Francisco LindorSS New York Mets
Age 32 S/R 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB Svc 10.657 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION171 act + 481 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 113121vR 140
AVG/OBP/SLG.265 / .343 / .466
PA481
HR20
SB16
K%18
BB%9
BABIP287
ISO201
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +14.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+14BATRUN: +2.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +5.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+5FLDPOS: +7.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +18.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+18REPTotal WAR: +4.80+4.8WAR
0.02.55.01.94.63.52.51.50.6-$67M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 70 / POW 57
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT70
Whiff%
738.6%
xwOBA
900.360
POWER57
Barrel%
6810.9
Avg EV
7590.8
Bat Spd
6573.0
EYE68
Chase%
7227.3%
SPEED64
Sprint
3226.6
DEFENSE75
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1526 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
425
1101
wRC+
111
139
▶▶R
wOBA
331
367
R
ISO
182
215
▶▶R
BABIP
246
308
▶▶R
K%
13.9%
19.8%
◀◀L
BB%
8.2%
8.6%
R
Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2015
Service   10.657 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$14M+1.9$15M+$2M
2027Ext$34M+4.6$34M+$3M
2028Ext$34M+3.5$24M-$4M
2029Ext$34M+2.5$16M-$9M
2030Ext$34M+1.5$9M-$14M
2031Ext$34M+0.6$2M-$18M
Totals $184M $100M -$39M
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$39M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201218 ALake County Captains 568517 1162034 3510511 2712 224288298586 74274 186 262 59
201218 ALake County Captains 568490 1262436 617811 2712 257352355707 98295 1411 322 105
201319 A+2 teams 464421 1232252 31653 257 292345382727 90339 147 312 97
201319 A+2 teams 464403 1222272 49463 257 303382407789 104335 1011 350 126
201420 AA3 teams 675623 14516513 391512 3021 233280337617 104284 226 271 65
201420 AA3 teams 675605 16621514 571102 3021 274339395734 121312 168 325 107
201521 MLB2 teams 700629 184311013 421141 219 293338436773 143334 166 328 109 +7 +1 +11 +8 +20 4.7
201521 MLB2 teams 700619 18733914 521071 219 302357452809 150341 157 345 122 +18 +1 +11 +8 +20 5.8
201622 MLBCleveland Indians 684604 18130315 57885 195 300365434799 134322 138 342 120 +16 +2 +16 +7 +19 6.2
201622 MLBCleveland Indians 684604 18230315 57885 195 301366435802 134324 138 350 126 +20 +2 +16 +7 +19 6.6
201723 MLBCleveland Indians 723651 17844433 60934 153 273338505844 232275 138 356 130 +25 +2 +13 +8 +20 6.9
201723 MLBCleveland Indians 723651 17844433 60934 153 273338505844 232275 138 365 138 +31 +2 +13 +8 +20 7.6
201824 MLBCleveland Indians 745661 18242238 701078 2510 275352517869 242277 149 368 140 +34 +1 +19 +8 +21 8.4
201824 MLBCleveland Indians 745661 18342238 701078 2510 277353519872 242279 149 379 148 +41 +1 +19 +8 +21 9.1
201925 MLBCleveland Indians 654598 17040232 46983 225 284338518857 234291 157 357 131 +23 +2 +21 +7 +19 7.4
201925 MLBCleveland Indians 654598 17040232 46983 225 284338518857 234291 157 371 142 +31 +2 +21 +7 +19 8.2
202026 MLBCleveland Indians 266236 611308 24414 62 258337415752 157280 159 326 108 +2 +0 +7 +3 +8 2.1
202026 MLBCleveland Indians 266236 611308 24414 62 258337415752 157280 159 335 115 +4 +0 +7 +3 +8 2.3
202127 MLBNew York Mets 524452 10416320 58965 104 230324412736 181248 1811 316 100 +0 +0 +19 +6 +15 4.1
202127 MLBNew York Mets 524452 10416320 58965 104 230324412736 181248 1811 324 106 +4 +0 +19 +6 +15 4.5
202228 MLBNew York Mets 706630 17025526 5913310 166 270342449791 179301 198 343 121 +17 +1 +12 +8 +20 5.9
202228 MLBNew York Mets 706630 17025526 5913310 166 270342449791 179301 198 348 125 +20 +1 +12 +8 +20 6.2
202329 MLBNew York Mets 687602 15333231 6613712 314 254340470810 216277 2010 351 126 +21 +5 +8 +7 +19 6.2
202329 MLBNew York Mets 687602 15333231 6613712 314 254340470810 216277 2010 355 130 +23 +5 +8 +7 +19 6.4
202430 MLBNew York Mets 689618 16939133 5612712 294 273345500845 227295 188 367 139 +30 +4 +15 +7 +20 7.8
202430 MLBNew York Mets 689618 16939133 5612712 294 273345500845 227295 188 370 142 +32 +4 +15 +7 +20 8.0
202531 MLBNew York Mets 732644 17235031 6513116 316 267349466815 199288 189 354 129 +24 +4 +7 +8 +21 6.5
202531 MLBNew York Mets 732644 17235031 6513116 316 267349466815 199288 189 359 133 +27 +4 +7 +8 +21 6.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD32 MLBNYM 171153 33335 16272 21 216298373671 157231 169 299 87 -3 +0 +3 +2 +5 0.7
YTD32 MLBNYM 171153 33335 16272 21 216298373671 157231 169 302 89 -2 +0 +3 +2 +5 0.7
ROS32 MLBNYM 100% 481427 11322220 43858 164 265343466809 201287 189 356 131 +17 +2 +3 +5 +14 4.1
ROS32 MLBNYM 100% 481427 11222219 43858 164 262341457798 194287 189 343 121 +11 +2 +3 +5 +14 3.5
FULL32 MLBNYM 652580 14525524 5911210 185 250330434764 184271 179 332 112 +9 +2 +5 +7 +18 4.2
TOT32 MLBNYM 652580 14625525 5911210 185 252331441773 190272 179 341 119 +14 +2 +5 +7 +18 4.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733 MLBNYM 100% 622551 14528324 5611310 164 263342456798 192287 189 351 127 +19 +2 -1 +7 +18 4.5
202834 MLBNYM 100% 572507 13024322 511079 103 256335446781 189280 199 341 119 +12 +1 -2 +6 +16 3.5
202935 MLBNYM 100% 515457 11220219 451018 72 245324422746 177272 209 329 110 +6 +1 -3 +6 +15 2.4
203036 MLBNYM 100% 452403 9416215 39927 41 233312395706 161264 209 317 101 +0 +0 -4 +5 +13 1.5
203137 MLBNYM 100% 385343 7712212 33816 21 224304376680 152256 219 303 90 -4 +0 -5 +4 +11 0.6
203238 MLBNYM 100% 314280 60919 26685 10 214293350643 136248 228 290 80 -7 +0 -6 +3 +9 -0.1
203339 MLBNYM 100% 238213 43616 19534 00 202280324604 122240 228 277 70 -8 +0 -7 +3 +7 -0.6
202733 MLBNYM 100% 622551 14528324 5611310 164 263342456798 192287 189 339 117 +12 +2 -1 +7 +18 3.8
202834 MLBNYM 100% 572507 13024322 511079 103 256335446781 189280 199 329 110 +6 +1 -2 +6 +16 2.8
202935 MLBNYM 100% 515457 11120218 451018 72 243322414735 171272 209 317 101 +0 +1 -3 +6 +15 1.9
203036 MLBNYM 100% 452403 9416215 39927 41 233312395706 161264 209 305 91 -4 +0 -4 +5 +13 1.0
203137 MLBNYM 100% 385343 7712212 33816 21 224304376680 152256 219 292 81 -8 +0 -5 +4 +11 0.2
203238 MLBNYM 100% 314280 60919 26685 10 214293350643 136248 228 278 71 -10 +0 -6 +3 +9 -0.4
203339 MLBNYM 100% 238213 43616 19534 00 202280324604 122240 228 265 61 -10 +0 -7 +3 +7 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career 104279267 243647642404 9001820137 27266 263337454791 191285 179 343 121 +244 +28 +126 +115 +295 82.5
/ 162G 650578 15230325 561139 174 263338455793 192285 179 343 121 +15 +2 +8 +7 +18 5.1
Career 1239611067 288254361426 10202186153 363113 260331436767 176287 188 333 113 +178 +27 +126 +133 +351 83.3
/ 162G 650580 15028322 531158 196 259329431760 172286 188 333 113 +9 +1 +7 +7 +18 4.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201218 ALake County Captains 568490 1262436 617811 2712 257352355707 98295 1411 322 105 +3 +1 +16 2.0
201319 AAAkron Aeros 9176 22311 1471 52 289407395801 105309 815 367 139 +4 +0 +3 0.7
201319 A+Carolina Mudcats 373327 1001961 35392 205 306376410786 104341 109 346 123 +10 +2 +11 2.3
201420 AAAColumbus Clippers 180165 45405 9360 37 273310388698 115317 205 302 89 -2 -2 +5 0.1
201420 AAAkron RubberDucks 387342 951246 40611 259 278355389744 111320 1610 333 113 +6 +1 +11 1.9
201420 INTLPeoria Javelinas 10898 26513 8131 25 265327429756 163277 127 333 113 +2 -2 +3 0.3
201521 MLBCleveland Indians 438390 12222412 27691 122 313359482841 169348 166 354 129 +15 +2 +11 +8 +12 4.8
201521 AAAColumbus Clippers 262229 651152 25380 97 284354402756 118328 1510 330 110 +3 -1 +7 1.0
201622 MLBCleveland Indians 684604 18230315 57885 195 301366435802 134324 138 350 126 +20 +2 +16 +7 +19 6.6
201723 MLBCleveland Indians 723651 17844433 60934 153 273338505844 232275 138 365 138 +31 +2 +13 +8 +20 7.6
201824 MLBCleveland Indians 745661 18342238 701078 2510 277353519872 242279 149 379 148 +41 +1 +19 +8 +21 9.1
201925 MLBCleveland Indians 654598 17040232 46983 225 284338518857 234291 157 371 142 +31 +2 +21 +7 +19 8.2
202026 MLBCleveland Indians 266236 611308 24414 62 258337415752 157280 159 335 115 +4 +0 +7 +3 +8 2.3
202127 MLBNew York Mets 524452 10416320 58965 104 230324412736 181248 1811 324 106 +4 +0 +19 +6 +15 4.5
202228 MLBNew York Mets 706630 17025526 5913310 166 270342449791 179301 198 348 125 +20 +1 +12 +8 +20 6.2
202329 MLBNew York Mets 687602 15333231 6613712 314 254340470810 216277 2010 355 130 +23 +5 +8 +7 +19 6.4
202430 MLBNew York Mets 689618 16939133 5612712 294 273345500845 227295 188 370 142 +32 +4 +15 +7 +20 8.0
202531 MLBNew York Mets 732644 17235031 6513116 316 267349466815 199288 189 359 133 +27 +4 +7 +8 +21 6.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 68486086 166433926279 588112080 21651 273345475820 202292 169 358 132 +247 +23 +150 +76 +194 70.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chase Utleylast yr '18
AS×6SS×4
career totals — 16 seasons, 7,863 PA
167,863259154275358465+28+10767.860.2
/1626642213+2.4+9.15.7pk7: 53
#2Jimmy Rollinslast yr '16
career totals — 17 seasons, 10,240 PA
1710,240231470264324418+85+14066.855.5
/1626641530+5.5+9.14.3pk7: 44
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 20 projected seasons
2010,769420284262333454+86+29469.655.1
/1626642618+5.3+18.14.3pk7: 41
#3Evan Longorialast yr '23
career totals — 16 seasons, 8,206 PA
168,20634258264333471+29+11061.251.8
/162664285+2.4+8.94.9pk7: 42
#4Brandon Phillipslast yr '17
career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA
137,896210209276320422+28+8341.536.8
/1626641818+2.4+7.03.5pk7: 32
#5J.J. Hardylast yr '17
career totals — 13 seasons, 6,309 PA
136,3091888256305408+68+16340.435.7
/162664201+7.1+17.24.3pk7: 31
#6Brandon Crawfordlast yr '24
career totals — 14 seasons, 6,318 PA
146,31814747249318395+68+14238.934.0
/162664155+7.1+14.94.1pk7: 29

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Francisco Lindor (OGILVIE) 32 60→70 55→57 50→64 68 252/331/441 190272 2518 17% 9% 119 +4.8
J.T. Realmuto
2023 · MLB
32 52→62 54→60 57→55 49 264/337/452 187313 2218 22% 8% 125 +3.5 255/317/427 172313 1913 24% 7% 111 +2.5 251/311/408157312181025%6%99+1.4
Carlos Beltrán
2009 · MLB
32 52→61 61→65 56→60 62 276/367/512 236287 2820 15% 12% 152 +5.3 291/376/487 196317 2013 14% 12% 149 +5.1 290/360/50821931426617%10%140+4.6
Jose Valentin
2001 · MLB
31 51→52 56→65 57→50 54 264/333/469 206284 2316 17% 9% 128 +3.6 252/322/477 225275 2810 20% 9% 126 +3.5 243/316/47323126030820%9%118+2.6
Ben Zobrist
2012 · MLB
31 52→62 52→60 54→55 61 258/352/439 181293 1718 18% 13% 128 +3.6 264/355/430 166296 1512 15% 12% 126 +3.5 270/365/42615629214612%13%124+3.4
Shane Victorino
2012 · MLB
31 55→60 51→55 63→60 56 270/340/452 182283 1523 12% 9% 125 +3.5 263/325/413 150286 1425 13% 7% 110 +2.4 261/320/394133287132713%6%100+1.3
Robbie Grossman
2022 · MLB
32 49→58 53→50 53→50 61 248/355/431 182292 2017 22% 13% 128 +3.6 229/333/369 140293 149 24% 13% 102 +1.9 217/324/33311628510525%13%88+0.6
Jimmy Rollins
2010 · MLB
31 53→60 51→60 62→60 53 265/319/443 179269 1730 10% 7% 115 +2.8 251/316/399 148260 1526 10% 9% 102 +1.9 248/319/391143257162711%9%97+1.5
Ian Kinsler
2012 · MLB
30 50→60 55→60 56→55 62 258/350/451 194256 2223 11% 12% 130 +3.8 263/331/424 161275 1617 11% 8% 115 +2.8 295/341/461166318181113%6%127+4.1
Chase Utley
2011 · MLB
32 54→64 56→65 56→55 61 277/384/477 201291 2316 14% 12% 151 +5.3 258/351/426 168275 1715 13% 10% 124 +3.4 256/343/423167273171413%9%113+2.1
Agustin Murillo
2015 · AAA
33 56→61 52→50 56→55 52 285/347/454 169303 2127 14% 7% 130 +3.8 263/313/392 129286 1420 13% 6% 99 +1.7 257/305/358100283101813%6%84+0.4
Mike Cameron
2005 · MLB
32 46→53 58→60 53→55 54 241/330/453 212285 2521 25% 11% 123 +3.3 256/338/462 206312 2220 24% 10% 128 +3.7 248/337/456208304232025%11%123+3.4
Andres Torres
2011 · MLB
33 54→57 53→60 61→55 50 264/333/464 200333 1724 25% 9% 126 +3.5 243/321/383 140309 1020 23% 10% 100 +1.7 233/316/34511129961922%10%85+0.4
Marcus Semien
2023 · MLB
32 47→56 58→65 53→50 51 250/314/459 209266 2616 18% 8% 118 +3.0 250/319/425 175269 2112 16% 9% 111 +2.5 244/319/406162262201015%9%103+2.2
Aaron Boone
2005 · MLB
32 49→57 54→60 55 51 255/318/440 185272 2221 16% 8% 115 +2.7 249/314/386 137279 1510 17% 7% 98 +1.6 249/319/37612828114816%7%93+0.8
AJ Pollock
2019 · MLB
31 49→59 56→65 56→55 49 254/318/459 205280 2319 19% 7% 119 +3.1 273/331/503 230304 3012 21% 7% 137 +4.3 288/345/537248317341020%7%146+2.7
Starling Marte
2021 · MLB
32 56→66 53→60 56→60 45 286/339/471 185316 2024 17% 5% 131 +3.9 291/351/446 155342 1633 19% 6% 129 +3.7 289/350/431142344153919%6%122+2.5
Dexter Fowler
2018 · MLB
32 53→63 53→55 54→55 60 262/364/451 189316 1812 22% 13% 135 +4.2 233/332/398 165284 199 23% 12% 109 +2.4 216/320/36715026419824%12%95+0.8
Eric Byrnes
2008 · MLB
32 53→57 53→60 61→60 51 270/331/453 183288 2030 15% 7% 122 +3.3 241/300/407 166257 1721 14% 7% 98 +1.6 217/270/381163225171513%6%77+0.1
Roberto Alomar
2001 · MLB
33 59→66 50 59→55 56 293/362/455 162312 1729 12% 9% 135 +4.2 289/362/439 150314 1421 12% 10% 131 +3.9 280/356/413133306111812%10%117+3.1
Torii Hunter
2006 · MLB
31 51→61 55→65 51→55 51 264/328/456 192285 2222 17% 8% 123 +3.3 277/335/481 204300 2517 17% 7% 132 +4.0 284/355/478193317231617%9%133+3.9