Matt Beaty — OGILVIE

Matt Beaty1B Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 33 L/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 292 proj PA

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .314 / .367

PA292

HR7

K%20

BB%7

ISO129

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractPOW 37

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT—

Whiff%

768.2%

xwOBA

360.292

POWER37

Barrel%

102.5

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

1968.1

EYE52

Chase%

5231.3%

SPEED35

Sprint

1025.5

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	A	2 teams	—	301	279	78	7	2	4	15	40	2	4	3	280	321	362	683	82	311	13	5	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A	2 teams	—	301	271	85	8	2	4	23	31	2	4	3	314	372	402	774	89	339	10	8	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	542	504	129	29	0	10	25	104	6	6	1	256	299	373	672	117	300	19	5	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	542	489	145	30	0	11	40	74	6	6	1	297	357	425	782	129	326	14	7	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	2 teams	—	550	517	146	31	1	10	24	87	5	3	3	282	321	404	725	122	321	16	4	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	2 teams	—	550	504	159	37	1	17	37	64	5	3	3	315	368	494	862	179	333	12	7	378	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	120	106	25	8	0	1	7	23	5	0	0	236	314	340	653	104	289	19	6	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	120	101	28	10	0	1	12	17	5	0	0	277	381	406	787	129	321	14	10	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB	2 teams	—	403	373	98	25	2	12	24	48	6	5	0	263	318	437	755	174	275	12	6	323	105	+2	+1	-5	-4	+11	0.6
2019	26	MLB	2 teams	—	403	370	103	26	2	12	27	45	6	5	0	278	337	457	794	178	291	11	7	352	128	+13	+1	-5	-4	+11	1.6
2020	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	54	50	11	1	0	2	2	14	2	0	0	220	278	360	638	140	265	26	4	293	82	-1	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
2020	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	54	50	11	1	0	2	2	14	2	0	0	220	278	360	638	140	265	26	4	288	79	-1	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	—	269	233	66	7	1	7	21	54	15	2	2	283	379	412	791	129	343	20	8	358	132	+10	-0	-6	-3	+8	0.8
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	—	269	232	65	7	1	7	22	52	15	2	2	280	379	409	789	129	335	19	8	360	134	+10	-0	-6	-3	+8	0.9
2022	29	AAA	2 teams	—	192	173	30	2	2	1	12	46	7	0	0	173	255	225	481	52	230	24	6	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA	2 teams	—	192	169	38	3	2	2	16	35	7	0	0	225	318	302	619	77	273	18	8	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA	2 teams	—	258	223	56	12	0	6	17	50	16	0	0	251	348	386	733	135	298	19	7	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA	2 teams	—	258	215	57	13	0	6	25	44	16	0	0	265	383	409	792	144	307	17	10	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AA	2 teams	—	212	191	47	5	0	3	12	31	9	0	1	246	321	319	640	73	280	15	6	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AA	2 teams	—	212	185	51	6	0	5	18	24	9	0	1	276	368	389	757	114	295	11	8	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	33	MLB	ARI	—	292	261	64	12	1	7	20	58	9	3	1	245	321	379	700	134	283	20	7	309	95	-2	+0	-0	-5	+8	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	ARI	0%	249	222	51	9	1	5	17	51	8	2	1	230	308	347	655	117	275	20	7	298	86	-4	+0	-5	-4	+7	-0.6
2028	35	MLB	ARI	0%	198	177	40	7	1	4	13	42	6	1	0	226	301	345	646	119	266	21	7	286	77	-5	+0	-6	-4	+6	-0.9
2027	34	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	278	71	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
2028	35	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		268	—	—	266	62	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	675	609	150	29	3	18	47	113	21	7	2	246	323	392	715	146	276	17	7	323	106	+4	+1	-15	-15	+19	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	144	28	3	17	45	109	20	7	2	246	322	391	712	145	276	17	7	323	106	+4	+1	-15	-14	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3640	3309	841	155	11	72	209	648	96	26	12	254	317	373	690	119	295	18	6	304	91	-37	+0	-26	-59	+103	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	151	28	2	13	37	116	17	5	2	255	317	376	693	120	297	18	6	304	91	-7	+0	-5	-11	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	273	246	73	7	2	4	21	28	2	2	1	297	357	390	747	93	318	10	8	333	113	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.2
2015	22	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	28	25	12	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	2	480	519	520	1.039	40	545	11	7	451	203	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2016	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	542	489	145	30	0	11	40	74	6	6	1	297	357	425	782	129	326	14	7	347	123	+14	+1	—	—	+15	3.1
2017	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	481	438	143	31	1	15	35	54	4	3	3	326	382	505	886	178	343	11	7	389	155	+30	-1	—	—	+14	4.4
2017	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	69	66	16	6	0	2	2	10	1	0	0	242	275	424	700	182	259	14	3	308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2018	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	120	101	28	10	0	1	12	17	5	0	0	277	381	406	787	129	321	14	10	353	128	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2019	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	268	249	66	19	1	9	17	33	2	5	0	265	317	458	775	193	275	12	6	342	120	+6	+1	-5	-4	+8	0.5
2019	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	135	121	37	7	1	3	10	12	4	0	0	306	378	455	832	149	321	9	7	373	143	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2020	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	54	50	11	1	0	2	2	14	2	0	0	220	278	360	638	140	265	26	4	288	79	-1	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
2021	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	234	204	55	4	1	7	20	44	10	2	2	270	363	402	765	132	314	19	9	348	125	+7	-0	-6	-3	+7	0.4
2021	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	35	28	10	3	0	0	2	8	5	0	0	357	486	464	950	107	500	23	6	436	192	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	47	43	4	1	1	0	2	8	2	0	0	93	170	163	333	70	114	17	4	161	-18	-6	+0	-2	-2	+1	-0.9
2022	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	145	126	34	2	1	2	14	27	5	0	0	270	366	349	715	79	330	19	10	331	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	30	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	72	61	14	4	0	0	6	14	5	0	0	230	347	295	642	66	298	19	8	306	93	-1	+0	-1	-5	+2	-0.4
2023	30	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	186	154	43	9	0	6	19	30	11	0	0	279	397	455	851	175	311	16	10	380	149	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2024	31	AAA	Reno Aces	—	33	27	4	1	0	0	4	6	2	0	1	148	303	185	488	37	190	18	12	250	50	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	31	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	179	158	47	5	0	5	14	18	7	0	0	297	380	424	804	127	311	10	8	364	137	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	675	607	150	29	3	18	47	113	21	7	2	247	323	394	717	147	277	17	7	323	106	+4	+1	-15	-15	+19	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nolan Reimoldlast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,556 PA	8	1,556	56	18	246	323	422	-17	-27	1.6	1.9
	/162	664	24	8	246	323	422	-7.1	-11.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#2Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#3Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	8	1,653	64	6	237	329	420	-28	-31	1.0	1.7
#3Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	/162	664	26	2	237	329	420	-11.3	-12.4	0.4	pk7: 2
#4Ben Franciscolast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,771 PA	7	1,771	50	30	253	323	418	-19	-29	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	19	11	253	323	418	-7.1	-10.9	0.6	pk7: 2
#5John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#5John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,081	27	10	248	320	387	-19	-21	0.8	1.2
	/162	664	17	6	248	320	387	-11.9	-12.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Ben Gamellast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,305 PA	8	2,305	41	22	253	335	383	-25	-45	0.2	0.5
#6Ben Gamellast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,305 PA	/162	664	12	6	253	335	383	-7.1	-13.0	0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Beaty (OGILVIE)	33	—	37	35	52	239/314/367	128	283	7	3	20%	7%	95	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shawn Wooten 2005 · MLB	33	48→45	45→50	38→30	50	237/297/356	119	265	13	5	16%	7%	83	+0.6	224/273/338	114	262	13	3	20%	5%	69	-0.4	218/264/315	98	256	11	0	20%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Efren Navarro 2018 · MLB	32	50→60	41→45	38→45	48	242/301/341	99	303	8	3	22%	8%	80	+0.4	239/293/354	115	303	11	6	24%	7%	81	+0.4	251/294/353	102	318	11	0	24%	5%	82	+0.2
✕Jack Hannahan 2013 · MLB	33	48→56	44→45	41→45	51	237/309/359	122	289	12	4	22%	9%	89	+1.0	228/300/330	102	294	8	5	23%	9%	78	+0.2	209/312/278	69	280	4	0	23%	12%	66	-0.2
✕Jesus Rivera 2011 · AAA	33	53→54	41→40	40	50	255/303/353	98	274	8	4	11%	6%	84	+0.6	244/288/331	87	272	7	4	13%	6%	72	-0.2	268/314/326	58	312	2	4	14%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Troy O'Leary 2003 · MLB	33	53	47→50	39→30	53	260/329/403	143	294	13	3	16%	9%	108	+2.3	242/310/381	139	275	15	8	17%	8%	95	+1.4	212/273/347	134	231	15	9	16%	7%	67	-0.2
✕Jon Weber 2010 · AAA	32	49→54	48→50	41→50	46	244/300/392	149	300	14	8	23%	7%	94	+1.3	231/288/346	115	286	9	10	21%	7%	77	+0.1	218/279/294	75	269	2	10	18%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Jose Espinoza 2007 · AAA	33	56→57	43→45	40→45	52	272/333/392	120	310	10	6	16%	8%	107	+2.2	267/328/373	106	313	9	8	17%	7%	100	+1.7	269/328/361	92	320	8	8	18%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Andy Abad 2007 · AAA	34	49→51	50	39→45	48	249/299/400	151	264	18	4	15%	6%	96	+1.5	240/285/364	124	269	15	8	17%	5%	80	+0.4	242/283/350	109	270	14	7	16%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Mike Freeman 2021 · MLB	33	49→59	45	43→55	46	237/306/361	124	311	13	8	27%	8%	89	+0.9	221/294/339	118	299	12	8	28%	9%	78	+0.2	196/275/293	97	271	9	6	29%	9%	54	-0.7
✕Leslie Anderson 2013 · AAA	31	54→58	45	36→30	42	268/300/382	114	294	13	3	15%	3%	91	+1.1	241/288/351	110	271	11	5	15%	5%	78	+0.2	228/282/326	98	255	9	2	14%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Juan Centeno 2023 · AAA	33	48	47→45	42→40	42	241/281/378	137	281	15	4	20%	4%	82	+0.5	223/268/318	95	310	8	8	29%	5%	60	-1.0	205/250/243	38	318	1	7	34%	6%	30	-1.4
✕Dave Berg 2004 · MLB	33	52→57	44→45	38→40	49	253/306/375	122	289	10	3	16%	7%	92	+1.2	252/306/349	97	296	8	3	17%	7%	85	+0.7	259/315/335	76	307	5	1	16%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Matt Szczur 2021 · MLB	32	46→56	48→45	44→55	47	230/290/373	143	280	15	8	24%	8%	85	+0.7	214/260/369	155	283	19	9	31%	6%	72	-0.2	146/180/303	157	174	24	0	34%	4%	17	-0.7
✕Ricardo Nanita 2014 · AAA	33	50→60	44→45	45→50	45	248/286/359	111	276	13	8	16%	5%	79	+0.3	256/296/379	123	297	13	8	18%	4%	89	+0.9	304/336/427	124	348	12	4	16%	3%	118	+1.2
✕Howie Clark 2007 · MLB	33	53→58	40	44→40	53	251/307/341	90	269	7	6	10%	7%	82	+0.5	250/296/352	102	268	8	6	10%	6%	81	+0.4	265/306/366	102	280	8	4	9%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Hector Paez 2010 · AAA	32	50	45	36→40	41	248/282/370	121	276	13	4	16%	3%	80	+0.4	233/259/335	102	252	11	6	13%	3%	61	-1.0	245/276/358	112	260	14	2	12%	2%	73	-0.0
✕Michael Ryan 2010 · AAA	33	47→49	51→50	45→30	43	240/282/399	158	281	19	4	22%	6%	89	+0.9	225/266/344	119	268	10	6	19%	5%	66	-0.6	211/248/314	103	252	5	3	18%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Luis Antonio Rodriguez 2014 · MLB	34	47→53	45	40→45	50	231/286/354	124	249	12	5	14%	6%	78	+0.2	233/287/338	105	268	10	7	17%	6%	74	-0.1	267/316/334	67	309	7	4	16%	6%	81	+0.1
✕Edgar Gonzalez 2011 · MLB	33	49→59	48→45	38→50	48	243/308/383	140	290	15	6	22%	8%	95	+1.4	258/306/368	110	306	11	13	18%	6%	89	+1.0	265/308/361	96	317	10	15	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Daniel Fornes 2012 · AAA	32	48→56	46→50	43→40	50	241/295/370	129	260	15	5	15%	7%	86	+0.8	218/267/321	103	244	11	8	15%	6%	61	-1.0	192/238/257	65	211	7	4	13%	5%	33	-1.2