Mario Valenzuela

PosRF
B/TR/R
Born1977-03-10
Age (2027)50
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2017
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201538AAAGuerreros de …325.279/.359/.42211153—.210/.266/.290
201639AAA/INTL2 orgs149.338/.365/.5568180—.268/.291/.407
201740AAAGuerreros de …356.263/.357/.4099161—.215/.275/.307
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200528 AAASaraperos de Saltillo — 403367 13217131 207310 12 3604086651.073 305375 185 457 134 — — — — — —
200629 AAASaraperos de Saltillo — 2624 5100 160 00 208240250490 42278 234 215 9 — — — — — —
200730 AAASaraperos de Saltillo — 345320 11313126 21643 22 3533986441.042 291377 196 450 113 — — — — — —
200831 AAASaraperos de Saltillo — 371338 10215014 28545 22 302364470834 169326 158 371 81 — — — — — —
200932 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 182170 651119 10261 80 3824206181.038 235412 145 451 127 — — — — — —
201033 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 298261 8518118 32474 00 3264076091.017 284340 1611 439 95 — — — — — —
201033 INTLAlgodoneros de Guasave — 259231 6512113 21373 42 281349511860 229283 148 372 138 — — — — — —
201134 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 294254 9515121 35522 11 3744546891.143 315402 1812 486 124 — — — — — —
201134 INTLAlgodoneros de Guasave — 245224 547012 16492 00 241298433731 192258 207 319 102 — — — — — —
201235 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 422375 13423022 35657 23 3574225951.017 237384 158 439 105 — — — — — —
201235 INTLAlgodoneros de Guasave — 120103 23204 12204 01 223328359687 136237 1710 313 98 — — — — — —
201336 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 170152 461005 15411 00 303369467836 164383 249 368 61 — — — — — —
201437 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 166149 47913 14411 11 315378450828 134415 258 366 62 — — — — — —
201538 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca — 325287 808011 33653 14 279359422781 143324 2010 350 53 — — — — — —
201639 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca — 128121 44707 6220 01 364394595989 231398 175 429 86 — — — — — —
201639 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 2121 4001 040 10 190190333524 143188 190 228 41 — — — — — —
201740 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca — 356308 811619 42743 12 263357409766 146316 2112 343 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200528 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 403373 11214121 148710 12 300343512855 212330 223 366 134 — — — — — —
200629 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 2624 5100 170 00 208240250490 42248 274 182 9 — — — — — —
200730 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 345328 9110117 13773 22 277311470781 192311 224 335 113 — — — — — —
200831 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 371350 861209 16655 22 246288357646 111280 184 288 81 — — — — — —
200932 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 182173 56916 7311 80 324354491845 168356 174 356 127 — — — — — —
201033 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 298274 6614111 19604 00 241300420719 179264 206 309 95 — — — — — —
201134 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 294267 7610113 22632 11 285344476819 191320 217 352 124 — — — — — —
201235 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 422391 10718014 19777 23 274319427746 153301 185 323 105 — — — — — —
201336 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 170158 36702 8541 00 228268310578 82317 325 259 61 — — — — — —
201437 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 166155 37612 8531 11 239280329610 90334 325 260 62 — — — — — —
201538 AAA MLEGuerreros de Oaxaca — 325300 63606 20813 14 210266290556 80259 256 246 53 — — — — — —
201639 AAA MLEGuerreros de Oaxaca — 128123 33504 4280 01 268291407698 138310 223 296 86 — — — — — —
201740 AAA MLEGuerreros de Oaxaca — 356326 701315 24903 12 215275307582 92271 257 259 61 — — — — — —
200528 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 403373 11214121 148710 12 300343512855 212336 223 366 134 — — — — — —
200528 AAA RAWSaraperos de Saltillo — 403367 13217131 207310 12 3604086651.073 305375 185 457 134 — — — — — —
200629 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 2624 5100 170 00 208240250490 42294 274 182 9 — — — — — —
200629 AAA RAWSaraperos de Saltillo — 2624 5100 160 00 208240250490 42278 234 215 9 — — — — — —
200730 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 345328 9110117 13773 22 277311470781 192315 224 335 113 — — — — — —
200730 AAA RAWSaraperos de Saltillo — 345320 11313126 21643 22 3533986441.042 291377 196 450 113 — — — — — —
200831 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 371350 861209 16655 22 246288357646 111279 184 288 81 — — — — — —
200831 AAA RAWSaraperos de Saltillo — 371338 10215014 28545 22 302364470834 169326 158 371 81 — — — — — —
200932 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 182173 56916 7311 80 324354491845 168365 174 356 127 — — — — — —
200932 AAA RAWDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 182170 651119 10261 80 3824206181.038 235412 145 451 127 — — — — — —
201033 AAA MLE2 teams — 557510 12326121 351137 42 241299420719 178268 206 309 95 — — — — — —
201033 AAA RAW2 teams — 557492 15030231 53847 42 305380563943 258312 1510 408 95 — — — — — —
201134 AAA MLE2 teams — 539489 13919124 401154 11 284343474818 190326 217 352 124 — — — — — —
201134 AAA RAW2 teams — 539478 14922133 511014 11 312383569952 257334 199 410 124 — — — — — —
201235 AAA MLE2 teams — 542500 13823018 259911 24 276325430755 154309 185 323 105 — — — — — —
201235 AAA RAW2 teams — 542478 15725026 478511 24 328401544945 215352 169 411 105 — — — — — —
201336 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 170159 36702 8541 00 226268308576 82327 325 259 61 — — — — — —
201336 AAA RAWDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 170152 461005 15411 00 303369467836 164383 249 368 61 — — — — — —
201437 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 166155 37612 8531 11 239280329610 90347 325 260 62 — — — — — —
201437 AAA RAWDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 166149 47913 14411 11 315378450828 134415 258 366 62 — — — — — —
201538 AAA MLEGuerreros de Oaxaca — 325300 63606 20813 14 210266290556 80265 256 246 53 — — — — — —
201538 AAA RAWGuerreros de Oaxaca — 325287 808011 33653 14 279359422781 143324 2010 350 53 — — — — — —
201639 AAA MLE2 teams — 149144 38604 4320 11 264284389673 125312 213 296 86 — — — — — —
201639 AAA RAW2 teams — 149142 48708 6260 11 338365556921 218367 174 401 86 — — — — — —
201740 AAA MLEGuerreros de Oaxaca — 356326 701315 24903 12 215275307582 92278 257 259 61 — — — — — —
201740 AAA RAWGuerreros de Oaxaca — 356308 811619 42743 12 263357409766 146316 2112 343 61 — — — — — —
200528 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 403376 11214121 148710 12 298343508851 210330 223 366 134 — — — — — —
200629 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 2625 5100 170 00 200240240480 40248 274 182 9 — — — — — —
200730 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 345326 9110117 13773 22 279311472783 193311 224 335 113 — — — — — —
200831 AAA MLESaraperos de Saltillo — 371347 861209 16655 22 248288360649 112280 184 288 81 — — — — — —
200932 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 182172 56916 7311 80 326354494848 169356 174 356 127 — — — — — —
201033 AAA MLE2 teams — 557510 12326121 351137 42 241299420719 178264 206 309 95 — — — — — —
201134 AAA MLE2 teams — 539490 13919124 401154 11 284343473817 190320 217 352 124 — — — — — —
201235 AAA MLE2 teams — 542501 13823018 259911 24 275325429754 154301 185 323 105 — — — — — —
201336 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 170159 36702 8541 00 226268308576 82317 325 259 61 — — — — — —
201437 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 166156 37612 8531 11 237280327607 90334 325 260 62 — — — — — —
201538 AAA MLEGuerreros de Oaxaca — 325299 63606 20813 14 211266291557 80259 256 246 53 — — — — — —
201639 AAA MLE2 teams — 149144 38604 4320 11 264284389673 125310 213 296 86 — — — — — —
201740 AAA MLEGuerreros de Oaxaca — 356326 701315 24903 12 215275307582 92271 257 259 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 41313831 9941527135 21590449 2421 259307409716 149305 225 310 96 -21 -4 +0 -44 +90 2.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650603 15624121 341428 43 259307406713 148304 225 310 96 -3 -0 +0 -7 +14 0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 356 PAwOBA .335 → .259 (−76)K% 20.8% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.79%÷0.991×1.200——25.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.24%÷1.085×0.690—×0.9406.71%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.940—×0.9400.74%
Singles /BIP23.50%÷0.999×0.930×1.030×0.94021.19%
Doubles /BIP6.84%÷1.042×0.830×1.030×0.9405.28%
Triples /BIP0.43%÷1.135×0.920×1.030×0.9400.34%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷1.121×0.700—×0.9402.26%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 98, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .335 → .259; ISO .146 → .099; BABIP .316 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 128 PAwOBA .420 → .296 (−124)K% 17.2% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.19%÷0.956×1.200——21.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.69%÷1.092×0.690—×0.9402.78%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP30.30%÷1.086×0.930×1.015×0.94024.75%
Doubles /BIP7.07%÷1.046×0.830×1.015×0.9405.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×1.015×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP7.07%÷1.190×0.700—×0.9403.91%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 117, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .420 → .296; ISO .231 → .137; BABIP .398 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 325 PAwOBA .340 → .246 (−94)K% 20.0% → 24.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷0.966×1.200——24.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.54%÷1.029×0.690—×0.9406.01%
HBP% /PA0.92%—×0.940—×0.9400.82%
Singles /BIP27.48%÷1.059×0.930×1.011×0.94022.94%
Doubles /BIP3.60%÷1.117×0.830×1.011×0.9402.55%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.017×0.920×1.011×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP4.95%÷1.244×0.700—×0.9402.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 112, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .340 → .246; ISO .143 → .081; BABIP .324 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 166 PAwOBA .356 → .260 (−96)K% 24.7% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.70%÷0.931×1.200——31.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.83%÷0.991×0.690—×0.9405.12%
HBP% /PA0.60%—×0.940—×0.9400.53%
Singles /BIP31.48%÷1.039×0.930×1.017×0.94026.92%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.183×0.830×1.017×0.9405.59%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.150×0.920×1.017×0.9400.71%
Home runs /BIP2.78%÷1.180×0.700—×0.9401.55%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 108, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .356 → .260; ISO .134 → .081; BABIP .415 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 170 PAwOBA .358 → .259 (−99)K% 24.1% → 31.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.12%÷0.920×1.200——31.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.24%÷1.068×0.690—×0.9405.00%
HBP% /PA0.59%—×0.940—×0.9400.52%
Singles /BIP27.93%÷0.978×0.930×1.002×0.94025.03%
Doubles /BIP9.01%÷1.124×0.830×1.002×0.9406.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×1.002×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP4.50%÷1.277×0.700—×0.9402.32%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 96, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 84, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .358 → .259; ISO .164 → .093; BABIP .383 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 422 PAwOBA .429 → .323 (−106)K% 15.4% → 18.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.40%÷1.007×1.200——18.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.35%÷1.035×0.690—×0.9404.61%
HBP% /PA1.66%—×0.940—×0.9401.47%
Singles /BIP28.71%÷1.048×0.930×0.986×0.94023.60%
Doubles /BIP7.42%÷1.026×0.830×0.986×0.9405.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×0.986×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP7.10%÷1.088×0.700—×0.9404.29%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .429 → .323; ISO .237 → .157; BABIP .384 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 294 PAwOBA .477 → .352 (−125)K% 17.7% → 21.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.69%÷0.990×1.200——21.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.56%÷1.003×0.690—×0.9407.48%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.940—×0.9400.60%
Singles /BIP28.71%÷1.023×0.930×1.023×0.94025.09%
Doubles /BIP7.43%÷1.180×0.830×1.023×0.9405.02%
Triples /BIP0.50%÷1.150×0.920×1.023×0.9400.38%
Home runs /BIP10.40%÷1.104×0.700—×0.9406.19%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 136, 3B 130, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .477 → .352; ISO .315 → .199; BABIP .402 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 298 PAwOBA .427 → .309 (−118)K% 15.8% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.77%÷0.938×1.200——20.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.07%÷1.031×0.690—×0.9426.35%
HBP% /PA1.34%—×0.940—×0.9421.19%
Singles /BIP22.43%÷1.054×0.930×0.992×0.94218.50%
Doubles /BIP8.41%÷1.029×0.830×0.992×0.9426.34%
Triples /BIP0.47%÷1.150×0.920×0.992×0.9420.35%
Home runs /BIP8.41%÷1.081×0.700—×0.9425.13%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 111, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .427 → .309; ISO .284 → .185; BABIP .340 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .