Ryan Hanigan

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1980-08-16

Age (2027)46

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	35	AAAPawtucket Red…	31	.200/.333/.240	0	0	45	—	.192/.300/.231
2016	35	MLBBOS	113	.171/.230/.238	1	0	29	-0.8
2017	36	AAACOL	69	.264/.391/.321	0	0	64	—	.214/.312/.250
2017	36	MLBCOL	112	.267/.327/.347	2	0	76	-0.1
2018	37	AAASF	63	.175/.254/.193	0	0	7	—	.153/.206/.169
2019	38	No MLB games played
2020	39	No MLB games played
2021	40	No MLB games played
2022	41	No MLB games played
2023	42	No MLB games played
2024	43	No MLB games played
2025	44	No MLB games played
2026	45	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.9

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2017

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

Avg EV10

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	390	333	107	14	1	4	50	41	5	4	1	321	418	405	823	84	358	11	13	375	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	19	13	2	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	154	421	154	575		182	11	32	316	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	150	126	31	2	0	0	19	23	2	0	0	246	354	262	616	16	292	15	13	290	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	150	127	32	5	0	1	14	15	2	0	0	252	336	315	651	63	277	10	9	288	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	247	197	59	14	1	3	41	30	3	0	2	299	427	426	854	127	333	12	17	380	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	98	85	23	2	0	2	10	9	3	0	0	271	367	365	732	94	284	9	10	338	110	+1	+0	+6	+7	+2	1.7
2008	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	311	272	88	14	0	4	25	39	8	1	0	324	397	419	816	96	361	13	8	363	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	293	251	66	6	1	3	37	31	2	0	0	263	362	331	693	68	289	11	13	319	91	-3	+0	+28	+6	+6	3.8
2009	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	19	18	7	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	389	421	500	921	111	389	0	5	410	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	243	203	61	11	0	5	33	21	4	0	0	300	408	429	837	128	313	9	14	375	129	+8	+0	+17	+5	+5	3.7
2010	29	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	52	46	11	3	0	0	4	6	2	0	0	239	327	304	631	65	275	12	8	295	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	304	266	71	6	0	6	35	32	2	0	0	267	356	357	714	90	285	11	12	327	99	-0	+0	+25	+5	+7	3.8
2012	31	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	371	317	87	14	0	2	44	37	3	0	0	274	368	338	706	63	302	10	12	322	85	-6	+0	+28	+7	+8	3.7
2013	32	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	260	222	44	8	0	2	29	27	6	0	1	198	307	261	569	63	216	10	11	269	50	-16	-0	+10	+5	+6	0.4
2014	33	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	263	225	49	9	0	5	31	39	3	1	0	218	320	324	645	107	240	15	12	295	85	-5	+0	+10	+5	+6	1.7
2014	33	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	24	20	5	0	0	1	2	3	2	0	0	250	375	400	775	150	250	12	8	357	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	201	174	43	8	0	2	20	39	4	0	0	247	337	328	664	80	306	19	10	304	87	-3	+0	+5	+4	+4	1.0
2016	35	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	113	105	18	4	0	1	7	27	1	0	0	171	230	238	468	67	221	24	6	218	29	-9	+0	-3	+3	+2	-0.8
2016	35	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	31	25	5	1	0	0	3	7	2	0	0	200	333	240	573	40	263	23	10	273	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	112	101	27	2	0	2	8	26	1	0	0	267	327	347	674	79	338	23	7	302	76	-3	+0	-4	+3	+2	-0.1
2017	36	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	69	53	14	3	0	0	10	16	1	0	0	264	391	321	711	57	333	23	14	312	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	37	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	63	57	10	1	0	0	5	11	1	0	0	175	254	193	447	18	217	17	8	217	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2258	1949	489	70	1	30	254	288	29	1	1	251	346	334	680	83	280	13	11	312	97	-8	-0	+123	+49	+49	21.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	390	350	100	13	1	3	33	50	5	4	1	286	356	354	710	69	322	13	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	19	15	2	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	133	316	133	449		172	11	21	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	150	132	30	2	0	0	13	28	2	0	0	227	306	242	549	15	270	19	9	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	150	133	34	5	0	1	8	18	2	0	0	256	308	316	623	60	266	12	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	247	212	59	14	1	3	26	37	3	0	2	278	365	396	761	118	302	15	11	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	98	86	23	2	0	2	9	9	3	0	0	267	357	360	718	93	284	9	9	331	110	+1	+0	+6	+7	+2	1.7
2008	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	311	280	80	12	0	3	17	47	8	1	0	286	344	361	705	75	319	15	5	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	293	258	66	6	1	3	30	31	2	0	0	256	338	322	660	66	289	11	10	303	91	-3	+0	+28	+6	+6	3.8
2009	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	19	18	7	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	389	421	500	921	111	344	0	5	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	243	207	61	11	0	5	29	21	4	0	0	295	392	420	812	126	313	9	12	358	129	+8	+0	+17	+5	+5	3.7
2010	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	52	47	10	3	0	0	3	8	2	0	0	213	288	277	565	64	248	15	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	304	269	71	6	0	6	32	32	2	0	0	264	347	353	700	89	285	11	11	315	99	-0	+0	+25	+5	+7	3.8
2012	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	371	330	87	14	0	2	31	37	3	0	0	264	332	324	657	61	302	10	8	295	85	-6	+0	+28	+7	+8	3.7
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	260	231	44	8	0	2	20	27	6	0	1	190	272	251	523	61	216	10	8	242	50	-16	-0	+10	+5	+6	0.4
2014	33	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	263	225	48	9	0	5	31	39	3	1	0	213	317	320	637	107	240	15	12	294	85	-5	+0	+10	+5	+6	1.7
2014	33	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	24	21	4	0	0	1	1	4	2	0	0	190	292	333	625	143	216	17	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	201	175	42	7	0	2	20	39	4	0	0	240	332	314	646	74	306	19	10	297	87	-3	+0	+5	+4	+4	1.0
2016	35	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	113	105	18	4	0	1	7	27	1	0	0	171	230	238	468	67	221	24	6	212	29	-9	+0	-3	+3	+2	-0.8
2016	35	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	31	26	5	1	0	0	2	9	2	0	0	192	300	231	531	38	237	29	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	112	103	26	2	0	2	6	26	1	0	0	252	300	330	630	78	338	23	5	280	76	-3	+0	-4	+3	+2	-0.1
2017	36	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	69	56	12	2	0	0	7	22	1	0	0	214	312	250	562	36	272	32	10	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	37	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	63	59	9	1	0	0	3	13	1	0	0	153	206	169	376	17	199	21	5	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	390	350	100	13	1	3	33	50	5	4	1	286	356	354	710	69	327	13	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	390	333	107	14	1	4	50	41	5	4	1	321	418	405	823	84	358	11	13	375	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	169	147	32	2	0	0	17	30	2	0	0	218	307	231	539	14	267	18	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	169	139	33	2	0	0	25	25	2	0	0	237	361	252	613	14	282	15	15	293	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	397	345	91	19	1	3	34	55	5	0	2	264	339	351	689	87	301	14	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	397	324	91	19	1	4	55	45	5	0	2	281	393	383	776	102	311	11	14	345	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	409	366	103	14	0	5	26	56	11	1	0	281	347	361	708	79	317	14	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	409	357	111	16	0	6	35	48	11	1	0	311	390	406	796	95	342	12	9	357	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	312	276	73	8	1	3	31	31	2	0	0	264	343	333	676	69	288	10	10	305	93	-3	+0	+28	+6	+7	3.9
2009	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	312	269	73	8	1	3	38	31	2	0	0	271	366	342	708	71	297	10	12	325	93	-3	+0	+28	+6	+7	3.9
2010	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	295	254	71	14	0	5	32	29	6	0	0	280	373	394	767	114	297	10	11	339	116	+6	+0	+17	+5	+6	3.5
2010	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	295	249	72	14	0	5	37	27	6	0	0	289	394	406	799	116	306	9	13	361	116	+6	+0	+17	+5	+6	3.5
2011	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	304	269	71	6	0	6	32	32	2	0	0	264	347	353	700	89	281	11	11	315	99	-0	+0	+25	+5	+7	3.8
2011	30	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	304	266	71	6	0	6	35	32	2	0	0	267	356	357	714	90	285	11	12	327	99	-0	+0	+25	+5	+7	3.8
2012	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	371	330	87	14	0	2	31	37	3	0	0	264	332	324	657	61	289	10	8	295	85	-6	+0	+28	+7	+8	3.7
2012	31	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	371	317	87	14	0	2	44	37	3	0	0	274	368	338	706	63	302	10	12	322	85	-6	+0	+28	+7	+8	3.7
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	260	231	44	8	0	2	20	27	6	0	1	190	272	251	523	61	207	10	8	242	50	-16	-0	+10	+5	+6	0.4
2013	32	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	260	222	44	8	0	2	29	27	6	0	1	198	307	261	569	63	216	10	11	269	50	-16	-0	+10	+5	+6	0.4
2014	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	287	246	53	9	0	6	32	43	5	1	0	215	318	325	643	110	236	15	11	294	85	-5	+0	+10	+5	+6	1.7
2014	33	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	287	245	54	9	0	6	33	42	5	1	0	220	325	331	656	110	241	15	11	300	85	-5	+0	+10	+5	+6	1.7
2015	34	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	201	175	42	7	0	2	20	39	4	0	0	240	332	314	646	74	296	19	10	297	87	-3	+0	+5	+4	+4	1.0
2015	34	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	201	174	43	8	0	2	20	39	4	0	0	247	337	328	664	80	306	19	10	304	87	-3	+0	+5	+4	+4	1.0
2016	35	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	144	131	22	4	0	1	9	36	3	0	0	168	238	221	459	53	221	25	6	217	33	-12	+0	-3	+3	+3	-0.9
2016	35	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	144	130	23	5	0	1	10	34	3	0	0	177	252	238	490	62	229	24	7	230	33	-12	+0	-3	+3	+3	-0.9
2017	36	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	181	159	38	4	0	2	13	48	2	0	0	239	305	302	606	63	313	27	7	274	71	-6	+0	-4	+3	+4	-0.3
2017	36	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	181	154	41	5	0	2	18	42	2	0	0	266	351	338	688	71	336	23	10	306	71	-6	+0	-4	+3	+4	-0.3
2018	37	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	63	59	9	1	0	0	3	13	1	0	0	153	206	169	376	17	196	21	5	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	37	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	—	63	57	10	1	0	0	5	11	1	0	0	175	254	193	447	18	217	17	8	217	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	390	349	100	13	1	3	33	50	5	4	1	287	356	355	711	69	322	13	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	169	148	32	2	0	0	17	30	2	0	0	216	307	230	537	14	259	18	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	397	355	91	19	1	3	34	55	5	0	2	256	339	341	679	85	288	14	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	409	369	103	14	0	5	26	56	11	1	0	279	347	358	705	79	311	14	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	312	276	73	8	1	3	31	31	2	0	0	264	343	333	676	69	292	10	10	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	295	255	71	14	0	5	32	29	6	0	0	278	373	392	765	114	301	10	11	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	304	267	71	6	0	6	32	32	2	0	0	266	347	356	702	90	285	11	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	371	334	87	14	0	2	31	37	3	0	0	260	332	320	653	60	302	10	8	295	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	260	232	44	8	0	2	20	27	6	0	1	190	272	250	522	60	216	10	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	287	248	53	9	0	6	32	43	5	1	0	214	318	323	641	109	238	15	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	201	175	42	7	0	2	20	39	4	0	0	240	332	314	646	74	306	19	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	35	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	144	131	22	4	0	1	9	36	3	0	0	168	238	221	459	53	224	25	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	181	164	38	4	0	2	13	48	2	0	0	232	305	293	597	61	313	27	7	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	37	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	63	59	9	1	0	0	3	13	1	0	0	153	206	169	376	17	199	21	5	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2258	1949	489	70	1	30	254	288	29	1	1	251	346	334	680	83	280	13	11	312	86	-8	-0	+123	+49	+49	21.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	561	141	20	0	9	73	83	8	0	0	251	345	335	680	84	280	13	11	312	86	-2	-0	+35	+14	+14	6.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3783	3338	836	123	3	40	333	526	57	6	4	250	329	325	654	75	284	14	9	295	86	-8	-0	+123	+49	+49	21.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	144	21	1	7	57	90	10	1	1	251	329	328	657	77	284	14	9	295	86	-2	-0	+35	+14	+14	6.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 63 PAwOBA .212 → .178 (−34)K% 17.5% → 21.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.46%	÷1.071	×1.290	—	—	21.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.94%	÷1.043	×0.710	—	×0.940	5.08%
HBP% /PA	1.59%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	1.46%
Singles /BIP	19.57%	÷0.963	×0.900	×1.048	×0.940	18.01%
Doubles /BIP	2.17%	÷0.910	×0.810	×1.048	×0.940	1.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.048	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.998	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .212 → .178; ISO .018 → .015; BABIP .217 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 69 PAwOBA .329 → .263 (−65)K% 23.2% → 31.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.19%	÷0.956	×1.290	—	—	31.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.49%	÷0.996	×0.710	—	×0.940	9.71%
HBP% /PA	1.45%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	1.34%
Singles /BIP	29.73%	÷1.019	×0.900	—	×0.940	24.68%
Doubles /BIP	8.11%	÷1.045	×0.810	—	×0.940	5.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.202	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .329 → .263; ISO .057 → .044; BABIP .333 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 31 PAwOBA .276 → .235 (−41)K% 22.6% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.58%	÷0.979	×1.200	—	—	27.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.68%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.23%
HBP% /PA	6.45%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	5.70%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷0.957	×0.930	—	×0.940	20.29%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷0.923	×0.830	—	×0.940	4.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.912	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.994	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 82, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .276 → .235; ISO .040 → .035; BABIP .263 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 24 PAwOBA .348 → .292 (−56)K% 12.5% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷0.977	×1.420	—	—	18.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷0.985	×0.750	—	×0.940	5.96%
HBP% /PA	8.33%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	7.29%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷0.996	×0.920	—	×0.940	20.44%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.977	×0.960	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.109	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.88%	÷0.899	×0.880	—	×0.940	5.41%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 122, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .348 → .292; ISO .150 → .134; BABIP .250 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAALouisville Bats · 52 PAwOBA .288 → .250 (−38)K% 11.5% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.54%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	14.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.69%	÷0.942	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.48%
HBP% /PA	3.85%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	3.51%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.018	×0.930	—	×0.972	17.75%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷0.858	×0.830	—	×0.972	7.05%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.093	×0.840	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 104, 2B 72, 3B 130, K 90, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .288 → .250; ISO .065 → .061; BABIP .275 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAALouisville Bats · 19 PAwOBA .399 → .349 (−50)K% 0.0% → 0.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	0.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.982	3.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×0.982	25.37%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.982	9.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .399 → .349; ISO .111 → .092; BABIP .389 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAALouisville Bats · 311 PAwOBA .359 → .312 (−46)K% 12.5% → 15.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.54%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	15.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.04%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.50%
HBP% /PA	2.57%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	2.40%
Singles /BIP	30.04%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.980	×0.992	27.17%
Doubles /BIP	6.01%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.980	×0.992	4.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.980	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.72%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.992	1.43%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .359 → .312; ISO .096 → .081; BABIP .361 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 247 PAwOBA .374 → .329 (−45)K% 12.1% → 14.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.15%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	14.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.978	10.50%
HBP% /PA	1.21%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	1.00%
Singles /BIP	24.55%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.013	×0.978	22.38%
Doubles /BIP	8.38%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.013	×0.978	7.56%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷1.000	×0.880	×1.013	×0.978	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	1.80%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.978	1.41%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .374 → .329; ISO .127 → .118; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).