→55 47 230/317/345 115295 1010 24% 8% 90 +1.0 232/314/378 146311 1516 29% 7% 98 +1.6 224/312/363139309141830%6%90+0.6
Juan Lagares
2021 · MLB
32 47→57 45 50 47 232/296/355 123294 1211 25% 8% 82 +0.5 231/272/361 130288 116 23% 5% 74 -0.1 235/266/37313829211223%4%72-0.1
Michael A. Taylor
2023 · MLB
32 51→53 46→55 46→60 45 251/308/373 123318 1510 25% 7% 92 +1.2 222/281/376 154301 1916 31% 7% 82 +0.5 201/261/364162276202034%7%69-0.2
Ryan LaMarre
2022 · MLB
33 49→54 46→45 52→60 42 235/304/373 137333 1323 32% 7% 91 +1.1 228/302/359 131318 1421 31% 7% 87 +0.8 209/294/328119295132431%7%72-0.0
Matt Reynolds
2023 · MLB
32 49→59 40→50 50 47 230/300/321 91320 79 29% 9% 76 +0.0 231/295/392 161321 179 31% 8% 92 +1.2 222/289/41419230719833%8%94+1.1
Charlie Culberson
2022 · MLB
33 48→49 47→45 53→50 44 240/293/382 142299 1413 24% 6% 89 +0.9 229/274/343 114308 1112 28% 6% 70 -0.3 214/242/2867330471231%4%40-0.5
Ildelfonso Lara
2008 · AAA
33 54 45 49→45 46 262/317/383 121326 126 23% 7% 98 +1.6 242/300/362 120306 127 24% 7% 85 +0.7 232/293/34411229411424%7%76+0.0
Chris Dickerson
2015 · MLB
33 50→55 48→50 53→60 46 240/314/385 145330 1519 30% 9% 98 +1.6 240/309/373 133335 1318 30% 8% 93 +1.3 230/312/342113327101730%10%82+0.2
John Andreoli
2021 · MLB
31 45→55 44→45 54→60 47 214/296/334 120316 1115 33% 10% 78 +0.2 183/279/327 144316 1717 43% 11% 69 -0.4 145/256/290145243192145%13%49-0.9
Matt Carson
2014 · MLB
33 47→50 47→60 49→50 40 236/283/374 138303 1512 27% 5% 82 +0.5 215/271/336 121283 1314 28% 6% 68 -0.5 194/257/307113254141528%6%53-0.6
Mike Tauchman
2023 · MLB
32 46→56 45→55 48→55 51 225/312/356 131300 1212 28% 10% 90 +1.0 245/346/372 127307 139 22% 13% 108 +2.3 244/350/36612130513622%13%107+1.6
James Adduci
2018 · MLB
33 49→59 43→50 51→60 43 236/288/357 121324 916 29% 7% 79 +0.3 247/283/374 127323 1312 26% 5% 82 +0.5 251/283/376125323131126%4%79+0.2
Darren Bragg
2003 · MLB
33 53 44→45 49→50 51 252/326/383 130324 914 24% 9% 102 +1.9 235/304/353 118299 1110 23% 8% 85 +0.7 216/283/306892778624%8%59-0.3
Jolbert Cabrera
2007 · MLB
34 51→52 46→50 51→50 46 250/305/381 131291 1313 19% 6% 93 +1.3 238/284/366 128282 118 19% 4% 80 +0.4 263/307/394131317111220%4%94+0.8
Brandon Barnes
2019 · MLB
33 46→53 44→55 50 38 223/275/343 119317 1116 32% 5% 70 -0.3 223/271/397 174300 2313 33% 5% 84 +0.6 204/249/406202256301134%4%75-0.0
Kristopher Negrón
2019 · MLB
33 44→51 45 54→55 38 217/273/340 123308 1316 33% 6% 69 -0.4 231/291/357 126336 1414 33% 7% 82 +0.5 239/303/358120349141433%7%82+0.4
Adam Rosales
2016 · MLB
33 46→49 45→55 45 45 230/291/349 120285 1311 24% 7% 79 +0.3 226/288/395 169299 208 30% 7% 91 +1.1 212/272/38116927520430%7%77+0.1
Lew Ford
2010 · MLB
33 44→54 46→50 50 49 221/288/352 130267 1310 22% 8% 79 +0.3 246/306/410 164267 1713 15% 7% 102 +1.8 273/320/45718429821816%6%116+1.0
Brian Bogusevic
2017 · MLB
33 52→55 47→50 53→55 43 257/304/389 131315 1518 23% 6% 94 +1.3 245/290/386 141300 1611 23% 5% 88 +0.9 251/293/39314230415622%5%89+0.5
Cole Gillespie
2016 · MLB
32 54→59 42→50 52→50 50 261/317/369 108306 913 17% 7% 94 +1.3 234/288/333 99290 711 20% 7% 72 -0.2 215/271/300862754722%7%56-0.5