Cedric Mullins — OGILVIE

Cedric MullinsCF Tampa Bay Rays

Age 31 L/L 5'7" / 175 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 6.453 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION319 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 94106vR 111

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .323 / .413

PA212

HR7

SB10

K%21

BB%9

BABIP283

ISO170

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

887.0%

xwOBA

270.282

POWER40

Barrel%

275.2

Avg EV

3688.0

Bat Spd

3870.1

EYE55

Chase%

9022.6%

SPEED60

Sprint

5827.8

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1090 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

254

836

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

289

306

▶R

ISO

116

185

▶▶R

BABIP

269

242

◀L

17.7%

23.1%

◀◀L

BB%

7.5%

9.2%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 6.453 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+0.2	$1.0M	-$2M
Totals		$3M		$1.0M	-$2M

Options · projected decision
2027	MUTUAL OPT	$7.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	MUTUAL OPT	$10.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	559	533	116	28	7	13	21	135	1	30	6	218	249	370	618	152	265	24	4	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	559	517	141	37	10	14	37	101	1	30	6	273	323	464	787	191	314	18	7	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	350	324	74	15	1	12	16	79	0	9	7	228	265	392	657	164	259	23	5	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	350	309	82	19	1	13	27	58	0	9	7	265	321	460	780	194	283	17	8	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	3 teams	—	678	625	154	32	8	14	42	122	5	23	4	246	299	390	690	144	285	18	6	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	3 teams	—	678	613	168	38	8	16	54	104	5	23	4	274	338	440	778	166	307	15	8	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	3 teams	—	606	552	100	16	4	10	32	124	5	34	7	181	233	279	512	98	211	20	5	225	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	3 teams	—	606	531	115	19	4	10	51	96	5	34	7	217	290	324	614	107	242	16	8	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	153	140	37	4	3	3	8	37	1	7	2	264	309	400	709	136	340	24	5	303	90	-2	+1	+3	+1	+4	0.7
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	153	140	38	4	3	3	8	37	1	7	2	271	315	407	723	136	350	24	5	313	98	-0	+1	+3	+1	+4	0.9
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	675	603	169	35	5	28	59	125	8	30	8	280	352	494	846	214	311	19	9	363	136	+27	+3	+6	+2	+19	5.9
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	675	602	175	37	5	30	59	125	8	30	8	291	361	518	879	228	322	19	9	383	151	+39	+3	+6	+2	+19	7.1
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	672	610	152	30	4	15	47	126	9	34	10	249	312	385	698	136	289	19	7	305	92	-6	+3	+8	+2	+19	2.6
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	672	608	157	32	4	16	47	126	9	34	10	258	320	403	723	145	299	19	7	320	103	+3	+3	+8	+2	+19	3.5
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	475	424	94	22	3	14	43	104	1	19	4	222	295	387	682	165	258	22	9	295	84	-9	+2	+3	+2	+13	1.1
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	475	424	97	23	3	15	43	103	1	19	4	229	301	403	705	175	265	22	9	309	95	-3	+2	+3	+2	+13	1.8
2024	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	499	449	101	15	3	17	41	98	5	32	6	225	297	385	682	160	250	20	8	299	87	-7	+4	-0	+2	+14	1.3
2024	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	499	444	104	16	3	18	41	98	5	32	6	234	303	405	708	171	261	20	8	312	97	-2	+4	-0	+2	+14	1.9
2025	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	498	435	94	23	1	17	50	120	4	22	4	216	303	391	693	175	253	24	10	303	90	-6	+3	-1	+2	+14	1.3
2025	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	498	435	94	23	1	17	50	120	4	22	4	216	303	391	693	175	253	24	10	306	92	-4	+3	-1	+2	+14	1.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	TB	—	319	282	56	4	1	11	26	65	5	14	6	199	278	337	615	138	216	20	8	272	66	-12	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.3
YTD	31	MLB	TB	—	319	280	56	4	1	11	26	65	5	14	6	200	278	339	617	139	218	20	8	275	68	-11	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
ROS	31	MLB	TB	100%	212	188	46	9	1	7	19	45	3	10	3	244	323	413	736	170	275	21	9	321	104	+1	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.8
ROS	31	MLB	TB	100%	213	189	45	8	1	7	19	45	3	10	3	238	318	402	720	164	278	21	9	312	97	-1	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.7
FULL	31	MLB	TB	—	532	471	101	12	2	18	45	110	8	24	9	214	294	363	657	149	240	21	8	288	79	-13	+1	-1	+2	+15	0.4
TOT	31	MLB	TB	—	531	470	102	13	2	18	45	110	8	24	9	217	296	368	664	151	243	21	8	291	81	-11	+1	-1	+2	+15	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	TB	100%	458	410	99	18	3	15	40	99	5	18	6	241	316	410	726	168	281	22	9	321	104	+2	+1	-4	+2	+13	1.4
2028	33	MLB	TB	100%	428	383	90	16	3	13	37	95	5	13	4	235	311	394	705	159	276	22	9	314	98	-1	+1	-5	+2	+12	0.9
2029	34	MLB	TB	100%	382	342	77	13	2	11	33	87	4	8	3	225	301	371	672	146	269	23	9	304	91	-4	+0	-5	+1	+11	0.3
2027	32	MLB	TB	100%	458	410	99	18	3	14	40	99	5	18	6	241	316	402	719	161	284	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	-4	+2	+13	1.1
2028	33	MLB	TB	100%	428	383	91	16	3	13	37	95	5	13	4	238	313	397	710	159	279	22	9	306	92	-4	+1	-5	+2	+12	0.6
2029	34	MLB	TB	100%	382	342	78	13	2	11	33	87	4	8	3	228	303	374	678	146	273	23	9	296	85	-6	+0	-5	+1	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4698	4191	1021	199	30	148	398	984	50	196	52	244	316	411	727	168	283	21	8	319	102	+11	+18	+5	+20	+133	19.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	141	28	4	20	55	136	7	27	7	243	316	409	724	166	283	21	8	319	102	+2	+3	+1	+3	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	6645	6018	1403	276	48	189	488	1396	56	289	74	233	297	389	686	156	271	21	7	299	87	-98	+28	+5	+24	+188	15.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	137	27	5	18	48	137	5	28	7	233	296	387	683	154	271	21	7	299	87	-10	+3	+1	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	559	517	141	37	10	14	37	101	1	30	6	273	323	464	787	191	314	18	7	343	121	+13	+4	—	—	+16	3.3
2017	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	350	309	82	19	1	13	27	58	0	9	7	265	321	460	780	194	283	17	8	332	112	+5	-1	—	—	+10	1.4
2018	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	191	170	40	9	0	4	17	37	2	2	3	235	312	359	671	124	279	19	9	302	89	-2	-1	-1	+2	+5	0.3
2018	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	269	242	65	17	3	6	22	39	2	12	0	269	335	438	773	169	298	14	8	339	118	+5	+2	—	—	+8	1.6
2018	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	218	201	63	12	5	6	15	28	1	9	1	313	364	512	876	199	339	13	7	382	151	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2019	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	74	64	6	0	2	0	4	14	3	1	0	94	183	156	339	62	118	19	5	160	-19	-10	+0	+2	+2	+2	-0.4
2019	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	306	268	55	8	2	5	25	51	1	13	4	205	274	306	580	101	231	17	8	256	54	-16	+1	—	—	+9	-0.6
2019	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	226	199	54	11	0	5	22	31	1	20	3	271	347	402	749	131	293	14	10	332	112	+3	+3	—	—	+6	1.3
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	153	140	38	4	3	3	8	37	1	7	2	271	315	407	723	136	350	24	5	313	98	-0	+1	+3	+1	+4	0.9
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	675	602	175	37	5	30	59	125	8	30	8	291	361	518	879	228	322	19	9	383	151	+39	+3	+6	+2	+19	7.1
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	672	608	157	32	4	16	47	126	9	34	10	258	320	403	723	145	299	19	7	320	103	+3	+3	+8	+2	+19	3.5
2023	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	455	404	94	23	3	15	43	101	1	19	3	233	308	416	724	183	271	22	9	317	101	+0	+3	+3	+2	+13	2.1
2023	28	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	20	20	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	150	150	150	300		167	10	0	136	-38	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	499	444	104	16	3	18	41	98	5	32	6	234	303	405	708	171	261	20	8	312	97	-2	+4	-0	+2	+14	1.9
2025	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	498	435	94	23	1	17	50	120	4	22	4	216	303	391	693	175	253	24	10	306	92	-4	+3	-1	+2	+14	1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3217	2867	708	144	21	103	269	658	33	147	36	247	318	420	738	173	284	20	8	324	106	+23	+15	+19	+15	+91	16.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#3Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	5,330	170	227	239	309	405	+7	+15	18.8	17.8
	/162	664	21	28	239	309	405	+0.9	+1.8	2.3	pk7: 17
#4Cameron Maybinlast yr '20 ASSS career totals — 13 seasons, 4,182 PA	13	4,182	72	182	254	322	375	+9	+6	13.1	12.8
	/162	664	11	29	254	322	375	+1.4	+1.0	2.1	pk7: 13
#5Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	11	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
	/162	664	17	16	256	294	407	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cedric Mullins (OGILVIE)	31	40	40	60	55	217/296/368	151	243	18	24	21%	8%	81	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Kiermaier 2021 · MLB	31	44→54	49→55	58→55	47	224/290/384	161	270	16	21	24%	8%	88	+0.9	243/308/386	143	312	13	17	25%	8%	95	+1.4	248/311/389	141	317	12	17	24%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	53→60	59→55	42	247/294/428	181	289	19	25	22%	5%	101	+1.8	242/282/405	163	292	15	20	22%	4%	89	+1.0	248/283/416	169	302	17	27	24%	4%	90	+0.5
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	50	58→55	44	226/298/385	159	307	18	25	31%	8%	92	+1.2	227/291/365	138	323	15	23	32%	7%	83	+0.6	220/287/329	109	314	12	32	32%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Jace Peterson 2021 · MLB	31	47→57	49→50	55	52	236/313/390	155	284	15	18	22%	10%	99	+1.7	236/323/382	146	299	16	18	25%	11%	101	+1.8	227/319/357	130	289	14	20	25%	11%	89	+0.6
✕Leonys Martin 2019 · MLB	31	49→56	49→50	54→60	45	247/302/398	151	306	16	21	25%	7%	96	+1.5	229/297/385	156	290	19	12	27%	8%	92	+1.2	196/272/339	143	249	21	9	30%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→47	54→50	55→65	49	214/305/392	178	271	21	29	29%	10%	98	+1.6	219/328/394	175	294	18	33	30%	11%	108	+2.3	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Rafael Ortega 2021 · MLB	30	45→54	50→55	52→55	48	229/290/390	161	268	18	16	22%	8%	89	+1.0	242/319/388	146	292	16	18	22%	10%	101	+1.8	232/322/362	130	281	14	21	21%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Corey Patterson 2011 · MLB	31	48→54	45→55	54→60	41	237/275/364	127	289	12	27	23%	5%	76	+0.0	225/258/345	120	277	11	21	23%	4%	63	-0.8	211/238/325	114	257	11	19	23%	3%	46	-1.2
✕Roger Bernadina 2014 · MLB	30	46→56	45	55→60	47	228/297/351	123	283	12	21	24%	8%	82	+0.5	210/288/324	114	303	11	18	32%	9%	72	-0.2	221/290/331	110	319	11	20	32%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Ryan Roberts 2012 · MLB	31	46→52	49→50	49→55	54	234/313/383	149	271	16	18	20%	10%	98	+1.6	227/291/356	129	270	14	11	21%	8%	81	+0.4	231/281/354	123	271	13	2	20%	6%	74	-0.1
✕Reggie Taylor 2008 · MLB	31	52→58	50	53→55	48	264/318/421	157	299	18	25	18%	7%	109	+2.4	244/288/391	147	286	16	17	21%	6%	89	+0.9	233/270/371	137	276	14	12	21%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Brian Bogusevic 2014 · MLB	30	50→55	46→50	56→55	50	243/317/373	130	305	13	21	24%	9%	96	+1.5	253/310/384	131	316	14	17	23%	7%	95	+1.4	258/306/388	130	318	14	15	23%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Andy Fox 2002 · MLB	31	46→53	46→40	51→60	55	229/315/354	125	265	14	15	19%	10%	91	+1.1	229/310/324	95	285	7	23	21%	9%	81	+0.4	236/322/314	78	297	4	31	20%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	47→45	61→60	44	233/280/372	139	279	14	30	22%	6%	80	+0.4	234/283/346	112	296	10	33	23%	6%	75	-0.0	231/283/327	95	299	8	39	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Justin Leone 2009 · AAA	32	40→41	50	52→55	50	209/290/363	154	264	18	18	27%	10%	83	+0.6	194/263/323	129	274	14	13	32%	8%	61	-1.0	130/199/223	93	194	9	6	37%	8%	8	-1.9
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2019 · MLB	32	48→50	47→45	56→60	45	237/298/376	139	300	14	23	25%	7%	89	+1.0	202/266/327	125	291	14	16	34%	7%	63	-0.8	150/219/244	93	230	11	15	38%	6%	20	-2.3
●Jason Pridie 2015 · AAA	31	46→54	45→50	55	41	229/272/352	122	291	13	19	26%	5%	71	-0.3	254/301/421	167	307	21	19	24%	6%	102	+1.8	275/323/469	194	323	26	19	23%	6%	122	+2.9
✕Jason Repko 2012 · MLB	31	45→48	45→50	53→55	44	227/284/344	117	284	14	21	25%	6%	75	-0.0	216/277/342	126	282	13	14	27%	7%	71	-0.3	187/252/315	128	245	12	10	28%	6%	51	-0.6
✕Ryan Langerhans 2011 · MLB	31	48→40	47→50	49→50	54	231/323/373	142	310	14	15	28%	12%	99	+1.7	208/301/360	152	303	18	10	34%	12%	87	+0.8	194/291/348	154	278	19	8	35%	12%	77	+0.1
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	46→48	51→50	55→60	42	236/299/401	164	296	18	20	26%	6%	96	+1.5	216/283/342	126	308	12	24	32%	7%	74	-0.1	198/270/306	108	299	9	29	34%	8%	55	-0.7