Alex Gordon

PosLF

B/TL/R

Born1984-02-10

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2020

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2018	34	MLBKC	568	.245/.325/.370	13	12	99	0.8
2019	35	MLBKC	633	.266/.348/.396	13	5	112	0.9
2020	36	MLBKC	184	.209/.299/.307	4	0	80	-0.3
2021	37	No MLB games played
2022	38	No MLB games played
2023	39	No MLB games played
2024	40	No MLB games played
2025	41	No MLB games played
2026	42	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2018-2020

xwOBA65

Avg EV33

Barrel%31

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	22	AA	Wichita Wranglers	—	577	486	158	39	1	29	72	113	16	22	3	325	428	588	1.016	263	373	20	12	441	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	601	543	134	36	4	15	41	137	13	14	4	247	314	411	725	164	303	23	7	322	101	+1	+1	+9	+2	+13	2.7
2008	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	571	493	128	35	1	16	66	120	6	9	2	260	354	432	786	172	309	21	12	349	118	+12	+1	-2	+2	+12	2.7
2009	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	189	164	38	6	0	6	21	43	2	5	0	232	326	378	704	146	276	23	11	317	100	+0	+1	-2	+1	+4	0.5
2009	25	AAA	Omaha Royals	—	85	67	21	4	1	2	13	16	3	0	0	313	446	493	938	179	373	19	15	410	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	35	30	11	3	0	2	5	5	0	0	0	367	457	667	1.124	300	391	14	14	484	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	281	242	52	10	0	8	34	62	2	1	5	215	317	355	672	140	254	22	12	304	94	-2	-2	-6	-7	+6	-1.0
2010	26	AAA	Omaha Royals	—	322	260	82	20	3	14	51	72	8	7	2	315	441	577	1.018	262	391	22	16	441	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	31	17	4	3	0	0	9	3	4	1	0	235	567	412	978	176	267	10	29	451	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	690	611	185	45	4	23	67	139	7	17	8	303	377	502	879	200	358	20	10	386	150	+41	+0	+4	-7	+15	5.4
2012	28	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	721	642	189	51	5	14	73	140	3	10	5	294	369	455	824	160	356	19	10	365	134	+29	+0	+2	-8	+16	4.0
2013	29	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	700	633	168	27	6	20	52	141	9	11	3	265	330	422	752	156	310	20	7	333	110	+9	+1	+8	-8	+15	2.6
2014	30	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	643	563	150	34	1	19	65	126	11	12	3	266	354	432	785	165	310	20	10	350	123	+18	+1	+9	-7	+14	3.6
2015	31	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	422	354	96	18	0	13	49	92	14	2	5	271	381	432	813	161	327	22	12	364	129	+14	-2	+2	-5	+9	2.0
2015	31	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	37	28	12	2	0	1	8	6	1	0	0	429	568	607	1.175	179	524	16	22	516	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	506	445	98	16	2	17	52	148	8	8	1	220	313	380	693	160	288	29	10	313	99	-0	+1	+2	-6	+11	0.9
2016	32	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	17	15	5	1	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	333	412	600	1.012	267	400	24	12	440	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	541	476	99	20	2	9	45	126	14	7	4	208	295	315	610	107	261	23	8	279	75	-16	-0	+2	-6	+12	-0.8
2018	34	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	568	506	124	24	0	13	50	124	10	12	2	245	325	370	695	125	299	22	9	315	99	-0	+2	+0	-6	+12	0.8
2019	35	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	633	556	148	31	1	13	51	100	19	5	3	266	348	396	744	129	301	16	8	334	112	+9	-0	-7	-7	+14	0.9
2020	36	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	184	163	34	4	0	4	18	37	3	0	0	209	299	307	606	98	246	20	10	281	80	-4	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	7250	6391	1643	357	26	190	684	1535	121	113	45	257	340	410	750	153	309	21	9	335	113	+112	+5	+24	-62	+157	24.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wranglers	—	577	506	140	33	1	24	53	138	16	22	3	277	363	488	852	211	332	24	9	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	601	548	134	36	4	15	37	137	13	14	4	245	308	407	715	162	303	23	6	317	101	+1	+1	+9	+2	+13	2.7
2008	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	571	498	128	35	1	16	61	120	6	9	2	257	345	428	773	171	309	21	11	343	118	+12	+1	-2	+2	+12	2.7
2009	25	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	189	164	38	6	0	6	21	43	2	5	0	232	326	378	704	146	276	23	11	317	100	+0	+1	-2	+1	+4	0.5
2009	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	85	72	19	3	1	2	8	21	3	0	0	264	361	417	778	153	318	25	9	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	35	32	11	3	0	2	3	6	0	0	0	344	400	625	1.025	281	343	17	9	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	281	243	53	10	0	9	33	62	2	1	5	218	317	370	687	152	254	22	12	307	94	-2	-2	-6	-7	+6	-1.0
2010	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	322	276	71	17	2	11	36	97	8	7	2	257	359	453	812	196	352	30	11	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	31	22	4	3	0	0	4	4	4	1	0	182	400	318	718	136	223	13	13	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	690	615	188	45	4	25	65	139	7	17	8	306	378	514	892	208	358	20	9	390	150	+41	+0	+4	-7	+15	5.4
2012	28	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	721	645	191	51	5	15	70	140	3	10	5	296	368	460	828	164	356	19	10	367	134	+29	+0	+2	-8	+16	4.0
2013	29	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	700	640	171	27	6	22	45	141	9	11	3	267	324	431	755	164	310	20	6	331	110	+9	+1	+8	-8	+15	2.6
2014	30	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	643	568	153	34	1	21	60	126	11	12	3	269	351	444	794	174	310	20	9	351	123	+18	+1	+9	-7	+14	3.6
2015	31	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	422	361	97	18	0	14	42	92	14	2	5	269	367	435	802	166	327	22	10	358	129	+14	-2	+2	-5	+9	2.0
2015	31	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	37	31	11	2	0	1	5	8	1	0	0	355	459	516	976	161	438	22	14	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	506	448	99	16	2	18	49	148	8	8	1	221	309	386	695	165	288	29	10	315	99	-0	+1	+2	-6	+11	0.9
2016	32	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	17	16	4	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	250	294	500	794	250	314	29	6	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	541	479	101	20	2	10	42	126	14	7	4	211	293	324	617	113	261	23	8	278	75	-16	-0	+2	-6	+12	-0.8
2018	34	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	568	510	126	24	0	14	46	124	10	12	2	247	322	376	698	129	299	22	8	315	99	-0	+2	+0	-6	+12	0.8
2019	35	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	633	560	150	31	1	14	47	100	19	5	3	268	345	402	747	134	301	16	7	334	112	+9	-0	-7	-7	+14	0.9
2020	36	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	184	163	34	4	0	4	18	37	3	0	0	209	299	307	606	98	246	20	10	286	80	-4	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.3
2006	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wranglers	—	577	506	140	33	1	24	53	138	16	22	3	277	363	488	852	211	335	24	9	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA RAW	Wichita Wranglers	—	577	486	158	39	1	29	72	113	16	22	3	325	428	588	1.016	263	373	20	12	441	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	601	548	134	36	4	15	37	137	13	14	4	245	308	407	715	162	299	23	6	317	101	+1	+1	+9	+2	+13	2.7
2007	23	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	601	543	134	36	4	15	41	137	13	14	4	247	314	411	725	164	303	23	7	322	101	+1	+1	+9	+2	+13	2.7
2008	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	571	498	128	35	1	16	61	120	6	9	2	257	345	428	773	171	305	21	11	343	118	+12	+1	-2	+2	+12	2.7
2008	24	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	571	493	128	35	1	16	66	120	6	9	2	260	354	432	786	172	309	21	12	349	118	+12	+1	-2	+2	+12	2.7
2009	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	309	268	67	12	1	9	32	70	5	5	0	250	341	403	744	153	302	23	10	334	112	+4	+1	-2	+1	+7	1.2
2009	25	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	309	261	70	13	1	10	39	64	5	5	0	268	374	441	814	172	316	21	13	361	112	+4	+1	-2	+1	+7	1.2
2010	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	634	542	129	31	2	20	72	163	14	9	7	238	342	413	756	175	302	26	11	333	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	634	519	138	33	3	22	94	137	14	9	7	266	392	468	860	202	320	22	15	381	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	690	615	188	45	4	25	65	139	7	17	8	306	378	514	892	208	359	20	9	390	150	+41	+0	+4	-7	+15	5.4
2011	27	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	690	611	185	45	4	23	67	139	7	17	8	303	377	502	879	200	358	20	10	386	150	+41	+0	+4	-7	+15	5.4
2012	28	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	721	645	191	51	5	15	70	140	3	10	5	296	368	460	828	164	357	19	10	367	134	+29	+0	+2	-8	+16	4.0
2012	28	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	721	642	189	51	5	14	73	140	3	10	5	294	369	455	824	160	356	19	10	365	134	+29	+0	+2	-8	+16	4.0
2013	29	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	700	640	171	27	6	22	45	141	9	11	3	267	324	431	755	164	308	20	6	331	110	+9	+1	+8	-8	+15	2.6
2013	29	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	700	633	168	27	6	20	52	141	9	11	3	265	330	422	752	156	310	20	7	333	110	+9	+1	+8	-8	+15	2.6
2014	30	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	643	568	153	34	1	21	60	126	11	12	3	269	351	444	794	174	311	20	9	351	123	+18	+1	+9	-7	+14	3.6
2014	30	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	643	563	150	34	1	19	65	126	11	12	3	266	354	432	785	165	310	20	10	350	123	+18	+1	+9	-7	+14	3.6
2015	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	459	392	109	20	0	15	47	100	15	2	5	278	377	444	821	166	333	22	10	362	131	+17	-2	+2	-5	+10	2.3
2015	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	459	382	108	20	0	14	57	98	15	2	5	283	396	445	842	162	342	21	12	376	131	+17	-2	+2	-5	+10	2.3
2016	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	523	464	104	17	2	19	50	153	8	8	1	224	310	392	703	168	290	29	10	315	100	-0	+1	+2	-6	+11	0.9
2016	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	523	460	103	17	2	18	54	152	8	8	1	224	316	387	703	163	292	29	10	317	100	-0	+1	+2	-6	+11	0.9
2017	33	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	541	479	101	20	2	10	42	126	14	7	4	211	293	324	617	113	262	23	8	278	75	-16	-0	+2	-6	+12	-0.8
2017	33	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	541	476	99	20	2	9	45	126	14	7	4	208	295	315	610	107	261	23	8	279	75	-16	-0	+2	-6	+12	-0.8
2018	34	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	568	510	126	24	0	14	46	124	10	12	2	247	322	376	698	129	299	22	8	315	99	-0	+2	+0	-6	+12	0.8
2018	34	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	568	506	124	24	0	13	50	124	10	12	2	245	325	370	695	125	299	22	9	315	99	-0	+2	+0	-6	+12	0.8
2019	35	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	633	560	150	31	1	14	47	100	19	5	3	268	345	402	747	134	301	16	7	334	112	+9	-0	-7	-7	+14	0.9
2019	35	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	633	556	148	31	1	13	51	100	19	5	3	266	348	396	744	129	301	16	8	334	112	+9	-0	-7	-7	+14	0.9
2020	36	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	184	163	34	4	0	4	18	37	3	0	0	209	299	307	606	98	246	20	10	286	80	-4	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.3
2020	36	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	184	163	34	4	0	4	18	37	3	0	0	209	299	307	606	98	246	20	10	281	80	-4	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.3
2006	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wranglers	—	577	503	140	33	1	24	53	138	16	22	3	278	363	491	855	213	332	24	9	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	601	546	134	36	4	15	37	137	13	14	4	245	308	408	716	163	303	23	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	571	499	128	35	1	16	61	120	6	9	2	257	345	427	772	170	309	21	11	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	309	269	67	12	1	9	32	70	5	5	0	249	341	401	742	152	295	23	10	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	634	543	129	31	2	20	72	163	14	9	7	238	342	413	755	175	302	26	11	333	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	690	613	188	45	4	25	65	139	7	17	8	307	378	515	894	209	358	20	9	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	721	642	191	51	5	15	70	140	3	10	5	298	368	463	830	165	356	19	10	367	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	700	640	171	27	6	22	45	141	9	11	3	267	324	431	755	164	310	20	6	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	643	567	153	34	1	21	60	126	11	12	3	270	351	444	795	175	310	20	9	351	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	459	394	109	20	0	15	47	100	15	2	5	277	377	442	818	165	336	22	10	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	523	460	104	17	2	19	50	153	8	8	1	226	310	396	706	170	289	29	10	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	541	480	101	20	2	10	42	126	14	7	4	210	293	323	616	113	261	23	8	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	568	507	126	24	0	14	46	124	10	12	2	249	322	379	700	130	299	22	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	633	562	150	31	1	14	47	100	19	5	3	267	345	400	745	133	301	16	7	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	36	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	184	161	34	4	0	4	18	37	3	0	0	211	299	311	609	99	246	20	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7250	6391	1643	357	26	190	684	1535	121	113	45	257	340	410	750	153	309	21	9	335	115	+112	+5	+24	-62	+157	24.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	147	32	2	17	61	138	11	10	4	257	340	408	748	152	308	21	9	335	115	+10	+0	+2	-6	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	8354	7398	1925	420	30	243	745	1814	153	143	50	260	340	424	764	163	312	22	9	338	115	+112	+5	+24	-62	+157	24.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	150	33	2	19	58	141	12	11	4	260	341	424	765	163	312	22	9	338	115	+10	+0	+2	-6	+14	2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 17 PAwOBA .428 → .324 (−103)K% 23.5% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.53%	÷1.024	×1.220	—	—	28.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷1.081	×0.700	—	×0.940	7.16%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷1.061	×0.920	—	×0.940	22.23%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.029	×0.840	—	×0.940	6.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.029	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷0.967	×0.800	—	×0.940	7.07%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 105, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .428 → .324; ISO .267 → .207; BABIP .400 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 37 PAwOBA .504 → .400 (−104)K% 16.2% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.22%	÷0.999	×1.290	—	—	20.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.62%	÷1.127	×0.710	—	×0.962	13.10%
HBP% /PA	2.70%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	2.55%
Singles /BIP	40.91%	÷1.008	×0.900	—	×0.962	35.13%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.961	×0.810	—	×0.962	7.37%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.948	×0.810	—	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.55%	÷1.157	×0.780	—	×0.962	2.95%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .504 → .400; ISO .179 → .136; BABIP .524 → .438. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAOmaha Royals · 322 PAwOBA .429 → .352 (−78)K% 22.4% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.36%	÷0.959	×1.290	—	—	30.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.84%	÷1.034	×0.710	—	×1.018	11.07%
HBP% /PA	2.48%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	2.48%
Singles /BIP	23.94%	÷1.002	×0.900	×1.019	×1.018	22.31%
Doubles /BIP	10.64%	÷0.932	×0.810	×1.019	×1.018	9.59%
Triples /BIP	1.60%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.019	×1.018	1.17%
Home runs /BIP	7.45%	÷0.967	×0.780	—	×1.018	6.12%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 100, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .429 → .352; ISO .262 → .211; BABIP .391 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 31 PAwOBA .440 → .362 (−79)K% 9.7% → 14.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.68%	÷0.967	×1.420	—	—	14.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.58%	÷1.209	×0.630	—	×0.968	11.39%
HBP% /PA	12.90%	—	×0.860	—	×0.968	10.74%
Singles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.996	×0.940	—	×0.968	6.53%
Doubles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.017	×0.830	—	×0.968	16.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.982	×0.800	—	×0.968	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.964	×0.900	—	×0.968	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 93, BB 142 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .440 → .362; ISO .176 → .197; BABIP .267 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAOmaha Royals · 85 PAwOBA .403 → .345 (−58)K% 18.8% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.82%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	24.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.94%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.033	9.49%
HBP% /PA	3.53%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	3.57%
Singles /BIP	27.45%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.950	×1.033	24.25%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	6.23%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	1.56%
Home runs /BIP	3.92%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.16%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .403 → .345; ISO .179 → .150; BABIP .373 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 35 PAwOBA .464 → .400 (−64)K% 14.3% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	17.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.43%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.998	7.98%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.998	22.04%
Doubles /BIP	12.00%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.998	10.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	6.39%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .464 → .400; ISO .300 → .254; BABIP .391 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAWichita Wranglers · 577 PAwOBA .431 → .365 (−66)K% 19.6% → 23.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.58%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	23.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.48%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.042	9.10%
HBP% /PA	2.77%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	2.51%
Singles /BIP	23.86%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.966	×1.042	22.10%
Doubles /BIP	10.46%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.966	×1.042	8.84%
Triples /BIP	0.27%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.966	×1.042	0.25%
Home runs /BIP	7.77%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.042	6.48%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .431 → .365; ISO .263 → .220; BABIP .373 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).