Matt Beaty
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 29 | AAASD | 145 | .270/.366/.349 | 2 | 0 | 63 | — | .215/.297/.262 | |
| 2022 | 29 | MLBSD | 47 | .093/.170/.163 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.9 | ||
| 2023 | 30 | AAAKC | 186 | .279/.397/.455 | 6 | 0 | 96 | — | .241/.332/.364 | |
| 2023 | 30 | MLBKC | 72 | .230/.347/.295 | 0 | 0 | 94 | -0.5 | ||
| 2024 | 31 | AAA/AAARI | 212 | .276/.368/.389 | 5 | 0 | 70 | — | .229/.307/.302 | |
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 273 | 246 | 73 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 297 | 357 | 390 | 747 | 93 | 318 | 10 | 8 | 333 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 28 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 480 | 519 | 520 | 1.039 | 40 | 545 | 11 | 7 | 451 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 542 | 489 | 145 | 30 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 74 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 297 | 357 | 425 | 782 | 129 | 326 | 14 | 7 | 347 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 481 | 438 | 143 | 31 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 54 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 326 | 382 | 505 | 886 | 178 | 343 | 11 | 7 | 389 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 69 | 66 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 275 | 424 | 700 | 182 | 259 | 14 | 3 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 120 | 101 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 381 | 406 | 787 | 129 | 321 | 14 | 10 | 353 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 268 | 249 | 66 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 265 | 317 | 458 | 775 | 193 | 275 | 12 | 6 | 342 | 118 | +6 | +1 | -5 | -4 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 135 | 121 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 306 | 378 | 455 | 832 | 149 | 321 | 9 | 7 | 373 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 54 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 278 | 360 | 638 | 140 | 265 | 26 | 4 | 288 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 234 | 204 | 55 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 270 | 363 | 402 | 765 | 132 | 314 | 19 | 9 | 348 | 125 | +7 | -0 | -6 | -3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 35 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 486 | 464 | 950 | 107 | 500 | 23 | 6 | 436 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 47 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 170 | 163 | 333 | 70 | 114 | 17 | 4 | 161 | -3 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 145 | 126 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 366 | 349 | 715 | 79 | 330 | 19 | 10 | 331 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 72 | 61 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 347 | 295 | 642 | 66 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 306 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 186 | 154 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 397 | 455 | 851 | 175 | 311 | 16 | 10 | 380 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 33 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 303 | 185 | 488 | 37 | 190 | 18 | 12 | 250 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 179 | 158 | 47 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 380 | 424 | 804 | 127 | 311 | 10 | 8 | 364 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 675 | 607 | 150 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 47 | 113 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 247 | 323 | 394 | 717 | 147 | 277 | 17 | 7 | 323 | 105 | +4 | +1 | -15 | -15 | +15 | -1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 273 | 253 | 69 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 316 | 360 | 676 | 87 | 294 | 14 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 28 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 385 | 407 | 423 | 830 | 38 | 432 | 14 | 4 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 542 | 502 | 130 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 101 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 259 | 305 | 373 | 677 | 114 | 296 | 19 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 481 | 450 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 69 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 287 | 327 | 411 | 738 | 124 | 316 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 120 | 105 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 339 | 371 | 710 | 114 | 298 | 19 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 268 | 251 | 67 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 267 | 313 | 462 | 776 | 195 | 275 | 12 | 6 | 343 | 118 | +6 | +1 | -5 | -4 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 135 | 124 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 311 | 363 | 674 | 113 | 266 | 11 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 54 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 278 | 360 | 638 | 140 | 265 | 26 | 4 | 289 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 234 | 204 | 55 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 270 | 363 | 402 | 765 | 132 | 314 | 19 | 9 | 353 | 125 | +7 | -0 | -6 | -3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 35 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 345 | 457 | 448 | 905 | 103 | 468 | 29 | 3 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 47 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 170 | 163 | 333 | 70 | 114 | 17 | 4 | 164 | -3 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 145 | 130 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 297 | 262 | 558 | 46 | 290 | 23 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 72 | 61 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 347 | 295 | 642 | 66 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 186 | 162 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 332 | 364 | 696 | 123 | 274 | 19 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 143 | 273 | 179 | 451 | 36 | 156 | 21 | 9 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 179 | 163 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 313 | 325 | 638 | 80 | 270 | 12 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 279 | 79 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 283 | 324 | 366 | 690 | 82 | 316 | 14 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 301 | 271 | 85 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 314 | 372 | 402 | 774 | 89 | 339 | 10 | 8 | 344 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 542 | 502 | 130 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 101 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 259 | 305 | 373 | 677 | 114 | 302 | 19 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 542 | 489 | 145 | 30 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 74 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 297 | 357 | 425 | 782 | 129 | 326 | 14 | 7 | 347 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 515 | 148 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 79 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 287 | 328 | 416 | 743 | 128 | 319 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 550 | 504 | 159 | 37 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 64 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 315 | 368 | 494 | 862 | 179 | 333 | 12 | 7 | 378 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 120 | 105 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 339 | 371 | 710 | 114 | 317 | 19 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 120 | 101 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 381 | 406 | 787 | 129 | 321 | 14 | 10 | 353 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 375 | 98 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 261 | 313 | 429 | 742 | 168 | 275 | 12 | 5 | 327 | 107 | +4 | +1 | -5 | -4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 403 | 370 | 103 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 278 | 337 | 457 | 794 | 178 | 291 | 11 | 7 | 352 | 107 | +4 | +1 | -5 | -4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 54 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 278 | 360 | 638 | 140 | 265 | 26 | 4 | 289 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 54 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 278 | 360 | 638 | 140 | 265 | 26 | 4 | 288 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 269 | 233 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 375 | 408 | 783 | 129 | 337 | 20 | 8 | 356 | 127 | +9 | -0 | -6 | -3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 269 | 232 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 52 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 280 | 379 | 409 | 789 | 129 | 335 | 19 | 8 | 360 | 127 | +9 | -0 | -6 | -3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 173 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 271 | 249 | 519 | 58 | 246 | 22 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 192 | 169 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 318 | 302 | 619 | 77 | 273 | 18 | 8 | 290 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 258 | 223 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 50 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 336 | 345 | 681 | 108 | 288 | 19 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 258 | 215 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 44 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 383 | 409 | 792 | 144 | 307 | 17 | 10 | 360 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 191 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 307 | 304 | 610 | 73 | 258 | 14 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 212 | 185 | 51 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 368 | 389 | 757 | 114 | 295 | 11 | 8 | 347 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 281 | 79 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 281 | 324 | 363 | 687 | 82 | 307 | 14 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 542 | 504 | 130 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 101 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 258 | 305 | 371 | 676 | 113 | 296 | 19 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 514 | 148 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 79 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 288 | 328 | 416 | 744 | 128 | 316 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 120 | 106 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 339 | 368 | 707 | 113 | 298 | 19 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 372 | 98 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 263 | 313 | 433 | 745 | 169 | 272 | 12 | 5 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 54 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 278 | 360 | 638 | 140 | 265 | 26 | 4 | 289 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 269 | 231 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 281 | 375 | 411 | 787 | 130 | 334 | 20 | 8 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 171 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 271 | 251 | 522 | 58 | 247 | 22 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 258 | 223 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 50 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 336 | 345 | 681 | 108 | 281 | 19 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 189 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 307 | 307 | 613 | 74 | 252 | 14 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 189 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 307 | 307 | 613 | 74 | 252 | 14 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 675 | 607 | 150 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 47 | 113 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 247 | 323 | 394 | 717 | 147 | 277 | 17 | 7 | 323 | 94 | +4 | +1 | -15 | -15 | +15 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 144 | 28 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 109 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 246 | 322 | 391 | 713 | 145 | 277 | 17 | 7 | 323 | 94 | +4 | +1 | -15 | -14 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2901 | 2646 | 688 | 128 | 8 | 54 | 162 | 481 | 73 | 20 | 10 | 260 | 320 | 376 | 696 | 116 | 298 | 17 | 6 | 307 | 94 | +4 | +1 | -15 | -15 | +15 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 155 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 108 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 261 | 321 | 378 | 699 | 116 | 300 | 17 | 6 | 307 | 94 | +4 | +1 | -15 | -14 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 179 PAwOBA .355 → .286 (−69)K% 10.1% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.06% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.82% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.91% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 3.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.43% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 23.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 2.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.229 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 2.19% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 95, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .355 → .286; ISO .127 → .086; BABIP .311 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAReno Aces · 33 PAwOBA .245 → .191 (−54)K% 18.2% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 5.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.076 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.962 | 11.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.025 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.962 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 103, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .245 → .191; ISO .037 → .029; BABIP .190 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 186 PAwOBA .369 → .310 (−59)K% 16.1% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.14% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.91% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 5.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×0.972 | 20.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×0.972 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 3.50% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .369 → .310; ISO .175 → .136; BABIP .311 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 145 PAwOBA .323 → .262 (−62)K% 18.6% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.62% | ÷0.959 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.66% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 3.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.29% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×0.982 | 26.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.133 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×0.982 | 1.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×0.982 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.138 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.22% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 109, 2B 127, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .323 → .262; ISO .079 → .055; BABIP .330 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 35 PAwOBA .425 → .377 (−48)K% 22.9% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 14.29% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 13.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 33.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 13.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .425 → .377; ISO .107 → .091; BABIP .500 → .468. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 135 PAwOBA .363 → .295 (−68)K% 8.9% → 11.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.89% | ÷1.014 | ×1.290 | — | — | 11.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.96% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 2.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷1.048 | ×0.900 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 20.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 5.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.04% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 109, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .363 → .295; ISO .149 → .113; BABIP .321 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 120 PAwOBA .344 → .305 (−39)K% 14.2% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.17% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 4.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.24% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | ×1.045 | ×1.033 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×1.045 | ×1.033 | 10.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | ×1.045 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 106, 3B 104, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .344 → .305; ISO .129 → .108; BABIP .321 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATulsa Drillers · 481 PAwOBA .380 → .323 (−58)K% 11.2% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.23% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.07% | ÷1.058 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.012 | 23.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.031 | ×1.012 | 7.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.031 | ×1.012 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.91% | ÷1.295 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.44% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 91, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .380 → .323; ISO .178 → .131; BABIP .343 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).