Andy Burns
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 618 | .283/.375/.469 | 23 | 9 | 100 | — | .227/.297/.386 | |
| 2021 | 30 | AAAOklahoma City… | 216 | .232/.364/.412 | 6 | 10 | 65 | — | .185/.280/.312 | |
| 2021 | 30 | MLBLAD | 15 | .273/.467/.364 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 0.2 | ||
| 2022 | 31 | AAAOklahoma City… | 332 | .223/.333/.346 | 7 | 5 | 42 | — | .176/.248/.266 | |
| 2023 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 625 | 684 | 812 | 1.497 | 188 | 562 | 0 | 10 | 618 | 254 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 325 | 278 | 69 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 75 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 248 | 353 | 464 | 817 | 216 | 306 | 23 | 12 | 360 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 291 | 265 | 67 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 55 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 253 | 312 | 419 | 731 | 166 | 291 | 19 | 8 | 321 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 283 | 248 | 81 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 327 | 391 | 524 | 915 | 198 | 349 | 13 | 9 | 392 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 92 | 77 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 312 | 411 | 403 | 814 | 91 | 364 | 14 | 13 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 553 | 495 | 126 | 32 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 99 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 255 | 319 | 430 | 749 | 176 | 285 | 18 | 7 | 326 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 51 | 44 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 314 | 250 | 564 | 45 | 257 | 18 | 12 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 527 | 478 | 140 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 69 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 293 | 351 | 372 | 724 | 79 | 335 | 13 | 7 | 325 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 24 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 381 | 714 | 143 | 235 | 12 | 12 | 325 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 454 | 418 | 96 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 82 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 230 | 286 | 352 | 638 | 122 | 267 | 18 | 7 | 285 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 474 | 411 | 113 | 17 | 3 | 19 | 57 | 83 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 275 | 365 | 470 | 835 | 195 | 301 | 18 | 12 | 368 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 144 | 122 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 311 | 408 | 467 | 876 | 156 | 343 | 15 | 12 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 467 | 364 | 830 | 91 | 300 | 7 | 20 | 395 | 161 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 216 | 177 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 52 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 232 | 364 | 412 | 777 | 181 | 289 | 24 | 17 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 332 | 283 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 46 | 86 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 223 | 333 | 346 | 680 | 124 | 292 | 26 | 14 | 311 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 467 | 364 | 830 | 91 | 300 | 7 | 20 | 395 | 153 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +0 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 529 | 579 | 706 | 1.285 | 176 | 451 | 0 | 5 | 543 | 254 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 325 | 291 | 54 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 108 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 186 | 266 | 344 | 610 | 158 | 260 | 33 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 291 | 272 | 63 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 69 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 232 | 274 | 371 | 646 | 140 | 277 | 24 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 283 | 256 | 71 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 53 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 277 | 330 | 434 | 763 | 156 | 313 | 19 | 6 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 553 | 509 | 116 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 124 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 228 | 275 | 369 | 644 | 141 | 267 | 22 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 527 | 490 | 139 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 82 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 284 | 326 | 357 | 683 | 73 | 330 | 16 | 5 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 24 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 364 | 655 | 136 | 224 | 17 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 454 | 429 | 85 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 105 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 198 | 237 | 296 | 533 | 98 | 243 | 23 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 474 | 428 | 97 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 103 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 227 | 297 | 386 | 683 | 159 | 255 | 22 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 467 | 364 | 830 | 91 | 300 | 7 | 20 | 407 | 161 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 216 | 189 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 63 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 185 | 280 | 312 | 593 | 127 | 245 | 29 | 11 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 332 | 301 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 102 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 176 | 248 | 266 | 514 | 90 | 242 | 31 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 529 | 579 | 706 | 1.285 | 176 | 471 | 0 | 5 | 543 | 254 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 625 | 684 | 812 | 1.497 | 188 | 562 | 0 | 10 | 618 | 254 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 325 | 291 | 54 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 108 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 186 | 266 | 344 | 610 | 158 | 264 | 33 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 325 | 278 | 69 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 75 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 248 | 353 | 464 | 817 | 216 | 306 | 23 | 12 | 360 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 666 | 611 | 156 | 35 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 142 | 3 | 39 | 16 | 255 | 304 | 404 | 709 | 149 | 304 | 21 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 666 | 590 | 172 | 39 | 8 | 15 | 60 | 106 | 3 | 39 | 16 | 292 | 359 | 461 | 820 | 169 | 326 | 16 | 9 | 357 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 604 | 557 | 128 | 32 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 135 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 230 | 277 | 373 | 650 | 144 | 278 | 22 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 604 | 539 | 135 | 34 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 108 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 250 | 319 | 416 | 734 | 165 | 283 | 18 | 8 | 321 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 551 | 512 | 143 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 86 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 279 | 323 | 350 | 673 | 70 | 329 | 16 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 551 | 499 | 145 | 26 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 72 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 291 | 350 | 373 | 723 | 82 | 331 | 13 | 7 | 325 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 454 | 429 | 85 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 105 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 198 | 237 | 296 | 533 | 98 | 247 | 23 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 454 | 418 | 96 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 82 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 230 | 286 | 352 | 638 | 122 | 267 | 18 | 7 | 285 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 618 | 556 | 125 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 53 | 134 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 225 | 297 | 379 | 676 | 155 | 258 | 22 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 618 | 533 | 151 | 24 | 3 | 23 | 75 | 104 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 283 | 375 | 469 | 844 | 186 | 311 | 17 | 12 | 372 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 200 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 64 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 190 | 293 | 315 | 608 | 125 | 254 | 28 | 12 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 231 | 188 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 53 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 234 | 371 | 410 | 781 | 176 | 290 | 23 | 17 | 351 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 332 | 301 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 102 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 176 | 248 | 266 | 514 | 90 | 245 | 31 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 332 | 283 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 46 | 86 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 223 | 333 | 346 | 680 | 124 | 292 | 26 | 14 | 311 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 20 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 500 | 579 | 667 | 1.246 | 167 | 451 | 0 | 5 | 543 | 254 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 325 | 290 | 54 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 108 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 186 | 266 | 345 | 611 | 159 | 260 | 33 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 666 | 618 | 156 | 35 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 142 | 3 | 39 | 16 | 252 | 304 | 400 | 704 | 147 | 295 | 21 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 604 | 563 | 128 | 32 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 135 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 227 | 277 | 369 | 646 | 142 | 267 | 22 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 551 | 513 | 143 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 86 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 279 | 323 | 349 | 672 | 70 | 325 | 16 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 454 | 429 | 85 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 105 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 198 | 237 | 296 | 533 | 98 | 243 | 23 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 618 | 556 | 125 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 53 | 134 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 225 | 297 | 379 | 676 | 155 | 255 | 22 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 200 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 64 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 190 | 293 | 315 | 608 | 125 | 249 | 28 | 12 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 332 | 300 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 102 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 177 | 248 | 267 | 515 | 90 | 242 | 31 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 467 | 364 | 830 | 91 | 300 | 7 | 20 | 395 | 74 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +0 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 477 | 130 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 466 | 363 | 829 | 90 | 300 | 7 | 20 | 395 | 74 | +41 | +0 | -21 | +36 | +14 | 7.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3801 | 3474 | 791 | 173 | 22 | 73 | 253 | 876 | 30 | 115 | 53 | 228 | 286 | 353 | 639 | 126 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 278 | 74 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +0 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 135 | 30 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 150 | 5 | 20 | 9 | 227 | 285 | 352 | 637 | 125 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 278 | 74 | +41 | +0 | -21 | +36 | +14 | 7.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 332 PAwOBA .305 → .230 (−75)K% 25.9% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.90% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.55% | ÷1.073 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 8.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.32% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×0.952 | 18.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.11% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×0.952 | 5.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.55% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 91, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .305 → .230; ISO .124 → .092; BABIP .292 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 216 PAwOBA .343 → .265 (−78)K% 24.1% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.07% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 10.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.60% | ÷0.958 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 15.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.60% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 7.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.80% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.18% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .343 → .265; ISO .181 → .137; BABIP .289 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAABuffalo Bisons · 474 PAwOBA .361 → .294 (−66)K% 17.5% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.51% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.03% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.56% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 19.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.909 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 4.78% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .361 → .294; ISO .195 → .163; BABIP .301 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAABuffalo Bisons · 454 PAwOBA .279 → .231 (−48)K% 18.1% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.06% | ÷0.937 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.27% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.45% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 17.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.44% | ÷0.917 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.164 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .279 → .231; ISO .122 → .097; BABIP .267 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 527 PAwOBA .318 → .299 (−19)K% 13.1% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.09% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.89% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.033 | 26.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.36% | ÷0.944 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.033 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.88% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .318 → .299; ISO .079 → .074; BABIP .335 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 24 PAwOBA .316 → .260 (−56)K% 12.5% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.960 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 21.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.130 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.83% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .316 → .260; ISO .143 → .099; BABIP .235 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 553 PAwOBA .321 → .278 (−43)K% 17.9% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.90% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.23% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.69% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 17.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.08% | ÷0.952 | ×0.860 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 7.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷0.921 | ×0.950 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.79% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.80% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .321 → .278; ISO .176 → .147; BABIP .285 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 291 PAwOBA .316 → .274 (−42)K% 18.9% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.90% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.90% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.57% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 18.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.05% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.068 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.74% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 114, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .316 → .274; ISO .166 → .137; BABIP .291 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .