Jason Heyward — OGILVIE

Jason HeywardRF San Diego Padres

Age 36 L/L 6'5" / 240 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 16.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 184 proj PA

wRC+†vL 2461vR 75

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .298 / .399

PA184

HR6

K%23

BB%8

ISO169

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

619.9%

xwOBA

420.300

POWER40

Barrel%

396.7

Avg EV

2887.5

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE55

Chase%

4033.6%

SPEED50

Sprint

4327.2

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 341 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

319

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

217

283

▶▶R

ISO

136

183

▶▶R

BABIP

300

205

◀◀L

50.0%

18.8%

▶▶R

BB%

0.0%

7.8%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2010

Service 16.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.7M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$0.2M
Totals		$0.7M		$0.5M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2007	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	48	44	11	4	0	1	2	13	1	1	1	250	298	409	707	159	323	27	4	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	48	43	13	5	0	1	3	9	1	1	1	302	362	488	850	186	353	19	6	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A	2 teams	—	533	490	136	24	6	9	32	105	3	15	3	278	326	406	732	129	331	20	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A	2 teams	—	533	471	149	29	6	11	51	78	3	15	3	316	387	473	860	157	354	15	10	377	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+	2 teams	—	409	371	106	22	4	16	29	67	4	9	1	286	344	496	840	210	307	16	7	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+	2 teams	—	409	351	113	25	4	17	49	49	4	9	1	322	411	561	972	239	331	12	12	420	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	623	520	144	29	5	18	91	128	10	11	6	277	395	456	850	179	335	21	15	374	144	+31	-0	-1	-7	+18	4.2
2010	20	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	623	520	144	29	5	18	91	128	10	11	6	277	395	456	850	179	335	21	15	380	149	+35	-0	-1	-7	+18	4.5
2011	21	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	456	398	90	18	2	14	51	93	4	9	2	226	320	387	707	161	259	20	11	308	94	-3	+1	+4	-5	+13	1.0
2011	21	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	456	396	90	18	2	14	51	93	4	9	2	227	320	389	709	162	260	20	11	317	101	+1	+1	+4	-5	+13	1.4
2012	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	651	588	158	30	6	27	58	152	2	21	8	269	336	478	814	209	318	23	9	352	127	+20	+1	+5	-7	+18	3.8
2012	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	651	587	158	30	6	27	58	152	2	21	8	269	336	479	815	210	319	23	9	357	131	+23	+1	+5	-7	+18	4.1
2013	23	MLB	2 teams	—	466	404	102	23	1	14	51	82	9	3	4	252	349	418	767	166	285	18	11	340	118	+10	-1	+6	-5	+13	2.3
2013	23	MLB	2 teams	—	466	402	103	23	1	14	52	80	9	3	4	256	353	423	776	167	288	17	11	348	124	+13	-1	+6	-5	+13	2.7
2014	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	649	573	155	26	3	11	67	98	6	20	4	271	353	384	737	113	308	15	10	326	108	+6	+2	+13	-7	+18	3.3
2014	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	649	573	155	26	3	11	67	98	6	20	4	271	353	384	737	113	308	15	10	333	113	+10	+2	+13	-7	+18	3.7
2015	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	610	549	160	33	4	13	56	90	2	23	3	291	359	437	796	146	327	15	9	346	123	+16	+3	+11	-7	+17	4.2
2015	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	610	547	160	33	4	13	56	90	2	23	3	293	359	439	798	146	329	15	9	354	129	+20	+3	+11	-7	+17	4.6
2016	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	592	530	121	26	1	7	54	93	5	11	4	228	306	321	626	92	264	16	9	283	75	-17	+1	+8	-6	+17	0.2
2016	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	592	530	122	27	1	7	54	93	5	11	4	230	307	325	632	94	266	16	9	289	79	-14	+1	+8	-6	+17	0.5
2017	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	481	433	112	15	4	11	41	67	3	4	4	259	327	388	715	129	283	14	9	312	97	-2	-1	+3	-5	+14	0.9
2017	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	481	432	112	15	4	11	41	67	3	4	4	259	327	389	716	130	284	14	9	319	103	+1	-1	+3	-5	+14	1.2
2018	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	489	441	119	23	4	8	42	60	2	1	1	270	336	395	731	125	296	12	9	318	102	+1	-0	+1	-5	+14	1.1
2018	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	489	440	119	23	4	8	42	60	2	1	1	270	336	395	732	125	297	12	9	326	108	+4	-0	+1	-5	+14	1.4
2019	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	589	513	128	20	4	20	68	110	5	8	3	250	343	421	764	172	280	19	12	332	112	+8	+0	+5	-6	+17	2.4
2019	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	589	513	129	20	4	21	68	110	5	8	3	251	345	429	774	177	281	19	12	345	122	+15	+0	+5	-6	+17	3.1
2020	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	181	147	39	6	2	6	30	37	2	2	0	265	397	456	852	190	311	20	17	367	139	+8	+0	+1	-2	+5	1.2
2020	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	181	147	39	6	2	6	30	37	2	2	0	265	397	456	852	190	311	20	17	378	148	+10	+0	+1	-2	+5	1.4
2021	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	353	323	69	15	2	8	27	68	3	5	1	214	280	347	627	133	247	19	8	275	69	-12	+1	+2	-4	+10	-0.3
2021	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	353	323	69	15	2	8	27	68	3	5	1	214	280	347	627	133	247	19	8	283	75	-10	+1	+2	-4	+10	-0.1
2022	32	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	151	137	28	5	1	1	11	32	3	1	0	204	278	277	556	73	260	21	7	254	52	-8	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.4
2022	32	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	151	137	28	5	1	1	11	32	3	1	0	204	278	277	556	73	260	21	7	258	56	-8	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.3
2023	33	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	377	337	93	24	0	16	34	64	3	2	2	276	348	490	837	214	296	17	9	360	134	+14	-0	+4	-4	+11	2.5
2023	33	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	377	334	90	23	0	15	34	64	3	2	2	269	340	473	813	204	291	17	9	355	130	+13	-0	+4	-4	+11	2.3
2024	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	258	229	46	11	2	9	22	53	4	5	0	201	282	384	667	183	218	21	9	291	81	-5	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.0
2024	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	258	228	48	12	2	10	22	53	4	5	0	211	290	412	702	202	226	21	9	308	94	-2	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.4
2025	35	MLB	2 teams	—	118	107	17	3	0	2	7	31	1	0	1	159	217	243	460	84	195	26	6	202	12	-12	-0	-1	-1	+3	-1.1
2025	35	MLB	2 teams	—	118	106	17	3	0	2	7	28	1	0	1	160	217	245	463	85	190	24	6	208	17	-11	-0	-1	-1	+3	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	36	MLB	SD	—	184	166	39	8	1	6	14	42	2	2	1	235	302	404	706	169	273	23	8	311	96	-1	+0	+2	-2	+5	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	37	MLB	SD	100%	112	102	22	5	0	3	8	26	1	1	0	216	279	353	632	137	262	23	7	296	85	-2	+0	-6	-1	+3	-0.6
2027	37	MLB	SD	100%	112	102	22	5	0	3	8	26	1	1	0	216	279	353	632	137	259	23	7	284	75	-3	+0	-6	-1	+3	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7107	6276	1597	311	41	189	714	1264	63	126	43	254	336	407	743	153	290	18	10	332	112	+98	+8	+54	-75	+201	29.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	146	28	4	17	65	116	6	12	4	254	336	406	742	152	291	18	10	332	112	+9	+1	+5	-7	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	8330	7402	1895	370	52	220	795	1511	75	154	49	256	334	409	743	153	293	18	10	325	107	+67	+11	+56	-87	+236	28.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	148	29	4	17	62	118	6	12	4	256	335	408	743	152	293	18	10	325	107	+5	+1	+4	-7	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2007	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	48	43	13	5	0	1	3	9	1	1	1	302	362	488	850	186	353	19	6	368	140	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2008	18	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	25	22	4	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	182	250	273	523	91	211	16	8	231	35	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2008	18	A	Rome Braves	—	508	449	145	27	6	11	49	74	3	15	3	323	393	483	877	160	361	15	10	384	152	+30	+2	—	—	+14	4.7
2009	19	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	195	162	57	13	4	7	28	19	2	5	1	352	453	611	1.064	259	360	10	14	454	206	+23	+1	—	—	+6	3.0
2009	19	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	214	189	56	12	0	10	21	30	2	4	0	296	373	519	891	222	305	14	10	388	155	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2010	20	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	623	520	144	29	5	18	91	128	10	11	6	277	395	456	850	179	335	21	15	380	149	+35	-0	-1	-7	+18	4.5
2011	21	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	456	396	90	18	2	14	51	93	4	9	2	227	320	389	709	162	260	20	11	317	101	+1	+1	+4	-5	+13	1.4
2012	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	651	587	158	30	6	27	58	152	2	21	8	269	336	479	815	210	319	23	9	357	131	+23	+1	+5	-7	+18	4.1
2013	23	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	440	382	97	22	1	14	48	73	8	2	4	254	349	427	775	173	281	17	11	347	124	+12	-1	+6	-5	+12	2.5
2013	23	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	26	20	6	1	0	0	4	7	1	1	0	300	440	350	790	50	429	27	15	359	133	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2014	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	649	573	155	26	3	11	67	98	6	20	4	271	353	384	737	113	308	15	10	333	113	+10	+2	+13	-7	+18	3.7
2015	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	610	547	160	33	4	13	56	90	2	23	3	293	359	439	798	146	329	15	9	354	129	+20	+3	+11	-7	+17	4.6
2016	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	592	530	122	27	1	7	54	93	5	11	4	230	307	325	632	94	266	16	9	289	79	-14	+1	+8	-6	+17	0.5
2017	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	481	432	112	15	4	11	41	67	3	4	4	259	327	389	716	130	284	14	9	319	103	+1	-1	+3	-5	+14	1.2
2018	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	489	440	119	23	4	8	42	60	2	1	1	270	336	395	732	125	297	12	9	326	108	+4	-0	+1	-5	+14	1.4
2019	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	589	513	129	20	4	21	68	110	5	8	3	251	345	429	774	177	281	19	12	345	122	+15	+0	+5	-6	+17	3.1
2020	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	181	147	39	6	2	6	30	37	2	2	0	265	397	456	852	190	311	20	17	378	148	+10	+0	+1	-2	+5	1.4
2021	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	353	323	69	15	2	8	27	68	3	5	1	214	280	347	627	133	247	19	8	283	75	-10	+1	+2	-4	+10	-0.1
2022	32	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	151	137	28	5	1	1	11	32	3	1	0	204	278	277	556	73	260	21	7	258	56	-8	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.3
2023	33	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	377	334	90	23	0	15	34	64	3	2	2	269	340	473	813	204	291	17	9	355	130	+13	-0	+4	-4	+11	2.3
2024	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	258	228	48	12	2	10	22	53	4	5	0	211	290	412	702	202	226	21	9	308	94	-2	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.4
2025	35	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	95	85	15	2	0	2	6	20	0	0	1	176	228	271	499	94	197	21	6	220	26	-8	-0	-1	-1	+3	-0.8
2025	35	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	23	21	2	1	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	95	174	143	317	48	154	35	4	157	-21	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	6995	6174	1575	306	41	186	706	1238	62	125	43	255	337	408	745	153	290	18	10	333	113	+101	+8	+60	-73	+198	30.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	14	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
	/162	664	17	10	257	338	410	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#2Mark Kotsaylast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,895 PA	14	5,895	108	78	277	337	406	-15	-19	18.9	20.3
	/162	664	12	9	277	337	406	-1.7	-2.2	2.1	pk7: 22
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons	18	7,291	195	128	255	333	410	-80	+58	21.6	20.2
	/162	664	18	12	255	333	410	-7.3	+5.3	2.0	pk7: 19
#3Austin Kearnslast yr '12 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,148 PA	11	4,148	121	33	254	351	415	-42	-4	15.7	15.9
	/162	664	19	5	254	351	415	-6.8	-0.6	2.5	pk7: 16
#4Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	13	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
	/162	664	20	8	262	321	426	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#5Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	12	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
	/162	664	21	9	249	332	430	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#6Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	12	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
	/162	664	11	12	275	322	403	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jason Heyward (OGILVIE)	36	45	40	50	55	231/298/399	168	273	6	2	23%	8%	96	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Curtis Pride 2005 · MLB	36	48	45	51→55	42	238/292/367	129	301	12	12	25%	6%	84	+0.6	242/317/377	135	328	12	18	28%	10%	97	+1.5	235/315/360	125	328	11	21	29%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Pedro Swann 2006 · MLB	35	47	50	53→45	40	237/289/397	160	287	18	7	24%	4%	92	+1.2	242/290/382	140	304	13	11	24%	5%	87	+0.8	247/294/379	132	313	11	12	24%	5%	87	+0.5
✕Andy Abad 2008 · AAA	35	50→51	49→50	44→45	46	254/297/398	144	271	18	7	15%	5%	94	+1.3	229/278/341	112	270	12	9	19%	5%	72	-0.2	180/240/219	39	225	0	0	19%	5%	22	-0.7
✕Nyjer Morgan 2016 · MLB	36	47→57	45	53→65	47	232/291/356	124	282	13	15	22%	8%	81	+0.4	237/302/367	130	275	13	20	19%	7%	89	+0.9	235/303/358	123	270	12	26	18%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Chris Richard 2010 · MLB	36	43→53	56→60	48→50	46	231/300/421	190	276	24	6	26%	7%	102	+1.9	229/292/391	162	283	18	5	25%	7%	91	+1.1	226/290/380	154	280	16	0	25%	7%	85	+0.6
●Kevin Barker 2011 · MLB	36	46→47	52→55	44→40	52	239/310/407	168	268	19	3	19%	9%	102	+1.9	262/318/423	161	313	16	6	21%	7%	109	+2.4	293/341/473	181	357	17	3	22%	6%	131	+2.4
✕Eric Karros 2004 · MLB	36	53→55	49→55	44→40	51	268/324/416	147	289	17	4	14%	7%	110	+2.4	247/305/394	147	271	16	7	16%	8%	97	+1.5	192/243/308	115	209	11	5	14%	6%	42	-0.4
●Andy Tracy 2010 · AAA	36	43→48	54→60	48→45	49	229/300/407	178	268	23	6	24%	8%	98	+1.6	232/302/419	187	292	23	6	28%	9%	102	+1.9	228/304/423	194	289	24	4	29%	9%	102	+1.3
✕A.J. Ellis 2018 · MLB	37	45→55	49→45	45→40	54	229/315/374	145	253	17	5	18%	10%	96	+1.5	248/337/373	125	301	12	6	20%	11%	105	+2.1	269/377/345	75	347	4	0	20%	14%	109	+0.7
✕Dioner Navarro 2019 · MLB	35	45→55	47→50	46→45	48	226/290/361	135	269	14	8	22%	8%	82	+0.5	227/301/345	118	281	12	8	22%	9%	82	+0.5	186/268/237	51	238	5	0	22%	9%	39	-0.5
✕Adam Rosales 2019 · MLB	36	41→49	50→55	42→45	41	214/268/368	154	272	18	5	28%	6%	75	-0.0	205/253/329	124	279	14	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	175/215/264	89	251	12	2	35%	4%	20	-1.9
✕Jason Wood 2006 · AAA	36	49	50→45	46→40	46	248/306/395	147	287	18	7	21%	6%	98	+1.6	237/287/350	113	296	12	4	23%	6%	77	+0.1	232/281/322	89	294	9	2	23%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Daryle Ward 2011 · MLB	36	44→54	48→60	46→30	48	227/290/365	138	264	17	6	22%	8%	83	+0.6	240/309/373	133	275	14	10	17%	9%	92	+1.2	263/352/384	122	284	10	4	11%	12%	128	+0.7
✕Nick Hundley 2019 · MLB	35	49→46	52→55	46→40	44	248/297/421	173	307	19	4	26%	6%	100	+1.7	229/282/386	157	306	18	7	30%	6%	85	+0.7	165/202/292	127	235	14	0	36%	4%	26	-0.7
✕Charlie Blackmon 2022 · MLB	36	50→57	46→60	46→55	53	247/320/382	135	276	14	4	16%	8%	100	+1.7	233/304/358	125	267	12	6	17%	8%	87	+0.8	227/299/351	123	260	11	6	17%	8%	79	+0.3
✕Doug Mirabelli 2007 · MLB	36	44	53→50	48→30	46	228/304/398	170	292	21	5	29%	8%	98	+1.6	228/300/390	162	298	20	7	29%	8%	95	+1.4	200/276/357	157	261	24	0	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕So Taguchi 2005 · MLB	36	52→58	47→45	50	50	258/312/400	142	279	14	14	13%	7%	101	+1.8	270/322/382	112	303	9	15	14%	7%	100	+1.7	276/331/372	96	310	7	15	13%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Michael Tucker 2006 · MLB	35	50→52	47→55	48→55	57	247/331/393	146	287	14	8	19%	11%	107	+2.2	225/319/352	127	273	11	10	20%	11%	92	+1.2	209/313/326	117	256	10	10	21%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Jason Kipnis 2021 · MLB	34	46→56	50→55	49→55	53	235/310/395	160	271	18	8	21%	9%	99	+1.7	240/317/408	168	303	20	7	26%	9%	106	+2.2	229/310/400	171	290	22	2	28%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Al Martin 2003 · MLB	35	52→57	49→50	50	54	257/329/410	153	291	16	13	18%	9%	111	+2.5	245/307/370	125	296	11	9	20%	8%	91	+1.1	251/306/356	105	308	7	5	20%	7%	76	+0.0