Oneil Cruz — OGILVIE

Oneil CruzCF Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 27 L/R 6'7" / 248 lbs MLB Svc 3.640 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION283 act + 228 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 54102vR 121

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .327 / .460

PA228

HR11

SB16

K%32

BB%11

BABIP319

ISO220

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4611.4%

xwOBA

770.339

POWER60

Barrel%

9016.7

Avg EV

9095.7

Bat Spd

9079.2

EYE50

Chase%

8225.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1260 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

315

945

—

wRC+

117

▶▶R

wOBA

279

338

▶▶R

ISO

172

199

▶R

BABIP

255

330

▶▶R

33.0%

30.7%

▶R

BB%

7.9%

9.3%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.640 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+1.3	$11M	+$9M
2027	Arb-2	$11M	+3.7	$27M	+$17M
2028	Arb-3	$16M	+3.4	$23M	+$11M
Totals		$28M		$61M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 1	—	211	196	43	13	4	0	14	63	0	11	5	219	271	327	598	107	321	30	7	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 1	—	211	187	55	18	5	0	22	44	0	11	5	294	367	444	811	150	382	21	10	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A	West Virginia Power	—	438	412	74	8	1	7	21	186	0	8	7	180	219	255	474	75	299	42	5	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A	West Virginia Power	—	438	397	94	11	2	10	36	132	0	8	7	237	300	350	650	113	323	30	8	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	443	417	98	22	6	8	19	135	3	11	5	235	273	374	647	139	324	30	4	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	443	402	115	25	7	14	34	100	3	11	5	286	346	488	834	201	346	23	8	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	3 teams	—	360	336	76	14	4	8	20	132	2	11	6	226	274	363	637	137	343	37	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	3 teams	—	360	324	86	17	4	8	32	104	2	11	6	265	335	417	752	151	364	29	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	50	49	12	1	2	0	1	14	0	0	0	245	260	347	607	102	343	28	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	50	49	12	1	2	0	1	14	0	0	0	245	260	347	607	102	343	28	2	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	302	282	73	15	3	16	18	90	1	19	3	259	306	504	809	245	322	30	6	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	302	271	84	16	5	17	28	69	1	19	3	310	375	594	970	284	360	23	9	417	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	3 teams	—	657	597	130	21	8	27	50	211	6	25	10	218	285	415	700	198	284	32	8	301	88	-9	+1	-5	+7	+19	1.4
2022	23	MLB	3 teams	—	657	582	136	21	7	28	65	195	6	25	10	234	317	438	755	204	298	30	10	333	113	+10	+1	-5	+7	+19	3.2
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	40	32	8	1	0	1	7	8	0	3	0	250	385	375	760	125	292	20	18	340	119	+1	+1	+0	+0	+1	0.3
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	40	32	8	1	0	1	7	8	0	3	0	250	385	375	760	125	292	20	18	342	120	+1	+1	+0	+0	+1	0.3
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	616	557	145	35	3	22	52	186	3	23	1	260	327	452	779	192	348	30	8	334	114	+10	+4	+1	+7	+17	4.0
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	616	557	142	34	3	21	52	189	3	23	1	255	322	440	762	185	345	31	8	336	115	+10	+4	+1	+7	+17	4.1
2025	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	544	471	95	18	3	20	64	174	4	38	5	202	302	380	682	178	266	32	12	297	86	-9	+6	+1	+2	+15	1.5
2025	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	544	471	94	18	3	20	64	174	4	38	5	200	301	378	678	178	262	32	12	304	90	-6	+6	+1	+2	+15	1.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	PIT	—	283	250	66	10	0	14	30	98	3	21	4	264	350	472	822	208	377	35	11	355	130	+10	+3	-3	+1	+8	1.8
YTD	27	MLB	PIT	—	283	250	66	10	0	14	30	98	3	21	4	264	350	472	822	208	377	35	11	364	137	+12	+3	-3	+1	+8	2.1
ROS	27	MLB	PIT	100%	228	200	48	9	1	11	24	74	2	16	3	240	327	460	787	220	319	32	11	345	122	+6	+2	-0	+1	+6	1.5
ROS	27	MLB	PIT	100%	228	200	48	9	1	11	24	74	2	16	3	240	327	460	787	220	317	32	11	337	116	+4	+2	-0	+1	+6	1.3
FULL	27	MLB	PIT	—	511	450	114	19	1	25	54	172	5	37	7	253	340	467	807	213	350	34	11	347	124	+14	+5	-3	+2	+14	3.2
TOT	27	MLB	PIT	—	511	450	114	19	1	25	54	172	5	37	7	253	340	467	807	213	350	34	11	351	126	+15	+5	-3	+2	+14	3.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	PIT	100%	587	515	120	23	3	27	62	192	5	38	7	233	321	447	768	214	310	33	11	339	118	+12	+5	-1	+2	+17	3.5
2028	29	MLB	PIT	100%	575	504	118	22	3	27	61	189	5	35	7	234	323	450	773	216	309	33	11	337	116	+11	+4	-2	+2	+16	3.2
2029	30	MLB	PIT	100%	564	494	115	22	3	26	60	187	5	31	6	233	322	447	769	215	308	33	11	335	114	+9	+4	-3	+2	+16	2.9
2030	31	MLB	PIT	100%	552	483	111	21	3	25	59	185	5	26	5	230	320	441	761	211	305	34	11	331	111	+7	+3	-3	+2	+16	2.5
2031	32	MLB	PIT	100%	541	474	106	20	2	24	58	183	4	21	4	224	313	426	740	203	301	34	11	325	107	+4	+3	-4	+2	+15	2.0
2032	33	MLB	PIT	100%	467	410	89	16	2	20	50	161	4	14	3	217	308	412	720	195	296	34	11	317	101	+1	+2	-5	+2	+13	1.3
2033	34	MLB	PIT	100%	396	348	73	13	2	16	42	139	3	9	2	210	300	397	697	187	288	35	11	308	94	-3	+1	-5	+1	+11	0.6
2034	35	MLB	PIT	100%	342	301	60	10	1	13	36	122	2	5	1	199	289	369	658	169	279	36	11	297	86	-6	+1	-6	+1	+10	0.0
2035	36	MLB	PIT	100%	283	250	48	8	1	10	29	104	2	3	1	192	281	352	633	160	271	37	10	286	77	-7	+0	-7	+1	+8	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	PIT	100%	587	515	120	23	3	27	62	192	5	38	7	233	321	447	768	214	308	33	11	332	112	+8	+5	-1	+2	+17	3.1
2028	29	MLB	PIT	100%	575	504	116	22	3	26	61	189	5	35	7	230	319	440	760	210	308	33	11	330	111	+7	+4	-2	+2	+16	2.8
2029	30	MLB	PIT	100%	564	494	114	21	3	26	60	187	5	31	6	231	320	443	764	213	306	33	11	327	109	+6	+4	-3	+2	+16	2.5
2030	31	MLB	PIT	100%	552	483	111	21	3	25	59	185	5	26	5	230	320	441	761	211	304	34	11	324	106	+4	+3	-3	+2	+16	2.1
2031	32	MLB	PIT	100%	541	474	105	19	2	24	58	183	4	21	4	222	312	422	734	200	299	34	11	318	101	+1	+3	-4	+2	+15	1.7
2032	33	MLB	PIT	100%	467	410	89	16	2	20	50	161	4	14	3	217	308	412	720	195	294	34	11	311	96	-2	+2	-5	+2	+13	1.0
2033	34	MLB	PIT	100%	396	348	73	13	2	16	42	139	3	9	2	210	300	397	697	187	286	35	11	302	89	-5	+1	-5	+1	+11	0.3
2034	35	MLB	PIT	100%	342	301	59	10	1	13	36	122	2	5	1	196	286	365	652	169	278	36	11	291	81	-7	+1	-6	+1	+10	-0.2
2035	36	MLB	PIT	100%	283	250	47	7	1	10	29	104	2	3	1	188	278	344	622	156	270	37	10	280	72	-9	+0	-7	+1	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6079	5354	1201	227	31	257	631	2025	45	271	49	224	311	422	734	198	304	33	10	319	102	+17	+35	-38	+32	+172	22.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	127	24	3	27	67	217	5	29	5	222	309	416	725	194	301	33	10	319	102	+2	+4	-4	+3	+18	2.4
Career	—			—	8196	7328	1642	312	55	308	747	2735	56	347	81	224	301	408	708	184	308	33	9	308	94	-57	+37	-38	+41	+232	21.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	130	25	4	24	59	217	4	28	6	224	299	404	704	181	308	33	9	308	94	-5	+3	-3	+3	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 1	—	211	187	55	18	5	0	22	44	0	11	5	294	367	444	811	150	382	21	10	358	132	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2017	18	A	West Virginia Power	—	438	397	94	11	2	10	36	132	0	8	7	237	300	350	650	113	323	30	8	291	81	-9	-1	—	—	+12	0.2
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	443	402	115	25	7	14	34	100	3	11	5	286	346	488	834	201	346	23	8	363	136	+18	+0	—	—	+13	3.1
2019	20	AA	Altoona Curve	—	136	119	32	8	3	1	15	35	0	3	1	269	351	412	763	143	365	26	11	336	116	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2019	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	136	41	6	1	7	8	38	1	7	3	301	345	515	860	213	374	26	6	377	147	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2019	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	79	69	13	3	0	0	9	31	1	1	2	188	291	232	523	43	342	39	11	252	51	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2020	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	50	49	12	1	2	0	1	14	0	0	0	245	260	347	607	102	343	28	2	267	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	29	21	11	1	0	5	8	5	0	1	0	524	655	1.286	1.941	762	545	17	28	752	433	+11	+0	—	—	+1	1.2
2021	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	273	250	73	15	5	12	20	64	1	18	3	292	346	536	882	244	349	23	7	381	150	+15	+2	—	—	+8	2.6
2022	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	361	331	77	13	4	17	28	126	1	10	4	233	294	450	745	218	317	35	8	326	108	+3	+0	-5	+7	+10	1.7
2022	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	247	211	49	7	3	9	30	56	4	11	6	232	339	422	761	190	270	23	12	338	117	+5	-0	—	—	+7	1.2
2022	23	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	49	40	10	1	0	2	7	13	1	4	0	250	375	425	800	175	308	27	14	355	130	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	40	32	8	1	0	1	7	8	0	3	0	250	385	375	760	125	292	20	18	342	120	+1	+1	+0	+0	+1	0.3
2024	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	599	541	140	34	3	21	51	181	3	22	1	259	326	449	775	190	347	30	9	341	119	+13	+4	+1	+7	+17	4.3
2024	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	125	176	125	301		250	47	6	148	-29	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	544	471	94	18	3	20	64	174	4	38	5	200	301	378	678	178	262	32	12	304	90	-6	+6	+1	+2	+15	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1544	1375	319	66	10	59	150	489	8	73	10	232	311	423	734	191	310	32	10	324	106	+11	+11	-2	+16	+44	8.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Gómezlast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA	13	5,227	145	268	252	313	411	+11	+80	28.2	26.7
	/162	664	18	34	252	313	411	+1.4	+10.2	3.6	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	6,605	283	306	228	311	428	+2	-6	29.1	25.2
	/162	664	28	31	228	311	428	+0.2	-0.6	2.9	pk7: 21
#2Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#3B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#4Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#5Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#6Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oneil Cruz (OGILVIE)	27	45	60	60	50	253/340/467	213	350	25	37	34%	11%	126	+3.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕B.J. Upton 2013 · MLB	28	46→56	57→60	57→60	49	241/310/442	201	291	24	30	26%	9%	111	+2.5	218/291/365	147	294	16	21	30%	9%	83	+0.6	226/293/371	145	300	16	25	29%	8%	81	+0.3
★Preston Wilson 2001 · MLB	27	51→53	59→60	54→55	46	262/329/476	214	326	27	28	28%	8%	128	+3.7	264/331/478	214	310	27	21	23%	8%	130	+3.8	265/335/486	221	302	28	18	22%	8%	130	+3.7
✕Keon Broxton 2018 · MLB	28	46→48	54→55	59→60	44	228/304/411	183	338	21	33	37%	9%	101	+1.8	193/265/333	140	336	17	29	44%	8%	65	-0.7	156/234/267	111	299	15	30	49%	8%	33	-1.5
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	49→50	59→60	55→60	45	255/317/472	218	314	27	24	28%	8%	123	+3.3	253/319/455	202	313	27	31	27%	8%	119	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Carlos Gómez 2014 · MLB	28	52→58	58→60	65	43	271/323/483	212	321	25	38	24%	6%	128	+3.7	267/330/449	182	326	20	28	23%	7%	121	+3.2	257/324/424	167	319	18	26	24%	7%	110	+2.1
★Alfonso Soriano 2003 · MLB	27	54→57	58→70	56→60	41	283/319/495	212	320	26	33	21%	4%	130	+3.8	282/326/506	224	309	29	25	19%	5%	135	+4.2	279/332/539	261	303	34	27	20%	6%	139	+5.0
✕Jake Fraley 2022 · MLB	27	47→50	55→60	53→55	54	242/338/431	188	308	23	21	28%	12%	120	+3.1	249/333/411	162	299	20	21	23%	10%	113	+2.6	255/330/403	148	300	17	26	20%	9%	106	+1.3
✕Cade Marlowe 2023 · AAA	26	47→52	55	57→60	41	238/304/426	188	335	23	25	35%	8%	105	+2.1	215/285/351	136	323	14	34	35%	8%	77	+0.1	213/285/330	117	316	9	42	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Trevor Story 2021 · MLB	28	48→49	56→60	56→55	48	250/318/447	198	303	23	24	26%	9%	116	+2.8	225/298/401	176	280	20	21	26%	8%	96	+1.5	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Carlos González 2014 · MLB	28	50→56	55→60	57→55	51	257/328/448	191	302	22	23	23%	9%	120	+3.1	238/299/426	188	277	24	9	23%	8%	102	+1.9	235/301/402	167	272	20	2	21%	8%	91	+1.1
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	54→55	47	263/329/457	193	325	23	24	26%	8%	123	+3.3	245/323/433	188	329	24	16	31%	10%	115	+2.7	235/325/431	197	314	26	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
✕Cedric Mullins 2022 · MLB	27	50→54	53→55	57→60	49	255/318/432	178	288	20	25	20%	8%	112	+2.6	244/310/405	161	282	18	27	20%	8%	102	+1.8	231/299/380	150	267	17	31	20%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Corey Patterson 2007 · MLB	27	49→54	51→55	60	43	251/294/410	159	294	19	34	22%	5%	96	+1.5	240/277/373	133	275	14	32	18%	4%	79	+0.3	236/273/356	120	296	11	28	23%	4%	68	-0.3
●Randy Arozarena 2023 · MLB	28	53→57	54→55	52→55	47	264/336/457	193	330	21	24	26%	8%	126	+3.5	246/343/429	183	306	21	21	25%	10%	122	+3.3	238/346/421	183	296	22	22	26%	11%	119	+3.4
●Jonathan Villar 2018 · MLB	27	55→60	48→50	59→65	48	266/330/415	150	353	15	39	28%	9%	112	+2.6	257/321/398	141	334	16	34	26%	8%	105	+2.1	252/322/404	151	319	18	29	25%	9%	103	+1.5
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→47	54→50	55→65	49	214/305/392	178	271	21	29	29%	10%	98	+1.6	219/328/394	175	294	18	33	30%	11%	108	+2.3	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
●Nate McLouth 2009 · MLB	27	52→55	55→60	58→60	55	264/344/467	203	284	21	22	16%	9%	132	+4.0	240/332/406	166	266	18	17	17%	11%	111	+2.5	225/326/370	145	252	16	16	17%	12%	95	+1.1
●José Cruz Jr. 2002 · MLB	28	48→51	62→65	56→50	51	260/323/497	237	284	30	22	21%	8%	131	+3.9	250/334/445	195	284	22	12	20%	11%	121	+3.2	244/352/429	186	279	21	6	20%	14%	118	+2.9
●Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→59	49→50	62→60	46	251/315/408	156	318	15	33	25%	7%	105	+2.1	257/320/382	125	308	11	32	19%	7%	99	+1.7	263/323/401	137	306	11	27	17%	6%	102	+1.3
●Jacoby Ellsbury 2012 · MLB	28	58→66	53→55	59→65	51	294/349/477	183	309	20	35	13%	7%	136	+4.2	277/332/424	147	307	14	33	14%	7%	115	+2.7	268/328/386	118	306	10	38	15%	7%	99	+1.6