JJ Wetherholt — OGILVIE

JJ WetherholtSS St. Louis Cardinals

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 190 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION407 act + 271 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†130

AVG/OBP/SLG.273 / .368 / .435

PA271

HR9

SB7

K%17

BB%10

BABIP307

ISO162

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 65 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT65

xwOBA

870.351

POWER52

Barrel%

437.3

Avg EV

6390.0

Bat Spd

5872.2

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED54

Sprint

5527.7

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2026 · 119 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

137

111

◀◀L

wOBA

365

331

◀L

ISO

188

125

◀◀L

BABIP

292

255

◀L

20.0%

19.0%

▶R

BB%

12.5%

12.7%

—

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.8M	+1.8	$14M	+$13M
2027	Ext	$5M	+5.1	$38M	+$33M
2028	Ext	$10M	+5.2	$36M	+$28M
2029	Ext	$14M	+5.2	$33M	+$23M
2030	Ext	$17M	+5.1	$30M	+$19M
2031	Ext	$19M	+4.8	$26M	+$15M
2032	Ext	$21M	+4.5	$23M	+$12M
2033	Ext	$24M	+4.2	$20M	+$8M
Totals		$111M		$220M	+$151M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	126	109	26	4	0	2	12	23	4	2	0	239	336	330	666	92	282	18	10	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	126	105	31	5	0	2	16	15	4	2	0	295	408	400	808	105	326	12	13	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	496	428	123	26	2	17	52	96	12	23	3	287	380	477	857	189	332	19	10	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	496	408	125	28	2	17	72	73	12	23	3	306	425	510	935	203	335	15	15	412	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	MLB	STL	—	407	351	91	10	0	13	40	64	14	9	0	259	358	399	757	140	283	16	10	336	115	+7	+2	+2	+1	+12	2.5
YTD	23	MLB	STL	—	407	351	91	10	0	13	40	64	14	9	0	259	358	399	757	140	283	16	10	343	121	+10	+2	+2	+1	+12	2.7
ROS	23	MLB	STL	100%	271	234	64	9	1	9	27	47	8	7	1	273	368	435	803	162	303	17	10	355	130	+9	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.9
ROS	23	MLB	STL	100%	271	234	64	9	1	9	27	47	8	7	1	274	368	436	804	162	303	17	10	334	114	+4	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.4
FULL	23	MLB	STL	—	678	585	155	19	1	22	67	111	22	16	1	265	362	414	776	149	292	16	10	335	115	+11	+3	+2	+2	+19	3.9
TOT	23	MLB	STL	—	678	585	155	19	1	22	67	111	22	16	1	265	362	413	775	149	292	16	10	344	121	+16	+3	+2	+2	+19	4.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	STL	100%	660	570	156	23	1	22	66	113	19	17	2	274	368	433	801	160	306	17	10	361	134	+26	+3	+0	+2	+19	5.0
2028	25	MLB	STL	100%	651	561	155	23	1	23	66	110	19	17	2	276	372	444	815	168	306	17	10	363	136	+27	+3	+0	+2	+18	5.1
2029	26	MLB	STL	100%	638	550	151	22	1	22	65	108	18	17	2	275	370	438	808	164	306	17	10	364	137	+27	+3	+0	+2	+18	5.1
2030	27	MLB	STL	100%	626	539	149	22	1	22	64	107	18	16	2	276	372	443	815	167	306	17	10	365	137	+26	+2	+0	+2	+18	5.0
2031	28	MLB	STL	100%	613	526	145	21	1	21	64	105	18	15	2	276	373	439	813	163	306	17	10	364	137	+25	+2	-1	+2	+17	4.7
2032	29	MLB	STL	100%	601	516	142	21	1	21	63	104	17	14	2	275	372	442	814	167	305	17	10	362	135	+24	+2	-1	+2	+17	4.5
2033	30	MLB	STL	100%	589	506	138	20	1	20	61	104	17	12	2	273	370	435	805	162	305	18	10	360	133	+22	+2	-2	+2	+17	4.1
2034	31	MLB	STL	100%	577	496	134	19	1	19	60	103	16	10	1	270	367	427	795	157	303	18	10	356	130	+20	+2	-3	+2	+16	3.8
2035	32	MLB	STL	100%	566	486	129	18	1	18	59	104	16	9	1	265	364	418	781	152	300	18	10	350	126	+17	+1	-3	+2	+16	3.4
2036	33	MLB	STL	100%	488	420	110	15	1	15	51	92	14	6	1	262	361	410	770	148	297	19	10	344	121	+12	+1	-4	+2	+14	2.4
2037	34	MLB	STL	96%	413	356	90	12	0	12	43	80	11	3	0	253	351	388	739	135	292	19	10	336	115	+7	+1	-5	+1	+12	1.6
2038	35	MLB	STL	91%	348	300	74	9	0	10	35	70	10	2	0	247	345	377	722	130	287	20	10	326	108	+3	+0	-6	+1	+10	0.9
2039	36	MLB	STL	82%	280	242	57	7	0	7	28	59	8	1	0	236	335	351	686	116	282	21	10	316	100	-0	+0	-6	+1	+8	0.3
2040	37	MLB	STL	73%	217	188	43	5	0	5	21	47	6	0	0	229	326	335	661	106	278	22	10	306	92	-2	+0	-7	+1	+6	-0.2
2041	38	MLB	STL	59%	149	130	29	3	0	3	14	33	4	0	0	223	318	315	633	92	274	22	9	296	85	-3	+0	-8	+1	+4	-0.6
2042	39	MLB	STL	45%	80	70	15	1	0	2	8	18	2	0	0	214	312	314	627	100	270	22	10	286	77	-2	+0	-8	+0	+2	-0.8
2027	24	MLB	STL	100%	660	570	156	23	1	22	66	113	19	17	2	274	368	433	801	160	306	17	10	339	118	+13	+3	+0	+2	+19	3.8
2028	25	MLB	STL	100%	651	561	155	23	1	23	66	110	19	17	2	276	372	444	815	168	306	17	10	342	120	+15	+3	+0	+2	+18	3.9
2029	26	MLB	STL	100%	638	550	151	22	1	22	65	108	18	17	2	275	370	438	808	164	306	17	10	343	121	+15	+3	+0	+2	+18	3.9
2030	27	MLB	STL	100%	626	539	149	22	1	22	64	107	18	16	2	276	372	443	815	167	306	17	10	343	121	+15	+2	+0	+2	+18	3.8
2031	28	MLB	STL	100%	613	526	145	21	1	21	64	105	18	15	2	276	373	439	813	163	306	17	10	342	120	+14	+2	-1	+2	+17	3.6
2032	29	MLB	STL	100%	601	516	142	21	1	21	63	104	17	14	2	275	372	442	814	167	305	17	10	341	119	+13	+2	-1	+2	+17	3.3
2033	30	MLB	STL	100%	589	506	138	20	1	20	61	104	17	12	2	273	370	435	805	162	305	18	10	338	117	+11	+2	-2	+2	+17	3.0
2034	31	MLB	STL	100%	577	496	134	19	1	19	60	103	16	10	1	270	367	427	795	157	303	18	10	335	114	+9	+2	-3	+2	+16	2.7
2035	32	MLB	STL	100%	566	486	129	18	1	18	59	104	16	9	1	265	364	418	781	152	300	18	10	329	110	+7	+1	-3	+2	+16	2.3
2036	33	MLB	STL	100%	488	420	110	15	1	15	51	92	14	6	1	262	361	410	770	148	297	19	10	323	105	+3	+1	-4	+2	+14	1.6
2037	34	MLB	STL	96%	394	339	86	11	0	12	41	77	11	3	0	254	353	392	745	139	292	20	10	315	99	-0	+1	-5	+1	+11	0.8
2038	35	MLB	STL	91%	317	273	67	8	0	9	32	64	9	2	0	245	344	374	718	128	287	20	10	306	92	-3	+0	-5	+1	+9	0.3
2039	36	MLB	STL	82%	230	199	47	5	0	6	23	48	6	1	0	236	333	352	685	116	282	21	10	296	85	-4	+0	-5	+1	+7	-0.2
2040	37	MLB	STL	73%	158	137	31	3	0	4	16	34	4	0	0	226	325	336	661	109	278	22	10	286	77	-4	+0	-5	+1	+4	-0.4
2041	38	MLB	STL	59%	88	77	17	2	0	2	9	20	2	0	0	221	318	325	643	104	274	23	10	276	70	-3	+0	-5	+0	+2	-0.5
2042	39	MLB	STL	45%	36	32	7	1	0	1	3	8	1	0	0	219	306	344	649	125	270	22	8	267	62	-2	+0	-4	+0	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7503	6461	1728	243	11	246	770	1348	213	146	18	267	364	423	787	155	302	18	10	332	112	+103	+22	-43	+27	+213	32.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	149	21	1	21	67	117	18	13	2	266	363	420	782	154	301	18	10	332	112	+9	+2	-4	+2	+18	2.8
Career	—			—	8389	7227	1930	280	13	270	859	1523	237	171	21	267	364	421	785	154	303	18	10	351	127	+257	+26	-54	+30	+238	50.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	150	22	1	21	67	118	18	13	2	268	364	423	788	155	304	18	10	351	127	+20	+2	-4	+2	+18	3.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	126	105	31	5	0	2	16	15	4	2	0	295	408	400	808	105	326	12	13	368	140	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	221	185	58	14	1	10	28	33	6	9	1	314	420	562	982	249	333	15	13	426	184	+21	+1	—	—	+6	2.9
2025	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	275	223	67	14	1	7	44	40	6	14	2	300	429	466	895	166	337	15	16	400	164	+20	+2	—	—	+8	3.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Utleylast yr '18 AS×6SS×4 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,863 PA	16	7,863	259	154	275	358	465	+28	+107	67.8	60.2
	/162	664	22	13	275	358	465	+2.4	+9.1	5.7	pk7: 53
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	8,301	272	169	270	362	427	+70	+33	60.2	49.0
	/162	664	22	14	270	362	427	+5.6	+2.6	4.8	pk7: 38
#2Victor Martinezlast yr '18 AS×5SS×2 career totals — 15 seasons, 8,130 PA	15	8,130	245	7	295	360	455	+31	+8	55.0	49.0
	/162	664	20	1	295	360	455	+2.5	+0.6	4.5	pk7: 43
#3Miguel Tejadalast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 8,020 PA	13	8,020	273	70	292	340	463	+43	+37	54.7	47.9
	/162	664	23	6	292	340	463	+3.5	+3.1	4.5	pk7: 41
#4Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	14	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.3
	/162	664	21	19	269	337	440	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#5Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	14	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
	/162	664	18	2	267	329	423	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#6Edgar Renterialast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,671 PA	12	6,671	117	168	286	344	409	+41	+45	38.1	34.4
	/162	664	12	17	286	344	409	+4.1	+4.4	3.8	pk7: 31

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JJ Wetherholt (OGILVIE)	23	62→65	49→52	54	65	265/362/413	149	292	22	16	16%	10%	121	+4.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Grady Sizemore 2006 · MLB	23	55→58	53→60	54→55	50	277/339/462	185	319	18	16	19%	8%	128	+3.7	281/370/493	212	328	21	21	20%	11%	148	+5.1	277/380/497	220	320	23	25	20%	12%	144	+6.0
●Jason Heyward 2013 · MLB	23	51→60	55	51→50	54	259/339/449	190	304	22	15	22%	10%	125	+3.5	266/344/422	156	306	16	14	18%	10%	120	+3.1	272/353/410	138	309	13	16	16%	10%	116	+2.7
★Francisco Lindor 2018 · MLB	24	55→61	53→65	52→55	53	279/338/462	183	294	20	14	14%	8%	128	+3.6	275/339/495	220	285	27	17	15%	8%	137	+4.3	263/343/476	213	287	27	26	19%	9%	132	+4.6
★Nick Markakis 2008 · MLB	24	57→63	51→55	48→50	52	288/349/460	172	321	18	10	16%	8%	131	+3.9	294/368/460	166	330	16	8	15%	10%	139	+4.4	293/371/449	157	328	14	7	14%	11%	132	+4.6
★Joe Mauer 2006 · MLB	23	58→68	46→50	54→50	59	285/361/423	138	308	13	13	12%	10%	127	+3.6	312/395/453	141	337	11	8	10%	12%	148	+5.1	336/419/495	159	354	15	2	9%	12%	156	+5.7
●Matt Murton 2006 · MLB	24	60→64	49→50	53→50	49	297/347/448	151	334	16	16	16%	7%	128	+3.6	282/344/425	143	314	14	8	14%	8%	120	+3.1	275/341/407	132	305	12	6	14%	8%	111	+1.9
●Jeremy Hermida 2006 · MLB	22	50→59	55	56→50	60	256/361/452	196	307	22	19	23%	13%	134	+4.1	260/342/426	166	320	17	9	23%	10%	120	+3.1	266/345/430	165	323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
●Ozzie Albies 2020 · MLB	23	55→59	53→60	55	48	276/327/465	189	307	19	14	17%	7%	124	+3.4	266/317/468	202	296	23	14	18%	7%	121	+3.2	262/317/477	215	282	26	13	18%	7%	121	+2.9
★Troy Tulowitzki 2008 · MLB	23	54→57	51→60	44→50	49	271/336/439	168	313	18	7	20%	8%	121	+3.2	275/348/467	192	304	21	10	17%	10%	133	+4.0	271/350/483	212	285	26	14	15%	10%	130	+3.7
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	55→60	51→50	56→55	43	272/338/433	162	329	18	21	22%	6%	121	+3.2	251/311/378	127	291	13	24	18%	5%	95	+1.4	238/299/349	111	274	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
●Austin Kearns 2003 · MLB	23	60→64	52→60	48→45	59	296/386/476	179	346	18	9	19%	12%	150	+5.2	265/354/460	195	318	23	7	23%	11%	134	+4.1	259/351/447	188	303	20	4	20%	11%	124	+3.6
★Ryan Zimmerman 2008 · MLB	23	55→60	53→65	44→45	52	276/336/463	187	309	19	6	18%	8%	127	+3.6	282/348/477	195	312	23	4	17%	9%	136	+4.2	293/370/493	200	322	24	3	17%	10%	141	+4.4
★Alex Gordon 2007 · AA	23	52→62	58→55	53→50	48	268/343/477	209	326	26	16	26%	8%	134	+4.1	253/330/425	172	309	18	13	23%	9%	115	+2.8	294/364/474	180	350	17	11	20%	9%	136	+5.0
●Howie Kendrick 2006 · AA	23	60→65	53→55	54→50	41	301/337/492	192	336	19	18	17%	3%	136	+4.2	296/328/448	152	346	13	15	18%	3%	120	+3.1	285/329/438	153	328	14	15	17%	5%	114	+2.6
●Kelly Johnson 2006 · MLB	24	49→58	52→55	53→50	56	250/333/426	176	287	18	10	20%	11%	116	+2.8	269/350/441	172	317	16	10	19%	11%	127	+3.6	265/340/443	178	310	17	11	19%	10%	121	+3.0
✕Gabriel Moreno 2023 · MLB	23	60	45	48→45	46	290/340/415	125	342	13	10	19%	6%	116	+2.8	272/337/394	122	323	12	8	18%	8%	109	+2.4	277/360/410	133	318	13	6	16%	11%	119	+1.6
★Manny Machado 2016 · MLB	24	53→59	54→65	46→50	51	271/331/447	176	293	22	12	16%	8%	121	+3.2	274/333/486	212	290	28	8	17%	8%	132	+4.0	285/353/514	229	308	31	8	18%	9%	140	+4.7
●Russell Martin 2008 · MLB	25	57→60	49→55	48→50	58	282/361/436	154	311	15	16	15%	10%	131	+3.9	268/363/385	117	301	12	14	14%	12%	118	+3.0	248/353/422	174	294	22	4	22%	12%	120	+2.6
●Carlos Correa 2019 · MLB	24	51→60	53→60	49→55	55	259/342/436	177	306	21	6	22%	11%	123	+3.3	260/339/451	191	305	23	3	22%	10%	126	+3.5	262/346/440	178	304	21	0	20%	11%	122	+3.2
★José Ramírez 2018 · MLB	25	59→64	54→65	53→60	54	298/353/499	201	307	19	18	11%	8%	144	+4.8	275/362/526	251	275	29	23	13%	11%	154	+5.5	272/355/502	230	273	27	22	12%	11%	129	+4.2