JJ Wetherholt — OGILVIE

JJ WetherholtSS St. Louis Cardinals

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 190 lbs MLB HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 3.7 · 2029

wRC+†117

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .349 / .428

PA250

HR8

SB9

K%19

BB%10

xwOBA.328

Barrel%6.1%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

62↗66

PWR

49↗53

SPD

53↗54

FLD

42↗51

EYE

58↗64

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.1peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$14M	+$13M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.5	$29M	+$28M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.6	$31M	+$30M
2029	Arb-1	$8M	+3.7	$32M	+$24M
2030	Arb-2	$14M	+3.6	$32M	+$19M
2031	Arb-3	$20M	+3.4	$32M	+$12M
Totals		$44M		$169M	+$126M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	126	109	26	4	0	2	12	23	4	2	0	.239	.336	.330	.666	.092	.282	18	10	.286	77	-3	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.1
2025	22	AA	2 teams	496	429	120	25	3	16	51	94	12	23	3	.280	.372	.464	.836	.184	.322	19	10	.358	132	+18	+3	+0	+2	+14	3.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	110	87	19	2	0	3	15	23	6	4	0	.218	.370	.345	.715	.126	.254	21	14	.327	108	+1	+1	+2	+0	+3	0.8
ROS	23	MLB	STL	140	120	30	5	1	4	15	27	4	5	1	.250	.353	.408	.761	.158	.289	19	11	.347	124	+4	+1	-0	+0	+4	0.9
TOT	23	MLB	STL	250	207	49	7	1	7	30	50	10	9	1	.237	.360	.382	.742	.145	.275	20	12	.338	117	+5	+1	+2	+1	+7	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB	STL	531	455	115	22	2	17	56	96	15	17	3	.253	.354	.422	.776	.169	.286	18	11	.349	125	+15	+2	-1	+2	+15	3.4
2028	25	MLB	STL	537	461	119	23	2	18	57	98	14	18	3	.258	.357	.434	.791	.176	.287	18	11	.351	127	+16	+2	-1	+2	+15	3.6
2029	26	MLB	STL	538	462	119	23	2	18	57	99	14	18	3	.258	.356	.433	.789	.175	.288	18	11	.352	127	+17	+2	-1	+2	+15	3.6
2030	27	MLB	STL	533	458	117	22	2	18	57	100	13	17	3	.255	.354	.430	.784	.175	.289	19	11	.351	127	+16	+2	-1	+2	+15	3.5
2031	28	MLB	STL	525	450	115	22	2	17	57	99	13	16	3	.256	.356	.427	.782	.171	.289	19	11	.350	126	+16	+2	-1	+2	+15	3.4
2032	29	MLB	STL	513	439	112	21	2	17	56	98	13	15	2	.255	.356	.428	.785	.173	.288	19	11	.348	125	+14	+2	-2	+2	+15	3.1
2033	30	MLB	STL	501	430	109	21	2	16	54	98	12	13	2	.253	.353	.423	.776	.170	.288	20	11	.346	123	+13	+2	-3	+2	+14	2.8
2034	31	MLB	STL	486	418	104	20	2	15	53	97	12	11	1	.249	.350	.414	.764	.165	.287	20	11	.342	120	+11	+2	-4	+2	+14	2.5
2035	32	MLB	STL	467	403	99	19	2	14	50	95	11	8	0	.246	.345	.407	.752	.161	.286	20	11	.338	117	+9	+2	-4	+2	+13	2.2
2036	33	MLB	STL	437	376	92	17	2	13	47	92	11	6	0	.245	.346	.404	.750	.160	.285	21	11	.333	113	+6	+1	-5	+2	+12	1.7
2037	34	MLB	STL	391	337	80	15	1	11	42	86	9	4	0	.237	.338	.386	.723	.148	.285	22	11	.327	108	+4	+1	-5	+1	+11	1.2
2038	35	MLB	STL	337	290	67	12	1	9	36	77	8	3	0	.231	.332	.372	.705	.141	.284	23	11	.319	103	+1	+1	-6	+1	+10	0.6
2039	36	MLB	STL	278	240	55	10	1	7	29	67	7	2	0	.229	.330	.367	.696	.137	.282	24	10	.311	96	-1	+0	-7	+1	+8	0.1
2040	37	MLB	STL	215	186	41	7	1	5	22	54	5	1	0	.220	.319	.349	.669	.129	.280	25	10	.302	89	-3	+0	-7	+1	+6	-0.3
2041	38	MLB	STL	148	129	27	5	0	3	15	38	3	0	0	.209	.306	.318	.624	.109	.276	26	10	.292	81	-3	+0	-8	+1	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7199	6192	1547	293	28	220	766	1438	180	179	24	.250	.349	.413	.762	.163	.290	20	11	.340	118	+149	+26	-56	+26	+204	35.6
/ 162G	—			650	559	140	26	3	20	69	130	16	16	2	.250	.349	.415	.764	.165	.291	20	11	.340	118	+13	+2	-5	+2	+18	3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	126	105	31	5	0	2	16	15	4	2	0	.295	.408	.400	.808	.105	.326	12	13	.368	140	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	221	185	58	14	1	10	28	33	6	9	1	.314	.420	.562	.982	.249	.333	15	13	.426	184	+21	+1	—	—	+6	2.9
2025	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	275	223	67	14	1	7	44	40	6	14	2	.300	.429	.466	.895	.166	.337	15	16	.400	164	+20	+2	—	—	+8	3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JJ Wetherholt (OGILVIE)	23	62→66	49→53	53→54	64	.249/.354/.413	.164	.270	8	8	15%	11%	124	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Carlos Correa 2017 · MLB	22	54→62	53→60	55	54	.273/.346/.458	.186	.318	20	18	20%	10%	131	+3.9	.275/.353/.474	.199	.324	24	8	22%	11%	137	+4.3	.263/.347/.444	.180	.305	22	0	20%	11%	123	+3.4
●Rickie Weeks Jr. 2006 · MLB	23	49→58	53→55	59→55	49	.246/.337/.431	.184	.302	20	19	24%	9%	120	+3.1	.251/.352/.417	.166	.310	16	23	23%	10%	123	+3.3	.253/.353/.435	.182	.308	20	13	23%	10%	124	+2.8
●Kelly Johnson 2006 · MLB	24	49→58	52→55	52→50	56	.250/.332/.425	.175	.287	18	10	20%	11%	116	+2.8	.267/.349/.440	.173	.314	16	10	19%	11%	126	+3.5	.264/.339/.436	.172	.309	16	11	19%	10%	117	+2.8
●Jeremy Hermida 2008 · MLB	24	54→59	52→55	48→50	55	.267/.351/.446	.179	.321	19	10	22%	11%	130	+3.8	.257/.330/.412	.155	.316	18	6	23%	9%	112	+2.6	.249/.318/.395	.146	.312	17	4	25%	8%	99	+1.2
●Jason Heyward 2013 · MLB	23	50→60	54→55	50	55	.256/.341/.443	.186	.299	22	15	22%	11%	124	+3.4	.263/.342/.425	.162	.302	18	14	18%	10%	120	+3.1	.272/.352/.414	.142	.308	14	16	16%	10%	116	+2.7
●Ozzie Albies 2020 · MLB	23	54→59	53→60	56→55	48	.274/.324/.459	.185	.306	19	15	18%	6%	121	+3.2	.263/.314/.461	.198	.292	23	14	18%	7%	118	+3.0	.254/.310/.461	.206	.273	25	13	18%	7%	112	+2.4
●Andrew Benintendi 2019 · MLB	25	53→63	50→55	54→50	55	.265/.339/.427	.162	.296	16	17	16%	10%	119	+3.1	.257/.333/.411	.154	.307	15	13	20%	10%	113	+2.6	.274/.342/.411	.137	.325	13	9	19%	9%	113	+2.4
●Mark Teahen 2007 · MLB	25	54→60	51→55	57→50	52	.268/.335/.445	.177	.318	16	10	20%	9%	121	+3.2	.272/.334/.422	.150	.333	13	10	21%	8%	115	+2.8	.268/.329/.404	.136	.331	11	8	21%	8%	102	+1.9
★Aaron Rowand 2002 · MLB	24	52→61	49→55	51→50	53	.262/.346/.412	.150	.305	17	15	20%	10%	118	+3.0	.266/.318/.425	.159	.297	18	8	17%	6%	111	+2.5	.280/.345/.448	.168	.331	18	4	20%	7%	122	+3.3
●Adam Eaton 2012 · AA	23	57→66	44→45	53→55	50	.272/.355/.393	.122	.331	10	21	20%	8%	118	+3.0	.280/.351/.389	.109	.336	7	23	17%	8%	114	+2.7	.282/.355/.409	.127	.336	9	15	17%	8%	114	+2.9
★Adrian Beltré 2002 · MLB	23	54→64	51→65	50	51	.271/.329/.433	.162	.295	18	13	15%	8%	117	+2.9	.266/.317/.451	.185	.284	23	8	16%	7%	117	+2.9	.313/.369/.514	.201	.324	26	1	12%	7%	142	+5.0
●Bo Bichette 2020 · MLB	22	54→64	50→60	52→55	44	.267/.314/.431	.165	.324	15	20	22%	6%	110	+2.4	.282/.326/.461	.179	.337	20	19	22%	6%	123	+3.3	.305/.346/.482	.177	.358	22	13	20%	5%	135	+4.6
●A.J. Pierzynski 2001 · MLB	24	52→62	49→55	52→40	49	.261/.322/.411	.151	.293	16	10	17%	7%	108	+2.3	.284/.325/.430	.146	.317	11	4	14%	4%	114	+2.7	.291/.337/.432	.141	.309	11	2	9%	4%	112	+2.1
★Mookie Betts 2016 · MLB	23	55→63	50→65	57→55	53	.275/.335/.439	.164	.297	16	23	14%	8%	120	+3.1	.287/.351/.489	.202	.299	23	22	12%	9%	140	+4.5	.288/.382/.518	.231	.298	26	21	13%	13%	152	+6.0
●Howie Kendrick 2006 · AA	23	59→64	53→55	54→50	42	.295/.332/.482	.187	.330	19	18	17%	4%	131	+3.9	.295/.328/.452	.157	.343	13	15	18%	3%	121	+3.2	.283/.327/.442	.159	.325	15	15	17%	5%	114	+2.6
●Mark Kotsay 2001 · MLB	25	58→63	47→50	51→50	54	.282/.335/.427	.145	.291	13	18	9%	8%	117	+2.9	.284/.350/.432	.148	.310	13	14	12%	9%	124	+3.4	.289/.356/.430	.141	.319	13	8	13%	9%	122	+3.4
●Elijah Dukes 2007 · AAA	23	51	51→55	51→50	48	.258/.317/.421	.163	.298	18	15	20%	7%	109	+2.4	.243/.335/.417	.174	.287	19	14	21%	11%	115	+2.8	.236/.344/.412	.176	.277	18	13	21%	13%	114	+1.7
★Alex Gordon 2007 · AA	23	51→60	57→55	53→50	48	.261/.338/.465	.203	.319	25	16	26%	8%	129	+3.7	.252/.329/.425	.173	.308	18	13	23%	9%	115	+2.8	.274/.357/.453	.179	.334	17	10	22%	10%	130	+4.4
★Matt Kemp 2008 · MLB	23	57→65	52→65	57→55	42	.283/.322/.459	.176	.345	19	22	23%	5%	121	+3.2	.285/.335/.462	.177	.348	19	26	23%	7%	127	+3.6	.288/.356/.502	.214	.344	27	28	23%	9%	135	+4.7
★Nick Markakis 2008 · MLB	24	57→63	51→55	48→50	51	.286/.346/.455	.169	.321	18	9	17%	8%	129	+3.7	.294/.369/.463	.169	.330	16	9	15%	10%	141	+4.5	.294/.373/.453	.158	.330	14	7	14%	11%	133	+4.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)