Rafael Ortega — OGILVIE

Rafael OrtegaCF Cardenales de Lara

Age 35 L/R 6'0" / 200 lbs INTL H +5%HR +3% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.7 · 2026

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .310 / .358

PA268

HR6

SB10

K%23

BB%11

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

46→46

PWR

25→25

SPD

60→60

FLD

55→55

EYE

63↘58

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.7	$3M	-$0.2M
Totals		$3M		$3M	-$0.2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2008	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	218	196	45	3	2	1	12	29	2	17	3	.230	.281	.281	.562	.051	.262	13	6	.237	40	-15	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2009	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	303	272	72	5	6	0	17	33	2	39	12	.265	.313	.327	.640	.062	.294	11	6	.284	76	-8	+3	+0	+1	+9	0.4
2010	19	ROK	2 teams	409	381	108	16	3	7	19	77	3	28	12	.283	.323	.396	.719	.113	.338	19	5	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+12	1.2
2011	20	A	Asheville Tourists	519	492	104	14	6	5	15	128	3	32	19	.211	.239	.295	.534	.083	.273	25	3	.231	35	-38	-1	+0	+2	+15	-2.3
2012	21	A+	2 teams	647	592	142	22	6	10	38	144	4	38	20	.240	.290	.348	.638	.108	.297	22	6	.280	72	-20	-0	-0	+2	+18	-0.0
2013	22	AA	2 teams	290	263	52	6	2	1	23	55	3	11	6	.198	.270	.247	.517	.049	.246	19	8	.234	37	-21	-0	+0	+1	+8	-1.2
2014	23	AA	3 teams	464	419	96	9	3	6	33	88	1	18	10	.229	.287	.308	.595	.079	.274	19	7	.259	57	-23	-0	+0	+2	+13	-0.8
2015	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	502	454	109	19	6	1	38	95	2	17	6	.240	.302	.315	.617	.075	.300	19	8	.275	69	-18	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.1
2016	25	AAA	3 teams	669	628	160	28	6	5	29	92	3	22	11	.255	.291	.342	.633	.088	.291	14	4	.274	68	-24	+0	+2	-7	+19	-1.0
2017	26	AAA	2 teams	717	653	169	39	8	7	52	95	3	32	14	.259	.316	.375	.692	.116	.291	13	7	.300	88	-10	+1	+0	+3	+20	1.4
2018	27	AAA	3 teams	678	610	140	18	13	2	58	88	4	19	5	.230	.301	.311	.612	.082	.265	13	9	.272	66	-26	+2	-1	-7	+19	-1.4
2019	28	AAA	2 teams	589	541	122	31	2	22	45	145	2	17	7	.226	.287	.412	.700	.187	.267	25	8	.303	90	-7	+1	+0	-6	+17	0.5
2020	29	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	152	123	37	8	1	4	26	15	1	2	1	.301	.427	.480	.906	.179	.317	10	17	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
2021	30	MLB	2 teams	403	364	96	17	2	14	35	85	2	13	7	.264	.332	.437	.768	.173	.309	21	9	.334	114	+6	-0	-4	+1	+11	1.5
2022	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	371	317	73	14	1	7	44	74	2	12	7	.230	.328	.347	.675	.117	.272	20	12	.297	86	-6	-0	-0	+1	+11	0.5
2023	32	AAA	2 teams	475	410	83	19	0	9	59	105	2	20	9	.202	.306	.315	.620	.112	.248	22	12	.278	71	-15	+0	+0	+2	+13	0.0
2024	33	AAA	2 teams	330	281	67	13	2	10	40	79	1	19	8	.238	.335	.406	.741	.167	.286	24	12	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.2
2025	34	INTL	4 teams	346	318	72	30	0	10	20	81	3	12	6	.226	.279	.415	.694	.189	.268	23	6	.295	84	-6	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	35	MLB	NYM	268	236	53	12	1	6	29	61	1	10	3	.225	.312	.360	.672	.136	.274	23	11	.303	90	-3	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	36	MLB 10%	NYM	200	175	39	9	1	4	22	48	1	7	2	.223	.313	.354	.667	.131	.271	24	11	.294	83	-4	+1	-6	+1	+6	-0.3
2028	37	MLB 21%	NYM	139	123	26	6	0	3	15	35	0	5	1	.211	.297	.333	.630	.122	.266	25	11	.283	75	-4	+1	-7	+0	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8689	7848	1865	338	71	134	669	1652	45	390	169	.238	.301	.350	.651	.112	.283	19	8	.278	71	-284	+10	-16	+3	+246	-4.1
/ 162G	—			650	587	139	25	5	10	50	124	3	29	13	.237	.300	.348	.647	.111	.282	19	8	.278	71	-21	+1	-1	+0	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2008	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	218	188	52	4	2	1	20	20	2	17	3	.277	.352	.335	.687	.059	.302	9	9	.305	92	-2	+2	—	—	+6	0.7
2009	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	303	256	83	7	8	0	32	23	2	39	12	.324	.402	.414	.816	.090	.347	8	11	.354	129	+10	+3	—	—	+9	2.2
2010	19	ROK	Casper Ghosts	322	288	103	17	3	7	28	42	2	23	9	.358	.418	.510	.929	.153	.398	13	9	.407	170	+25	+1	—	—	+9	3.6
2010	19	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	87	76	16	1	2	0	8	17	1	5	3	.211	.294	.276	.570	.066	.271	20	9	.260	57	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2011	20	A	Asheville Tourists	519	479	141	26	8	9	28	90	3	32	19	.294	.337	.438	.776	.144	.344	17	5	.338	117	+10	-1	—	—	+15	2.4
2012	21	A+	Modesto Nuts	556	495	140	23	8	8	46	93	4	36	18	.283	.349	.410	.759	.127	.329	17	8	.334	114	+9	+0	—	—	+16	2.5
2012	21	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	91	80	24	4	0	0	9	10	0	2	2	.300	.371	.350	.721	.050	.343	11	10	.324	106	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2013	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	178	158	36	4	2	1	19	26	1	9	4	.228	.315	.297	.612	.070	.267	15	11	.285	76	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2013	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	112	100	24	5	0	0	9	15	2	2	2	.240	.315	.290	.605	.050	.282	13	8	.280	72	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2014	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	23	21	5	1	0	0	2	5	0	2	0	.238	.304	.286	.590	.048	.312	22	9	.274	68	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2014	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	414	358	89	8	3	7	45	57	1	16	10	.249	.334	.346	.681	.098	.275	14	11	.305	91	-4	-1	—	—	+12	0.7
2014	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	27	24	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	.167	.231	.208	.439	.042	.200	15	7	.200	11	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2015	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	502	437	125	22	6	2	55	71	2	17	6	.286	.368	.378	.746	.092	.336	14	11	.334	114	+8	+1	—	—	+14	2.4
2016	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	202	185	43	8	0	1	13	23	0	8	3	.232	.281	.292	.573	.059	.261	11	6	.258	56	-10	+0	+2	-7	+6	-0.9
2016	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	341	322	102	18	7	4	15	39	1	14	8	.317	.349	.453	.803	.137	.350	11	4	.352	127	+11	-0	—	—	+10	2.0
2016	25	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	126	108	27	5	5	0	12	19	2	0	0	.250	.333	.389	.722	.139	.303	15	10	.315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2017	26	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	472	419	133	31	7	6	46	49	1	26	7	.317	.386	.468	.854	.150	.345	10	10	.375	145	+24	+2	—	—	+13	4.1
2017	26	INTL	Venezuela	245	200	65	7	3	6	40	24	2	6	7	.325	.442	.480	.922	.155	.343	10	16	.408	171	+20	-2	—	—	+7	2.5
2018	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	143	133	31	3	1	0	10	23	0	5	2	.233	.287	.271	.557	.038	.282	16	7	.258	56	-7	+0	-1	-7	+4	-1.2
2018	27	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	328	280	77	10	10	2	44	31	1	12	1	.275	.375	.404	.779	.129	.304	9	13	.349	125	+9	+2	—	—	+9	2.1
2018	27	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	207	181	51	14	3	1	19	15	3	2	2	.282	.358	.409	.767	.127	.303	7	9	.339	118	+4	-0	—	—	+6	1.0
2019	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	96	88	18	3	0	2	8	22	0	3	0	.205	.271	.307	.578	.102	.250	23	8	.264	60	-4	+1	+0	-6	+3	-0.7
2019	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	493	431	123	34	3	21	59	95	2	14	7	.285	.374	.524	.898	.239	.323	19	12	.393	159	+33	+0	—	—	+14	4.8
2020	29	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	152	123	37	8	1	4	26	15	1	2	1	.301	.427	.480	.906	.179	.317	10	17	.400	164	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2021	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	330	296	86	14	2	11	30	70	2	12	6	.291	.360	.463	.823	.172	.349	21	9	.363	136	+13	+0	-4	+1	+9	2.1
2021	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	73	64	16	3	0	4	8	13	0	1	1	.250	.329	.484	.813	.234	.255	18	11	.355	130	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	371	316	76	14	1	7	44	74	2	12	7	.241	.336	.358	.694	.117	.285	20	12	.310	96	-2	-0	-0	+1	+11	1.0
2023	32	MLB	New York Mets	136	114	25	3	0	1	20	33	1	6	1	.219	.341	.272	.613	.053	.300	24	15	.291	81	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2023	32	AAA	Syracuse Mets	339	281	64	18	0	9	54	57	1	14	8	.228	.354	.388	.742	.160	.253	17	16	.336	115	+6	-0	—	—	+10	1.5
2024	33	MLB	Chicago White Sox	17	14	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	0	.071	.188	.071	.259	.000	.091	24	12	.135	-38	-3	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.1
2024	33	AAA	Charlotte Knights	313	249	72	15	2	11	56	62	1	17	8	.289	.422	.498	.920	.209	.335	20	18	.399	164	+23	+0	—	—	+9	3.2
2025	34	AAA	Syracuse Mets	40	38	9	2	0	2	1	7	0	1	0	.237	.256	.447	.704	.211	.233	18	2	.299	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	34	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	25	24	2	1	0	0	1	7	0	1	1	.083	.120	.125	.245	.042	.118	28	4	.115	-53	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	34	A	St. Lucie Mets	27	21	9	5	0	1	5	3	0	2	0	.429	.538	.810	1.348	.381	.444	11	19	.545	275	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	34	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	254	200	60	9	1	6	48	36	3	8	5	.300	.442	.445	.887	.145	.338	14	19	.398	163	+18	-0	—	—	+7	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1295	1146	280	45	4	22	127	249	5	48	19	.244	.322	.348	.670	.104	.292	19	10	.302	89	-15	+2	-2	-15	+37	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Ortega (OGILVIE)	35	46	25	60	58	.222/.310/.358	.136	.274	6	10	23%	11%	90	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grégor Blanco 2019 · MLB	35	47→57	41→45	56→60	50	.226/.294/.329	.104	.292	8	18	24%	9%	75	-0.0	.218/.284/.350	.132	.279	14	14	26%	8%	76	+0.1	.200/.272/.336	.136	.248	17	13	26%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Jerry Owens 2016 · AAA	35	53→63	42→40	57→65	48	.253/.309/.362	.109	.311	8	22	21%	7%	89	+0.9	.262/.306/.358	.096	.307	8	15	16%	5%	86	+0.8	.345/.375/.385	.040	.389	0	14	11%	4%	117	+0.5
✕Ramon Valdez 2012 · AAA	35	48	38→30	52→55	45	.229/.290/.310	.081	.276	6	18	19%	6%	68	-0.5	.256/.328/.334	.078	.290	5	22	13%	7%	91	+1.1	.272/.353/.333	.061	.305	2	26	10%	7%	97	+0.6
✕Don Kelly 2015 · MLB	35	47→57	41→45	52→55	57	.225/.308/.320	.095	.255	9	12	16%	10%	79	+0.3	.209/.284/.295	.086	.250	7	8	18%	9%	62	-0.9	.163/.227/.209	.046	.208	2	2	21%	7%	14	-1.8
✕Curtis Pride 2004 · MLB	35	50	47→45	49→55	50	.246/.325/.389	.143	.308	15	13	24%	9%	104	+2.0	.244/.312/.382	.138	.318	13	15	26%	8%	96	+1.5	.234/.314/.359	.125	.326	11	21	29%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Jarrod Dyson 2020 · MLB	35	47→57	41→40	60→70	55	.228/.307/.321	.093	.263	9	35	17%	10%	79	+0.3	.218/.287/.307	.089	.265	8	31	20%	9%	66	-0.6	.194/.248/.252	.058	.254	0	40	22%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Flavio Romero 2015 · AAA	35	44→54	43→45	48→60	52	.216/.299/.320	.104	.275	11	20	25%	10%	76	+0.0	.222/.303/.306	.084	.284	8	18	23%	10%	73	-0.1	.237/.322/.293	.056	.295	4	21	19%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Roger Bernadina 2019 · AAA	35	48→58	44→45	53→60	44	.230/.294/.352	.122	.309	11	19	28%	7%	81	+0.4	.251/.300/.380	.129	.315	14	10	24%	6%	91	+1.1	.289/.335/.400	.111	.359	13	4	22%	6%	105	+0.5
✕Nyjer Morgan 2016 · MLB	36	47→57	45→40	53→65	47	.233/.293/.358	.125	.285	13	15	23%	8%	82	+0.5	.241/.307/.372	.131	.278	13	21	18%	7%	92	+1.2	.242/.311/.368	.126	.276	13	26	17%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Chris Dickerson 2017 · MLB	35	52→55	45→50	54→60	45	.248/.313/.378	.129	.339	12	20	29%	8%	95	+1.4	.227/.305/.360	.133	.324	13	13	31%	9%	88	+0.9	.209/.303/.334	.125	.305	12	11	32%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Andrew Romine 2021 · MLB	35	47→54	42→40	55	43	.232/.277/.333	.101	.283	10	19	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.238/.286/.329	.091	.307	8	10	24%	6%	71	-0.3	.247/.295/.310	.063	.326	3	3	24%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Pete Orr 2013 · MLB	34	47→46	41→45	56→55	41	.229/.271/.332	.104	.278	8	22	21%	4%	66	-0.6	.234/.267/.326	.092	.297	6	16	23%	4%	62	-0.9	.236/.268/.320	.084	.301	5	14	22%	3%	57	-0.8
✕Ryan LaMarre 2023 · MLB	34	50→52	47→45	52→60	44	.242/.319/.380	.139	.327	14	21	29%	7%	100	+1.7	.222/.294/.354	.132	.316	14	20	32%	7%	82	+0.5	.149/.229/.250	.102	.226	13	33	38%	7%	26	-0.6
✕Calvin Murray 2005 · MLB	34	44→54	45→40	54→50	50	.219/.288/.346	.127	.256	12	14	19%	8%	77	+0.1	.251/.317/.351	.100	.296	7	14	17%	7%	90	+1.0	.258/.324/.345	.087	.307	4	16	16%	7%	89	+0.9
✕Scott Podsednik 2011 · MLB	35	59→65	40→45	57→65	51	.285/.336/.382	.097	.321	7	30	14%	7%	105	+2.1	.262/.308/.349	.087	.310	6	24	16%	6%	85	+0.7	.252/.293/.314	.062	.307	2	23	18%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Vinny Rottino 2015 · MLB	35	48→57	46→45	51→55	46	.236/.285/.366	.130	.269	13	17	18%	6%	80	+0.4	.219/.283/.317	.098	.282	9	4	24%	7%	67	-0.5	.210/.279/.293	.083	.270	8	1	24%	8%	57	-0.8
✕James Adduci 2019 · MLB	34	51→59	44→45	52→60	41	.249/.289/.374	.125	.323	11	12	26%	6%	84	+0.6	.239/.276/.364	.125	.315	13	12	27%	5%	76	+0.0	.231/.263/.346	.114	.309	13	12	29%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Willy Taveras 2017 · AAA	35	51→61	42→45	58→65	43	.248/.299/.359	.111	.297	9	25	20%	5%	84	+0.6	.253/.305/.375	.122	.308	12	20	21%	4%	92	+1.2	.261/.315/.385	.124	.320	13	22	22%	4%	95	+1.1
✕Lenny Harris 2001 · MLB	36	51	45	60	55	.248/.309/.377	.129	.259	12	22	11%	8%	93	+1.3	.247/.304/.348	.101	.264	8	15	10%	7%	83	+0.6	.245/.303/.316	.071	.265	5	9	9%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Charlie Culberson 2023 · MLB	34	49→52	45	48→50	44	.241/.290/.371	.130	.302	12	13	24%	6%	84	+0.6	.225/.273/.339	.114	.313	12	12	30%	6%	69	-0.4	.176/.203/.217	.041	.286	5	14	39%	3%	7	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)