Kevin Kiermaier — OGILVIE

Kevin KiermaierCF Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 36 L/R 6'1" / 210 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 12.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 262 proj PA

wRC+†vL 1341vR 53

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .271 / .345

PA262

HR5

SB12

K%27

BB%6

ISO127

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1215.3%

xwOBA

280.283

POWER40

Barrel%

214.4

Avg EV

2186.9

Bat Spd

4170.4

EYE45

Chase%

4432.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

8128.7

Platoon Splits2024 · 281 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

224

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

202

254

▶▶R

ISO

039

135

▶▶R

BABIP

235

282

▶▶R

29.8%

30.8%

◀L

BB%

8.8%

3.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 12.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.3M	-$0.2M
Totals		$0.6M		$0.3M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	20	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	246	228	52	6	5	1	14	77	3	17	5	228	282	311	593	83	340	31	6	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	246	218	66	8	7	2	24	54	3	17	5	303	380	431	811	128	395	22	10	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A	2 teams	—	534	479	92	11	6	3	33	162	9	31	13	192	257	259	516	67	281	30	6	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A	2 teams	—	534	468	117	17	8	4	44	108	9	31	13	250	326	346	672	96	315	20	8	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	2 teams	—	294	256	54	10	5	0	29	72	2	17	4	211	296	289	585	78	293	24	10	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	2 teams	—	294	246	70	13	8	0	38	50	2	17	4	285	383	402	786	118	357	17	13	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	2 teams	—	571	526	138	17	14	4	27	113	10	21	12	262	311	371	682	108	324	20	5	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	2 teams	—	571	508	151	21	15	6	45	87	10	21	12	297	366	433	799	136	346	15	8	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB	2 teams	—	507	462	122	23	9	13	32	95	3	16	5	264	316	437	753	173	305	19	6	320	103	+2	+1	+5	-5	+14	1.8
2014	24	MLB	2 teams	—	507	459	126	23	10	13	35	94	3	16	5	275	330	453	783	179	318	19	7	339	117	+10	+1	+5	-5	+14	2.6
2015	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	535	505	130	26	10	11	24	95	2	18	5	257	294	414	708	156	297	18	4	306	92	-5	+2	+21	+2	+15	3.5
2015	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	535	505	133	25	12	10	24	95	2	18	5	263	299	420	719	156	306	18	4	315	99	-1	+2	+21	+2	+15	3.9
2016	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	414	366	90	21	2	13	40	74	7	21	3	246	332	421	752	175	275	18	10	327	109	+4	+3	+13	+1	+12	3.4
2016	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	414	366	90	20	2	12	40	74	7	21	3	246	332	410	742	164	278	18	10	332	113	+6	+3	+13	+1	+12	3.6
2017	27	MLB	2 teams	—	447	404	105	16	3	16	33	109	5	16	8	260	324	433	757	173	318	24	7	327	108	+4	+0	+9	+2	+13	2.8
2017	27	MLB	2 teams	—	447	404	108	16	4	15	33	106	5	16	8	267	330	438	768	171	327	24	7	338	117	+8	+0	+9	+2	+13	3.3
2018	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	367	332	69	12	8	7	25	91	6	10	5	208	275	355	631	148	263	25	7	277	70	-12	+0	+7	+1	+10	0.6
2018	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	367	332	72	12	9	7	25	91	6	10	5	217	284	370	654	154	275	25	7	289	80	-8	+0	+7	+1	+10	1.0
2019	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	480	447	101	21	6	15	26	104	5	19	5	226	276	400	677	174	261	22	5	290	80	-11	+2	+15	+2	+14	2.2
2019	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	480	447	102	20	7	14	26	104	5	19	5	228	278	398	676	170	267	22	5	298	86	-7	+2	+15	+2	+14	2.5
2020	30	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	159	138	29	5	3	3	20	42	1	8	1	210	314	355	670	145	280	26	13	299	87	-2	+1	+6	+1	+5	1.1
2020	30	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	159	138	30	5	3	3	20	42	1	8	1	217	321	362	683	145	290	26	13	311	96	-1	+1	+6	+1	+5	1.2
2021	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	390	348	88	20	6	4	33	99	5	9	5	253	326	379	706	126	337	25	8	308	94	-3	-0	+9	+1	+11	1.9
2021	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	390	348	90	19	7	4	33	99	5	9	5	259	332	388	720	129	345	25	8	321	103	+2	-0	+9	+1	+11	2.3
2022	32	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	221	206	46	8	0	7	14	61	1	6	1	223	276	364	640	141	283	28	6	288	79	-5	+1	+2	+1	+6	0.4
2022	32	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	221	206	47	8	0	7	14	61	1	6	1	228	281	369	649	141	290	28	6	291	81	-5	+1	+2	+1	+6	0.5
2023	33	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	408	370	97	21	6	8	29	86	4	14	1	262	323	416	739	154	318	21	7	320	103	+2	+2	+8	+1	+12	2.6
2023	33	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	408	370	98	21	6	8	29	86	4	14	1	265	325	419	744	154	321	21	7	327	109	+4	+2	+8	+1	+12	2.8
2024	34	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	281	259	52	9	3	5	12	86	2	6	2	201	242	317	558	116	278	31	4	244	45	-18	+0	+8	+1	+8	0.0
2024	34	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	281	259	51	9	3	5	12	86	2	6	2	197	238	313	551	116	272	31	4	240	42	-18	+0	+8	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	36	MLB	LAD	—	262	243	53	10	2	5	15	69	2	12	2	218	269	337	607	119	284	26	6	277	70	-9	+2	+3	+1	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	37	MLB	LAD	100%	184	170	36	6	2	3	10	50	2	5	1	212	264	324	587	112	275	27	5	264	60	-8	+1	-5	+1	+5	-0.7
2028	38	MLB	LAD	100%	117	109	22	4	1	2	6	33	1	2	0	202	250	312	562	110	267	28	5	251	50	-7	+0	-6	+0	+3	-0.9
2027	37	MLB	LAD	100%	184	170	36	6	2	3	10	50	2	5	1	212	264	324	587	112	272	27	5	254	53	-10	+1	-5	+1	+5	-0.8
2028	38	MLB	LAD	100%	117	109	22	4	1	2	6	33	1	2	0	202	250	312	562	110	264	28	5	242	43	-8	+0	-6	+0	+3	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4341	3961	963	180	63	100	293	991	44	139	40	243	302	396	699	153	299	23	7	308	94	-31	+12	+94	+9	+123	21.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	144	27	9	15	44	148	7	21	6	243	303	395	697	152	298	23	7	308	94	-5	+2	+14	+1	+18	3.2
Career	—			—	6417	5848	1376	246	91	120	422	1518	70	248	78	235	295	370	665	135	296	24	7	290	80	-143	+18	+97	+16	+182	17.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	139	25	9	12	43	154	7	25	8	235	294	368	663	133	296	24	7	290	80	-14	+2	+10	+2	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	20	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	246	218	66	8	7	2	24	54	3	17	5	303	380	431	811	128	395	22	10	362	135	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2011	21	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	459	402	97	11	8	4	37	99	8	27	10	241	318	338	656	97	308	22	8	292	82	-10	+1	—	—	+13	0.5
2011	21	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	75	66	20	6	0	0	7	9	1	4	3	303	378	394	772	91	351	12	9	347	123	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2012	22	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	212	177	46	7	6	0	26	38	2	10	4	260	361	367	728	107	331	18	12	321	104	+1	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2012	22	INTL	Phoenix Desert Dogs	—	82	69	24	6	2	0	12	12	0	7	0	348	439	493	932	145	421	15	15	412	173	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.1
2013	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	154	137	36	7	6	1	14	26	2	7	1	263	340	423	763	161	315	17	9	337	116	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2013	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	417	371	115	14	9	5	31	61	8	14	11	310	376	437	812	127	357	15	7	358	132	+15	-2	—	—	+12	2.6
2014	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	364	331	87	16	8	10	23	71	3	5	4	263	317	450	767	187	306	20	6	331	111	+5	-1	+5	-5	+10	1.5
2014	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	143	128	39	7	2	3	12	23	0	11	1	305	364	461	825	156	350	16	8	359	133	+5	+2	—	—	+4	1.1
2015	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	535	505	133	25	12	10	24	95	2	18	5	263	299	420	719	156	306	18	4	315	99	-1	+2	+21	+2	+15	3.9
2016	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	414	366	90	20	2	12	40	74	7	21	3	246	332	410	742	164	278	18	10	332	113	+6	+3	+13	+1	+12	3.6
2017	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	421	380	105	15	3	15	31	99	5	16	7	276	339	450	789	174	337	24	7	346	123	+11	+0	+9	+2	+12	3.5
2017	27	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	26	24	3	1	1	0	2	7	0	0	1	125	192	250	442	125	176	27	8	200	11	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2018	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	367	332	72	12	9	7	25	91	6	10	5	217	284	370	654	154	275	25	7	289	80	-8	+0	+7	+1	+10	1.0
2019	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	480	447	102	20	7	14	26	104	5	19	5	228	278	398	676	170	267	22	5	298	86	-7	+2	+15	+2	+14	2.5
2020	30	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	159	138	30	5	3	3	20	42	1	8	1	217	321	362	683	145	290	26	13	311	96	-1	+1	+6	+1	+5	1.2
2021	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	390	348	90	19	7	4	33	99	5	9	5	259	332	388	720	129	345	25	8	321	103	+2	-0	+9	+1	+11	2.3
2022	32	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	221	206	47	8	0	7	14	61	1	6	1	228	281	369	649	141	290	28	6	291	81	-5	+1	+2	+1	+6	0.5
2023	33	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	408	370	98	21	6	8	29	86	4	14	1	265	325	419	744	154	321	21	7	327	109	+4	+2	+8	+1	+12	2.8
2024	34	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	281	259	51	9	3	5	12	86	2	6	2	197	238	313	551	116	272	31	4	240	42	-18	+0	+8	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4040	3682	905	170	60	95	277	908	41	132	39	246	306	402	708	156	300	22	7	312	97	-13	+11	+104	+8	+114	22.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jackie Bradley Jr.last yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,192 PA	11	4,192	109	69	225	303	381	+6	+78	17.2	18.6
	/162	664	17	11	225	303	381	+1.0	+12.3	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Franklin Gutierrezlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,333 PA	11	3,333	97	78	257	311	408	-10	+73	16.9	16.7
	/162	664	19	16	257	311	408	-2.1	+14.5	3.4	pk7: 16
#3Clint Barmeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,100 PA	11	4,100	89	43	245	294	379	+34	+76	16.8	16.2
	/162	664	14	7	245	294	379	+5.4	+12.4	2.7	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	4,603	106	151	242	298	394	+12	+132	11.6	11.8
	/162	664	15	22	242	298	394	+1.8	+19.0	1.7	pk7: 12
#4Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#5Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	10	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.2
	/162	664	19	24	227	280	381	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#6Peter Bourjoslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,241 PA	8	2,241	42	66	241	298	382	-0	+38	7.4	7.5
	/162	664	12	20	241	298	382	-0.1	+11.3	2.2	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Kiermaier (OGILVIE)	36	35	40	60	45	219/271/345	126	284	5	12	27%	6%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pete Orr 2014 · MLB	35	48→45	40→45	52→55	40	230/264/325	95	283	7	18	21%	4%	60	-1.0	233/266/321	88	297	6	15	23%	3%	59	-1.1	237/268/313	75	305	5	15	23%	3%	55	-0.9
✕Manny Alexander 2006 · MLB	35	49→50	45	54→55	45	240/290/365	125	284	11	23	20%	6%	82	+0.5	220/262/311	91	262	7	14	18%	5%	56	-1.3	210/249/283	73	249	5	10	17%	4%	39	-1.7
✕Ramon Valdez 2012 · AAA	35	48	39→40	53→55	45	231/291/319	88	280	6	18	19%	6%	71	-0.3	256/330/338	82	287	5	22	12%	7%	92	+1.2	274/354/337	63	303	3	26	10%	7%	99	+0.7
✕Jarrod Dyson 2021 · MLB	36	45→55	40→45	61→70	55	219/296/307	88	257	9	34	18%	10%	70	-0.3	222/285/328	106	276	9	25	21%	8%	70	-0.3	199/253/276	77	261	0	40	22%	7%	41	-0.6
✕Drew Maggi 2023 · AAA	34	38→48	40→45	54→60	41	187/262/282	95	276	8	23	33%	7%	50	-1.7	195/253/311	116	262	13	15	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/215/280	115	203	16	9	28%	4%	26	-0.7
✕Andrew Romine 2021 · MLB	35	47→56	44→45	54→55	43	231/279/343	112	277	12	19	21%	5%	72	-0.2	235/283/328	93	302	8	9	24%	6%	69	-0.4	243/290/307	64	318	3	3	23%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Curtis Pride 2005 · MLB	36	48	45	51→55	42	238/292/367	129	301	12	12	25%	6%	84	+0.6	242/317/377	135	328	12	18	28%	10%	97	+1.5	235/315/360	125	328	11	21	29%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Nyjer Morgan 2016 · MLB	36	47→57	45	53→65	47	232/291/356	124	282	13	15	22%	8%	81	+0.4	237/302/367	130	275	13	20	19%	7%	89	+0.9	235/303/358	123	270	12	26	18%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2019 · AAA	35	46	39→40	49→55	42	221/276/304	83	305	7	11	29%	6%	60	-1.0	209/256/348	139	330	17	10	40%	6%	64	-0.8	135/173/276	142	208	24	5	49%	4%	8	-0.8
✕Flavio Romero 2015 · AAA	35	43→53	43→45	48→60	51	215/296/322	107	277	12	20	26%	10%	75	-0.0	221/302/304	83	283	8	17	23%	10%	72	-0.2	240/325/297	57	296	4	21	19%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Roger Bernadina 2019 · AAA	35	47→57	44→45	53→60	44	227/291/346	119	307	11	18	28%	7%	78	+0.2	250/299/377	127	317	14	10	25%	6%	89	+1.0	286/333/393	107	361	13	4	23%	6%	102	+0.4
✕Dewayne Wise 2013 · MLB	35	49→40	51→60	59→55	40	247/285/411	164	297	18	27	24%	4%	92	+1.2	230/276/369	139	290	14	18	25%	5%	78	+0.2	193/227/281	88	261	5	9	27%	4%	30	-0.6
✕Josh Wilson 2017 · MLB	36	45→50	40→45	49→50	36	218/262/304	86	303	7	11	30%	4%	54	-1.4	221/275/328	107	291	10	8	27%	4%	67	-0.5	209/264/293	85	277	8	2	26%	3%	51	-0.7
✕Christian Zazueta 2019 · AAA	34	45→55	42→50	55→60	36	223/247/324	101	267	10	31	21%	2%	53	-1.5	236/270/355	119	266	12	16	16%	4%	71	-0.3	246/275/362	116	268	12	17	13%	3%	71	-0.1
✕Pedro Swann 2007 · AAA	36	51→47	49→50	55→45	42	252/304/408	156	309	15	12	23%	5%	100	+1.7	234/280/362	128	299	12	10	25%	5%	77	+0.1	221/261/331	110	283	11	6	25%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Grégor Blanco 2019 · MLB	35	48→58	42→45	56→60	49	232/297/340	108	300	8	18	24%	9%	79	+0.3	219/286/355	136	277	15	13	25%	8%	79	+0.3	197/271/334	138	240	17	13	26%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Willy Taveras 2016 · AAA	34	47→57	43→45	59→65	43	229/283/342	113	280	11	28	22%	5%	73	-0.1	249/300/365	116	303	10	21	21%	4%	87	+0.8	256/309/371	115	312	10	22	20%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Gerald Williams 2004 · MLB	37	41→51	43→50	54→55	49	204/267/315	111	235	10	22	18%	7%	60	-1.0	223/272/379	156	253	16	12	19%	6%	79	+0.3	213/252/380	167	237	16	9	18%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Chris Dickerson 2017 · MLB	35	51→55	46→50	55→60	44	247/308/382	135	337	13	19	29%	8%	95	+1.4	229/309/369	140	327	14	12	32%	9%	92	+1.2	214/311/350	136	311	14	11	32%	11%	84	+0.4
✕Wilson Batista 2015 · AAA	34	49→46	45	49→50	42	243/289/369	126	293	13	11	22%	5%	83	+0.6	242/296/361	119	293	12	14	21%	6%	84	+0.6	253/312/353	101	301	9	16	18%	7%	86	+0.2