Alex Verdugo — OGILVIE

Alex VerdugoLF Atlanta Braves

Age 30 L/L 6'0" / 209 lbs MLB BB -5% Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.4 · 2026

wRC+†vL 5899vR 79

AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .315 / .386

PA453

HR9

K%15

BB%8

xwOBA.306

Barrel%3.0%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

40→40

SPD

40→40

EYE

48↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2026

Barrel%

103.0

xwOBA

480.306

Avg EV

6189.9

Whiff%

900.050

Chase%

900.238

Speed

2226.1

Bat Spd

1367.4

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.4	$2M	-$0.7M
Totals		$2M		$2M	-$0.7M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	Ogden Raptors	216	198	56	12	2	2	12	26	4	11	0	.283	.336	.394	.730	.111	.314	12	6	.320	103	+1	+2	+0	-2	+6	0.7
2015	19	A	2 teams	540	519	138	25	3	8	14	82	2	14	5	.266	.288	.372	.660	.106	.301	15	3	.284	76	-15	+1	+0	-6	+15	-0.5
2016	20	AA	2 teams	576	537	131	22	1	13	31	95	4	2	6	.244	.290	.361	.651	.117	.273	16	5	.288	79	-14	-2	+0	-6	+16	-0.6
2017	21	AAA	2 teams	520	472	126	22	1	6	38	68	4	9	4	.267	.327	.356	.683	.089	.298	13	7	.303	90	-6	+0	+0	+2	+15	1.1
2018	22	AAA	2 teams	465	432	120	21	0	8	30	77	1	8	2	.278	.326	.382	.708	.104	.322	17	6	.314	99	-1	+1	-0	-5	+13	0.8
2019	23	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	377	343	102	22	3	11	26	49	2	4	1	.297	.350	.475	.826	.178	.315	13	7	.355	130	+13	+0	+3	+1	+11	2.8
2020	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	221	201	61	14	0	7	17	45	2	4	0	.303	.364	.478	.841	.174	.360	20	8	.360	134	+8	+1	+2	-2	+6	1.6
2021	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	604	544	154	30	2	13	51	96	4	6	2	.283	.349	.417	.766	.134	.320	16	8	.331	111	+8	+0	-6	-6	+17	1.4
2022	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	644	593	164	39	1	11	42	86	3	1	3	.277	.328	.401	.729	.125	.305	13	7	.316	100	+0	-1	-7	-7	+18	0.4
2023	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	602	546	140	34	4	14	45	93	6	5	3	.256	.320	.410	.730	.154	.284	15	7	.320	103	+2	-0	-2	-6	+17	1.0
2024	28	MLB	New York Yankees	621	559	132	28	1	13	49	93	1	2	1	.236	.299	.360	.658	.123	.257	15	8	.289	79	-14	+0	-1	-7	+18	-0.5
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	246	228	52	11	0	2	16	36	2	2	0	.228	.285	.303	.587	.075	.263	15	7	.269	64	-10	+0	-5	-3	+7	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	ATL	453	412	105	23	2	9	35	69	3	4	1	.255	.318	.386	.704	.131	.285	15	8	.315	99	-0	+0	-4	-5	+13	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	31	MLB	ATL	438	399	101	22	2	9	33	68	3	1	0	.253	.315	.386	.701	.133	.283	16	8	.311	96	-2	+0	-6	-5	+12	-0.0
2028	32	MLB	ATL	419	382	95	21	1	8	32	68	2	0	0	.249	.310	.372	.682	.123	.282	16	8	.306	92	-4	+0	-7	-4	+12	-0.3
2029	33	MLB	ATL	389	355	87	19	1	7	29	65	2	0	0	.245	.306	.363	.669	.118	.280	17	7	.300	88	-5	+0	-7	-4	+11	-0.6
2030	34	MLB	ATL	344	313	75	16	1	6	26	61	2	0	0	.240	.302	.355	.657	.115	.278	18	8	.293	82	-7	+0	-8	-4	+10	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7675	7033	1839	381	25	147	526	1177	47	73	28	.261	.317	.385	.703	.124	.293	15	7	.309	95	-47	+3	-49	-69	+217	5.7
/ 162G	—			650	596	155	32	2	12	45	100	4	6	2	.260	.317	.381	.698	.121	.292	15	7	.309	95	-4	+0	-4	-6	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	Ogden Raptors	216	190	67	15	3	3	20	18	4	11	0	.353	.425	.511	.936	.158	.374	8	9	.411	173	+18	+2	—	—	+6	2.7
2015	19	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	96	91	35	9	2	4	4	12	0	1	0	.385	.411	.659	1.070	.275	.408	12	4	.458	209	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.5
2015	19	A	Great Lakes Loons	444	421	123	23	2	5	17	53	2	13	5	.292	.323	.392	.715	.100	.323	12	4	.317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+13	1.4
2016	20	AA	Tulsa Drillers	529	477	130	23	1	13	44	67	4	2	6	.273	.339	.407	.746	.134	.292	13	8	.333	113	+8	-2	—	—	+15	2.1
2016	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	47	43	6	2	1	0	4	8	0	0	0	.140	.213	.233	.445	.093	.171	17	9	.206	16	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2017	21	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	25	23	4	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	1	.174	.240	.304	.544	.130	.167	16	8	.248	48	-1	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.1
2017	21	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	495	433	136	27	4	6	52	50	4	9	3	.314	.393	.436	.829	.122	.340	10	11	.369	140	+22	+1	—	—	+14	3.8
2018	22	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	86	77	20	6	0	1	8	14	0	0	0	.260	.329	.377	.706	.117	.306	16	9	.315	100	-0	+0	-0	-5	+2	-0.3
2018	22	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	379	343	113	19	0	10	34	47	1	8	2	.329	.392	.472	.864	.143	.359	12	9	.384	152	+22	+1	—	—	+11	3.5
2019	23	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	377	343	101	22	2	12	26	49	2	4	1	.294	.348	.475	.823	.181	.309	13	7	.358	132	+14	+0	+3	+1	+11	2.9
2020	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	221	201	62	16	0	6	17	45	2	4	0	.308	.368	.478	.846	.169	.371	20	8	.374	144	+11	+1	+2	-2	+6	1.8
2021	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	604	544	157	32	2	13	51	96	4	6	2	.289	.354	.426	.780	.138	.327	16	8	.347	124	+16	+0	-6	-6	+17	2.2
2022	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	644	593	166	39	1	11	42	86	3	1	3	.280	.331	.405	.735	.125	.309	13	7	.326	108	+6	-1	-7	-7	+18	0.9
2023	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	602	546	144	37	5	13	45	93	6	5	3	.264	.327	.421	.748	.158	.294	15	7	.331	111	+8	-0	-2	-6	+17	1.6
2024	28	MLB	New York Yankees	621	559	130	28	1	13	49	93	1	2	1	.233	.296	.356	.652	.123	.253	15	8	.289	79	-15	+0	-1	-7	+18	-0.5
2025	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	213	197	47	10	0	0	14	31	2	1	0	.239	.296	.289	.585	.051	.283	15	7	.270	65	-8	+0	-5	-3	+6	-1.0
2025	29	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	33	29	6	1	0	2	4	4	0	1	0	.207	.303	.448	.751	.241	.174	12	12	.332	112	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3393	3083	831	190	11	70	254	511	20	23	11	.270	.329	.406	.736	.137	.300	15	7	.326	108	+29	+0	-17	-33	+96	7.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Verdugo (OGILVIE)	30	55	40	40	60	.254/.315/.386	.132	.285	9	4	15%	8%	99	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Buscher 2010 · MLB	29	52→57	45	39→45	52	.254/.323/.373	.120	.287	13	4	17%	8%	98	+1.6	.233/.299/.354	.121	.258	12	5	14%	8%	83	+0.6	.232/.281/.362	.131	.232	11	0	6%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Conor Gillaspie 2017 · MLB	30	51→58	46→50	40	48	.253/.301/.394	.141	.283	12	4	16%	6%	94	+1.3	.233/.279/.362	.129	.257	13	8	15%	6%	77	+0.1	.214/.250/.307	.094	.234	8	8	12%	4%	46	-0.6
✕Ricardo Soriano 2006 · AAA	30	54	41→40	43→45	49	.261/.312/.362	.101	.285	8	6	12%	6%	91	+1.1	.256/.323/.340	.084	.291	6	9	14%	7%	90	+1.0	.263/.333/.335	.073	.301	5	4	13%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Corban Joseph 2019 · MLB	30	54→58	47→50	45	49	.266/.312/.399	.133	.285	14	6	13%	6%	100	+1.7	.262/.309/.400	.138	.291	13	4	14%	6%	99	+1.7	.268/.315/.404	.136	.301	11	0	14%	6%	100	+0.9
✕Daniel Fornes 2010 · AAA	30	52→56	47→50	43→40	53	.258/.326/.396	.138	.277	15	4	14%	8%	106	+2.2	.238/.293/.362	.124	.261	14	5	15%	7%	83	+0.6	.222/.275/.333	.111	.241	13	3	14%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Ricardo Nanita 2011 · AAA	30	54→60	45	42→50	45	.266/.304/.393	.126	.297	12	9	15%	5%	95	+1.4	.266/.303/.385	.119	.297	13	10	15%	5%	93	+1.3	.263/.301/.372	.109	.292	12	9	15%	4%	86	+0.5
✕Daric Barton 2016 · MLB	30	47→56	43→45	41→45	56	.228/.309/.335	.107	.259	10	3	16%	10%	83	+0.6	.218/.312/.384	.166	.247	21	4	21%	10%	98	+1.6	.202/.311/.396	.194	.215	27	1	22%	10%	104	+1.3
✕Guillermo Heredia 2021 · MLB	30	47→57	46→45	41→45	50	.233/.310/.362	.129	.280	13	8	21%	8%	91	+1.1	.220/.300/.363	.143	.285	13	5	26%	9%	88	+0.9	.214/.306/.345	.131	.274	9	0	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Jeremy Reed 2011 · MLB	30	52→58	42→45	42→50	48	.252/.301/.360	.108	.289	9	7	16%	6%	85	+0.7	.224/.277/.333	.109	.263	10	11	18%	6%	69	-0.4	.179/.233/.257	.077	.210	3	15	16%	6%	27	-0.7
✕Troy O'Leary 2001 · MLB	31	52→53	48→50	41→30	53	.256/.316/.406	.150	.277	15	3	14%	8%	104	+2.0	.252/.317/.404	.152	.284	15	4	17%	8%	104	+2.0	.247/.317/.392	.145	.281	14	3	17%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Terrence Long 2006 · MLB	30	55→58	44→50	45	50	.268/.314/.389	.121	.295	10	6	13%	6%	98	+1.6	.246/.291/.367	.121	.290	12	5	19%	6%	83	+0.6	.225/.263/.340	.116	.273	13	0	23%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Gonzalo Meza 2009 · AAA	30	55→56	44→50	43→40	49	.271/.319/.383	.113	.305	12	5	16%	6%	98	+1.6	.260/.311/.349	.089	.296	8	4	14%	7%	86	+0.8	.262/.319/.333	.072	.299	5	2	14%	8%	85	+0.4
●Yonder Alonso 2017 · MLB	30	53→57	44→55	42→45	55	.258/.323/.380	.123	.285	10	6	14%	9%	100	+1.7	.251/.331/.421	.170	.287	21	3	20%	10%	115	+2.7	.237/.325/.416	.179	.271	24	1	22%	11%	104	+1.6
✕Matt Watson 2009 · AAA	30	51→53	44→50	46→50	53	.249/.319/.372	.123	.291	11	5	18%	9%	96	+1.5	.239/.297/.383	.144	.278	16	6	20%	7%	91	+1.1	.233/.277/.432	.199	.245	25	0	18%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Howie Clark 2005 · MLB	31	52→58	44→40	44→40	54	.251/.317/.374	.123	.270	11	5	12%	8%	96	+1.5	.263/.323/.365	.102	.281	9	6	10%	8%	95	+1.4	.265/.307/.367	.103	.281	8	4	9%	5%	86	+0.4
✕James Loney 2014 · MLB	30	58→64	44→50	42→45	52	.283/.332/.403	.120	.307	12	4	12%	7%	109	+2.4	.283/.329/.389	.106	.309	10	4	12%	6%	105	+2.1	.280/.325/.377	.096	.304	9	2	11%	5%	93	+1.1
✕Kevin Howard 2011 · AAA	30	48→56	45	41→45	48	.239/.286/.358	.119	.267	12	5	16%	6%	79	+0.3	.243/.280/.351	.108	.281	12	9	18%	5%	74	-0.1	.255/.289/.355	.100	.292	12	10	17%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Jose Munoz 2009 · AAA	30	51→49	42→45	44→50	54	.246/.319/.356	.110	.288	9	11	18%	9%	92	+1.2	.244/.318/.363	.119	.290	9	10	18%	10%	94	+1.3	.227/.310/.331	.103	.281	8	6	20%	10%	79	+0.1
✕Leslie Anderson 2012 · AAA	30	52→57	45	41→30	42	.257/.291/.376	.119	.286	13	5	16%	4%	85	+0.7	.258/.298/.376	.118	.287	13	3	15%	4%	89	+0.9	.260/.305/.373	.113	.288	13	1	14%	4%	89	+0.8
✕Fernando Valenzuela 2013 · AAA	30	57→62	46→45	41→40	46	.281/.325/.411	.131	.307	13	3	14%	5%	109	+2.4	.279/.317/.395	.116	.305	11	4	12%	5%	101	+1.8	.293/.331/.403	.110	.317	9	3	10%	5%	109	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)