Alex Verdugo — OGILVIE

Alex VerdugoLF Atlanta Braves

Age 30 L/L 6'0" / 209 lbs MLB Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 429 proj PA

wRC+†vL 5873vR 79

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .312 / .373

PA429

HR8

K%15

BB%8

ISO124

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT55

Whiff%

905.7%

xwOBA

570.316

POWER40

Barrel%

255.0

Avg EV

4788.9

Bat Spd

1367.4

EYE60

Chase%

7726.4%

SPEED40

Sprint

2226.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 834 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

223

611

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

261

289

▶R

ISO

046

125

▶▶R

BABIP

253

263

▶R

16.6%

14.2%

▶R

BB%

9.9%

6.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.2	$0.6M	-$0.6M
Totals		$1M		$0.6M	-$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	216	198	56	12	2	2	12	26	4	11	0	283	336	394	730	111	314	12	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	216	190	67	15	3	3	20	18	4	11	0	353	425	511	936	158	374	8	9	411	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	2 teams	—	540	520	134	24	3	9	13	84	2	14	5	258	279	367	646	110	291	16	2	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	2 teams	—	540	512	158	32	4	9	21	65	2	14	5	309	338	439	778	131	338	12	4	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	AA	2 teams	—	576	535	137	26	1	12	33	95	4	2	6	256	304	376	680	120	289	16	6	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	AA	2 teams	—	576	520	136	25	2	13	48	75	4	2	6	262	329	392	721	131	282	13	8	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AAA	2 teams	—	520	473	130	21	3	6	37	68	4	9	4	275	333	370	703	95	307	13	7	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AAA	2 teams	—	520	456	140	27	4	7	54	54	4	9	4	307	385	430	815	123	333	10	10	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA	2 teams	—	465	432	121	21	0	8	30	78	1	8	2	280	328	384	713	104	326	17	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA	2 teams	—	465	420	133	25	0	11	42	61	1	8	2	317	380	455	835	138	350	13	9	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	377	343	104	23	2	13	26	49	2	4	1	303	356	496	851	192	317	13	7	363	136	+15	+0	+3	+1	+11	3.1
2019	23	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	377	343	101	22	2	12	26	49	2	4	1	294	348	475	823	181	309	13	7	358	132	+14	+0	+3	+1	+11	2.9
2020	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	221	201	59	14	0	6	17	45	2	4	0	294	355	453	807	159	351	20	8	351	127	+7	+1	+2	-2	+6	1.4
2020	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	221	201	62	16	0	6	17	45	2	4	0	308	368	478	846	169	371	20	8	374	144	+11	+1	+2	-2	+6	1.8
2021	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	604	544	151	29	2	13	51	96	4	6	2	278	344	410	754	132	314	16	8	325	107	+5	+0	-6	-6	+17	1.0
2021	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	604	544	157	32	2	13	51	96	4	6	2	289	354	426	780	138	327	16	8	347	124	+16	+0	-6	-6	+17	2.2
2022	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	644	593	159	35	1	11	42	86	3	1	3	268	320	386	706	118	295	13	7	308	94	-5	-1	-7	-7	+18	-0.1
2022	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	644	593	166	39	1	11	42	86	3	1	3	280	331	405	735	125	309	13	7	326	108	+6	-1	-7	-7	+18	0.9
2023	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	602	546	138	33	6	13	45	93	6	5	3	253	317	407	723	154	281	15	7	315	100	-0	-0	-2	-6	+17	0.8
2023	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	602	546	144	37	5	13	45	93	6	5	3	264	327	421	748	158	294	15	7	331	111	+8	-0	-2	-6	+17	1.6
2024	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	621	559	128	27	1	12	49	93	1	2	1	229	292	345	638	116	250	15	8	280	73	-19	+0	-1	-7	+18	-0.9
2024	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	621	559	130	28	1	13	49	93	1	2	1	233	296	356	652	123	253	15	8	289	79	-15	+0	-1	-7	+18	-0.5
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	246	228	53	11	0	2	16	36	2	2	0	232	289	307	596	75	268	15	7	267	63	-10	+0	-5	-3	+7	-1.1
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	246	226	53	11	0	2	18	35	2	2	0	235	297	310	606	75	270	14	7	279	71	-8	+0	-5	-3	+7	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	ATL	—	429	390	99	21	2	8	33	66	3	3	1	254	317	379	696	126	283	15	8	309	94	-3	+0	+0	-5	+12	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	ATL	100%	609	555	137	29	2	11	46	95	3	4	1	247	308	366	674	119	280	16	8	304	91	-7	+0	-2	-7	+17	0.2
2028	32	MLB	ATL	100%	596	543	131	27	2	10	45	95	3	3	1	241	303	354	656	112	275	16	8	296	85	-10	+0	-3	-6	+17	-0.2
2027	31	MLB	ATL	100%	609	555	137	29	2	11	46	95	3	4	1	247	308	366	674	119	280	16	8	299	87	-9	+0	-2	-7	+17	0.0
2028	32	MLB	ATL	100%	596	543	131	27	2	10	45	95	3	3	1	241	303	354	656	112	275	16	8	292	82	-12	+0	-3	-6	+17	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4598	4181	1099	246	15	91	345	701	26	30	13	263	323	394	717	131	294	15	8	318	102	+8	+1	-22	-46	+130	7.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	156	35	2	13	49	99	4	4	2	264	325	396	721	132	295	15	8	318	102	+1	+0	-3	-7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7266	6660	1737	353	27	136	495	1105	44	78	30	261	316	383	699	122	292	15	7	307	93	-54	+4	-21	-65	+206	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	155	32	2	12	44	99	4	7	3	260	315	381	696	121	292	15	7	307	93	-5	+0	-2	-6	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	216	190	67	15	3	3	20	18	4	11	0	353	425	511	936	158	374	8	9	411	173	+18	+2	—	—	+6	2.7
2015	19	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	96	91	35	9	2	4	4	12	0	1	0	385	411	659	1.070	275	408	12	4	458	209	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.5
2015	19	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	444	421	123	23	2	5	17	53	2	13	5	292	323	392	715	100	323	12	4	317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+13	1.4
2016	20	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	529	477	130	23	1	13	44	67	4	2	6	273	339	407	746	134	292	13	8	333	113	+8	-2	—	—	+15	2.1
2016	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	47	43	6	2	1	0	4	8	0	0	0	140	213	233	445	93	171	17	9	206	16	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2017	21	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	25	23	4	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	1	174	240	304	544	130	167	16	8	248	48	-1	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.1
2017	21	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	495	433	136	27	4	6	52	50	4	9	3	314	393	436	829	122	340	10	11	369	140	+22	+1	—	—	+14	3.8
2018	22	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	86	77	20	6	0	1	8	14	0	0	0	260	329	377	706	117	306	16	9	315	100	-0	+0	-0	-5	+2	-0.3
2018	22	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	379	343	113	19	0	10	34	47	1	8	2	329	392	472	864	143	359	12	9	384	152	+22	+1	—	—	+11	3.5
2019	23	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	377	343	101	22	2	12	26	49	2	4	1	294	348	475	823	181	309	13	7	358	132	+14	+0	+3	+1	+11	2.9
2020	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	221	201	62	16	0	6	17	45	2	4	0	308	368	478	846	169	371	20	8	374	144	+11	+1	+2	-2	+6	1.8
2021	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	604	544	157	32	2	13	51	96	4	6	2	289	354	426	780	138	327	16	8	347	124	+16	+0	-6	-6	+17	2.2
2022	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	644	593	166	39	1	11	42	86	3	1	3	280	331	405	735	125	309	13	7	326	108	+6	-1	-7	-7	+18	0.9
2023	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	602	546	144	37	5	13	45	93	6	5	3	264	327	421	748	158	294	15	7	331	111	+8	-0	-2	-6	+17	1.6
2024	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	621	559	130	28	1	13	49	93	1	2	1	233	296	356	652	123	253	15	8	289	79	-15	+0	-1	-7	+18	-0.5
2025	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	213	197	47	10	0	0	14	31	2	1	0	239	296	289	585	51	283	15	7	270	65	-8	+0	-5	-3	+6	-1.0
2025	29	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	33	29	6	1	0	2	4	4	0	1	0	207	303	448	751	241	174	12	12	332	112	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3393	3083	831	190	11	70	254	511	20	23	11	270	329	406	736	137	300	15	7	326	108	+29	+0	-17	-33	+96	7.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	13	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
	/162	664	20	8	262	321	426	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#2Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	12	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
	/162	664	11	12	275	322	403	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12
#3David Murphylast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,821 PA	9	3,821	103	54	274	333	432	-41	-35	9.6	10.0
	/162	664	18	9	274	333	432	-7.1	-6.1	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,002	98	34	263	320	395	-54	-27	8.5	9.0
	/162	664	13	5	263	320	395	-7.1	-3.5	1.1	pk7: 9
#5Avisaíl Garcíalast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,298 PA	13	4,298	140	51	263	316	417	-43	-35	6.6	8.0
	/162	664	22	8	263	316	417	-6.7	-5.4	1.0	pk7: 9
#6Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Verdugo (OGILVIE)	30	55	40	40	60	250/312/373	123	283	8	3	15%	8%	94	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Reed 2011 · MLB	30	52→58	42→45	42→50	48	251/300/356	106	288	9	7	16%	6%	84	+0.6	224/277/333	109	265	10	11	19%	6%	69	-0.4	178/231/251	73	212	3	15	17%	6%	25	-0.8
✕Ricardo Soriano 2006 · AAA	30	55	41→40	43→45	49	263/315/363	100	287	8	6	12%	6%	92	+1.2	255/323/337	82	291	6	9	14%	7%	89	+1.0	263/333/335	73	301	5	4	13%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Brian Buscher 2010 · MLB	29	51→57	44→45	38→45	53	249/322/364	115	286	13	3	18%	9%	96	+1.5	230/295/353	123	253	12	6	14%	8%	82	+0.5	224/273/351	128	224	11	0	6%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Conor Gillaspie 2017 · MLB	30	52→59	47→50	42→40	47	259/305/406	147	290	13	4	16%	6%	99	+1.7	236/283/367	131	262	13	9	15%	6%	80	+0.4	215/251/307	93	237	7	8	13%	4%	47	-0.6
✕Leslie Anderson 2012 · AAA	30	53→58	45	40→30	43	260/293/378	118	288	13	4	15%	4%	87	+0.8	253/293/364	111	282	12	3	15%	4%	83	+0.6	255/297/356	101	283	11	1	14%	4%	81	+0.4
✕Kevin Howard 2011 · AAA	30	48→56	44→45	42→45	47	238/284/353	115	268	11	5	16%	6%	76	+0.1	243/280/348	105	281	11	9	18%	5%	73	-0.1	253/288/350	97	290	11	10	17%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Daric Barton 2016 · MLB	30	47→57	43→45	42→45	55	226/305/334	108	259	10	3	17%	9%	81	+0.4	216/311/382	166	247	21	5	22%	10%	98	+1.6	195/302/384	188	210	26	1	23%	10%	97	+1.0
✕Ricardo Nanita 2011 · AAA	30	55→60	46→45	41→50	45	270/306/401	132	299	13	8	15%	5%	98	+1.6	263/300/379	116	294	12	10	15%	5%	90	+1.0	261/299/366	105	291	12	9	15%	4%	83	+0.4
✕Corban Joseph 2019 · MLB	30	53→57	47→50	45	50	262/309/401	139	280	15	6	13%	6%	100	+1.7	259/307/394	135	290	12	4	15%	6%	97	+1.5	268/316/403	134	302	11	0	15%	6%	100	+0.9
✕Howie Clark 2005 · MLB	31	51→58	45→40	44→40	54	248/314/372	124	265	12	5	12%	8%	95	+1.4	260/320/361	101	277	9	6	10%	8%	94	+1.3	265/306/366	102	280	8	4	9%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Daniel Fornes 2010 · AAA	30	52→56	47→50	43→40	53	259/326/393	134	279	14	4	13%	8%	105	+2.1	234/288/358	124	256	14	5	15%	6%	80	+0.4	218/271/329	111	237	13	3	14%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Terrence Long 2006 · MLB	30	56→58	43→50	44→45	50	271/317/388	117	299	10	5	13%	6%	98	+1.6	244/289/367	123	288	13	5	20%	6%	82	+0.5	225/263/340	115	272	13	0	23%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Gonzalo Meza 2009 · AAA	30	55→56	43→50	43→40	48	270/317/379	110	305	11	5	16%	6%	97	+1.5	260/311/347	87	298	7	4	15%	7%	85	+0.7	261/318/335	73	299	6	2	14%	8%	85	+0.4
✕Matt Szczur 2019 · MLB	30	48→57	44→45	46→55	54	231/315/354	123	285	10	8	22%	10%	91	+1.1	225/288/376	151	278	17	7	25%	8%	85	+0.7	195/247/356	161	233	21	0	27%	6%	61	-0.2
●Hector Garanzuay 2011 · AAA	30	50→60	42→45	39→50	49	238/291/343	105	265	9	7	14%	6%	77	+0.1	239/289/359	120	278	11	8	18%	6%	80	+0.4	281/324/385	103	317	10	4	14%	5%	99	+1.1
✕Roberto Macias 2010 · AAA	30	52	46→45	44→40	47	255/310/390	135	301	13	7	20%	7%	97	+1.5	255/306/379	124	333	11	8	25%	6%	93	+1.3	297/336/408	111	400	5	0	26%	4%	115	+0.6
✕Efren Navarro 2015 · MLB	29	55→60	40→45	42→45	49	260/315/359	99	319	6	6	20%	8%	91	+1.1	250/303/343	93	319	6	3	22%	7%	82	+0.5	242/301/338	96	305	9	1	22%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Guillermo Heredia 2020 · MLB	29	48→58	44→45	37→45	49	235/310/354	120	279	11	6	20%	8%	89	+1.0	225/304/367	142	285	14	6	25%	8%	90	+1.0	219/311/353	134	282	9	0	23%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Jason Krizan 2019 · AAA	30	48→56	44→55	45	50	232/286/350	118	261	10	6	16%	7%	76	+0.1	242/300/393	151	265	16	5	15%	8%	94	+1.3	246/301/414	167	270	18	1	16%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Carlos Alvarez 2017 · AAA	29	52	39→45	45	50	246/317/334	88	300	6	7	19%	8%	85	+0.7	227/294/313	86	286	5	10	21%	7%	71	-0.3	201/273/273	72	255	2	12	20%	7%	49	-0.8