Oneil Cruz — OGILVIE

Oneil CruzCF Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 27 L/R 6'7" / 248 lbs MLB BB +7% Svc 3.640 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 3.8 · 2026

wRC+†vL 62129vR 132

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .318 / .436

PA537

HR24

SB39

K%31

BB%10

xwOBA.383

Barrel%22.6%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

60→60

SPD

60→60

EYE

56↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.5peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.640 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$3M	+3.8	$30M	+$27M
2027	Arb-2	$13M	+3.8	$31M	+$18M
2028	Arb-3	$18M	+3.5	$30M	+$11M
Totals		$35M		$91M	+$57M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 1	211	196	43	13	4	0	14	63	0	11	5	.219	.271	.327	.598	.107	.321	30	7	.255	53	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
2017	18	A	West Virginia Power	438	412	75	8	1	8	21	176	0	8	7	.182	.222	.265	.486	.083	.288	40	5	.217	24	-37	-1	+0	+2	+12	-2.5
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	443	418	95	21	5	10	18	132	3	11	5	.227	.264	.373	.637	.146	.304	30	4	.275	69	-16	+0	+0	+2	+13	-0.1
2019	20	A+	3 teams	360	336	75	14	2	8	20	129	2	11	6	.223	.271	.348	.619	.125	.333	36	6	.272	66	-14	-0	+0	+1	+10	-0.2
2020	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	50	49	12	1	2	0	1	14	0	0	0	.245	.260	.347	.607	.102	.343	28	2	—	—	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	302	281	73	14	3	15	19	90	1	19	3	.260	.309	.491	.800	.231	.328	30	6	.341	119	+7	+3	-0	+3	+9	2.1
2022	23	MLB	3 teams	657	595	133	21	8	28	52	210	6	25	10	.224	.292	.427	.719	.203	.291	32	8	.308	94	-4	+1	-5	+7	+19	1.8
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	40	32	8	1	0	1	7	8	0	3	0	.250	.385	.375	.760	.125	.292	20	18	.340	118	+1	+1	+0	+0	+1	0.3
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	616	557	141	30	4	22	52	186	3	23	1	.253	.320	.440	.760	.187	.337	30	8	.323	106	+4	+4	+1	+7	+17	3.4
2025	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	544	471	91	16	2	20	64	174	4	38	5	.193	.295	.363	.658	.170	.252	32	12	.282	74	-16	+6	+1	+2	+15	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	112	102	29	5	0	8	9	38	1	10	2	.284	.348	.569	.917	.284	.375	34	8	.381	150	+6	+1	-3	+0	+3	0.8
ROS	27	MLB	PIT	425	377	92	16	1	21	42	134	3	29	6	.244	.325	.459	.784	.215	.319	32	10	.347	124	+11	+3	+1	+2	+12	3.0
TOT	27	MLB	PIT	537	479	121	21	1	29	51	172	4	39	8	.253	.330	.482	.812	.230	.329	32	9	.354	129	+18	+5	-2	+2	+15	3.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	PIT	529	468	115	20	2	26	52	129	4	35	7	.246	.326	.464	.790	.218	.279	24	10	.346	123	+14	+4	+0	+2	+15	3.6
2028	29	MLB	PIT	517	457	111	19	2	25	51	127	4	33	6	.243	.324	.457	.782	.214	.278	25	10	.344	121	+12	+4	-0	+2	+15	3.3
2029	30	MLB	PIT	505	447	108	19	2	24	50	126	3	31	6	.242	.322	.454	.776	.213	.276	25	10	.340	119	+11	+4	-1	+2	+14	3.0
2030	31	MLB	PIT	490	435	103	18	1	23	49	124	3	28	5	.237	.318	.441	.760	.205	.275	25	10	.337	116	+9	+4	-2	+2	+14	2.7
2031	32	MLB	PIT	471	418	98	17	1	22	47	122	3	25	4	.234	.316	.438	.754	.203	.273	26	10	.332	112	+6	+3	-2	+2	+13	2.3
2032	33	MLB	PIT	441	392	90	15	1	20	43	117	3	22	3	.230	.311	.426	.737	.196	.271	27	10	.326	108	+4	+3	-3	+2	+12	1.8
2033	34	MLB	PIT	395	351	78	13	1	17	39	108	2	18	2	.222	.304	.410	.714	.188	.269	27	10	.319	102	+1	+3	-4	+1	+11	1.3
2034	35	MLB	PIT	341	303	66	11	1	14	33	97	2	15	2	.218	.299	.399	.698	.182	.267	28	10	.310	96	-2	+2	-5	+1	+10	0.7
2035	36	MLB	PIT	282	251	54	9	1	11	27	83	2	12	1	.215	.296	.390	.687	.175	.263	29	10	.300	88	-4	+2	-6	+1	+8	0.2
2036	37	MLB	PIT	219	195	40	6	1	8	21	67	1	9	1	.205	.286	.369	.655	.164	.259	31	10	.289	80	-5	+1	-7	+1	+6	-0.3
2037	38	MLB	PIT	151	135	26	4	0	5	14	47	1	6	0	.193	.273	.333	.607	.141	.253	31	9	.278	71	-5	+1	-7	+1	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8427	7576	1727	306	45	328	736	2463	50	412	85	.228	.301	.410	.711	.182	.289	29	9	.309	95	-49	+48	-38	+42	+239	24.7
/ 162G	—			650	584	133	24	3	25	57	190	4	32	7	.228	.301	.408	.708	.180	.290	29	9	.309	95	-4	+4	-3	+3	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 1	211	187	55	18	5	0	22	44	0	11	5	.294	.367	.444	.811	.150	.382	21	10	.358	132	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2017	18	A	West Virginia Power	438	397	94	11	2	10	36	132	0	8	7	.237	.300	.350	.650	.113	.323	30	8	.291	81	-9	-1	—	—	+12	0.2
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	443	402	115	25	7	14	34	100	3	11	5	.286	.346	.488	.834	.201	.346	23	8	.363	136	+18	+0	—	—	+13	3.1
2019	20	AA	Altoona Curve	136	119	32	8	3	1	15	35	0	3	1	.269	.351	.412	.763	.143	.365	26	11	.336	116	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2019	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	145	136	41	6	1	7	8	38	1	7	3	.301	.345	.515	.860	.213	.374	26	6	.377	147	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2019	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	79	69	13	3	0	0	9	31	1	1	2	.188	.291	.232	.523	.043	.342	39	11	.252	51	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2020	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	50	49	12	1	2	0	1	14	0	0	0	.245	.260	.347	.607	.102	.343	28	2	.267	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	29	21	11	1	0	5	8	5	0	1	0	.524	.655	1.286	1.941	.762	.545	17	28	.752	433	+11	+0	—	—	+1	1.2
2021	22	AA	Altoona Curve	273	250	73	15	5	12	20	64	1	18	3	.292	.346	.536	.882	.244	.349	23	7	.381	150	+15	+2	—	—	+8	2.6
2022	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	361	331	77	13	4	17	28	126	1	10	4	.233	.294	.450	.745	.218	.317	35	8	.326	108	+3	+0	-5	+7	+10	1.7
2022	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	247	211	49	7	3	9	30	56	4	11	6	.232	.339	.422	.761	.190	.270	23	12	.338	117	+5	-0	—	—	+7	1.2
2022	23	INTL	Tigres del Licey	49	40	10	1	0	2	7	13	1	4	0	.250	.375	.425	.800	.175	.308	27	14	.355	130	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	40	32	8	1	0	1	7	8	0	3	0	.250	.385	.375	.760	.125	.292	20	18	.342	120	+1	+1	+0	+0	+1	0.3
2024	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	599	541	140	34	3	21	51	181	3	22	1	.259	.326	.449	.775	.190	.347	30	9	.341	119	+13	+4	+1	+7	+17	4.3
2024	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	.125	.176	.125	.301	.000	.250	47	6	.148	-29	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	544	471	94	18	3	20	64	174	4	38	5	.200	.301	.378	.678	.178	.262	32	12	.304	90	-6	+6	+1	+2	+15	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1544	1375	319	66	10	59	150	489	8	73	10	.232	.311	.423	.734	.191	.310	32	10	.324	106	+11	+11	-2	+16	+44	8.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oneil Cruz (OGILVIE)	27	45	60	60	50	.244/.324/.461	.217	.279	27	36	24%	10%	124	+3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Preston Wilson 2001 · MLB	27	51→53	59→60	53→55	46	.262/.329/.475	.213	.325	26	27	28%	8%	128	+3.7	.264/.331/.478	.214	.311	27	22	23%	8%	130	+3.8	.265/.335/.486	.221	.302	28	18	22%	8%	130	+3.7
✕B.J. Upton 2013 · MLB	28	48→58	55→60	58→60	50	.246/.317/.438	.192	.304	22	31	26%	9%	113	+2.6	.219/.292/.365	.146	.295	16	21	29%	9%	84	+0.6	.222/.289/.365	.143	.294	16	25	29%	8%	76	+0.0
★Alfonso Soriano 2003 · MLB	27	54→57	58→70	56→60	41	.280/.316/.488	.208	.318	25	33	21%	4%	127	+3.6	.283/.326/.506	.223	.311	28	26	19%	5%	135	+4.2	.279/.332/.539	.261	.303	34	27	20%	6%	139	+5.0
●Carlos Gómez 2014 · MLB	28	50→57	54→60	64→65	43	.258/.311/.444	.186	.309	21	38	24%	6%	112	+2.6	.263/.326/.442	.179	.321	19	29	23%	7%	118	+3.0	.251/.318/.415	.165	.311	18	26	24%	7%	101	+1.6
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	47→51	58→60	55→60	45	.247/.310/.458	.212	.304	26	24	28%	8%	116	+2.8	.250/.316/.451	.201	.310	27	31	27%	8%	117	+2.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Matt Kemp 2012 · MLB	27	57→65	59→65	55	50	.290/.357/.508	.218	.344	27	26	23%	9%	147	+5.0	.286/.351/.493	.207	.350	25	17	24%	9%	141	+4.6	.270/.321/.477	.207	.319	26	7	23%	7%	122	+3.4
●José Cruz Jr. 2002 · MLB	28	48→51	62→65	55→50	51	.259/.323/.494	.235	.282	29	21	21%	9%	131	+3.9	.251/.332/.449	.198	.285	23	12	20%	11%	122	+3.3	.244/.352/.429	.186	.279	21	6	20%	14%	118	+2.9
●Nate McLouth 2009 · MLB	27	51→55	55→60	58→60	54	.261/.340/.460	.199	.284	21	22	16%	9%	128	+3.7	.242/.334/.413	.171	.267	19	18	17%	11%	114	+2.7	.223/.325/.366	.142	.250	16	16	17%	12%	93	+1.0
✕Corey Patterson 2007 · MLB	27	49→55	51→55	59→60	43	.251/.295/.412	.161	.296	19	32	22%	5%	97	+1.5	.242/.279/.376	.134	.277	14	33	18%	4%	80	+0.4	.237/.273/.360	.123	.296	11	28	23%	4%	70	-0.2
●Trevor Story 2021 · MLB	28	52→54	60→65	55	48	.270/.336/.495	.225	.326	27	23	26%	8%	136	+4.2	.241/.313/.431	.190	.300	22	21	26%	9%	110	+2.4	.226/.299/.407	.181	.283	21	22	27%	8%	95	+0.9
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	51→57	56→60	53→55	46	.260/.323/.454	.194	.317	23	23	26%	8%	120	+3.1	.250/.327/.433	.183	.337	23	17	31%	9%	116	+2.8	.240/.329/.428	.189	.325	25	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
●Jacoby Ellsbury 2012 · MLB	28	58→66	52→55	60→65	52	.291/.347/.465	.173	.307	19	38	12%	7%	132	+4.0	.281/.335/.428	.147	.310	15	33	14%	7%	118	+3.0	.270/.330/.384	.114	.309	10	38	15%	7%	100	+1.7
✕Grady Sizemore 2010 · MLB	27	52→58	56→60	55	61	.264/.365/.470	.206	.295	23	23	19%	13%	141	+4.6	.237/.314/.408	.171	.288	17	12	23%	9%	104	+2.0	.237/.297/.372	.135	.292	12	5	22%	7%	84	+0.4
●Carlos González 2014 · MLB	28	56→63	59→65	56→55	52	.286/.354/.502	.216	.334	26	22	22%	9%	145	+4.9	.266/.325/.490	.224	.308	29	10	23%	8%	131	+3.9	.266/.329/.467	.201	.306	25	2	21%	8%	117	+2.8
●Ian Kinsler 2010 · MLB	28	52→62	57→60	58→55	56	.271/.344/.476	.205	.277	23	25	13%	9%	134	+4.1	.260/.344/.434	.174	.270	19	22	12%	10%	123	+3.3	.282/.330/.438	.155	.305	16	11	13%	6%	115	+3.2
★Cliff Floyd 2001 · MLB	28	55→61	58→65	56→55	56	.285/.365/.499	.214	.309	26	24	17%	10%	149	+5.1	.297/.379/.536	.239	.323	27	17	17%	11%	164	+6.2	.297/.385/.541	.244	.322	28	13	16%	11%	153	+5.0
●Wil Myers 2018 · MLB	27	46→54	57→60	53→55	52	.244/.324/.442	.199	.291	25	19	25%	10%	118	+3.0	.247/.321/.450	.203	.321	24	18	29%	10%	118	+3.0	.252/.331/.448	.196	.337	23	13	30%	10%	118	+2.0
★Kyle Tucker 2023 · MLB	26	50→55	60→65	55	55	.265/.333/.490	.225	.275	28	19	16%	9%	134	+4.1	.274/.363/.504	.230	.284	29	22	15%	12%	149	+5.1	.277/.380/.508	.231	.285	28	25	15%	14%	146	+4.4
●Corey Hart 2008 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	57→55	47	.267/.324/.467	.200	.308	21	24	21%	7%	124	+3.4	.269/.321/.462	.193	.306	20	17	19%	6%	121	+3.2	.266/.331/.473	.207	.312	25	6	23%	8%	121	+3.2
●Randy Arozarena 2023 · MLB	28	54→56	54→55	52→55	47	.269/.341/.461	.192	.339	21	24	26%	8%	130	+3.8	.248/.343/.423	.175	.311	20	21	25%	10%	121	+3.2	.235/.343/.407	.173	.295	20	22	26%	11%	114	+3.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)