Danny Jansen — OGILVIE

Danny JansenC Texas Rangers

Age 31 R/R 6'2" / 240 lbs MLB Svc 7.291 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION142 act + 181 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 10396vR 80

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .307 / .361

PA181

HR6

K%25

BB%12

BABIP238

ISO161

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

887.1%

xwOBA

330.289

POWER45

Barrel%

447.3

Avg EV

2587.2

Bat Spd

4470.7

EYE60

Chase%

9019.2%

SPEED40

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 708 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

213

495

—

wRC+

111

◀◀L

wOBA

330

297

◀L

ISO

163

162

—

BABIP

264

235

◀L

25.8%

21.6%

▶▶R

BB%

17.8%

9.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 7.291 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+0.2	$1.0M	-$2M
2027	Ext	$7M	+0.3	$1M	-$5M
Totals		$10M		$2M	-$7M

Options · projected decision
2028	MUTUAL OPT	$7.2M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	MUTUAL OPT	$8.0M / $2.2M buyout	DECLINE
2030	MUTUAL OPT	$12.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2031	MUTUAL OPT	$7.2M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	140	122	24	3	0	0	13	14	2	0	0	197	285	221	506	25	216	10	9	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	140	114	28	4	0	0	21	10	2	0	0	246	372	281	653	35	262	7	15	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	146	130	27	7	0	4	10	24	6	2	1	208	295	354	648	146	225	16	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	146	124	35	10	0	5	16	17	6	2	1	282	390	484	874	202	294	12	11	390	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	2 teams	—	207	188	28	5	0	4	14	39	3	2	0	149	220	239	459	90	163	19	7	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	2 teams	—	207	181	38	9	0	5	21	27	3	2	0	210	302	343	645	133	219	13	10	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	2 teams	—	299	269	41	7	0	1	21	86	6	7	1	152	230	190	419	37	216	29	7	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	2 teams	—	299	259	61	7	2	1	31	50	6	7	1	236	331	290	621	54	284	17	10	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	3 teams	—	424	384	111	24	2	8	25	53	9	1	0	289	347	424	771	135	315	12	6	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	3 teams	—	424	368	119	25	2	10	41	40	9	1	0	323	404	484	888	160	339	9	10	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	455	390	95	24	1	12	42	77	18	5	1	244	344	403	747	159	272	17	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	455	379	102	27	1	15	53	66	18	5	1	269	384	464	849	195	288	15	12	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	384	347	72	12	1	13	31	79	4	0	1	207	280	360	640	153	230	21	8	281	73	-12	-0	+21	+7	+11	2.7
2019	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	384	347	72	12	1	13	31	79	4	0	1	207	280	360	640	153	230	21	8	287	78	-10	-0	+21	+7	+11	2.9
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	147	120	22	3	0	6	21	31	2	0	0	183	315	358	673	175	190	21	14	297	85	-2	+0	+3	+3	+4	0.8
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	147	120	22	3	0	6	21	31	2	0	0	183	315	358	673	175	190	21	14	301	88	-2	+0	+3	+3	+4	0.8
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	231	206	45	13	0	12	20	48	3	0	0	218	297	456	753	238	224	21	9	324	106	+2	+0	+7	+4	+7	2.0
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	231	205	46	13	0	12	21	47	3	0	0	224	306	463	769	239	231	20	9	336	115	+4	+0	+7	+4	+7	2.2
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	266	232	61	11	0	16	26	51	3	1	0	263	345	517	862	254	265	19	10	359	133	+10	+0	+6	+5	+8	2.9
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	266	232	61	11	0	16	26	50	3	1	0	263	345	517	862	254	263	19	10	370	142	+13	+0	+6	+5	+8	3.2
2023	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	301	268	61	15	0	17	23	62	10	0	0	228	312	474	786	246	233	21	8	339	118	+6	+0	+6	+5	+9	2.6
2023	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	301	268	61	15	0	17	23	62	10	0	0	228	312	474	786	246	233	21	8	346	123	+8	+0	+6	+5	+9	2.8
2024	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	324	278	55	12	0	9	40	61	3	0	0	198	305	338	643	140	218	19	12	288	78	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2024	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	324	278	57	13	0	9	40	61	3	0	0	205	312	349	660	144	227	19	12	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2025	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	337	288	63	11	0	15	42	86	4	0	0	219	326	413	740	194	254	26	12	326	108	+3	+0	+1	+6	+10	2.0
2025	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	337	288	62	11	0	14	42	86	4	0	0	215	323	399	723	184	253	26	12	323	106	+2	+0	+1	+6	+10	1.9
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	TEX	—	142	123	21	6	1	3	13	40	5	1	1	171	277	309	586	138	225	28	9	266	62	-6	-0	+1	+3	+4	0.1
YTD	31	MLB	TEX	—	142	123	21	6	1	3	13	40	5	1	1	171	277	309	586	138	225	28	9	269	64	-6	-0	+1	+3	+4	0.1
ROS	31	MLB	TEX	100%	181	155	31	7	0	6	21	45	3	1	0	200	307	361	669	161	235	25	12	307	93	-1	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.5
ROS	31	MLB	TEX	100%	181	155	31	7	0	6	21	45	3	1	0	200	307	361	669	161	237	25	12	294	83	-3	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.3
FULL	31	MLB	TEX	—	323	278	52	13	1	9	34	85	8	2	1	187	294	338	632	151	232	26	11	282	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
TOT	31	MLB	TEX	—	323	278	52	13	1	9	34	85	8	2	1	187	294	338	632	151	232	26	11	289	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	TEX	100%	304	259	50	11	0	10	36	76	6	1	1	193	306	351	657	158	232	25	12	301	89	-4	-0	-7	+5	+9	0.3
2028	33	MLB	TEX	100%	267	229	43	9	0	9	31	68	5	1	0	188	298	345	643	157	226	25	12	293	83	-5	+0	-7	+5	+8	0.0
2029	34	MLB	TEX	100%	220	189	34	7	0	7	25	58	4	0	0	180	289	328	617	148	218	26	11	283	75	-6	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.3
2030	35	MLB	TEX	100%	169	145	25	5	0	5	19	46	3	0	0	172	281	310	592	138	209	27	11	272	67	-6	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.6
2027	32	MLB	TEX	100%	304	259	51	11	0	10	36	76	6	1	1	197	309	355	664	158	233	25	12	289	79	-7	-0	-7	+5	+9	0.0
2028	33	MLB	TEX	100%	267	229	43	9	0	9	31	68	5	1	0	188	298	345	643	157	227	25	12	281	73	-8	+0	-7	+5	+8	-0.2
2029	34	MLB	TEX	100%	220	189	34	7	0	7	25	58	4	0	0	180	289	328	617	148	219	26	11	271	66	-8	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.6
2030	35	MLB	TEX	100%	169	145	25	5	0	5	19	46	3	0	0	172	281	310	592	138	211	27	11	260	58	-8	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3182	2758	575	122	1	125	340	717	54	4	2	208	307	389	697	181	233	23	11	308	94	-23	+0	+18	+64	+90	15.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	118	25	0	26	69	146	11	1	0	210	307	393	700	183	233	22	11	308	94	-5	+0	+4	+13	+18	3.1
Career	—			—	4802	4199	888	186	4	154	460	1004	94	21	5	211	303	368	671	156	239	21	10	297	86	-77	+2	+18	+86	+136	16.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	121	25	1	21	62	136	13	3	1	213	305	371	676	158	240	21	10	297	86	-10	+0	+2	+12	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	140	114	28	4	0	0	21	10	2	0	0	246	372	281	653	35	262	7	15	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2014	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	146	124	35	10	0	5	16	17	6	2	1	282	390	484	874	202	294	12	11	390	156	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2015	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	184	160	33	8	0	4	19	22	3	2	0	206	302	331	633	125	213	12	10	288	79	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2015	20	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	23	21	5	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	238	304	429	733	190	267	22	9	325	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2016	21	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	217	188	41	7	0	1	22	40	5	7	1	218	316	271	588	53	268	18	10	276	70	-7	+1	—	—	+6	-0.0
2016	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	82	71	20	0	2	0	9	10	1	0	0	282	370	338	708	56	323	12	11	324	106	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2017	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	78	67	22	4	1	3	11	7	0	0	0	328	423	552	975	224	333	9	14	427	185	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2017	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	210	179	52	15	1	2	22	19	5	1	0	291	383	419	802	128	311	9	10	356	131	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2017	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	136	122	45	6	0	5	8	14	4	0	0	369	425	541	966	172	385	10	6	422	181	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.7
2018	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	95	81	20	6	0	3	9	17	4	0	0	247	351	432	783	185	274	18	9	349	125	+3	+0	+3	+8	+3	1.7
2018	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	360	298	82	21	1	12	44	49	14	5	1	275	393	473	866	198	292	14	12	383	151	+21	+1	—	—	+10	3.2
2019	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	384	347	72	12	1	13	31	79	4	0	1	207	280	360	640	153	230	21	8	287	78	-10	-0	+21	+7	+11	2.9
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	147	120	22	3	0	6	21	31	2	0	0	183	315	358	673	175	190	21	14	301	88	-2	+0	+3	+3	+4	0.8
2021	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	205	184	41	13	0	11	17	44	3	0	0	223	299	473	772	250	233	21	8	337	116	+4	+0	+7	+4	+6	2.1
2021	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	26	21	5	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	0	238	360	381	741	143	222	12	15	327	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	248	215	56	10	0	15	25	44	3	1	0	260	346	516	862	256	255	18	10	370	141	+12	+0	+6	+5	+7	3.0
2022	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	18	17	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	294	333	529	863	235	400	33	6	377	146	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	301	268	61	15	0	17	23	62	10	0	0	228	312	474	786	246	233	21	8	346	123	+8	+0	+6	+5	+9	2.8
2024	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	324	278	57	13	0	9	40	61	3	0	0	205	312	349	660	144	227	19	12	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2025	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	337	288	62	11	0	14	42	86	4	0	0	215	323	399	723	184	253	26	12	323	106	+2	+0	+1	+6	+10	1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2041	1781	391	83	1	88	208	424	33	1	1	220	313	415	728	196	236	21	10	323	105	+12	-0	+48	+44	+58	16.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#3Jason LaRuelast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,000 PA	11	3,000	93	10	232	316	397	+32	+47	16.9	16.2
	/162	664	21	2	232	316	397	+7.1	+10.5	3.7	pk7: 15
#4Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	3,466	133	6	208	305	388	+56	+75	13.7	12.2
	/162	664	26	1	208	305	388	+10.7	+14.4	2.6	pk7: 11
#5Henry Blancolast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 2,779 PA	14	2,779	65	5	221	284	359	+27	+49	8.6	9.6
	/162	664	16	1	221	284	359	+6.6	+11.7	2.1	pk7: 11
#6Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Danny Jansen (OGILVIE)	31	40	45	40	60	187/294/338	151	232	9	2	26%	11%	79	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael McKenry 2016 · MLB	31	46→47	49→55	43→40	53	230/316/381	151	281	16	8	24%	10%	98	+1.6	203/297/330	127	279	12	6	29%	11%	78	+0.2	175/277/284	109	247	10	2	31%	11%	55	-0.6
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2015 · MLB	31	44→48	51→55	44→50	49	226/296/394	168	267	19	5	23%	8%	93	+1.3	214/280/366	152	263	16	7	25%	8%	79	+0.3	160/214/281	121	200	11	4	26%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→48	52→55	43→45	47	220/295/386	166	285	21	6	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/278/363	155	281	19	6	32%	8%	78	+0.2	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Curt Casali 2020 · MLB	31	48	48→50	40→30	49	243/310/381	138	294	16	3	23%	8%	95	+1.4	233/325/397	164	303	19	5	28%	11%	107	+2.2	213/320/302	89	284	9	0	25%	12%	78	+0.1
✕Iker Franco 2012 · AAA	31	46→47	50	40	50	239/297/387	148	261	19	3	18%	7%	92	+1.2	241/296/362	121	289	15	3	21%	7%	84	+0.6	269/322/355	86	324	10	1	19%	7%	90	+0.5
●Miguel Ojeda 2006 · MLB	31	41→51	49→50	41→45	52	215/293/358	143	246	18	5	21%	9%	82	+0.5	236/303/357	121	278	12	6	19%	8%	86	+0.8	257/322/406	148	293	17	7	18%	8%	104	+1.0
✕Travis Denker 2017 · AAA	31	44→51	50	43→45	51	226/297/382	156	250	18	3	18%	8%	91	+1.1	241/316/391	150	290	17	6	22%	9%	101	+1.8	254/339/400	146	307	18	0	22%	10%	114	+1.0
✕Kelly Stinnett 2001 · MLB	31	45	49→50	42→40	48	230/302/374	144	266	18	4	21%	8%	91	+1.1	242/318/403	161	302	19	6	25%	9%	105	+2.1	240/319/397	157	308	17	5	26%	9%	95	+0.4
✕Nick Hundley 2014 · MLB	30	45→46	49→55	40	45	229/288/378	149	279	17	3	25%	7%	85	+0.7	239/287/375	136	292	15	5	23%	6%	84	+0.6	241/291/409	168	298	18	1	25%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Corky Miller 2007 · MLB	31	40	56→50	41→40	48	220/301/405	185	238	25	4	21%	7%	99	+1.7	213/292/346	133	239	16	6	18%	7%	80	+0.4	220/292/338	118	257	12	0	19%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Tom Murphy 2022 · MLB	31	44→34	55→60	47→45	50	232/317/414	182	298	24	4	30%	11%	108	+2.3	249/327/436	187	327	23	5	29%	10%	117	+2.9	292/341/547	255	363	32	0	28%	6%	150	+1.4
●Robinson Chirinos 2016 · MLB	32	44→46	52→60	44→50	49	227/301/398	171	263	20	3	22%	8%	97	+1.5	236/330/449	213	284	26	4	26%	10%	122	+3.3	230/343/435	205	296	26	2	29%	11%	122	+2.1
✕Taylor Motter 2022 · MLB	32	44→50	52→55	47→55	51	228/308/399	171	279	20	4	26%	10%	99	+1.7	221/290/397	176	278	22	8	28%	9%	92	+1.2	202/272/375	174	250	23	8	29%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Elias Díaz 2022 · MLB	31	44→54	49→50	46→45	51	225/288/370	145	245	17	3	17%	8%	83	+0.6	225/281/352	127	267	14	2	21%	7%	76	+0.0	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3
●John Buck 2010 · MLB	30	45→53	53→60	39→30	47	233/301/415	182	280	20	3	25%	8%	101	+1.8	247/312/425	178	299	22	2	24%	8%	108	+2.3	238/313/408	170	286	22	0	24%	9%	98	+1.2
✕Tim Beckham 2021 · MLB	31	46→55	55	39→50	43	239/296/427	189	300	23	5	28%	7%	102	+1.9	256/306/420	164	331	21	7	28%	6%	105	+2.1	269/313/415	146	351	21	4	28%	5%	101	+0.5
✕Doug Mirabelli 2002 · MLB	31	45	54→50	48→30	57	235/334/418	183	277	22	4	23%	12%	115	+2.8	247/326/440	193	286	23	4	22%	9%	118	+3.0	254/330/459	206	291	25	0	22%	9%	123	+1.0
✕Jacob Wilson 2021 · AAA	31	47→48	51→55	46→40	47	241/303/404	163	288	19	6	24%	8%	98	+1.6	232/297/428	196	275	24	6	25%	7%	103	+1.9	215/288/439	225	240	27	0	24%	8%	100	+0.9
✕Alex Gonzalez 2005 · MLB	32	45→50	51→55	41→45	47	231/288/396	165	267	18	5	21%	7%	90	+1.0	240/294/377	137	287	14	6	21%	7%	88	+0.9	265/321/404	138	314	14	3	19%	7%	102	+1.2
✕Henry Blanco 2003 · MLB	31	43	46→50	40	52	215/289/353	138	251	13	4	20%	9%	79	+0.3	213/271/346	133	236	14	3	16%	7%	70	-0.3	256/311/393	137	293	14	0	18%	7%	93	+0.4