Jose Altuve
2B Houston Astros| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34 | MLBHOU | 682 | .295/.350/.439 | 20 | 22 | 122 | 3.2 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLBHOU | 654 | .265/.332/.442 | 26 | 10 | 112 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLBHOU | 573 | .250/.308/.395 | 16 | 5 | 95 | 1.1 |
| 2027PROJ | 37 | MLBHOU | 379 | .257/.316/.412 | 12 | 6 | 103 | 1.0 |
| 2028PROJ | 38 | MLBHOU | 244 | .245/.302/.385 | 7 | 1 | 92 | -0.5 |
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Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 17 | ROK | VSL Astros | — | 243 | 204 | 70 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 343 | 435 | 441 | 876 | 98 | 366 | 7 | 12 | 387 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 141 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 284 | 322 | 433 | 755 | 149 | 333 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 208 | 179 | 58 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 324 | 410 | 508 | 918 | 184 | 342 | 8 | 12 | 400 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 127 | 116 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 276 | 333 | 457 | 790 | 181 | 295 | 13 | 7 | 346 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 434 | 393 | 121 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 49 | 2 | 39 | 14 | 308 | 364 | 445 | 810 | 137 | 329 | 11 | 8 | 357 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 166 | 155 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 284 | 311 | 361 | 672 | 77 | 346 | 17 | 3 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 234 | 221 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 276 | 298 | 357 | 656 | 81 | 309 | 12 | 2 | 286 | 78 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2011 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 153 | 144 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 361 | 391 | 569 | 960 | 208 | 373 | 9 | 5 | 414 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 238 | 213 | 87 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 0 | 19 | 9 | 408 | 457 | 606 | 1.063 | 197 | 443 | 11 | 8 | 453 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 273 | 242 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 339 | 389 | 455 | 844 | 116 | 364 | 10 | 6 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 630 | 576 | 167 | 34 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 74 | 6 | 33 | 11 | 290 | 342 | 399 | 742 | 109 | 321 | 12 | 6 | 329 | 106 | +5 | +2 | -6 | +3 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 160 | 143 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 336 | 406 | 441 | 847 | 105 | 373 | 10 | 10 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 672 | 626 | 177 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 13 | 283 | 320 | 363 | 682 | 80 | 316 | 13 | 5 | 302 | 85 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 0.5 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 707 | 660 | 225 | 47 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 53 | 5 | 56 | 9 | 341 | 379 | 453 | 832 | 112 | 360 | 7 | 5 | 369 | 127 | +23 | +8 | -8 | +3 | +15 | 4.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 689 | 638 | 200 | 40 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 67 | 9 | 38 | 13 | 313 | 356 | 459 | 815 | 146 | 329 | 10 | 5 | 357 | 120 | +16 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +15 | 4.1 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 717 | 640 | 216 | 42 | 5 | 24 | 60 | 70 | 7 | 30 | 10 | 338 | 400 | 531 | 932 | 194 | 347 | 10 | 8 | 405 | 151 | +43 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +16 | 6.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 662 | 590 | 204 | 39 | 4 | 24 | 58 | 84 | 9 | 32 | 6 | 346 | 412 | 547 | 960 | 202 | 370 | 13 | 9 | 419 | 166 | +52 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 7.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 599 | 534 | 169 | 29 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 79 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 316 | 387 | 451 | 838 | 135 | 352 | 13 | 9 | 373 | 133 | +24 | +2 | +6 | +2 | +13 | 4.8 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 548 | 500 | 149 | 27 | 3 | 31 | 41 | 82 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 298 | 355 | 550 | 905 | 252 | 303 | 15 | 7 | 391 | 150 | +33 | -1 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 5.2 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 23 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 286 | 547 | 95 | 286 | 30 | 9 | 249 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 210 | 192 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 219 | 286 | 344 | 629 | 125 | 250 | 19 | 8 | 285 | 78 | -6 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 678 | 601 | 167 | 32 | 1 | 31 | 66 | 91 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 278 | 353 | 489 | 842 | 211 | 280 | 13 | 10 | 368 | 132 | +26 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +15 | 4.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 527 | 158 | 39 | 0 | 28 | 66 | 87 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 300 | 388 | 533 | 921 | 233 | 315 | 14 | 11 | 404 | 156 | +41 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 6.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 410 | 360 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 71 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 311 | 394 | 522 | 916 | 211 | 348 | 17 | 11 | 403 | 157 | +28 | +2 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 4.1 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 682 | 628 | 185 | 31 | 0 | 20 | 47 | 119 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 295 | 350 | 439 | 790 | 145 | 337 | 17 | 7 | 353 | 122 | +18 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +15 | 3.2 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 654 | 588 | 156 | 24 | 1 | 26 | 55 | 109 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 265 | 332 | 442 | 774 | 177 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 341 | 112 | +10 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 573 | 524 | 131 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 114 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 250 | 308 | 395 | 703 | 145 | 289 | 20 | 7 | 312 | 95 | -3 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 9269 | 8405 | 2519 | 479 | 34 | 271 | 696 | 1253 | 83 | 330 | 100 | 300 | 359 | 462 | 821 | 162 | 324 | 14 | 8 | 361 | 131 | +339 | +26 | -6 | +36 | +201 | 60.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 243 | 212 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 250 | 329 | 316 | 645 | 66 | 261 | 8 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 144 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 229 | 255 | 347 | 602 | 118 | 288 | 24 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 208 | 188 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 266 | 327 | 420 | 747 | 154 | 276 | 11 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 127 | 118 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 237 | 286 | 390 | 676 | 153 | 264 | 19 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 434 | 405 | 115 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 67 | 2 | 39 | 14 | 284 | 322 | 393 | 715 | 109 | 319 | 15 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 234 | 221 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 271 | 294 | 348 | 642 | 77 | 309 | 12 | 2 | 283 | 78 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2011 | 21 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 153 | 146 | 48 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 329 | 351 | 514 | 865 | 185 | 343 | 11 | 3 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 238 | 220 | 80 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 19 | 9 | 364 | 397 | 523 | 919 | 159 | 404 | 15 | 5 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 630 | 576 | 164 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 74 | 6 | 33 | 11 | 285 | 338 | 391 | 728 | 106 | 321 | 12 | 6 | 325 | 106 | +5 | +2 | -6 | +3 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 672 | 631 | 174 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 13 | 276 | 308 | 352 | 659 | 76 | 316 | 13 | 4 | 293 | 85 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 0.5 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 707 | 667 | 221 | 44 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 53 | 5 | 56 | 9 | 331 | 364 | 438 | 802 | 106 | 360 | 7 | 4 | 356 | 127 | +23 | +8 | -8 | +3 | +15 | 4.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 689 | 646 | 197 | 38 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 67 | 9 | 38 | 13 | 305 | 340 | 446 | 786 | 141 | 329 | 10 | 4 | 345 | 120 | +16 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +15 | 4.1 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 717 | 651 | 214 | 40 | 5 | 25 | 49 | 70 | 7 | 30 | 10 | 329 | 382 | 521 | 903 | 192 | 347 | 10 | 7 | 391 | 151 | +43 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +16 | 6.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 662 | 593 | 202 | 37 | 4 | 25 | 55 | 84 | 9 | 32 | 6 | 341 | 405 | 543 | 948 | 202 | 370 | 13 | 8 | 413 | 166 | +52 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 7.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 599 | 538 | 166 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 79 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 309 | 375 | 439 | 813 | 130 | 352 | 13 | 9 | 365 | 133 | +24 | +2 | +6 | +2 | +13 | 4.8 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 548 | 500 | 149 | 26 | 3 | 32 | 41 | 82 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 298 | 355 | 554 | 909 | 256 | 303 | 15 | 7 | 390 | 150 | +33 | -1 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 5.2 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 23 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 217 | 273 | 490 | 91 | 247 | 39 | 4 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 210 | 192 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 219 | 286 | 344 | 629 | 125 | 250 | 19 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -6 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 678 | 604 | 165 | 30 | 1 | 32 | 63 | 91 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 273 | 346 | 485 | 831 | 212 | 280 | 13 | 9 | 363 | 132 | +26 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +15 | 4.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 529 | 157 | 37 | 0 | 29 | 64 | 87 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 297 | 383 | 531 | 914 | 234 | 315 | 14 | 11 | 399 | 156 | +41 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 6.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 410 | 360 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 71 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 308 | 391 | 517 | 908 | 208 | 348 | 17 | 11 | 401 | 157 | +28 | +2 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 4.1 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 682 | 630 | 183 | 29 | 0 | 21 | 45 | 119 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 290 | 345 | 437 | 781 | 146 | 337 | 17 | 7 | 348 | 122 | +18 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +15 | 3.2 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 654 | 593 | 155 | 23 | 1 | 27 | 50 | 109 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 261 | 323 | 440 | 763 | 179 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 334 | 112 | +10 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 573 | 525 | 130 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 114 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 305 | 390 | 695 | 143 | 289 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -3 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2007 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 243 | 212 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 250 | 329 | 316 | 645 | 66 | 270 | 8 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 17 | ROK RAW | VSL Astros | — | 243 | 204 | 70 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 343 | 435 | 441 | 876 | 98 | 366 | 7 | 12 | 387 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 144 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 229 | 255 | 347 | 602 | 118 | 292 | 24 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 141 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 284 | 322 | 433 | 755 | 149 | 333 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 208 | 188 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 266 | 327 | 420 | 747 | 154 | 288 | 11 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 208 | 179 | 58 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 324 | 410 | 508 | 918 | 184 | 342 | 8 | 12 | 400 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 727 | 675 | 185 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 118 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 274 | 315 | 393 | 707 | 119 | 313 | 16 | 5 | 305 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 727 | 664 | 197 | 30 | 6 | 15 | 47 | 94 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 297 | 347 | 428 | 775 | 131 | 327 | 13 | 6 | 340 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL MLE | 4 teams | — | 898 | 835 | 272 | 41 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 118 | 6 | 41 | 19 | 326 | 355 | 466 | 821 | 140 | 360 | 13 | 4 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL RAW | 4 teams | — | 898 | 820 | 282 | 50 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 95 | 6 | 41 | 19 | 344 | 384 | 488 | 872 | 144 | 371 | 11 | 5 | 375 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 790 | 725 | 206 | 40 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 93 | 7 | 41 | 11 | 284 | 336 | 390 | 727 | 106 | 314 | 12 | 6 | 325 | 106 | +6 | +4 | -6 | +3 | +17 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 790 | 719 | 215 | 44 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 90 | 7 | 41 | 11 | 299 | 355 | 408 | 763 | 108 | 331 | 11 | 7 | 340 | 106 | +6 | +4 | -6 | +3 | +17 | 2.4 |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 672 | 631 | 174 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 13 | 276 | 308 | 352 | 659 | 76 | 308 | 13 | 4 | 293 | 85 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 0.5 |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 672 | 626 | 177 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 13 | 283 | 320 | 363 | 682 | 80 | 316 | 13 | 5 | 302 | 85 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 0.5 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 707 | 667 | 221 | 44 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 53 | 5 | 56 | 9 | 331 | 364 | 438 | 802 | 106 | 350 | 7 | 4 | 356 | 127 | +23 | +8 | -8 | +3 | +15 | 4.1 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 707 | 660 | 225 | 47 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 53 | 5 | 56 | 9 | 341 | 379 | 453 | 832 | 112 | 360 | 7 | 5 | 369 | 127 | +23 | +8 | -8 | +3 | +15 | 4.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 689 | 646 | 197 | 38 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 67 | 9 | 38 | 13 | 305 | 340 | 446 | 786 | 141 | 319 | 10 | 4 | 345 | 120 | +16 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +15 | 4.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 689 | 638 | 200 | 40 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 67 | 9 | 38 | 13 | 313 | 356 | 459 | 815 | 146 | 329 | 10 | 5 | 357 | 120 | +16 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +15 | 4.1 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 717 | 651 | 214 | 40 | 5 | 25 | 49 | 70 | 7 | 30 | 10 | 329 | 382 | 521 | 903 | 192 | 336 | 10 | 7 | 391 | 151 | +43 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +16 | 6.4 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 717 | 640 | 216 | 42 | 5 | 24 | 60 | 70 | 7 | 30 | 10 | 338 | 400 | 531 | 932 | 194 | 347 | 10 | 8 | 405 | 151 | +43 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +16 | 6.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 662 | 593 | 202 | 37 | 4 | 25 | 55 | 84 | 9 | 32 | 6 | 341 | 405 | 543 | 948 | 202 | 363 | 13 | 8 | 413 | 166 | +52 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 7.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 662 | 590 | 204 | 39 | 4 | 24 | 58 | 84 | 9 | 32 | 6 | 346 | 412 | 547 | 960 | 202 | 370 | 13 | 9 | 419 | 166 | +52 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 7.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 599 | 538 | 166 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 79 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 309 | 375 | 439 | 813 | 130 | 342 | 13 | 9 | 365 | 133 | +24 | +2 | +6 | +2 | +13 | 4.8 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 599 | 534 | 169 | 29 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 79 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 316 | 387 | 451 | 838 | 135 | 352 | 13 | 9 | 373 | 133 | +24 | +2 | +6 | +2 | +13 | 4.8 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 522 | 152 | 26 | 4 | 32 | 42 | 91 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 291 | 347 | 540 | 888 | 249 | 299 | 16 | 7 | 382 | 145 | +30 | -1 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 5.0 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 571 | 521 | 153 | 27 | 4 | 31 | 43 | 89 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 294 | 351 | 539 | 890 | 246 | 302 | 16 | 8 | 386 | 145 | +30 | -1 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 5.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 210 | 192 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 219 | 286 | 344 | 629 | 125 | 250 | 19 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -6 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 210 | 192 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 219 | 286 | 344 | 629 | 125 | 250 | 19 | 8 | 285 | 78 | -6 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 678 | 604 | 165 | 30 | 1 | 32 | 63 | 91 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 273 | 346 | 485 | 831 | 212 | 273 | 13 | 9 | 363 | 132 | +26 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +15 | 4.8 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 678 | 601 | 167 | 32 | 1 | 31 | 66 | 91 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 278 | 353 | 489 | 842 | 211 | 280 | 13 | 10 | 368 | 132 | +26 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +15 | 4.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 529 | 157 | 37 | 0 | 29 | 64 | 87 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 297 | 383 | 531 | 914 | 234 | 309 | 14 | 11 | 399 | 156 | +41 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 6.2 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 527 | 158 | 39 | 0 | 28 | 66 | 87 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 300 | 388 | 533 | 921 | 233 | 315 | 14 | 11 | 404 | 156 | +41 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 6.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 410 | 360 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 71 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 308 | 391 | 517 | 908 | 208 | 344 | 17 | 11 | 401 | 157 | +28 | +2 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 4.1 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 410 | 360 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 71 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 311 | 394 | 522 | 916 | 211 | 348 | 17 | 11 | 403 | 157 | +28 | +2 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 4.1 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 682 | 630 | 183 | 29 | 0 | 21 | 45 | 119 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 290 | 345 | 437 | 781 | 146 | 331 | 17 | 7 | 348 | 122 | +18 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +15 | 3.2 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 682 | 628 | 185 | 31 | 0 | 20 | 47 | 119 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 295 | 350 | 439 | 790 | 145 | 337 | 17 | 7 | 353 | 122 | +18 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +15 | 3.2 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 654 | 593 | 155 | 23 | 1 | 27 | 50 | 109 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 261 | 323 | 440 | 763 | 179 | 276 | 17 | 8 | 334 | 112 | +10 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 654 | 588 | 156 | 24 | 1 | 26 | 55 | 109 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 265 | 332 | 442 | 774 | 177 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 341 | 112 | +10 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 573 | 525 | 130 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 114 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 305 | 390 | 695 | 143 | 286 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -3 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 573 | 524 | 131 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 114 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 250 | 308 | 395 | 703 | 145 | 289 | 20 | 7 | 312 | 95 | -3 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2007 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 243 | 216 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 245 | 329 | 310 | 639 | 65 | 261 | 8 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 152 | 146 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 226 | 255 | 342 | 597 | 116 | 288 | 24 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 208 | 189 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 265 | 327 | 418 | 745 | 153 | 276 | 11 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 727 | 681 | 185 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 118 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 272 | 315 | 389 | 704 | 117 | 307 | 16 | 5 | 305 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL MLE | 4 teams | — | 898 | 853 | 272 | 41 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 118 | 6 | 41 | 19 | 319 | 355 | 456 | 811 | 137 | 353 | 13 | 4 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 790 | 727 | 206 | 40 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 93 | 7 | 41 | 11 | 283 | 336 | 389 | 726 | 106 | 321 | 12 | 6 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 672 | 638 | 174 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 13 | 273 | 308 | 348 | 656 | 75 | 316 | 13 | 4 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 707 | 667 | 221 | 44 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 53 | 5 | 56 | 9 | 331 | 364 | 438 | 802 | 106 | 360 | 7 | 4 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 689 | 650 | 197 | 38 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 67 | 9 | 38 | 13 | 303 | 340 | 443 | 783 | 140 | 329 | 10 | 4 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 717 | 655 | 214 | 40 | 5 | 25 | 49 | 70 | 7 | 30 | 10 | 327 | 382 | 518 | 899 | 191 | 347 | 10 | 7 | 391 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 662 | 593 | 202 | 37 | 4 | 25 | 55 | 84 | 9 | 32 | 6 | 341 | 405 | 543 | 948 | 202 | 370 | 13 | 8 | 413 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 599 | 537 | 166 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 79 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 309 | 375 | 439 | 814 | 130 | 352 | 13 | 9 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 521 | 152 | 26 | 4 | 32 | 42 | 91 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 292 | 347 | 541 | 889 | 250 | 300 | 16 | 7 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 210 | 190 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 221 | 286 | 347 | 633 | 126 | 250 | 19 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 678 | 606 | 165 | 30 | 1 | 32 | 63 | 91 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 272 | 346 | 483 | 829 | 211 | 280 | 13 | 9 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 525 | 157 | 37 | 0 | 29 | 64 | 87 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 299 | 383 | 535 | 918 | 236 | 315 | 14 | 11 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 410 | 358 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 71 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 310 | 391 | 520 | 911 | 209 | 348 | 17 | 11 | 401 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 682 | 625 | 183 | 29 | 0 | 21 | 45 | 119 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 293 | 345 | 440 | 785 | 147 | 337 | 17 | 7 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 654 | 595 | 155 | 23 | 1 | 27 | 50 | 109 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 261 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 178 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 573 | 525 | 130 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 114 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 305 | 390 | 695 | 143 | 289 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 682 | 625 | 183 | 29 | 0 | 21 | 45 | 119 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 293 | 345 | 440 | 785 | 147 | 337 | 17 | 7 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 654 | 595 | 155 | 23 | 1 | 27 | 50 | 109 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 261 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 178 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 573 | 525 | 130 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 114 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 305 | 390 | 695 | 143 | 289 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 466 | 427 | 108 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 88 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 255 | 313 | 410 | 724 | 156 | 285 | 19 | 7 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 379 | 347 | 88 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 71 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 257 | 316 | 412 | 728 | 155 | 289 | 19 | 7 | 322 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 1.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 38 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 244 | 224 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 243 | 300 | 383 | 683 | 140 | 276 | 19 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -2 | -0 | -9 | +1 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 244 | 224 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 302 | 385 | 687 | 140 | 279 | 19 | 7 | 305 | 92 | -2 | -0 | -9 | +1 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 9513 | 8629 | 2574 | 488 | 35 | 278 | 713 | 1300 | 84 | 331 | 101 | 298 | 358 | 460 | 817 | 161 | 323 | 14 | 7 | 360 | 120 | +337 | +26 | -15 | +37 | +206 | 60.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 175 | 33 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 89 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 297 | 357 | 456 | 813 | 159 | 321 | 14 | 8 | 360 | 120 | +23 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +14 | 4.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 12069 | 11031 | 3209 | 569 | 64 | 333 | 805 | 1685 | 100 | 470 | 152 | 291 | 345 | 445 | 789 | 154 | 316 | 14 | 7 | 346 | 120 | +338 | +26 | -16 | +38 | +214 | 61.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 173 | 31 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 91 | 5 | 25 | 8 | 291 | 344 | 444 | 788 | 153 | 317 | 14 | 7 | 346 | 120 | +22 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +14 | 4.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAARound Rock Express · 23 PAwOBA .243 → .181 (−62)K% 30.4% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷1.022 | ×1.290 | — | — | 38.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.030 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 5.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.966 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.982 | 19.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.126 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 5.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 125, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .243 → .181; ISO .095 → .062; BABIP .286 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 238 PAwOBA .445 → .395 (−50)K% 10.9% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.92% | ÷0.960 | ×1.340 | — | — | 15.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.56% | ÷1.063 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 5.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.16% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 31.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.95% | ÷1.132 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.74% | ÷1.100 | ×0.760 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 2.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷0.957 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 2.64% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 101, 2B 126, 3B 120, K 92, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .445 → .395; ISO .197 → .167; BABIP .443 → .404. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 153 PAwOBA .405 → .366 (−39)K% 9.2% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.15% | ÷1.028 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.58% | ÷1.099 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.088 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.050 | 24.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.92% | ÷0.934 | ×0.840 | ×1.018 | ×1.050 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.31% | ÷0.922 | ×0.940 | ×1.018 | ×1.050 | 2.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.05% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 118, 2B 87, 3B 84, K 106, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .405 → .366; ISO .208 → .191; BABIP .373 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ALexington Legends · 434 PAwOBA .348 → .310 (−38)K% 11.3% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.29% | ÷0.984 | ×1.340 | — | — | 15.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.60% | ÷1.072 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.74% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×1.030 | 26.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.36% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | ×1.043 | ×1.030 | 4.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.043 | ×1.030 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.20% | ÷1.157 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.34% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .348 → .310; ISO .137 → .114; BABIP .329 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 127 PAwOBA .337 → .286 (−50)K% 13.4% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.39% | ÷0.945 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.09% | ÷0.932 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.051 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | ×1.042 | 19.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.05% | ÷1.077 | ×0.820 | ×1.031 | ×1.042 | 4.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.094 | ×0.760 | ×1.031 | ×1.042 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.04% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 3.81% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 110, 2B 115, 3B 119, K 89, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .337 → .286; ISO .181 → .152; BABIP .295 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ROKGreeneville Astros · 208 PAwOBA .391 → .309 (−83)K% 7.7% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 10.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 8.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.007 | ×1.008 | 17.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.007 | ×1.008 | 9.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.007 | ×1.008 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 1.48% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .391 → .309; ISO .184 → .146; BABIP .342 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 ROKGreeneville Astros · 152 PAwOBA .320 → .255 (−65)K% 17.1% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.022 | 3.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 20.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 6.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 2.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.022 | 1.42% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .320 → .255; ISO .149 → .114; BABIP .333 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 DSLVSL Astros · 243 PAwOBA .382 → .283 (−99)K% 6.6% → 8.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 8.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.06% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 20.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .382 → .283; ISO .098 → .067; BABIP .366 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .