Brian O'Keefe — OGILVIE

Brian O'KeefeC Tacoma Rainiers

Age 33 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA K +7%HR -5% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION150 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%5

BABIP256

ISO211

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2023

CONTACT25

Whiff%

1023.2%

xAVG

100.111

POWER45

Avg EV

1078.6

Bat Spd

4070.2

EYE45

Chase%

6828.1%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.5M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	143	125	35	8	0	5	13	31	3	0	0	280	362	464	826	184	330	22	9	363	132	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2016	23	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	32	24	4	2	0	0	8	5	0	0	0	167	375	250	625	83	211	16	25	311	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2016	23	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	420	357	92	25	2	13	52	78	7	1	1	258	363	448	811	190	293	19	12	359	129	+15	-0	—	—	+9	2.4
2017	24	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	411	373	97	20	0	15	34	89	1	7	3	260	324	434	758	174	301	22	8	334	112	+6	+0	—	—	+9	1.6
2018	25	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	288	243	59	23	0	6	40	49	4	0	0	243	359	412	770	169	280	17	14	347	121	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2019	26	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	346	301	69	9	0	13	37	71	4	1	1	229	322	389	710	159	255	21	11	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+7	0.8
2021	28	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	248	217	55	7	0	13	31	72	0	1	1	253	347	465	812	212	318	29	12	360	130	+9	-0	—	—	+5	1.4
2021	28	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	208	189	54	7	1	11	17	59	2	3	1	286	351	508	859	222	361	28	8	377	142	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2022	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	316	80	19	2	13	32	80	4	1	1	253	330	449	779	196	300	23	9	345	120	+8	-0	—	—	+8	1.6
2023	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	21	19	2	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	105	190	211	401	105	167	33	10	189	14	-2	+0	-0	+8	+0	0.6
2023	30	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	403	353	84	25	0	23	46	99	2	2	3	238	329	504	833	266	262	25	11	363	131	+15	-1	—	—	+9	2.4
2024	31	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	242	68	12	0	18	34	55	0	0	1	281	370	554	923	273	289	20	12	396	154	+18	-0	—	—	+6	2.4
2025	32	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	146	23	5	0	4	15	43	0	2	0	158	236	274	510	116	192	27	9	234	44	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	21	19	2	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	105	190	211	401	105	167	33	10	189	14	-2	+0	-0	+8	+0	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	143	130	30	6	0	4	8	42	3	0	0	231	291	369	660	138	305	29	6	291	83	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2016	23	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	32	26	4	2	0	0	6	7	0	0	0	154	312	231	543	77	199	22	19	255	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2016	23	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	420	371	79	20	2	10	38	102	7	1	1	213	298	358	657	146	258	24	9	286	80	-10	-0	—	—	+9	-0.1
2017	24	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	411	383	80	16	0	12	24	116	1	7	3	209	257	345	602	136	260	28	6	261	63	-18	+0	—	—	+9	-0.9
2018	25	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	288	255	55	23	0	6	28	67	4	0	0	216	303	376	680	161	269	23	10	301	90	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.3
2019	26	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	346	312	59	7	0	9	26	88	4	1	1	189	260	298	558	109	224	25	8	248	54	-19	-0	—	—	+7	-1.2
2021	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	248	227	48	6	0	9	21	87	0	1	1	211	278	357	635	145	294	35	8	276	73	-8	-0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2021	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	208	196	47	6	1	9	10	71	2	3	1	240	284	418	702	179	323	34	5	300	89	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2022	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	326	66	17	2	8	22	101	4	1	1	202	261	340	602	138	268	29	6	265	65	-14	-0	—	—	+8	-0.7
2023	30	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	21	19	2	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	105	190	211	401	105	167	33	10	189	14	-2	+0	-0	+8	+0	0.6
2023	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	403	368	66	20	0	15	31	125	2	2	3	179	247	356	603	177	222	31	8	265	65	-17	-1	—	—	+9	-0.9
2024	31	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	254	56	10	0	12	22	67	0	0	1	220	283	402	684	181	244	24	8	295	86	-5	-0	—	—	+6	0.1
2025	32	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	150	18	4	0	3	11	51	0	2	0	120	180	207	387	87	156	31	7	172	3	-19	+0	—	—	+4	-1.5
2015	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	143	130	30	6	0	4	8	42	3	0	0	231	291	369	660	138	302	29	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	143	125	35	8	0	5	13	31	3	0	0	280	362	464	826	184	330	22	9	363	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	452	397	83	22	2	10	44	110	7	1	1	209	299	350	649	141	260	24	10	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	452	381	96	27	2	13	60	83	7	1	1	252	364	436	800	184	287	18	13	356	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	411	383	80	16	0	12	24	116	1	7	3	209	257	345	602	136	264	28	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	411	373	97	20	0	15	34	89	1	7	3	260	324	434	758	174	301	22	8	334	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	288	255	55	23	0	6	28	67	4	0	0	216	303	376	680	161	268	23	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A+ RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	288	243	59	23	0	6	40	49	4	0	0	243	359	412	770	169	280	17	14	347	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	346	312	59	7	0	9	26	88	4	1	1	189	260	298	558	109	229	25	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	346	301	69	9	0	13	37	71	4	1	1	229	322	389	710	159	255	21	11	318	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	456	423	95	12	1	18	31	158	2	4	2	225	281	385	666	161	312	35	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	456	406	109	14	1	24	48	131	2	4	2	268	349	485	834	217	339	29	11	368	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	326	66	17	2	8	22	101	4	1	1	202	261	340	602	138	267	29	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	316	80	19	2	13	32	80	4	1	1	253	330	449	779	196	300	23	9	345	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	387	68	22	0	15	33	132	2	2	3	176	244	349	593	173	219	31	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	424	372	86	27	0	23	48	106	2	2	3	231	322	489	812	258	257	25	11	354	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	254	56	10	0	12	22	67	0	0	1	220	283	402	684	181	246	24	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	242	68	12	0	18	34	55	0	0	1	281	370	554	923	273	289	20	12	396	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	150	18	4	0	3	11	51	0	2	0	120	180	207	387	87	156	31	7	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	146	23	5	0	4	15	43	0	2	0	158	236	274	510	116	192	27	9	234	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	143	131	30	6	0	4	8	42	3	0	0	229	291	366	657	137	305	29	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	452	398	83	22	2	10	44	110	7	1	1	209	299	349	648	141	254	24	10	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	411	383	80	16	0	12	24	116	1	7	3	209	257	345	602	136	260	28	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	288	254	55	23	0	6	28	67	4	0	0	217	303	378	681	161	269	23	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	346	313	59	7	0	9	26	88	4	1	1	188	260	297	557	109	224	25	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	456	420	95	12	1	18	31	158	2	4	2	226	281	388	669	162	307	35	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	323	66	17	2	8	22	101	4	1	1	204	261	344	605	139	268	29	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	386	68	22	0	15	33	132	2	2	3	176	244	350	594	174	219	31	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	256	56	10	0	12	22	67	0	0	1	219	283	398	681	180	244	24	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	150	18	4	0	3	11	51	0	2	0	120	180	207	387	87	156	31	7	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	386	68	22	0	15	33	132	2	2	3	176	244	350	594	174	219	31	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	280	256	56	10	0	12	22	67	0	0	1	219	283	398	681	180	244	24	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	162	150	18	4	0	3	11	51	0	2	0	120	180	207	387	87	156	31	7	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	33	AAA MLE	SEA	—	150	141	25	8	0	3	9	50	0	1	0	177	227	298	525	121	250	33	6	230	42	-10	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	AAA RAW	SEA	—	150	137	33	11	0	4	13	39	0	1	0	241	307	409	715	168	309	26	9	319	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	33	AAA MLE	SEA	10%	20	19	4	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	211	250	421	671	211	259	30	5	269	68	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	33	MLB CTX	SEA	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						256	50	0	265	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	33	MLB A+C	SEA	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	265	45	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	33	AAA MLE	SEA	—	170	160	29	9	0	4	10	56	0	1	0	181	229	312	542	131	250	33	6	235	45	-11	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	SEA	6%	202	185	37	9	0	5	15	59	0	1	0	200	260	330	590	130	255	29	7	265	65	-8	+0	-5	+4	+4	-0.5
2027	34	MLB CTX	SEA	6%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		253	27	9	260	65	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	34	31	3	2	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	97	176	161	338	65	150	32	9	216	69	-3	+0	-1	+8	+1	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	57	38	0	0	57	210	0	0	0	96	175	160	336	64	149	32	9	216	69	-51	+0	-13	+149	+14	10.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3536	3221	651	149	5	103	265	997	27	19	12	202	268	347	616	145	256	28	7	270	69	-11	+0	-6	+12	+5	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	119	27	1	19	49	183	5	3	2	201	268	346	615	145	254	28	8	270	69	-30	+1	-15	+31	+14	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brian O'Keefe (OGILVIE)	33	25	45	45	45	200/258/342	142	259	8	2	29%	7%	68	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	41→39	49→50	45	46	211/294/364	153	274	17	5	29%	8%	87	+0.4	196/275/365	169	254	21	6	31%	8%	80	-0.1	152/236/318	166	182	22	1	31%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Joe Hudson 2023 · MLB	32	36	48→45	48→40	43	194/262/329	135	266	18	6	33%	8%	67	-1.1	195/287/324	129	303	16	9	38%	10%	76	-0.4	178/290/292	114	274	14	10	37%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Chad Moeller 2008 · MLB	33	41	45→50	41→30	43	207/264/328	120	257	14	4	25%	6%	67	-1.1	214/269/319	105	267	9	4	22%	6%	66	-1.1	207/259/298	91	257	5	0	21%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	40	49→50	44→45	38	209/271/353	144	270	18	6	30%	5%	76	-0.4	215/281/334	119	302	13	8	31%	6%	75	-0.5	169/242/238	68	248	8	0	33%	6%	39	-0.6
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2015 · MLB	32	36	45→40	47→40	40	192/249/302	111	247	14	4	29%	6%	55	-1.9	214/271/325	111	272	13	6	25%	6%	69	-0.9	208/264/284	77	259	8	0	22%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Cody Ransom 2009 · MLB	33	39→42	53→55	48→50	44	210/275/381	171	263	21	11	29%	8%	84	+0.1	217/280/381	164	279	19	10	28%	8%	85	+0.2	213/295/416	202	288	25	6	34%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Mike DiFelice 2002 · MLB	33	43	45→50	45→30	43	217/268/339	122	262	12	5	22%	6%	70	-0.8	229/289/360	131	271	12	5	19%	7%	83	+0.1	216/281/336	120	265	11	2	22%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2015 · AAA	33	44	44→45	46→40	41	222/272/332	110	287	12	6	27%	6%	70	-0.8	216/265/308	92	308	8	5	31%	5%	62	-1.4	202/251/278	76	295	6	1	32%	5%	46	-0.8
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2014 · MLB	32	44	46→50	47→50	44	223/282/357	134	282	14	4	26%	7%	80	-0.1	218/261/317	99	285	9	4	26%	5%	62	-1.4	208/241/304	96	280	10	0	29%	3%	49	-1.1
✕Mike Rivera 2009 · MLB	32	42	52→55	44→45	43	222/270/380	159	249	21	9	21%	5%	82	-0.0	213/288/334	121	278	12	7	26%	8%	78	-0.3	192/274/295	103	262	9	4	29%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2017 · MLB	33	45→43	46→45	46→40	45	228/279/354	126	261	14	5	19%	6%	78	-0.3	197/262/299	102	258	9	4	26%	7%	59	-1.6	170/241/252	82	234	6	1	28%	6%	40	-1.3
✕Corky Miller 2008 · MLB	32	41	48→50	48→40	49	209/296/346	136	232	16	7	18%	7%	84	+0.1	216/291/333	117	250	12	5	19%	7%	78	-0.3	216/287/325	108	253	11	0	18%	7%	73	-0.2
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	33	42→45	50→55	46→40	40	216/281/366	150	302	19	4	34%	7%	82	+0.0	219/272/333	114	310	12	4	32%	6%	71	-0.8	221/269/330	109	312	11	1	31%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Anthony Bemboom 2023 · MLB	33	40	44→40	48→45	47	202/273/320	118	257	12	5	26%	8%	69	-0.9	214/283/321	107	283	9	5	26%	8%	72	-0.7	206/282/300	94	276	6	1	26%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Jose Lobatón 2018 · MLB	33	41	47→45	47→30	52	211/289/341	130	245	16	4	21%	9%	79	-0.2	214/279/357	143	280	16	4	28%	8%	79	-0.2	197/260/335	139	264	16	2	31%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Anthony Recker 2017 · MLB	33	42→49	48→50	48→45	48	212/294/355	143	282	16	5	30%	10%	84	+0.2	210/277/351	141	288	15	5	31%	7%	77	-0.3	192/252/333	141	263	15	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕David Matranga 2009 · AAA	32	42	46→45	49→50	42	214/280/340	126	282	14	10	29%	7%	76	-0.4	224/307/351	127	305	13	9	28%	9%	88	+0.5	209/311/324	115	287	11	5	28%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Dusty Wathan 2007 · AAA	33	45	45→40	45→40	44	226/293/342	115	268	13	5	21%	6%	81	-0.1	236/299/326	90	288	7	8	19%	5%	80	-0.2	252/314/308	56	309	0	6	17%	4%	78	-0.1
✕Jonathan Aceves 2011 · AAA	33	42	45→50	40→30	42	213/258/328	114	261	13	4	24%	5%	63	-1.3	223/274/360	137	279	15	5	25%	6%	78	-0.3	243/313/353	111	291	12	1	20%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Chris Truby 2006 · MLB	32	39→43	51→50	41→45	43	210/257/365	155	247	19	4	25%	6%	73	-0.6	206/254/322	116	268	12	9	27%	6%	61	-1.5	176/227/266	90	234	8	11	28%	5%	36	-2.1