Yonder Alonso

Pos1B

B/TL/R

Born1987-04-08

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	30	MLBSEA	521	.266/.365/.501	28	2	142	2.0
2018	31	MLBCleveland Ind…	574	.250/.320/.421	23	0	106	-0.5
2019	32	AAACOL	38	.419/.514/.774	2	0	162	—	.303/.378/.515
2019	32	MLBCOL	335	.199/.297/.346	10	0	73	-1.3
2020	33	No MLB games played
2021	34	No MLB games played
2022	35	No MLB games played
2023	36	No MLB games played
2024	37	No MLB games played
2025	38	No MLB games played
2026	39	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2019

xwOBA74

Barrel%54

Avg EV40

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	21	A+	Sarasota Reds	—	25	19	6	1	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	20	20	372	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA	Carolina Mudcats	—	121	105	31	11	0	2	14	15	0	1	0	295	378	457	835	162	322	12	12	366	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+	Sarasota Reds	—	201	175	53	13	0	7	24	30	0	0	1	303	387	497	884	194	329	15	12	387	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK	GCL Reds	—	18	15	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	133	278	133	411		143	6	17	217	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	29	29	6	2	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	207	207	276	483	69	316	34	0	213	31	-2	+0	-0	-11	+1	-1.3
2010	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	445	406	120	31	2	12	37	76	1	9	1	296	356	470	826	175	339	17	8	365	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA	Carolina Mudcats	—	121	101	27	5	0	3	19	16	1	4	2	267	388	406	794	139	293	13	16	362	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	98	88	29	4	0	5	10	21	0	0	0	330	398	545	943	216	387	21	10	414	160	+7	+0	-4	-5	+2	-0.1
2011	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	409	358	106	24	4	12	46	60	1	6	5	296	378	486	864	190	324	15	11	378	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	619	549	150	39	0	9	62	101	3	3	0	273	350	393	744	120	318	16	10	334	109	+7	+1	-9	-11	+13	0.1
2013	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	375	334	94	11	0	6	32	47	2	6	0	281	348	368	716	87	306	13	9	320	99	-1	+1	-3	-7	+8	-0.1
2014	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	288	267	64	19	1	7	17	36	1	6	1	240	288	397	685	157	251	12	6	301	92	-3	+1	-3	-5	+6	-0.5
2014	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	17	17	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	235	235	235	471		267	12	0	213	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	402	354	100	18	1	5	42	48	3	2	5	282	363	381	745	99	312	12	10	337	114	+7	-2	-5	-7	+9	0.1
2015	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	17	13	3	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	231	412	308	719	77	300	18	24	346	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	532	482	122	34	0	7	45	74	1	3	1	253	318	367	685	114	284	14	8	308	94	-4	+0	-4	-10	+12	-0.6
2017	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	521	451	120	22	0	28	68	118	2	2	0	266	365	501	866	235	302	23	13	382	142	+26	+0	-9	-9	+11	2.0
2018	31	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	574	516	129	19	0	23	51	123	2	0	0	250	320	421	740	171	283	21	9	328	106	+4	+0	-11	-10	+12	-0.5
2019	32	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	335	292	58	13	0	10	39	70	2	0	1	199	297	346	643	147	224	21	12	292	73	-11	-0	-2	-7	+7	-1.3
2019	32	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	38	31	13	3	1	2	5	6	1	0	0	419	514	774	1.288	355	458	16	13	531	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3773	3362	872	181	2	100	366	648	16	22	8	259	335	404	739	144	292	17	10	330	109	+42	+1	-50	-82	+82	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	21	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	25	20	6	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	300	417	350	767	50	381	28	16	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	121	109	29	10	0	2	10	18	0	1	0	266	328	413	741	147	295	15	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	201	181	47	12	0	6	18	43	0	0	1	260	327	425	752	166	302	21	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK MLE	GCL Reds	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	118	167	118	284		114	6	6	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	29	29	6	2	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	207	207	276	483	69	316	34	0	214	31	-2	+0	-0	-11	+1	-1.3
2010	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	445	416	112	31	2	9	27	96	1	9	1	269	315	418	734	149	327	22	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	121	108	27	5	0	3	12	20	1	4	2	250	331	380	710	130	275	17	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	98	88	29	4	0	5	10	21	0	0	0	330	398	545	943	216	387	21	10	405	160	+7	+0	-4	-5	+2	-0.1
2011	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	409	377	101	22	4	12	27	74	1	6	5	268	319	443	761	175	296	18	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	619	558	154	42	0	9	53	101	3	3	0	276	342	400	742	124	318	16	9	330	109	+7	+1	-9	-11	+13	0.1
2013	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	375	339	96	12	0	6	27	47	2	6	0	283	340	372	711	88	306	13	7	314	99	-1	+1	-3	-7	+8	-0.1
2014	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	288	268	65	20	1	7	16	36	1	6	1	243	288	403	691	160	251	12	6	304	92	-3	+1	-3	-5	+6	-0.5
2014	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	17	17	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	176	353		236	18	0	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	402	357	102	19	1	5	39	48	3	2	5	286	361	387	747	101	312	12	10	336	114	+7	-2	-5	-7	+9	0.1
2015	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	17	14	3	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	214	353	286	639	71	258	24	18	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	532	483	122	33	0	8	44	74	1	3	1	253	316	371	687	118	284	14	8	307	94	-4	+0	-4	-10	+12	-0.6
2017	30	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	521	457	121	22	0	29	62	118	2	2	0	265	355	503	858	239	302	23	12	378	142	+26	+0	-9	-9	+11	2.0
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	574	517	129	19	0	23	50	123	2	0	0	250	318	420	738	170	283	21	9	326	106	+4	+0	-11	-10	+12	-0.5
2019	32	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	335	295	56	13	0	9	36	70	2	0	1	190	282	325	608	136	224	21	11	276	73	-11	-0	-2	-7	+7	-1.3
2019	32	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	38	33	10	2	1	1	3	8	1	0	0	303	378	515	894	212	364	21	8	408	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	25	20	6	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	300	417	350	767	50	429	28	16	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ RAW	Sarasota Reds	—	25	19	6	1	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	20	20	372	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	340	307	78	22	0	8	29	62	0	1	1	254	318	404	722	150	290	18	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	340	295	86	24	0	9	41	46	0	1	1	292	378	464	842	173	316	14	12	371	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	595	554	144	37	2	12	38	126	2	13	3	260	310	399	709	139	317	21	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	595	536	153	38	2	15	56	102	2	13	3	285	355	448	803	162	329	17	9	357	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	507	465	128	26	4	16	37	95	1	6	5	275	330	452	782	176	313	19	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	507	446	135	28	4	17	56	81	1	6	5	303	382	498	879	195	335	16	11	385	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	619	558	154	42	0	9	53	101	3	3	0	276	342	400	742	124	321	16	9	330	109	+7	+1	-9	-11	+13	0.1
2012	25	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	619	549	150	39	0	9	62	101	3	3	0	273	350	393	744	120	318	16	10	334	109	+7	+1	-9	-11	+13	0.1
2013	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	375	339	96	12	0	6	27	47	2	6	0	283	340	372	711	88	307	13	7	314	99	-1	+1	-3	-7	+8	-0.1
2013	26	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	375	334	94	11	0	6	32	47	2	6	0	281	348	368	716	87	306	13	9	320	99	-1	+1	-3	-7	+8	-0.1
2014	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	305	285	69	20	1	7	16	39	1	6	1	242	285	393	678	151	256	13	5	297	87	-5	+1	-3	-5	+7	-0.6
2014	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	305	284	68	19	1	7	17	38	1	6	1	239	285	387	672	148	252	12	6	296	87	-5	+1	-3	-5	+7	-0.6
2015	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	419	371	104	20	1	5	42	52	3	2	5	280	358	380	738	100	312	12	10	334	112	+6	-2	-5	-7	+9	0.1
2015	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	419	367	103	19	1	5	46	51	3	2	5	281	365	379	744	98	312	12	11	337	112	+6	-2	-5	-7	+9	0.1
2016	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	532	483	122	33	0	8	44	74	1	3	1	253	316	371	687	118	281	14	8	307	94	-4	+0	-4	-10	+12	-0.6
2016	29	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	532	482	122	34	0	7	45	74	1	3	1	253	318	367	685	114	284	14	8	308	94	-4	+0	-4	-10	+12	-0.6
2017	30	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	521	457	121	22	0	29	62	118	2	2	0	265	355	503	858	239	297	23	12	378	142	+26	+0	-9	-9	+11	2.0
2017	30	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	—	521	451	120	22	0	28	68	118	2	2	0	266	365	501	866	235	302	23	13	382	142	+26	+0	-9	-9	+11	2.0
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	574	517	129	19	0	23	50	123	2	0	0	250	318	420	738	170	282	21	9	326	106	+4	+0	-11	-10	+12	-0.5
2018	31	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	574	516	129	19	0	23	51	123	2	0	0	250	320	421	740	171	283	21	9	328	106	+4	+0	-11	-10	+12	-0.5
2019	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	373	328	66	15	1	10	39	78	3	0	1	201	292	345	636	143	230	21	10	289	82	-8	-0	-2	-7	+8	-0.9
2019	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	373	323	71	16	1	12	44	76	3	0	1	220	319	387	706	167	248	20	12	316	82	-8	-0	-2	-7	+8	-0.9
2008	21	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	25	21	6	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	286	417	333	750	48	381	28	16	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	340	308	78	22	0	8	29	62	0	1	1	253	318	403	721	149	290	18	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	595	550	144	37	2	12	38	126	2	13	3	262	310	402	712	140	316	21	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	507	464	128	26	4	16	37	95	1	6	5	276	330	453	783	177	314	19	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	619	558	154	42	0	9	53	101	3	3	0	276	342	400	742	124	318	16	9	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	375	343	96	12	0	6	27	47	2	6	0	280	340	367	707	87	306	13	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	305	285	69	20	1	7	16	39	1	6	1	242	285	393	678	151	250	13	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	419	371	104	20	1	5	42	52	3	2	5	280	358	380	738	100	310	12	10	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	532	482	122	33	0	8	44	74	1	3	1	253	316	371	688	118	284	14	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	521	452	121	22	0	29	62	118	2	2	0	268	355	509	864	241	302	23	12	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	574	517	129	19	0	23	50	123	2	0	0	250	318	420	738	170	283	21	9	326	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	373	328	66	15	1	10	39	78	3	0	1	201	292	345	636	143	239	21	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3773	3362	872	181	2	100	366	648	16	22	8	259	335	404	739	144	292	17	10	330	106	+42	+1	-50	-82	+82	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	149	31	0	17	63	112	3	4	1	257	333	399	732	142	290	17	10	330	106	+7	+0	-9	-14	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5185	4684	1217	269	9	133	441	922	20	42	17	260	326	406	732	146	296	18	9	324	106	+42	+1	-50	-82	+82	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	153	34	1	17	55	116	3	5	2	261	327	409	736	148	296	18	8	324	106	+7	+0	-9	-14	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 38 PAwOBA .531 → .408 (−123)K% 15.8% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.79%	÷0.957	×1.290	—	—	21.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.16%	÷0.974	×0.710	—	×0.952	9.13%
HBP% /PA	2.63%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	2.46%
Singles /BIP	28.00%	÷0.974	×0.900	—	×0.952	24.64%
Doubles /BIP	12.00%	÷1.071	×0.810	—	×0.952	8.64%
Triples /BIP	4.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.952	2.68%
Home runs /BIP	8.00%	÷1.136	×0.780	—	×0.952	5.23%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .531 → .408; ISO .355 → .244; BABIP .458 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 17 PAwOBA .339 → .271 (−68)K% 17.6% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷0.980	×1.290	—	—	23.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.53%	÷0.972	×0.710	—	×0.992	17.06%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.017	×0.900	—	×0.992	17.55%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷0.970	×0.810	—	×0.992	8.28%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.919	×0.780	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .339 → .271; ISO .077 → .065; BABIP .300 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 17 PAwOBA .207 → .177 (−30)K% 11.8% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.76%	÷1.002	×1.290	—	—	15.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.970	×0.710	—	×1.003	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷1.018	×0.900	—	×1.003	23.65%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.068	×0.810	—	×1.003	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.958	×0.780	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .207 → .177; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .267 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAALouisville Bats · 409 PAwOBA .367 → .329 (−39)K% 14.7% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.67%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	18.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.78%	÷1.070	×0.690	—	×1.048	6.61%
HBP% /PA	0.24%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.24%
Singles /BIP	22.15%	÷1.033	×0.930	×0.977	×1.048	20.40%
Doubles /BIP	8.05%	÷0.972	×0.830	×0.977	×1.048	7.04%
Triples /BIP	1.34%	÷0.924	×0.970	×0.977	×1.048	1.44%
Home runs /BIP	4.03%	÷0.944	×0.840	—	×1.048	3.75%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 107, 2B 94, 3B 85, K 93, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .367 → .329; ISO .190 → .181; BABIP .324 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAALouisville Bats · 445 PAwOBA .354 → .318 (−37)K% 17.1% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.08%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	21.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.87%	÷0.942	×0.690	—	×1.050	6.05%
HBP% /PA	0.22%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.22%
Singles /BIP	22.73%	÷1.018	×0.930	×0.998	×1.050	21.75%
Doubles /BIP	9.39%	÷0.858	×0.830	×0.998	×1.050	9.52%
Triples /BIP	0.61%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.998	×1.050	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	3.64%	÷1.093	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.93%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 104, 2B 72, 3B 130, K 90, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .354 → .318; ISO .175 → .153; BABIP .339 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AACarolina Mudcats · 121 PAwOBA .348 → .306 (−42)K% 13.2% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.22%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	16.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.05%	÷1.014	×0.680	—	×1.027	9.68%
HBP% /PA	0.83%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	0.71%
Singles /BIP	22.35%	÷0.986	×0.920	×1.002	×1.027	21.47%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.057	×0.910	×1.002	×1.027	5.21%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.063	×0.880	×1.002	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.53%	÷0.959	×0.800	—	×1.027	3.02%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 113, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .348 → .306; ISO .139 → .125; BABIP .293 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Sarasota Reds · 201 PAwOBA .381 → .327 (−54)K% 14.9% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.93%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	21.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.94%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×1.012	9.06%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.76%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.980	×1.012	20.76%
Doubles /BIP	8.97%	÷1.000	×0.960	×0.980	×1.012	8.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.980	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.83%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.012	4.30%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .381 → .327; ISO .194 → .172; BABIP .329 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AACarolina Mudcats · 121 PAwOBA .363 → .321 (−42)K% 12.4% → 15.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.40%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.57%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.042	8.20%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×1.042	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.962	×1.042	18.45%
Doubles /BIP	12.22%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.962	×1.042	11.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.880	×0.962	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.042	1.85%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .363 → .321; ISO .162 → .148; BABIP .322 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).