Jerry Owens
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 33 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 353 | .341/.399/.413 | 0 | 11 | 125 | — | .354/.414/.468 |
| 2015 | 34 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 224 | .310/.364/.399 | 1 | 3 | 115 | — | |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 139 | .312/.348/.344 | 0 | 3 | 83 | — | .347/.379/.388 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 587 | 522 | 173 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 72 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 331 | 394 | 406 | 800 | 75 | 380 | 12 | 9 | 356 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 493 | 441 | 115 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 63 | 1 | 40 | 12 | 261 | 328 | 345 | 673 | 84 | 294 | 13 | 9 | 302 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 389 | 356 | 95 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 63 | 3 | 32 | 8 | 267 | 324 | 312 | 636 | 45 | 322 | 16 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -8 | +3 | +5 | +2 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 267 | 232 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 37 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 366 | 366 | 733 | 82 | 321 | 14 | 11 | 330 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 333 | 24 | 0 | 213 | 30 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +0 | -0.4 | |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 398 | 351 | 97 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 56 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 276 | 350 | 316 | 667 | 40 | 321 | 14 | 10 | 304 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 83 | 350 | 111 | 20 | 20 | 200 | 21 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 | |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 453 | 396 | 125 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 46 | 51 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 316 | 388 | 404 | 792 | 88 | 353 | 11 | 10 | 351 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 33 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 194 | 242 | 194 | 436 | 250 | 21 | 6 | 207 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 274 | 249 | 90 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 35 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 361 | 418 | 446 | 863 | 84 | 418 | 13 | 8 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 89 | 74 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 365 | 460 | 486 | 946 | 122 | 429 | 12 | 15 | 413 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 264 | 243 | 81 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 27 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 333 | 379 | 391 | 770 | 58 | 373 | 10 | 6 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 224 | 203 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 310 | 364 | 399 | 763 | 89 | 354 | 12 | 6 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 108 | 96 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 344 | 388 | 385 | 774 | 42 | 379 | 9 | 6 | 336 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 31 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 207 | 207 | 414 | 222 | 6 | 0 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 421 | 384 | 100 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 70 | 3 | 35 | 9 | 260 | 319 | 302 | 621 | 42 | 316 | 17 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -11 | +3 | +7 | -0 | +9 | 0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 587 | 541 | 174 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 88 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 322 | 363 | 394 | 757 | 72 | 370 | 15 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 493 | 454 | 117 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 75 | 1 | 40 | 12 | 258 | 305 | 337 | 642 | 79 | 293 | 15 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 389 | 356 | 95 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 63 | 3 | 32 | 8 | 267 | 324 | 312 | 636 | 45 | 322 | 16 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -8 | +3 | +5 | +2 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 267 | 243 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 276 | 328 | 350 | 678 | 74 | 314 | 16 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 333 | 24 | 0 | 213 | 30 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +0 | -0.4 | |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 398 | 365 | 97 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 67 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 266 | 315 | 301 | 616 | 36 | 309 | 17 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 83 | 350 | 111 | 20 | 20 | 200 | 21 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 | |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 453 | 411 | 113 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 66 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 275 | 327 | 343 | 670 | 68 | 311 | 15 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 33 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 156 | 182 | 156 | 338 | 224 | 24 | 3 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 89 | 79 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 354 | 414 | 468 | 882 | 114 | 410 | 16 | 9 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 108 | 98 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 347 | 379 | 388 | 766 | 41 | 367 | 11 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 587 | 541 | 174 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 88 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 322 | 363 | 394 | 757 | 72 | 380 | 15 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 587 | 522 | 173 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 72 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 331 | 394 | 406 | 800 | 75 | 380 | 12 | 9 | 356 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 493 | 454 | 117 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 75 | 1 | 40 | 12 | 258 | 305 | 337 | 642 | 79 | 299 | 15 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 493 | 441 | 115 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 63 | 1 | 40 | 12 | 261 | 328 | 345 | 673 | 84 | 294 | 13 | 9 | 302 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 656 | 599 | 162 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 45 | 107 | 4 | 55 | 16 | 270 | 326 | 327 | 653 | 57 | 321 | 16 | 7 | 295 | 86 | -11 | +5 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 656 | 588 | 161 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 100 | 4 | 55 | 16 | 274 | 341 | 333 | 674 | 60 | 322 | 15 | 9 | 306 | 86 | -11 | +5 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 415 | 381 | 101 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 71 | 2 | 32 | 14 | 265 | 312 | 299 | 611 | 34 | 318 | 17 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 415 | 367 | 101 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 60 | 2 | 32 | 14 | 275 | 346 | 313 | 660 | 38 | 322 | 14 | 9 | 301 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 423 | 114 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 34 | 69 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 270 | 325 | 336 | 661 | 66 | 315 | 15 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 468 | 408 | 126 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 54 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 309 | 384 | 395 | 779 | 86 | 346 | 12 | 10 | 346 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 292 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 79 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 164 | 203 | 164 | 367 | 225 | 26 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 307 | 280 | 96 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 42 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 343 | 399 | 418 | 817 | 75 | 401 | 14 | 8 | 368 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 353 | 315 | 110 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 54 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 349 | 411 | 467 | 878 | 117 | 420 | 15 | 9 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 353 | 317 | 108 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 38 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 341 | 399 | 413 | 813 | 73 | 386 | 11 | 8 | 362 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 224 | 203 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 310 | 364 | 399 | 763 | 89 | 354 | 12 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 224 | 203 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 310 | 364 | 399 | 763 | 89 | 354 | 12 | 6 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 139 | 126 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 341 | 371 | 373 | 744 | 32 | 384 | 11 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 139 | 125 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 312 | 348 | 344 | 692 | 32 | 342 | 9 | 4 | 300 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 587 | 547 | 174 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 88 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 318 | 363 | 389 | 752 | 71 | 370 | 15 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 493 | 459 | 117 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 75 | 1 | 40 | 12 | 255 | 305 | 333 | 638 | 78 | 293 | 15 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 656 | 602 | 162 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 45 | 107 | 4 | 55 | 16 | 269 | 326 | 326 | 651 | 56 | 319 | 16 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 415 | 386 | 101 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 71 | 2 | 32 | 14 | 262 | 312 | 295 | 607 | 34 | 310 | 17 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 430 | 114 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 34 | 69 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 265 | 325 | 330 | 656 | 65 | 305 | 15 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 290 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 79 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 166 | 203 | 166 | 368 | 224 | 26 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 33 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 353 | 317 | 110 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 54 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 347 | 411 | 464 | 875 | 117 | 410 | 15 | 9 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 139 | 132 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 326 | 371 | 356 | 727 | 30 | 367 | 11 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 421 | 384 | 100 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 70 | 3 | 35 | 9 | 260 | 319 | 302 | 621 | 42 | 316 | 17 | 7 | 284 | 72 | -11 | +3 | +7 | -0 | +9 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 155 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 46 | 108 | 5 | 54 | 14 | 261 | 320 | 305 | 625 | 44 | 317 | 17 | 7 | 284 | 72 | -17 | +5 | +10 | -1 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3642 | 3334 | 932 | 93 | 37 | 14 | 230 | 586 | 16 | 218 | 92 | 280 | 329 | 342 | 671 | 63 | 333 | 16 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -11 | +3 | +7 | -0 | +9 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 167 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 105 | 3 | 39 | 16 | 281 | 330 | 343 | 673 | 62 | 335 | 16 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -17 | +5 | +10 | -1 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 108 PAwOBA .330 → .323 (−7)K% 9.3% → 10.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.26% | ÷1.042 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.031 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.88% | ÷0.945 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 33.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 2.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.910 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.105 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 82, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .330 → .323; ISO .042 → .042; BABIP .379 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 89 PAwOBA .403 → .372 (−31)K% 12.4% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.36% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.61% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 9.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.954 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 32.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.908 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 4.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 91, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .403 → .372; ISO .122 → .124; BABIP .429 → .410. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 33 PAwOBA .202 → .167 (−35)K% 21.2% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.06% | ÷0.959 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 22.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .202 → .167; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAATacoma Rainiers · 453 PAwOBA .344 → .295 (−48)K% 11.3% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.22% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.003 | ×0.992 | 26.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×0.992 | 2.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×0.992 | 1.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.67% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .344 → .295; ISO .088 → .073; BABIP .353 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAACharlotte Knights · 398 PAwOBA .298 → .276 (−22)K% 14.1% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×1.003 | 28.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.003 | 3.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.29% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .298 → .276; ISO .040 → .036; BABIP .321 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAACharlotte Knights · 267 PAwOBA .322 → .302 (−20)K% 13.9% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 27.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.32% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .322 → .302; ISO .082 → .074; BABIP .321 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AAACharlotte Knights · 493 PAwOBA .295 → .280 (−16)K% 12.8% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 24.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 3.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .280; ISO .084 → .080; BABIP .294 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AABirmingham Barons · 587 PAwOBA .346 → .328 (−18)K% 12.3% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 31.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.36% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .346 → .328; ISO .075 → .072; BABIP .380 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .