J.T. Realmuto
C Philadelphia Phillies
Age 36
R/R
6'0" / 212 lbs
MLB
HR +14%
Svc 12.221 · Ctrl thru 2028
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2028
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33 | MLBPHI | 413 | .266/.323/.429 | 14 | 2 | 108 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLBPHI | 550 | .257/.316/.384 | 12 | 8 | 96 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLBPHI | 467 | .205/.286/.331 | 11 | 3 | 73 | 0.7 |
| 2027PROJ | 36 | MLBPHI | 271 | .255/.324/.402 | 7 | 3 | 103 | 1.1 |
| 2028PROJ | 37 | MLBPHI | 143 | .242/.310/.374 | 4 | 1 | 92 | -0.3 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 5.5 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2028Service12.221First FA2028
2027Ext$15M2028Ext$15M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd75
Speed66
xwOBA63
Avg EV57
Barrel%50
Form.238/.313/.367 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .253/.320/.395
CompsTom Wilson (age 35) · Nick Hundley (age 35) · Doug Mirabelli (age 36)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 103103vR 103
AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .324 / .402
PA271
HR7
K%22
BB%7
BABIP305
ISO135
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$21M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1006 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
288
718
—
wRC+
89
109
▶▶R
wOBA
299
329
▶R
ISO
135
146
▶R
BABIP
309
333
▶R
K%
25.0%
23.4%
▶R
BB%
5.9%
6.5%
▶R
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 47 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 175 | 298 | 175 | 473 | 241 | 23 | 15 | 239 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 381 | 348 | 100 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 78 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 287 | 347 | 454 | 801 | 167 | 341 | 20 | 7 | 355 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 499 | 446 | 114 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 64 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 256 | 322 | 345 | 668 | 90 | 279 | 13 | 7 | 300 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 43 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 349 | 361 | 710 | 139 | 280 | 23 | 16 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 416 | 368 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 68 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 239 | 315 | 353 | 669 | 114 | 275 | 16 | 9 | 299 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 30 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 267 | 345 | 611 | 103 | 333 | 27 | 3 | 271 | 76 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +1 | 0.8 |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 423 | 375 | 112 | 25 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 59 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 299 | 372 | 461 | 834 | 163 | 333 | 14 | 10 | 367 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 467 | 441 | 114 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 70 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 259 | 292 | 406 | 698 | 147 | 285 | 15 | 4 | 305 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -8 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 545 | 509 | 154 | 31 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 100 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 303 | 345 | 428 | 773 | 126 | 357 | 18 | 5 | 344 | 126 | +17 | +1 | -2 | +10 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 579 | 532 | 148 | 31 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 106 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 278 | 333 | 451 | 784 | 173 | 318 | 18 | 6 | 346 | 126 | +18 | +1 | +17 | +10 | +13 | 6.0 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 531 | 477 | 132 | 30 | 3 | 21 | 38 | 104 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 277 | 342 | 484 | 826 | 208 | 312 | 20 | 7 | 361 | 139 | +25 | -0 | +9 | +9 | +12 | 5.6 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 593 | 538 | 148 | 36 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 123 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 275 | 332 | 493 | 824 | 217 | 309 | 21 | 7 | 356 | 123 | +16 | +1 | +31 | +11 | +13 | 7.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 195 | 173 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 266 | 349 | 491 | 840 | 225 | 307 | 25 | 8 | 371 | 132 | +7 | +0 | +7 | +3 | +4 | 2.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 537 | 476 | 125 | 25 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 129 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 263 | 344 | 439 | 783 | 176 | 325 | 24 | 9 | 348 | 115 | +10 | +1 | +20 | +10 | +12 | 5.3 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 562 | 504 | 139 | 26 | 5 | 22 | 41 | 119 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 276 | 345 | 478 | 823 | 202 | 318 | 21 | 7 | 360 | 126 | +17 | +4 | +22 | +10 | +12 | 6.7 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 540 | 489 | 123 | 28 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 138 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 252 | 312 | 452 | 764 | 200 | 307 | 26 | 6 | 333 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +10 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 413 | 380 | 101 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 266 | 323 | 429 | 752 | 163 | 328 | 25 | 7 | 334 | 108 | +4 | -0 | +2 | +7 | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 550 | 502 | 129 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 129 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 257 | 316 | 384 | 701 | 127 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 314 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +6 | +10 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 467 | 414 | 85 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 100 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 286 | 331 | 617 | 126 | 239 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 73 | -15 | +1 | +3 | +8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 6009 | 5464 | 1451 | 298 | 35 | 191 | 402 | 1276 | 92 | 107 | 27 | 266 | 326 | 438 | 764 | 172 | 312 | 21 | 7 | 337 | 114 | +100 | +11 | +108 | +115 | +130 | 47.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 47 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 116 | 191 | 116 | 308 | 199 | 34 | 9 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 381 | 358 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 109 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 235 | 279 | 355 | 634 | 120 | 311 | 29 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 499 | 455 | 104 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 95 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 229 | 284 | 310 | 594 | 81 | 264 | 19 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 416 | 378 | 83 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 81 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 220 | 279 | 317 | 596 | 98 | 257 | 19 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 30 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 267 | 345 | 611 | 103 | 333 | 27 | 3 | 281 | 76 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +1 | 0.8 |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 423 | 389 | 108 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 71 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 278 | 329 | 424 | 754 | 147 | 316 | 17 | 6 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 467 | 443 | 119 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 70 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 269 | 299 | 431 | 730 | 163 | 285 | 15 | 4 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -8 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 545 | 510 | 160 | 34 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 100 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 314 | 354 | 451 | 805 | 137 | 357 | 18 | 5 | 354 | 126 | +17 | +1 | -2 | +10 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 579 | 536 | 153 | 34 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 106 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 285 | 335 | 468 | 803 | 183 | 318 | 18 | 6 | 354 | 126 | +18 | +1 | +17 | +10 | +13 | 6.0 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 531 | 479 | 137 | 33 | 3 | 22 | 38 | 104 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 286 | 351 | 505 | 856 | 219 | 312 | 20 | 7 | 374 | 139 | +25 | -0 | +9 | +9 | +12 | 5.6 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 593 | 541 | 147 | 37 | 3 | 23 | 39 | 123 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 272 | 326 | 479 | 805 | 207 | 309 | 21 | 7 | 349 | 123 | +16 | +1 | +31 | +11 | +13 | 7.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 195 | 173 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 344 | 468 | 812 | 208 | 307 | 25 | 8 | 364 | 132 | +7 | +0 | +7 | +3 | +4 | 2.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 537 | 481 | 125 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 43 | 129 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 260 | 335 | 430 | 765 | 170 | 325 | 24 | 8 | 338 | 115 | +10 | +1 | +20 | +10 | +12 | 5.3 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 562 | 505 | 139 | 27 | 5 | 21 | 40 | 119 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 275 | 343 | 473 | 816 | 198 | 318 | 21 | 7 | 354 | 126 | +17 | +4 | +22 | +10 | +12 | 6.7 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 540 | 494 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 138 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 249 | 307 | 443 | 750 | 194 | 307 | 26 | 6 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +10 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 413 | 381 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 262 | 318 | 417 | 735 | 155 | 328 | 25 | 6 | 328 | 108 | +4 | -0 | +2 | +7 | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 550 | 504 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 129 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 256 | 314 | 379 | 693 | 123 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 310 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +6 | +10 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 467 | 414 | 84 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 100 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 203 | 284 | 321 | 605 | 118 | 239 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -15 | +1 | +3 | +8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 47 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 116 | 191 | 116 | 308 | 185 | 34 | 9 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 47 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 175 | 298 | 175 | 473 | 241 | 23 | 15 | 239 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 381 | 358 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 109 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 235 | 279 | 355 | 634 | 120 | 315 | 29 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 381 | 348 | 100 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 78 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 287 | 347 | 454 | 801 | 167 | 341 | 20 | 7 | 355 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 495 | 113 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 104 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 228 | 283 | 311 | 594 | 83 | 270 | 19 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 542 | 482 | 122 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 74 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 253 | 325 | 346 | 671 | 93 | 279 | 14 | 8 | 302 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 416 | 378 | 83 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 81 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 220 | 279 | 317 | 596 | 98 | 263 | 19 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 416 | 368 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 68 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 239 | 315 | 353 | 669 | 114 | 275 | 16 | 9 | 299 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 418 | 115 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 79 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 325 | 419 | 744 | 144 | 321 | 17 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 453 | 404 | 119 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 67 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 295 | 365 | 453 | 818 | 158 | 333 | 15 | 9 | 361 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 467 | 443 | 119 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 70 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 269 | 299 | 431 | 730 | 163 | 295 | 15 | 4 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -8 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 467 | 441 | 114 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 70 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 259 | 292 | 406 | 698 | 147 | 285 | 15 | 4 | 305 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -8 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 545 | 510 | 160 | 34 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 100 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 314 | 354 | 451 | 805 | 137 | 369 | 18 | 5 | 354 | 126 | +17 | +1 | -2 | +10 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 545 | 509 | 154 | 31 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 100 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 303 | 345 | 428 | 773 | 126 | 357 | 18 | 5 | 344 | 126 | +17 | +1 | -2 | +10 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 579 | 536 | 153 | 34 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 106 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 285 | 335 | 468 | 803 | 183 | 325 | 18 | 6 | 354 | 126 | +18 | +1 | +17 | +10 | +13 | 6.0 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 579 | 532 | 148 | 31 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 106 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 278 | 333 | 451 | 784 | 173 | 318 | 18 | 6 | 346 | 126 | +18 | +1 | +17 | +10 | +13 | 6.0 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 531 | 479 | 137 | 33 | 3 | 22 | 38 | 104 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 286 | 351 | 505 | 856 | 219 | 322 | 20 | 7 | 374 | 139 | +25 | -0 | +9 | +9 | +12 | 5.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 531 | 477 | 132 | 30 | 3 | 21 | 38 | 104 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 277 | 342 | 484 | 826 | 208 | 312 | 20 | 7 | 361 | 139 | +25 | -0 | +9 | +9 | +12 | 5.6 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 593 | 541 | 147 | 37 | 3 | 23 | 39 | 123 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 272 | 326 | 479 | 805 | 207 | 308 | 21 | 7 | 349 | 123 | +16 | +1 | +31 | +11 | +13 | 7.3 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 593 | 538 | 148 | 36 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 123 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 275 | 332 | 493 | 824 | 217 | 309 | 21 | 7 | 356 | 123 | +16 | +1 | +31 | +11 | +13 | 7.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 195 | 173 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 344 | 468 | 812 | 208 | 304 | 25 | 8 | 364 | 132 | +7 | +0 | +7 | +3 | +4 | 2.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 195 | 173 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 266 | 349 | 491 | 840 | 225 | 307 | 25 | 8 | 371 | 132 | +7 | +0 | +7 | +3 | +4 | 2.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 537 | 481 | 125 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 43 | 129 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 260 | 335 | 430 | 765 | 170 | 322 | 24 | 8 | 338 | 115 | +10 | +1 | +20 | +10 | +12 | 5.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 537 | 476 | 125 | 25 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 129 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 263 | 344 | 439 | 783 | 176 | 325 | 24 | 9 | 348 | 115 | +10 | +1 | +20 | +10 | +12 | 5.3 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 562 | 505 | 139 | 27 | 5 | 21 | 40 | 119 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 275 | 343 | 473 | 816 | 198 | 319 | 21 | 7 | 354 | 126 | +17 | +4 | +22 | +10 | +12 | 6.7 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 562 | 504 | 139 | 26 | 5 | 22 | 41 | 119 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 276 | 345 | 478 | 823 | 202 | 318 | 21 | 7 | 360 | 126 | +17 | +4 | +22 | +10 | +12 | 6.7 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 540 | 494 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 138 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 249 | 307 | 443 | 750 | 194 | 304 | 26 | 6 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +10 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 540 | 489 | 123 | 28 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 138 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 252 | 312 | 452 | 764 | 200 | 307 | 26 | 6 | 333 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +10 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 413 | 381 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 262 | 318 | 417 | 735 | 155 | 326 | 25 | 6 | 328 | 108 | +4 | -0 | +2 | +7 | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 413 | 380 | 101 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 266 | 323 | 429 | 752 | 163 | 328 | 25 | 7 | 334 | 108 | +4 | -0 | +2 | +7 | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 550 | 504 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 129 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 256 | 314 | 379 | 693 | 123 | 322 | 23 | 6 | 310 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +6 | +10 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 550 | 502 | 129 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 129 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 257 | 316 | 384 | 701 | 127 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 314 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +6 | +10 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 467 | 414 | 84 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 100 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 203 | 284 | 321 | 605 | 118 | 239 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -15 | +1 | +3 | +8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 467 | 414 | 85 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 100 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 286 | 331 | 617 | 126 | 239 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 73 | -15 | +1 | +3 | +8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 47 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 116 | 191 | 116 | 308 | 199 | 34 | 9 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 381 | 356 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 109 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 236 | 279 | 357 | 636 | 121 | 311 | 29 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 499 | 113 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 104 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 226 | 283 | 309 | 592 | 82 | 264 | 19 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 416 | 382 | 83 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 81 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 217 | 279 | 314 | 593 | 97 | 257 | 19 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 419 | 115 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 79 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 274 | 325 | 418 | 743 | 143 | 317 | 17 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 467 | 445 | 119 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 70 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 267 | 299 | 429 | 728 | 162 | 285 | 15 | 4 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 545 | 508 | 160 | 34 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 100 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 315 | 354 | 453 | 807 | 138 | 357 | 18 | 5 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 579 | 534 | 153 | 34 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 106 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 287 | 335 | 470 | 805 | 184 | 318 | 18 | 6 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 531 | 478 | 137 | 33 | 3 | 22 | 38 | 104 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 287 | 351 | 506 | 857 | 220 | 312 | 20 | 7 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 593 | 544 | 147 | 37 | 3 | 23 | 39 | 123 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 270 | 326 | 476 | 803 | 206 | 309 | 21 | 7 | 349 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 195 | 171 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 263 | 344 | 474 | 817 | 211 | 307 | 25 | 8 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 537 | 478 | 125 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 43 | 129 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 262 | 335 | 433 | 768 | 172 | 325 | 24 | 8 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 562 | 505 | 139 | 27 | 5 | 21 | 40 | 119 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 275 | 343 | 473 | 816 | 198 | 318 | 21 | 7 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 540 | 494 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 138 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 249 | 307 | 443 | 750 | 194 | 307 | 26 | 6 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 413 | 379 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 264 | 318 | 420 | 737 | 156 | 328 | 25 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 550 | 502 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 129 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 257 | 314 | 380 | 695 | 124 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 467 | 417 | 84 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 100 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 201 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 118 | 239 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 413 | 379 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 264 | 318 | 420 | 737 | 156 | 328 | 25 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 550 | 502 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 129 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 257 | 314 | 380 | 695 | 124 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 467 | 417 | 84 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 100 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 201 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 118 | 239 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 379 | 341 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 84 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 253 | 323 | 395 | 718 | 143 | 305 | 22 | 7 | 321 | 103 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +8 | 1.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 271 | 244 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 60 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 324 | 402 | 727 | 147 | 305 | 22 | 7 | 324 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 1.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 37 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 143 | 129 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 309 | 368 | 677 | 127 | 294 | 23 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +3 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 143 | 129 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 310 | 374 | 684 | 132 | 295 | 23 | 7 | 307 | 92 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +3 | +3 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 6152 | 5593 | 1482 | 304 | 35 | 195 | 412 | 1309 | 95 | 108 | 27 | 265 | 326 | 436 | 762 | 171 | 311 | 21 | 7 | 336 | 104 | +99 | +11 | +100 | +117 | +133 | 47.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 157 | 32 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 138 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 266 | 327 | 440 | 767 | 174 | 311 | 21 | 7 | 336 | 104 | +10 | +1 | +11 | +12 | +14 | 5.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8232 | 7526 | 1952 | 408 | 47 | 223 | 516 | 1750 | 121 | 165 | 46 | 259 | 317 | 415 | 732 | 156 | 308 | 21 | 6 | 322 | 104 | +100 | +11 | +100 | +122 | +139 | 48.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 155 | 32 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 138 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 261 | 319 | 419 | 739 | 158 | 309 | 21 | 6 | 322 | 104 | +10 | +1 | +10 | +12 | +14 | 4.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2014 AAJacksonville Suns · 423 PAwOBA .359 → .326 (−34)K% 13.9% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 6.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.10% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 21.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.91% | ÷0.940 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.064 | ×0.880 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.006 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.07% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .359 → .326; ISO .163 → .149; BABIP .333 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAJacksonville Suns · 416 PAwOBA .296 → .263 (−33)K% 16.3% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.35% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.65% | ÷0.980 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.67% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.042 | 18.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×1.042 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.880 | ×0.983 | ×1.042 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.34% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 116, K 105, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .296 → .263; ISO .114 → .100; BABIP .275 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 499 PAwOBA .295 → .265 (−30)K% 12.8% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.83% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷0.971 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.56% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.19% | ÷0.977 | ×0.960 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.09% | ÷0.939 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .295 → .265; ISO .090 → .085; BABIP .279 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 381 PAwOBA .346 → .274 (−72)K% 20.5% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.47% | ÷0.958 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷1.119 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.56% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.030 | 23.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷0.982 | ×0.820 | ×1.004 | ×1.030 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.004 | ×1.030 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.143 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 3.28% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 92, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .346 → .274; ISO .167 → .125; BABIP .341 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKGCL Marlins · 47 PAwOBA .234 → .164 (−70)K% 23.4% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.40% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .234 → .164; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .241 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .