Brock Holt

Pos2B

B/TL/R

Born1988-06-11

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	31	AAAPawtucket Red…	37	.250/.432/.429	1	1	99	—	.233/.378/.400
2019	31	MLBBOS	295	.297/.375/.402	3	1	114	1.6
2020	32	MLBWSH	106	.211/.286/.274	0	1	60	-0.3
2021	33	MLBTEX	260	.209/.282/.298	2	5	66	-0.2
2022	34	No MLB games played
2023	35	No MLB games played
2024	36	No MLB games played
2025	37	No MLB games played
2026	38	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

xwOBA29

Speed23

Avg EV13

Barrel%10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	218	194	68	12	1	1	19	30	2	6	6	351	414	438	852	88	406	14	9	379	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	579	511	147	30	9	1	50	85	7	18	10	288	359	387	747	100	340	15	9	332	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	32	25	6	0	0	0	7	3	0	3	1	240	406	240	646		273	9	22	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	72	65	19	2	1	0	4	14	0	0	0	292	333	354	687	62	365	19	6	298	88	-1	+0	-3	+2	+2	0.0
2012	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	106	95	41	7	0	1	9	9	0	5	2	432	481	537	1.018	105	465	8	8	445	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	432	382	123	24	6	2	40	51	4	11	11	322	392	432	824	110	364	12	9	365	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	72	59	12	2	0	0	7	4	0	1	0	203	288	237	525	34	207	6	10	229	37	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.4
2013	25	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	329	291	75	6	0	3	30	54	2	8	3	258	331	309	641	52	303	16	9	292	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	492	449	126	23	5	4	33	98	2	12	2	281	333	381	713	100	349	20	7	316	95	-3	+2	+1	+2	+11	1.3
2014	26	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	121	108	34	8	2	1	8	12	4	7	1	315	383	454	837	139	344	10	7	371	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	509	454	127	27	6	2	46	97	3	8	1	280	350	379	729	99	350	19	9	326	102	+1	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.3
2016	28	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	324	290	74	16	0	7	27	58	3	4	3	255	325	383	708	128	294	18	8	316	94	-2	-0	+2	-4	+7	0.2
2016	28	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	30	25	8	2	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	320	433	400	833	80	400	17	17	383	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	164	140	28	6	0	0	19	34	3	2	1	200	309	243	551	43	259	21	12	263	59	-8	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.4
2017	29	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	77	70	15	1	0	3	6	14	1	0	0	214	286	357	643	143	226	18	8	291	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	367	321	89	18	2	7	37	73	7	7	7	277	364	411	776	134	337	20	10	349	115	+6	-1	+1	+1	+8	1.5
2019	31	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	295	259	77	14	2	3	28	57	4	1	0	297	375	402	776	104	365	19	9	347	114	+5	+0	+3	+1	+6	1.6
2019	31	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	37	28	7	2	0	1	8	12	1	1	0	250	432	429	861	179	400	32	22	394	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	106	95	20	6	0	0	9	24	1	1	0	211	286	274	559	63	278	23	8	258	60	-5	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.3
2021	33	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	260	235	49	13	1	2	23	49	1	5	1	209	282	298	580	89	254	19	9	266	66	-11	+1	+1	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2661	2367	621	127	17	25	233	508	24	41	15	262	335	362	697	100	321	19	9	313	98	-7	+2	+1	+8	+58	6.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	218	202	64	12	1	1	11	43	2	6	6	317	358	401	759	84	383	20	5	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	579	522	148	28	9	1	39	106	7	18	10	284	342	377	719	94	343	18	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	72	65	19	2	1	0	4	14	0	0	0	292	333	354	687	62	365	19	6	298	88	-1	+0	-3	+2	+2	0.0
2012	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	106	98	42	7	0	1	6	11	0	5	2	429	462	531	992	102	456	10	6	425	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	432	392	120	19	6	2	30	64	4	11	11	306	362	401	762	94	351	15	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	72	59	12	2	0	0	7	4	0	1	0	203	288	237	525	34	207	6	10	223	37	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.4
2013	25	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	329	302	77	5	0	3	19	64	2	8	3	255	303	301	605	46	299	19	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	492	449	123	20	6	4	33	98	2	12	2	274	326	372	698	98	349	20	7	309	95	-3	+2	+1	+2	+11	1.3
2014	26	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	121	111	33	7	2	1	5	15	4	7	1	297	350	423	773	126	333	12	4	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	509	454	124	24	7	2	46	97	3	8	1	273	344	370	714	97	350	19	9	318	102	+1	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.3
2016	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	324	290	71	14	0	7	27	58	3	4	3	245	316	366	681	121	294	18	8	308	94	-2	-0	+2	-4	+7	0.2
2016	28	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	30	27	8	2	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	296	367	370	737	74	378	20	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	164	140	27	5	0	0	19	34	3	2	1	193	302	229	531	36	259	21	12	256	59	-8	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.4
2017	29	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	77	72	13	1	0	2	4	17	1	0	0	181	234	278	512	97	206	22	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	367	323	86	16	2	7	35	73	7	7	7	266	351	393	744	127	337	20	10	338	115	+6	-1	+1	+1	+8	1.5
2019	31	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	295	260	74	12	2	3	27	57	4	1	0	285	361	381	742	96	365	19	9	337	114	+5	+0	+3	+1	+6	1.6
2019	31	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	37	30	7	2	0	1	6	14	1	1	0	233	378	400	778	167	364	38	16	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	106	95	20	6	0	0	9	24	1	1	0	211	286	274	559	63	278	23	8	257	60	-5	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.3
2021	33	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	260	235	50	14	1	2	23	49	1	5	1	213	286	306	592	94	254	19	9	265	66	-11	+1	+1	+1	+6	-0.2
2010	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	218	202	64	12	1	1	11	43	2	6	6	317	358	401	759	84	394	20	5	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	218	194	68	12	1	1	19	30	2	6	6	351	414	438	852	88	406	14	9	379	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	611	551	157	30	10	1	42	112	7	21	11	285	343	381	724	96	352	18	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	611	536	153	30	9	1	57	88	7	21	11	285	362	381	742	95	336	14	9	331	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	610	555	180	28	7	2	40	88	4	16	13	324	374	411	785	86	379	14	7	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	610	542	183	33	7	3	53	74	4	16	13	338	401	441	842	103	383	12	9	371	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	361	88	7	0	3	26	68	2	9	3	244	298	288	586	44	286	17	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	401	350	87	8	0	3	37	58	2	9	3	249	324	297	621	49	284	14	9	281	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	613	560	156	28	7	5	38	113	6	19	3	279	331	380	711	102	339	18	6	314	99	-1	+3	+1	+2	+13	1.8
2014	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	613	557	160	31	7	5	41	110	6	19	3	287	343	395	738	108	348	18	7	327	99	-1	+3	+1	+2	+13	1.8
2015	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	509	454	124	24	7	2	46	97	3	8	1	273	344	370	714	97	342	19	9	318	102	+1	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.3
2015	27	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	509	454	127	27	6	2	46	97	3	8	1	280	350	379	729	99	350	19	9	326	102	+1	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.3
2016	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	354	317	79	16	0	7	30	64	3	4	3	249	320	366	686	117	289	18	8	310	96	-2	-0	+2	-4	+8	0.3
2016	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	354	315	82	18	0	7	32	63	3	4	3	260	334	384	718	124	302	18	9	321	96	-2	-0	+2	-4	+8	0.3
2017	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	241	212	40	6	0	2	23	51	4	2	1	189	280	245	526	57	236	21	10	248	54	-13	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.7
2017	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	241	210	43	7	0	3	25	48	4	2	1	205	301	281	582	76	248	20	10	272	54	-13	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.7
2018	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	367	323	86	16	2	7	35	73	7	7	7	266	351	393	744	127	322	20	10	338	115	+6	-1	+1	+1	+8	1.5
2018	30	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	367	321	89	18	2	7	37	73	7	7	7	277	364	411	776	134	337	20	10	349	115	+6	-1	+1	+1	+8	1.5
2019	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	332	290	81	14	2	4	33	71	5	2	0	279	363	383	746	103	352	21	10	335	113	+5	+0	+3	+1	+7	1.7
2019	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	332	287	84	16	2	4	36	69	5	2	0	293	381	404	785	111	367	21	11	352	113	+5	+0	+3	+1	+7	1.7
2020	32	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	106	95	20	6	0	0	9	24	1	1	0	211	286	274	559	63	278	23	8	257	60	-5	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.3
2020	32	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	106	95	20	6	0	0	9	24	1	1	0	211	286	274	559	63	278	23	8	258	60	-5	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.3
2021	33	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	260	235	50	14	1	2	23	49	1	5	1	213	286	306	592	94	259	19	9	265	66	-11	+1	+1	+1	+6	-0.2
2021	33	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	260	235	49	13	1	2	23	49	1	5	1	209	282	298	580	89	254	19	9	266	66	-11	+1	+1	+1	+6	-0.2
2010	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	218	203	64	12	1	1	11	43	2	6	6	315	358	399	757	84	383	20	5	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	611	557	157	30	10	1	42	112	7	21	11	282	343	377	720	95	343	18	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	610	561	180	28	7	2	40	88	4	16	13	321	374	406	780	86	371	14	7	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	370	88	7	0	3	26	68	2	9	3	238	298	281	579	43	282	17	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	613	564	156	28	7	5	38	113	6	19	3	277	331	378	709	101	345	18	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	509	455	124	24	7	2	46	97	3	8	1	273	344	369	713	97	350	19	9	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	354	318	79	16	0	7	30	64	3	4	3	248	320	365	685	116	301	18	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	241	212	40	6	0	2	23	51	4	2	1	189	280	245	526	57	242	21	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	367	322	86	16	2	7	35	73	7	7	7	267	351	394	745	127	337	20	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	332	291	81	14	2	4	33	71	5	2	0	278	363	381	744	103	364	21	10	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	106	95	20	6	0	0	9	24	1	1	0	211	286	274	559	63	278	23	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	260	234	50	14	1	2	23	49	1	5	1	214	286	308	593	94	254	19	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2661	2367	621	127	17	25	233	508	24	41	15	262	335	362	697	100	321	19	9	313	96	-7	+2	+1	+8	+58	6.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	151	31	4	6	57	124	6	10	4	261	334	360	694	99	320	19	9	313	96	-2	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4622	4155	1125	201	37	36	356	853	45	100	49	271	335	363	698	92	330	18	8	310	96	-7	+2	+1	+8	+58	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	158	28	5	5	50	120	6	14	7	271	334	361	695	91	330	18	8	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 37 PAwOBA .385 → .314 (−71)K% 32.4% → 38.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.43%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	38.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.62%	÷0.963	×0.690	—	×0.962	14.91%
HBP% /PA	2.70%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	2.44%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.953	×0.930	—	×0.962	23.47%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.896	×0.830	—	×0.962	11.14%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.25%	÷1.038	×0.840	—	×0.962	4.87%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 91, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .385 → .314; ISO .179 → .149; BABIP .400 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 77 PAwOBA .283 → .232 (−51)K% 18.2% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.18%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	22.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.79%	÷0.937	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.63%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.20%
Singles /BIP	19.64%	÷0.987	×0.930	×1.004	×0.982	18.27%
Doubles /BIP	1.79%	÷0.954	×0.830	×1.004	×0.982	1.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.004	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.36%	÷1.106	×0.840	—	×0.982	4.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .283 → .232; ISO .143 → .106; BABIP .226 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 30 PAwOBA .363 → .331 (−32)K% 16.7% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.979	×1.200	—	—	20.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×0.992	9.06%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.00%	÷0.957	×0.930	—	×0.992	28.91%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷0.923	×0.830	—	×0.992	8.92%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.912	×0.970	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.994	×0.840	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 82, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .363 → .331; ISO .080 → .075; BABIP .400 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 121 PAwOBA .365 → .336 (−29)K% 9.9% → 12.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.92%	÷0.980	×1.200	—	—	12.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.61%	÷1.084	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.28%
HBP% /PA	3.31%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	3.16%
Singles /BIP	23.96%	÷0.976	×0.930	×1.024	×1.018	23.78%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.937	×0.830	×1.024	×1.018	7.69%
Triples /BIP	2.08%	÷1.104	×0.970	×1.024	×1.018	1.91%
Home runs /BIP	1.04%	÷1.240	×0.840	—	×1.018	0.72%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 95, 2B 87, 3B 121, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .365 → .336; ISO .139 → .123; BABIP .344 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 329 PAwOBA .287 → .266 (−21)K% 16.4% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.41%	÷1.018	×1.200	—	—	19.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.81%	÷1.069	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.88%
HBP% /PA	0.61%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.59%
Singles /BIP	27.85%	÷0.964	×0.930	×1.012	×1.033	28.08%
Doubles /BIP	2.53%	÷1.083	×0.830	×1.012	×1.033	2.03%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.957	×0.970	×1.012	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.27%	÷1.068	×0.840	—	×1.033	1.03%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 93, 2B 117, 3B 91, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .287 → .266; ISO .052 → .043; BABIP .303 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAltoona Curve · 432 PAwOBA .359 → .329 (−29)K% 11.8% → 14.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.81%	÷0.979	×1.220	—	—	14.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.26%	÷0.943	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.96%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.80%
Singles /BIP	27.49%	÷1.018	×0.970	×1.050	×1.012	27.83%
Doubles /BIP	7.25%	÷1.173	×0.860	×1.050	×1.012	5.65%
Triples /BIP	1.81%	÷1.026	×0.950	×1.050	×1.012	1.78%
Home runs /BIP	0.60%	÷1.042	×0.780	—	×1.012	0.46%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 135, 3B 105, K 96, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .359 → .329; ISO .110 → .093; BABIP .364 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 106 PAwOBA .435 → .425 (−10)K% 8.5% → 10.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.49%	÷1.014	×1.200	—	—	10.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.55%	÷1.043	×0.690	—	×1.048	5.23%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	38.37%	÷1.038	×0.930	×1.050	×1.048	37.81%
Doubles /BIP	8.14%	÷0.945	×0.830	×1.050	×1.048	7.87%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.050	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.16%	÷1.095	×0.840	—	×1.048	0.93%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 103, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .435 → .425; ISO .105 → .101; BABIP .465 → .456. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAltoona Curve · 579 PAwOBA .325 → .315 (−11)K% 14.7% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.68%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	18.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.46%	÷0.897	×0.700	—	×1.027	6.78%
HBP% /PA	1.21%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	1.06%
Singles /BIP	25.12%	÷0.986	×0.970	×1.015	×1.027	25.76%
Doubles /BIP	7.04%	÷0.949	×0.860	×1.015	×1.027	6.66%
Triples /BIP	2.11%	÷0.949	×0.950	×1.015	×1.027	2.21%
Home runs /BIP	0.23%	÷0.931	×0.780	—	×1.027	0.20%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 97, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 95, BB 79 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .325 → .315; ISO .100 → .098; BABIP .340 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).