Trevor Story — OGILVIE

Trevor StorySS Boston Red Sox

Age 33 R/R 6'1" / 209 lbs MLB H +3% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION176 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 106110vR 122

AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .298 / .415

PA210

HR6

SB8

K%29

BB%5

BABIP331

ISO164

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4112.0%

xwOBA

370.293

POWER50

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

6890.3

Bat Spd

4871.2

EYE38

Chase%

5131.5%

SPEED56

Sprint

6027.9

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 879 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

223

656

—

wRC+

101

▶R

wOBA

297

317

▶R

ISO

149

159

▶R

BABIP

310

333

▶R

27.8%

28.0%

—

BB%

4.9%

5.5%

▶R

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$10M	+0.2	$0.6M	-$9M
Totals		$10M		$0.6M	-$9M

Options · projected decision
2027	PLAYER OPT	$25.0M / $5.0M buyout	EXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	18	ROK	Casper Ghosts	—	210	189	36	6	1	4	16	59	2	13	1	190	261	296	557	106	250	28	8	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	18	ROK	Casper Ghosts	—	210	179	48	8	2	6	26	41	2	13	1	268	367	436	803	168	313	20	12	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	548	501	96	27	4	10	36	184	9	15	3	192	258	321	580	130	278	34	7	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	548	477	132	43	6	18	60	121	9	15	3	277	368	505	873	229	335	22	11	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	554	512	85	20	2	14	30	248	7	22	1	166	222	295	517	129	283	45	5	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	554	497	116	34	5	12	45	183	7	22	1	233	306	394	700	161	343	33	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA	3 teams	—	552	494	92	19	5	16	51	230	5	26	6	186	269	342	611	156	306	42	9	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA	3 teams	—	552	475	124	34	9	15	70	167	5	26	6	261	362	465	827	204	372	30	13	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	2 teams	—	576	528	106	27	9	13	36	195	7	22	3	201	261	360	621	159	286	34	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	2 teams	—	576	512	144	40	10	20	52	141	7	22	3	281	356	516	871	234	348	24	9	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	415	372	85	17	3	21	35	130	5	8	5	228	303	460	763	231	288	31	8	326	108	+4	-0	+6	+4	+12	2.6
2016	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	415	372	101	21	4	27	35	130	5	8	5	272	342	567	909	296	343	31	8	390	157	+27	-0	+6	+4	+12	5.0
2017	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	555	503	102	26	3	18	49	191	2	7	2	203	276	374	650	171	285	34	9	282	74	-16	+1	+9	+6	+16	1.5
2017	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	555	503	120	32	3	24	49	191	2	7	2	239	309	457	766	219	332	34	9	336	116	+10	+1	+9	+6	+16	4.2
2018	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	656	598	147	34	5	28	47	168	7	27	6	246	308	460	768	214	293	26	7	330	111	+8	+3	-2	+7	+19	3.6
2018	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	656	598	174	42	6	37	47	168	7	27	6	291	350	567	917	276	345	26	7	395	160	+45	+3	-2	+7	+19	7.3
2019	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	656	588	147	31	4	27	58	174	7	23	8	250	325	454	779	204	308	27	9	339	118	+13	+1	+17	+7	+19	5.9
2019	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	656	588	173	38	5	35	58	174	7	23	8	294	364	554	919	260	361	27	9	398	163	+47	+1	+17	+7	+19	9.3
2020	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	259	235	58	11	3	8	24	63	0	15	3	247	317	421	738	174	305	24	9	325	107	+2	+2	+1	+3	+7	1.6
2020	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	259	235	68	13	4	11	24	63	0	15	3	289	355	519	874	230	354	24	9	382	151	+15	+2	+1	+3	+7	2.9
2021	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	595	526	112	28	4	18	53	139	11	20	6	213	298	384	682	171	251	23	9	300	87	-8	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.5
2021	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	595	526	132	34	5	24	53	139	11	20	6	251	332	471	804	221	293	23	9	352	127	+18	+2	-1	+6	+17	4.3
2022	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	396	357	82	20	0	16	32	122	3	13	0	230	298	420	719	190	296	31	8	303	90	-5	+3	+8	+1	+11	1.9
2022	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	396	357	85	22	0	16	32	122	3	13	0	238	306	434	740	196	309	31	8	325	107	+3	+3	+8	+1	+11	2.7
2023	30	MLB	2 teams	—	206	191	37	10	0	5	13	64	2	11	3	194	252	325	577	131	262	31	6	262	58	-10	+1	+7	+2	+6	0.6
2023	30	MLB	2 teams	—	206	190	42	13	0	6	14	63	2	11	3	221	282	384	666	163	298	31	7	297	86	-3	+1	+7	+2	+6	1.3
2024	31	MLB	2 teams	—	122	110	28	7	0	2	11	35	1	7	3	255	328	373	701	118	356	29	9	302	89	-2	+0	+2	+1	+3	0.6
2024	31	MLB	2 teams	—	122	110	30	8	0	2	11	35	1	7	3	273	344	400	744	127	384	29	9	336	115	+2	+0	+2	+1	+3	0.9
2025	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	654	612	155	26	0	25	33	176	7	31	1	253	299	418	717	165	316	27	5	312	97	-2	+6	-4	+7	+19	2.6
2025	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	654	612	161	29	0	25	33	176	7	31	1	263	308	433	741	170	330	27	5	328	109	+7	+6	-4	+7	+19	3.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	MLB	BOS	—	176	165	34	7	0	3	8	57	1	4	0	206	247	303	550	97	290	32	5	243	44	-11	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.4
YTD	33	MLB	BOS	—	176	165	34	7	0	3	8	57	1	4	0	206	247	303	550	97	290	32	5	246	46	-11	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.4
ROS	33	MLB	BOS	100%	210	195	49	12	1	6	11	60	2	8	1	251	298	415	713	164	329	29	5	316	100	-0	+1	-2	+2	+6	0.8
ROS	33	MLB	BOS	100%	210	195	50	13	1	6	11	60	2	8	1	256	303	426	729	169	337	29	5	315	99	-0	+1	-2	+2	+6	0.8
FULL	33	MLB	BOS	—	386	360	84	20	1	9	19	117	3	12	1	233	277	369	647	136	316	30	5	282	74	-11	+2	-2	+4	+11	0.4
TOT	33	MLB	BOS	—	386	360	83	19	1	9	19	117	3	12	1	231	275	364	639	133	312	30	5	283	75	-11	+2	-2	+4	+11	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	BOS	100%	525	489	120	29	3	15	27	155	4	15	3	245	290	409	699	164	324	30	5	307	93	-4	+2	-9	+6	+15	0.9
2028	35	MLB	BOS	100%	468	437	104	24	3	13	24	141	4	10	2	238	284	396	680	158	315	30	5	295	84	-9	+1	-9	+5	+13	0.2
2029	36	MLB	BOS	100%	407	381	85	19	2	10	20	126	3	5	1	223	267	362	630	139	306	31	5	282	74	-12	+1	-10	+4	+12	-0.5
2030	37	MLB	BOS	100%	341	319	69	14	2	8	16	108	3	3	0	216	260	348	608	132	296	32	5	268	63	-14	+1	-10	+4	+10	-1.0
2027	34	MLB	BOS	100%	525	489	122	30	3	15	27	155	4	15	3	249	294	415	709	166	332	30	5	307	93	-4	+2	-9	+6	+15	0.9
2028	35	MLB	BOS	100%	468	437	106	25	3	13	24	141	4	10	2	243	288	403	691	160	322	30	5	294	83	-9	+1	-9	+5	+13	0.1
2029	36	MLB	BOS	100%	407	381	87	20	2	10	20	126	3	5	1	228	272	370	642	142	313	31	5	281	73	-12	+1	-10	+4	+12	-0.6
2030	37	MLB	BOS	100%	341	319	70	15	2	8	16	108	3	3	0	219	263	354	618	135	302	32	5	267	62	-14	+1	-10	+4	+10	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6411	5864	1505	350	38	256	449	1841	60	201	44	257	316	460	776	204	329	29	7	338	117	+123	+23	+5	+66	+182	40.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	152	35	4	26	46	187	6	20	4	255	316	459	775	203	327	29	7	338	117	+12	+2	+1	+7	+18	4.1
Career	—			—	8905	8137	1795	407	54	277	622	2768	91	301	58	221	283	386	669	165	296	31	7	292	82	-185	+37	+5	+93	+252	20.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	131	30	4	20	45	202	7	22	4	221	283	386	669	165	296	31	7	292	82	-14	+3	+0	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	18	ROK	Casper Ghosts	—	210	179	48	8	2	6	26	41	2	13	1	268	367	436	803	168	313	20	12	355	130	+7	+2	—	—	+6	1.6
2012	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	548	477	132	43	6	18	60	121	9	15	3	277	368	505	873	229	335	22	11	383	151	+32	+2	—	—	+16	5.0
2013	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	554	497	116	34	5	12	45	183	7	22	1	233	306	394	700	161	343	33	8	311	96	-3	+4	—	—	+16	1.7
2014	21	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	237	205	41	8	1	9	28	82	2	3	1	200	302	380	683	180	281	35	12	306	92	-2	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2014	21	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	218	184	61	17	7	5	31	59	3	20	4	332	436	582	1.017	250	467	27	14	442	196	+24	+2	—	—	+6	3.3
2014	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	97	86	22	9	1	1	11	26	0	3	1	256	340	419	759	163	356	27	11	339	118	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2015	22	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	275	256	71	20	4	10	16	68	2	7	1	277	325	504	829	227	341	25	6	360	134	+11	+1	—	—	+8	2.0
2015	22	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	301	256	73	20	6	10	36	73	5	15	2	285	384	527	911	242	356	24	12	394	159	+20	+2	—	—	+9	3.2
2016	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	415	372	101	21	4	27	35	130	5	8	5	272	342	567	909	296	343	31	8	390	157	+27	-0	+6	+4	+12	5.0
2017	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	555	503	120	32	3	24	49	191	2	7	2	239	309	457	766	219	332	34	9	336	116	+10	+1	+9	+6	+16	4.2
2018	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	656	598	174	42	6	37	47	168	7	27	6	291	350	567	917	276	345	26	7	395	160	+45	+3	-2	+7	+19	7.3
2019	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	656	588	173	38	5	35	58	174	7	23	8	294	364	554	919	260	361	27	9	398	163	+47	+1	+17	+7	+19	9.3
2020	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	259	235	68	13	4	11	24	63	0	15	3	289	355	519	874	230	354	24	9	382	151	+15	+2	+1	+3	+7	2.9
2021	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	595	526	132	34	5	24	53	139	11	20	6	251	332	471	804	221	293	23	9	352	127	+18	+2	-1	+6	+17	4.3
2022	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	396	357	85	22	0	16	32	122	3	13	0	238	306	434	740	196	309	31	8	325	107	+3	+3	+8	+1	+11	2.7
2023	30	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	168	158	32	9	0	3	9	55	1	10	3	203	250	316	566	114	290	33	5	255	54	-9	+1	+7	+2	+5	0.6
2023	30	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	38	32	10	4	0	3	5	8	1	1	0	312	421	719	1.140	406	333	21	13	482	227	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2024	31	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	106	94	24	7	0	2	11	33	1	6	3	255	340	394	733	138	373	31	10	331	112	+1	+0	+2	+1	+3	0.8
2024	31	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	16	16	6	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	375	375	438	812	62	429	12	0	363	136	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	654	612	161	29	0	25	33	176	7	31	1	263	308	433	741	170	330	27	5	328	109	+7	+6	-4	+7	+19	3.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4460	4043	1070	247	27	204	351	1251	44	160	37	265	330	490	821	226	332	28	8	358	132	+163	+17	+45	+46	+126	40.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	6,763	266	214	255	310	454	+60	+89	36.8	34.3
	/162	664	26	21	255	310	454	+5.9	+8.7	3.6	pk7: 32
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#3Juan Uribelast yr '16 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,715 PA	16	6,715	199	48	255	301	418	+33	+116	33.1	29.1
	/162	664	20	5	255	301	418	+3.3	+11.4	3.3	pk7: 25
#4Carlos Gómezlast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA	13	5,227	145	268	252	313	411	+11	+80	28.2	26.7
	/162	664	18	34	252	313	411	+1.4	+10.2	3.6	pk7: 25
#5Aaron Hilllast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,217 PA	13	6,217	162	74	266	323	417	+22	+25	27.7	26.1
	/162	664	17	8	266	323	417	+2.4	+2.6	3.0	pk7: 25
#6Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trevor Story (OGILVIE)	33	45	50	56	38	231/275/364	133	312	9	12	30%	5%	75	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2019 · MLB	32	48→50	47→45	56→60	45	237/298/376	139	300	14	23	25%	7%	89	+1.0	202/266/327	125	291	14	16	34%	7%	63	-0.8	150/219/244	93	230	11	15	38%	6%	20	-2.3
✕Mark Little 2006 · MLB	34	44	52→55	52→55	40	226/297/394	168	295	20	19	30%	6%	95	+1.4	232/315/356	124	320	11	15	29%	7%	92	+1.2	233/334/324	91	343	4	13	29%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Hernán Pérez 2023 · MLB	32	47→55	46→55	55	40	234/275/356	122	293	14	23	25%	5%	74	-0.1	221/267/355	134	280	16	16	27%	6%	70	-0.3	207/256/341	134	259	17	14	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Jake Marisnick 2023 · MLB	32	45→52	47→60	53→55	38	224/281/361	137	313	14	17	32%	5%	78	+0.2	216/287/369	153	299	16	18	32%	7%	83	+0.6	207/287/375	168	285	18	20	32%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Drew Stubbs 2017 · MLB	32	46→51	48→50	58→60	47	223/301/364	141	318	16	26	33%	10%	88	+0.9	220/296/336	116	326	12	16	33%	9%	78	+0.2	207/285/298	91	317	9	13	34%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Ryan LaMarre 2022 · MLB	33	49→54	46→45	52→60	42	235/304/373	137	333	13	23	32%	7%	91	+1.1	228/302/359	131	318	14	21	31%	7%	87	+0.8	209/294/328	119	295	13	24	31%	7%	72	-0.0
✕Drew Maggi 2022 · AAA	33	42→52	47→45	49→60	41	209/286/343	134	300	15	14	34%	7%	76	+0.1	186/253/283	97	263	9	20	31%	6%	46	-2.0	161/228/240	79	222	7	22	29%	6%	23	-1.2
✕Charlie Culberson 2022 · MLB	33	48→49	47→45	53→50	44	240/293/382	142	299	14	13	24%	6%	89	+0.9	229/274/343	114	308	11	12	28%	6%	70	-0.3	214/242/286	73	304	7	12	31%	4%	40	-0.5
✕Adam Engel 2023 · MLB	31	47→48	46→50	54→60	41	233/288/362	129	303	13	23	27%	5%	82	+0.5	212/289/343	131	316	13	23	34%	9%	77	+0.1	180/271/306	126	285	13	30	38%	10%	56	-0.8
✕Kristopher Negrón 2019 · MLB	33	44→51	45	54→55	38	217/273/340	123	308	13	16	33%	6%	69	-0.4	231/291/357	126	336	14	14	33%	7%	82	+0.5	239/303/358	120	349	14	14	33%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Ian Desmond 2019 · MLB	33	45→55	47→60	54→55	47	229/294/365	135	278	15	19	24%	8%	85	+0.7	222/285/384	162	270	18	10	24%	8%	86	+0.8	215/273/390	175	258	19	4	25%	7%	80	+0.3
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	47→45	61→60	44	233/280/372	139	279	14	30	22%	6%	80	+0.4	234/283/346	112	296	10	33	23%	6%	75	-0.0	231/283/327	95	299	8	39	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Tim Torres 2017 · AAA	33	50→51	45	55	45	243/301/368	125	322	12	20	27%	7%	88	+0.9	246/312/383	137	328	14	18	27%	9%	96	+1.5	255/343/395	140	342	16	20	28%	12%	116	+0.8
✕Mario Lisson 2016 · AAA	32	47→49	49→55	48→55	43	239/296/379	140	296	18	9	25%	6%	89	+1.0	219/287/358	139	293	16	8	29%	8%	80	+0.4	201/279/343	142	269	17	6	31%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Willy Taveras 2015 · AAA	33	46→56	43→45	60→65	43	225/279/338	113	276	10	27	22%	5%	71	-0.3	242/294/355	113	296	10	24	21%	5%	82	+0.5	256/309/371	115	312	10	22	20%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Cody Ransom 2008 · MLB	32	38→42	52→55	49→50	43	204/267/364	160	262	20	13	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/280/392	175	273	21	10	28%	7%	86	+0.8	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Matt Carson 2014 · MLB	33	47→50	47→60	49→50	40	236/283/374	138	303	15	12	27%	5%	82	+0.5	215/271/336	121	283	13	14	28%	6%	68	-0.5	194/257/307	113	254	14	15	28%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Justin Leone 2009 · AAA	32	40→41	50	52→55	50	209/290/363	154	264	18	18	27%	10%	83	+0.6	194/263/323	129	274	14	13	32%	8%	61	-1.0	130/199/223	93	194	9	6	37%	8%	8	-1.9
✕Brandon Barnes 2019 · MLB	33	46→53	44→55	50	38	223/275/343	119	317	11	16	32%	5%	70	-0.3	223/271/397	174	300	23	13	33%	5%	84	+0.6	204/249/406	202	256	30	11	34%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Carlos Gómez 2019 · MLB	33	45→55	50→60	51→65	44	228/310/386	159	292	18	18	28%	7%	98	+1.6	226/299/388	162	280	19	16	26%	7%	93	+1.3	203/269/372	169	245	21	21	27%	5%	76	+0.0