Brian O'Keefe — OGILVIE

Brian O'KeefeC Tacoma Rainiers

Age 33 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION150 act + 122 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .256 / .330

PA122

HR3

K%29

BB%7

BABIP253

ISO134

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2023

CONTACT25

Whiff%

1023.2%

xwOBA

100.173

POWER45

Avg EV

1078.6

Bat Spd

4070.2

EYE45

Chase%

6828.1%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.5M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	143	130	31	6	0	4	8	43	3	0	0	238	298	377	675	138	318	30	6	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	143	125	35	8	0	5	13	31	3	0	0	280	362	464	826	184	330	22	9	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A	2 teams	—	452	394	83	23	2	9	47	107	7	1	1	211	306	348	654	137	262	24	10	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A	2 teams	—	452	381	96	27	2	13	60	83	7	1	1	252	364	436	800	184	287	18	13	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	411	382	79	16	0	12	25	111	1	7	3	207	257	343	600	136	256	27	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	411	373	97	20	0	15	34	89	1	7	3	260	324	434	758	174	301	22	8	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	288	256	58	25	0	7	27	65	4	0	0	227	310	406	716	180	276	23	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	288	243	59	23	0	6	40	49	4	0	0	243	359	412	770	169	280	17	14	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	346	311	57	6	0	9	27	94	4	1	1	183	257	289	547	106	227	27	8	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	346	301	69	9	0	13	37	71	4	1	1	229	322	389	710	159	255	21	11	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA	2 teams	—	456	425	102	12	1	24	29	162	2	4	2	240	292	442	734	202	326	36	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA	2 teams	—	456	406	109	14	1	24	48	131	2	4	2	268	349	485	834	217	339	29	11	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	327	71	22	2	8	21	99	4	1	1	217	273	370	643	153	286	28	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	316	80	19	2	13	32	80	4	1	1	253	330	449	779	196	300	23	9	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA	2 teams	—	424	387	69	24	0	13	33	129	2	2	3	178	246	341	588	163	227	30	8	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA	2 teams	—	424	372	86	27	0	23	48	106	2	2	3	231	322	489	812	258	257	25	11	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	255	58	11	0	13	21	69	0	0	1	227	286	424	710	196	254	25	8	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	242	68	12	0	18	34	55	0	0	1	281	370	554	923	273	289	20	12	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	149	17	4	0	3	12	51	0	2	0	114	180	201	381	87	147	31	7	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	146	23	5	0	4	15	43	0	2	0	158	236	274	510	116	192	27	9	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	AAA	SEA	—	150	141	25	8	0	3	9	50	0	1	0	177	227	298	525	121	250	33	6	230	34	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
YTD	33	AAA	SEA	—	150	137	33	11	0	4	13	39	0	1	0	241	307	409	715	168	309	26	9	319	102	+0	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.8
ROS	33	AAA	SEA	10%	122	112	22	6	0	3	9	35	0	1	0	196	256	330	587	134	258	29	7	271	66	-5	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	33	MLB	SEA	10%	12	11	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	273	523	91	256	25	8	266	62	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	33	AAA	SEA	—	162	152	27	9	0	3	10	53	0	1	0	178	228	296	524	118	250	33	6	233	36	-12	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.4
TOT	33	AAA	SEA	—	272	253	47	14	0	6	18	85	0	2	0	186	240	312	552	126	252	31	7	248	48	-16	+0	-0	+5	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	SEA	6%	202	185	36	9	0	5	15	59	0	1	0	195	255	324	579	130	255	29	7	267	62	-9	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.4
2028	35	MLB	SEA	1%	152	140	27	6	0	4	11	45	0	1	0	193	252	321	573	129	251	30	7	260	57	-7	+0	-6	+3	+4	-0.6
2027	34	MLB	SEA	6%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		253	27	9	262	58	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
2028	35	MLB	SEA	1%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						248	50	0	255	53	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	46	42	5	3	0	0	4	14	0	0	0	119	196	190	386	71	179	30	9	229	34	-3	+0	-1	+8	+1	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	70	42	0	0	57	198	0	0	0	118	195	189	384	71	177	30	9	229	34	-49	+0	-11	+113	+18	7.4
Career	—			—	3790	3453	710	170	5	114	285	1069	27	21	12	206	271	357	628	151	260	28	8	275	69	-134	-1	-12	+68	+107	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	122	29	1	20	49	183	5	4	2	206	273	360	633	154	260	28	8	275	69	-23	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	143	125	35	8	0	5	13	31	3	0	0	280	362	464	826	184	330	22	9	363	136	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2016	23	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	32	24	4	2	0	0	8	5	0	0	0	167	375	250	625	83	211	16	25	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2016	23	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	420	357	92	25	2	13	52	78	7	1	1	258	363	448	811	190	293	19	12	359	133	+16	-0	—	—	+12	2.8
2017	24	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	411	373	97	20	0	15	34	89	1	7	3	260	324	434	758	174	301	22	8	334	114	+7	+0	—	—	+12	1.9
2018	25	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	288	243	59	23	0	6	40	49	4	0	0	243	359	412	770	169	280	17	14	347	124	+8	+0	—	—	+8	1.6
2019	26	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	346	301	69	9	0	13	37	71	4	1	1	229	322	389	710	159	255	21	11	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+10	1.0
2021	28	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	248	217	55	7	0	13	31	72	0	1	1	253	347	465	812	212	318	29	12	360	134	+9	-0	—	—	+7	1.7
2021	28	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	208	189	54	7	1	11	17	59	2	3	1	286	351	508	859	222	361	28	8	377	147	+11	+0	—	—	+6	1.7
2022	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	316	80	19	2	13	32	80	4	1	1	253	330	449	779	196	300	23	9	345	122	+9	-0	—	—	+10	1.9
2023	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	21	19	2	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	105	190	211	401	105	167	33	10	189	3	-2	+0	-0	+8	+1	0.6
2023	30	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	403	353	84	25	0	23	46	99	2	2	3	238	329	504	833	266	262	25	11	363	136	+16	-1	—	—	+11	2.7
2024	31	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	242	68	12	0	18	34	55	0	0	1	281	370	554	923	273	289	20	12	396	161	+19	-0	—	—	+8	2.8
2025	32	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	146	23	5	0	4	15	43	0	2	0	158	236	274	510	116	192	27	9	234	37	-12	+0	—	—	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	21	19	2	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	105	190	211	401	105	167	33	10	189	3	-2	+0	-0	+8	+1	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brian O'Keefe (OGILVIE)	33	25	45	45	45	186/240/312	126	252	6	2	31%	7%	48	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	41→37	48→50	45	46	208/290/355	147	272	16	5	29%	8%	81	+0.4	196/274/370	174	253	22	6	31%	7%	79	+0.3	152/237/329	176	180	24	1	32%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Chad Moeller 2008 · MLB	33	40	45→50	41→30	42	207/262/327	120	257	14	4	25%	6%	62	-0.9	214/267/319	105	267	9	4	22%	6%	61	-1.0	206/259/298	92	257	5	0	21%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2015 · MLB	32	36	46→45	47→40	39	193/249/313	121	249	16	4	30%	5%	53	-1.5	214/268/326	112	275	13	6	26%	6%	63	-0.8	207/263/279	72	262	8	0	23%	7%	48	-0.7
✕Joe Hudson 2023 · MLB	32	36	50→45	48→40	42	196/258/342	146	266	20	6	34%	8%	64	-0.8	200/290/341	141	308	18	9	38%	10%	78	+0.2	186/300/317	131	286	17	10	37%	12%	74	-0.0
✕Brett Hayes 2015 · MLB	31	37	51→45	50→40	35	203/237/357	154	262	19	7	31%	4%	59	-1.1	182/223/291	109	243	12	5	30%	4%	35	-2.8	151/193/229	78	208	8	0	31%	4%	3	-1.5
✕Anthony Recker 2017 · MLB	33	42→48	48→55	48→45	48	212/293/354	143	279	16	5	29%	9%	82	+0.5	207/271/347	140	282	15	5	31%	7%	70	-0.3	185/243/323	138	252	16	1	33%	5%	50	-0.8
✕Cody Ransom 2009 · MLB	33	39→42	54→55	48→50	44	213/277/392	179	263	23	11	29%	7%	85	+0.7	220/281/396	176	280	21	10	29%	7%	88	+0.9	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2017 · MLB	33	44→45	45	46→40	45	223/273/345	122	255	13	5	19%	6%	70	-0.3	198/263/301	103	257	9	4	25%	7%	55	-1.4	174/245/259	85	236	6	1	27%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Paul Hoover 2009 · MLB	33	45	44→45	43→45	40	224/271/339	115	298	12	5	28%	5%	68	-0.5	222/276/315	93	306	6	4	28%	6%	63	-0.8	221/279/301	80	307	3	1	27%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Mike Rivera 2009 · MLB	32	42	52→55	44→45	43	221/269/380	158	248	21	9	21%	5%	79	+0.3	212/286/334	122	277	12	7	26%	8%	74	-0.1	192/275/296	104	262	10	4	28%	9%	55	-0.5
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	39	49→50	44→45	37	207/267/349	142	269	18	6	30%	4%	70	-0.3	215/276/333	118	299	13	8	31%	6%	69	-0.4	175/246/242	68	254	8	0	32%	6%	34	-0.6
✕Anthony Bemboom 2023 · MLB	33	41	46→45	48→45	46	209/278/336	127	264	14	5	26%	8%	70	-0.3	214/282/331	117	278	11	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	202/279/310	107	265	9	1	25%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	33	40→42	50→55	46→40	38	207/270/354	148	299	19	4	36%	7%	72	-0.2	208/261/317	109	306	12	4	34%	6%	58	-1.2	209/258/315	106	305	11	1	34%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2014 · MLB	32	45	47→50	47→50	44	226/284/365	139	286	14	4	26%	6%	80	+0.4	218/259/318	100	285	9	4	26%	4%	56	-1.3	205/237/302	97	277	10	0	29%	3%	39	-1.1
✕Francisco Peña 2021 · MLB	31	43→46	51→55	48→40	41	229/267/387	159	267	20	7	24%	5%	79	+0.3	210/260/392	182	238	26	6	25%	5%	79	+0.3	180/232/364	185	186	30	1	25%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Chris Truby 2006 · MLB	32	39→43	51→50	41→45	43	209/255/364	155	246	19	4	25%	6%	68	-0.5	206/253/328	122	267	13	9	27%	5%	57	-1.2	179/230/277	99	235	9	11	28%	5%	32	-1.8
✕Mike DiFelice 2002 · MLB	33	43	45→50	45→30	43	217/268/339	122	262	12	5	22%	6%	66	-0.6	229/289/360	131	271	12	5	19%	7%	81	+0.4	220/283/361	141	261	15	1	21%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Jonathan Aceves 2011 · AAA	33	41	47→55	40→30	42	214/255/340	127	255	16	4	24%	5%	62	-0.9	222/270/373	151	275	18	5	26%	6%	77	+0.1	237/309/355	118	285	13	1	21%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Bryan Holaday 2021 · MLB	33	47	44→45	43→40	50	232/301/350	118	268	12	6	18%	8%	84	+0.6	230/290/403	173	279	21	8	25%	7%	93	+1.3	199/253/410	211	225	28	4	27%	5%	82	+0.1
✕David Matranga 2009 · AAA	32	42	46→45	49→50	42	213/278/339	126	281	14	10	29%	6%	72	-0.2	223/303/350	127	303	13	9	28%	9%	85	+0.7	209/311/324	115	287	11	5	28%	10%	82	+0.2