Trevor Story — OGILVIE

Trevor StorySS Boston Red Sox

Age 33 R/R 6'1" / 209 lbs MLB Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.7 · 2026

wRC+†vL 7272vR 87

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .293 / .398

PA574

HR19

SB21

K%28

BB%6

xwOBA.251

Barrel%4.5%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

50→50

SPD

60→60

EYE

41↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+0.7	$3M	-$22M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+0.6	$2M	-$23M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+0.1	$0.4M	-$25M
Totals		$75M		$6M	-$69M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$69M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	18	ROK	Casper Ghosts	210	189	36	6	1	4	16	59	2	13	1	.190	.261	.296	.557	.106	.250	28	8	.251	50	-12	+2	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
2012	19	A	Asheville Tourists	548	503	98	28	4	13	34	169	9	15	3	.195	.258	.344	.602	.149	.263	31	6	.262	59	-26	+2	+0	+6	+16	-0.2
2013	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	554	512	84	21	2	12	30	247	7	22	1	.164	.220	.283	.504	.119	.283	45	5	.220	27	-46	+4	+0	+6	+16	-2.1
2014	21	AA	3 teams	552	495	92	20	5	15	50	228	5	26	6	.186	.267	.337	.605	.152	.306	41	9	.266	62	-24	+3	+0	+6	+16	0.1
2015	22	AA	2 teams	576	529	112	28	9	14	35	187	7	22	3	.212	.270	.378	.648	.166	.294	32	6	.282	74	-17	+3	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2016	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	415	372	98	19	4	25	35	130	5	8	5	.263	.335	.538	.873	.274	.335	31	8	.365	137	+17	-0	+6	+4	+12	4.1
2017	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	555	503	112	31	1	21	49	191	2	7	2	.223	.294	.414	.708	.191	.312	34	9	.302	89	-7	+1	+9	+6	+16	2.5
2018	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	656	598	159	36	3	35	47	168	7	27	6	.266	.327	.512	.838	.246	.311	26	7	.357	131	+23	+3	-2	+7	+19	5.1
2019	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	656	588	161	37	2	30	58	174	7	23	8	.274	.346	.497	.843	.223	.339	27	9	.367	139	+29	+1	+17	+7	+19	7.5
2020	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	259	235	63	13	3	10	24	63	0	15	3	.268	.336	.477	.813	.209	.327	24	9	.354	129	+9	+2	+1	+3	+7	2.2
2021	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	595	526	122	31	3	21	53	139	11	20	6	.232	.315	.422	.737	.190	.272	23	9	.322	105	+3	+2	-1	+6	+17	2.7
2022	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	396	357	84	22	0	16	32	122	3	13	0	.235	.304	.431	.735	.196	.305	31	8	.311	96	-2	+3	+8	+1	+11	2.2
2023	30	MLB	2 teams	206	192	40	11	0	6	12	64	2	11	3	.208	.262	.359	.622	.151	.279	31	6	.271	65	-8	+1	+7	+2	+6	0.8
2024	31	MLB	2 teams	122	110	28	7	0	2	11	35	1	7	3	.255	.328	.373	.701	.118	.356	29	9	.302	89	-1	+0	+2	+1	+3	0.6
2025	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	654	612	157	28	0	24	33	176	7	31	1	.257	.302	.420	.722	.163	.322	27	5	.317	100	+0	+6	-4	+7	+19	2.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	33	MLB	Boston Red Sox	109	102	19	5	0	2	5	35	0	2	0	.186	.224	.294	.518	.108	.254	32	5	.226	31	-8	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.5
ROS	33	MLB	BOS	465	432	100	20	0	14	26	133	4	19	4	.231	.281	.375	.656	.144	.297	29	6	.292	82	-10	+2	+1	+5	+13	1.2
TOT	33	MLB	BOS	574	534	119	25	0	16	31	168	4	21	4	.223	.271	.360	.630	.137	.291	29	5	.280	72	-18	+3	-0	+6	+16	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	34	MLB	BOS	525	488	111	22	0	16	28	118	4	20	4	.227	.275	.371	.646	.143	.265	22	5	.285	76	-14	+2	-4	+6	+15	0.5
2028	35	MLB	BOS	468	437	96	19	0	13	25	110	3	17	3	.220	.267	.352	.619	.133	.263	24	5	.277	70	-16	+2	-5	+5	+13	-0.0
2029	36	MLB	BOS	407	380	82	16	0	11	21	100	3	14	2	.216	.262	.345	.607	.129	.260	25	5	.268	63	-17	+2	-6	+4	+12	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8819	8058	1835	415	37	302	619	2613	89	330	64	.228	.290	.401	.691	.173	.296	30	7	.301	88	-116	+40	+31	+92	+250	30.2
/ 162G	—			650	594	136	31	3	22	46	193	7	24	5	.229	.293	.402	.695	.173	.298	30	7	.301	88	-9	+3	+2	+7	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	18	ROK	Casper Ghosts	210	179	48	8	2	6	26	41	2	13	1	.268	.367	.436	.803	.168	.313	20	12	.355	130	+7	+2	—	—	+6	1.6
2012	19	A	Asheville Tourists	548	477	132	43	6	18	60	121	9	15	3	.277	.368	.505	.873	.229	.335	22	11	.383	151	+32	+2	—	—	+16	5.0
2013	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	554	497	116	34	5	12	45	183	7	22	1	.233	.306	.394	.700	.161	.343	33	8	.311	96	-3	+4	—	—	+16	1.7
2014	21	AA	Tulsa Drillers	237	205	41	8	1	9	28	82	2	3	1	.200	.302	.380	.683	.180	.281	35	12	.306	92	-2	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2014	21	A+	Modesto Nuts	218	184	61	17	7	5	31	59	3	20	4	.332	.436	.582	1.017	.250	.467	27	14	.442	196	+24	+2	—	—	+6	3.3
2014	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	97	86	22	9	1	1	11	26	0	3	1	.256	.340	.419	.759	.163	.356	27	11	.339	118	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2015	22	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	275	256	71	20	4	10	16	68	2	7	1	.277	.325	.504	.829	.227	.341	25	6	.360	134	+11	+1	—	—	+8	2.0
2015	22	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	301	256	73	20	6	10	36	73	5	15	2	.285	.384	.527	.911	.242	.356	24	12	.394	159	+20	+2	—	—	+9	3.2
2016	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	415	372	101	21	4	27	35	130	5	8	5	.272	.342	.567	.909	.296	.343	31	8	.390	157	+27	-0	+6	+4	+12	5.0
2017	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	555	503	120	32	3	24	49	191	2	7	2	.239	.309	.457	.766	.219	.332	34	9	.336	116	+10	+1	+9	+6	+16	4.2
2018	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	656	598	174	42	6	37	47	168	7	27	6	.291	.350	.567	.917	.276	.345	26	7	.395	160	+45	+3	-2	+7	+19	7.3
2019	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	656	588	173	38	5	35	58	174	7	23	8	.294	.364	.554	.919	.260	.361	27	9	.398	163	+47	+1	+17	+7	+19	9.3
2020	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	259	235	68	13	4	11	24	63	0	15	3	.289	.355	.519	.874	.230	.354	24	9	.382	151	+15	+2	+1	+3	+7	2.9
2021	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	595	526	132	34	5	24	53	139	11	20	6	.251	.332	.471	.804	.221	.293	23	9	.352	127	+18	+2	-1	+6	+17	4.3
2022	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	396	357	85	22	0	16	32	122	3	13	0	.238	.306	.434	.740	.196	.309	31	8	.325	107	+3	+3	+8	+1	+11	2.7
2023	30	MLB	Boston Red Sox	168	158	32	9	0	3	9	55	1	10	3	.203	.250	.316	.566	.114	.290	33	5	.255	54	-9	+1	+7	+2	+5	0.6
2023	30	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	38	32	10	4	0	3	5	8	1	1	0	.312	.421	.719	1.140	.406	.333	21	13	.482	227	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2024	31	MLB	Boston Red Sox	106	94	24	7	0	2	11	33	1	6	3	.255	.340	.394	.733	.138	.373	31	10	.331	112	+1	+0	+2	+1	+3	0.8
2024	31	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	16	16	6	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	.375	.375	.438	.812	.062	.429	12	0	.363	136	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	654	612	161	29	0	25	33	176	7	31	1	.263	.308	.433	.741	.170	.330	27	5	.328	109	+7	+6	-4	+7	+19	3.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			4460	4043	1070	247	27	204	351	1251	44	160	37	.265	.330	.490	.821	.226	.332	28	8	.358	132	+163	+17	+45	+46	+126	40.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trevor Story (OGILVIE)	33	45	50	60	35	.230/.278/.376	.147	.267	18	24	22%	5%	82	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	48→58	47→45	60	43	.241/.287/.383	.142	.290	14	29	22%	6%	85	+0.7	.241/.289/.358	.117	.302	11	33	23%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.288/.336	.099	.302	8	39	23%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2019 · MLB	32	47→49	46→45	56→60	46	.231/.293/.361	.130	.293	13	24	25%	7%	83	+0.6	.201/.267/.327	.126	.287	14	17	33%	7%	64	-0.8	.155/.226/.250	.096	.233	11	15	37%	6%	25	-2.1
✕Dewayne Wise 2010 · MLB	32	48→40	50→60	57→55	42	.241/.286/.412	.170	.283	16	22	22%	5%	93	+1.3	.241/.280/.397	.156	.294	14	21	23%	4%	86	+0.8	.241/.277/.398	.157	.296	15	27	24%	4%	82	+0.2
✕Adam Engel 2023 · MLB	31	48	47→50	54→60	41	.238/.294/.376	.138	.307	14	23	26%	6%	88	+0.9	.211/.287/.344	.133	.316	14	24	35%	8%	76	+0.1	.174/.267/.305	.130	.277	14	30	39%	10%	56	-0.8
✕Hernán Pérez 2023 · MLB	32	47→56	45→50	55	40	.234/.275/.354	.120	.294	14	22	26%	5%	73	-0.1	.224/.270/.359	.135	.284	16	17	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.208/.257/.346	.139	.257	18	14	27%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Christian Zazueta 2017 · AAA	32	49→55	46→50	58→60	37	.245/.268/.375	.130	.287	14	27	20%	2%	76	+0.0	.233/.257/.339	.106	.274	11	28	19%	2%	61	-1.0	.231/.256/.320	.088	.268	8	27	17%	2%	52	-1.0
✕Charlie Culberson 2022 · MLB	33	49→52	47→45	52→50	44	.243/.295/.388	.145	.306	14	12	25%	6%	91	+1.1	.231/.277/.348	.117	.308	11	12	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.214/.243/.287	.073	.305	7	12	31%	4%	40	-0.5
✕Kristopher Negrón 2019 · MLB	33	45→50	45	54→55	39	.223/.279/.349	.126	.309	13	17	31%	6%	74	-0.1	.232/.294/.361	.129	.336	14	14	33%	7%	83	+0.6	.238/.304/.360	.122	.346	14	14	33%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Mark Little 2006 · MLB	34	44	52→55	52→55	40	.227/.298/.393	.166	.296	20	19	30%	6%	95	+1.4	.232/.315/.357	.125	.319	12	15	29%	6%	92	+1.2	.233/.334/.324	.091	.343	4	13	29%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Willy Taveras 2015 · AAA	33	47→57	43→45	59→65	44	.229/.283/.340	.111	.277	10	26	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.245/.297/.358	.113	.297	10	24	20%	5%	84	+0.6	.262/.314/.377	.115	.318	10	22	20%	4%	92	+0.8
✕Ian Desmond 2019 · MLB	33	48→58	49→60	52→55	47	.243/.305/.386	.143	.294	17	19	24%	8%	95	+1.4	.236/.298/.410	.174	.286	20	11	24%	8%	98	+1.6	.238/.295/.432	.194	.287	22	4	25%	7%	99	+1.4
✕Doug Glanville 2004 · MLB	33	52→56	43→45	54→55	45	.252/.285/.355	.103	.273	11	19	13%	4%	77	+0.1	.233/.276/.334	.101	.255	11	17	13%	6%	68	-0.5	.203/.240/.257	.054	.222	7	27	12%	5%	27	-1.0
✕Justin Leone 2009 · AAA	32	40→41	50	52→55	50	.210/.290/.362	.152	.264	18	17	27%	10%	82	+0.5	.193/.264/.323	.130	.271	14	14	32%	8%	61	-1.0	.130/.199/.223	.093	.194	9	6	37%	8%	8	-1.9
✕Mike Coolbaugh 2006 · AAA	34	43→41	53→55	53→50	42	.228/.277/.396	.168	.276	21	10	26%	6%	86	+0.8	.217/.283/.361	.144	.272	17	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	.182/.274/.295	.113	.227	14	4	26%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Drew Maggi 2022 · AAA	33	43→53	47→45	49→60	42	.214/.293/.350	.135	.297	15	13	32%	7%	82	+0.5	.192/.262/.287	.095	.274	8	20	31%	7%	52	-1.6	.168/.238/.238	.070	.236	5	22	29%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Carlos Gómez 2019 · MLB	33	44→54	51→60	51→65	43	.226/.306/.387	.161	.290	18	18	28%	7%	96	+1.5	.226/.300/.388	.162	.282	19	16	26%	6%	94	+1.3	.207/.272/.373	.166	.254	20	21	27%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Jason Repko 2012 · MLB	31	45→48	46→50	53→55	44	.227/.283/.349	.122	.282	14	21	25%	6%	76	+0.0	.217/.276/.349	.132	.279	14	14	27%	6%	73	-0.1	.190/.253/.336	.146	.240	15	10	27%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Drew Stubbs 2017 · MLB	32	48→57	49→50	57→60	46	.233/.307/.381	.148	.333	17	26	33%	9%	94	+1.3	.220/.298/.338	.118	.331	12	16	34%	9%	79	+0.3	.209/.289/.304	.095	.326	9	13	35%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Tim Torres 2017 · AAA	33	52→50	46→45	55	46	.253/.311/.387	.134	.331	13	19	27%	8%	97	+1.5	.250/.316/.389	.139	.331	15	18	27%	9%	100	+1.7	.257/.343/.392	.136	.345	16	20	28%	12%	115	+0.8
✕Ryan LaMarre 2022 · MLB	33	49→52	47→45	52→60	41	.235/.300/.374	.139	.330	14	22	32%	7%	89	+1.0	.231/.307/.364	.133	.320	14	21	30%	7%	91	+1.1	.214/.300/.333	.120	.302	13	24	31%	7%	76	+0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)