Marcus Semien — OGILVIE

Marcus Semien2B New York Mets

Age 35 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs MLB Svc 11.686 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION318 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9995vR 84

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .310 / .393

PA212

HR6

SB7

K%19

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO152

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

817.8%

xwOBA

590.319

POWER45

Barrel%

406.9

Avg EV

2887.5

Bat Spd

1968.1

EYE55

Chase%

9023.4%

SPEED53

Sprint

6628.1

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1354 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

342

1012

—

wRC+

106

◀◀L

wOBA

323

295

◀L

ISO

123

147

▶▶R

BABIP

291

240

◀◀L

16.1%

—

BB%

10.8%

8.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2013

Service 11.686 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$10M	+0.4	$1M	-$9M
2027	Ext	$25M	+1.2	$9M	-$14M
2028	Ext	$25M	+0.3	$1M	-$19M
Totals		$60M		$11M	-$41M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$41M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	262	237	49	14	2	2	14	66	2	3	4	207	257	308	565	101	273	25	5	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	262	229	58	15	2	3	22	53	2	3	4	253	324	376	700	122	312	20	8	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	487	440	97	27	4	13	33	147	5	11	5	220	282	389	671	168	297	30	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	487	418	115	32	5	14	55	98	5	11	5	275	366	476	842	201	327	20	11	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA	4 teams	—	786	698	165	31	5	22	76	168	6	26	9	236	317	390	706	153	279	21	10	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA	4 teams	—	786	664	177	39	6	23	109	135	6	26	9	267	374	447	822	181	302	17	14	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	2 teams	—	621	553	126	27	5	16	55	144	6	10	2	228	305	382	686	154	276	23	9	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	2 teams	—	621	534	135	30	5	21	74	129	6	10	2	253	350	446	796	193	293	21	12	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	601	556	146	24	7	16	42	132	1	11	5	263	316	417	733	155	318	22	7	318	102	+1	+0	-5	+6	+17	2.0
2015	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	601	556	143	23	7	15	42	132	1	11	5	257	311	405	715	147	312	22	7	317	101	+1	+0	-5	+6	+17	2.0
2016	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	621	568	138	28	2	28	51	139	0	10	2	243	305	447	753	204	274	22	8	327	108	+6	+1	+1	+7	+18	3.3
2016	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	621	568	135	27	2	27	51	139	0	10	2	238	300	435	735	197	268	22	8	324	106	+4	+1	+1	+7	+18	3.1
2017	26	MLB	3 teams	—	421	373	97	23	1	12	39	89	2	12	1	260	333	424	757	164	306	21	9	329	110	+5	+2	-4	+5	+12	2.0
2017	26	MLB	3 teams	—	421	373	95	22	1	12	39	88	2	12	1	255	329	416	744	161	297	21	9	327	109	+4	+2	-4	+5	+12	1.9
2018	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	703	632	164	36	2	16	61	131	1	14	6	259	326	399	724	139	301	19	9	316	100	+0	+0	+4	+8	+20	3.2
2018	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	703	632	161	35	2	15	61	131	1	14	6	255	321	388	709	133	296	19	9	315	99	-1	+0	+4	+8	+20	3.1
2019	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	747	657	192	45	7	35	87	102	2	10	8	292	377	542	919	250	301	14	12	392	158	+49	-1	+1	+8	+21	8.0
2019	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	747	657	187	43	7	33	87	102	2	10	8	285	370	522	892	237	294	14	12	390	157	+48	-1	+1	+8	+21	7.9
2020	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	236	211	47	9	1	7	25	50	0	4	0	223	305	374	679	152	260	21	11	309	95	-1	+1	-6	+3	+7	0.3
2020	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	236	211	47	9	1	7	25	50	0	4	0	223	305	374	679	152	260	21	11	306	93	-2	+1	-6	+3	+7	0.3
2021	30	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	724	652	172	39	2	45	66	146	3	15	1	264	334	537	871	273	274	20	9	373	143	+36	+3	+4	+3	+21	6.7
2021	30	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	724	652	173	39	2	45	66	146	3	15	1	265	336	538	874	273	276	20	9	378	148	+39	+3	+4	+3	+21	7.0
2022	31	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	724	657	161	31	5	25	53	120	4	25	8	245	305	422	727	177	261	17	7	315	99	-1	+2	+7	+3	+21	3.2
2022	31	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	724	657	163	31	5	26	53	120	4	25	8	248	308	429	737	181	263	17	7	322	105	+4	+2	+7	+3	+21	3.6
2023	32	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	753	671	182	39	4	28	72	110	5	14	3	271	346	466	813	195	286	15	10	354	129	+25	+2	+12	+3	+21	6.3
2023	32	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	753	670	185	40	4	29	72	110	5	14	3	276	350	478	828	201	291	15	10	363	136	+31	+2	+12	+3	+21	7.0
2024	33	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	718	650	152	27	2	22	64	105	3	8	3	234	305	383	689	149	248	15	9	304	91	-7	+0	+15	+3	+20	3.2
2024	33	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	718	650	154	27	2	23	64	105	3	8	3	237	308	391	699	154	250	15	9	313	98	-2	+0	+15	+3	+20	3.7
2025	34	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	534	470	107	16	1	15	50	93	5	11	1	228	309	362	670	134	248	17	9	294	84	-10	+2	+6	+2	+15	1.5
2025	34	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	534	470	108	16	1	15	50	93	5	11	1	230	310	364	674	134	251	17	9	301	88	-7	+2	+6	+2	+15	1.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	35	MLB	NYM	—	318	290	62	8	1	9	23	68	1	6	2	214	274	341	615	128	245	21	7	271	66	-12	+0	+1	+1	+9	-0.1
YTD	35	MLB	NYM	—	318	290	62	8	1	9	23	68	1	6	2	214	274	341	615	128	245	21	7	274	68	-11	+0	+1	+1	+9	-0.0
ROS	35	MLB	NYM	100%	212	191	46	9	1	6	18	40	1	7	2	241	310	393	702	152	276	19	8	317	101	+0	+1	+2	+1	+6	1.0
ROS	35	MLB	NYM	100%	212	191	46	9	1	6	18	40	1	7	2	241	310	393	702	152	276	19	8	313	98	-1	+1	+2	+1	+6	0.9
FULL	35	MLB	NYM	—	530	481	108	17	2	15	41	108	2	13	4	225	288	362	650	137	257	20	8	288	79	-13	+1	+3	+2	+15	0.8
TOT	35	MLB	NYM	—	530	481	108	17	2	15	41	108	2	13	4	225	288	362	650	137	257	20	8	290	80	-12	+1	+3	+2	+15	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	36	MLB	NYM	100%	464	421	100	19	2	13	38	90	2	9	2	238	304	385	688	147	272	19	8	306	93	-4	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.1
2028	37	MLB	NYM	100%	397	360	82	15	2	10	32	80	2	4	1	228	294	364	658	136	262	20	8	292	82	-8	+0	-3	+1	+11	0.2
2029	38	MLB	NYM	100%	326	296	64	11	2	7	26	68	1	2	1	216	282	338	620	122	253	21	8	278	71	-11	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.5
2027	36	MLB	NYM	100%	464	421	100	19	2	13	38	90	2	9	2	238	304	385	688	147	271	19	8	303	90	-5	+1	-2	+2	+13	0.9
2028	37	MLB	NYM	100%	397	360	81	14	2	10	32	80	2	4	1	225	292	358	650	133	262	20	8	288	79	-10	+0	-3	+1	+11	0.1
2029	38	MLB	NYM	100%	326	296	64	11	2	7	26	68	1	2	1	216	282	338	620	122	253	21	8	274	68	-12	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	8472	7633	1904	376	43	289	745	1583	33	161	46	249	319	424	742	174	278	19	9	328	109	+85	+14	+29	+58	+240	43.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	146	29	3	22	57	121	3	12	4	249	319	422	741	172	277	19	9	328	109	+7	+1	+2	+4	+18	3.3
Career	—			—	10337	9293	2287	470	57	338	902	2020	51	206	64	246	316	418	734	172	278	20	9	320	103	+40	+16	+29	+61	+293	44.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	144	30	4	21	57	127	3	13	4	247	317	420	736	173	280	20	9	320	103	+3	+1	+2	+4	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	262	229	58	15	2	3	22	53	2	3	4	253	324	376	700	122	312	20	8	305	92	-2	-1	—	—	+7	0.4
2012	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	487	418	115	32	5	14	55	98	5	11	5	275	366	476	842	201	327	20	11	366	138	+21	+0	—	—	+14	3.6
2013	22	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	71	69	18	4	0	2	1	22	0	2	2	261	271	406	677	145	348	31	1	294	83	-1	-0	+2	+3	+2	0.5
2013	22	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	142	125	33	11	1	4	14	24	1	4	0	264	343	464	807	200	293	17	10	352	127	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2013	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	484	393	114	21	5	15	84	66	4	20	5	290	419	483	903	193	317	14	17	401	165	+35	+2	—	—	+14	5.2
2013	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	89	77	12	3	0	2	10	23	1	0	2	156	261	273	534	117	189	26	11	248	48	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2014	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	255	231	54	10	2	6	21	70	1	3	0	234	300	372	673	139	310	27	8	300	88	-4	+1	-1	+2	+7	0.6
2014	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	366	303	81	20	3	15	53	59	5	7	2	267	385	502	887	234	282	16	14	386	154	+22	+1	—	—	+10	3.4
2015	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	601	556	143	23	7	15	42	132	1	11	5	257	311	405	715	147	312	22	7	317	101	+1	+0	-5	+6	+17	2.0
2016	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	621	568	135	27	2	27	51	139	0	10	2	238	300	435	735	197	268	22	8	324	106	+4	+1	+1	+7	+18	3.1
2017	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	386	342	85	19	1	10	38	85	2	12	1	249	327	398	725	149	300	22	10	323	105	+2	+2	-4	+5	+11	1.6
2017	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	15	14	4	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	286	333	500	833	214	250	7	7	366	138	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2017	26	A+	Stockton Ports	—	20	17	6	3	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	353	353	706	1.059	353	294	10	0	387	154	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2018	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	703	632	161	35	2	15	61	131	1	14	6	255	321	388	709	133	296	19	9	315	99	-1	+0	+4	+8	+20	3.1
2019	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	747	657	187	43	7	33	87	102	2	10	8	285	370	522	892	237	294	14	12	390	157	+48	-1	+1	+8	+21	7.9
2020	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	236	211	47	9	1	7	25	50	0	4	0	223	305	374	679	152	260	21	11	306	93	-2	+1	-6	+3	+7	0.3
2021	30	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	724	652	173	39	2	45	66	146	3	15	1	265	336	538	874	273	276	20	9	378	148	+39	+3	+4	+3	+21	7.0
2022	31	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	724	657	163	31	5	26	53	120	4	25	8	248	308	429	737	181	263	17	7	322	105	+4	+2	+7	+3	+21	3.6
2023	32	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	753	670	185	40	4	29	72	110	5	14	3	276	350	478	828	201	291	15	10	363	136	+31	+2	+12	+3	+21	7.0
2024	33	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	718	650	154	27	2	23	64	105	3	8	3	237	308	391	699	154	250	15	9	313	98	-2	+0	+15	+3	+20	3.7
2025	34	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	534	470	108	16	1	15	50	93	5	11	1	230	310	364	674	134	251	17	9	301	88	-7	+2	+6	+2	+15	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	7073	6365	1613	323	36	253	631	1305	27	139	40	253	323	435	758	181	280	18	9	334	114	+113	+12	+36	+53	+200	42.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons	18	9,097	307	181	250	316	422	+17	+65	35.7	31.7
	/162	664	22	13	250	316	422	+1.2	+4.7	2.6	pk7: 28
#1Juan Uribelast yr '16 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,715 PA	16	6,715	199	48	255	301	418	+33	+116	33.1	29.1
	/162	664	20	5	255	301	418	+3.3	+11.4	3.3	pk7: 25
#2Aaron Hilllast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,217 PA	13	6,217	162	74	266	323	417	+22	+25	27.7	26.1
	/162	664	17	8	266	323	417	+2.4	+2.6	3.0	pk7: 25
#3Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#4Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#5Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	12	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
	/162	664	21	3	253	305	430	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#6Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marcus Semien (OGILVIE)	35	50	45	53	55	225/288/362	137	257	15	13	20%	8%	80	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hiram Bocachica 2010 · MLB	34	46	50→55	50→55	53	236/317/394	158	266	17	17	19%	9%	102	+1.9	230/302/405	175	266	21	16	22%	8%	99	+1.7	211/292/396	184	237	22	20	22%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Jerry Hairston Jr. 2011 · MLB	35	52→55	47→50	47→55	52	255/313/389	135	269	14	13	12%	7%	98	+1.6	257/322/374	117	279	11	6	12%	8%	98	+1.6	258/326/361	103	281	8	3	11%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Gabriel Gutierrez 2019 · AAA	35	50	47→45	48→45	46	250/296/385	135	281	14	11	17%	5%	90	+1.0	268/315/419	151	293	18	11	15%	5%	108	+2.3	305/349/458	153	322	20	8	12%	5%	127	+1.5
✕Eric Sogard 2021 · MLB	35	50→57	46→45	52→55	54	245/314/377	132	274	13	8	16%	9%	96	+1.5	240/295/351	111	280	10	10	18%	7%	81	+0.4	244/282/307	63	291	3	10	17%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Elvis Andrus 2023 · MLB	34	50→60	45→50	51→60	49	245/298/372	127	273	13	16	16%	7%	88	+0.9	247/303/374	127	284	13	16	17%	7%	90	+1.0	250/303/355	104	293	9	18	17%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Terry Shumpert 2002 · MLB	35	54	49→50	59→55	51	265/328/427	162	296	14	21	16%	7%	115	+2.7	238/309/387	149	268	14	13	17%	8%	96	+1.5	226/299/358	132	250	13	9	15%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Lew Ford 2012 · AAA	35	48→58	47→50	51→50	51	237/301/383	145	257	14	13	14%	7%	92	+1.2	251/297/441	190	276	22	11	18%	5%	105	+2.1	273/320/457	184	298	21	8	16%	6%	116	+1.0
✕John Valentin 2002 · MLB	35	47	49→45	45→30	57	237/318/381	144	253	17	7	15%	10%	99	+1.7	241/331/371	130	275	12	6	16%	9%	102	+1.9	238/339/352	114	276	7	0	15%	9%	99	+0.7
✕Manny Rodriguez 2017 · AAA	35	50→60	49→55	49→50	42	254/293/396	142	273	17	11	15%	3%	92	+1.2	242/287/370	128	272	14	13	16%	5%	82	+0.5	232/280/345	113	263	12	10	17%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Nyjer Morgan 2016 · MLB	36	47→57	45	53→65	47	232/291/356	124	282	13	15	22%	8%	81	+0.4	237/302/367	130	275	13	20	19%	7%	89	+0.9	235/303/358	123	270	12	26	18%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Agustin Murillo 2017 · AAA	35	53→61	46→50	52→55	48	262/309/390	129	281	14	20	13%	6%	97	+1.5	245/294/352	107	275	12	15	15%	6%	80	+0.4	241/294/341	100	269	13	14	16%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Chris Gimenez 2018 · MLB	35	44→54	48→50	49→45	51	223/310/362	139	282	16	5	26%	10%	92	+1.2	202/274/319	117	287	12	7	32%	8%	65	-0.7	157/217/236	78	237	8	4	35%	6%	18	-1.9
✕Miguel Rojas 2023 · MLB	34	53→61	43→45	50	50	257/310/374	117	282	10	12	13%	6%	93	+1.3	257/311/374	117	281	11	12	12%	7%	93	+1.3	278/333/411	134	300	12	10	12%	7%	110	+1.1
✕So Taguchi 2004 · MLB	35	49→58	54→45	52→50	51	255/317/437	182	280	22	10	18%	8%	113	+2.6	265/316/392	127	295	11	15	14%	6%	100	+1.7	276/331/372	96	310	7	15	13%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Manny Alexander 2006 · MLB	35	49→50	45	54→55	45	240/290/365	125	284	11	23	20%	6%	82	+0.5	220/262/311	91	262	7	14	18%	5%	56	-1.3	210/249/283	73	249	5	10	17%	4%	39	-1.7
✕Damion Easley 2005 · MLB	35	46→52	51→55	47→50	52	231/308/398	168	244	17	7	15%	8%	99	+1.7	243/321/423	180	259	21	7	15%	9%	111	+2.5	258/330/403	145	272	19	1	13%	8%	107	+1.0
✕Lorenzo Cain 2022 · MLB	36	52→62	47→50	52→55	52	259/326/392	133	296	14	20	18%	9%	105	+2.1	229/291/348	119	278	12	14	21%	7%	79	+0.3	181/234/238	57	233	4	8	23%	5%	24	-0.9
●Brett Gardner 2019 · MLB	35	50→59	46→55	56→65	57	246/331/378	133	282	13	17	18%	11%	103	+1.9	236/325/414	178	271	19	11	20%	11%	110	+2.4	228/325/414	186	262	21	9	21%	12%	108	+1.5
✕Said Gutierrez 2015 · AAA	35	47	48→55	49→40	44	237/280/368	130	261	17	6	17%	5%	79	+0.3	227/266/332	105	267	14	4	20%	4%	63	-0.8	230/265/309	79	276	11	0	21%	3%	55	-0.5
✕Omar Ramirez 2006 · AAA	35	49→50	53→55	51→50	51	255/311/427	172	272	21	11	16%	7%	108	+2.3	257/315/399	142	284	15	11	15%	7%	102	+1.8	274/336/395	121	302	12	10	13%	7%	108	+0.6